SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2019: Update on incidents according to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) compiled by ACCORD, 26 February 2020 Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality Number of reported fatalities National borders: GADM, November 2015a; administrative divisions: GADM, November 2015b; incid- ent data: ACLED, 22 February 2020; coastlines and inland waters: Smith and Wessel, 1 May 2015 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 26 FEBRUARY 2020 Contents Conflict incidents by category Number of Number of reported fatalities 1 Number of Number of Category incidents with at incidents fatalities Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality 1 least one fatality Explosions / Remote Conflict incidents by category 2 3504 431 1447 violence Development of conflict incidents from September 2017 to September Battles 509 271 1869 2019 2 Violence against civilians 313 175 206 Strategic developments 217 4 7 Methodology 3 Protests 52 0 0 Conflict incidents per province 4 Riots 5 1 3 Localization of conflict incidents 4 Total 4600 882 3532 This table is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 22 February 2020). Disclaimer 7 Development of conflict incidents from September 2017 to September 2019 This graph is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 22 February 2020). 2 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 26 FEBRUARY 2020 Methodology GADM. Incidents that could not be located are ignored. The numbers included in this overview might therefore differ from the original ACLED data. ACLED uses The data used in this report was collected by the Armed Conflict Location & Event varying degrees of geographic precision for the individual incidents, depending Data Project (ACLED). ACLED collects data on reported conflict events in selected on what level of detail is reported. Thus, towns may represent the wider region in African and Asian countries, Syria being among them. ACLED researchers collect which an incident occured, or the provincial capital may be used if only the province event data from a variety of sources and code them by date, location, agent, and is known. Erroneous location data, especially due to identical place names, cannot event type. be fully excluded. Most of the data collected by ACLED is gathered based on publicly available, Incidents comprise the following categories: battles, headquarters or bases es- secondary reports. It may therefore underestimate the volume of events. Fatality tablished, non-violent strategic activities, riots/protests, violence against civilians, data particularly is vulnerable to bias and inaccurate reporting, and ACLED states non-violent transfer of territory, remote violence. For details on these categories, to use the most conservative estimate available. ACLED uses the reports’ context please see to estimate fatalities for events with reported fatalities for which the exact number is unknown (“10” for plural fatalities, “100” if “hundreds” are mentioned, etc.). • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict For further details on ACLED and for the full data, see www.acleddata.com and Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook (2019), 10 April 2019a Raleigh; Linke; Hegre, and Karlsen, 2010. https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2017/10/ ACLED_Codebook_2019FINAL_pbl.pdf Based on this data, the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin & Asylum Research and Documentation (ACCORD) compiles updates on conflict incidents and pub- • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict lishes them on ecoi.net to offer another access point to the ACLED datasets. Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) User Quick Guide, April 2019b https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2019/04/ It is advised to employ extreme caution when using fatality numbers. General-User-Guide_FINAL.pdf Assessments of the security situation should not be based solely on quantitative • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: FAQs: ACLED Fatality analysis of event data. Methodology, 27 January 2020 https://www.acleddata.com/download/17979/ Please see ACLED’s additional methodological paper for Syria: ACLED, 16 April 2019 Geographic map data is primarily based on GADM, complemented with other sources if necessary. Incidents are mapped to GADM provinces using the provinces in ACLED data. Province names and borders may differ between ACLED and 3 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 26 FEBRUARY 2020 Conflict incidents per province In Al Hasakah, 198 incidents killing 113 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Abu Hamdah, Abu Rasin, Al-Hasakeh, Number of Al-Hasakeh - Al Kallaseh, Al-Hasakeh - Al Mufti, Al-Hasakeh - Al Rusafa, Number of Number of Province incidents with Al-Hasakeh - Ghoweran, Al-Hasakeh - Housh Al-Ba’er, Al-Hasakeh - incidents fatalities fatalities Msheirfeh, Al-Hasakeh - Salhiyeh, Al-Malikeyyeh, Al-Sa’da, Al-Yarubiyah, Areesheh, Aziziyeh, Brigade 546 Army Base, Darbasiyah, Dashishah, Al Hasakah 198 67 113 Hdadiyeh, Hole, Hole Camp, Jabisah Oil Fields, Jazaa, Khrbit Al-Banat, Aleppo 567 110 287 Markada, Qahtaniyyah, Quamishli, Ras Al Ain, Rashidiyeh, Shadadah, Tal Ar Raqqah 63 20 33 Brak, Tal Hmis, Tal Tamer, Tall Abbud. As Suwayda’ 10 5 22 Damascus 12 8 11 In Aleppo, 567 incidents killing 287 people were reported. The following Dar‘a 103 49 79 locations were among the affected: Abla, Abu Zandin, Abyan Saman, Afrin, Dayr Az Zawr 255 130 339 Aghtrin, Ain al Arab, Al Bab, Al Kawukli, Al Salameh, Al-Alqamiyyeh, Hamah 1340 135 759 Al-Bohouth al-Elmia, Al-Eis, Al-Malikeyyeh, Al-Rashdeen, Aleppo, Aleppo - Al-Azamiyeh, Aleppo - Al-Layramoun, Aleppo - Al-Nile, Aleppo - Al-Zahraa, Hims 12 10 58 Aleppo - Al-Ziebdiyeh, Aleppo - Halab Al-Jadida, Aleppo - Hamadaniyeh, Idlib 1780 274 1454 Aleppo - Jamiliyeh, Aleppo - Saif al-Dawla, Andan, Anjara, Aqibah, Lattakia 167 27 306 Ar-Ra’ee, Artillery College, Atareb, Azaz, Bafelyun, Banes, Barna, Barqum, Quneitra 11 3 7 Basuta, Batabu, Big Othmaniya, Bishqatine, Blaliko, Bulbul, Burj Al-Qas, Rif Dimashq 82 44 64 Buwaybiyah, Daghelbash, Daret Azza, Deir Ballut, Deir Sawan, Ein Daqneh, Enab, Fafertin, Ghandorah, Hadher, Harbal, Haritan, Hayyan, Hazwan, Helubiye, Hmeira, Huwair al-Eis, ICARDA Research Facility, Ibbin, Jalbul, Jandairis, Jarablus, Jarez, Jazraya, Jub al Hamir, Juqali, Juqali Localization of conflict incidents Al-Tahtaniyah, Juwaiq, Kabashin, Kafr Aleppo, Kafr Dael, Kafr Hamra, Kafr Kalbein, Kafr Khasher, Kafr Naha, Kafr Safra, Kafr Shil, Kaljibrin, Kassibeh, Note: The following list is an overview of the incident data included in the ACLED Khaderiyah Tahtaniah, Khalsa, Khan Al-Asal, Khan Tuman, Khawari, Kimar, dataset. More details are available in the actual dataset (date, location data, event Koran Jandris, Korhyok, Kreidiyeh, Ma’btali, Maaret Elartiq, Maarrata, type, involved actors, information sources, etc.). The data’s precision varies among Makhala, Mansoura, Manyan, Maraanaz, Mare’, Mashaala, Mayasa, the incidents: a town may represent a region, or the provincial capital may be Menagh, Menagh - Military Airport, Menbij, Meydanki, Mreimin Afrin, Nabul, used if the precise location of an incident is unkown. In the following list, the names Niddeh, Niyarah, Qabasin, Qarrasi, Qibar, Qurt Qulaq al Kabirah, Raju, of event locations are taken from ACLED, while the administrative region names Regiment 46 - Military Base, Rif al-Mohandessin al-Awal, Rif al-Mohandessin are taken from GADM data which serves as the basis for the maps above. al-Thani, Sharan, Shawarighat al Arz, Sheikh Isa, Sheikh al-Hadid, 4 SYRIA, THIRD QUARTER 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 26 FEBRUARY 2020 Shewargha Guzan, Sorhane, Sukkariyah Saghira, Tadaf, Tal Bajer, Tal Crossing, Al-Hawayij, Al-Heri, Al-Hussainiyah, Al-Kubar, Al-Tabiyah Gas Madeeq, Tal Syriatel, Tall Ed-Daman, Tall Refaat, Tanab, Tel Battal, Terhin, Field, Al-Zabari, Ash Shula, Ashara, Baghuz, Basira, Bishri Mountains, Turandah, Turkman Bareh, Tweis, Um Jlud, Umm al Qarah, Urum al-Kubra, Dablan, Dahleh, Daman, Darnaj, Deir-ez-Zor, Deir-ez-Zor - Hatla, Dweir, Waridah, Zarbah, Zaytuneh, Zeitan, Zmar, Zur Maghar. Gharanij, Harijiyah, Hawayij Thiban, Jabal al-Thardah, Jalaa, Jasim, Jdid Ekeidat, Jiah, Jneineh, Jurdi al-Sharqi, Kaba Jeb, Kasra, Khasham, Kishkiyeh, In Ar Raqqah, 63 incidents killing 33 people were reported. The following Lower Baqras, Marashdeh, Mashekh, Mathlum, Moezleh, Mrat, Muaayzilah, locations were among the affected: Al Tabqa, Ar-Raqqa, Ar-Raqqa - Mweileh, Omar - Oil Fields, Quriyeh, Rabida, Salhiyeh, Sbeikhan, Shafa, Al-Dar’eiyah, Ar-Raqqa - Al-Mansour, Ar-Raqqa - Amin, Ar-Raqqa - Shiheil, Siyal, Sosa, Sur, Sweidan Jazira, Tabiyet Jazira, Takihi, Tayyana, Maamoun, Ein Issa, Hammam al Turkman, Hamra Buwaytiyah, Hweijet al Thiban, Upper Baqras, Wasi’ah, Zir. Abd, Jurneyyeh, Kalta, Kasrat Faraj, Khneiz, Mansura, Qahtaniyyeh, Raeqqet Samra, Tell Abiad, Western Jaabar. In Hamah, 1340 incidents killing 759 people were reported. The following locations were among the affected: Abu Obaidah Al Jarrah, Abu Raidi, Al In As Suwayda’, 10 incidents killing 22 people were reported. The following