Forest of Dean District Council February 2015 Infrastructure Delivery Plan Forest of Dean District Council Infrastructure Delivery Plan Issue | 16 February 2015 This report takes into account the particular instructions and requirements of our client. It is not intended for and should not be relied upon by any third party and no responsibility is undertaken to any third party. Job number Job number Ove Arup & Partners Ltd 63 St Thomas Street Bristol BS1 6JZ United Kingdom www.arup.com Forest of Dean District Council Infrastructure Delivery Plan Contents Page Executive Summary 1 IDP Development Scenarios 2 Report Structure 3 Infrastructure Requirements 4 Cross Boundary Infrastructure 5 Sector Analysis 5 Implementation 15 Categorisation 15 Prioritisation for Delivery 16 Funding 18 Management and Co-ordination 18 Recommendations and Next Steps 18 1 Introduction 20 1.1 Purpose of the Infrastructure Delivery Plan (IDP) 20 1.2 Structure of the IDP 21 2 Methodology 22 2.1 National Policy and Guidance 22 2.2 Summary of IDP Project Stages & Outputs 24 2.3 Stage 1 – Development Vision, Scenarios & IDP Governance 24 2.4 Stage 2 – County-wide evidence gathering and assessment of infrastructure needs 26 2.5 Stage 3 – Delivery Plan preparation 28 2.6 IDP Refresh 29 3 Local context for the IDP 30 3.1 Council’s Vision & Objectives 30 3.2 Forest of Dean Local Development Framework 31 3.3 Housing development allocations and commitments 33 3.4 Employment development allocations 38 4 Assessment by infrastructure sector 39 4.1 Community and culture 39 4.2 Education 56 4.3 Emergency Services 77 4.4 Police 80 4.5 Healthcare 88 | Issue | 16 February 2015 J:\226XXX\226824-00\4.50_REPORTS\FOREST OF DEAN IDP\REFRESH SEPTEMBER 2014\FOD_IDP_WD ISSUE 16 FEB 2015.DOCX Forest of Dean District Council Infrastructure Delivery Plan 4.6 Energy 102 4.7 Flood risk management, water supply and wastewater 112 4.8 Information and Communications Technology (ICT) 136 4.9 Open Space, Sport and Recreation 140 4.10 Transport and Public Realm 159 4.11 Waste 188 5 Strategic infrastructure and prioritisation 191 5.1 Projects of potential strategic importance 191 5.2 Infrastructure investment and prioritisation 191 6 Infrastructure funding: development viability and the Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) 193 6.1 Introduction 193 6.2 Section 106 Planning Obligation and CIL 193 6.3 Development Viability 195 6.4 Review of reference CIL rates 195 6.5 Total estimated infrastructure costs 202 7 Infrastructure funding: alternative finance mechanisms 208 7.1 Investing in Britain’s future 208 7.2 New Homes Bonus and Business Rate Retention 208 7.3 Gloucestershire Infrastructure Investment Fund 209 7.4 Further financing mechanisms 210 8 Governance and capacity for delivery 213 8.1 Infrastructure planning as a ‘live’ process 213 8.2 Governance for infrastructure planning 213 9 Conclusions 215 Appendices Appendix A Development Allocations Appendix B Map of National Grid Infrastructure | Issue | 16 February 2015 J:\226XXX\226824-00\4.50_REPORTS\FOREST OF DEAN IDP\REFRESH SEPTEMBER 2014\FOD_IDP_WD ISSUE 16 FEB 2015.DOCX Forest of Dean District Council Infrastructure Delivery Plan Executive Summary Ove Arup and Partners was commissioned to produce an Infrastructure Delivery Plan (IDP) for the Forest of Dean (FoD) District Authority area. The purpose of the IDP is to evaluate the transport, utilities, community and green infrastructure and services that will be required to support the levels of housing and employment growth proposed in the draft Allocations Development Plan Document (DPD) now known as the Allocations Plan. This version of the IDP presents a refresh of the FoD IDP and has been prepared in part on the basis of the information received from various service providers as part of the consultation process, and on the understanding that the FoD was planning for some 5,290 new homes. This was the position of the draft Allocations Plan. The report has been prepared with the following caveats: The cost and specification information received for individual infrastructure schemes has not been audited or tested for accuracy. It has not always been possible to ascertain whether some of the infrastructure projects identified have confirmed or guaranteed funding to deliver them; The IDP is a high level assessment of infrastructure need which is based on the information received and benchmark indices. This provides an assessment which is based partly on theoretical costings and estimates and which should be further defined as information becomes available; Where we have not received an accurate or satisfactory level of actual project information from infrastructure providers, costs and project specifications have been benchmarked and estimated using industry standards and comparable project information from other parts of the UK and/or previous infrastructure projects designed and implemented by Arup; We accept that there may be cases where the cost of delivering infrastructure items (for example, some social and community infrastructure) could be reduced by collocating different services together. No allowance has been made at this stage of the potential to collocate and therefore reduce the cost of delivering individual services in multifunctional buildings. This would require further discussions with service providers; Infrastructure delivery planning is a live process and it is expected that the figures in this report will change over time. Further work, including infrastructure modelling and on-going consultation with service providers and developers, will be required to refine an understanding of infrastructure requirements, funding and delivery mechanisms. A detailed project tracker which accompanies this report will need to be maintained and updated over years to come to provide the most up to date and accurate picture of the overall funding and delivery picture for infrastructure across the FoD area as a whole; This IDP has been prepared on the basis of 5,290 new homes being built (situation as of September 2014); and The project tracker attached to this IDP identifies the projects which have emerged during the preparation of the document. There are likely to be other | Issue | 16 February 2015 Page 1 J:\226XXX\226824-00\4.50_REPORTS\FOREST OF DEAN IDP\REFRESH SEPTEMBER 2014\FOD_IDP_WD ISSUE 16 FEB 2015.DOCX Forest of Dean District Council Infrastructure Delivery Plan projects that may come on stream which have not been identified and for this reason, the project tracker forms a live document which will continue to be updated over the plan period up to 2026. The next stage of infrastructure planning within the FoD area will involve the FoD District Authority continuing to work collaboratively with key service providers in order to make decisions around prioritisation of projects. Further work on the Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) will aid this prioritisation process and the IDP tracker will form an important tool in identifying, developing and prioritising projects across the FoD area. IDP Development Scenarios The IDP has been through two revisions with a Stage 1 Interim Version IDP prepared in March 2013, with this document is the Stage 2 Refresh Version IDP to be published in December 2014. This document provides an Executive Summary in support of this Stage 2 IDP and the process of preparation is summarised in the table below. Housing Growth The Allocations Plan covers a period up to 2026. Over this period the draft Allocations Plan (July 2014) proposes total housing provision of 5,290 new dwellings. The following tables present the proposed residential and employment allocations based on the July 2014 housing provision by settlement area, as agreed by the FoD authority for inclusion in the IDP Refresh process. Residential Development Allocations by Settlement Settlement Revised Development Committed Sites Site Allocations Scenario Totals (Sept 2014) Cinderford 1,040 743 297 Lyndney 1,905 1,711 194 Coleford 600 497 103 Newent 470 352 118 Tutshill / Sedbury 113 18 95 Bream 110 51 59 Drybrook 91 41 50 Mitcheldean 140 60 80 Newnham 65 31 34 Yorkley / Pillowell / 96 66 30 Whitecroft Lydbrook Joys Green 98 53 45 Other villages and rural 562 526 36 area Total 5,290 4,149 1,141 | Issue | 16 February 2015 Page 2 J:\226XXX\226824-00\4.50_REPORTS\FOREST OF DEAN IDP\REFRESH SEPTEMBER 2014\FOD_IDP_WD ISSUE 16 FEB 2015.DOCX Forest of Dean District Council Infrastructure Delivery Plan Forest of Dean Employment Land Provision Settlement Allocation (ha) Description Aylburton 1.0 Employment generating uses Cinderford 75.8 North Quarter and Forest Vale, Cinderford employment area (employment generating uses) Coleford 22.5 Employment generating uses Tufthorn Farm - Employment sites' (Industrial area inc Old Station Way junction, Tufthorn Ave, Pingry Farm) Coleford 6.7 Employment generating uses land adjoining Suntory Factory Coleford Lydney 20.9 Hurst Farm employment generating uses Lydney 4.8 East of Lydney Land within Bypass to include employment generating uses The Refresh IDP considers the potential infrastructure demand of the proposed allocations as part of the revised development scenario (2014-2026). In exploring infrastructure requirements, the IDP applies an average household size at 2026 of 2.35 persons, derived from dividing the forecast population at 2026 by the number of households in the District, as advised by FoD. This is considered the most pragmatic approach to the forecasting of the population expected from each proposed development allocation. This approach considers the demands on infrastructure generated by the proposed development, including both the planned growth as well as movement within the District and changes in demographics, for example a reduction in household size. Benchmark standards have been applied to the whole plan period (2014-2026). These standards are developed in order to forecast demand for various pieces of infrastructure in line with projected housing growth. For example, a child yield is used in order to estimate the number of primary, secondary and further education places generated by projected growth.