CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION.......................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 PURPOSE OF THE MTP ............................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 ABOUT THE MPO ................................................................................................................................................... 2 1.3 THE PROCESS ......................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.4 NATIONAL, REGIONAL AND LOCAL TRENDS IN TRANSPORTATION ...................................................................................... 3 1.5 NEW DIRECTIONS OF THE MTP.................................................................................................................................. 5 1.6 GOALS AND OBJECTIVES ........................................................................................................................................... 7 CHAPTER 2 OUR PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE .................................................................................... 11 2.1 POPULATION TRENDS ............................................................................................................................................. 11 2.1.1 Population Growth ......................................................................................................................................................... 11 2.1.2 Age Distribution ............................................................................................................................................................. 13 2.1.3 Households .................................................................................................................................................................... 13 2.1.4 Labor Force & Employment ........................................................................................................................................... 14 2.2 COMMUTING TRENDS ............................................................................................................................................ 16 2.2.1 Commuting Patterns ..................................................................................................................................................... 16 2.2.2 Commuting Modes ........................................................................................................................................................ 17 2.2.3 Travel Times .................................................................................................................................................................. 19 2.2.4 Vehicle Travel ................................................................................................................................................................ 19 2.3 TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM ...................................................................................................................................... 21 2.3.1 Roadway Network ......................................................................................................................................................... 21 Mileage ....................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Condition .................................................................................................................................................................... 23 Congestion .................................................................................................................................................................. 25 2.3.2 Freight Movement ........................................................................................................................................................ 29 Trucking ..................................................................................................................................................................... 30 Air .............................................................................................................................................................................. 31 Rail ............................................................................................................................................................................. 31 Water ......................................................................................................................................................................... 31 2.3.3 Passenger Transportation Services ............................................................................................................................... 32 Public Transit Services ............................................................................................................................................... 32 Demand-Response Transportation Services .............................................................................................................. 37 Regional, state & national passenger service ............................................................................................................ 39 2.3.4 Ridesharing .................................................................................................................................................................. 40 Carpool ...................................................................................................................................................................... 41 Vanpool ...................................................................................................................................................................... 41 Car Sharing ................................................................................................................................................................. 41 2.3.5 Bicycling & Walking ...................................................................................................................................................... 42 Bicycle Facilities ......................................................................................................................................................... 42 Pedestrian Facilities ................................................................................................................................................... 44 Bicycle and Pedestrian Programs ............................................................................................................................... 47 2.4 SAFETY & SECURITY ............................................................................................................................................... 48 2.4.1 Critical Crash Rates ....................................................................................................................................................... 48 2.4.2 Collision Data ................................................................................................................................................................ 49 Fayette County ........................................................................................................................................................... 49 Jessamine County ...................................................................................................................................................... 50 2.4.3 Collision Locations......................................................................................................................................................... 52 2.4.4 Security ........................................................................................................................................................................ 54 2.5 ENVIRONMENT ..................................................................................................................................................... 55 2.5.1 Air Quality ......................................................................................................................................................................55 2040 Metropolitan Transportation Plan Page i CHAPTER 3 PLAN DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................................................. 63 3.1 CURRENT & FUTURE NEEDS ASSESSMENT................................................................................................................... 63 3.2 PARTICIPATION PROCESS ......................................................................................................................................... 63 3.2.1 Transportation Survey .................................................................................................................................................. 63 3.2.2 Public Notification & Meetings ..................................................................................................................................... 66 3.2.3 Coordination/Consultation ........................................................................................................................................... 67 3.3 T RAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING MODEL ...................................................................................................................