MALAYSIA STATISTICS CONFERENCE (MyStats 2015) PROCEEDINGS Malaysia Statistics Conference (MyStats 2015) Proceedings Enhancing Statistics in an Inter-connected and Digital World 17 November 2015, Sasana Kijang Organised by Contents Foreword ......................................................................................................................................................................................5 Conference Summary ..............................................................................................................................................................7 Keynote Address Senator Dato' Sri Abdul Wahid Omar ..............................................................................................................................12 Closing Remarks Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin...........................................................................................................................................................17 Advancement of Data Transmission through METS Tan Bee Bee................................................................................................................................................................................19 Synergising GST Rate with Direct Tax Rate in Sustaining Economic Growth in Malaysia: Is There A Laffer Curve? Sherly George and Y.B.Prof Dr Syed Omar Syed Agil .................................................................................................23 Development of ICT in Garnering Statistics Sabri Omar..................................................................................................................................................................................39 DESA: Growing the Digital Economy from a National Perspective Mohd Jalallul @ Jasni Zain Mohd Isa, Syahida Ismail and Nur Asyikin Abdul Najib.........................................53 A Fuzzy Approach to Enhance Uncertain Post Flood Damage Assessment for Quality Risk Analysis Dr. Sharifah Sakinah Syed Ahmad and Emaliana Kasmuri .......................................................................................61 Malaysian Household Consumption Expenditure: Rural vs Urban Dr. Wan Zawiah Wan Zin and Siti Fatin Nabilah.............................................................................................................69 Open Data and Challenges Faced by National Statistics Office Siti Haslinda Mohd Din, Nur Aziha Mansor and Faiza Rusrianti Tajul Arus..........................................................77 Multivariate Time Series Similarity-Based Complex Network In Stocks Market Analysis: Case of NYSE During Global Crisis 2008 Professor Dr. Maman Abdurachman Djauhari and Gan Siew Lee..........................................................................83 MyStats 2015 Proceedings 1 Perceived Happiness and Self-rated Health: The Twins? A Bivariate Ordered Probit Models Analysis Using World Value Survey Koay Ying Yin, Eng Yoke Kee and Wong Chin Yoong....................................................................................................89 Prediction of Bursa Malaysia Stock Index Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Artificial Neural Network Angie Tan Sze Yiing and Chan Kok Thim..........................................................................................................................95 The Cyclical Extraction Method and the Causality Model in Business Cycle Analyses: Do they complement or clash to one another? Abdul Latib Talib....................................................................................................................................................................103 Inflation of a Type II Error Rate in Three-Arm Non-Inferiority Trials Dr. Nor Afzalina Azmee........................................................................................................................................................115 Generalized autoregressive moving average: An application to GDP in Malaysia Dr. Thulasyammal Ramiah Pillai........................................................................................................................................121 A Survey on User's Perceptions of Electric Vehicles for Mobility in a Malaysian University Siti Azahirah Asmal, Safiah Sidek, Sabrina Ahmad, Massila Kamalrudin, Aminah Ahmad and Mohamad Tahkim Salahudin..................................................................................................................................................................125 Academic Achievement on Student Motivation: Latent Class Analysis Across Gender Group Dr. Nurulkamal Masseran, Zainudin Awang, M.A.M. Asri, Ahmad Nazim Aimran and Hidayah Razali........................................................................................................................................................................133 Chikungunya Disease Mapping in Malaysia: an Analysis Based on SMR Method, Poisson-gamma Model, SIR-SI Model 1 and SIR-SI Model 2 Dr. Nor Azah Samat and S. H. Mohd Imam Ma’arof....................................................................................................143 Defect Identification: Application of Statistical Process Control in Production Line Erni Tanius, Noorul Ameera Adnan, Sharifah Zuraidah Syed Abdul Jalil, Che Manisah Mohd Kasim .................................................................................................................................................149 Capture, Organize and Analyze Big Data for Research Enterprise Rakhisah Mat Zin...................................................................................................................................................................155 Pattern of Leverage Regions Iffah Atqa, Sonia Hajar Marophahita, Leilya Kartika, Khodija Kamila, Risna Yuliani and Tudzla Hernita.........................................................................................................................................................................161 2 MyStats 2015 Proceedings MyStats 2015 Proceedings 3 4 MyStats 2015 Proceedings Foreword On 17 November 2015, Bank Negara Malaysia, in Frontier in Statistics; (ii) Fulfilling Statistical collaboration with the Department of Statistics, Needs of Digital Citizens; (iii) Evolution in Data Malaysia and Institut Statistik Malaysia, hosted and Information Capturing; (iv) Open Data the Third National Statistics Conference, MyStats to Maximise Usage and Value of Statistics; 2015, at Sasana Kijang, Bank Negara Malaysia. (v) Statistical Methodology & Application; and The theme of the conference was “Enriching (vi) Big Data Analytics. For the first time, a session Statistics in an Inter-connected and Digital with young statisticians was introduced to World”. MyStats 2015, in comparison with the provide the opportunity for young statisticians, second conference held in 2013, has attracted a students and practitioners in their early career to larger number and wider range of participants, discuss challenges, opportunities and the future which include statistical compilers, statisticians, of statistics. analysts, economists, policy makers and academicians in Malaysia. Twenty nine papers were presented and about five hundred participants took part in the The key objective of MyStats is to provide a conference. The Keynote Address was delivered collaborative platform for compilers and users of by YB Senator Dato’ Sri Abdul Wahid Omar, statistics to share, discuss and highlight issues Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department, in statistical analysis and policy formulation Malaysia. This conference volume is a collection as well as challenges in the compilation of the conference summary, Keynote Address, and communication of statistics. The topics Closing Remarks and the eighteen papers discussed during MyStats 2015 include: (i) New presented during the conference. MyStats 2015 Proceedings 5 6 MyStats 2015 Proceedings Conference Summary The theme of the Third National Statistics on market prices from a broad base of digital Conference (MyStats 2015), “Enriching Statistics sources’ and hence, helps to form a measure of in an Inter-connected and Digital World”, is very contemporaneous inflation rate. In this sense, relevant as the world today is highly inter- technology offers a mean to fill up data gaps, connected due to the greater financial and particularly in meeting the urge for reliable, up- economic integration, and advancement in to-date and high-frequency statistics for a better information technology. The borderless world, understanding of economic conditions. the fast pace of information exchange and demand for more information have created the Professor Rigobon argued that there are two need for additional or new statistics for analysis, types of main data relevant for this purpose, diagnosis and decision making. The twenty nine namely Designed Data and Organic Data. The presentations, which were organised into six former is compiled by mean of administration, sessions, one roundtable discussion and a panel survey or based on compliance reporting while session, focused on six main areas: the latter is akin to big data, which is further divided into transactional and aspirational sub- 1. New Frontier in Statistics; categories. Aspirational data are collected using 2. Fulfilling Statistical Needs of Digital Citizens; tracking technology from digital social networks, 3. Evolution in Data and Information Capturing; such as Facebook and Twitter accounts, and 4. Open Data to Maximise Usage and