Cherwell District Summary 2020 Published July 2020 Cherwell Summary Cherwell District 2 Introduction to the District Summary for Cherwell This is a summary report for Cherwell District and includes the following key areas highlighted in the JSNA 2020 Oxfordshire report: Historical and projected population change Public Health England 2020 health summary Key health and wellbeing facts and figures 2020 A district inequalities summary (tartan rug) Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2019 Other resources include: JSNA 2020 Oxfordshire report Public Health Dashboards Health Needs Assessments Community Health and Wellbeing Profiles JSNA Bitesize EMAIL: [email protected] WEB: insight.oxfordshire.gov.uk/jsna Cherwell Summary Cherwell District 3 Cherwell District Population Historical population change 2008 to 2018 In mid-2018 there were Female 2008 Male 2008 149,200 residents in the Cherwell district. 85+ 80-84 There were 3,600 people aged 75-79 70-74 85+ in the Cherwell district. 65-69 60-64 Between 2008 and 2018 the 55-59 population increased by +7%, 50-54 just below Oxfordshire (+8%) 45-49 and England (+8%). 40-44 35-39 30-34 The population pyramid shows 25-29 females and males by 5-year 20-24 age and an increase in the 15-19 number of young people aged 10-14 5-9 5-9, working age people aged 0 - 4 30-34 and in older people aged 45 to 59 and 65+. 10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000 Female 2018 Male 2018 Cherwell Summary Cherwell District Source: ONS mid-2018 population estimates released June 2019 4 Cherwell District Population Forecast The housing-led forecasts show the population of Cherwell increasing from Cherwell by broad age 147,600 in 2017 to 181,900 by 2027 200,000 (+34,300, +23%). There are expected to be age 65+ 150,000 significant increases in the populations of the Banbury area and the Bicester area 100,000 age 18-64 with major developments south of Salt 50,000 Way and at Bankside in Banbury and at - age 0-17 Graven Hill and sites in south east and south west Bicester. The population of Banbury and the Cherwell - settlements surrounding area is expected to grow 80000 Banbury Bicester from 62,000 to 76,200 (+23%). 60000 The population of Bicester and the other areas 40000 surrounding area is expected to grow Kidlington from 51,700 to 70,400 (+40%). 20000 Kidlington is expected to see a slight 0 decline as there is limited housing growth predicted. Cherwell Summary Cherwell District Source: JSNA 2007-2017 Population Forecast 5 Health Summary for Cherwell District The Public Health England local health profile for Cherwell shows that more than half of the indicators are similar or better than the national average. Indicators that are worse than average are: Emergency admissions in under 5s, admissions for injuries under 5, under 15 and in 15- 25 years olds. Cherwell Summary Cherwell District Source: Public Health England: Local Health 6 Cherwell District 2019 health and wellbeing facts and figures 2019 PRIMARY EARLY PRE-BIRTH% 7.5% BIRTH 1,837 149,200 9.9% SCHOOL YEARS Mothers Babies Cherwell Children living in smoking at birth born population low income families 194 40 24 32 SECONDARY 506 324 SCHOOL 15-24s diagnosed Under 18s hospital Under 18 Not in education, Year 6 children Reception children with Chlamydia admissions for conceptions employment or overweight or obese overweight or obese alcohol (3 years) training 1,617 WORKING £345,220 £27,220 £33,477 1,900 66 AGE Apprenticeship Average Average Average Adults are Killed or seriously started house price female salary male salary unemployed injured on roads 337 4,377 16,534 67.4% 2,539 58.9% 13,223 70 Alcohol hospital Adults with Adults Adults are Adults have chronic Adults Adults Homeless households admissions coronary heart diagnosed with physically obstructive pulmonary overweight smoke in priority need aged 40-64 disease depression active disease or obese 35 1,041 20,072 11 646 3,222 4,748 7,725 Deaths from Deaths from Adults with long- Deaths from New Sexually Occurrences of Households in Adults with suicide (3 years) cancer (3 years) term illness or drug misuse Transmitted domestic fuel poverty diabetes disability (3 years) Infections abuse END OF OLDER LIFE 59.9% 83.5 81.0 1,265 3,070 615 PEOPLE 13,354 Died at Average Average Adults with People had a Hospital Unpaid home female life male life dementia stroke admissions due carers expectancy expectancy to falls Updated June 2019 http://insight.oxfordshire.gov.uk/cms/joint-strategic-needs-assessment Icons designed by Freepik from Flaticon Cherwell Summary Cherwell District 7 Significantly worse than Cherwell inequalities Oxfordshire or England Statistically similar to summary Oxfordshire or England Significantly better than Oxfordshire or England In Cherwell, wards with the most indicators worse than Oxfordshire or Adderbury, Bloxham Bodicote and Adderbury, Neithrop and Cross Banbury Hightown and Grimsbury Banbury Hardwick Banbury Ruscote Banbury Easington and Calthorpe Banbury East Bicester Caversfield and North Bicester Ambrosden and South Bicester West Bicester Wroxton and Sibfords Cropredy, Deddington Fringford Heyfords and Kidlington East Kidlington West Launton Otmoor and England are in Banbury. Banbury Life expectancy at birth (Males) 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Ruscote ward has no indicators Life expectancy at birth (Females) 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Healthy life expectancy at birth (Males) 1 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 significantly better than Oxfordshire Healthy life expectancy at birth (Females) 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 or England Disability-free life expectancy at birth (Males) 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 Disability-free life expectancy at birth (Females) 1 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 Income deprivation affecting children 1 3 3 3 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 Four of the sixteen Cherwell wards Income deprivation 1 3 3 3 3 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 have no indicators worse than Child development at age 5 years 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 average: Adderbury, Bloxham & Hospital admissions for injury, ages 0-4 years 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Emergency hospital admissions, ages 0-4 years 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 Bodicote; Deddington; Fringford & Obesity: Reception year 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Heyfords; and Kidlington East Obesity: Year 6 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Hospital admissions for injury, ages 0-14 years 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Hospital admissions for injury, ages 15-24 years 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 The indicators with the most wards Hospital admissions for self-harm 1 3 3 1 3 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 worse than average are health state Hospital admissions for alcohol-attributable conditions 1 1 3 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Emergency hospital admissions for COPD 1 3 3 1 3 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 life expectancies and emergency Emergency hospital admissions for CHD 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 hospital admissions in children aged Emergency hospital admissions for Stroke 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 Emergency hospital admissions for heart attack (MI) 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 0-4 years Emergency hospital admissions for hip fracture, over 65s 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Data are shown at ward level for ward boundaries in place in 2016. All cancer incidence (new cases of cancer) 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Health state life expectancy indicators use ward boundaries in place Deaths from all cancers, age under 75 years 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 prior to 2016 which may be different from current boundaries and cause Deaths from circulatory disease, age under 75 years 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 discrepancies in the tartan rug. These indicators are shown in a paler Deaths from respiratory diseases 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 colour scheme. Deaths from stroke 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 For more information, see the Inequalities Indicators Excel Pack Preventable mortality 1 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 Cherwell Summary Cherwell District 8 Index of Multiple Deprivation 2019 at national level Compared with the IMD 2015, Cherwell has moved down 29 places and it is now ranked 220 out of 317 local authorities where 1 is most deprived and 317 is least deprived.