Monitoring and Evaluation Plan of the Niger Compact between the United States of America, acting through the Millennium Challenge Corporation and the Republic of Niger March 2018 Version 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Preamble ........................................................................................................................................... 4 List of Acronyms ............................................................................................................................... 5 Compact and Objective Overview ..................................................................................................... 6 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 6 Program Logic ............................................................................................................................... 7 Compact Background ................................................................................................................ 7 Compact Logic .......................................................................................................................... 7 Project Description and Logic .................................................................................................... 8 Irrigation and Market Access Project Description and Logic ................................................. 8 Climate-Resilient Communities Project Description and Logic ............................................. 18 Key Assumptions ...................................................................................................................... 25 Projected Economic Benefits ....................................................................................................... 25 Irrigation and Market Access Beneficiary Analysis .................................................................. 32 Climate Resilient Communities Beneficiary Analysis ............................................................... 32 Monitoring Component ................................................................................................................... 32 Summary of Monitoring Strategy ................................................................................................. 32 Data Disaggregation .................................................................................................................... 34 Data Sources ............................................................................................................................... 34 Data Quality Reviews (DQRs) ..................................................................................................... 34 M&E Capacity Program .............................................................................................................. 35 Standard Reporting Requirements ................................................................................................ 35 Reporting to MCC: Quarterly Disbursement Request Package (QDRP) .................................... 35 Reporting to MCA and Local Stakeholders .............................................................................. 35 MCA-N Board Coordination Meetings..................................................................................... 36 Evaluation Component .................................................................................................................... 36 Summary of Evaluation Strategy.................................................................................................. 36 Specific Evaluation Plans ............................................................................................................ 37 Irrigation and Market Access Evaluation .................................................................................. 38 Evaluation Questions ........................................................................................................... 38 Evaluation Methodology Description ................................................................................... 41 Data Sources ....................................................................................................................... 41 Roads for Market Access Evaluation ........................................................................................ 42 Evaluation Questions ........................................................................................................... 42 Evaluation Methodology Description ................................................................................... 43 Data Sources ....................................................................................................................... 43 Climate-Resilient Agriculture Evaluation ................................................................................. 43 NIGER MONITORING & EVALUATION PLAN 2 Evaluation Questions ........................................................................................................... 43 Evaluation Methodology Description ................................................................................... 44 Data Sources ....................................................................................................................... 44 Regional Sahel Pastoralism Support Evaluation ....................................................................... 44 Evaluation Questions ........................................................................................................... 44 Evaluation Methodology Description ................................................................................... 46 Data Sources ....................................................................................................................... 46 Implementation and Management of M&E ...................................................................................... 47 Responsibilities ........................................................................................................................... 47 MCA-N M&E Unit .................................................................................................................. 47 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Director ....................................................................... 49 Monitoring and Evaluation Officers .................................................................................... 49 Coordination ............................................................................................................................ 49 MCA-N Data Management System for Monitoring and Evaluation ...................................... 49 Review and Revision of the M&E Plan ................................................................................ 50 Timing and Frequency of Reviews and Modifications .......................................................... 50 Documenting Modifications ................................................................................................ 51 Approval and Peer Review of M&E Plan Modifications ...................................................... 51 M&E Budget ................................................................................................................................... 51 OTHER ........................................................................................................................................... 51 M&E Work Plan .......................................................................................................................... 51 ANNEX I: INDICATOR DOCUMENTATION TABLE ............................................................. 52 ANNEX II: TABLE OF INDICATOR BASELINES AND TARGETS....................................... 78 ANNEX III: M&E PLAN MODIFICATIONS ........................................................................... 100 ANNEX IV: EVALUATION INDICATORS ............................................................................. 102 NIGER MONITORING & EVALUATION PLAN 3 PREAMBLE This Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Plan: • is part of the action plan set out in the MILLENNIUM CHALLENGE COMPACT (Compact) signed on July 29, 2016 between the United States of America, acting through the Millennium Challenge Corporation, a United States Government corporation (MCC), and the Republic of Niger acting through its government; • will support provisions described in the Compact; and • is governed by and follows principles stipulated in the Policy for Monitoring and Evaluation of Compacts and Threshold Programs (MCC M&E Policy). This M&E Plan is considered a binding document, and failure to comply with its stipulations could result in suspension of disbursements. It may be modified or amended as necessary following the MCC M&E Policy, and if it is consistent with the requirements of the Compact and any other relevant supplemental legal documents. NIGER MONITORING & EVALUATION PLAN 4 LIST OF ACRONYMS BA Beneficiary Analysis CA Constraints Analysis CAIMA Supply Center for Agricultural Inputs and Materials (Centrale d’Approvisionnement en Intrants et Matériels Agricoles) CCR Compact Completion Report COFOCOM Communal Land Commissions (Commissions Foncières Communales) COMEN Technical Committee of Fertilizers of Niger (Comité Technique des Engrais du Niger) CRA Climate-Resilient Agriculture CRC Climate Resilient Communities CT Current Transformer DQR Data Quality Review ERR Economic Rate of Return ESP Environmental and Social Performance