www.99acres.com CHENNAI RESIDENTIAL MARKET UPDATE OCTOBER-DECEMBER 2019 Market Sentiment INSITE 99acres India’s No.1 Property Portal FROM CBO’S DESK The year 2019 was testimony to nominal changes in top eight metros. the economic slowdown worsening The rental landscape had a merrier the already shaky housing sector tale to narrate with most metros of the country, which is still trying witnessing ‘asks’ going north between to come to terms with multiple two and four percent, YoY. policy reforms and funding crisis. Developers were seen resisting new The real estate industry awaits launches as the remnants of the Union Budget 2020-21 for pro-buyer NBFC crisis still trouble the sector at announcements to uplift housing large. The quarter Oct-Dec 2019 was demand and sales. no different, although it experienced certain green shoots of recovery in buyer sentiment following the announcement of certain financial measures by the Government. The creation of an Alternative Investment Fund (AIF) to help complete stalled residential projects and reduction in repo rates to make home loans cheaper top the list. There were fewer residential launches in the last quarter of the year against Jul-Sep 2019. Responses and enquiries, too, experienced a Maneesh Upadhyaya downturn, QoQ. Average weighted Chief Business Officer property prices reported no or 99acres.com NATIONAL MARKET OUTLOOK INDICATORS Capital Values Rental Values Supply HOME BUYING SENTIMENT Homebuyers continued with their wait-and-watch strategy as the economy failed to pick-up the pace. Alternative Investment Funds worth Rs 25,000 crore cheered the stakeholders of stuck residential projects, but failed to push transactions in the short-term. Property sales plummeted by DELHI NCR 20 percent, QoQ, and stood at 55,000 units in Oct-Dec 2019. PROPERTY PRICES Delhi NCR, Mumbai, Pune and Chennai did not witness any KOLKATA major deviations in average property ‘asks’, QoQ. Bangalore, AHMEDABAD Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad witnessed prices going up by a marginal one percent. With an unsold stock of 6.55 lakh units across the top eight metro cities, any significant MUMBAI jump in prices is unlikely in the short-term. PUNE HYDERABAD RENTAL LANDSCAPE Amid subdued home buying sentiment, the rental landscape registered notable growth, YoY. All metros, barring Delhi NCR and Pune, reported an annual uptick of three percent each in rental ‘asks’. While overweighing ready inventory restricted rental growth to two percent in Delhi NCR, the booming IT BANGALORE industry pushed rentals by four percent in Pune, YoY. CHENNAI SUPPLY Muted sales and the ongoing NBFC crisis forced developers to refrain from launching new residential projects. Delhi NCR, Mumbai, Bangalore, Chennai and Kolkata reported a decline of 20-30 percent in new project additions, QoQ. An inventory 99acres of 4.58 lakh stalled units, too, encouraged developers to India’s No.1 Property Portal restrict new launches. * Capital values represent quarterly change * Rental values represent yearly change * Supply is basis properties listed on 99acres.com CHENNAI’S REALTY AT A GLANCE Property Rental Prices ‘Asks’ Price movement in key micro-markets Localities Oct-Dec 2019 QoQ % Change YoY % Change Medavakkam 4,040 - 4,670 1% 2% Demand Supply Porur 4,920 - 5,850 1% -1% Madipakkam 4,460 - 5,310 0% 2% Perambur 5,540 - 6,780 2% 5% Velachery 6,100 - 7,670 -1% 0% T Nagar 10,800 - 12,200 0% 9% * Property prices represent quarterly change * Rental ‘asks’ represent yearly change * Supply is basis properties listed on 99acres.com * Demand is basis queries received on 99acres.com Ambattur 4,520 - 4,990 -1% -2% Anna Nagar 8,700 - 10,990 1% 3% Avadi 3,400 - 3,950 1% 4% Adyar 10,940 - 14,700 -1% -6% * Average ‘ask’ rates have been calculated as per listings posted on 99acres.com INSITE : Chennai 7 99acres DEMAND & SUPPLY India’s No.1 Property Portal DYNAMICS 99ACRES’ 19% OUTLOOK 19% Chennai’s realty market remained subdued in Oct-Dec 2019. New launches dipped by 30 percent, QoQ, due to the ongoing liquidity crunch, sand shortage and 41% inventory overhang. The city saw the addition of around 35 new projects this quarter with majority of them being re-launches. The elimination of the ‘mixed residential’ 26% projects category from the new building rules in the State left the fate of around 30 such projects hanging in the balance, marring realty sentiment significantly. 55% Unsold inventory stood at 13,500 units in Oct-Dec 2019, slightly lower than Jul-Sep 2019. Property rates were stable, QoQ, while rentals spiked by three percent, YoY. 40% Chennai witnessed the sale of around 5.2 million sq ft of office space in 2019. The supply of offices jumped by over 30 percent and stood at 1.7 million sq ft. Old Mahabalipuram Road (OMR) and Pallavaram-Link Road reported maximum transactions. Residential sales spiked by six percent in 2019 and stood at around 17,000 units. This growth, however, is because of the virtue of low base effect. Localities such Demand Supply as Kolathur, Korattur, and Madhavaram in North Chennai remained most popular, especially for compact homes. Affordable Housing (Within Rs 40 lakh) The city is unlikely to witness any increase in property Mid-income Housing (Rs 40 lakh - Rs 1 crore) prices in near future. Factors such as limited buyer Luxury Housing base and a 14 percent gap in the demand and supply (Rs 1 crore and above) of properties priced within Rs 40 lakh, with former overweighing the latter are at play here. * Graph depicts demand and supply of residential inventory across budget segments in the studied quarter INSITE : Chennai 9 INSITE : Chennai 9 KEY HIGHLIGHTS In the last quarter of 2019, property prices remained unchanged in Chennai’s housing market. The city, however, narrated a better rental story, with average rent increasing by three percent in Oct-Dec 2019 versus Oct-Dec 2018. South Chennai accounted for over half of the total new launches in the studied quarter. Being an IT/ITeS hub, the CAPITAL & region remained a favourite amongst investors and the tenant community. This quarter, Sholinganallur, Velachery, Chromepet, Kodambakkam, and Medavakkam housed the RENTAL maximum number of newly launched and re-launched housing projects. The region also continued as a rental hub 9% 9% with as many as 20 localities seeing rental rates going up by 2-9 percent, YoY. Some of the top performers include the popular hubs of Oragadam, Padur and Perumbakkam. 7% Affordable homes priced within Rs 40 lakh captured over half of the housing demand in the city. On the contrary, the highest demand-supply gap was registered in the price category of Rs 60 lakh-Rs 1 crore, with supply outnumbering 5% demand by 13 percent. 4% Not surprisingly, areas close to the IT hubs and commercial spaces remained popular. Located along the Chennai-Trichy Highway, Tambaram posted a hike of two percent, QoQ, on the back of ample residential inventory along with easy accessibility via the Mass Rapid Transit System (MRTS). 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% The proposed Porur-Vadapalani metro corridor helped 0% 0% 0% 0% Ambattur Velachery Thoraipakkam Oragadam Porur gain traction amongst buyers and tenants. The locale scored a nine percent hike in average rentals, YoY. With Porur Pallavaram Avadi Urapakkam Chromepet Madipakkam 0% residential units priced around Rs 5,800 per sq ft, property -1% -1%% ‘asks’ also went up, albeit by a modest one percent, QoQ. Capital Rental -3% -3% -3% * %change represents quarterly capital movement and yearly rental movement INSITE : Chennai 11 99acres India’s No.1 Property Portal CONCLUDING NEW LAUNCHES 2% REMARKS KOLKATA Chennai’s real estate market, which has been under pressure for 4% some years now, witnessed a few green shoots of recovery in the last 9% DELHI NCR quarter of the year 2019. The new metro line and increasing office AHMEDABAD space absorption are two factors pushing growth. The city, however, needs more supply in the affordable category to revive end-user interest and sales volume. Additionally, pro-buyer announcements 8% such as tax benefits and more subsidies for first-time home buyers CHENNAI 29% might incentivise fence-sitters to enter the market in the coming MUMBAI quarters. The Union Budget 2020-21, hence, will have a major role to play in deciding the realty future of the city. 12% HYDERABAD 12% 24% BANGALORE PUNE BUDGET-WISE DEMAND SUPPLY The data depicts share of new launches across metro cities in the studied quarter 18% 16% 36% 36% 29% 29% 24% 40% 41% 46% 48% 49% 55% 50% 57% 37% 32% 52% 31% 76% 31% 51% 40% 40% Demand Supply 40% 37% 36% 38% 26% 28% Affordable Housing 35% 45% 44% 33% 31% Mid-income Housing 29% 18% -5% 24% 32% 17% 20% 19% 19% 15% 15% 14% Luxury Housing 15% 6% -6% DELHI NCR MUMBAI BANGALORE PUNE CHENNAI HYDERABAD AHMEDABAD KOLKATA INSITE : Chennai 13 * Graph depicts demand and supply of residential inventory across budget segments in top eight metro cities in the studied quarter INSITE : Chennai 13 METHODOLOGY ANNEXURES The Insite Report by 99acres.com captures the quarterly capital trends and the annual rental analysis of residential apartments in key real estate markets – Delhi NCR, Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR), Bangalore, Pune, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Ahmedabad. In order to assess the prevailing sentiment, the CAPITAL VALUES RENTAL VALUES report delves deep into demand and supply of properties across Locality Oct-Dec 2019 Locality Oct-Dec 2019 Locality Oct-Dec 2019 varied budget segments and occupancy stages. While demand Adambakkam 7460 Poonamallee 4300 Kilpauk 18 is a function of queries received, supply is based on property Adyar 13920 Porur 5850 Kodambakkam 22 listings posted on 99acres.com in Oct-Dec 2019.