Auckland Road Safety Programme Business Case Auckland Transport August 2019 Final Programme Business Case Auckland Road Safety Programme Business Case Approval AT (PART C + PREPARED BY REVIEWED BY ENDORSED BY ENDORSED BY REVIEW) A Nanda, C Rusin P. Harrison R. Ellery C Mason, S Pasley N. Edger A. Bell (WSP Opus) (WSP Opus) B. Sherritt Business Case Project Director Authors Technical Principal Date: 19 August Date: 20 August August 2019 Date: Date: 2019 2019 Auckland Transport August 2019 2 Auckland Road Safety Programme Business Case TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................................................................................... 6 INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE .............................................................................................................................................. 12 PART A – THE STRATEGIC CASE ............................................................................................................................................. 13 1 BACKGROUND .......................................................................................................................................................................... 13 2 STRATEGIC CONTEXT .......................................................................................................................................................... 14 Population Growth ...................................................................................................................... 14 Growth in Travel Demand ........................................................................................................... 14 Transport Modes ......................................................................................................................... 15 3 STRATEGIC DRIVERS ............................................................................................................................................................ 18 Government Policy Statement on Land Transport 2018/19 - 2027/28 .................................. 18 Vision Zero .................................................................................................................................. 18 NZ Transport Agency .................................................................................................................. 19 Auckland Transport .................................................................................................................... 19 Auckland Plan 2050 .................................................................................................................... 21 4 GOVERNANCE AND STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT ............................................................................................ 22 5 OUTLINING THE NEED FOR INVESTMENT – THE PROBLEMS AND EVIDENCE ..................................... 23 Defining the problems ................................................................................................................ 23 Problem 1 - Evidence .................................................................................................................. 23 Problem 2 evidence..................................................................................................................... 25 Problem 3 evidence..................................................................................................................... 29 The Benefits of Investment......................................................................................................... 32 Investment Objectives ................................................................................................................ 32 Other Considerations .................................................................................................................. 34 Confirming the Case for Change ............................................................................................... 35 PART B – DEVELOPING THE PROGRAMME ........................................................................................................................ 36 6 PROGRAMME DEVELOPMENT.......................................................................................................................................... 37 Summary of approach................................................................................................................. 37 The 3 year programme common to all 10 year programmes ................................................. 37 Idea Generation ........................................................................................................................... 38 Group ideas into Intervention Categories ................................................................................. 40 Define the levels of interventions .............................................................................................. 40 Create Programme Themes and build programmes ................................................................ 43 Development of the long list of programmes .......................................................................... 45 Auckland Transport August 2019 3 Auckland Road Safety Programme Business Case 7 PROGRAMME EVALUATION .............................................................................................................................................. 50 Summary of Programme Evaluation Process ............................................................................. 50 Programme Long list Evaluation ................................................................................................ 51 Summary of programme outcomes ........................................................................................... 53 Long list to short list .................................................................................................................. 55 Short List refinement and evaluation ........................................................................................ 55 Recommended programme identification ................................................................................. 58 8 PREFERRED PROGRAMME.................................................................................................................................................. 59 Scope ............................................................................................................................................ 59 Programme outcomes................................................................................................................. 60 Programme risks and opportunities .......................................................................................... 60 Value for money and sensitivity analysis .................................................................................. 62 Assessment Profile ...................................................................................................................... 64 9 FINANCIAL CASE ..................................................................................................................................................................... 67 Indicative Cost ............................................................................................................................. 67 Funding arrangements ............................................................................................................... 70 Affordability ................................................................................................................................. 70 PART C – DELIVERING AND MONITORING THE PROGRAMME .............................................................................. 71 10 IMPLEMENTATION .................................................................................................................................................... 71 11 MONITORING AND EVALUATION ..................................................................................................................... 71 Interim measures of success ...................................................................................................... 71 12 THE MANAGEMENT CASE ..................................................................................................................................... 74 Programme Governace and delivery .......................................................................................... 74 Programme Delivery ................................................................................................................... 79 Stakeholder Engagement and communications plan ............................................................... 80 Programme Performance and review ......................................................................................... 81 13 COMMERCIAL CASE ................................................................................................................................................. 82 Auckland Transport August 2019 4 Auckland Road Safety Programme Business Case GLOSSARY OF TERMS Abbreviation / Term Explanation PBC Programme Business Case (this document) DBC Detailed Business Case AT Auckland Transport – Investment Owner NZTA New Zealand Transport Agency – Partner and co-funder AC Auckland Council – Investment Partner MoT Ministry of Transport – Investment Partner ACC Accident Compensation Corporation - Partner Police New Zealand