REPORT Calgary -Bow Valley Mass Transit Feasibility Study (Client Reference: RFP 1-500-5330-5320) Final Report Prepared for: The Town of Banff Prepared by: CPCS In association with sub-contractors: Dillon Consulting Ltd. Dominion Railway Services Ltd. Iron Moustache CPCS Ref: 17191 November 5, 2018 REPORT | Calgary-Bow Valley Mass Transit Feasibility Study Client Ref: RFP 1-500-5330-5320 Table of Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................ i Acronyms / Abbreviations ............................................................................................................. ix 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 1 Background ................................................................................................................................ 1 Project Objectives ..................................................................................................................... 2 Project Structure ....................................................................................................................... 2 Methodology ............................................................................................................................. 2 Limitations ................................................................................................................................. 3 Outline of this Report ................................................................................................................ 3 2 Demand Analysis Methodology .................................................................................................. 5 Overall Approach ....................................................................................................................... 5 Survey Methodologies and Responses ..................................................................................... 8 Estimated In-Scope Visitors ..................................................................................................... 10 Visitors – Distribution of Origins and Destinations ................................................................. 14 Bow Valley Residents .............................................................................................................. 17 Willingness to Use Transit ....................................................................................................... 18 Potential for Induced Trips ...................................................................................................... 21 Intra-Bow Valley Transit Trips ................................................................................................. 22 Peaking Factors and Daily Distributions .................................................................................. 22 Growth Rates ........................................................................................................................... 25 3 Potential Fares ......................................................................................................................... 26 Potential Fare Levels ............................................................................................................... 26 Proposed Fares ........................................................................................................................ 29 Concession Fares and Implications on Average Fares ............................................................ 30 Roam Transit Integration ........................................................................................................ 31 4 Candidate Rail Station and Bus Stop Locations .......................................................................... 33 Calgary ..................................................................................................................................... 35 Cochrane ................................................................................................................................. 45 Stoney Nation .......................................................................................................................... 49 REPORT | Calgary-Bow Valley Mass Transit Feasibility Study Client Ref: RFP 1-500-5330-5320 Canmore .................................................................................................................................. 51 Banff ........................................................................................................................................ 56 Lake Louise .............................................................................................................................. 60 Proposed Bus Routes and Stops .............................................................................................. 63 Proposed Rail Stations ............................................................................................................. 69 5 Bus Ridership and Revenues ..................................................................................................... 76 Ridership .................................................................................................................................. 76 Bus Annual Revenue ................................................................................................................ 82 6 Bus Service Design and Operational Requirements ................................................................... 84 Service Design ......................................................................................................................... 84 Vehicle Selection ..................................................................................................................... 89 Regulatory Requirements for Bus Operations ........................................................................ 93 Operating Requirements ......................................................................................................... 95 Bus Maintenance and Storage Facility .................................................................................... 96 Service Delivery Options ......................................................................................................... 96 7 Bus Stop Requirements ........................................................................................................... 103 Conceptual Station Requirements ........................................................................................103 Bus Stations ...........................................................................................................................106 8 Bus Operating Costs................................................................................................................. 124 Bus Operations ......................................................................................................................124 Ancillary, Supervisory, Management and Other Fixed Costs ................................................129 Bus Stop Operations ..............................................................................................................129 Summary ...............................................................................................................................130 9 Bus Capital Costs ..................................................................................................................... 132 Vehicle ...................................................................................................................................132 Stops ......................................................................................................................................133 Maintenance Depot...............................................................................................................134 10 Bus Implementation Plan ....................................................................................................... 135 Bus Implementation Steps and Timelines .............................................................................135 11 Rail Ridership and Revenue Estimates .................................................................................... 138 Rail Ridership .........................................................................................................................138 REPORT | Calgary-Bow Valley Mass Transit Feasibility Study Client Ref: RFP 1-500-5330-5320 Estimated Revenue ................................................................................................................141 Additional Cochrane Commuter Demand .............................................................................143 12 Existing Rail Infrastructure and Operations ............................................................................ 145 Study Area .............................................................................................................................145 Existing Linear Rail Infrastructure .........................................................................................146 Maintenance Facilities...........................................................................................................151 Existing Rail Operations .........................................................................................................152