GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATIONS NATIONAL HIGHWAY AUTHORITY ISLAMABAD Traffic Study Report For (Peshawar –Torkham Section) Of FEASIBILITY STUDY AND PRELIMINARY DESIGN OF PESHAWAR- KABUL MOTORWAY PROJECT July 2017 Associated Consultancy Centre (Pvt.) Ltd. (ACC) in association with SAMBO Engineering Co. Ltd. (South Korea), ACE-TES Lahore & Assign International Contents CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................... 3 1.1 Transport Sector ............................................................................................. 3 1.2 Transport Sector Status .................................................................................. 3 1.2.1 National Road Network ............................................................................... 4 1.3 Vision – 2025: Modernizing Transportation Infrastructure & Greater Regional Connectivity ..................................................................................................... 5 1.3.1 Roads .......................................................................................................... 5 1.3.2 Railways ...................................................................................................... 5 1.3.3 Aviation ........................................................................................................ 6 1.3.4 Ports & Shipping .......................................................................................... 6 1.4 National Highway Authority -Integrated Development Strategy for Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) ........................................................................................ 6 1.5 Challenges Faced by the Province in Transport Sector .................................. 7 1.6 Spatial Clustering ............................................................................................ 8 1.7 Existing State of Transport Sector of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa ............................ 8 1.8 A Report by International Growth Center, Pakistan Program .......................... 9 1.8.1 Opportunities from Infrastructure Development ........................................... 9 1.8.2 Priority Areas for the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Government in Transport Sector 11 1.8.3 Continued Maintenance of the Existing Road Infrastructure ...................... 11 1.8.4 Multimodal Transport Network to Boost International Trade and Domestic Commerce .............................................................................................................. 12 1.9 Peshawar Kabul Motorway Project ............................................................... 12 1.10 Scope of Work ............................................................................................... 13 1.11 Traffic Count Stations .................................................................................... 13 1.12 Background and Objective ............................................................................ 14 1.13 Methodology .................................................................................................. 15 CHAPTER 2 TRAFFIC SURVEYS .................................................................. 16 2.1 General ......................................................................................................... 16 Page ii Traffic Study Report for (Peshawar-Torkham Section) of Preliminary Design of Peshawar Kabul Motorway Project 2.2 Methodology Applied for Traffic Surveys ....................................................... 16 2.2.1 Survey Procedure ...................................................................................... 16 2.2.2 Location of Survey Sites ............................................................................ 17 2.2.3 Survey Equipment’s ................................................................................... 17 2.2.4 Deployment of Staff ................................................................................... 17 2.2.5 Compilation of Survey Forms .................................................................... 17 2.2.5.1 Manual Classified Traffic Counts ........................................................................ 18 2.2.5.2 Classified Volume Counts ............................................................................. 18 2.2.6 Origin Destination Survey .......................................................................... 19 2.2.6.1 Origin ................................................................................................................. 19 2.2.6.2 Destination.................................................................................................... 19 2.2.6.3 Origin‐Destination .............................................................................................. 19 2.2.6.4 Zone ............................................................................................................. 19 2.2.6.5 O-D Forms .......................................................................................................... 19 Chapter 3 SURVEY RESULTS .................................................................... 21 3.1 Manual Classified Traffic Counts ................................................................... 21 3.2 Daily Volumes and Peak Hour Volumes........................................................ 21 3.3 Percentage Composition ............................................................................... 23 3.4 Traffic Zones for Current O-D Survey ........................................................... 25 3.5 Sample Size .................................................................................................. 25 3.6 O-D Matrices ................................................................................................. 26 3.7 Traffic Generated/Diverted By Proposed Motorway ...................................... 26 CHAPTER 4 FUTURE TRAFFIC GROWTH RATES ....................................... 28 4.1 Sectoral Growth Rates .................................................................................. 28 4.2 Population Growth ......................................................................................... 29 4.3 Growth of Registered Vehicles in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa ............................... 30 4.4 Growth of Registered Vehicles in Project Area ............................................. 31 4.5 Growth in Fuel Consumption in Transport Sector ......................................... 31 4.6 Pakistan Transport Plan Study 2006 ............................................................. 32 4.7 Adopted Future Traffic Growth Rates ............................................................ 32 Page iii Traffic Study Report for (Peshawar-Torkham Section) of Preliminary Design of Peshawar Kabul Motorway Project Chapter 5 FUTURE TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS ............................................ 33 5.1 Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT) ............................................................ 33 5.2 Loaded/Unloaded, Directional and Lane Distribution Factors ....................... 34 5.3 Equivalent Axle Load Factor (EALF) ............................................................. 35 5.4 Equivalent Single Axle Loads (ESAL’s) ......................................................... 36 5.5 Determination of Average annual PCU ......................................................... 37 CHAPTER 6 CAPACITY AND LEVEL-OF-SERVICE ANALYSIS................... 39 6.1 Categories of Level of Service ...................................................................... 39 6.2 Level of Service (LOS) Operational Analysis ................................................ 41 6.3 Heavy-Vehicle Factor (fHV) ............................................................................ 42 6.4 Driver Population Factor (fp) .......................................................................... 42 6.5 Free Flow Speed (FFS) ................................................................................. 42 CHAPTER 7 IMPACT OF PROJECT ON ENVIRONMENT ............................. 45 7.1 Environment Conditions in Urban Pakistan ................................................... 45 7.2 National Environment Quality Standards....................................................... 46 7.3 Impact of project road on environment .......................................................... 46 ANNEXURES ..................................................................................................... 47 Page iv Traffic Study Report for (Peshawar-Torkham Section) of Preliminary Design of Peshawar Kabul Motorway Project List of Figures Figure 1: Hourly Variations in Traffic Volume (Bighyari Post Jamrud) Figure 2: Hourly Variations in Traffic Volume (Michni Post Landikotal) Figure 3: Percentage composition at Bighyari Post Jamrud Figure 4: Percentage composition at Michni Post Landikotal Figure 5: ESAL’s Contribution Figure 6: HCM Standard Speed-Flow Curve List of Tables Table 1: Peshawar Kabul Motorway Sections Table 2: Daily Traffic Counts Table 3: Average Daily traffic (ADT) Table 4: Peak Hour Traffic and Daily Traffic at Stations Table 5: Traffic percentage composition Table 6: Sample size for OD survey Table 7: Generated/ Diverted Traffic for Peshawar Torkham Motorway Table 8: Average Growth Rates Table 9: Population of Various Districts in KPK Table 10: Future Growth Rates Passenger Traffic vs. Freight Traffic Table 11: Future Growth Rates – Best Fits Table 12: Future Estimated Increase in Vehicles Table 13: Future Growth Rates Table