Integrated Impact Assessment of the Mayor's Transport Strategy 3 Transport for London IIA Scoping Report Final Report 16 February 2017 IIA Scoping Report Transport for London Mayor’s Transport Strategy Integrated Impact Assessment: IIA Scoping Report Integrated Impact Assessment of the Mayor's Transport Strategy 3 Project No: B2228400 Document Title: IIA Scoping Report Revision: Final Date: 16 February 2017 Client Name: Transport for London Project Manager: Irina Davis Author: Irina Davis, Michelle Cottrell Jacobs U.K. Limited New City Court 20 St Thomas Street London SE1 9RS United Kingdom T +44 (0)20 7939 6100 F +44 (0)20 7939 6103 www.jacobs.com © Copyright 2016 Jacobs U.K. Limited. The concepts and information contained in this document are the property of Jacobs. Use or copying of this document in whole or in part without the written permission of Jacobs constitutes an infringement of copyright. Limitation: This report has been prepared on behalf of, and for the exclusive use of Jacobs’ Client, and is subject to, and issued in accordance with, the provisions of the contract between Jacobs and the Client. Jacobs accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for, or in respect of, any use of, or reliance upon, this report by any third party. Document history and status Revision Date Description By Reviewer Approved Draft A 25.05.2016 Draft for internal check and review (CR) M. Cottrell J. Pounder P. Marsden Draft B 27.05.2016 Draft for client review M. Cottrell L. Hayward- Speight Draft C 22.06.2016 Draft for client review I Davis J. Pounder P. Marsden Draft D 24.08.2016 Final Draft for client review I Davis E. Bergin J. Pounder Consultation 03.010.2016 Consultation Draft I Davis E. Bergin J. Pounder Draft Final Report 16.02.2017 Final report for client review I Davis E. Bergin J. Pounder i Mayor’s Transport Strategy Integrated Impact Assessment: IIA Scoping Report Contents Executive Summary………………………………………………………………………………………………..……..iv 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Overview ...................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Purpose of this IIA Scoping Report ............................................................................................................. 1 1.3 Engagement and Consultation .................................................................................................................... 4 2. The Mayor’s Transport Strategy .............................................................................................................. 5 2.1 About the strategy ....................................................................................................................................... 5 2.2 The need to revise the strategy ................................................................................................................... 5 2.3 Proposed approach to a revised strategy ................................................................................................... 5 3. Integrated Impact Assessment purpose, process and approach ........................................................ 7 3.1 Purpose of the IIA ........................................................................................................................................ 7 3.2 What is IIA? ................................................................................................................................................. 7 3.3 Our Approach to IIA ..................................................................................................................................... 8 3.4 Strategic Environmental Assessment .......................................................................................................... 9 3.5 Habitats Regulation Assessment ................................................................................................................ 9 3.6 Equality Impact Assessment ..................................................................................................................... 10 3.7 Health Impact Assessment ........................................................................................................................ 11 3.8 Assessment of Economic Impacts ............................................................................................................ 12 3.9 Community Safety Assessment ................................................................................................................ 12 3.10 IIA Process ................................................................................................................................................ 12 3.11 Spatial and Temporal Scope of the IIA ..................................................................................................... 15 3.12 Uncertainties and Assumptions………………………………………………………………………………....16 4. Identifying other plans, programmes and sustainability objectives (Task A1) ................................ 17 4.1 Overview .................................................................................................................................................... 17 4.2 Implications of the Policy Review .............................................................................................................. 17 5. Baseline Information and Key Sustainability Issues in London (Tasks A2 & A3) ............................ 19 5.1 Overview .................................................................................................................................................... 19 5.2 Identifying significance of issues for the MTS………………………………………………………………….23 6. Key issues ................................................................................................................................................ 49 7. Integrated Impact Assessment Framework (Task A4)......................................................................... 54 7.1 Objectives, questions and indicators ......................................................................................................... 54 7.2 Compatibility testing………………………………………………………………………………………………63 7.3 Assessment methodology of likely significant impacts .............................................................................. 63 7.4 Predicting the effects of the MTS against the IIA Objectives…………………………………………………64 7.5 Monitoring and difficulties encountered………………………………………………………………………...65 8. Next steps ................................................................................................................................................. 66 8.1 Remaining Stages of the IIA ...................................................................................................................... 66 8.2 Ongoing stakeholder engagement ............................................................................................................ 68 ii Mayor’s Transport Strategy Integrated Impact Assessment: IIA Scoping Report 9. References ............................................................................................................................................... 69 Appendix A: Summary of the most relevant plans and programmes………………………………………….……..74 Appendix B: Natura 2000 Sites within 15km of the MTS Area…………………….……………………….…………97 Appendix C: Crowding Maps for AM peak, 2014................................................................................................106 Appendix D: Existing and proposed cycle routes in Central London………………………………………...……..110 Appendix E: Existing and proposed cycle superhighways and quietways in London…………………………….111 Appendix F: Supporting Data for Baseline ……………………………………………………………………………112 • Population……………………………………………………………………………………………………. …112 • Economic competitiveness…………………………………………………………………………………….115 • Employment……………………………………………………………………………………………………..120 • Housing Supply, Quality and Choice………………………………………………………………………….122 • Connectivity……………………………………………………………………………………………………...126 • Education and skills…………………………………………………………………………………………….133 • Accessibility……………………………………………………………………………………………………...134 • Equality and Inclusion…………………………………………………………………………………………..136 • Physical activity………………………………………………………………………………………………….139 • Crime, Safety and Security…………………………………………………………………………………….141 • Air quality………………………………………………………………………………………………………...145 • Natural Capital and Natural Environment…………………………………………………………………….153 • Climate Change Adaptaion and Mitigation…………………………………………………………………...158 • Energy use and generation…………………………………………………………………………………….161 • Flood risk…………………………………………………………………………………………………………163 • Geology and soils……………………………………………………………………………………………….165 • Historic Environment……………………………………………………………………………………………168 • Water resources and quality…………………………………………………………………………………...170 • Design……………………………………………………………………………………………………………172 • Materials and waste ……………………………………………………………………………………………175 • Noise and vibration……………………………………………………………………………………………..176 • Equality…………………………………………………………………………………………………………..177 • Health and health inequalities…………………………………………………………………………………180 Appendix G: IIA objectives and proposed indicators…………………………………………………………………185 Appendix H: Testing compatibility of the IIA objectives………………………………………………………………190 Appendix I: Additional data sources used