Albion Park Rail bypass Environmental impact statement Technical Paper 9 – Socio-economic October 2015 THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................ 1 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 6 1.1 Context of the Project ......................................................................................................................................... 6 1.1.1 Background ................................................................................................................................................................ 6 1.1.2 Current Issues................................................................................................................ ............................................ 6 1.1.3 Future without the project .................................................................................................................................... 7 1.2 Project Overview.............................................................................................................. ...................................... 7 1.2.1 Description ................................................................................................................................................................. 7 1.2.2 Key features ............................................................................................................................................................... 9 1.3 Purpose of this Report ..................................................................................................................................... 10 1.4 Study Area ............................................................................................................................................................. 11 1.5 Methodology ....................................................................................................................................................... 12 1.5.1 Scoping ...................................................................................................................................................................... 13 1.5.2 Baseline Analysis .................................................................................................................................................... 13 1.5.3 Assessment............................................................................................................................................................... 14 1.5.4 Community consultation........................................................................................................ ............................. 15 1.5.5 Mitigation Measures........................................................................................................... .................................. 16 1.6 Limitations ............................................................................................................................................................. 16 2. Socio-Economic Environment ................................................................................................ 17 2.1 Socio-economic Policy Framework............................................................................................... .............. 17 2.1.1 State ............................................................................................................................................................................ 17 2.1.2 Regional .................................................................................................................................................................... 18 2.1.3 Wollongong LGA .................................................................................................................................................... 19 2.1.4 Shellharbour LGA ................................................................................................................................................... 20 2.2 Existing Settlement Pattern ............................................................................................................................ 23 2.2.1 Regional Context .................................................................................................................................................... 23 2.2.2 Local Government Areas........................................................................................................ ............................. 24 2.2.3 Study Area ................................................................................................................................................................ 25 2.2.4 Transport and access.......................................................................................................... .................................. 27 2.3 Future Development ......................................................................................................................................... 28 2.3.1 Growth areas ........................................................................................................................................................... 28 2.3.2 Population projections ......................................................................................................................................... 31 2.4 Population and Housing Profile ................................................................................................................... 32 2.4.1 Albion Park Rail ...................................................................................................................................................... 33 2.4.2 Albion Park................................................................................................................... ............................................ 41 2.4.3 Dunmore ................................................................................................................................................................... 46 2.4.4 Shellharbour Oak Flats........................................................................................................ ................................. 50 2.4.5 Haywards Bay.......................................................................................................................................................... 56 2.4.6 Comparison of Characteristics .......................................................................................................................... 61 2.5 Community Structure and Infrastructure .................................................................................................. 63 2.5.1 Key Activity Centres .............................................................................................................................................. 63 2.5.2 Cultural facilities ..................................................................................................................................................... 65 2.5.3 Community Facilities............................................................................................................................................. 69 Socio-Economic Impact Assessment - Version 3 Hyder Cardno Joint Venture - ABN 58 300 126 782 Page i 2.5.4 Recreation facilities ............................................................................................................................................... 78 2.5.5 Key paths of travel, community movement and interaction patterns ................................................ 83 2.5.6 Community values ................................................................................................................................................. 83 2.6 Implications .......................................................................................................................................................... 86 3. Local and regional industry and commercial activities ....................................................... 89 3.1 Illawarra Region .................................................................................................................................................. 89 3.2 Local Government Areas ................................................................................................................................. 89 3.3 Study Area ............................................................................................................................................................. 93 3.3.1 Retail Business and Commercial Industry ..................................................................................................... 93 3.3.2 Tourism ................................................................................................................................................................... 106 3.3.3 Agriculture ............................................................................................................................................................. 110 3.3.4 Quarrying ............................................................................................................................................................... 114 3.3.5 Key economic trends ........................................................................................................................................