THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY Voluntary - Public Date: 3/18/2014 GAIN Report Number: HK1415 Hong Kong Post: Hong Kong Retail Food Sector Annual 2014 Report Categories: Retail Foods Approved By: Erich Kuss Prepared By: Chris Li, Annie Lai Report Highlights: Total retail sales of food and drinks in Hong Kong for 2013 reached US$10.75 billion, representing a sound growth of 5.4% over 2012. Hong Kong imports of high value food products from the U.S. reached US$4 billion in 2013, consolidating our position as the leading food supplier to Hong Kong. It is expected that Hong Kong will maintain its position as one of the top 5 markets for U.S. consumer ready food products in 2014, as it continues to be a major buying center and transshipment point for other markets in the region. Economic growth in Hong Kong is forecast to be 3.5% in 2014. Post expects that U.S. products will continue to fair well due to competitive prices and consumer confidence in the quality and safety of U.S. products. Page 1 of 23 SECTION I. MARKET OVERVIEW Food Imports Due to limited land resources and having a population of 7.2 million, Hong Kong relies on imports for over 95% of it food supply. According to the latest statistics (for 2012) of the Agricultural Fisheries and Conservation Department, the local agricultural industry produced US$98 million worth of products. That included US$32 million in crop production (mainly vegetables), US$34 million in livestock production, and US$32 million in poultry production. Local production accounted for 1.9 percent of fresh vegetables, 59.5 percent of live poultry and 7.1 percent of live pigs consumed in the territory. Due to its central location, free port status and position as a regional purchasing and distribution center, a significant amount of Hong Kong imports are re-exported. Table 1 – Hong Kong Imports (2009-2013) of Consumer Oriented Agricultural Products (COAP) & Seafood (in US$ Growth 13 v Share in % of Re-exports of Gross Country 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Million) 12 2013 Imports World Gross Imports 12,232 14,641 17,664 18,166 20,574 13% 100% Re-exports 3,810 4,404 5,140 5,185 5,587 8% 100% 27% Retained 8,423 10,237 12,524 12,981 14,987 15% 100% Imports United Gross Imports 1,983 2,779 3,370 3,450 3,999 16% 19% States Re-exports 752 1,155 1,619 1,476 1,248 -15% 22% 31% Retained 1,231 1,624 1,751 1,974 2,752 39% 18% Imports China Gross Imports 1,955 2,205 2,652 3,044 3,439 13% 17% Re-exports 324 380 494 747 1,034 39% 19% 30% Retained 1,631 1,825 2,158 2,298 2,404 5% 16% Imports Brazil Gross Imports 1,576 1,420 1,650 1,645 2,254 37% 11% Re-exports 738 658 551 540 658 22% 12% 29% Retained 838 763 1,099 1,105 1,596 44% 11% Imports Netherlands Gross Imports 323 387 666 860 1,150 34% 6% Re-exports 95 91 111 100 129 29% 2% 11% Retained 228 295 555 761 1,021 34% 7% Imports France Gross Imports 437 678 986 815 837 3% 4% Re-exports 114 160 215 190 199 5% 4% 24% Retained 323 517 771 625 639 2% 4% Imports Australia Gross Imports 686 666 771 812 835 3% 4% Re-exports 92 84 80 99 123 24% 2% 15% Retained 593 582 691 712 712 0% 5% Imports Thailand Gross Imports 575 511 568 612 641 5% 3% Re-exports 349 286 312 358 377 5% 7% 59% Page 2 of 23 Retained 226 224 256 254 264 4% 2% Imports Japan Gross Imports 709 973 958 870 947 9% 5% Re-exports 44 51 51 45 58 29% 1% 6% Retained 665 923 908 826 889 8% 6% Imports Canada Gross Imports 313 394 402 379 529 40% 3% Re-exports 104 132 96 78 87 11% 2% 16% Retained 209 262 306 301 443 47% 3% Imports Chile Gross Imports 242 260 373 425 434 2% 2% Re-exports 154 181 279 314 284 -10% 5% 66% Retained 88 79 94 110 150 36% 1% Imports Total of Gross Imports 8,799 10,274 12,396 12,912 15,064 17% 73% Top 10 Re-exports 2,765 3,179 3,807 3,947 4,196 6% 75% 28% Retained Suppliers 6,034 7,095 8,589 8,965 10,868 21% 73% Imports Total of Gross Imports 3,434 4,366 5,268 5,254 5,510 5% 27% Rest of Re-exports 1,045 1,225 1,333 1,238 1,391 12% 25% 25% Retained World 2,389 3,141 3,935 4,016 4,119 3% 27% Imports (Source: Calculations based on Global Trade Atlas data) (Retained Imports = Gross Imports into Hong Kong – Re-exports out of Hong Kong) Hong Kong is a mature and sophisticated market with a growing demand for gourmet foods. At the same time, most Hong Kong shoppers are price conscious consumers looking for “value for money” products. The continuous influx of tourists and capital contributed to the economic growth in Hong Kong. As a result, the demand for food imports continued to grow in 2013. Major import items included red meats, fruits, poultry meat, seafood and tree nuts. Thanks to the growing economy and strong demand from local consumers and tourists, total retained imports of consumer-oriented agricultural products (COAP) and Seafood products in Hong Kong managed to grow by 15% in 2013. The U.S. consolidated its position as the largest supplier of COAP and Seafood products to Hong Kong in 2013. Retained imports of these products from the U.S. and its closest competitor China in 2013 were US$2.8 billion and US$2.4 billion, representing market shares of 18% and 16% respectively. Hong Kong’s status as a gateway for trade with other markets in the region is increasingly opening up greater avenues for U.S. high value food products. In 2013, Hong Kong imported over US$20 billion COAP and Seafood from the world and re-exported 27% of these products. Economy With the continued influx of investment, particularly from Mainland China, Hong Kong’s economy continued to grow in 2013. GDP and per capita GDP grew by 4.2% and 3.7%, and reached US$272 billion and US$37,859 respectively in 2013. Page 3 of 23 Table 2 – Hong Kong: Gross Domestic Product and GDP per capita 2012 2013 Growth 13 vs 12 GDP US$261 billion US$272 billion +4.2% GDP per capita US$36,504 US$37,859 +3.7% (Source: Hong Kong Census & Statistics Department, US$1=HK$7.8) Outlook of the Retail Food Sector in 2014 The outlook for food imports and spending on food is less optimistic as the Hong Kong economy is expected to grow at a slower pace at 3.5 percent in 2014. However, U.S. agricultural products are well known in the market for their good taste and quality. In addition, the peg between U.S. dollar and HK dollar will provide much needed foreign exchange stability which will make buying U.S. products more advantageous. Table 3 – Hong Kong: Summary of the Key Strengths and Challenges for the Market Strengths Weaknesses Hong Kong is one of the top markets in the U.S. food products are not always price world for food and beverages, processed, fresh competitive. China is the largest competitor of and frozen gourmet products. U.S. exports of U.S. food products. high value food and beverage (HVFB) products to Hong Kong were US$3.43 billion, consolidating its position as the 4th largest market for the United States in 2013. Hong Kong is a major trading hub where buyers Lengthy transportation time and availability of make purchasing decisions for hundreds of product due to seasonality (e.g. fresh produce) millions of dollars of consumer oriented associated to importing U.S. food and beverage products that are transshipped to China and products to Hong Kong can make them less other parts of Asia. competitive than products available in the region or from China, Australia, and New Zealand (favorable in terms of location). U.S. food products enjoy an excellent The importance of Hong Kong as a reputation among Hong Kong consumers, as transshipment point and buying center for they are renowned for high quality and food China and elsewhere is not widely known to safety standards. U.S. exporters. The U.S. is the 2nd largest supplier of Hong Kong labeling and residue standards differ agricultural, fisheries, and forestry products to in some cases, which can impede trade. Hong Kong. For HVFB products, the United States maintained its position as the largest supplier to Hong Kong in 2013. Technical barriers to imports of U.S. products Numerous Hong Kong food regulations are not are generally very low. in line with Codex, which can complicate import clearances. Page 4 of 23 There is a wide variety of U.S. products While Hong Kong has one of the busiest available to Hong Kong consumers (over 30,000 container terminals in the world, it also has the different items). most expensive port handling charges. The link between the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) Hong Kong’s top supermarkets are a duopoly to the U.S.