Final 03-27-09 2008 Northeast Coordinated Electric System Plan ISO New England, New York ISO and PJM Contributors: ISO-NE: M. Henderson, J. Platts, W. Henson, M. Garber NYISO: J. Adams, J. Buechler, P. Carney, W. Lamanna PJM: P. McGlynn, M. Nix, G. Velummylum, M. Osman Table of Contents 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY..................................................................................................................... 1 2. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................... 5 3. SUMMARIES OF RTOS’ SYSTEM PLANS ...................................................................................... 6 3.1 ISO-New England 2008 Regional System Plan .................................................................................. 6 3.2 NYISO 2008 Comprehensive Reliability Plan ................................................................................... 7 3.3 PJM 2007 Regional Transmission Expansion Plan (RTEP) ............................................................... 8 3.4 New Interconnections between the ISO/RTOs ................................................................................... 8 3.5 Links to the Regional Plans ................................................................................................................ 8 4. SUMMARIES OF INTERREGIONAL STUDIES ............................................................................ 10 4.1 Loss-of-Source Analyses .................................................................................................................. 10 4.1.1 Summary of Previous Analyses ............................................................................................................... 10 4.2 Interregional Impacts of PJM 500 kV Expansion Plan ..................................................................... 11 4.2.1 Loss-of-Source Transfer Analysis............................................................................................................ 11 4.2.2 PJM Dynamic Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 13 4.3 North Country (NY) Wind Operating Studies .................................................................................. 13 4.4 Plattsburgh Vermont Interconnection Upgrade ................................................................................ 13 4.4.1 Upgrades Studied and Study Method ....................................................................................................... 14 4.4.2 Study Results ........................................................................................................................................... 14 4.5 Queue Projects with Potential Interregional Impacts ........................................................................ 14 4.6 Multi-Regional Transfer Analysis .................................................................................................... 15 4.6.1 Analysis of Loop Flow Between New York and New England ............................................................... 15 4.7 Summary ........................................................................................................................................... 19 5. ADDITIONAL COORDINATED PLANNING ACTIVITIES AND ISSUES ................................ 20 5.1 Northeast Power Coordinating Council ............................................................................................ 20 5.1.1 Coordinated Planning ............................................................................................................................... 20 5.1.2 Resource Adequacy Analysis (CP-8) ....................................................................................................... 21 5.1.3 NPCC Overall Transmission Assessment ................................................................................................ 21 5.1.4 NPCC Transmission Reviews .................................................................................................................. 22 5.1.5 RFC 2013 Summer Long-Term Reliability Study ................................................................................... 22 5.2 IRC Activities ................................................................................................................................... 23 5.3 Eastern Interconnection Reliability Assessment Group .................................................................... 24 5.3.1 Future Assessment Need .......................................................................................................................... 24 5.4 Summary ........................................................................................................................................... 24 6. WIND AND RENEWABLE RESOURCE STUDIES ....................................................................... 26 6.1 Joint Coordinated System Plan Study (JCSP) ................................................................................... 26 6.2 Imports from Eastern Canada ........................................................................................................... 27 6.3 DOE and NERC Wind Integration Activities ................................................................................... 28 6.3.1 Eastern Wind Integration and Transmission Study .................................................................................. 28 6.3.2 NERC’s Integration of Variable Generation Task Force (IVGTF) ........................................................... 29 6.4 Wind Development and Integration Issues in New York, New England and PJM .......................... 29 6.4.1 New York ................................................................................................................................................. 29 ISO New England, New York ISO and PJM i 6.4.2 New England ............................................................................................................................................ 30 6.4.3 PJM .......................................................................................................................................................... 31 6.4.4 Generic Wind Integration Issues .............................................................................................................. 31 6.4.5 Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 32 7. KEY ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES WITH POTENTIAL INTERREGIONAL IMPACTS ........ 33 7.1 Ozone Attainment ............................................................................................................................. 33 7.2 NOX and Reasonable Available Control Technology ....................................................................... 33 7.3 EPA’s NOX Budget Program and Clean Air Interstate Rule ............................................................. 34 7.4 High Electricity Demand Days (HEDD) Program ............................................................................ 35 7.5 Carbon Dioxide (CO2) ...................................................................................................................... 37 7.5.1 CO2 Cap and Trade Programs .................................................................................................................. 37 7.5.2 Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) ........................................................................................... 38 7.5.3 Other GHG Programs .............................................................................................................................. 41 7.6 Power Plant Cooling Water Issues .................................................................................................... 42 7.7 Summary ........................................................................................................................................... 43 8. RENEWABLE RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................... 44 8.1 New England ..................................................................................................................................... 44 8.2 New York .......................................................................................................................................... 47 8.3 PJM States ......................................................................................................................................... 47 8.4 Conclusions ....................................................................................................................................... 48 9. DEMAND-SIDE RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT............................................................................. 49 9.1 ISO New England ............................................................................................................................. 49 9.2 PJM ................................................................................................................................................... 50 9.3 New York ISO .................................................................................................................................. 50 9.4 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................................