Childcare Sufficiency Assessment 2014/2017 Pembrokeshire County Council 1 Contents Page(s) 1. CSA Summary Document 5 - 22 2. Factors affecting demand and ability to pay 23 - 46 3. Analysis of supply 47 - 70 4. Understanding the needs of parents/carers 71 - 81 5. Consultation with childcare providers 82 6. Consultation with employers 83 - 85 7. Consultation with children & young people 86 - 89 8. Consultation with other agencies 90 - 92 9. Appendices 93 – 226 Appendix 1: Parent/Carer Questionnaire Appendix 2: Mother and Toddler Parent/Care Questionnaire Appendix 3: Childcare Provider Questionnaire Appendix 4: Employers Survey Appendix 5: Focus Group; Parents of children with additional needs Appendix 6: Focus Group; Partner agencies Appendix 7: Employers Survey Consultation Report Applendix 8: Children and Young People’s Consultation Report 2 Figures Page Number Figure 1: Lower Super Output Areas, Pembrokeshire 8 Figure 2: Welsh Index of Deprivation; Pembrokeshire 15 Figure 3: Childcare providers by language type 19 Figure 4: Children and young people in Pembrokeshire 25 Figure 5: Live births by Year 1996 – 2011 26 Figure 6: General Fertility Rate: Pembrokeshire 1998 – 2007 27 Figure 7: Comparison of children looked after 2003 – 2013 28 Figure 8: Comparision of children on CPR 2007-2012 29 Figure 9: Households with dependent children 33 Figure 10: Distribution of children in lone parent families 34 Figure 11: Distance travelled to work 40 Figure 12: Hours worked by gender 41 Figure 13: Economic activity; females 42 Figure 14: Number of worklessness households in Pembrokeshire 44 Figure 15: Number of registered providers 48 Figure 16: Comparison of childcare rate between Towns 49 Figure 17: Map of day nursery provision 53 Figure 18: Map of childminder provision 55 Figure 19: Map of sessional provision 57 Figure 20: Map of out of school care provision 59 Figure 21: Map of provision 0-4 years 63 Figure 22: Map of provision 5-14 (to 17 for disabled children) 67 Figure 23: % Return from parent/carer questionnaire by area 71 Figure 24: Respondents by type of responsibility 72 Figure 25: Average household income per year 73 Figure 26: Age of respondents 74 Figure 27: Improvements required 76 Figure 28: Reason for not claiming Working Tax Credit 77 Figure 29: % Return of surveys from childcare providers 80 Figure 30: Have you ever attended a childcare setting 85 Figure 31: Why did you go there 86 Figure 32: What did you like about it 86 Figure 33: Would you have liked to have gone somewhere else 87 Figure 34: If you do not go to after school club or holiday club 88 where do you go 3 Tables Page Number Table 1: Key to LSOA May 9 Table 2: Breakdown of DLA Claimants by age 14 Table 3: Additional places required 17 Table 4: Projected Pembrokeshire population 2001 – 2021 26 Table 5: Welsh language skills 30 Table 6: Breakdown of children with disabilities, known to 31 Social Care 2012 Table 7: Ethnic group: Pembrokeshire 35 Table 8: % Population breakdown by ethnicity 36 - 37 Table 9: Tenure status in Pembrokeshire 43 Table 10: No. of families in receipt of Child or Working Tax Credit 45 Table 11: Industrial structure, Pembrokeshire 2011 46 Table 12: Total childcare places per LSOA 50 Table 13: Childcare rate per LSOA 51 Table 14: Average cost of childcare 61 Table 15: Childcare cost comparison 62 Table 16: Term-time places by provider type 0-4 years 63 Table 17: No. of places per 100 children – 0-4 years 65 Table 18: Term-time places by provider type 5-14 years (to 17 66 for disabled) Table 19: No. of places per 100 children – 5-14 years (to 17 for 67 disabled) Table 20: Supply and Demand analysis by area 69 - 70 Table 21: Respondents employment status 74 Table 22: Respondents by ethnic group 74 Table 23: Benefits provided 83 4 1. CSA SUMMARY DOCUMENT Introduction 1.1 The Childcare Act 2006 places a statutory duty on all Local Authorities in Wales to provide sufficient childcare for parents in work or training. This means ensuring that childcare is available for these parents and those with disabled children where and when they need it. Essentially, this is an analysis of the current supply of, and demand for childcare and the subsequent identification of gaps. 1.2 This is the third full analysis report undertaken in Pembrokeshire; the initial Assessment was undertaken in 2008. The report identifies gaps and makes recommendations that will, where reasonably practical, meet the needs of parents so that the Authority can fulfil its childcare sufficiency duty as set out in Section 22 of the Act. 1.3 Sufficient childcare, in Section 6 of the Childcare Act 2006, is defined as ‘sufficient to meet the requirements of parents (in the local authority’s area) who require childcare in order to enable them; a) To take up, or remain in work or b) To undertake education or training that could reasonably be expected to assist them to obtain work. 1.4 In determining whether provision of childcare is sufficient, a local authority a) Must have regard to the needs of parents in their area for the provision of childcare in respect of which childcare the childcare element of the working tax credit is payable, and the provision of childcare which is suitable for disabled children the provision of childcare involving the use of the Welsh language. b) May have regard to any childcare which they expect to be available outside their area. 1.5 The Assessment provides an analysis of supply and demand that highlights the following potential gaps in the local childcare market; Geographical gaps – a lack of childcare places in an area (Middle-Layer Super Output Areas have been used in this assessment) Income gaps – a shortage of affordable childcare Specific needs gaps – a shortage of childcare for disabled children, or children with other specific needs 5 Time gaps – a shortage of childcare when it is required at specific times by parents Language gaps – a shortage of Welsh language provision Age gaps – a shortage of care suited to children of a certain age group. 1.6 In completing the Childcare Sufficiency Assessment several sources of data were collected, namely data on population, economic activity and social factors. This information was obtained from the Office of National Statistics, HM Revenue and Customs, and various Pembrokeshire County Council departments. 1.7 The Assessment was assigned to a staff member to undertake during September 2013 with a budget of £5,000 attached to complete the consultation. 1.8 In order to obtain the views of parents/carers living in Pembrokeshire and due to the short timescale it was agreed that we would circulate the parent/carer questionnaire electronically to all schools in the county and that the schools circulate to parents/carers. For those parents without access to the internet, hard copies were made available (Appendix 1a). 1.9 For pre-school children questionnaires were distributed via parent and toddler groups (Appendix 2a). 1.10 Analysis of data held by the Local Authority on the supply of registered childcare providers, was supplied via the Family Information Service. 1.11 Consultation with childcare providers via a questionnaire survey in November 2013 (Appendix 3a). 1.12 Consultation with employers via a questionnaire survey in December 2013 (Appendix 4 and Appendix 7). 1.13 Consultation with parents/carers of children with additional needs via a focus group in December 2013 (Appendix 5). 1.14 Consultation with partner agencies via a focus group in October 2013 (Appendix 6). 1.15 Consultation with children and young people via analysis of questionnaires sent to Primary School Councils, Secondary School Councils and After School Clubs. In order to obtain views of children aged 0-3 years consultation was undertaken with 3 day nurseries with a geographical split – North, Mid and South – in the county (Appendix 8). 1.16 Analysis of supplementary data derived from a range of additional sources including Care and Social Services Inspectorate Wales (CSSIW), Jobcentre 6 Plus, Mudiad Meithrin, Wales Pre-School Providers Association and Clybiau Plant Cymru Kid’s Clubs. 1.17 Data for the Assessment has been analysed by Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs). There are 71 of these in Pembrokeshire please see Figure 1 on page 8. Context 1.18 Pembrokeshire is mainly rural with a population density of 71 people per square kilometre, which is about half of the Welsh average. The population of 117,500 lives in some 48,178 households. Just under half live in the five main towns of Fishguard, Haverfordwest, Milford Haven, Pembroke and Pembroke Dock. There is likely to be a higher demand for childcare services in the areas with most children (in comparison to the whole population). 1.19 The natural growth of population in Pembrokeshire is declining. The County is set to lose 1,500 of its population over the next fifteen years as the number of deaths is projected to slightly exceed births by about 100 per annum. 1.20 The overall children population in Pembrokeshire is projected to decline by around 2,000 between 2006 and 2021, which amounts to a reduction of 9% over the fifteen year period. 7 Figure 1: Lower Super Output Areas in Pembrokeshire 8 Table 1: Key to LSOA Map ID LSOA ID LSOA ID LSOA ID LSOA 1 Cilgerran 2 Clydau 3 Crymych 1 4 Crymych 2 5 St Dogmaels 6 Dinas Cross 7 Fishguard North East 8 Fishguard North West 9 Goodwich 10 Newport 11 Scleddau 12 Letterston 13 Llanrhian 14 St David’s 15 Solva 16 Maenclochog 1 17 Maenclochog 2 18 Rudbaxton 19 Wiston 21 Haverfordwest Castle 22 Haverfordwest Garth 1 23 Haverfordwest