Special Committee of the Whole

Special Committee of the Whole

DISTRICT OF TOFINO SPECIAL COMMITTEE OF THE WHOLE MEETING Regional Meeting between District of Tofino, Tla-o-qui-aht First Nation, Ahousaht First Nation, Hesquiaht First Nation, District of Ucluelet, Yuułuʔiłʔatḥ Government, Toquaht Nation Government Via Zoom 2021-May-27 at 4:30 PM AGENDA Council Code of Conduct | Council Strategic Plan Page 1. CALL MEETING TO ORDER 1.1 Acknowledgement that the District of Tofino operates within the Territory of the Tla-o-qui-aht First Nation. 1.2 Notice to attendees that the meeting is being video recorded and will be published on the District of Tofino's YouTube channel. 1.3 Participant introductions. 2. PRESENTATIONS AND REPORTS 2 - 152 2.1 Regional Land Use Demand Study - Overview & Discussion of Next Steps (Presentation from Shaun Heffernan and J.P. Raulot of Urban Systems Ltd.) 2021-03-02 Land Use Demand Study - Urban Systems 2.2 Discussion - Summer 2021 Regional Priorities • Territorial Closures and Community Expectations • Preparations and Initiatives • Joint Communications Planning 3. ADJOURNMENT May 27, 2021 Special Committee of the Whole Agenda Page 1 of 152 File: 1427.0008.01 LAND USE DEMAND STUDY FINAL REPORT March 2, 2021 312 - 645 Fort Street, Victoria, BC V8W 1G2 | T : 250.864.1025 CONTACT: Shaun Heffernan E: [email protected] Page 2 of 152 PREPARED FOR: The District of Ucluelet and the District of Tofino This Report is prepared for the sole use of the District of Ucluelet and District of Tofino. No representations of any kind are made by Urban Systems Ltd. or its employees to any party with whom Urban Systems Ltd. does not have a contract. © 2021 URBANSYSTEMS®. Funding support for this study generously provided by: Page 3 of 152 CONTENTS 1.0 INTRODUCTION............................................................................................................. 1 Community Partners ....................................................................................................................................................... 1 District of Tofino ...................................................................................................................................................... 3 District of Ucluelet ................................................................................................................................................. 3 Alberni Clayoquot Regional District ......................................................................................................... 4 Ahousaht First Nation ........................................................................................................................................ 4 Tla-o-qui-aht First Nation ................................................................................................................................. 5 Toquaht First Nation ............................................................................................................................................ 5 Yuułu?ił?atḥ (Ucluelet First Nation) ........................................................................................................... 5 Hesquiaht First Nation........................................................................................................................................ 6 Pacific Rim National Park Reserve – Long Beach Unit ................................................................. 6 2.0 LAND USE SUPPLY ....................................................................................................... 7 District of Tofino ................................................................................................................................................................. 7 District of Ucluelet ............................................................................................................................................................8 3.0 SECTOR PROFILE........................................................................................................ 10 Tourism .................................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Types of Tourism .............................................................................................................................................................. 10 Resort Commercial ............................................................................................................................................. 10 Commercial ......................................................................................................................................................................... 12 Types of Commercial Use .......................................................................................................................................... 12 Restaurant ................................................................................................................................................................ 12 Retail Commercial ............................................................................................................................................... 13 Service Commercial............................................................................................................................................ 13 Total Estimated Commercial Space ........................................................................................................ 13 Industrial ............................................................................................................................................................................... 14 Institutional & Government ...................................................................................................................................... 16 Opportunities & Constraints .................................................................................................................................... 16 Transportation & Logistics .............................................................................................................................. 16 Real Estate & Housing ....................................................................................................................................... 16 First Nations ............................................................................................................................................................. 18 Climate Change .................................................................................................................................................... 18 4.0 LAND USE DEMAND & MARKET OPPORTUNITY ............................................................ 19 Residential Market Opportunity ........................................................................................................................... 19 Primary Indicators .............................................................................................................................................. 20 Land Use Demand Study | i Page 4 of 152 Secondary Indicators ........................................................................................................................................ 26 Demand for Secondary Homes / Recreational Properties ...................................................... 28 Non-Market Residential Demand ............................................................................................................ 30 Key Takeaways ...................................................................................................................................................... 32 Tourism Accommodation Market Opportunity ........................................................................................ 33 Recent Trends ....................................................................................................................................................... 33 Indicators .................................................................................................................................................................. 35 Key Takeaways ...................................................................................................................................................... 39 Commercial Land Use Demand.......................................................................................................................... 40 Commercial Demand ...................................................................................................................................... 40 Retail Demand Estimates & Assumptions ........................................................................................ 40 Total Commercial Demand Estimate..................................................................................................... 41 Industrial Land Use Demand .................................................................................................................................. 41 Industrial Market Activity ................................................................................................................................ 41 Labour Force ........................................................................................................................................................... 41 Demand Projections ........................................................................................................................................

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