David Haugh Economist Macroeconomic Policy Division Contact information [email protected] Education PhD, Economics, Australian National University, 2006 MA (Hons), Economics, University of Auckland, 1997 LLB, University of Auckland, 1996 Professional experience OECD, 2006-present New Zealand Treasury, 1998-2002 Selected publications "The Macroeconomic Consequences of Banking Crises in OECD Countries", OECD Economics Department Working Paper, No. 683, 2009 (with P. Ollivaud) "Quantifying the effect of financial conditions in the euro area, Japan, United Kingdom and United States", OECD Economics Department Working Paper, No. 677, 2009 (with S. Guichard and D. Turner) “Maximising Mexico’s gains from integration in the world economy”, OECD Economics Department Working Paper, No. 657, 2008 (with R. Jamin and B. Rocha) “Monetary Policy under Uncertainty about the Nature of Asset-Price Shocks”, International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 4, No. 4, 2008 “Some Methods for Assessing the Need for Non-Linear Models in Business Cycle Analysis”, International Journal of Forecasting, 21, 651-662, 2005 (with J. Engel and A. Pagan). “The Influence of Consumer Confidence and Stock Prices on the United States Business Cycle”, CAMA Working Paper, ANU, 3/2005. “Markov Switching Models for GDP Growth in a Small Open Economy: The New Zealand Experience”, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 1, 227-257, 2004 (with R. Buckle and P. Thomson). “Calm After the Storm? Supply Side Contributions to New Zealand’s GDP Volatility Decline”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 37, 217-243, 2003 (with R. Buckle and P. Thomson). “Oligopoly Behaviour in the Trans-Tasman Air Travel Market. The Case of Kiwi International”, New Zealand Economic Papers, 33, 1-25, 1999 (with T. Hazledine). “Influences on Investment Intentions: Micro and Macro Results using Business Survey Data” in: Oppenlaender et al. (eds.), Use of Survey Data for Industry, Research and Economic Policy, Aldershot, England; Ashgate Publishing, 1999 (with R. Buckle and P. Rodway). .