V15, N42 Thursday, July 22, 2010 Battle for House takes shape Parties test outlier races, economy as Daniels engages By BRIAN A. HOWEY RISING SUN - The ad for Attica Clerk- Treauser Sharon Negele blipped up on Terre !"#$%&"'(&)"*"+%$$%&,-&."/$&0%%12&3$&4/&$5%&[7/$& Attica Clerk-Treasurer tangible electronic signal in the coming House Sharon Negele (left) Wars - the battle for the lower chamber which is challenging House will play a huge role in creating the reappor- Majority Caucus Chair- tioned Congressional and legislative maps for man Dale Grubb (top) the coming decade. in a race HPI viewed as “She’s more than just our neighbor,” a lower tier challenge. the voiceover states as it shows Negele greet- The HRCC is running ing neighbors, standing in front of an Attica TV to drive her name ID [7%&$7#81&"'(&09714':&4'&5%7&8"'(+&*"8$97+2& up, hoping the race be- “She’s someone we can count on. Instead of comes competitive if the a career politician, let’s send a trusted friend economy in languishing to represent us. After 22 years, isn’t it time to in the fall and a wave have a new voice for west central Indiana?” develops. (HPI Photo by & ;*&$5%&<=&[>%&97&/9&?%@#A.48"'&85". - A. Walker Shaw) Continued on page 3 How does Brad win? By DAVE KITCHELL LOGANSPORT - What is it exactly that a recent poll on the Indiana Senate race is expected to tell us? The Rasmussen poll, which trends Republican, tells us former Sen. Dan UThis election is going to be a Coats, a Republican who has not referendum on the borrowing, served in Congress in more than a decade, has a 51-30 lead over Brad spending, bailouts and take- Ellsworth, a Democrat who has been there for the past four. overs of this liberal Demo- There are probably many takes on that poll right now, but for the sake cratic Congress and adminis- of honesty, let’s be blunt: This could be the worst Senate race Indiana has tration.V - U.S. Rep. Mike Pence HOWEY Politics Indiana Page 2 Weekly Briefing on Indiana Politics Thursday, July 22, 2010 Howey Politics Indiana is a non-partisan newsletter based in Indianapolis and published on the campus of Franklin College. It was founded in 1994 in Fort Wayne. Brian A. Howey, Publisher Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington Jack E. Howey, editor Beverly K. Phillips, associate editor Brittany Brownrigg, intern ever had. It may not be the fault of the state has ever produced, or vote either candidate because if Sen. Evan against him. Subscriptions Bayh had chosen to run again, there They’re going to have to $350 annually HPI Weekly would probably be a well-organized tell us if the federal stimulus package $550 annually HPI Weekly and token opposition to the most popular should be doing more for Indiana, or HPI Daily Wire. Democrat the state has ever pro- if discretionary funding left up to the ! duced. As it is, both Coats, who has governor isn’t going far enough. Call 317.627.6746 been a Washington lobbyist and hasn’t They’re going to have to tell even lived in the state recently, is back us if Congress is helping what was the Contact HPI in the hunt for a congressional job most unemployed county in America – Howey Politics Indiana solely based on name recognition, and Elkhart County – or hurting it. Ellsworth is the Democrat the party They’re going to have to tell 6255 N. Evanston Ave. has pushed forward in the food chain us if federal funds should be doing Indianapolis, IN 46220 to retain a seat in the majority for the more to promote economic develop- www.howeypolitics.com party. ment and job training, doing the same [email protected] What the poll only tells us is thing or nothing at all. !Howey’s cell: 317.506.0883 who the likely voters are, and in Indi- They’re going to have to tell ! ana, there are more Republicans than us if Indiana should be doing more Washington: 703.248.0909 Democrats. The 51-30 split is roughly to promote its position regionally in !B#/4'%//&;*[8%C&DEF2G<F2GFHG along that party chasm, but what both rail networks to promote passenger campaigns have to get, and get soon, and freight lines, and for that mat- 2010, Howey Politics Indiana. is this: Tell us why Congress matters. ter, shortlines that open up access to All rights reserved. Photocopy- If they want to win, they’re remote areas. going to have to tell us why they can They’re going to have to tell ing, Internet forwarding, fax- do a better job than Bayh, or a bet- us why we should hire them for a ing or reproducing in any form, ter job than the Democratic majority. /4IJ[:#7%&K9A&$5"$&4/&9'%&9*&$5%&L9/$& whole or part, is a violation of They’re going to have tell us if they important ones this state has – a job federal law without permission would vote in lockstep with Richard that’s vital for a state with 10 percent from the publisher. ! Lugar, the most popular Republican unemployment. HOWEY Politics Indiana Page 3 Weekly Briefing on Indiana Politics Thursday, July 22, 2010 They’re going to have to show us how polished ing on name recognition in the places that know them best. they are on matters such as foreign policy, the war in It should be happening, but it just isn’t. In Afghanistan, the BP spill, global warming and clean energy. fact, Illinois probably garnered more recognition in its last They may want to refresh our memories on issues such as Senate appointment, Roland Burris, because Burris was ap- tort reform, Social Security’s viability and Supreme Court pointed by a soon-to-be-impeached governor, than Indiana nominees. has had with Ellsworth and Coats. They should be able to tell us what they would Voters should demand more from both candidates, (9&"/&L%LA%7/&9*&$5%&L"K974$+M&97&L4'974$+M&$9&A%'%[$&$5%& and the candidates should stand and deliver. state, as well as the country. This race shouldn’t be about fundraising on a They should be able to tell us what they can do to shoestring, but raising issues that matter with voters, and promote Indiana as a candidate for more research dollars matter enough to get them to realize one vote, particularly at some of the nation’s best universities. in the U.S. Senate where there are only 100, really matters, They should be taking stands and not making especially to the rest of the country. ! promises they can’t keep. They should be showing their hands instead of playing close to the vest. They should be making names for themselves in this election instead of rid- *98#/&4/&9'&$5%&[>%&97&E[&7"8%/&L9/$&@%9@.%&"7%&0"$854':2 House, from page 1 & !?QQR/&O41%&N%'$7+&'9$%(&$5"$&N7#AAR/&'"L%&3P& lenger campaigns aimed at retaking the House for a wasn’t high in the southern part of the district, thus the 87%/8%'(9&['".&$09&+%"7/&9*&N9>2&O4$85&P"'4%./&$%7LM&!PH<& Republicans decided to spend about $22,000 in the Terre doesn’t leap off the page as a top priority. Haute market to see if they can move Negele’s numbers, But it is symbolic since Negele is taking aim at then hope to catch a wave in the fall. !9#/%&O"K974$+&Q"#8#/&Q5"47L"'&P".%&N7#AAM&059&"$&$5%& “They’ve gone negative on Grubb,” Indiana Demo- mid-April pre-primary reports had cratic Chairman Dan Parker noted. a $20,231 to $2,819 cash-on-hand “They did that in 2008. They go lead over Negele. Other races - in with negative TV and then they R919L9&Q9#'84.L"'&O41%&R"748159**& poll.” vs. State Rep. Ron Herrell, Kyle In HD30, Democrats were conduct- Hupfer vs. State Rep. Scott Reske, ing push polls on behalf of Herrell R%>4'&O"5"'&>/2&S$"$%&?%@2&T9%& this week, according to Howard U%"7/9'M&U#$'"L&Q9LL4//49'%7&T4L& County GOP Chairman Craig Dunn. B"47(&>/2&S$"$%&?%@2&V"'8+&O485"%.M& Republicans are actively going af- $5%&T#(&O8O4..4'&7%L"$85&":"4'/$& ter Democratic leadership with races State Rep. Bob Bischoff, and the "4L%(&"$&N7#AAM&O"K974$+&)%"(%7& %@48&Q5%7+.&O#/:7">%&>/2&S$"$%&?%@2& Russ Stilwell, Whip Paul Robertson, Gail Riecken - will be on the front- Speaker Pro Tempore Emeritus Bob burner. Bischoff and assistant caucus chair Nancy Dembowski. Several of those races have the potential to be & P%L987"$/&7%/@9'(%(&A+&7%87#4$4':&P72&T95'&R#']%7& high-dollar affairs. In HD37, Hupfer reported $56,829 to $9&85"..%':%&O4'974$+&)%"(%7&B74"'&B9/L"M&059&7%@97$%(& Reske’s $10,636. Reske told HPI he’s raised “considerably $513,440 in his pre-primary report (compared to $444,211 more than that” but wouldn’t say how much. In HD77, for Speaker B. Patrick Bauer and $125,106 for Stilwell). O#/:7">%&5"(&"&W=DM=G=&$9&W<XMGGE&"(>"'$":%&9>%7& WISH-TV reported that Democrats recently copied “thou- Riecken. In HD30, Karickhoff outraised Herrell $18,750 to sands of records at Beech Grove City Hall in the effort to $5,951 in the pre-primary report. document Bosma’s work as city attorney there, work that With the Grubb-Negele race and in HD43 where $5%+&@7%>49#/.+&5">%&8"..%(&"&89'\48$&9*&4'$%7%/$2P 8"#8#/J'9L4'"$%(&Y.&O9774/9'&04..&85"..%':%&S$"$%&?%@2& & N9>2&O4$85&P"'4%./M&059&8"L@"4:'%(&*97&!PFGR/& Clyde Kersey, Republicans appear to be seaching for outlier `%'(+&O8V"L"7"&4'&5%7&A4(&*97&$5"$&9@%'&/%"$&4'&O9#'$& races in a cheap media market.