300부 랑데뷰160g 16p 중철 별색(PANTONE 802 U) + 표지타이틀(S&E) 형압 Vol. 78 & JUNE 2019 SSpace & Environment E is a quarterly magazine published by KRIHS. Its purpose is to introduce current issues on territorial planning in Korea and disseminate research achievements and international activities of KRIHS and other Korean institutes. ISSUES & TRENDS 01 ISSUES & TRENDS 02 In-Depth Look 01 In-Depth Look 02 Future Prospects and Strategies Regional SOC Investment Applying Mobile Bigdata for Developing the Disaster for National Arterial Road and Management Plans for Estimation of Living Transport Response Routes of Korea Inclusive Development of Costs National Territory 1. Backgrounds and Purpose of the 1. Definition and Objectives 1. Concept of Cost of Living 1. Background Study of Inclusive Development of Transport and Estimation 2. Objectives of the Study 2. Achievement and Challenge National Territory 2. Difference in Living Transport 3. Major Findings in National Arterial Road 2. Inclusive Value of SOC (Roads & Costs Between Eup, Myeon and 4. Conclusions Establishment Railways) Dong in Gyeonggi Province 3. Future Environment Change and 3. Development of SOC Policy 3. Policy Implications Impact on Road Transportation Directions for Inclusive 4. Future Outlook of National Development of National Arterial Road Territory 5. Policy Suggestion to Build Future 4. Measures to Enhance Regional Prospects for National Arterial SOC Investment & Management Road for Inclusive Development of National Territory 02 06 10 13 ISSN 9 9 772671 903003 9 772671 ISSN 2671-9037 77267 2671 Published by the Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements (KRIHS, http://www.krihs.re.kr/) - 1 Edited by the Global Development Partnership Center (http://gdpc.kr/) 9037 90300 Editor Se Hoon Park Editorial Team Seryeon Jeon, Chanyong You 3 Tel. +82-44-960-0655 Fax. +82-44-211-4772 Designed and Produced by MYOUNGMOON Design&Printing (http://www.designmmt.co.kr/) Tel. +82-2-2079-9252 92 92 Copyright 2019 ©Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements All Rights Reserved. 5 Gukchaegyeonguwon-ro, Sejong-si, 30149, Korea ISSUES & TRENDS 1 Future Prospects and Strategies for National Arterial Road Kim Ho-jeong, Kim Sang-rok 1. Backgrounds and Purpose of the Study space and establish future prospects of national arterial road, based on changes and key factors in national ● National Arterial Road Network (7X9) project has been territorial space. implemented since 1992 to complete the entire network by 2020 and continuous discussion is required on the function and roles of the roads after 2020. 2. Achievement and Challenge in National ● As the time is nearing to renew the highest-level national Arterial Road Establishment plans, including Comprehensive National Territorial Plan and National Intermodal Transportation Plan, it is required ● It is aimed to review development progress of national to build objective and future-oriented prospects for future arterial road, aligned with national territorial plan since the transportation demands, responding to various changes in 1st Comprehensive National Territorial Plan 1972 until the national territory environments. amendment of the 4th Comprehensive National Territorial ● Among future environmental changes, it is to define Plan announced recently. Fig.1 various factors, affecting road transportation sectors and ● With development of national arterial road network over develop responding strategy for national arterial road, 45 years, it shortens the travel time between regions 42%, considering changes in territorial space comprehensively. putting the entire nation in 1-day travel range. Fig.2 - It is required to review the integrity of territorial plan and transportation plan, based on changes in future territorial Figure 1. Source Comprehensive National Land Development Plan(1972~1981), 3rd Comprehensive National Land Development Plan(1992~2001), 4th Comprehensive National Territorial Plan2000~2020), 1st Comprehensive National Road Networks Plans(2016~2020). 1st Comprehensive 3rd Comprehensive 4th Comprehensive 1st Comprehensive National Land National Land National Territorial Plan National Road Networks Development Plan Development Plan Plans 02 S&E Challenges in Future National Arterial Road Plan “Direction of Change in National Arterial Roads” and the ● Flexibility in responding strategies is not sufficient, to “What the National Arterial Road Will Look like in 20 Years.” keep up with changing environments including change ● Putting the results of the two surveys together, out of in territorial space after development of 7×9 arterial road future environment changes, 6 mega trends and 18 network specific change factors are defined, having close relation ● Especially, despite the plan for metropolitan city area with demand and function of national arterial road and beltway plan to respond to expansion of metropolitan among them, 2 key initiatives are selected. area and metropolitan economic zone around big cities, ① Will the demand for road transportation continue congestion around the cities still remain growing? ● It is required to develop a plan to respond to overall ② How will the function of national arterial road change? changes in social and economic environments, including ● The results of the 2 surveys with experts in the sector showed rapid population decline and the advent of the 4th that demand for road transportation is expected to grow industrial revolution. 5.1%, affected by changes in future environment and in ● It is needed to build future-oriented transportation plan, terms of arterial road function, mobility will remain a key with various future scenario-based road transportation function. Table.1 demand estimates, designed to respond to the rapidly evolving road transportation environments. Fig.3 4. Future Outlook of National Arterial Road ● For future outlook of national arterial road, it defines 3. Future Environment Change and Impact on the ‘direction of road policy development, feasible to Road Transportation respond to changes in road transportation, out of future environmental changes.' ● For macro forecast on changes in future society, including ● For the mega trends and specific change factors, defined mega trend, future change in national territory and above, fluctuation in demand and the level of functional transportation is forecasted utilizing STEEP analysis and changes are surveyed with experts in the sector and the external change factors are defined. survey results are verified and the policy direction for ● Also, surveys are conducted with 100 road experts on the future national arterial roads prospects is studied to ensure Figure 2. Source Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transportation, 2016. 2017 figures are updated by the author, based on the information on P23 of the 1st Comprehensive National Road Networks Plans(2016~2020). Figure 3. 60.0 Source 55.0 No. of cara per 100 individuals(Cars/100persons) Created by the Author 50.0 Average mileage per car (km/car) 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 Year 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 03 efficient response to changes in territorial space. 5. Policy Suggestion to Build Future Prospects ● Future national arterial road prospects are specified, for National Arterial Road considering road transportation demand by scenario of change in territorial space and changing functionality of roads. ● (Strengthened Role of the Nation) Sharing the roles - Scenario 1(Strengthened Role of the Nation): With and functions of super high speed transportation and introduction of super high speed transportation, introduction of superhighway need to be reviewed to comprehensive measures to utilize road space need to be enhance connectivity among meta cities developed, along with a plan to divert the load of long- ● (Arterial Service Maintenance and Management) It is distance transportation with development of superhighway required to focus on connected service to the last one mile - Scenario 2(Arterial Service Maintenance and and management system for old arterial roads needs to be Management): To maintain and manage arterial road strengthened. functions, it is required to make efforts to connect major ● (Select and Focus Management Approach by Function of big cities and additional maintenance efforts to provide Roads) To provide equal mobility service for cities across minimum required mobility and access service even for the nation, strategic management system needs to be the old road facilities with low usability established for roads in need of national management and - Scenario 3(Select and Focus) : Strategic management roads capable of serving as arterial roads measures need to be established with select and focus ● (Diversification of Road Function) ‘Digital infrastructure’ approach to provide equal service across the nation with needs to be established to respond to technology change no discrimination in transportation. including IoT and autonomous driving and well-aligned - Scenario 4(Functional Diversification) : To be ready for a plans need to be established to comprehensively utilize the hyper-connected society, digital infra. need to be built as road space including underground-road-ground areas. the center of the nation and comprehensive use of the ground, underground and even upper parts is required. Fig.4 Kim Ho-jeong [email protected] Kim Sang-rok [email protected] Table 1. Source Change in Demand for Functional Created by the Author Mega Trend Specific Change Factors Road Transportation Change Direction Change Rate 1. Demographic • Low