Ten Year Power Plant Site Plan 2016 – 2025 (This page is intentionally left blank.) Ten Year Power Plant Site Plan 2016-2025 Submitted To: Florida Public Service Commission April 2016 (This page is intentionally left blank.) Table of Contents List of Figures and Tables ............................................................................................................ iii List of Schedules .......................................................................................................................... iv Overview of the Document ........................................................................................................... 1 List of Abbreviations ..................................................................................................................... 3 Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... 5 Chapter I. Description of Existing Resources .......................................................................... 11 A. FPL-Owned Resources ..................................................................................... 13 B. Capacity and Energy Power Purchases ......................................................... 17 C. Demand Side Management (DSM) .................................................................... 22 Chapter II. Forecast of Electric Power Demand ....................................................................... 25 A. Overview of the Load Forecasting Process .......... …………………………….27 B. Comparison of FPL’s Current and Previous Load Forecasts ....................... 28 C. Long-Term Sales Forecasts ............................................................................. 29 D. Net Energy for Load (NEL) ............................................................................... 32 E. System Peak Forecasts .................................................................................... 33 F. Hourly Load Forecast ....................................................................................... 36 G. Uncertainty ……………………………………………………………………… ....... 36 H. DSM ..................................................................................................................... 37 Chapter III. Projection of Incremental Resource Additions .................................................... 45 A. FPL’s Resource Planning ................................................................................. 47 B. Projected Incremental Resource Additions/Changes in the Resource Plan ................................................................................................... 56 C. Discussion of the Projected Resource Plan and Issues Impacting FPL’s Resource Planning Work…………………… ........................................... 56 D. Demand Side Management (DSM) ................................................................... 62 E. Transmission Plan ............................................................................................. 66 F. Renewable Resources ....................................................................................... 72 G. FPL’s Fuel Mix and Fuel Price Forecasts ........................................................ 80 Chapter IV. Environmental and Land Use Information ......................................................... 115 A. Protection of the Environment ...................................................................... 117 B. FPL’s Environmental Policy ........................................................................... 119 C. Environmental Management .......................................................................... 120 D. Environmental Assurance Program .............................................................. 121 E. Environmental Communication and Facilitation ......................................... 122 F. Preferred and Potential Sites ......................................................................... 122 Preferred Sites .................................................................................................. 123 1. Preferred Site # 1 - Babcock Ranch Solar Energy Center, Charlotte County .................................................................................... 123 2. Preferred Site # 2 - Citrus Solar Energy Center, DeSoto County ..... 126 i 3. Preferred Site # 3 - Manatee Solar Energy Center, Manatee County ..................................................................................................... 128 4. Preferred Site # 4 - Lauderdale Plant Peaking Facilities, Broward County ..................................................................................... 131 5. Preferred Site # 5 - Ft. Myers Plant Peaking Facilities, Lee County ..................................................................................................... 134 6. Preferred Site # 6 - Okeechobee Site, Okeechobee County .............. 137 7. Preferred Site # 7 - Turkey Point Plant, Miami-Dade County ............. 140 Potential Sites .................................................................................................. 145 8. Potential Site # 1 - Alachua County ...................................................... 145 9. Potential Site # 2 - Hendry County ............ ………………………………146 10. Potential Site # 3 - Martin County ......................................................... 147 11. Potential Site # 4 - Miami-Dade County... ........... ………………………148 12. Potential Site # 5 - Putnam County..……………………….……………..149 13. Potential Site # 6 - Volusia County……………………………………..…149 Chapter V. Other Planning Assumptions and Information ................................................... 217 ii List of Figures and Tables Table ES-1 Projected Capacity & Firm Purchase Power Changes ................................... 10 Figure I.A.1 Capacity Resources by Location (as of December 31, 2015) ........................ 14 Table I.A.1 Capacity Resource by Unit Type (as of December 31, 2015) ....................... 15 Figure I.A.2 FPL Substation & Transmission System Configuration ................................ 16 Table I.B.1 Purchase Power Resources by Contract (as of December 31, 2015) ........... 19 Table I.B.2 FPL’s Firm Purchased Power Summer MW ................................................... 20 Table I.B.3 FPL’s Firm Purchased Power Winter MW........................................................ 21 Figure III.A.1 Overview of FPL’s IRP Process ........................................................................ 48 Table III.E.1 List of Proposed Power Lines .......................................................................... 67 Table IV.E.1 2015 FPL Environmental Outreach Activities ............................................... 122 Preferred Site # 1 - Babcock Maps ................................................................. 151 Preferred Site # 2 - Citrus Maps ...................................................................... 157 Preferred Site # 3 – Manatee Maps ................................................................. 163 Preferred Site # 4 – Lauderdale Maps ............................................................ 169 Preferred Site # 5 – Ft. Myers Maps .............................................................. 175 Preferred Site # 6 – Okeechobee Maps .......................................................... 181 Preferred Site # 7 – Turkey Point Maps ......................................................... 187 Potential Site # 1 – Alachua County Maps .................................................... 193 Potential Site # 2 – Hendry County Maps ...................................................... 197 Potential Site # 3 – Martin County Maps ........................................................ 201 Potential Site # 4 – Miami-Dade County Maps .............................................. 205 Potential Site # 5 – Putnam County Maps ..................................................... 209 Potential Site # 6 – Volusia County Maps ...................................................... 213 iii List of Schedules Schedule 1 Existing Generating Facilities As of December 31, 2015 ............................... 23 Schedule 2.1 History and Forecast of Energy Consumption & Number of Customers by Customer Class ......................................................................... 38 Schedule 2.2 History and Forecast of Energy Consumption & Number of Customers by Customer Class (Continued) ................................................... 39 Schedule 2.3 History and Forecast of Energy Consumption & Number of Customers by Customer Class (Continued) ................................................... 40 Schedule 3.1 History and Forecast of Summer Peak Demand (MW) ................................... 41 Schedule 3.2 History and Forecast of Winter Peak Demand (MW) ...................................... 42 Schedule 3.3 History and Forecast of Annual Net Energy for Load (GWh) ........................ 43 Schedule 4 Previous Year Actual and Two-Year Forecast of Retail Peak Demand and Net Energy for Load (NEL) by Month ........................................ 44 Schedule 5 Fuel Requirements (for FPL Only) .................................................................... 89 Schedule 6.1 Energy Sources .................................................................................................. 90 Schedule 6.2 Energy Sources % by Fuel Type ...................................................................... 91 Schedule 7.1 Forecast