National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program MES / MMS Subcommittee Joint Meeting, 21 July 2013 Seattle, WA US Post-Tsunami Science Survey Protocol Status and Progress Laura Kong, NOAA International Tsunami Information Center Mike Shulters, USGS Rick Wilson, California Geological Survey Kevin Richards, Hawaii State Civil Defense Gen Tamura, Tamra Biasco (FEMA Region IX, X) Paula Dunbar, NOAA National Geophysical Data Center Edward Young, NOAA NWS Pacific Region Chris Chiesa, Pacific Disaster Center Post-Tsunami Field Surveys - History • Since 2005, 91 measured tsunamis. • 11 caused deaths, most 26 Dec 2004 Indian Ocean (230,000 lives). • Pacific: 2007 (Solomons 54, Chile 3), 2009 (Samoa 149, Am Samoa 34, Tonga 9), 2010 (Chile 124), 2011 (Japan, 17150, US/Indonesia 1 each), 2013 (Solomons 10) • After each tsunami, data collected to quantify impacts, response/ recovery, improve numerical models, engineering (International Tsunami Survey Teams, ITST) • ITIC helps to coordinate ITSTs for UNESCO/IOC (UN) • Last ITST – El Salvador, Sept 2012 (GIT, USC/eCoast, NOAA) International Post-Tsunami Surveys (evolving since IO 2004) 1. Invited by country to help coordinate (IOC, ITIC) 2. Teams provide plan to ITIC 3. ITIC works with Country coordinator 4. IOC / ITIC, Host Country provides ITST Letter 5. ITIC provides ITST Badges for team members 6. Check-in with Country 7. Sharing on secure server (or other means) 8. Check-out with Country 9. Encourage final data archive to NGDC ⇒ IOC Post-Tsunami Field Survey Guide (draft 2012) Guidance, update techniques and methods Coordinated Post-Disaster Efforts • Disasters attract large number of local, national, international scientists to investigate scientific, economic, social impacts. Better data => better models => better mitigation • At same time, Emergency Agencies must focus on saving lives, public safety, critical support lifelines and infrastructure, resource mobilization • Needs data mgmt system integrated into emergency operations. More effective response • For best Recovery decision-making, need all data available ⇒ Science / Technical clearinghouse efficient framework for coordination, information sharing / data integration US PROTOCOL COMPONENTS 1. Contact Designated event coordinator for situational awareness, planning, local support, etc 2. Obtain Official survey badge - access 3. Coordinate with others - govt, NGO, research 4. Include Local Experts/officials on your team 5. Check-in onsite - who, where, needs, hot spots/issues 6. Heed all safety regulations, liability 7. Be prepared to answer questions by locals – help, why 8. Prepare and share plan / observations (survey/data collection) - regular field reports 9. Check-out – summary out-briefing to officials 10. Provide final data - timely sharing for response and recovery (3-12 months), and for archiving (NGDC) PROTOCOL PROGRESS - PLANS 0. post-Sept 2009 - Poorly-coord surveys, Incompl data share 1. US POST-TSUNAMI PROTOCOL - Working Group formed, American Samoa, PRiMO mtg, Mar 2011 2. SCIENTIST FEEDBACK – positive, Fall AGU, Dec 2011 3. AMER SAMOA GOVERNOR – listened, welcomed, Jan 2012 4. NTHMP COORDINATION COMM - endorsed Feb 2012 5. COASTAL / RISK MGMT FEEDBACK – positive, PRiMO Mtg, Mar 6. FEDERAL WG ON DISASTER IMPACT ASSESSMENT PLANS – incl tsunami annex, OFCM, WG/DIAP, Mar 2012 continuing 7. NSF RAPID RESPONSE WORKSHOP - All-hazards scientist recommendations to NSF, Jun 2012 8. NSF NEES PROGRAM MGRS, NIST – funds research, Jun 2012 9. FEMA HQ RESPONSE - NRF, pre-cleared missions, Jun 2012 cont 10. NTHMP MES / RISK WS – MES, NTHMP Strategic Plan, Jan 2013 11. PROTOCOL PLAN - draft August 2013; submit Nat Hazards 12. STATE PLANS – 2013 continuing NTHMP Strategic Plan 2013-2017 Performance Measures State Plans and Progress • California - Rick • Hawaii Observer Program (since 1990s) 156° 04' 156° 02' 156° 00' 155° 58' 155° 56' 155° 54' 155° 52' 155° 50' 155° 48' 155° 46' 155° 44' 155° 42' 155° 40' 155° 38' 155° 36' 155° 34' 155° 32' 155° 30' 155° 28' 155° 26' 155° 24' 155° 22' 155° 20' 155° 18' 155° 16' 155° 14' 155° 12' 155° 10' 155° 08' 155° 06' 155° 04' 155° 02' 155° 00' 154° 58' 154° 56' 154° 54' 154° 52' 154° 50' 154° 48' Runups in the Hawaiian Islands for • Trained, pre-cleared Hawaii Large, Pacific-Wide, 20th and Early 21st Century Tsunamis Runups given are estimated maximum heights in feet of water levels on land relative to sea level, Runups in feet 0-2000 feet 2000-4000 feet produced by inland flooding of the tsunami’s waves. Runups should not be confused with 19461952195719601964 2011 4000-6000 feet N inundation limits (i.e., horizontal measures of the inland penetrations of a tsunami’s waves). In _,_,_,_,_,_ 6000-8000 feet low-lying areas, inundation can extend inland for several hundred yards. Source locations for these 8000-10,000 feet tsunamis are the Aleutian Islands (1946 and 1957), the Kamchatka Peninsula (1952), Chile (1960), 10,000-12,000 feet Alaska (1964), and Japan (2011). Runup data are not available for all of these tsunamis for all of 0 10mi over 12,000 feet the islands. Further discussion of runups, data sources, and the sectional runup maps from which these island-wide maps were derived may be found in 0 10km Streams 2002. • Specific data collection pts 10,_,_,_,_,_ 55,_, 32, 11,_,_ _,_,_,_, 6,_ 27,_,_,_,_,_ 26,_,_,_,_,_ 18,_, 11, 9, 6,_ 18,_,_,_,_,_ Limukoko Pt 158 16' 158 14' 158 12' 158 10' 158 08' 158 06' 158 04' 158 02' 158 00' 157 58' 157 56' 157 54' 157 52' 157 50' 157 48' 157 46' 157 44' 157 42' 157 40' 20 20,_, 8, 7,_,_ Upolu Pt 40,_, 10,_, 6,_ 20 16' Pt 16' 20,_,_,_, 6,_ 24, 4, 23, 4,_,_ Kepuhi 20 15,_,_,_,_,_ Honomakau 20 Kahuku 0–1000 feet 14' Honoipu Hawi 34,_, 15, 10,_,_ 14' _,_,_,_,_, 10 Pt Landing Niulii 1000–2000 feet Haena Kawela Bay 21 21 2000–3000 feet 20 Kauilii Pt 20 19, 10,_, 9, 6,_ Oahu 42' 12' 12' 42' Kawela Kii 3000–4000 feet Mahukona Keawaeli Bay Mokupuka Island 23,_, 17,_,_,_ Waialee Pond 21, 9, 14, 6,_,_ Kaoma Pt 4000–5000 feet Runups in feet 20 20 10' 40,_, 23, 8, 4,_ 10' 23, 13, 23, 8, 6, 14 14,_, 7, 4, 6,9 Waimanu Kahuku 27, 6,_,_,_,_ N Urban areas Bay 19461952195719601964 2011 20 20 Highways Makahoa Point 08' Pololu Valley 36,_, 26,_,_,_ 08' m a _, _, _, _, _, 14 e Keawanui Bay Kamakamaka Pt r Streams t _,_,_,_,_,_ Kukuihaele S Honpoue Stream Malae Pt 28,_, 10, 6,_,_ Paumalu Stream o Kapulena i 13,_,_,_,_, 10 Canals 21 20 Waipio 20 21 06' 06' O 0 10mi Mahiki Pt Sunset Beach 40' 40' 14, 7, 22, 11, 16, 15 Honokaa Laie 0 10km Waiakailio Bay Bay 20 20 14,_,_,_,_, 12 04' 12, 2, 5, 9, 3,_ Kaiopae Pt Honokoa Gul. 04' Laie Laie Pt 13, 9,_,_,_, 8 Waimea Kawaihae Kukaiau Runups in the Hawaiian Islands for 20 Kawaihae Bay Popoloau Pt 20 02' _,_,_,_,_,10 15,_,_,_,_,_ 02' 34, 8, 22,_,_,_ 17,_, 16,_,_, 13 Waimea Bay 14,_,_,_,_,_ Large, Pacific-Wide, 20th and Early 21st Century Tsunamis 10,_,_,_,_,_ Waiulaula Pt Ookala 20 20 m 30,_, 10, 7, 2, 6 19, 20, 21,_,_, 9 21 00' a 00' e 21 r Laupahoehoe Pt t S 38' a 38' 9,_,_,_,_, 10 l 13, 15, 24,_, 8, 17 _,_,_,_, 2,7 a Puako Bay a Runups given are estimated maximum heights in feet of water levels on land relative to K Papaaloa 10, 13, 13, 8, 8, 8 19 Kuku Pt 19 Laupahoehoe Str. 38,_,_,_,_,_ Kaipapau 58' _,_,_,_,_,7 Maulua Bay 58' sea level, produced by inland flooding of the tsunami’s waves. Runups should not be Weloka Kaiaakea Pt 31, 8,_,_, 8,_ m 10, 6, 13, 8, 4,_ Kaawalii Stream a e tr Haiku Pt 11, 17,_, 12, 10,_ S confused with inundation limits (i.e., horizontal measures of the inland penetrations of a a lu m 19 _,_,_,_,_,8 u Waiehu Pt 19 a a 56' M 56' tre Hauula Honohina 23,_,_,_,_,_ 25,_,_,_,_,_ S _, 11,_,_,_,_ tsunami’s waves). In low-lying areas, inundation can extend inland for several hundred Anaehoomalu Bay Kawailoa u 14,_,_,_, 10,_ Puaena a am p tre _, 7, 20,_,_,_ Pt o S a Kalaipaloa Pt al Nanue Stream 19 Weliweli Pt um 19 p yards. Source locations for these tsunamis are the Aleutian Islands (1946 and 1957), the ka Hakalau i i 37,_, 10, 9,_,_ 54' Wa 54' a 21 m Kolekole Waialua Bay _,_,_,_,_,10 K a 21 e Str ma Lehuawehi Pt Anahulu River Kamchatka Peninsula (1952), Chile (1960), Alaska (1964), and Japan (2011). Runup data 36' au Beach 14,_,_,_, 6, 13 m 36' _,_,_,_,_,10 U Kaiaka Pt 19 Honomu Kohola Pt 19 Kaiaka are not available for all of these tsunamis for all of the islands.