RELATIONSHIPR E L A T I O N S H I P ISI S EVERYTHINGE V E R Y T H I N G Going into the general election… Incumbents lost Open Seats - Senate Open Seats - House Primary Election Losing Incumbents Kimberly Daniels, Mike Hill, R Al Jacquet, D D Battleground Seats - Senate District 3 District 9 53.32% 50.07% Loranne Ausley, D Marva Preston, R Jason Brodeur, R Patricia Sigman, D District 37 District 39 55.88% Jose Javier Rodriguez, Ileana Garcia, R Ana Maria Rodriguez, R Javier Fernandez, D D Freshman Class Loranne Ausley, D Jennifer Bradley, R Jason Brodeur, R Jim Boyd, R Ray Rodrigues, R Tina Polsky, D Shevrin Jones, D Ana Maria Rodriguez, R +5 Rep Battleground Seats District 15 District 21 District 26 District 29 53.89% 51.11% 53.14% 50.6% Wyman Tammyette Chuck Kayser Elizabeth Patrick Scott Plakin, Tracey Kegan, D Duggan, R Thomas, D Clemons, R Enneking, D Fetterhoff, R Henry, D R District 30 District 44 District 59 District 60 52.95% 52.36% 50.62% 54.33% Joy Goff- Bob Cortes, R Bruno Geraldine Michael Owen, Andrew Jackie Julie Jenkins, D Marcil, D Portigliatti, R “Geri” R Learned, D Toledo, R Thompson, D Battleground Seats District 64 District 72 District 89 District 103 54.13% 54.67% 55.56% 54.21% Traci Jessica Drake Fiona James Mike Cindy Polo, Tom Koster, R Harrington, D Buckman, D McFarland, R Bonfiglio, D Caruso, R D Fabricio, R District 105 District 115 District 118 District 120 53.57% 57.33% 60.13% 55% David Maureen Vance Franccesca Cesti- Anthony Ricky Junquera, Clint Barras, D Jim Borrero, R Porras, D Aloupis, R Browne, D Rodriguez, D Mooney, R R Freshman Class Michelle Patt Maney, Allison Tant, Sam Joe Harding, Webster Keith Fred Salzman, R R D Garrison, R R Barnaby, R Truenow, R Hawkins, R Andrew Adam Mike Saulis Banionis, Tom Daisy Kaylee Tuck, Fiona Jenna Persons, Lauren Melo, R Learned, D Botana, R Giallombardo, R R Fabricio, R Morales, D R McFarland, R R Dana Alex Rizo, R Demi Busatta- Jim Mooney, R Linda Chaney, R John Snyder, Omari Hardy, Marie Robin David Cabrera, R Trabulsy, R R D Woodson, D Bartleman, D Borrero, R Campaign Finance Most Expensive Race $14 Million (Senate District 9) * Money from all sources Total Money Spent Makeup of the Electorate by Party Registration 60% 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 53% 53% 52% 52% 52% 52% 51% 51% 51% 51% 50% 50% 49% 49% 49% 49% 50% 48% 46% 45% 44% 43% 43% 42% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% 40% 39% 39% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 36% 36% 35% 34% 33% 32% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 28% 28% 28% 28% 28% 27% 27% 27% 27% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% % of Votes Cast Votes % of 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 19% 20% 18% 10% REP % DEM % NPA % 0% 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Days Until Election Day For what its worth… •Candidates Matter •Money Matters (usually) •GOP out-registered Democrats since 2018 – Registration parity •Top of ticket not an indicator for down the ballot RELATIONSHIPR E L A T I O N S H I P ISI S EVERYTHINGE V E R Y T H I N G.