MCM Consulting Group, Inc. DRAFT Sullivan County 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan Sullivan County Department of Emergency Services Sullivan County, Pennsylvania 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan DRAFT Certification of Annual Review Meetings PUBLIC DATE OF YEAR OUTREACH SIGNATURE MEETING ADDRESSED? * 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 *Confirm yes here annually and describe on record of change page. i Sullivan County, Pennsylvania 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan DRAFT Record of Changes DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE MADE, MITIGATION ACTION COMPLETED, CHANGE MADE CHANGE MADE DATE OR PUBLIC OUTREACH BY (PRINT NAME) BY (SIGNATURE) PERFORMED REMINDER: Please attach all associated meeting agendas, sign-in sheets, handouts and minutes. ii Sullivan County, Pennsylvania 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan DRAFT Table of Contents Certification of Annual Review Meetings ....................................................................... i Record of Changes ....................................................................................................... ii Figures ....................................................................................................................... vi Tables ........................................................................................................................ vii 1. Introduction .......................................................................................................... 1 1.1. Background .................................................................................................... 1 1.2. Purpose ........................................................................................................... 2 1.3. Scope .............................................................................................................. 2 1.4. Authority and Reference .................................................................................. 2 2. Community Profile ................................................................................................. 4 2.1. Geography and Environment........................................................................... 4 2.2. Community Facts ............................................................................................ 5 2.3. Population and Demographics......................................................................... 6 2.4. Land Use and Development ............................................................................. 8 2.5. Data Sources .................................................................................................. 8 3. Planning Process ................................................................................................. 13 3.1. Update Process and Participation Summary .................................................. 13 3.2. The Planning Team ....................................................................................... 14 3.3. Meetings and Documentation ........................................................................ 16 3.4. Public and Stakeholder Participation ............................................................ 17 3.5. Multi-Jurisdictional Planning ........................................................................ 18 4. Risk Assessment ................................................................................................. 20 4.1. Update Process Summary ............................................................................. 20 4.2. Hazard Identification ..................................................................................... 21 4.2.1. Presidential and Gubernatorial Disaster Declarations ............................. 21 4.2.2. Summary of Hazards .............................................................................. 23 4.2.3. Climate Change ...................................................................................... 31 4.3. Hazard Profiles .............................................................................................. 33 4.3.1. Drought .................................................................................................. 33 iii Sullivan County, Pennsylvania 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan DRAFT 4.3.2. Earthquake ............................................................................................. 43 4.3.3. Extreme Temperatures (Hot or Cold) ....................................................... 48 4.3.4. Flood, Flash Flood and Ice Jams ............................................................. 55 4.3.5. Hurricane, Tropical Storms ..................................................................... 65 4.3.6. Invasive Species ...................................................................................... 70 4.3.7. Landslides .............................................................................................. 78 4.3.8. Lightning Strike ...................................................................................... 82 4.3.9. Pandemic and Infectious Disease ............................................................ 86 4.3.10. Radon Exposure .................................................................................. 95 4.3.11. Subsidence, Sinkhole ........................................................................ 101 4.3.12. Tornados and Windstorms ................................................................. 104 4.3.13. Wildfire .............................................................................................. 114 4.3.14. Winter Storms ................................................................................... 123 4.3.15. Civil Disturbance ............................................................................... 130 4.3.16. Dam Failure ...................................................................................... 134 4.3.17. Disorientation .................................................................................... 134 4.3.18. Drowning ........................................................................................... 138 4.3.19. Emergency Services Response ........................................................... 143 4.3.20. Environmental Hazards ..................................................................... 147 4.3.21. Opioid Epidemic ................................................................................ 155 4.3.22. Structure Building Collapse ............................................................... 162 4.3.23. Terrorism ........................................................................................... 163 4.3.24. Transportation Accidents ................................................................... 169 4.3.25. Urban Fire and Explosions ................................................................ 177 4.3.26. Utility Interruptions ........................................................................... 182 4.4. Hazard Vulnerability Summary ................................................................ 191 4.4.1. Methodology ...................................................................................... 191 4.4.2. Ranking Results ................................................................................ 193 4.4.3. Potential Loss Estimates .................................................................... 197 4.4.4. Future Development and Vulnerability .............................................. 197 5. Capability Assessment ....................................................................................... 200 iv Sullivan County, Pennsylvania 2019 Hazard Mitigation Plan DRAFT 5.1. Update Process Summary ........................................................................ 200 5.2. Capability Assessment Findings ............................................................... 201 5.2.1. Planning and Regulatory Capability ................................................... 201 5.2.2. Administrative and Technical Capability ............................................ 206 5.2.3. Financial Capability ........................................................................... 210 5.2.4. Education and Outreach ....................................................................... 212 5.2.5. Plan Integration .................................................................................... 212 6. Mitigation Strategy ............................................................................................ 216 6.1. Update Process Summary ........................................................................... 216 6.2. Mitigation Goals and Objectives .................................................................. 221 6.3. Identification and Analysis of Mitigation Techniques ................................... 222 6.4. Mitigation Action Plan ................................................................................. 224 7. Plan Maintenance .............................................................................................. 237 7.1. Update Process Summary ........................................................................ 237 7.2. Monitoring, Evaluating and Updating the Plan ......................................... 237 7.3. Continued Public Involvement.................................................................. 238 8. Plan Adoption .................................................................................................... 239 8.1. Resolutions .............................................................................................. 239 9. Appendices .......................................................................................................