f ISRAEL AND THE FUTURE OF THE MIDDLE EAST Program Table of Contents 01 THEMATIC OVERVIEW 02 PROGRAM & SCHEDULE OVERVIEW 0 3 03 FEATURED PLENARY SESSION THE 2014 HERZLIYA SIMULATION GAME : THE DAY AFTER A DEAL WITH IRAN – REGIONAL & GLOBAL IMPLICATIONS 04 HERZLIYA STRATEGIC BRIEFINGS : BRIEFING #1: MAJ . GEN . (RES .) AMOS GILEAD BRIEFING #2: AMB . DR. MICHAEL OREN 0 4 04 HERZLIYA PLENARY SESSIONS 14 HERZLIYA ROUNDTABLE SESSIONS 18 EXPERT IDF FIELD TRIP *The program is as of June 6 and subject to change; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. THEMATIC OVERVIEW INNOVATION THE FUTURE OF THE NATIONAL SECURITY & ECONOMY & SOCIETY MIDDLE EAST FOREIGN POLICY START -UP NATION 2.0: THE 2014 HERZLIYA FACING TURBULENT THE COST OF LIVING IN BOLSTERING ISRAEL ’S SIMULATION GAME : THE DAY GLOBAL AND REGIONAL ISRAEL : TOO HIGH A PRICE INNOVATION EDGE AFTER A DEAL WITH IRAN – ARENAS: REFORMULATING TO PAY ? REGIONAL & GLOBAL ISRAEL ’S NATIONAL IMPLICATIONS SECURITY DOCTRINE ISRAELI INNOVATION IN CYBER IRAN ’S DOMESTIC POWER ISRAELI LEADERS DEBATE THE STRONG SHEKEL AND TECHNOLOGY STRUGGLE AND THE REGIONAL PEACE ISRAEL ’S FOREIGN BALANCE OF POWER : EXCHANGE POLICY : IS WEAKER THE BETTER ? IMPLICATIONS FOR THE P5+1 NEGOTIATIONS INNOVATION AND SPACE THE FUTURE OF THE MIDDLE STRATEGY IN FACE OF COOLING THE REAL ESTATE SECURITY IN THE CYBER AGE EAST AND EMERGING GLOBAL REGIONAL AND GLOBAL MARKET : CAN LOCAL CHALLENGES TRANSFORMATIONS : AUTHORITIES FACILITATE SENIOR STRATEGISTS AFFORDABLE HOUSING ? ASSESS NEW CHALLENGES A VISION FOR THE 21 ST GLOBAL POWERS AND HEADING TOWARDS A NEW THE HERZLIYA INDICES : CENTURY DIGITAL MIDDLE MIDDLE EAST PEACE & COLD WAR BETWEEN ISRAEL ’S ECONOMIC & EAST SECURITY : HOW CAN THEY RUSSIA AND THE WEST ? SOCIETAL RESILIENCE MAKE A DIFFERENCE ? SKIPPING THE EXIT ? RADICAL ISLAM & TERROR : ISRAEL 'S FOREIGN POLICY WHAT IS JUST RIGHT ? THE GROOMING START -UPS INTO THE IMPACT OF THE MIDDLE AMID THE RUSSIA -WEST NATIONAL BUDGET AND INDUSTRIAL CORPORATIONS EAST TURMOIL RIVALRY THE SIZE OF THE GOVERNMENT ST THE TECHNOLOGICAL TIME TO LEARN LESSONS ? AMERICA 'S BOND WITH PHILANTHROPY IN THE 21 REVOLUTION IN HIGHER THE BREAKDOWN OF THE ISRAEL : FRAGILE , HANDLE CENTURY AND ITS EDUCATION ISRAELI -PALESTINIAN WITH CARE IMPLICATIONS FOR ISRAEL : EMERGING TRENDS AND NEGOTIATIONS NEW DIRECTIONS THE ARAB PEACE INITIATIVE BDS – A STRATEGIC AND THE ISRAELI -PALESTINIAN THREAT OR AN IRRITATING PEACE PROCESS NUISANCE ? SHORT -TERM MIDDLE EAST THE STRATEGIC DIMENSION THE PRICE OF “P RICE TAG ” SCENARIOS : ASSESSING KEY OF EUROPEAN -ISRAELI & RACISM DRIVERS RELATIONS NAVIGATING THROUGH STORMS : THE FUTURE OF EU-ISRAEL RELATIONS THE LEGACY OF BARON BENJAMIN EDMOND JAMES DE ROTHSCHILD : SOCIAL ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND THE SPIRIT OF PIONEERING IN THE 21 ST CENTURY *The program is as of June 6 and subject to change; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. 1 PROGRAM & SCHEDULE OVERVIEW Sunday, June 8 Monday, June 9 Tuesday, June 10 09:00 Herzliya Assembly 09:00 Herzliya Assembly Address of IDF Chief of Staff Address by Minister of Defense 09:45 Herzliya Assembly 09:30 Herzliya Assembly 10:30 Chais Auditorium The Iranian Challenge – Minister of Intelligence The Herzliya Simulation Philanthropy in the 21st Century 10:30 Herzliya Assembly 10:30 Chais Auditorium Game: The Day After a Deal The Future of the Middle East and Reformulating Israel’s National with Iran – Regional & Global Global Challenges Security Doctrine Implications 12:45 12:45 12:45 12:45 Herzliya Assembly Chais Auditorium Aquarium C110 12:30 Israeli Innovation in Governor of the Middle East Europe-Israel I 12:00 Herzliya Assembly Herzliya Strategic Briefings Cyber Technology Bank of Israel’s Drivers : Macro Address by Former Prime Minister Ehud Barak 13:30 Herzliya Assembly Address ------------- Inaugural Ceremony: Social Entrepreneurship and the Spirit The Strong Shekel of Pioneering in the 21st Century 15:00 Herzliya Assembly 15:00 C110 14:15 14:15 14:00 14:30 13:15 13:15 13:15 13:15 Start-Up Nation 2.0: Israel and the New Cold Herzliya Assembly Chais Auditorium Ivcher C110 Herzliya Chais Auditorium Ivcher Aquarium Bolstering Israel’s Innovation War? Innovation & Space Cost of Living API and the Europe-Israel II Assembly BDS – Strategic Middle East America's Bond Edge Security in the Israeli- New Cold War Threat or Irritating Drivers: Micro with Israel: 16:30 Herzliya Assembly Cyber Age Palestinian between Russia Nuisance? Fragile, Handle Strategy In Face of Regional and Global Transformations: Peace Process and the West? with Care Senior Strategists Assess New Challenges 17:45 Herzliya Assembly 16:00 15:30 15:15 14:30 Herzliya Assembly The State of the Nation Herzliya Assembly Chais Auditorium Aquarium Global Powers and the Middle East Speaker of the Knesset Middle East Affordable Nuclear Energy & Israeli R&D ** Herzliya Indices / IPS Middle East Surveys Intelligence Housing Assessment 19:00 Herzliya Assembly 16:45 17:00 17:00 17:00 16:00 Herzliya Assembly Israeli Leaders Debate Peace: Addresses by Israeli Political Herzliya Assembly Chais Auditorium C110 Aquarium The Breakdown of the Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations Parties Leaders Iran – Domestic and Start-Ups into Size of Price Tag ** Regional Arenas Industrial Government ** Corporations 20:30 Herzliya Assembly 18:30 Herzliya Assembly 18:15 Chais Auditorium 17:30 Herzliya Assembly Keynote Address: President of the EU Commission Radical Islam & Terror The Technological Revolution in The Herzliya Address: The President of the State of Israel* Higher Education 20:00 Herzliya Assembly 19:00 21:00 Address of the Honorable Samuel R. Berger Closing Reception: Markiing the 50 th Anniversary of Rothschild Caesarea Opening Reception Foundation 20:30 Evening Reception PLENARY SESSIONS OPEN TO ALL PARTICIPANTS 2 ROUNDTABLE SESSIONS OPEN TO ALL PARTICIPANTS *The program is preliminary (as of May 29) and subject to change; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. HERZLIYA ROUNDTABLE SESSIONS OPEN ONLY TO EXECUTIVE OR GOLD EXECUTIVE PARTICIPANTS OR INVITATION גBY PERSONAL AND SEPARATE SOCIAL EVENTS OPEN ONLY TO EXECUTIVE OR GOLD EXECUTIVE PARTICIPANTS OR BY PERSONAL AND SEPARATE INVITATION ** ROUNDTABLE SESSIONS WITH DOUBLE ASTERICKS WILL BE HELD IN HEBREW WITH NO TRANSLATION FEATURED PLENARY SESSION THE 2014 HERZLIYA SIMULATION GAME : THE DAY AFTER A DEAL WITH IRAN – REGIONAL & GLOBAL IMPLICATIONS UNITED STATES The Honorable James B. Steinberg , Former U.S. Deputy Secretary of State; Dean of the Maxwell School and University Professor of Social Science, International Affairs and Law, Syracuse University Dr. Gary Samore , Former White House Coordinator for Arms Control and Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD); Executive Director for Research, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard RUSSIA Prof. Sergey A. Karaganov , Honorary Chairman, Presidium of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy of Russia; Dean, School of World Economics and World Politics, National Research University–Higher School of Economics, Moscow Dr. Jennifer Shkabatur , Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy & Strategy, IDC Herzliya; Social Development Specialist, World Bank; Fellow, Harvard University EUROPEAN UNION /NATO Mr. Rafael L. Bardají , Former Spanish National Security Advisor to Prime Minister Aznar; Director, Friends of Israel Initiative CHINA Prof. WANG Suolao , Director, Center for Middle East Studies, School of International Studies, Peking University ISRAEL Amb. Zalman Shoval , Former Ambassador of Israel to the US Dr. Ariel (Eli) Levite , Nonresident Senior Associate, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Former Principal Deputy Director General for Policy of the Israel Atomic Energy Commission Dr. Ronen Bergman , Yedioth Ahronoth IRAN Prof. Alireza Nader , Senior International Policy Analyst, RAND Corporation Mr. Meir Javedanfar , Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy & Strategy, IDC Herzliya SAUDI ARABIA AND GCC Dr. Jon B. Alterman , Zbigniew Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy and Director of the Middle East Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) CONTROL GROUP Chair: Dr. Shaul Shay , Director of Studies, Institute for Policy and Strategy (IPS), IDC Herzliya Dr. Anthony H. Cordesman , Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Mr. Yossie Hollander , Chairman, Israeli Institute for Economic Planning Dr. Oded Brosh , Senior Research Fellow, Institute for Policy and Strategy (IPS), IDC Herzliya Moderator: Mr. Tommy Steiner , Senior Research Fellow, Institute for Policy and Strategy (IPS), IDC Herzliya *The program is as of June 4 and subject to change; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. 3 HERZLIYA STRATEGIC BRIEFINGS Held in small-number groups, these off-the-record sessions will offer a broad strategic overview of Israel and the Middle East for select participants. Sunday, June 8, 2014 12:30 Roundtable @ C110 12:30 Roundtable @ C228 STRATEGIC BRIEFING #1 STRATEGIC BRIEFING #2 Maj. Gen. (res.) Amos Gilead Ambassador Dr. Michael Oren Head of the Politico-Military Bureau, Ministry of Former Ambassador of Israel to the United States; CNN Defense Contributor; Abba Eben Chair in International Diplomacy, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy & Strategy, IDC Herzliya HERZLIYA PLENARY SESSIONS Sunday, June 8, 2014 13:00 Herzliya Assembly WELCOME AND REGISTRATION 13:30 Herzliya Assembly INAUGURAL CEREMONY THE LEGACY OF BARON BENJAMIN EDMOND JAMES