BUFFALO CITY METRO MUNICIPALITY SOCIO ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK, 2017 Buffalo City Metro Municipality Socio-Economic Review and Outlook 2017 Published by ECSECC Postnet Vincent, P/Bag X9063, Suite No 302, Vincent 5247 www.ecsecc.org © 2017 Eastern Cape Socio Economic Consultative Council First published April 2017 Some rights reserved. Please acknowledge the author and publisher if utilising this publication or any material contained herein. Reproduction of material in this publication for resale or other commercial purposes is prohibited without written permission from ECSECC. Buffalo City Metro Municipality Socio-Economic Review and Outlook 2017 Foreword ECSECC was founded in July 1995 as an institutional mechanism for partnership between government, business, labour and the NGO sector to address underdevelopment and poverty in the Eastern Cape. The local government sector and the higher education sector joined ECSECC in 2003. ECSECC’s mandate of stakeholder co-ordination and multi-stakeholder policy making stems from the realization that Government cannot defeat poverty, unemployment and inequality on its own, but needs to build deliberate and active partnerships to achieve prioritized development outcomes. ECSECCs main partners are: the shareholder, the Office of the Premier; national, provincial and local government; organised business and industry; organised labour; higher education; and the organised NGO sectors that make up the board, SALGA and municipalities. One of ECSECCs goals is to be a socio-economic knowledge hub for the Eastern Cape Province. We seek to actively serve the Eastern Cape’s needs to socio-economic data and analysis. As part of this ECSECC regularly issues statistical and research based publications. Publications, reports and data can be found on ECSECCs website www.ecsecc.org. We trust you find the 2017 series of municipal socio-economic review and outlook publications useful. A report has been issued for each of district, local and metropolitan municipality in the province. We would appreciate your feedback. ECSECC acknowledges that a large part of the information and descriptive analysis in this publication has been generated from IHS ReX Publisher, a product of IHS Information and Insight. Regards, Mr Andrew Murray CEO Buffalo City Metro Municipality Socio-Economic Review and Outlook 2017 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Background ................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 1 Overview of Buffalo City Metro Municipality ..................................................................... 1 1.3 From Global to Local Economic Outlook ............................................................................. 3 1.4 National and Provincial Development Priorities ....................................................................... 5 Summary of key demographic and socio-economic highlights of Buffalo City Metro Municipality .................................................................................................................................. 10 2. Demography .............................................................................................................................. 11 Total Population ................................................................................................................ 11 Population by population group, Gender and Age ........................................................... 15 Number of Households by Population Group ................................................................... 18 HIV+ and AIDS estimates ................................................................................................... 21 3. Economy .................................................................................................................................... 24 Gross Domestic Product by Region (GDP-R) ..................................................................... 24 Gross Value Added by Region (GVA-R) ............................................................................. 29 Tress Index ........................................................................................................................ 37 Location Quotient ............................................................................................................. 38 4. Labour ....................................................................................................................................... 40 Economically Active Population (EAP) .............................................................................. 40 Total Employment ............................................................................................................. 44 Formal and Informal employment .................................................................................... 46 Unemployment ................................................................................................................. 48 5. Income and Expenditure ........................................................................................................... 52 Number of Households by Income category .................................................................... 52 Annual total Personal Income ........................................................................................... 53 Annual per Capita Income ................................................................................................. 55 Index of Buying Power ...................................................................................................... 57 6. Development ............................................................................................................................. 59 Human Development Index (HDI) ..................................................................................... 59 Gini Coefficient .................................................................................................................. 61 Poverty .............................................................................................................................. 63 Education .......................................................................................................................... 67 Functional literacy ............................................................................................................. 70 Buffalo City Metro Municipality Socio-Economic Review and Outlook 2017 Population Density ............................................................................................................ 72 7. Crime ......................................................................................................................................... 76 IHS Composite Crime Index ............................................................................................... 76 8. Household Infrastructure .......................................................................................................... 79 Household by Dwelling Type ............................................................................................. 79 Household by Type of Sanitation ...................................................................................... 81 Households by Access to water ........................................................................................ 84 Households by Type of Electricity ..................................................................................... 86 Households by Refuse Disposal ........................................................................................ 88 9. Tourism ..................................................................................................................................... 91 Trips by purpose of trips ................................................................................................... 91 Origin of Tourists ............................................................................................................... 92 Tourism spending .............................................................................................................. 95 10. International Trade ............................................................................................................... 99 Relative Importance of international Trade...................................................................... 99 Buffalo City Metro Municipality Socio-Economic Review and Outlook 2017 1. BACKGROUND1 1.1. INTRODUCTION The report seeks to reflect on the current socio-economic developments in Buffalo City Metro Municipality with the view of providing a strong conceptual and empirical basis for policy-making, especially in turbulent times such as these. It provides the demographic patterns, labour dynamics, economic developments, and other socio economic indices related to the triple challenge of poverty, inequality and unemployment. These indices highlight performance and trends of selected development indicators and set the basis for planning, action prioritisation to improve the lives of people in the local municipality. The report can serve as a diagnostic document that articulates key questions which should be addressed by a long-term plan and strategy for the development of Buffalo City Metro Municipality. Trend analysis in this report shows the extent to which