COUNTRY REPORT Evaluation of UNFPA support to population and housing census data to inform decision-making and policy formulation 2005-2014 Myanmar CountryEvaluation Office, Case UNFPA Study Januaury 2016 Evaluation Office 1 M yanmar Country Case Study Report Evaluation Office Alexandra Chambel Evaluation manager, Evaluation Adviser and chair of the evaluation reference group Natalie Raaber Research assistant ICON-INSTITUT Public Sector consultants Jordi del Bas Lead evaluation expert Jean Michel Durr Senior census expert Isabelle De Pourbaix Census expert Nyo Nyo Soe National expert Christophe Dietrich ICON Backstopping Copyright © UNFPA 2015, all rights reserved. The analysis and recommendations of this report do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations Population Fund. This is an independent publication by the independent Evaluation Office of UNFPA. A multicultural team of international and national experts authored this report. The report has been quality assured, including extensively fact-checked, by the UNFPA Evaluation Office and the UNFPA Country Office in Myanmar. The findings have been found to be sound and credible by the UNFPA Evaluation Office. The report has not, however, been subject to a professional copy edit or systematic editorial checks and may therefore vary in editorial quality. Any enquiries about this report should be addressed to: Evaluation Office, United Nations Population Fund, e-mail: [email protected] For further information on the evaluation please consult the Evaluation Office webpage: http://www.unfpa.org/public/home/about/Evaluation/EBIER/TE 2 M yanmar Country Case Study Report Acronyms APRO Asia and the Pacific Regional Office (UNFPA) AWP Annual Work Plans CEDAW Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women CO Country offices CPAP Country Programme Action Plan CPD Country Programme Document CSO Civil Society Organisation CTA Chief Technical Assistance DFID Department for International Development DHS Demographic and Health Survey DoP Department of Population EQ Evaluation Question EQA Evaluation Quality Assessment EO Evaluation Office GDP Gross Domestic Product GNP Gross National Product ICPD International Conference on Population and Development IHLCS Integrated Household Living Conditions Survey ILO International Labor Organization JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency LFS Labour Force Survey LTA Long-Term Agreement ITAB International Technical Advisory Board MCF Myanmar Census Fund M&E Monitoring and evaluation MDG Millennium Development Goals MIMU Myanmar Information Management Unit MoIP Ministry of Inmigration and Population MPI Multidimensional Poverty Index NAC National Advisory Committee NASPAW National Strategic Plan for the Advancement of Women 2013-2022 NSO National Statistical Office OECD-DAC Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development/Development Assistance Committee 3 M yanmar Country Case Study Report Acronyms OMR Optical Mark Reading P&D Population & Development PSB Procurement Unit in Copenhagen RO Regional office SRH Sexual and Reproductive Health SSC South-South Cooperation TA Technical Assistance TORs Terms of reference UNCT United Nations country team UNDAF United National Development Assistance Framework UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNEG United Nations Evaluation Group UNFPA United Nations Population Fund UNHCR The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees UN-Habitat United Nations Human Settlements Programme UNIC United Nations Information Centre UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund UNSD United Nations Statistics Division UN-Women United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women USAID United States Agency for International Development WFP World Food Programme 4 M yanmar Country Case Study Report Table of contents Acronyms ............................................................................................................................................................ 3 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 8 2. Approach and methodology of the country case study......................................................... 10 3. Country context and overview of UNFPA response ............................................................... 16 4. Findings and analysis ......................................................................................................................... 26 5. Considerations for the overarching global thematic level ................................................... 83 ....................................................................................................................................................... 86 Annexes ............................................................................................................................................................ 88 Annex 1 List of documents consulted ................................................................................................... 89 Annex 2 List of people consulted............................................................................................................ 96 Annex 3 Atlas portfolio of interventions in Myanmar ................................................................ 102 Annex 4 Stakeholder map ...................................................................................................................... 107 Annex 5 The Evaluation Matrix ............................................................................................................ 115 Annex 6 Cyber search on census positions and controversies ................................................ 124 Annex 7 Interview Logbook .................................................................................................................. 128 Annex 8 Interview protocols/ guides ................................................................................................ 129 List of tables Table 1. UNFPA country quadrants - modes of engagement by setting .................................. 10 Table 2. Strategic Priority 4 - Outcome 3 of the United Nations Strategic Framework 2012 - 2015 ..................................................................................................................................................... 21 Table 3. Expected outputs of the Myanmar Country Programme 2012 - 2015 ................... 22 Table 4. Targets in the Annual Work Plans associated to the achievement of output 3 of the 2012-2015 programme ...................................................................................................................... 23 List of Figures Figure 1. People consulted by type of stakeholder ......................................................................... 13 Figure 2. Total amount budgeted and spent (core and non-core resources) on census - 2012-2014 ....................................................................................................................................................... 24 Figure 3. Breakdown of total expenditure on census by type of funds ................................... 24 Figure 4. Expenditure on P&D as percentage of total UNFPA expenditure and expenditure on census as percentage of total P&D expenditure ............................................... 25 Figure 5. Timeline: Key dates of the census process ...................................................................... 32 Figure 6. Core UNFPA contributions to creating an enabling environment for census in Myanmar .......................................................................................................................................................... 37 Figure 7. UNFPA support staff working on the Myanmar census .............................................. 56 Figure 8. Commitment / receipt of the first tranche of funding by donor ............................. 59 Figure 9. UNFPA comparative strengths – support to census in Myanmar ........................... 67 Figure 10. Context, needs and response modalities ....................................................................... 84 5 M yanmar Country Case Study Report List of Boxes Box 1. The term data ...................................................................................................................................... 8 Box 2. What a case study is not .................................................................................................................. 9 Box 3. The six selected countries for the case study visits Error! Bookmark not defined. Box 4. Content analysis .............................................................................................................................. 13 Box 5. Contribution analysis .................................................................................................................... 14 Box 6. Human Development Index (HDI) ............................................................................................ 17 Box 7. A context that challenged technical choices ......................................................................... 20 Box 8. A population census, also means a sampling frame for surveys .................................. 27 Box 9. Example of UNFPA support alignment with national needs on data .......................... 27 Box 10. Much more than statistical data: a tool for dialogue .....................................................