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NAME OF FUNDING ISPONSORING 8b OFFICE SYMBOL 9 PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER ORGANIZATION (If applicable) The use of trade names in this report does not constitute- an official endorsement or approval of the use of such commercial hardware or softv,'are. The report may not be cited for purposes of advertisement. 8e, ADDRESS (City, State, and ZIP Code) 10 SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERS PROGRAM PROJECT TASK WORK UNIT ELEMENT NO. NO NO. ACCESSION NO. 11 TITLE (Include Security Classification) PLEASE NOTIFY THE DEFENSE NUCLEAR AGENCY ATTN: STT1, WASHINGTON, D.C. 20305-1000, IF PROCEEDINGS OF THE 9th ANNUAL SYMPOSIUM ON THE ROLE OF BEHAVIORAL SCIENCE IN PHYSICAL YOUR ADDRESS IS INCORRECT, IF YOU WISH TO BE DELETED FROM THE DISTRIBUTION LIST, SECURITY Ie'Symmetry arrd Asymmetry of Global AdversarJ Behavior OR IF THE ADDRESSEE IS NO LONGER EMPLOYBD BY YOUR ORGANIZATION. 12 PERSONAL AUTHOR(S) Major Barbara G. CU rti s, USA Managing Editor 13a. TYPE OF REPORT 113b. TIME COVERED 14. DATE OF REPORT (Year. Month, Day) 115 PAGE COUNT FROM TO 1984 April 4 100 16. SUPPLEMENTMY NOTATION 97172 "'"''7 COSA TI CODES 18 SUBJECT TERMS (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by block nUfT'ber) U.S. Department of Justice FIELD GROUP SUB-GROUP Human Behavior National Institute of Justice 5 10 Terrori sm d d exactly as received from the This document has bee~ repr? u.ce . ts of view or opInions stated Phvsical Security person or organization onglnalln~ It. P~'~ors and do not necessarily 19. ABSTRACT (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by block number) in this document ~re tho.s.e of t e ~~ s of the National Institute of represent the offiCial position or po IC e These proceedings represent the papers available for publication which were presented at Justice. the 9th Annual Symposium on the Role of Behavioral Science in Physical Security - Symmetry • ~ material has been Permission to reproduce thiS c~- and Asymmetry of Global Adversary Behavior, held on 3-4 April 1984 in Springfield, Virginia. granted by P]lb] j e rx-ma i n / IJS Defense NJle] ear-. lIgency to the Natlonal Criminal Justice Reference Service (NCJRS). Further reproduction outside of the NCJRS system requires permis­ sion of the c~ 'lwner. 20. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY OF ABSTRACT 21 ABSTRACT SECURITY CLASSIFICATION o UNCLASSIFIED/UNLIMITED [Xl SAME AS RPT. o DTIC USERS UNCLASS I FI ED 22a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL 22b. TELEPHONE (Include Area Code) 122C, OFFICE SYMBOL Betty L. Fox 202-325-7769 STTI 83 APR editIOn may be used until exhausted. DO FORM 1473,84 MAR SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE All other editions are obsolete. UNCLASS I Fl ED r ----.-- ..... Table of Contents b Agenda.. ........................................................................................ v J '1 "The Future of Conflict to the Year 2000" ;f Dr. William J. Taylor, Jr ...................................................................... 1 1 q~ ~5ro;;:;~~ i::~':~:~ ;o~:I~ ~n~~:~ ~~d C~~~t~~~~~~~~~~': ......................................... 7 ~f)1f)4 Ph; ~:~8e~f~~;~:i~~~~.0.I~c.~~~~~~~ .~~~ .t~~.~:~.~~ ~~~ ~~l~~l~.e~:' .................................... 21 "Terrorism: The Challenge to the Private Sector" George Murphy. .. 35 qf) I r](prs~~:ne~~:'hi:eIDJ::~7~s ~~t~. ~~~~~~i~~': ........................................................... 39 "A Discussion of the Factors Affecting Congression~l Legislation on Terrorism: 535 and Counting" Victoria Toensing . .. 49 ~r) I f'lr}ferrorism, Intelligence, and the Law" Joseph E. diGenova ........................................................................... 53 'l'lI~fM~~::, a;d ;:.:~~~~ ~f .T~~'~.d~t ~~~~rJ:·. .. .. 61 Roster of Participants. .. 81 Distribution List ................................................................................. 89 NCj}~9 MAR ?,9 j~ () iii ,;" ,. AGENDA 9th Annual Symposium on the Role of Behavioral Science in Physical Security SYMMETRY AND ASYMMETRY OF GLOBAL ADVERS1):RY BEHAVIOR Tuesday, 3 April 1984 - .., .. .~. 0830-0915 Registration 0915 Opening Remarks Major General Grayson D. Tate, Jr., USA Deputy Director (Operations & Administration) Defense Nuclear Agency Administrative Announcements "The Future of Conflict to the Year 2000" Dr. William J. Taylor, Jr. Executive Director and Chief Operating Officer The Georgetown University Center for Strategic and International Studies "Domestic Terrorism: Threat Analysis and Countermeasures" Deputy Inspector Donald E. Moss Commanding Officer of the Public Security Section Intelligence Division, New York City Police Department 1200-1300 Lunch 1300 "The Face of Terrorism-Policymaking and the Eye of the Beholder" J. Robert McBrien Deputy for Security Affairs and Crisis Management Office of the Secretary, Department of the Treasury "Preparing Personnel to Live with a Protean Terrorist Threat" Billy Hix Chief, Physical Security Central Intelligence Agency "Terrorism: The Challenge to the Private Sector" George Murphy Manager of Security Mobil Corporation Steven Van Cleave President Inter-American Consultants 1700-1800 Social Hour 1800-1900 Dinner 1900-2000 "Asymmetries in Dealing with Terrorism" Brian Michael Jenkins ... I)' Program Director Security and Subnational Conflict The Rand Corporation v o Preceding page blank --~------- Wednesday, 4 April 1984 0900 "A Discussion of the Factors Affecting Congressional Legislation on Terrorism: 535 and Counting" Victoria Toensing Deputy Assistant Attorney General U.S. Department of Justice "Terrorism, Intelligence,. and the Law" Joseph E. diGenova United States Attorney for the District of Columbia U.S. Department of Justice 1130-1300 Lunch 1300 "Manifestation of Terrorism-Message and Meaning" James 1. Stinson Manager, Behavioral Sciences Department CACI, Inc.-Federal "Motives and Tactics of Terrorist Groups" Oliver B. Revell Assistant Director. Federal Bureau of Investigation 1450-1500 Closing Remarks Colonel Charles R. Linton, USAF Director for Operations Defense Nuclear Agency vi o The Future of Conflict to the Year 2000 Dr. William J. Taylor, Jr. Executive Director and Chief Operating Officer The Georgetown University Center for Strategic and International Studies The future political-military environment will be future has to be jesting. It is possible, however, through characterized by "low-intensity conflict," defined as a the technique known as "forecasting," to develop useful range of operations involving Soviet special intelligence, road maps for approaching the future. Soviet psychological warfare, Soviet support for terrorism Why forecasting? Why would anyone want to pursue and insurgency, and increasing use of Soviet proxies. The it? No one knows better than those who have worked in primary focus of these activities will be in the Third World, bureaucracies, such as the Departments of State or focused along the sea lanes of communication