THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN TOURISM INDUSTRY THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN WEEKLY SUMMARY TOURISM 10 JAN 2021 Hannah Pearson INDUSTRY [email protected] INTRODUCTION As a market highly dependent on both Chinese outbound tourism and the Chinese economy, Southeast Asia is a region which was heavily affected by COVID-19 even in the early months of 2020. With the declaration of a pandemic, as well as the closing of borders and imposition of lockdowns, Southeast Asia’s tourism economy will continue to be impacted for the foreseeable future. View this information online and more on our frequently updated dashboard at: https://www.pearanderson.com/coronavirus/ Sign up to be added to our weekly mailing list, with this report sent out every Sunday: https://insights.pearanderson.com/sea-covid-summary THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN TOURISM INDUSTRY IMPACT SUMMARY Week ending Sunday 10th January 2021 INBOUND TRAVEL OUTBOUND TRAVEL COUNTRY LOCKDOWN RESTRICTIONS RESTRICTIONS CASES DEATHS Cambodia None Visa restrictions Discouraged 391 0 Indonesia Partial Restricted Permitted 828,026 24,129 Laos None Visa restrictions Discouraged 41 0 Malaysia Partial Visa restrictions Restricted 133,559 542 Myanmar Partial Visa restrictions Discouraged 130,049 2,826 Philippines Partial Visa restrictions Permitted 487,690 9,405 Singapore Partial Visa restrictions Restricted 58,907 29 Thailand Partial Quarantine Flight restriction 10,298 67 Vietnam None Visa restrictions Flight restriction 1,513 35 Data accurate as of 20:45 (UTC+8) on 10 Jan 2021 Partial lockdown = closure of schools or some non-essential services (e.g., entertainment), recommendation to work from home Lockdown = closure of all non-essential businesses, restricted movement COVID-19 case & death statuses from John Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center VACCINE SUMMARY Week ending Sunday 10th January 2021 TYPE OF VACCINE % OF POP ESTIMATED COUNTRY Secured or In Talks DOSES SECURED COVERED ROLL-OUT SOURCES Cambodia COVAX; China, Sputnik V Not Available 20% Mid-2021 1, 2, 3 AstraZeneca, Sinopharm, Sinovac, 13 Jan Indonesia Merah Putih, Novavax; Pfizer, ~ 329 mil ~ 61% 1, 2, 3, 4 2021 Sputnik V, Laos COVAX, Sinopharm, Sputnik V - 20% Started 1 Pfizer, China, AstraZeneca; Malaysia Moderna, Johnson & Johnson, 19.2 mil 30% Feb 2021 1, 2, 3, 4 Sputnik V Myanmar COVAX, Covishield, China 30 mil 28% Feb 2021 1, 2, 3, 4 COVAX, AstraZeneca, Covovax; 1, 2, 3, 4, Philippines 33.8 mil 35% Q1 2021 China, Sputnik V, Pfizer, Moderna 5, 6, 7, 8 Moderna, Pfizer, Sinovac, locally Singapore Not Available 100% Started 1, 2 developed AstraZeneca, Sinovac, locally Thailand 63 mil 45% Feb 2021 1, 2, 3 developed AstraZeneca, COVAX, Sputnik V Vietnam 50-150 mil 26-78% May 2021 1, 2, 3 locally developed; China, Pfizer, Data accurate as of 20:00 (UTC+8) on 10 Jan 2021. Sources: Various Pear Anderson Sign up for weekly updates 10 Jan 2021 Update https://www.pearanderson.com/coronavirus/ THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN TOURISM INDUSTRY Cambodia sees 1.27 million tourists over 31 Dec – 3 CAMBODIA Jan. On Page 4 • Luxury hotel Hyatt Regency Phnom Penh opens • Government aims to increase skills of tourism professionals Sriwijaya Air SJ182 flight crashes into sea, black boxes INDONESIA located. On Page 13 • Vaccination drive with Jokowi receiving first shot • Java and Bali to see their restrictions tightened starts on 13 Jan, amidst record case highs from 11-25 Jan Luang Prabang 2020 visitors down 68% YoY, Vang LAOS Vieng’s down 60% YoY. On Page 37 • Vientiane is planning to develop smart zones in • Completion of a new airport in Huaphan province the city has been delayed for a 3rd time Malaysia’s PM to announce new restrictions on 11 Jan, MALAYSIA with health system near “breaking point”. On Page 42 • MAH expects hotel occupancy to remain ~20- • Sarawak’s inbound tourists in 2020 -71% YoY 30% in Q1 2021 Myanmar Tourism Federation expect int’l tourism to MYANMAR resume in H2, with tourism operating at just 10-20%. On Page 72 • Mandalay Region Hoteliers Association asks for • 30 million doses of Covishield expected to arrive permission to reopen hotels by Feb 30 million dose deal with the Serum Institute of India PHILIPPINES for Covovax signed, delivery expected in Q3 2021. On Page 82 • Philippine Airlines starts to restore flights from • Quarantine hotels in Metro Manila are running its Davao hub out of rooms with balikbayans still arriving SINGAPORE Singapore PM receives his COVID-19 vaccine. On Page 106 • Vaccinated travellers will still be required to • More than 300,000 Singaporeans have used their undertake stay-home requirements SingapoRediscovers vouchers Domestic air travel drops by 60% since Jan; Thai AirAsia THAILAND says 2nd wave has “destroyed” them. On Page 133 • Additional 35 million AstraZeneca doses ordered, • Inter-provincial travel ban for 5 provinces creating total of 63 million doses in pipeline Vietnam’s November domestic flights down just 23% VIETNAM YoY; construction begins for Long Thanh Int’l Airport. On Page 170 • Agreement to buy 30 million doses of • Suspension of inbound flights from countries or AstraZeneca’s vaccine territories with new COVID-19 variant Pear Anderson Sign up for weekly updates 10 Jan 2021 Update https://www.pearanderson.com/coronavirus/ THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN TOURISM INDUSTRY CAMBODIA Tourism industry stands to lose $5 billion USD. TRAVEL All visa exemptions, visas on arrival and e-visas are suspended. Travellers must RESTRICTIONS have valid medical certificates issued 72hrs prior to travel, proof of medical insurance worth up to $50k USD, be tested for COVID-19 upon arrival and undertake a 14-day quarantine with a re-test on the 14th day. They must deposit $2,000 USD on arrival (IATA). LOCKDOWN Public schools to reopen on 11 Jan. Museums, cinemas have reopened. STATUS Flight searches and booking volume for Future flight search for travel to travel to Cambodia Cambodia Source: Sojern COVID-19 dashboard Source: Sojern COVID-19 dashboard TRAVEL BUBBLES & INTERNATIONAL BORDERS 16 Dec: Tourists on expired visas have been granted an automatic extension >> 14 Dec: Cambodia will not shorten its 14-day quarantine >> 5 Dec: The foreign sponsorship of international arrivals will be postponed temporarily >> 30 Nov: All foreign and Cambodian arrivals must quarantine in designated government quarantine centres and will no longer be allowed to self-quarantine at home >> 13 Nov: Cambodia has been added to the UK government’s travel corridor list >> Pear Anderson Sign up for weekly updates 10 Jan 2021 Update https://www.pearanderson.com/coronavirus/ THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN TOURISM INDUSTRY 13 Nov: From 18 Nov, foreign arrivals from China, Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, the European Union and the US who have a sponsor must have a negative certificate within 72 hours of their departure, and have a test upon arrival. They must isolate in a hotel until the results are released, then will be permitted to leave after giving a planned schedule. Diplomats must also provide a certificate stating they are free of COVID-19 within 72 hours of their departure, have a test on arrival, and wait at least 24 hours at a hotel or quarantine for their results. Those foreigners who arrive without sponsorship must now stay in a government-designated hotel for a 2-week mandatory quarantine, and are not permitted to quarantine at home >> 5 Nov: Travel bubble talks with SE Asian nations are expected to be submitted for approval in late Nov, aiming to implement them in Q1 2021 >> 29 Oct: The Pacific Asia Travel Association welcomes the idea of travel bubbles with China, but also urges the government to look at Vietnam and Thailand as partners too. The Cambodia Hotels Association and the Cambodia Association of Travel Agents are also both enthusiastic at the prospect of a travel bubble with China >> 3 Sep: The charges for the COVID-19 tests for foreigners on arrival to Cambodia will be reduced to $100 USD each, with the remainder of their $2,000 USD deposit being paid back 3 days after the 2nd test has a negative result >> 5 Aug: Cambodia has lowered the cash deposit to $2,000 USD for foreign travellers on arrival. Travellers must buy a local health insurance package which will cost $90 USD and be valid for 20 days >> VACCINE 29 Dec: Cambodia is planning 3 approaches to purchase vaccines: 1) obtain 20% via COVAX, 2) discuss with development partners how to purchase affordable vaccines and 3) negotiate directly with the vaccine manufacturers >> 23 Dec: UNICEF has offered to deliver 850 tonnes of vaccines every month ordered through COVAX to Cambodia >> 19 Dec: Cambodia has clarified that it has not shunned any vaccines, after media reported that it had shunned Chinese vaccines >> 15 Dec: Cambodia will obtain 20% of its vaccine, for about 3.2 million of the population. It will only accept vaccines which have been certified by the WHO. The WHO hope that a vaccine could be available by mid-2021. It has received $48 million USD in donations from the public >> Pear Anderson Sign up for weekly updates 10 Jan 2021 Update https://www.pearanderson.com/coronavirus/ THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE SOUTHEAST ASIAN TOURISM INDUSTRY 12 Dec: The WHO has said that vaccines could be available in Cambodia in mid- 2021 or earlier >> 11 Dec: The government has received $36.8 million USD in donations for purchases of the vaccine, but has not yet decided which type to buy and where it will be sourced from. Its community cases have risen to 39 from the Zando cluster >> 9 Dec: The government will purchase 1 million COVID-19 doses, a move that should boost business confidence >> 13 Oct: China has promised that Cambodia will be one of the first countries to get a COVID-19 vaccine.