2021 CTDOT Service and Fare Equity Analysis Bureau of Public Transportation Connecticut Department of Transportation DRAFT – April 29, 2021 CTDOT 2021 Rail and Bus SAFE Analysis Table of Contents Service and Fare Equity Analysis Executive Summary .................................................................. viii Equity Analysis Methodology ................................................................................................... viii Connecticut Rail System Changes ......................................................................................... viii Proposed Hartford Express Bus System Changes .................................................................. viii Proposed New Haven Bus System Changes ............................................................................ ix Service and Fare Analyses – Findings and Alternatives .............................................................. ix Rail System Findings ................................................................................................................ ix Rail System Mitigation Alternatives ........................................................................................ ix Bus System Findings ................................................................................................................. x Bus System Mitigation Alternatives ......................................................................................... x Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 1 Title VI Principles and Definitions ................................................................................................... 1 Service Equity Analysis Policy ..................................................................................................... 2 Fare Equity Analysis Policy .......................................................................................................... 2 Disparate Impact/Disproportionate Burden Policy .................................................................... 3 Major Service Changes ................................................................................................................ 3 Fare Changes ............................................................................................................................... 3 Rail ................................................................................................................................................... 5 Connecticut Rail System Description .......................................................................................... 5 Background of COVID-Related Rail Changes .............................................................................. 6 Transit Agency Response to National Public Health Emergency ............................................ 7 Ancillary Impact of the Pandemic on Rail Transit ................................................................... 8 COVID Rail Service Changes ........................................................................................................ 9 Rail Lines Major Service Change Analysis ............................................................................... 9 Rail Major Service Change Summary .................................................................................... 10 COVID Rail Service Equity Analysis ........................................................................................... 11 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 11 COVID Rail Service Equity Analysis Results ........................................................................... 12 COVID Rail Schedule Impacts and Alternatives ........................................................................ 24 Summary of Impacts from COVID Service Changes .............................................................. 24 ii | P a g e CTDOT 2021 Rail and Bus SAFE Analysis Causes and Alternatives to COVID-Induced Service Changes............................................... 25 Weekday Off-peak Eastbound Service to New Haven - Stops .............................................. 25 Weekend Westbound SLE Service to New Haven - Headways ............................................. 28 Rail COVID Schedule Impacts and Alternatives Summary .................................................... 29 COVID Rail Fare Equity Analysis ................................................................................................ 30 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 30 Fare Changes Analysis ........................................................................................................... 32 Rail Fare Equity Analysis Results ........................................................................................... 34 COVID Rail Fare Impacts and Alternatives ............................................................................ 36 Bus ................................................................................................................................................. 37 Bus System Description............................................................................................................. 37 Hartford Express Bus System ................................................................................................ 37 New Haven Local Bus System ............................................................................................... 38 Proposed Bus Service Changes ................................................................................................. 39 Hartford Express Bus System Changes ................................................................................. 39 New Haven Local Bus System Changes ................................................................................. 62 Bus Service Equity Analysis ....................................................................................................... 64 Service Equity Analysis Methodology ................................................................................... 64 Bus Service Equity Analysis Results ...................................................................................... 67 Bus Service Change Impacts and Alternatives ...................................................................... 87 Bus Fare Equity Analysis ........................................................................................................... 95 Fare Equity Analysis Methodology ....................................................................................... 96 Fare Change Analysis Overview ............................................................................................ 99 Alternatives to Proposed Fare Changes .............................................................................. 104 Appendix A – COVID Rail Major Service Change Threshold Analysis Results ............................. 105 Appendix B – COVID Rail Service Equity Analysis Schedule Analysis Table ................................ 109 Appendix C – COVID Rail Fare Equity Analysis Tables ................................................................ 118 Appendix D – New Haven Bus Routes with Span of Service Expansions .................................... 122 Appendix E – Bus Major Service Change Threshold Analysis Results ......................................... 135 Appendix F – Bus SAFE Fare Equity Analysis Tables ................................................................... 151 iii | P a g e CTDOT 2021 Transit SAFE Analyses Table of Figures Figure 1 – Map of Connecticut Rail Passenger Service ................................................................... 5 Figure 2 – COVID-19 Cases in Connecticut ..................................................................................... 7 Figure 3 – State Street Service Diagram ....................................................................................... 26 Figure 4 - Greater Hartford Commuter Express Bus System ........................................................ 37 Figure 5 - New Haven Local Bus System ....................................................................................... 38 Figure 6 - Asylum Hill Shuttle ........................................................................................................ 40 Figure 7 - Columbus Boulevard Shuttle – AM Service Pattern ..................................................... 41 Figure 8 - Columbus Boulevard Shuttle – PM Service Pattern ..................................................... 41 Figure 9 - State Capitol Shuttle ..................................................................................................... 42 Figure 10 – 901 Avon-Canton Express .......................................................................................... 43 Figure 11 - 902 Corbin-Farm Springs Express ............................................................................... 44 Figure 12 - 903 Manchester-Buckland Express ............................................................................. 45 Figure 13 - 905 Enfield-Somers/Windsor Locks Express ............................................................... 47 Figure 14 - 915 Windsor Express .................................................................................................