Children & Young People’s Plan School Organisation Data Supplement 2013 August 2013 1 2 CONTENTS FIGURES AND CHARTS INDEX .............................................................................................................................. 4 PREFACE ...................................................................................................................................................................... 5 DEMOGRAPHIC AND OTHER FORECASTING DATA ....................................................................................... 7 1. NURSERY & EARLY YEARS PROVISION ....................................................................................................... 10 1.1 Existing Provision ................................................................................................................................ 10 1.2 Future Provision .................................................................................................................................. 12 2. PRIMARY ................................................................................................................................................................ 13 2.1 Existing Provision ................................................................................................................................ 13 2.2 Forecasting Influences ........................................................................................................................ 14 2.3 Future Trends ...................................................................................................................................... 15 3. SECONDARY .......................................................................................................................................................... 24 3.1 Existing Provision ................................................................................................................................ 24 3.2 Forecasting Influences ........................................................................................................................ 25 3.3 Future Trends ...................................................................................................................................... 25 4. POST-16 ................................................................................................................................................................... 30 4.1 Existing Provision ................................................................................................................................ 30 4.2 Forecasting Influences ........................................................................................................................ 30 4.3 Future Trends ...................................................................................................................................... 30 5. INCLUSION & SPECIAL NEEDS ........................................................................................................................ 32 5.1 Special Schools ................................................................................................................................... 32 5.2 Provision in Mainstream Schools through Learning Resource Bases and Nurture Bases ................. 33 5.3 Other LA Provision .............................................................................................................................. 34 5.4 Elective Home Education .................................................................................................................... 34 5.5 Children without a School Place .......................................................................................................... 34 5.6 Home Tuition by the LA ....................................................................................................................... 35 5.7 SEN Progression onto Post-16 and Employment ............................................................................... 35 3 FIGURES AND CHARTS INDEX Figure 1: School Population by Sector ........................................................................................................... 7 Figure 2: Pupil Numbers by School Year and Age Groups ........................................................................... 8 Figure 3: Map showing all Schools in the Borough ........................................................................................ 9 Figure 4: Number of Children Funded at Private Nursery Providers ........................................................... 10 Figure 5: Actual Numbers of Pupils in Maintained Nursery Units ................................................................ 11 Figure 6: Pupil Mobility across all Primary Schools ..................................................................................... 16 Figure 7: Primary Schools List with Current and Forecast Numbers, Capacity and Surplus Places .......... 17 Figure 8: Ethnic Data for Southend Primary Schools .................................................................................. 18 Figure 9: Pupil Numbers Attending Southend Schools Who Travel in From Outside the Borough ............. 18 Figure 10: Primary School Attended against Home Catchment Area .......................................................... 19 Figure 11: Borough Births, Admissions to Reception & School Capacity ..................................................... 20 Figure 12: Forecast of Primary Reception Admissions & Total Population .................................................. 20 Figure 13: Births in the Borough by Group Area ........................................................................................... 20 Figure 14: Map showing all Primary Schools in the Borough ....................................................................... 21 Figure 15: Reception Year Forecasts Demand by Group Area .................................................................... 22 Figure 16: Known Larger Housing Developments and Overall Totals by Primary School Group ................ 23 Figure 17: Secondary Schools List with Current and Forecast Numbers ..................................................... 26 Figure 18: Ethnic Data for Southend Secondary Schools ............................................................................ 27 Figure 19: Secondary 11-16 Actual & Forecast Rolls and Year 7 ................................................................ 27 Figure 20: Pupil Mobility data for Southend Secondary Schools .................................................................. 27 Figure 21: Destination of Year 6 Leavers – Summer 2007 ........................................................................... 28 Figure 22: Resident Pupils on Roll in Year 7 at Southend Secondary Schools ........................................... 29 Figure 23: Year 7 Southend Resident Pupils on Roll in Rochford and Castle Point Secondary Schools .... 29 Figure 24: Summary of Year 7 Out of and Into Borough Migration .............................................................. 29 Figure 25a : Post-16 Student Numbers on Roll at Southend Selective and Faith Schools .......................... 31 Figure 25b : Post-16 Student Numbers on Roll at Southend Non-Schools .................................................. 31 Figure 26 : Post-16 Student Numbers by School and School Year .............................................................. 31 Figure 27: Post-16 Actual & Forecast Rolls .................................................................................................. 31 Figure 28: Numbers of Pupils with Special Needs by School Phase ........................................................... 32 Figure 29: Southend Special Schools List .................................................................................................... 36 Figure 30: Special Schools Pupil Numbers by Year Group with Historic Totals ........................................... 36 Figure 31: Special Schools Out of Borough Pupil Numbers by Year Group with Historic Totals ................. 36 Figure 32: Schools Units Pupil Numbers and out of Borough Pupils on Roll ............................................... 37 Figure 33a: Primary Pupils with Special Needs Both With and Without Statements Attending Mainstream Schools .......................................................................................................................................................... 38 Figure 33b: Secondary Pupils with Special Needs Both With and Without Statements Attending Mainstream Schools ...................................................................................................................................... 39 Figure 34: Pupils Attending the Southend Pupil Referral Unit ...................................................................... 40 Figure 35: Elective Home Education ............................................................................................................. 40 Figure 36: Pupils Receiving Home Tuition by LA ......................................................................................... 40 4 PREFACE The Southend Children and Young People's Plan (CYPP), 2013/14, reflects the intentions of the Council, schools, partner agencies and children and young people themselves, to secure continuous improvement across the seven priorities of: 1. Closing the divide between more advantaged and less advantaged children and families in Southend. 2. Supporting