FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE November 1, 2010 INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen) QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312 Angle, Reid virtually tied Raleigh, N.C. – The Nevada Senate race is headed for a photo finish with Sharron Angle leading Harry Reid just 47-46 on PPP's final poll of the race. The survey indicates that Reid takes a 50-46 lead with early voters into election day but that those still planning to vote tomorrow are intending to support Angle by a 48-40 margin. Democratic voters in Nevada really hold Reid's fate in their hands by whether they show up at the polls tomorrow or not. Angle's 1 point lead is built on an electorate that supported Barack Obama by only 4 points in 2008, in contrast to his actual 12 point victory in the state. That means a lot of Democratic leaning voters aren't planning to vote tomorrow and if even a small percentage of them can be rousted out of complacency to go vote for Reid it might be enough to put him over the top. Both candidates are getting just a shade under 80% from voters in their own party. Angle has the slight overall advantage because she's ahead 52-38 with independents. Regardless of who wins the election tomorrow Nevada will have a Senator it's not particularly fond of. Only 44% of voters have a favorable opinion of Angle to 53% with a negative one and Reid's approval rating is just 42% with 55% of voters disapproving of him. There's a lot more clarity in the Governor's race: Brian Sandoval is going to be the next Governor of Nevada. He leads Rory Reid 55-44. Sandoval has proven to be by far and away the most appealing candidate on the ballot in the state this year- 56% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to only 33% who view him negatively. He's winning independents by 23 points and taking 22% of the Democratic vote. “The Nevada Senate election is really going to hinge on whether thousands of Obama voters who haven’t been particularly engaged with this year’s election end up turning out tomorrow or not,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Reid has a higher ceiling of support than Angle and will win if enough of those people show up but whether they will is an open question.” PPP surveyed 682 likely Nevada voters on October 30th and 31st. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify. Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] Nevada Survey Results Q1 The candidates for US Senate are Republican Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Sharron Angle, Tea Party of Nevada candidate of Rory Reid? Scott Ashjian, Independent American Party 39% 10% candidate Tim Fasano, independent Michael Favorable .............. Not sure ................ Haines, independent Jesse Holland, Unfavorable........... 51% independent Jeffrey Reeves, Democrat Harry Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Reid, and independent Wil Stand. If the of Brian Sandoval? election was today who would you vote for, or would you vote for none of these candidates? Favorable .............. 56% Not sure ................ 11% Sharron Angle................................................. 47% Unfavorable........... 33% Q7 The candidates for Attorney General are Scott Ashjian................................................... 3% Republican Travis Barrick and Democrat Tim Fasano..................................................... 1% Catherine Cortez Masto. If the election was today, who would you vote for? If Travis Michael Haines ............................................... 1% Barrick, press 1. If Catherine Cortez Masto, Jesse Holland ................................................. 0% press 2. If you’re undecided, press 3. Jeffrey Reeves................................................ 0% Barrick ............................................................ 39% Harry Reid....................................................... 46% Masto.............................................................. 51% Wil Stand ........................................................ 0% Undecided....................................................... 10% None of these candidates ............................... 1% Q8 If the candidates for US Senate this fall had been Democrat Harry Reid and Republican Undecided....................................................... 0% Danny Tarkanian, who would you have voted Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion for? of Sharron Angle? Harry Reid....................................................... 39% Favorable .............. 44% Not sure ................ 3% Danny Tarkanian............................................. 54% Unfavorable........... 53% Undecided....................................................... 7% Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Harry Q9 If the candidates for US Senate were just Reid’s job performance? Republican Sharron Angle and Democrat Harry Approve .......................................................... 42% Reid, who would you vote for? Disapprove...................................................... 55% Sharron Angle ....... 48% Undecided............. 3% Not sure .......................................................... 3% Harry Reid............. 49% Q4 The candidates for Governor are Democrat Q10 Do you approve or disapprove of President Rory Reid and Republican Brian Sandoval. If Barack Obama’s job performance? the election was today, who would you vote Approve .......................................................... 41% for? Disapprove...................................................... 56% Rory Reid........................................................ 44% Not sure .......................................................... 3% Brian Sandoval ............................................... 55% Undecided....................................................... 1% October 30-31, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 682 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q11 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jim Q16 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Gibbons’ job performance? Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Approve .......................................................... 25% Democrat ........................................................ 41% Disapprove...................................................... 67% Republican...................................................... 40% Not sure .......................................................... 8% Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Independent/Other.......................................... 19% Ensign’s job performance? Q17 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4. Approve .......................................................... 41% Hispanic.......................................................... 20% Disapprove...................................................... 48% White .............................................................. 69% Not sure .......................................................... 12% Q13 Who did you vote for President in 2008? African-American ............................................ 8% 3% John McCain................................................... 46% Other............................................................... 50% Q18 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to Barack Obama................................................ 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 4% older than 65, press 4. Q14 Do you identify yourself as a liberal, moderate, 18 to 29........................................................... 10% or conservative? 30 to 45........................................................... 30% Liberal............................................................. 17% 46 to 65........................................................... 34% Moderate......................................................... 42% Older than 65 .................................................. 26% 41% Conservative................................................... Q19 Have you already cast your ballot for this Q15 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. year’s election? Woman ........................................................... 52% Yes.................................................................. 60% Man................................................................. 48% No ................................................................... 40% October 30-31, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 682 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs 2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Angle/Reid/Ashjian/- Angle Favorability Et al Favorable 44% 78% 14% 35% Sharron Angle 47% 83% 15% 28% Unfavorable 53% 17% 85% 60% Scott Ashjian 3% 3% 2% 18% Not s ur e 3% 5% 2% 5% Tim Fasano 1% 1% 1% 10% Michael Haines 1% 1% 0% 10% Jesse Holland 0% 1% - - Jeffrey Reeves 0% - 0% - Har r y Re id 46% 10% 80% 34% Wil Stand 0% 1% - - None of these 1% 0% 1% - candidates Unde cide d 0% - 0% - 2008 Vote 2008 Vote