Summary Report Prepared for North Florida Transportation Planning Organization Prepared by Atkins February 2020 This Page Left Intentionally Blank North Florida TPO 2045 LRTP | 2019 Table of Contents 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Path Forward 2045 Overview ........................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 Study Area ................................................................................................................. 2 1.1.2 Plan Development Process ....................................................................................... 2 1.2 Planning Assumptions ...................................................................................................... 4 1.2.1 Growth ...................................................................................................................... 4 1.2.2 Roadways .................................................................................................................. 4 1.2.3 Public Transportation ................................................................................................ 5 1.2.4 Rail Facilities .............................................................................................................. 7 1.2.5 Passenger Rail Service ............................................................................................... 7 1.2.6 Intermodal Facilities.................................................................................................. 8 1.3 Tourism ........................................................................................................................... 10 2 Federal Performance Measures and System Performance Report ...................................... 13 2.1 Highway Safety Measures (PM1) ................................................................................... 13 2.1.1 Baseline Conditions ................................................................................................. 15 2.2 Coordination with Statewide Safety Plans and Processes ............................................. 16 2.3 LRTP Safety Priorities ..................................................................................................... 16 2.4 Pavement and Bridge Condition Baseline Performance and Established Targets ........ 19 2.5 System Performance, Freight, and Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality Improvement Program Measures (PM3) ......................................................................................................... 21 2.6 PM3 Baseline Performance and Established Targets..................................................... 22 2.7 Transit Asset Management Measures ........................................................................... 23 2.8 Transit Safety Performance ............................................................................................ 28 2.9 Transit Safety Performance Measures ........................................................................... 28 2.10 Integration of Performance Management in the 2045 LRTP ..................................... 28 3 2045 Long Range Transportation Plan Goals, Objectives and Measures ............................. 31 3.1 2045 Goals, Objectives and Measures ........................................................................... 32 3.2 Consistency with State and Federal Requirements ....................................................... 46 4 Public Involvement ............................................................................................................... 64 4.1 Public Involvement Plan ................................................................................................. 64 4.2 2045 LRTP Web Site ....................................................................................................... 64 4.3 Overview Video .............................................................................................................. 65 4.4 Social Media ................................................................................................................... 65 4.5 Overview Brochure ......................................................................................................... 66 4.6 2045 LRTP Survey ........................................................................................................... 66 4.7 Newsletter ...................................................................................................................... 67 4.8 Podcast ........................................................................................................................... 69 4.9 Telephone Townhall ....................................................................................................... 69 i North Florida TPO 2045 LRTP | 2019 4.10 Community Meetings ................................................................................................. 69 4.11 Focus Groups .............................................................................................................. 70 4.12 Elected Officials Coordination .................................................................................... 70 4.13 Advisory Committees ................................................................................................. 71 4.14 Steering Committee .................................................................................................... 71 4.15 Regional Public Workshop .......................................................................................... 71 4.16 Summary Brochure ..................................................................................................... 71 4.17 Using Public Input in the LRTP Process ....................................................................... 71 4.18 Public Hearing ............................................................................................................. 72 4.19 Environmental Justice and Title VI ............................................................................. 72 4.20 Strategies and Efforts ................................................................................................. 73 4.21 Identification of Minority and Underserved Populations .......................................... 73 4.22 Survey Outreach ......................................................................................................... 73 4.23 Community Meetings ................................................................................................. 73 4.24 Direct Mailings ............................................................................................................ 74 5 Safety and Security ............................................................................................................... 76 6 Resiliency .............................................................................................................................. 78 7 Development of the 2045 Needs Plan .................................................................................. 86 7.1 Growth Forecasts ........................................................................................................... 87 7.2 Growth Allocation .......................................................................................................... 87 7.3 Land Use Subcommittee ................................................................................................ 88 7.4 Committed Transportation Projects .............................................................................. 88 7.5 2045 Roadway Deficiency Analysis ................................................................................ 94 7.6 2045 Needs Plan Development ...................................................................................... 94 7.7 Roadway Projects ......................................................................................................... 102 7.8 Transit Projects ............................................................................................................. 102 7.9 Transportation Systems Management and Operations (TSM&O) ............................... 102 7.10 Bicycle and Pedestrian Projects ................................................................................ 103 7.10.1 Regional Multi-Use Trail Study ............................................................................. 103 7.10.2 Amelia Island Bicycle and Pedestrian Focus Area Study....................................... 103 7.10.3 Orange Park Bicycle and Pedestrian Sub-Area Plan ............................................. 103 7.10.4 Regional Freight Projects ...................................................................................... 104 7.11 2045 Planning Scenarios ........................................................................................... 104 7.11.1 Findings ................................................................................................................. 105 7.12 Environmental Mitigation ......................................................................................... 107 7.13 Efficient Transportation Decision Making (ETDM) Process ...................................... 114 7.14 Other Mitigation Strategies ...................................................................................... 115 7.15 Adopted 2045 Needs Plan 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