Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized CLIMATE-SMART AGRICULTURE INVESTMENT PLAN Public Disclosure Authorized COTE D´IVORE PAGE A PAGE A COTE D’IVORE CLIMATE SMART AGRICULTURE INVESTMENT PLAN PAGE B CLIMATE-SMART AGRICULTURE INVESTMENT PLAN COTE D´IVORE THE WORLD BANK l COAT OF ARMS OF IVORY COAST l INITIATIVE FOR THE ADAPTATION OF AFRICAN AGRICULTURE l INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR TROPICAL AGRICULTURE l CLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY PAGE B PAGE C © 2019 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. 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Cover illustration and design by Brad Amburn Foreword Climate change threatens to bring substantial impacts to Côte d’Ivoire’s agriculture sector, which is central to the country’s economic productivity and food security. Climate change, of course, poses challenges not only for Côte d’Ivoire but also for countries across Africa. This was recognized at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 22nd Conference of Parties (COP22; 2016) in Marrakech, Morocco, where the Moroccan government launched the Adaptation of African Agriculture (AAA) Initiative. This Initiative highlighted the investments needed to help African countries cope with the risks that climate change poses to agriculture, and best position themselves for a future of higher temperatures and uncertain precipitation. The AAA Initiative also builds on the Comprehensive African Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP), first launched in 2003 through the African Union. Côte d’Ivoire is a signatory to the UNFCCC Paris Agreement and has submitted its nationally determined contributions (NDC), committing to take action both on adaptation to climate change and on reducing greenhouse emissions. Côte d’Ivoire is by far a minor emitter of greenhouse gases. However, interventions in agriculture and associated land use change (e.g., deforestation) that increase productivity and resilience to climate change can also contribute to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The NDC provides targets that Côte d’Ivoire is aiming to meet. However, it is not intended to provide the specifics regarding what investments are necessary or how these investments should be implemented. This document provides an investment plan for climate-smart agriculture (CSA) in Côte d’Ivoire, developped with support of the AAA Initiative and the World Bank, and technical assistance of the CGIAR Research Program on Climatre Change Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). It identifies specific interventions that define on-the-ground actions that are consistent with Côte d’Ivoire’s NDC and National Agricultural Investment Plan II (2017-2025), which can be funded by public- and private-sector partners. CSA interventions are designed to increase agricultural productivity; help farmers, livestock keepers and fisher-people adapt and build resilience to climate risks; and, where appropriate, reduce greenhouse gas emissions that cause climate change. CSA interventions can include on-farm technologies such as stress-tolerant crop varieties and livestock breeds, agricultural management activities (involving water, soil, fertilizers, pests, etc.) and agricultural services such as insurance, credit and weather advisories. This plan includes a set of 12 key CSA investments for Côte d’Ivoire that were developed with strong stakeholder engagement, expert input and scientific evidence. This plan is not intended to be comprehensive, but prioritizes these investments, and can further include additional investments when more funds are available. The plan presents a situation analysis of Côte d’Ivoire’s national policies, plans and programs that form the context for the 12 key prioritized interventions. Designed project concepts are developed for each of these key investments, including the main project objectives, components and implementation arrangements. These provide a tangible set of project concepts for potential investors and donors to consider for funding. Finally, a general framing for developing a monitoring and evaluation (M&E) framework for the CSA investment plan is provided, showing how CSA outcomes relate to other M&E frameworks and to other monitoring activities for national-level development priorities. PAGE I Because it is a member of the AAA Initiative and is also committed to delivering on its NDC commitments, Côte d’Ivoire now has an investment plan that includes a set of specific climate-smart projects that improve productivity, build resilience to climate change and, as appropriate, reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the agriculture sector. The CSA Investment Plan provides the context and evidence for the importance of these projects, and explains how they can be economically beneficial to the people of Côte d’Ivoire. The plan can help spur investment and funding for CSA to help Côte d’Ivoire deliver on its NDC and other national targets. Abbreviations AAA Adaption of African Agriculture AAW Agribusiness Africa Window ACE-WR Agricultural Commodity Exchange Warehouse Receipt Scheme AfSIS Africa Soil Information Service AGRA Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa ANADER National Rural Development Agency AR Adoption rate ASAP Adaption for Smallholder Agriculture Program BAU Business as usual BN Bayesian networks CAADP Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Program CC Climate change CCAFS Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (part of CGIAR) CIAT International Center for Tropical Agriculture CIS Climate information services ClimDev-Africa Climate for Development in Africa Initiative CNRA National Center for Agricultural Research COP22 22nd Conference of Parties of UNFCCC CPF Country Partnership Framework CSA Climate-Smart Agriculture CSAIP Climate-Smart Agriculture Investment Plan ECOWAP ECOWAS Regional Agricultural Policy of West Africa ECOWAS Economic Community of West African States ENACTS Enhancing National Climate Services ESM Earth system model FAO Food and Agriculture Organization FSP Full-sized project GCF Green Climate Fund GCM General circulation model GDP Gross domestic product GE Government effectiveness GHG Greenhouse gas GMIA Digital Global Map of Irrigation Areas GOCI Government of Côte d’Ivoire ICRISAT International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics LULUCF Land use, land use change, and forestry MINEFI Ministry of Economy and Finance MINADER Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development MINAGRI Ministry of Agriculture MINSEDD Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development MIRAH Ministry of Animal Production and Fisheries Resources MIREF Ministry of Water and Forest MSP Medium-sized project PAGE III NAIP2 Second National Agricultural Investmenent Plan, 2017-2025 NDC Nationally determined contributions NDP National Development program Plan No-CC No climate change scenario NPCC National Program on Climate Change NPV Net present value NRDS National Rice Development Strategy NSDRM National Strategy for Disaster Risk Management ODA SCCF grants PDO Proposed development outcome/objective PES Payment for Environmental Services PICSA Participatory Integrated Climate Services for Agriculture PNCC National Program for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation and Adaptation to Climate Change PSAV Political stability and absence of violence PSDEPA Strategic National Plan for the Development of Livestock, Fisheries & Aquaculture PSRDF Strategic Plan for the Rehabilitation and Development of Forests RCP Representative concentration pathway REDD+ Reducing Emissions from Deforestration and Forest Degradation Program ROI Return on investment RIMA Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis SCCF Special Climate Change Fund SDG Sustainable development goal SME Small and médium enterprise SMN Service Météorologique National SNAIC National climate-smart agriculture strategy SODEXAM The Institution for Aeronautical and Meteorological Development SSP Shared socioeconomic pathway STAR Specific Resource Allocation Framework UNFCCC United National Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change UNISDR United Nation’s Office for Disaster Risk Reduction WAAPP West African Agricultural Productivity Program Table of Contents Executive summary 1 Section 1: Justification for a Climate-Smart Agricultural investment in Côte D’ivoire 9 1.1 The Climate Smart Agricultural Investment Planning Framework 10 Section 2: Situation analysis