DATA TRENDS CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2020 >>> Contents SKY BET SUPREME NOVICES' HURDLE (Grade 1) .......................................................................................................................................................4 RACING POST ARKLE CHALLENGE TROPHY NOVICES' CHASE (Grade 1) ........................................................................7 ULTIMA HANDICAP CHASE (Grade 3) ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 UNIBET CHAMPION HURDLE CHALLENGE TROPHY (Grade 1) ......................................................................................................13 CLOSE BROTHERS MARES' HURDLE (David Nicholson) (Grade 1) ............................................................................................ 16 NORTHERN TRUST COMPANY NOVICES' HANDICAP CHASE (Listed) ................................................................................19 NATIONAL HUNT CHALLENGE CUP AMATEUR RIDERS' NOVICES' CHASE (Grade 2) ..............................22 BALLYMORE NOVICES' HURDLE (Baring Bingham) (Grade 1) ..........................................................................................................26 RSA INSURANCE NOVICES' CHASE (Grade 1) ...............................................................................................................................................................29 CORAL CUP HANDICAP HURDLE (Grade 3) ...................................................................................................................................................................32 BETWAY QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE (Grade 1) .......................................................................................................................35 GLENFARCLAS CHASE (CROSS COUNTRY) ......................................................................................................................................................................38 BOODLES JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE (Fred Winter) (Grade 3) .........................................................................................41 WEATHERBYS CHAMPION BUMPER (STANDARD OPEN NATIONAL HUNT FLAT) (Grade 1) ........44 MARSH NOVICES' CHASE (Golden Miller) (Grade 1) .........................................................................................................................................48 PERTEMPS NETWORK FINAL HANDICAP HURDLE (Grade 3) ........................................................................................................... 51 RYANAIR CHASE (Festival Trophy) (Grade 1) ..................................................................................................................................................................54 PADDY POWER STAYERS' HURDLE (Grade 1) ................................................................................................................................................................57 BROWN ADVISORY & MERRIEBELLE STABLE PLATE HANDICAP CHASE (Grade 3) .......................................60 DAWN RUN MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE (Grade 2) .............................................................................................................................................63 FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR CHALLENGE CUP AMATEUR RIDERS' HANDICAP CHASE ........................66 JCB TRIUMPH HURDLE (Grade 1) .....................................................................................................................................................................................................71 RANDOX HEALTH COUNTY HANDICAP HURDLE (Grade 3) .............................................................................................................. 74 ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES' HURDLE (Spa) (Grade 1) ................................................................................................................................77 MAGNERS CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP CHASE (Grade 1) ............................................................................................................................80 ST. JAMES'S PLACE FOXHUNTER CHALLENGE CUP OPEN HUNTERS' CHASE ......................................................83 JOHNNY HENDERSON GRAND ANNUAL CHALLENGE CUP HANDICAP CHASE (Grade 3) ..........86 MARTIN PIPE CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS' HANDICAP HURDLE ..........................................................................................................90 Glossary of terms ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................94 Index to horses .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................95 <<< - 2 - >>> DATA TRENDS CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2020 TUESDAY 10th MARCH <<< >>> CHELTENHAMCHELTENHAM 2020 DATA TRENDS FORM HORSE RACING Tuesday 10th March: Race 1 SKY BET SUPREME NOVICES' HURDLE (Grade 1) 2m 87yds £125,000 Highest Pre-Race Rating Year Horse Pre-Race Rating 2013 MY TENT OR YOURS (IRE) 168 Highest Performance Rating Year Horse Rating Adjustment 2015 DOUVAN (FR) 162 4 2016 ALTIOR (IRE) 166 0 Shortest Prices Year Horse ISP BSP 2010 DUNGUIB (IRE) 4/5 1.81 Winning Ratings Year Horse Rating ISP BSP 2010 MENORAH (IRE) 145 12/1 17.38 2011 AL FEROF (FR) 160 10/1 11.15 2012 CINDERS AND ASHES 147 10/1 12.00 2013 CHAMPAGNE FEVER (IRE) 165 5/1 5.90 2014 VAUTOUR (FR) 150 7/2 5.01 2015 DOUVAN (FR) 162 2/1 3.56 2016 ALTIOR (IRE) 166 4/1 5.94 2017 LABAIK (FR) 158 25/1 42.00 2018 SUMMERVILLE BOY (IRE) 146 9/1 12.50 2019 KLASSICAL DREAM (FR) 152 6/1 8.72 Trainers (No. of winners) Jockeys (No. of winners) W. P. Mullins, Ireland 4 R. Walsh 5 Donald McCain 1 J. W. Kennedy 1 Gordon Elliott, Ireland 1 Jason Maguire 1 Nicky Henderson 1 Nico de Boinville 1 Paul Nicholls 1 Noel Fehily 1 Philip Hobbs 1 Richard Johnson 1 Tom George 1 <<< - 4 - >>> ...Tuesday 10th March: Race 1 Longest Winning Distance Year Horse Winning Distance 2016 ALTIOR (IRE) 7 Age Trends Age Runners % Rivals Beaten Run To Form % Winners Expected Winners at ISP Average Rating Diff 4 3 47.3 0 0 0.23 -23.333 5 76 54.4 32.9 5 5.963 -9.579 6 61 48.6 36.1 5 4.771 -9.262 7 12 37.2 25 0 0.86 -12.583 8 4 22.5 0 0 0.129 -22.5 9 1 71 100 0 0.012 17 Won Last Time Out Won LTO Runners % Rivals Beaten Run To Form % Winners Expected Winners at ISP Average Rating Diff No 85 39.8 23.5 2 3.9 -13.91 Yes 72 62 43.1 8 8.06 -5.62 Seasonal Runs Runs In Season Runners % Rivals Beaten Run To Form % Winners Expected Winners at ISP Average Rating Diff 1 3 56.3 66.7 0 0.31 -3 2 17 55.3 35.3 1 1.87 -9.12 3 30 49.1 33.3 1 2.38 -10 4 47 52.6 34 4 3.61 -8.15 5 26 58.6 34.6 3 2.36 -10.54 6 10 44.8 20 0 0.68 -14.6 7 8 48.9 37.5 1 0.34 -7.25 8 7 33 42.9 0 0.29 -13.14 9 1 24 0 0 0.01 -13 10+ 8 22.1 0 0 0.11 -19.62 Days Since Last Run Days Since Last Run Runners % Rivals Beaten Run To Form % Winners Expected Winners at ISP Average Rating Diff <= 25 37 44.1 29.7 2 1.95 -13.68 26 - 50 70 53.6 32.9 4 5.73 -8.77 51-74 32 56.4 37.5 3 2.93 -8.84 75-100 11 40.8 27.3 1 1.07 -9.91 101-150 7 30.7 28.6 0 0.29 -10.71 <<< - 5 - continued...>>> ...Tuesday 10th March: Race 1 First Time Headgear First Time Headgear Runners % Rivals Beaten Run To Form % Winners Expected Winners at ISP Average Rating Diff No 149 50.1 33.6 10 11.54 -10.07 Yes 8 47.5 12.5 0 0.42 -10.75 Fell Last Time Out Fell or UR LTO Runners % Rivals Beaten Run To Form % Winners Expected Winners at ISP Average Rating Diff No 152 49.9 32.9 10 11.71 -10.08 Yes 5 53.8 20 0 0.26 -11 Record of Favourites Year Horse Position ISP BSP 2010 DUNGUIB (IRE) 3 of 18 4/5 1.81 2011 CUE CARD 4 of 15 7/4 3.15 2012 GALILEO'S CHOICE (IRE) 7 of 19 6/1 7.91 2013 MY TENT OR YOURS (IRE) 2 of 12 15/8 2.80 2014 IRVING 9 of 18 7/2 6.83 2014 VAUTOUR (FR) 1 of 18 7/2 5.01 2015 DOUVAN (FR) 1 of 12 2/1 3.56 2016 MIN (FR) 2 of 14 15/8 3.05 2017 MELON 2 of 14 3/1 5.01 2017 BALLYANDY 4 of 14 3/1 4.76 2018 GETABIRD (IRE) 11 of 19 7/4 3.15 2019 AL DANCER (FR) 10 of 16 9/2 6.40 2019 FAKIR D'OUDAIRIES (FR) 4 of 16 9/2 6.00 <<< - 6 - continued...>>> CHELTENHAMCHELTENHAM 2020 DATA TRENDS FORM HORSE RACING Tuesday 10th12th March: Race 12 RACING POST ARKLE CHALLENGE 1m 7f 199yds £175,000 TROPHY NOVICES' CHASE (Grade 1) Highest Pre-Race Rating Year Horse Pre-Race Rating 2015 UN DE SCEAUX (FR) 168 2016 DOUVAN (FR) 168 2017 ALTIOR (IRE) 168 Highest Performance Rating Year Horse Rating Adjustment 2012 SPRINTER SACRE (FR) 184 5 Shortest Prices Year Horse ISP BSP 2016 DOUVAN (FR) 1/4 1.3 2017 ALTIOR (IRE) 1/4 1.26 Winning Ratings Year Horse Rating ISP BSP 2010 SIZING EUROPE (IRE) 154 6/1 7.88 2011 CAPTAIN CHRIS (IRE) 159 6/1 7.27 2012 SPRINTER SACRE (FR) 184 8/11 1.82 2013 SIMONSIG 160 8/15 1.56 2014 WESTERN WARHORSE (IRE) 157 33/1 48.04 2015 UN DE SCEAUX (FR) 167 4/6 1.76 2016 DOUVAN (FR) 163 1/4 1.30 2017 ALTIOR (IRE) 161 1/4 1.26 2018 FOOTPAD (FR) 164 5/6 1.94 2019 DUC DES GENIEVRES (FR) 159 5/1 7.00 Trainers (No. of winners) Jockeys (No. of winners) W. P. Mullins, Ireland 4 R. Walsh 3 Nicky Henderson 3 Barry Geraghty 2 David Pipe 1 A. E. Lynch 1 Henry de Bromhead, Ireland 1 Nico de Boinville 1 Philip Hobbs 1 P. Townend 1 Richard Johnson 1 Tom Scudamore 1 <<< - 7 - >>> ...Tuesday 10th March: