Extra MSA Group Warrington Motorway Service Area, J11 M62 Environmental Statement Part 2 – Socio-Economic Technical Paper 6 Revision E 23rd August 2019 Revision Record Revision Date of Revision Nature of Author Checked By Reference Revision Revision A 18.04.2019 First Draft SC Revision B 29.07.2019 Second Draft SC JR Revision C 09.08.2019 JR comments SC Revision D 14.08.2019 Finalisation SC Revision E 23.08.2019 Finalisation SC Report Author Stephen Courcier Report Date August 2019 Project No. 4151 Document Ref. P0-TP-SPA-RP-P3884-0016-E Revision E 2 ES Part 2 –Socio-Economic Technical Paper – Warrington MSA, J11 M62 Contents 1. Introduction ........................................................................................... 6 Overview ......................................................................................................................................................... 6 Defining Socio-Economic ............................................................................................................................ 6 2. Document Consulted ............................................................................ 8 Overview ......................................................................................................................................................... 8 3. Consultations ....................................................................................... 15 Pre-Application Consultation .................................................................................................................. 15 4. Methodology and Approach ............................................................... 17 The Study Area ........................................................................................................................................... 18 Collation of Baseline Data ....................................................................................................................... 20 Receptors ..................................................................................................................................................... 20 Environmental Impacts .............................................................................................................................. 21 Significance of Effects ................................................................................................................................. 27 Impact Prediction Confidence ................................................................................................................. 27 5. Baseline Information ........................................................................... 28 Overview ...................................................................................................................................................... 28 Population and Demographic Trends ................................................................................................... 28 Population and Age .................................................................................................................................... 28 Future Demographic Trends ................................................................................................................... 31 Ethnicity ........................................................................................................................................................ 32 Migration ....................................................................................................................................................... 33 Local Economy ............................................................................................................................................ 36 Employment ................................................................................................................................................. 37 Occupation................................................................................................................................................... 40 Travel to Work .......................................................................................................................................... 43 Economically Active - Unemployed ....................................................................................................... 45 Community Infrastructure ....................................................................................................................... 50 Quality of Life Indicators (Education & Skills, Health & Wellbeing, Deprivation and Crime) 52 IMD 2015 – Education, Skills and Training .......................................................................................... 54 IMD 2015 – Health Deprivation and Disability .................................................................................. 56 Crime and Disorder .................................................................................................................................. 57 Evolution without the Development ..................................................................................................... 61 6. Alternatives Considered ..................................................................... 62 7. Potential Environmental Effects ........................................................ 63 ES Part 2 –Socio-Economic Technical Paper – Warrington MSA, J11 M62 3 8. Proposed Mitigation ............................................................................ 88 Overview ...................................................................................................................................................... 88 Construction Phase ................................................................................................................................... 88 Operational Phase ...................................................................................................................................... 90 9. Potential Residual Effects ................................................................... 92 10. Additive Impacts (Cumulative Impacts and their Effects) ........... 105 11. Conclusion .......................................................................................... 109 Reference List .................................................................................................... 115 Appendices ........................................................................................................ 116 Tables and Figures: Table 3.1 – Summary of Consultations and Discussions Table 4.1 – Receptors Table 4.2 – Environmental Impacts Table 4.3 – Confidence Levels Table 5.1 – Study Area Ward Population Table 5.2 – Age Structure: Number and % of Total Population Table 5.3 – Population Projections Table 5.4 – Internal Migration for Warrington by Age Group Table 5.5 – Headline Gross Value Added Table 5.6 – Gross Value Added by area £ per head Table 5.7 – Gross Disposable Household Income by area Table 5.8 – Total number of people economically active in employment Table 5.9 – Economically Activity Table 5.10 – Employment by Occupation Table 5.11 – Economic Activity and Employment by Sector Table 5:12 – Car Ownership in 2013 Table 5:13 – Method of Travel to Work Table 5:14 – Job Seekers Allowance Claimant Rate Table 5:15 – Qualification and Skills Levels Table 5:16 – General Health Table 7:1 - Table of Potential Impacts – Construction Phase Table 7:2 – Table of Potential Impacts – Operational Phase Table 8:1 – Table Summarising Proposed Mitigation – Construction Phase Table 8:2 - Table Summarising Proposed Mitigation – Operational Phase Table 9:1: Potential Residual Impact – Construction Phase Table 9:2: Potential Residual Impact – Operational Phase Table 10.1 – Cumulative Development 4 ES Part 2 –Socio-Economic Technical Paper – Warrington MSA, J11 M62 Figure 4.1 – Electoral Ward Boundaries Figure 5:1 – IMD 2015 – Income Deprivation Figure 5.2: IMD 2015 – Employment Deprivation Figure 5.3: IMD 2015 – Education, Skills and Training Figure 5:4: IMD 2015 – Health and Disability Figure 5:5 – IMD 2015 – Crime and Disorder Figure 5.6 – IMD 2015 – Deprivation Appendices: Appendix 6.1 – Amion Economic Impact Assessment Report Appendix 6.2 – Amion Employability and Social Impact Strategy Appendix 6.3 – Employment & Training Charter (Extra MSA Group, 2019) Appendix 6.4 – Employment Strategy Overview (Extra MSA Group, 2019) ES Part 2 –Socio-Economic Technical Paper – Warrington MSA, J11 M62 5 1. Introduction Overview 1.1. Spawforths have been appointed by Extra MSA Group to undertake a socio-economic impact assessment of the proposals to bring forward the proposed Motorway Service Area (MSA) development at Junction 11 of the M62 Motorway known as Warrington Motorway Service Area, J11 M62. The assessment focuses upon a range of potential social and economic impacts and benefits which are likely to result from the proposed development of the site. 1.2. A number of economic, employment and training reports, and strategy papers have been prepared by Extra and Amion separately to the ES Socio-economic Technical Paper. These reports are referenced within the Technical Paper and appended to this document. Defining Socio-Economic 1.3. For the reader of this report it is important to understand what is meant by the terms socio- economic and social and economic. The report seeks to understand and assess the social and economic impacts that the proposed development might have upon the wider area.