Self-assessment Report of the Faculty of and of the University of for the 2008 Research Assessment

ABS-RI

AMSTERDAM BUSINESS SCHOOL RESEARCH INSTITUTE

RESAM

RESEARCH INSTITUTE ECONOMICS & ECONOMETRICS AMSTERDAM

Table of contents

Introduction on the faculty of economics and business 9

RESAM 141

A. Documentation regarding the level of the institute 142

A.1 Mission statement 143 A.2 Leadership 143 A.3 Strategy and policy 144 A.4 Researchers and other personnel 145 A.5 Resources, funding and facilities 149 A.6 Processes in research, internal and external collaborations 152 A.7 Academic reputation 154 A.8 Internal evaluation 154 A.9. External validation 155 A.10 Overview of the results 155 A.11 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the institute (SWOT) 156

B. Documentation regarding the level of the RESAM programmes 157

UvA-Econometrics (UvA-E) 159 B.1 Leadership 159 B.2 Strategy and policy 159 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 160 B.4 Academic reputation 160 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 161 B.6. External validation 161 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 161 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 163 B.9 Overview of the results 163 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 180

Operations Research (OR) 181 B.1 Leadership 181 B.2 Strategy and policy 181 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 184 B.4 Academic reputation 185 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 185 B.6. External validation 186 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 186 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 187 B.9 Overview of the results 187 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 198

Equilibrium, Expectations & Dynamics (EED) 199 B.1 Leadership 199 B.2 Strategy and policy 199 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 201 B.4 Academic reputation 202 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 203

B.6. External validation 203 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 203 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 205 B.9 Overview of the results 205 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 221

Actuarial Science (ACT) 223 B.1 Leadership 223 B.2 Strategy and policy 223 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 224 B.4 Academic reputation 225 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 226 B.6. External validation 226 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 226 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 258 B.9 Overview of the results 259 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 287

The Transformation of Europe (ToE) 253 B.1 Leadership 253 B.2 Strategy and policy 254 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 254 B.4 Academic reputation 255 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 255 B.6. External validation 256 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 256 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 258 B.9 Overview of the results 259 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 287

Human Capital (HUM) 289 B.1 Leadership 289 B.2 Strategy and policy 289 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 292 B.4 Academic reputation 292 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 294 B.6. External validation 294 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 296 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 296 B.9 Overview of the results 296 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 330

History & Methodology of Economics (HME) 331 B.1 Leadership 331 B.2 Strategy and policy 332 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 333 B.4 Academic reputation 333 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 334 B.6. External validation 334 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 334 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 336 B.9 Overview of the results 336 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 358

Experimental & Political Economics (EXP) 359

B.1 Leadership 359 B.2 Strategy and policy 360 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 362 B.4 Academic reputation 363 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 364 B.6. External validation 365 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 366 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 368 B.9 Overview of the results 369 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 383

Industrial Organisation, Competition Policies & Regulation (IO) 385 B.1 Leadership 385 B.2 Strategy and policy 385 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 387 B.4 Academic reputation 387 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 388 B.6. External validation 388 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 389 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 389 B.9 Overview of the results 390 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 395

SEO Economic Research (SEO) 397 B.1 Leadership 397 B.2 Strategy and policy 398 B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration 399 B.4 Academic reputation 400 B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations 402 B.6. External validation 402 B.7. Researchers and other personnel 402 B.8 Resources, funding and facilities 404 B.9 Overview of the results 405 B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations (SWOT) 446

List of tables Table 33 Research staff at institutional level RESAM 148 Table 34 Research staff at institutional level RESAM (excl. SEO) 148 Table 35 Research staff at programme level RESAM 148 Table 36 Funding at the level of the institute RESAM 150 Table 37 Funding at the level of the institute RESAM (excl. SEO) 150 Table 38 Expenditures RESAM 150 Table 39 Funding of research programmes RESAM (excl. SEO) 150 Table 40 Funding at programme level RESAM 151 Table 41 Institute results: outcome in numbers RESAM 155 Table 42 Institute results: international journal publications RESAM 156 Table 43 Research staff UvA-E 162 Table 44 Staff funding UvA-E 163 Table 45 Total programme results UvA-E: outcome in numbers 163 Table 46 Programme results core faculty UvA-E: outcome in numbers 164 Table 47 International journal publications UvA-E: outcome in numbers 164 Table 48 Programme results other faculty UvA-E: outcome in numbers 178 Table 49 Research staff OR 187 Table 50 Staff funding OR 187

Table 51 Total programme results OR: outcome in numbers 188 Table 52 International journal publications OR: outcome in numbers 188 Table 53 Research staff EED 204 Table 54 Staff funding EED 205 Table 55 Total programme results EED: outcome in numbers 206 Table 56 Programme results core faculty EED: outcome in numbers 206 Table 57 International journal publications EED: outcome in numbers 206 Table 58 Programme results other faculty EED: outcome in numbers 220 Table 59 Research staff ACT 227 Table 60 Staff funding ACT 228 Table 61 Total programme results ACT: outcome in numbers 228 Table 62 Programme results core faculty ACT: outcome in numbers 229 Table 63 International journal publications ACT: outcome in numbers 229 Table 64 Programme results other faculty ACT: outcome in numbers 250 Table 65 Research staff ToE 257 Table 66 Staff funding ToE 259 Table 67 Total programme results ToE: outcome in numbers 259 Table 68 Programme results core faculty ToE: outcome in numbers 259 Table 69 International journal publications ToE: outcome in numbers 260 Table 70 Programme results other faculty ToE: outcome in numbers 283 Table 71 Research staff HUM 295 Table 72 Staff funding HUM 296 Table 73 Total programme results HUM: outcome in numbers 297 Table 74 Programme results core faculty HUM: outcome in numbers 297 Table 75 International journal publications HUM: outcome in numbers 297 Table 76 Programme results other faculty HUM: outcome in numbers 326 Table 77 Research staff HME 335 Table 78 Staff funding HME 336 Table 79 Total programme results HME: outcome in numbers 336 Table 80 Programme results core faculty HME: outcome in numbers 337 Table 81 International journal publications HME: outcome in numbers 337 Table 82 Programme results other faculty HME: outcome in numbers 354 Table 83 Research staff EXP 367 Table 84 Staff funding EXP 369 Table 85 Total programme results EXP: outcome in numbers 369 Table 86 International journal publications EXP: outcome in numbers 369 Table 87 Research staff IO 389 Table 88 Staff funding IO 389 Table 89 Total programme results IO: outcome in numbers 390 Table 90 International journal publications IO: outcome in numbers 390 Table 91 Research staff SEO 403 Table 92 Staff funding SEO 405 Table 93 Total programme results SEO: outcome in numbers 405 Table 94 International journal publications SEO: outcome in numbers 405

Introduction on Faculty of Economics and Business

The Faculty of Economics and Business has two research institutes: one in business and one in economics and econometrics. This is in line with the situation in other faculties within the University of Amsterdam where separate research institutes exist to reflect different research areas and traditions. At the time of the previous research assessment, plans had already been made to set up a distinct research institute for business (as part of the creation of the Amsterdam Business School) in to bring this area more towards the level where economics and econometrics already was. Targeted attention with specific knowledge of the respective business subfields was and is seen as necessary for this purpose. Increasing and furthering high-quality research in both business and economics/econometrics in a setting of healthy competition, mutual understanding and good cooperation where possible has been our approach.

Although certainly more can be done in our quest for excellence, we think steps forward have been made in the period under assessment, thanks to the dedicated attention that only separate institutes can guarantee. In the field of business, concerted efforts to strengthen areas other than , that already was at a high level, have been made, and in economics and econometrics, steps have been taken to improve programmes for which this was indicated while maintaining momentum in the programmes that had scored well in the previous period. This focused attention on the different disciplines has helped us to substantially increase research output in the business school in just a few years, whilst improvements in economics and econometrics have been sustained. The current report outlines developments and results for both institutes and their programmes put forward for assessment.

On a practical level, both institutes (and the schools of which they are part, i.e. the Amsterdam Business School and the Amsterdam School of Economics) have worked together very well. In the assessment period, they shared the support office (one staff member) and thus reaped synergies there. Coordination takes place where appropriate. For example, the research institute in economics and econometrics (RESAM) has main responsibility for the policies and practicalities related to the MPhil/Ph.D. programme in the , and which also covers finance that is part of the research institute in business (ABS-RI). Policy changes with major implications are discussed between the two, and ABS-RI follows the policy adopted by RESAM.

Similarly, while both institutes have their own journal lists as a necessary reflection of their main focus and a clear statement of concomitant profiles and most-desired outlets, rankings are mutually recognised as a principle. Personnel policy also follows the same tenets in terms of for example tenure track and promotion principles, as also agreed in a joint committee that approves promotions and associate and full appointments, but differences within the disciplines covered by both institutes and their peculiarities in terms of publication requirements and labour market conditions are being taken into account (Details can be found in A4 of both institutes’ reports; although policies are largely similar, we have chosen to include them in both cases as this makes each report into a comprehensive whole with all relevant information for the institute together).

A final example is that both institutes cooperated in creating the Amsterdam Centre for Entrepreneurship that covers both, and there are various areas in which researchers across the areas work together, sometimes also in submitting research

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grant proposals if this is deemed to have higher chances of success. As mentioned in the report, we stimulate researchers to cooperate both within and outside the university, but do not direct that, only facilitate where appropriate and feasible.

Hence, while targeted and separate attention for business on the one hand and economics and econometrics on the other continues to be needed as a reflection of research styles and traditions of the respective fields in which researchers can prosper, and there may be different interests when it comes to a division of scarce resources, this is accompanied by fruitful cooperation and reaping of synergies at the operational side. This serves the overall objective of fostering excellent and relevant research. Where we exactly are in this process is obviously up to the committee to assess.

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RESAM

RESEARCH INSTITUTE ECONOMICS & ECONOMETRICS AMSTERDAM

AMSTERDAM SCHOOL OF ECONOMIC

FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS

UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM

A. Documentation regarding the level of the institute

RESAM

RESAM - RESEARCH INSTITUTE IN ECONOMICS & ECONOMETRICS

ƒ Name of the institute: RESAM – Research Institute in Economics & Econometrics Amsterdam ƒ Date of establishment: January 1, 1998 ƒ Institutional affiliations and formal responsibilities: RESAM is the research institute of the Amsterdam School of Economics (ASE), which in turn is part of the Faculty of Economics and Business of the University of Amsterdam. RESAM’s formal responsibility is to stimulate excellent research in the field of economics, and to spent ASE’s research funds are spent efficiently. ƒ Research area: Economics, econometrics, actuarial science and operations research ƒ RESAM cooperates formally in the Tinbergen Institute (TI), this is the joint research school of the economics departments of Erasmus University, the Free University Amsterdam and the University of Amsterdam.

A.1 Mission statement

RESAM aims for research results that significantly improve our understanding of the operation of economic systems, the behaviour of agents in the economy and the effects of economic policies.

RESAM facilitates and promotes research by faculty members of the Amsterdam School of Economics to foster the academic ideal of intertwined university research and teaching.

A.2 Leadership

According to the law steering the of universities in the , the dean has the final authority on all research-related (and other) matters. The dean can formally or informally delegate whatever s/he wishes. So far delegation of research responsibilities within ASE have only been informal. There does not exist a document clearly defining the duties, authority and responsibilities of the director of RESAM. The director of RESAM is in the management team of ASE; also for this MT duties, authority and responsibilities have not been clearly defined.

RESAM currently covers nine research programs (+SEO), each of which is directed by a program leader. These programs are regarded as the natural units of organization of the research conducted in RESAM. Research agenda’s are primarily defined at the level of research groups, with an important role for the program leaders and other senior researchers.

RESAM’s main steering mechanism is its system of allocating research time. Based on publications in journals (or books) during the previous three years researchers can earn up to 0.5 FTE of research time. The system differentiates by quality of journals and number of co-authors. People who earn 100 so-called RESAM points (the equivalent of two single authored publications in B-journals in three years) receive the 0.5 FTE. People with less than 100 points can still earn 0.25 or 0.125 FTE research time. Faculty-members who are admitted as fellow of TI are automatically awarded the maximum research time of 0.5 FTE.

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RESAM

Decisions regarding the size of the institute’s budget and the allocation of that budget are made in the management teams of Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) and of the Amsterdam School of Economics. Formally the dean of the FEB takes the final decisions.

With the respect of the internal operation of the research institute (within RESAM’s office) the management style of the director is informal and open. In relation to the program leaders and other faculty-members, the management style is best characterized as “laissez-faire”. Program leaders and other faculty members manage the research on their groups. Communication is horizontal. It is believed that this style is the most suitable one in an academic environment with intrinsically motivated and highly creative professionals.

Besides the incentive to earn future research time, an important mean of motivation is the school’s promotion policy as embedded in its personnel policy. In recent years the school changed from a system with fixed numbers of positions for full and associate to a system of career development. In the latter system a faculty member who meets certain standards in research (and teaching) can be promoted to a higher rank. This gives a strong incentive to publish in top-ranked journals as such publications have a heavy weight in promotion decisions.

A.3 Strategy and policy

At the moment of the previous research assessment RESAM was the umbrella institute for all research in the FEB. Nowadays it no longer covers the fields related to business studies (which include finance). It was believed that research and publication traditions in economics and business are too different to include them in the same institute. The divide between the research institutes in economics and business studies is mirrored by the division of the FEB into two separate schools: the Amsterdam School of Economics and the Amsterdam Business School, which both have a vice-dean in charge of daily operations in their respective schools.

Currently RESAM covers nine relatively homogenous research groups that (with one exception) share a common research culture, with a strong emphasis on and use of quantitative research tools.

Some programs represent research areas with a long-standing tradition in economics such as the groups in econometrics, macroeconomics, industrial organization and labour economics. Others represent relatively new fields such as experimental and behavioural economics and the application of nonlinear dynamics to economics. These latter programs are the continuations of successful projects sponsored by the Dutch Science Organization (NWO). The fields of history and methodology of economic thought and actuarial sciences resemble two typical ingredients of the Amsterdam School of Economics. Finally RESAM covers the field of Operations Research due to that field’s close link in teaching with other quantitatively oriented fields.

There are no plans to change the current coverage of research areas. But obviously new areas are constantly explored and the institute’s organization is sufficiently flexible to accommodate this, as shown by the start of the separate program in Industrial Economics, Competition and Antitrust in 2005. Potentially promising new areas include evolutionary game theory, network theory and neuronomics. As with successful innovations in the research program in the past (CREED, CENDEF,

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RESAM

SCHOLAR), these new areas should first secure a period of research funding from temporary funding agencies (NWO, EU). During that period, the new programs can prove to be important contributors to RESAM’s research program.

ASE/RESAM’s policy to embed successful innovative research programs that have been funded by NWO as a regular research program funded by RESAM, contrasts with policies pursued elsewhere, where successful innovative programs have a hard time entering the regular system.

In response to the previous research assessment there has been a gradual increase in the requirements to earn research time. In the past, faculty members could also earn research time with publications in so-called C-ranked journals (including some Dutch language journals). This is not possible anymore. This should strengthen faculty members’ awareness of the importance to conduct research that can potentially be published in high ranked international journals.

In response to the previous research assessment the program in comparative population and gender studies ended as a separate program, and became part of the human capital program. With the recent retirement of the full professor in this field, the program is now completely terminated.

ASE (together with the Finance group of ABS) participates as one of the three partners in the TI. The other partners are the economics departments of the Free University Amsterdam and the Erasmus University . TI plays an important role as graduate school in the training and supervision of Mphil and PhD students (see A6). In addition the TI is a place where many joint research activities take place, such as the organization of seminars, conferences and hosting visitors from abroad. In Amsterdam, TI is located in the same building complex as the Amsterdam School of Economics, making it particularly convenient for faculty members to go there. (Until 2002 TI was located along one of the canals at equal distance from the University of Amsterdam and the Free University Amsterdam.)

As a research school, TI also played an important role in setting higher standards for research. Qualifying as a fellow of TI is based on publications in international journals and (possibly) citation scores. TI-fellows automatically earn the maximum research time of 0.5 FTE. It is recent policy that new faculty-members only get tenure when they qualify as (junior) fellow of TI (or another recognized research school).

In recent years RESAM’s director has proposed that only fellows of TI (or another recognized research school) can obtain research time, but this proposal was not supported by a majority of the program leaders. Also the proposal to differentiate research time such that excellent researchers can get up to 0.7 FTE research time (at the cost of awarding less research time to people who earn less than 0.5 FTE) was not supported by a majority of the program leaders.

A.4 Researchers and other personnel

As stated in the introduction, personnel policy of the two schools of the FEB are very similar. As a consequence, the following text in almost identical to the corresponding section in the part of the ABS. Differences reflect differences between the disciplines covered by the two schools in terms of publication requirements and labour market conditions.

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The aims of the ASE’s personnel policy for academic staff are: a) to assist in the achievement of the aims of the ASE, and b) to provide an attractive working environment for the staff.

The first objective requires appropriate policies in the fields of recruitment, tenure, promotion and (early) retirement. The second objective requires that the ASE provides attractive employment (salary, expenses, leave, computers, office space, secretariat, promotion criteria, good management) and academic (PhD students, seminars, colleagues) conditions. A highly qualified and well-motivated staff is the main asset of a teaching and research institution and essential to its success.

Assistant professors (UD’s) are recruited by open competition. Vacancies are advertised in the national press, and full details placed on the UvA website (in both Dutch & English), and usually advertised internationally as well. Members of appointments committees are expected to use their networks to draw the attention of suitable candidates, either national or international, to the vacancy. A public seminar will usually form part of the appointment process.

Requirements: meeting formal criteria adopted by all Dutch universities. Having a PhD in the relevant field, positive letters of reference and if possible some teaching experience.

Publications in serious journals (at least at B level) are desirable as is an ambition to contribute to international academic discussion by means of articles in international journals.

Initial appointment is normally for four years, with the possibility of a subsequent permanent position subject to favourable performance (‘tenure track’). In some cases the initial appointment may be for two years, with the possibility of a two-year extension if certain conditions are met, e.g. knowledge of Dutch. Decision about tenure is taken after four years. Requirements for tenure are favourable teaching evaluations, and (junior) fellowship of the Tinbergen Institute (or of another recognized research institute) or demonstrated potential to become so in a reasonable time.

Associate professors (UHDs) are recruited by open competition or internal promotion. General policies as listed under UDs also apply here. Requirements: meeting official criteria, specifically teaching experience and favourable teaching evaluations; design of new courses; substantial number of publications including a number in top journals; directing research of others (e.g. Ph.D. students); attracting external funding; international contacts and experience; management experience (e.g. as director of a course committee or of a teaching programme); and research impact (e.g. citations). All proposals for appointment at UHD level (which require 3 letters of reference from international referees) to go to an FEB committee which evaluates the proposal against these criteria.

Full professors (HGL) are recruited by open competition (except in cases of internal promotion) according to the guidelines in UvA publication Recruitment and Selection of Professors. All vacancies are to be advertised nationally and internationally. Requirements: official criteria, specifically wide teaching experience and demonstrated competence both in teaching and in designing courses; wide international contacts and experience; international reputation (e.g. as shown by citations); impressive publication list; a good record in Ph.D. student supervision; experience in fund-raising; expectation that she/he can provide academic leadership.

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RESAM

All proposals for appointment as HGL, including at least 3 letters of reference from international referees, go to a FEB committee (currently the Vaste Commissie Benoemingen (VCB)) which checks them against the criteria. Initial appointments as HGL are normally for 5 years, with the possibility of renewal till retirement age. The purpose of this is to prevent the ASE being saddled with the consequences of unsuitable appointments for decades. Initial appointments on a permanent basis are possible where the person concerned already has a permanent appointment at the ASE (e.g. as Associate professor) or is already a HGL elsewhere or where such an offer is necessary for labour market reasons.

PhD students are the future of the academic world. The ASE is keen to have a good number of them, give them a good training, and produce a regular stream of fresh PhDs. (See also A7: Research school activities.)

Postdocs. Good fresh Ph.D.s from the ABS or elsewhere may be offered postdoc positions. These are temporary research positions for a maximum of 4 years. Postdocs will also be required to do some teaching, normally at least 0.2. In some cases, at the end of the postdoc period, the postdoc may be offered a UD or even UHD position, if the person meets the criteria for those posts (see above). Up till now, postdoc positions have been mainly externally financed (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, NWO). From 2008 onwards the ASE expects to have also some internally financed postdoc positions.

Evaluation Each member of staff should have an annual assessment (jaargesprek) with the section head. This provides an opportunity for the person concerned to express their own views, and for the employer to explain the ASE’s evaluation of the person’s work and of their career prospects in the ASE. Except in the case of full time lecturers (docenten) and researchers (onderzoekers), the ASE strives for 50-50 appointments (teaching and research). Both teaching and research are required to be of a high level. Members of staff are expected to respond appropriately to poor student evaluations. Staff who fail to achieve good student evaluations of their courses, especially if this happens a number of times in a row, are required to participate in a course on teaching methods or presentational skills. Research time is allocated according to performance norms which are communicated to all members of staff. Staff who fail to meet the norm for 50% research time will receive less and will automatically receive an increased teaching task.

Promotions The ASE operates on the ‘career principle’. This means that promotions are made on the basis of an individual’s achievements, independent of whether or not there is a vacancy (although obviously vacancies in key fields have to filled on retirement or resignation). Criteria for promotion are known to members of staff. There must be some ‘individualisation’ of the criteria since members of the ASE work in very different fields and have varying strengths.

Employment conditions At the present time there are some possibilities to improve the income of staff and reimburse expenses (arbeidsmarkttoelage, functioneringstoelage, a one-off gratificatie, extra periodieken, onkosten) or improve their personal situation (crèche, housing) where this is necessary to retain or motivate them. These possibilities should be used as appropriate.

Flexibility/individualisation. In applying the above, we pay attention to special

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RESAM circumstances affecting specific individuals and/or particular subject areas. Hence the policy is a set of guidelines, to be interpreted flexibly in particular cases, and not rigid and inflexible.

Table 33 Research staff at institutional level RESAM 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 39.14 48.14 51.65 54.63 53.87 50.87 46.06 Non-tenured staff Fte 26.83 30.45 33.41 28.61 33.62 33.89 43.00 PhD students Fte 14.85 16.68 18.59 18.11 20.54 16.48 15.98 Total research staff Sum 65.97 78.59 85.06 83.24 87.49 84.76 89.06

Supporting staff Fte 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Total staff Sum 147.59 174.46 189.31 185.19 196.12 186.60 194.70

Table 34 Research staff at institutional level excluding SEO RESAM 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 20.75 25.36 26.05 25.44 24.83 24.58 25.78 Non-tenured staff Fte 25.83 29.45 32.61 27.81 31.09 27.76 31.67 PhD students Fte 13.85 15.68 17.79 17.31 19.74 15.60 14.99 Total research staff Sum 46.58 54.81 58.66 53.25 55.92 52.34 57.45

Supporting staff Fte 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Total staff Sum 47.38 55.41 59.26 53.85 56.52 52.94 58.05

Table 35 Research staff at programme level UvA-Econometrics 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 3.66 5.13 4.69 3.65 3.79 3.59 3.79 Non-tenured staff Fte 2.20 1.50 3.05 2.47 2.71 2.67 2.50 PhD students Fte 1.40 1.15 1.80 1.50 1.80 2.20 2.50 Total research staff Sum 5.86 6.63 7.74 6.12 6.50 6.26 6.29

Operations Research 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 1.66 1.50 2.01 2.35 1.94 2.00 2.00 Non-tenured staff Fte 0.00 0.15 0.68 1.08 1.08 1.15 1.17 PhD students Fte 0.00 0.15 0.68 1.08 1.08 1.15 1.17 Total research staff Sum 1.66 1.65 2.69 3.43 3.02 3.15 3.17

Equilibrium, Expectations, Dynamics 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 1.42 1.96 1.91 2.50 3.30 2.60 2.95 Non-tenured staff Fte 5.20 5.51 6.00 4.00 2.40 2.83 5.85 PhD students Fte 2.80 2.90 3.00 2.60 1.80 1.90 2.00 Total research staff Sum 6.62 7.47 7.91 6.50 5.70 5.43 8.80

Actuarial Science 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 1.02 1.06 1.63 1.34 1.48 1.80 2.27 Non-tenured staff Fte 0.20 1.47 1.96 1.98 1.33 0.86 2.83 PhD students Fte 0.20 0.82 0.96 1.01 1.21 0.72 1.68 Total research staff Sum 1.22 2.53 3.59 3.32 2.81 2.66 5.10

The Transformation of Europe 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 3.04 2.89 2.46 3.05 3.67 4.26 4.18 Non-tenured staff Fte 4.34 5.27 6.33 5.13 6.05 4.64 3.33 PhD students Fte 1.96 2.41 2.95 2.97 3.44 2.65 1.05 Total research staff Sum 7.38 8.16 8.79 8.18 9.72 8.90 7.51

Tables 34 and 35 shows for the years 2001-2007 the number of research staff in various categories: tenured staff, non-tenured staff and PhD students, all measured in FTE’s (and not in persons). The size of tenured staff is around 25 FTE, and that of non-tenured around 30 FTE. The number of PhD students (measured in FTE) is around 17. The total number of PhD students (measured) in persons in 2007 was 32 (this also includes students funded from external sources). The drop in the number of PhD students in the last years is a consequence of a vacancy stop some years ago.

Table 36 gives the breakdown of research staff by programs. The sizes of most groups are fairly constant over time. Most of the year-to-year changes are attributable to vacancies not immediately filled when people leave. An exception is the program of Actuarial Sciences, which expanded in 2007 due to a large research

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RESAM grant. The reduction in size of the Human Capital program is artificial. Until 2003 the IO-group was part of this program. Thereafter it started as an independent program.

Table 35 (continued) Human Capital 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 5.21 7.08 7.44 6.59 4.01 4.05 4.19 Non-tenured staff Fte 8.24 11.49 11.04 7.70 8.21 7.91 5.76 PhD students Fte 3.51 5.05 5.85 4.35 5.38 4.08 2.10 Total research staff Sum 13.45 18.57 18.48 14.29 12.22 11.96 9.95

History and Methodology of Economics 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 1.72 1.72 1.76 1.81 1.72 1.75 1.67 Non-tenured staff Fte 1.33 0.85 0.10 0.92 2.21 2.18 2.30 PhD students Fte 1.33 0.85 0.10 0.50 0.60 0.60 0.44 Total research staff Sum 3.05 2.57 1.86 2.73 3.93 3.93 3.97

Experimental and Political Economics 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 3.02 4.02 4.15 4.15 3.20 3.14 3.24 Non-tenured staff Fte 4.32 3.21 3.45 4.53 7.10 5.52 7.48 PhD students Fte 2.65 2.35 2.45 3.30 4.43 2.30 3.60 Total research staff Sum 7.34 7.23 7.60 8.68 10.30 8.66 10.72

Industrial Economics, Competition & Antitrust 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Tenured staff Fte 1.72 1.39 1.49 Non-tenured staff Fte 0.45 PhD students Fte 0.45 Total research staff Sum 1.72 1.39 1.94

SEO 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Tenured staff Fte 18.39 22.78 25.60 29.19 29.04 26.29 20.28 Non-tenured staff Fte 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.80 2.53 6.13 11.33 PhD students Fte 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.88 0.99 Total research staff Sum 19.39 23.78 26.40 29.99 31.57 32.42 31.61

A.5 Resources, funding and facilities

Currently RESAM’s annual budget amounts to 4.5 million Euros, two thirds of that being spent on academic staff. RESAM is only in charge of the direct funding. It encourages faculty members to obtain research funds (and contracts), but has so far chosen to have no say in the allocation of such funds. That is to the discretion of the people acquiring these funds.

1.9 million is spent on research time of faculty members of ASE. This amount is the immediate result of applying RESAM’s system of awarding research time to the research output of faculty members of ASE. In a given year, there is not much RESAM can do to manipulate this. The deans of ASE and FEB decide who are on ASE’s payroll (and thus the amount of research output). Changing the system to award research time can only be done when announced some years (given the time it takes to publish) in advance. Another 1 million is assigned to untenured people (including salaries for PhD students).

Half of other expenditures are spent in the form of matching outside funding. For most of its funding schemes, the Dutch Science Organization (NWO) requires that the university that employs the recipient, bears part of the costs. This requirement (which has been terminated this year) absorbed a large substantial share of RESAM’s budget over the past years.

Another large portion of other expenditures is related to the Tinbergen Institute in the form of a lump sum payment to TI, scholarships and teaching in the Mphil program. 0.2 million Euros is directly assigned to the RESAM’s research programs, partly on

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RESAM the basis of number of researchers and partly on the basis of the number of PhD defences.

Current resources are insufficient. First, the 0.5 FTE maximum research time that RESAM grants, translates into 150 teaching hours per week. This is substantially more than at competing Dutch and European universities. This makes it very difficult to attract/retain excellent researchers who obtained attractive offers elsewhere. Second, the budget available for the research programs is small. Per person (including PhD students) it amounts to around 2000 Euros. This is sufficient to attend one conference per person per year.

Third, the number of PhD students is at a low level. Per full professor there is around 1, implying that on average each full professor has only one defending PhD student every 3 to 4 years (assuming no PhD student drops out).

Table 36 Staff funding at level of the institute Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 51% 48% 48% 44% 42% 36% 33% Research funds 14% 19% 18% 16% 18% 19% 22% Contracts 35% 33% 35% 40% 41% 45% 45% Other Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table 37 Staff funding at level of the institute (excl. SEO) Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 72% 67% 67% 68% 64% 58% 51% Research funds 20% 27% 26% 26% 28% 31% 33% Contracts 8% 5% 7% 7% 8% 11% 15% Other Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table 38 Expenditures (personnel and non-personnel costs excl. SEO) Total expenditures 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Personnel costs 91% 85% 93% 91% 85% 86% 73% Other costs 9% 15% 7% 9% 15% 14% 27% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Table 39 Funding at research programme level (excl. SEO) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 UvA-Econometrics 8% 12% 12% 9% 9% 10% 8% Operations Research 4% 3% 5% 7% 6% 6% 6% Equilibrium, Expectations & Dynamics 14% 13% 14% 13% 10% 11% 16% Actuarial Science 3%5%6%6%5%5%9% The Transformation of Europe 17% 15% 15% 16% 18% 17% 13% Human Capital 31% 34% 32% 28% 22% 23% 18% History & Methodology of Economics 7% 5% 3% 5% 7% 8% 7% Experimental & Political Economics 17% 13% 13% 17% 19% 17% 19% Industrial Economics, Competition & Antitrust 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 3% 3% Total RESAM 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

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Table 40 Funding at the level of the programmes UvA-Econometrics Direct funding fte's 3.18 4.08 4.78 3.14 3.47 4.05 4.08 Research funds 0.35 2.25 2.30 1.40 1.61 0.97 Contracts 0.10 Other Total 3.53 6.33 7.08 4.54 5.08 5.02 4.68

Operations Research Direct funding fte's 1.66 1.65 2.64 3.28 2.87 2.97 2.85 Research funds Contracts 0.05 0.15 0.15 0.19 0.33 Other Total 1.66 1.65 2.69 3.43 3.02 3.15 3.17

Equilibrium, Expectations & Dynamics Direct funding fte's 3.80 4.20 4.16 4.50 3.70 2.60 3.55 Research funds 2.40 3.06 3.75 2.00 2.00 2.83 5.25 Contracts Other Total 6.20 7.26 7.91 6.50 5.70 5.43 8.80

Actuarial Science Direct funding fte's 0.95 1.61 2.22 1.89 2.16 1.55 2.29 Research funds 0.65 1.00 0.97 0.19 0.39 Contracts 0.27 0.27 0.37 0.46 0.46 0.72 2.81 Other Total 1.22 2.53 3.59 3.32 2.81 2.66 5.10

The Transformation of Europe Direct funding fte's 6.51 7.46 7.42 7.14 7.83 6.82 4.56 Research funds 0.10 0.22 0.88 1.87 Contracts 0.87 0.70 1.37 0.94 1.67 1.20 1.08 Other Total 7.38 8.16 8.79 8.18 9.72 8.90 7.51

Human Capital Direct funding fte's 6.41 8.96 9.34 6.67 5.19 4.05 2.66 Research funds 5.91 8.04 7.07 5.86 6.03 5.99 6.12 Contracts 1.13 1.57 2.07 1.76 1.00 1.92 1.17 Other Total 13.45 18.57 18.48 14.29 12.22 11.96 9.95

History & Methodology of Economics Direct funding fte's 2.94 2.46 1.75 2.20 2.87 2.93 3.39 Research funds 0.42 1.00 1.00 0.58 Contracts 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.06 Other Total 3.05 2.57 1.86 2.73 3.93 3.93 3.97

Experimental & Political Economics Direct funding fte's 5.97 6.23 6.80 6.11 5.18 3.27 3.51 Research funds 0.30 0.80 0.80 2.43 4.04 3.79 4.86 Contracts 1.07 0.20 0.14 1.08 1.60 2.35 Other Total 7.34 7.23 7.60 8.68 10.30 8.66 10.72

Industrial Economics, Competition & Antitrust

Direct funding fte's 1.57 1.39 1.64 Research funds Contracts 0.15 0.30 Other Total 1.72 1.39 1.94

SEO

Direct funding fte's 1.00 1.00 1.20 1.22 1.10 0.80 0.70 Research funds Contracts 18.39 22.78 25.20 28.77 30.47 31.62 30.91 Other Total 19.39 23.78 26.40 29.99 31.57 32.42 31.61

RESAM Direct funding fte's 32.42 37.65 40.31 36.15 35.94 30.43 29.23 Research funds 8.96 14.80 14.92 13.18 15.09 15.85 18.68 Contracts 21.84 25.63 29.17 32.33 35.04 37.25 39.05 Other Total 63.22 78.08 84.40 81.66 86.07 83.52 87.45

RESAM (EXCL SEO) Direct funding fte's 31.42 36.65 39.11 34.93 34.84 29.63 28.53 Research funds 8.96 14.80 14.92 13.18 15.09 15.85 18.68 Contracts 3.45 2.85 3.97 3.56 4.57 5.63 8.14 Other Total 43.83 54.30 58.00 51.67 54.50 51.10 55.84

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A.6 Processes in research, internal and external collaborations

As explained above (A2) formulating research agenda’s, research initiatives etc. are taken at the level of research programs and/or at the level of individual researchers. It is RESAM’s responsibility to notice weak performance of specific research programs, to bring this to the attention of the board of ASE, and to propose effective measures. Large imbalances in the performance of different groups are a threat to a stimulating research environment. Programs may compete with each other for being the best program, but it is also important that the faculty is coherent, with a joint sense of purpose and operates in a cooperative spirit: members of various programs should respect each other’s work. In that respect we should mention that members from different programs work(ed) on joint research project (CREED with SCHOLAR, CENDEF, IO/SCHOLAR with SEO/Macroeconomics with Econometrics/ Econometrics with Finance, etc.)

Interaction across research groups is facilitated by the organization of a weekly internal seminar in which faculty members present their recent research (typically in a way accessible for non-specialists) and by the provision of information in the weekly electronic news bulletin.

RESAM produced a list with interesting, relevant funding opportunities, keeps this list up-to-date and informs researchers about funding schemes that are particularly important for them. RESAM also assists with the bureaucracies coming with funding applications.

The board of the UvA recently announced that its departments should identify (choose) at most three of its research groups as spearheads. Spearhead programs will receive extra funding. At the level of ASE this would imply that at most two of its programs are awarded this special status. This policy can easily disturb the existing balance across RESAM’s research groups. Moreover, it is likely (and seems reasonable) to appoint programs that are currently successful as spearhead. This ignores, however, that the groups that are currently successful would never have been appointed as spearhead if that policy had been introduced say 10 or 15 years ago.

Research school activities Around 5 years ago FEB’s dean, together with the deans of the economics departments of Free University Amsterdam and Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, decided that TI should run a full-fledged 2-year Mphil-program of the level and quality comparable to the programs offered at the top schools in the United States and the . Each of these three departments separately is too small to run such a program.

Under the new director of graduate studies of TI (Jaap Abbring) this program was developed and implemented and excellent students were recruited from the international market (requiring to offer scholarships). The three universities participating in this program also committed to guarantee each year around 20 PhD positions for successful graduates from this Mphil-program. Given the small number of PhD students in ASE this effectively implied that (almost) all new PhD-students would come from the TI’s Mphil-program. Moreover, matching of students to advisors should in the first place be based on the research interests of the student.

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In 2005, TI’s Mphil-program was evaluated very favourable by an international review committee chaired by professor Dale Jorgenson, stating that the core program is of a quality comparable to that of the top programs in the US and the UK.

Compared to the previous PhD-system, this new system brought a number of large changes.

ƒ All students have now to go through the 1-year core program (micro/macro/econometrics) and could only in their second year specialize in their field of interest. In the past, students could attend whatever courses they and/or their advisor thought fit. The idea behind this change is that a somewhat broader orientation (1) leads to a more motivated choice of thesis topic, (2) places specializations into perspective, (3) can lead to fruitful fertilization across fields, and (4) prepares students better for a non-academic career after their defence.

ƒ Students from the own (faculty-run) master programs could no longer apply for a PhD position in the ASE. Effectively turning TI’s Mphil-program into the only research master of the school. To accommodate students with a bachelor in econometrics (taught at UvA, VUA and EUR), the Mphil-program offers an advanced econometrics track. To make it possible for students with a master in econometrics (or another master) to skip certain courses, qualifying exams (QE) were introduced in which students can demonstrate the level at which they mastered the core topics.

ƒ In the past advisors were assigned PhD positions on the basis of specific research proposals. Students were then hired for these specific projects. And they were thereby matched to their advisors before they had any graduate training. In the new system, students first do their 1-year of core courses and only during their second year in the Mphil program they start looking for someone that wants to advise them on their (self-chosen) thesis topic.

Big changes never come without resistance. It is argued that the Mphil-program does not provide students with the preparation/training needed for some fields and that the program has too much emphasis on mainstream economics and would probably attract too few students interested in other approaches.

RESAM keeps track of the progress of PhD students. A formal requirement is the annual review meeting of student and advisor. The outcomes of these reviews and possible conclusions are written down in a report that is then submitted to RESAM. Unfortunately this system does not work as it should. According to Dutch law, only on the basis of the first report is it possible to terminate the contract. The information available at that time is usually insufficient for such a far-reaching decision. RESAM therefore welcomes very much that in the near future this decision moment is postponed until 18 months. To further improve the information about students’ progress, RESAM now requires that students present their work in a publicly announced seminar before the first review can take place.

The Mphil program is only compulsory for PhD students funded from RESAM’s direct funding. So far it has been chosen not to apply this system to PhD students funded from other sources. It is important to monitor that the two systems do not lead to theses that systematically differ in quality.

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A.7 Academic reputation

On the “all economics” ranking posted at http://www.econphd.net/rankings.htm, UvA occupies the 37th position worldwide. In the ranking of institutes on http://ideas.repec.org/top/, UvA holds the 45th position worldwide. These rankings are based on a mixture of various criteria including impact factors of journals in which papers have been published and citations.

Quite some ASE’s faculty members hold editorial positions. Often in field journals such as Quantitative Finance, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Small, Business Economics, Economic of Education Review and Management Science, but also in general journals such as the Journal of Economic Literature and the European Economic Review.

The ASE has a relatively high success rate in its applications for research funding at the Dutch Science Foundation (NWO). 52 percent of the applications get funded, while this is on average 27% for Dutch economics departments, and on average 34% for all departments of the University of Amsterdam (source: presentation of NWO’s chairman Peter Nijkamp).

A.8 Internal evaluation

An internal evaluation of the various supporting units of the FEB (RESAM, personnel affairs, financial affairs, ICT, etc.) concluded that RESAM performed well on all accounts and is regarded as the best-functioning support unit.

The annual report of RESAM is always sent to the members of the external scientific committee (with professors Johan van Benthem, Barbara Wolfe, and – until recently – Henk Don as members) for comments and discussion.

RESAM’s policies and management are not equally appreciated by all research programs. Discontent seems to concentrate on the role of the Mphil program of the TI, which some think to be too rigid.

Evaluation by the internal research community and the external committee Over the past seven years the output, in terms of international publications, has increased in quantity and quality. The ASE has also organised several successful and important conferences such as the Annual Congress of the European Economic Association in 2005, the 33rd EARIE (European Association for Research in Industrial Economics) congress in 2006 and a conference called "Monetary and Fiscal Stabilization with Imperfect Financial Markets" jointly with the CEPR () and De Nederlandsche (DNB), also in 2006. Researchers in the School continue to be successful in attracting research funding from the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO).

A point of concern is the distribution of PhD students among research programmes. The number of students who successfully completed the Mphil programme at the Tinbergen Institute (TI) was quite small and therefore the inflow of PhD students was too limited. For this reason RESAM decided to hire external candidates. In 2006 the TI has very been successful in attracting students but, among the weak points in the system, is the fact that there are few incentives for Tinbergen Master students to continue with a UvA-supervisor. This is something that RESAM needs to address.

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Furthermore, There is little indication that the seminar series are actively used to make students enthusiastic about research.

Several non-academic problems continue to seriously hamper research and teaching at the Amsterdam School of Economics. ICT services are sub-standard. In quite some cases it took far too long to before a new researcher or guest could start working on a PC. Furthermore, there seems to be a lack of understanding of what ICT services are essential to research and teaching: urgent problems don’t get prioritized (well). Getting the necessary permits for foreign researchers takes a lot of time and effort. Although the reasons for these problems usually need to be sought outside the UvA they pose a threat to research (collaboration) and the image of the School and the University as well.

The external committee has stressed that RESAM should be more active in encouraging multidisciplinary work. This can be done without losing sight of furthering research in core economic fields. It is important that this broader interdisciplinary outreach is not neglected. RESAM has a great potential to fulfill a role as central cultural broker between various disciplines.

Finally: although the research institute seems to be quite successful in attracting external funding it seems to be lacking a clear policy in this regard. Since governmental funding (1st flow of funds) has decreased over the last years, and this trend will probably continue in the (near) future it would be advisable if RESAM thought about what policies and instruments could strengthen the institute’s ability to secure external funding.

A.9 External validation

Most of the activities for external validation take place at the level of individual researchers and programs. Some of the groups (HC, TOE and SEO) are rather active in this regard with regular contributions in the national and local media for instance. On the News and Events part of the ASE website links to most of these contributions of faculty can be accessed.

At the level of ASE, we frequently organize seminars/lectures for alumni often on a topic that is in the news. ASE also organizes annually an event surrounding the government’s budget proposals.

A.10 Overview of the results

Table 41 Institute results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 21 20 21 24 39 39 38 b. books, monographs 11 c. books, edited 12 d. chapters 6 14 11 8 11 6 20 2. Dutch journals 18 20 17 14 20 13 10 books 1 3 1 3 2 5 chapters 8 5 11 10 2 7 8 3. PhD theses 561254 4 4. Professional publications 27 16 10 16 18 20 29

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Table 42 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 14 23 22 17 31 24 17 Other international Journals 82 80 89 109 105 115 108

A.11 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the institute

SWOT

Strengths Opportunities

ƒ Nine research program, with a nice ƒ In the next few years, the baby- spread across traditional fields and boomers will retire. This gives the new promising areas. opportunity to hire strong ambitious ƒ A good functioning institute (SEO) young faculty members. conducting commissioned research ƒ Starting this year, RESAM has a at a high level budget to recruit 2 to 3 postdocs. ƒ A strong international reputation ƒ A well functioning cooperation in the Tinbergen Institute ƒ An ambitious high-level Mphil- program (a real asset!) ƒ Successful in acquiring research funding

Weaknesses Threats

ƒ Too many teaching hours for its ƒ Reduced funding due to expansion researchers of the Amsterdam Business School ƒ Due to lack of coordination ASE is ƒ Unclear choices regarding the not visible on the international job position of the Mphil-program market as a recruiter. ƒ Fiercer competition from other schools in Europe makes it more difficult to attract excellent students and new faculty members ƒ Very badly functioning ICT support, leading to lots of complaints and frustration by researchers and sometimes embarrassing exchanges with prominent visitors from abroad. ƒ UvA’s plan to define “spearhead programs”

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B. Documentation regarding the level of the programmes

RESAM: UvA-Econometrics

UvA-Econometrics

ƒ Research area and mission: Assessment and enhancement of the accuracy, efficiency and robustness of econometric inference. ƒ JEL: C1, C2, C3, C4, C5. ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Jan F. Kiviet. ƒ Starting date of the programme: early 1990's. ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: Tinbergen Institute.

B.1 Leadership

The programme leader is mainly an administrator (responsible for annual report) and stimulator of joint activities (seminars, workshops) and of the external visibility (web pages, discussion paper series) and he is in charge of the allocation of the budget for travel to conferences (annually 12,000 €). The programme leader is not involved in hiring, annual assessment of individual performance, personnel policy etc.; this is the responsibility of the head of department and of individual supervisors of Ph.D. students. Hence, his leadership is a rather informal one; it is not based on hierarchy.

B.2 Strategy and policy

Research area: Assessment and enhancement of the accuracy, efficiency and robustness of econometric inference. Over the last five years the focus has been in particular on recent developments in topics as: weak instruments, invalid instruments, factor models and volatility clustering. Individual researchers determine their own research agenda, but mutual exchanges of ideas and joint research efforts are stimulated, especially at the regular informal research workshops.

The major criticism in the previous research assessment concerned the modest number of Ph.D. defences. Over the past five years the programme managed to extend the number of Ph.D. students and some increase in the number of defences has already been realised and a further increase is expected. Nevertheless, the programme still experiences difficulties in this respect of two different kinds: (a) relatively few of our own MSc students in econometrics show ambition in embarking on a Ph.D. project; (b) the current FEB-UvA policy regarding its commitments with the Tinbergen Institute may have established a quality improvement for students in economics and applied econometrics, they certainly obstruct students who specialize in econometric theory and other multidisciplinary fields. Repeatedly these serious problems have been discussed with the FEB management but without any positive effects. They have been put forward again, with suggested policy changes, in a letter of April 2007 (signed by about 20 TI Fellows from various research groups) to the Deans and Research Directors of the two Faculties of Economics and Business in Amsterdam. No answer has been received yet!

Nevertheless, we hope that the current situation will be changed soon and be brought in line with both the general UvA policies, which support open and international competitions, and those practiced at Erasmus university, where the entrance of Ph.D. students with an MSc in econometrics is not blocked but facilitated. Problem (a) is more difficult to tackle, because it is not just of a local nature. Also abroad, in the UK and US, few Ph.D. students are nationals and most are foreign. This has to do, as it seems, with salary structure and the general perception of pursuing an academic career by the current Dutch student generation. However, in

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RESAM: UvA-Econometrics addition to that, at UvA problem (b) aggravates problem (a), because it confuses and demoralizes our BSc and MSc students. Whereas over many decades the MSc in Econometrics established the major supply road for Ph.D. tracks in economics in the Netherlands, the current budgetary policy at UvA prevents entrance into the Ph.D. programme after a master other than the MPhil of the Tinbergen Institute. Only when too few MPhil’s are available/capable other students are admitted. Due to the latter circumstances UvA-Econometrics could hire over the last few years a few Ph.D. students with a more quantitative background than provided by the TI-MPhil from abroad and from its own MSc in Econometrics.

We are opposing this policy by the successive Deans and RESAM directors now for about 5 years, but no attempts have been made by those responsible to settle this dispute, neither to find or suggest a compromise, nor have we ever heard any arguments what is wrong suddenly with the MSc in Econometrics as a stepping stone towards a Ph.D. Hence, it is needless to say that we are frustrated and dissatisfied by the current FEB research management.

In the 1996-2000 assessment also the score given on relevance for UvA- Econometrics was modest. Probably this score has to be interpreted exclusively as ‘practical relevance’. Our topics certainly have a substantive ‘scientific relevance’, because they are addressed extensively both at the most prominent international conferences of the major learned societies in economics and econometrics and in all the top journals.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

Senior researchers are free to fill their own research agenda and to choose possible collaborators. Junior (non-tenured) researchers and Ph.D. students work on projects designed under the direction of their supervisors. These supervisors are also responsible for the annual review process and any advice regarding changes in contracts and salaries. This process is monitored by the head of department in case of postdoc’s and by the RESAM director in case of Ph.D. students. There is not a standard protocol regarding feedback from the RESAM director towards Ph.D. supervisors, implying that often there is no feedback at all. The senior (tenured) researchers are assessed annually by the head of department.

B.4 Academic reputation

A ranking based on international publications over the years 1993-2003 in 10 subdisciplines of economics (and primarily meant to inform graduate students on the quality of faculty) finds with respect to econometrics (see: www.econPh.D.net/rank/reconm.htm) that UvA-Econometrics is number 15 worldwide (before Harvard, Oxford, Cambridge), first in the Netherlands, and fourth in Europe (behind LSE, Carlos III Madrid, European University Institute Florence). In the nine other subdisciplines UvA occupies a more modest position, but also in two other subdisciplines UvA is best in the Netherlands. Rankings of institutions and of individuals according to various criteria based on journal publications in econometrics (theory and general) can also be found in Baltagi, B.H. (2007), Worldwide Econometrics Rankings: 1989-2005, Econometric Theory 23, 952-1012. Over 1989-2005, 1995-2005 and 2000-2005 UvA is in theoretical econometrics 27th, 20th and 19th in the world respectively, and 5th, 6th and 7th in Europe, and 2nd, 2nd and 1st in the Netherlands. Regarding econometrics

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RESAM: UvA-Econometrics general (within parentheses the ranking regarding econometric theory) over 2000- 2005 the worldwide rankings of the universities in the Netherlands are: UvA 24 (19), EUR 29 (49), UvT 38 (60), VUA 52 (78), UM 120 (77), RUG 146 (>150).

B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

Over the last decade all senior members of UvA-Econometrics did meet the standards set by RESAM regarding output in terms of publications. Although these standards are rather limited in detail they are convenient in practice for an initial screening. We realise that they are also relatively mild. The standards set by the Tinbergen Institute for qualifying as a TI fellow are slightly more demanding, but these discriminate against our researchers who specialize more in statistics than in econometrics. Nevertheless, all UvA-Econometrics researchers who work in econometrics are TI fellows. Hence, the criteria used locally no longer trigger our ambitions, though of course the implicit international criteria do, i.e. improving our profile regarding giving key-note speeches at international conferences and strengthening our positions in next versions of lists such as published in Baltagi, B.H. (2007), Worldwide Econometrics Rankings: 1989-2005, Econometric Theory 23, 952- 1012.

B.6. External validation

Not relevant.

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

As already explained there are hardly any responsibilities at the programme level regarding personnel policy. However, programme members make attempts to find external funding for research projects. Recently there have not been successes in this respect. It seems that approval of econometric theory proposals is hardly possible if the project does not have a substantial practical economic component. The programme (leader) stimulates and supports both senior researchers and Ph.D. students (already in their first year, but in later years conditional on a paper presentation) to actively participate preferably at least once per year in international conferences and to build and maintain their own international network of scholars working in their area.

Regarding placement of former Ph.D. students we can report the following: Bun (2001) is now assistant professor at University of Amsterdam; Zerom (2002) is assistant professor at California State University at Fullerton (US); de Bruin (2002) no information; van der Ploeg (2006) started at ING bank as risk manager; Cheng (2007) is assistant professor at Shanghai University of Finance and Economics; and Schrager (2007) is risk manager at ING.

With respect to faculty with less than a 0.2 appointment we can remark the following. Frank Kleibergen has been UHD in Econometrics at the UvA from January 2002 until December 2007. In September 2003 he accepted a (fulltime) professorship of Economics at Brown University, taking unpaid leave from September 2003 through December 2007. During this period, he has continued to mention the UvA as one of his affiliations in his publications. After all, apart from his

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RESAM: UvA-Econometrics own contribution, UvA remained the base for his NWO Vernieuwingsimpuls project. Then, and now after the completion of this project, he has kept in regular contact with the UvA-Econometrics group: in the summer period he has usually spent a few weeks at the department in Amsterdam, discussing recent research with colleagues and Ph.D. students. From February through September 2007 he spent a sabbatical away from Brown at the UvA. Although he has not formally acted as a promotor for an UvA Ph.D. student during this period, he has been available for research advice to Ph.D. students.

Dr. Roel Oomen has been research affiliate at the UvA-Econometrics group since March 2004. Since then he has mentioned the UvA as one of his affiliations in his publications, and he spent time at the UvA-Econometrics group on average once a year for a short research visit and a seminar. He has also been available for advice to Ph.D. students, in particular for Antoine van der Ploeg.

Table 43

Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Bethlehem, J.G 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Boswijk, H.P 0.500.500.500.500.500.500.60 Cramer, J.S. pm pm pm pm pm pm pm Gooijer, J.G. de 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Kiviet, J.F. 0.30 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Wansbeek, T.J. ------0.10

Associate Professor (UHD) Garderen, K.J. van 0.500.800.800.800.800.500.50 Kleibergen, F.R. - 0.80 0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ophem, J.C.M. van 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Assistant professor (UD) Bun, M. 0.35 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.46 0.50 0.50 Casteren, P.H.F.M. 0.42 0.24 0.25 - - - - Giersbergen, N.P.A. van 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.24 0.42 0.48 0.48 Klein, A.A.B. 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Other Tenured Staff

Total Tenured Staff 3.66 5.13 4.69 3.65 3.79 3.59 3.79 Non-Tenured Staff Kleibergen, F.R. 0.80 ------Martellosio, F. - - - - 0.33 0.45 - Mavroeidis, S. - 0.20 0.80 0.60 - - - Omtzigt, P.H. - 0.15 0.45 0.10 0.02 0.02 - Ploeg, A. van der - - - 0.27 0.56 - - Oomen, R.C.A. - - - 0.000.000.000.00

PhD's Ariza Rojas, C. - - - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 Bun, M. 0.20 ------Cheng, Y. - 0.05 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.10 Gao, Z. -----0.200.60 Joseph, A. - 0.20 0.60 0.20 - - - Niemczyk, J. - - - 0.10 0.60 0.60 0.60 Ploeg, A. van der 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 - - - Zerom, D. 0.60 0.30 - - - - - Zu, Yang -----0.200.60

Total Non-Tenured Staff2.201.503.052.472.712.672.50

Total Research Staff 5.86 6.63 7.74 6.12 6.50 6.26 6.29

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B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

No responsibilities at the programme level, apart from travel budget (see above).

Table 44 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 90% 64% 68% 69% 68% 81% 87% Research funds 10% 36% 32% 31% 32% 19% 11% Contracts 0%0%0%0%0%0%2% Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Boswijk, H.P. & Doornik, J.A. (2005). Distribution approximations for cointegration tests with stationary exogenous regressors. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20, 797-810. Bun, M.J.G. & Kiviet, J.F. (2006). The Effects of Dynamic Feedbacks on LS and MM Estimator Accuracy in Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics,132, 409- 444. Gooijer, J.G. de & Zerom, D. (2003). On additive conditional quantiles with high- dimensional covariates. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 98, 135-146. Garderen, K.J. van, Taniguchi, M. & Puri, M.L. (2003). Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Semiparameteric Estimation of Spectral Parameters of Stationary Processes. Econometric Theory, 19, 984-1007. Klein, A. & Spreij, P. (2006). An explicit expression for the Fisher information matrix of a multiple time series process. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 417, 140-149.

Table 45 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 10 12 14 12 16 17 19 b. books, monographs 1 c. books, edited d. chapters 2 1 2. Dutch journals 1 1 1 books 1 1 chapters 21 3. PhD theses 1 2 1 2 4. Professional publications 6 1 3 1 1

163

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Table 46 Programme results: outcome in numbers (core faculty) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 10 12 14 10 12 14 13 b. books, monographs 1 c. books, edited d. chapters 2 1 2. Dutch journals 1 1 1 books 1 1 chapters 11 3. PhD theses 1 2 1 2 4. Professional publications 6 1 3 1 1

Table 47 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 1 5 5 3 5 5 4 Other international Journals 9 7 9 9 11 12 15

164

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OUTPUT UvA-ECONOMETRICS

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Boswijk, H.P., Hommes, C.H., Manzan, S. (2007). Behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31, 1938-1970. Bun, M.J.G., Klaassen, F.J.G.M. (2007). The Euro Effect on Trade is not as Large as Commonly Thought. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 69, 473-496. Bun, M.J.G., El Makhloufi, A. (2007). Dynamic Externalities, Local Industrial Structure and Economic Development: Panel Data Evidence for Morocco. Regional Studies 41, 1-15. Cramer, J.S. (2007). Robustness of Logit Analysis: Unobserved Heterogeneity and Misspecified Disturbances. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 69, 545-555. Dijk, D. van, Franses, P.H. & Boswijk, H.P. (2007). Absorption of shocks in nonlinear autoregressive models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 51, 4206- 4226. Gooijer, J.G. de, (2007). Power of the Neyman smooth test for evaluating multivariate forecast densities. Journal of Applied Statistics 34, 371-382. Gooijer, J.G. de, Yuan, A. (2007). Semiparametric regression with kernel error model. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 34, 841-869. Gooijer, J.G. de, Gannoun, A. (2007). TR multivariate conditional median estimation. Communication in Statistics: Simulation and Computation 36, 165-176. Gooijer, J.G. de, Cheng, Y. (2007). On the u-th geometric conditional quantile. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 137, 1914-1930. Klein, A., Spreij, P. (2007). Recursive solution of certain structured linear systems. SIAM Journal on Matrix Analysis and Applications 29, 1191-1217. Kiviet, J.F., Niemczyk, J. (2007). The asymptotic and finite sample distributions of OLS and simple IV in simultaneous equations. Journal of Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 51, 3296-3318. Meijer, E. & Wansbeek, T.J. (2007). The Sample Selection Model from a Method of Moments Perspective. Econometric Reviews 26, 25-51. Wansbeek, T.J. & Meijer, E. (2007). Comments on: Panel Data Analysis - Advantages and Challenges, TEST 16, 33-36.

Books, chapters Kiviet, J.F. (2007). Judging contending estimators by simulation: tournaments in dynamic panel data models. In: The Refinement of Econometric Estimation and Test Procedures (eds.: G.D.A. Phillips and E. Tzavalis). Cambridge University Press. Bethlehem, J.G. and Stoop, I.A.L.(2007). Online Panel – A Theft of Paradigm? Proceedings of the 5th International Conference of the ASC, Southampton, UK.

165

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2. Dutch academic publications

Chapters Boswijk, H.P. (2007), Riemann-Stieltjes en Itô integralen in het actuariaat. In Heerwaarden, A.E. van, Willemse W.J. & Leuven, G. (eds), Sensei in het Actuariaat. Liber Amicorum voor Prof.dr. Henk Wolthuis AAG (pp. 13-19). Universiteit van Amsterdam.

3. Ph.D. theses

Cheng, Y. (2007, 12 September). Selected topics on nonparametric conditional quantiles and risk theory. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr.ir. J.G. de Gooijer] [cat. I] Schrager, D.F. (2007, 9 February). Essays on Asset Liability Modeling. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotors Prof.dr. H.P. Boswijk and Prof.dr. F.C.J.M. de Jong] [cat. I]

166

RESAM: UvA-Econometrics

2006

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Bauwens, L., Boswijk, H.P. & Urbain, J.-P. (2006). Causality and exogeneity in econometrics (guest editorial). Journal of Econometrics, 132, 305-309. Boswijk, H.P. & Franses, P.H. (2006). Robust inference on average economic growth. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 68, (3), 345-370. Bun, M.J.G. & Kiviet, J.F. (2006). The Effects of Dynamic Feedbacks on LS and MM Estimator Accuracy in Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics,132, 409- 444. Bun, M.J.G. & Carree, M.A. (2006). Bias-corrected Estimation in Dynamic Panel Data Models with Heteroscedasticity. Economics Letters, 92, 220-227. Bun, M.J.G. & El Makhloufi, A. (2006). Exports and productivity: Moroccan manufacturing 1985-1995. Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, 97, 157-165. Bun, M.J.G. (2006). International Trade and Currency Unions. AENORM 51, 51-54. Cramer, J.S. (2006). The working conditions of econometric scholars, then and now. Statistica Neerlandica, 60, 194-205. Gooijer, J.G. de, Gannoun, A. & Zerom, D. (2006). A multivariate quantile predictor. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 35, 133-147. Gooijer, J.G. de (2006). Detecting change-points in multidimensional stochastic processes. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 51, 1892-1903. Gooijer, J.G. de & Hyndman, R.J. (2006). 25 years of time series forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 22, 443-473. Hartog, J, Jonker, N. & Ophem, H. van (2006). Dual track or academic route for auditors: does it matter? Applied Economics, 38, (9), 1019-1035. Hillier, G. & Martellosio, F. (2006). Spatial design matrices and associated quadratic forms: structure and properties. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 97, 1-18. Klein, A. & Spreij, P. (2006). The Bezoutian, state space realizations and Fisher's information matrix of an ARMA process. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 416, 160-174. Klein, A. & Spreij, P. (2006). An explicit expression for the Fisher information matrix of a multiple time series process. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 417, 140-149.

Books, Monographs Bethlehem, J.G., Cobben, F. & Schouten, B. (2006). Nonresponse in Household Surveys. Course book. Voorburg/Heerlen, The Netherlands: Statistics Netherlands.

2. Dutch Academic Publications

Chapters Bethlehem, J.G. (2006). Statistiek. In Fortuin, J.B., Herwijnen, F. van, Leijendeckers, P.H.H., Roeck, G. de & Schwippert, G.A. (eds), Polytechnisch zakboek, 51- st, revised edition (pp. A3/1 – A3/54). Doetinchem: Reed Business Information.

167

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3. Ph.D. Theses

Ploeg, A.P.C. van der (2006, 10 February). Stochastic volatility and the pricing of financial derivatives. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotors Prof.dr. H.P. Boswijk and Prof.dr. F.C.J.M. de Jong].

5. Other

Awards Kiviet, J.F. (2006). Fellow of Journal of Econometrics (for extraordinary publishing contributions to econometrics).

168

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2005

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Boswijk, H.P. & Franses, P.H. (2005). On the econometrics of the Bass diffusion model. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 23, 255-268. Boswijk, H.P. & Doornik, J.A. (2005). Distribution approximations for cointegration tests with stationary exogenous regressors. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20, 797-810. Bun, M.J.G. & Carree, M.A. (2005). Bias-corrected Estimation in Dynamic Panel Data. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 23, (2), 200-210. Bun, M.J.G. (2005). International Trade and Currency Unions. Medium Econometrische Toepassingen, 13, (3), 4-7. Giersbergen, N.P.A. van (2005). On the effect of deterministic terms on the bias in stable AR models. Economics Letters, 89, 75-82. Gooijer, J.G. de & Vidiella-i-Anguera, A. (2005). Estimating threshold cointegrated systems. Economics Bulletin, 3, (8), 1-7. Gooijer, J.G. de, Garcia-Ferrer, A., Poncela, P. & Ruiz, E. (2005). Introduction to nonlinearities, business cycles, and forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 21, 623-625 Joseph, A.S. & Kiviet, J.F. (2005). Viewing the relative efficiency of IV estimators in models with lagged and instantaneous feedbacks. Journal of Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 49, 417-444. Kiviet, J.F. & Phillips, G.D.A. (2005). Moment approximation for least squares estimators in dynamic regression models with a unit root. The Econometrics Journal, 8, 115-142. Klein, A., Melard, G. & Spreij, P. (2005). On the resultant property of the Fisher information matrix of a vector ARMA process. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 403, 291-313. Klein, A. & Spreij, P. (2005). On the solution of Stein’s equation and Fisher’s information matrix of an ARMAX process. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 396, 1-34. Mavroeidis, S. (2005). Identification issues in Forward-Looking models estimated by GMM with an application to the Phillips Curve. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 37, 421-448.

Books Hofman, L.P.M.B. & Bethlehem, J.G. (2005). Blaise, Methodological Backgrounds and Practictal Applications. Report, Statistics Netherlands, Voorburg.

Chapters Cheng, Y. & Gooijer, J.G. de (2005). On the geometric conditional quantile. Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meetings, Toronto, Canada, 1971-1974.

4. Professional Publications

Kiviet, J.F. (2005). Over de Wald van de Wald toets en de Wold van de Wold decompositie stelling. AENORM, 13, (49), 26-28.

169

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2004

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Bethlehem, J.G. & Hundepool, A.J. (2004). TADEQ: A Tool for the Documentation and Analysis of Electronic Questionnaires. Journal of Official Statistics, 20, (2), 233-264. Boswijk, H.P. & Doornik, J.A. (2004). Identifying, estimating and testing restricted cointegrated systems: An overview. Statistica Neerlandica, 58, 440-465. Bun, M.J.G. (2004). Testing poolability in a system of dynamic regressions with nonspherical disturbances. Empirical Economics, 29, (1), 89-106. Cramer, J.S. (2004). Scoring bank loans that may go wrong: a case study. Statistica Neerlandica, 58, (3), 354-380. Cramer, J.S. (2004). The early origins of the logit model. Studies in History and Philosophy of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, 35, (4), 613-626. Gooijer, J.G. de & Vidiella-I-Anguera, A. (2004). Forecasting threshold cointegrated systems. International Journal of Forecasting, 20, 237-253. Gooijer, J.G. & Brännäs, K. (2004). Asymmetries in conditional mean variance; modelling stock returns by asMA-asQGARCH. Journal of Forecasting, 23, 155-171. Klein, A. & Mélard, G. (2004). An algorithm for computing the asymptotic Fisher information matrix for seasonal SISO models. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 25, 627-648. Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H. & Ophem, J.C.M. van (2004). Explaining international differences in male skill wage differentials by differences in demand and supply of skill. The Economic Journal, 114, 466-486. Mavroeidis, S. (2004). Weak Identification of forward-looking models in monetary economics. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 66, Supplement, 609-635.

Chapters Niemczyk, J. (2004). Computing the derivatives of the autocovariances of a VARMA process. In Antoch, J. (ed.), Proceedings in Computational Statistics (pp. 1593-1600). Heidelberg: Physica-Verlag.

2. Dutch Academic Publications

Journals

Ploeg, A.P.C. van der (2004). Volatiliteit en Optiewaardering in Financiële Markten. AENORM, 44.

Books Bethlehem, J.G. (2004). Het simuleren van steekproeven met SimSam. Rapport, Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek, Voorburg.

170

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4. Professional Publications and products

Garderen, K.J. van (2004). Conditionele Inferentie Methoden en Kleine Steekproeven in de Econometrie. In Hackeng, T.M. (ed.), Over de grenzen van het weten. Jaarboek 2003 van de Vereniging van Akademie Onderzoekers. KNAW.

5. Other

Grants Garderen, K.J. van (2004). Travel and Academic Visit Grant from KNAW and the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia. Kiviet, J.F. (2004). NWO bezoekersbeurs (visiting grant, duration of 3 months) for Prof.dr. Jean-Marie Dufour (Université de Montréal, Canada) visiting University of Amsterdam.

Awards Giersbergen, N.P.A. van (2004). Outstanding Empirical Research award of the 2004 Southern Finance Association conference at Naples (Florida, US) for the paper What determines the survival of internet IPOs? (jointly written with M. Botman and Tjalling van der Goot).

171

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2003

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Bun, M.J.G. & J.F. Kiviet (2003). On the Diminishing Returns of Higher-Order Terms in Asymptotic Expansions of Bias. Economics Letters, 79, (2), 145-152. Bun, M.J.G. (2003). Bias Correction in the Dynamic Panel Data Model with a Nonscalar Disturbance Covariance Matrix. Econometric Reviews, 22, (1), 29- 58. Cheng, Y. & Tang, Q. (2003). Moments of the surplus before ruin and the deficit at ruin in the Erlang(2) risk process. North American Actuarial Journal, 7, 1-12. DeFuentes-Merillas, L., Koeter, M.W.J., Bethlehem, J.G., Schippers, G.M. & Brink, W. Van den (2003). Are scratchcards addictive? The prevalence of pathological scratchcard gambling among adult scratchcard buyers in the Netherlands. Addiction, 98, 725-731. Garderen, K.J. van & Taniguchi, M. & Puri, M.L. (2003). Higher Order Asymptotic Theory for Semiparameteric Estimation of Spectral Parameters of Stationary Processes. Econometric Theory, 19, 984-1007. Giersbergen, N.P.A. van (2003). A note on bootstrapping unit root tests in the presence of a non-zero drift. Economics Letters, 78, 259-265. Gooijer, J.G. de & Zerom, D. (2003). On additive conditional quantiles with high- dimensional covariates. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 98, 135-146. Gooijer, J.G. de & Vidiella-i-Anguera, A. (2003). Nonlinear stochastic inflation modelling using SEASETARs. Insurance, Mathematics and Economics, 32, 3- 18. Gooijer, J.G. de & Ray, B.K. (2003). Modeling vector nonlinear time series using POLYMARS. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 42, 73-90. Gooijer, J.G. de & Zerom, D. (2003). On conditional density estimation. Statistica Neerlandica, 57, 159-176. Kleibergen, F.R. & Bekker, P. (2003). Finite Sample Instrumental Variables Inference using an Asymptotically Pivotal Statistic. Econometric Theory, 19, 744-753. Kleibergen, F.R. & Groen, J. (2003). Likelihood Based Cointegration Analysis in Panels of Vector Error Correction Models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 21, 295-318. Kleibergen, F.R. & Zivot, E. (2003). Bayesian and Classical Approaches to Instrumental Variable Regression. Journal of Econometrics, 114, 29-72. Klein, A.A.B. & Spreij, P. (2003). Some Results on Vandermonde Matrices with an Application to Time Series Analysis. SIAM Journal on Matrix Analysis and Applications, 25, (1), 213-223.

Books, Monographs Cramer, J.S. (2003). Logit Models from Economics and Other Fields. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Chapters Bethlehem, J.G. (2002). New Techniques and Technologies in Data Collection. In Ehling, M. & Merz, J. (eds), Neue Technologien in der Umfrageforschung. Baden-Baden: NOMOS. Bethlehem, J.G. (2003). The TADEQ Project: Documentation of Electronic Questionnaires. In Cork, D.L., Cohen, M.L., Groves, R. & Kalsbeek, W. (eds), Survey Automation: Report and Workshop Proceedings (pp. 97-115).

172

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Washington D.C.: National Research Council. Bethlehem, J.G. & Hoogendoorn, A.W. (2003). Methodological guidelines for Blaise web surveys. Proceedings of the 8th International Blaise Users Conference, IBUC 2003. Copenhagen, Denmark.

2. Dutch Academic Publications

Journals Cramer, J.S. (2003). De Brabant steekproef als bron van gegevens over levensduur en sociaal-economische variabalen. Bevolking en Gezin, 31, 117-126.

4. Professional Publications

Bethlehem, J.G. (2003). Theorie en Praktijk van het Luisteronderzoek. Syllabus. Nijmegen: OLON. Bethlehem, J.G. (2003). Blaise als instrument voor de integratie van productieprocessen. In Nobel, J., Algera, S., Biemans, M. & Laan, P. van der (eds), Gedacht en Gemeten, Opstellen over statistische integratie voor Henk van Tuinen. Voorburg: Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. Bethlehem, J.G. (2003). Technieken voor survey-onderzoek, versie 4. Syllabus, Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen en Econometrie, Afdeling Kwantitatieve Economie, Amsterdam.

5. Other

Prizes Kleibergen, F.R (2003). Joint winner of the Tinbergen Prize for the most scientifically successful alumnus of the Tinbergen Institute.

173

RESAM: UvA-Econometrics

2002

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Boswijk, H.P. & Lucas, A. (2002). Semi-nonparametric cointegration testing. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 253-280. Cheng, Y., Tang, Q. & Yang H. (2002). Approximations for moments of deficit at ruin with exponential and subexponential claims. Statistics & Probability Letters, 59, 367-378. Cramer, J.S., Hartog, J., Jonker, N. & van Praag, C.M. (2002). Low risk aversion encourages the choice for entrepreneurship: an empirical test of a truism. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 48, (1), 29-36. Garderen, K.J. van & Shah, C. (2002). Exact interpretation of dummy variables in semilogarithmic equations. The Econometrics Journal, 5, 149-159. Giersbergen, N.P.A. van & Kiviet, J.F. (2002). How to implement the bootstrap in static or stable dynamic regression models. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 133-156. Gooijer, J.G. de, Gannoun, A. & Larramendy, I. (2002). Nonparametric regression with serially correlated errors. Pub. Inst. Stat. Univ. Paris., XXXXVI, fasc. 1-2, 17-41. Gooijer, J.G. de., Gannoun, A. & Zerom, D. (2002). Mean squared error properties of the kernel-based multi-stage median predictor for time series. Statistics & Probability Letters, 56, 51-56. Gooijer, J.G. de (2002). Editorial transition. International Journal of Forecasting, 18, 1-3. Gooijer, J.G. de (2002). Introduction to forecasting decisions in conflict situations. International Journal of Forecasting, 18, 319-320. Kleibergen, F. (2002). Pivotal statistics for testing structural parameters in instrumental variables regression. Econometrica, 70, 1781-1804. Kleibergen, F. & Paap, R. (2002). Priors, posterior odds and Bayes factors in bayesian analyses of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 111, 223-249. Smith, R.J. & Boswijk, H.P. (2002). Finite sample and asymptotic methods in econometrics. Guest editorial. Journal of Econometrics, 111, 135-140.

Chapters Bethlehem, J.G. (2002). Weighting nonresponse adjustments based on auxiliary information. In Groves, R.M., Dillman, D.A., Eltinge, J.L. & Little, R.J.A. (eds), Survey nonresponse. New York: Wiley. Ophem, J.C.M. van, Brouwer, E., Kleinknecht, A. & Mohnen, P. (2002). The mutual relation between patents and R&D. Chapter 3 in Kleinknecht, A. & Mohnen, P. (eds.), Innovation and Firm Performance: Econometric Explorations of Survey Data. Palgrave.

2. Dutch Academic Publications

Books Bethlehem, J.G. (2002). Technieken voor survey-onderzoek. Syllabus, Sector Methoden en Ontwikkeling, Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek, Voorburg.

174

RESAM: UvA-Econometrics

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Zerom Godefay, D. (2002, 15 May). Nonparametric Prediction: Some Selected Topics. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. ir J.G. de Gooijer]. Bruin, P.T. de (2002, 10 September). Essays on Modeling Nonlinear Time Series. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. ir J.G. de Gooijer].

4. Professional Publications

Bethlehem, J.G. (2002). Statistisch onderzoek bij het CBS. Stator, maart 2002/1, 17- 21.

5. Other

Grants Garderen, K.J. van & Schluter, C. (2001/2002) Economic and Social Research Council (of the UK) grant for research on “Improved Inference Methods for Inequality Measures”.

175

RESAM: UvA-Econometrics

2001

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Boswijk, H.P. & Franses, P.H. (2001). Robust Inference on Average Economic Growth. Econometric Institute Report 2001-47, Erasmus University Rotterdam. Cramer, J.S. & Ridder, G. (2001). Pooling states in the multinomial logit model: degrees of freedom. A correction. Statistical Papers, 42, 97-99. Franses, P.H., Srinivasan, S. & Boswijk, H.P. (2001). Testing for Unit Roots in Market Shares. Marketing Letters, 12, 351-364. Garderen, K.J. van (2001). Optimal Prediction in Loglinear Models. Journal of Econometrics, 104, 119-140. Gooijer, J.G. de & Laan, N.M. (2001). Change point analysis: Elision in Euripides' Orestes. Computers and the Humanities, 35, 167-191. Gooijer, J.G. de (2001). Cross-validation criteria for SETAR model selection. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 22, 267-281. Gooijer, J.G. de, Gannoun, A. & Zerom, D. (2001). Multi-stage kernel-based conditional quantile prediction in time series. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 30, 2499-2515. Houweling, P., Hoek, J. & Kleibergen, F. (2001). The Joint Estimation of Term Structures and Credit Spreads. Journal of Empirical Finance, 8, 297-323. Klein, A. & Spreij, P. (2001). On Stein’s equation, Vandermonde matrices and Fisher’s information matrix of time series processes. Part I: The autoregressive moving average process. Linear Algebra and its Applications, 329, 9-47. Praag, C.M. van & Cramer, J.S. (2001). The Roots of Entrepreneurship and Labour Demand: Individual Ability and Risk Aversion. Economica, 68, 45-62.

Chapters Bethlehem, J.G. & Buuren, S. van (eds) (2001). Missing Values. Proceedings of the Tenth Symposium Statistical Software. Utrecht. Bethlehem, J.G. & Hundepool, A. (2001). TADEQ, A Tool for the Analysis and Documentation of Questionnaires. Pre-proceedings of the ETK-NTTS 2001 Conference, 1, 133-143. Boswijk, H.P. (2001). Volatility Mean Reversion and the Market Price of Volatility Risk. Proceedings of the International Conference on Modeling and Forecasting Financial Volatility (pp. 159-170). Perth: The University of Western Australia. Gooijer, J.G. de, Gannoun, A. & Zerom, D. (2001). Multi-stage conditional quantile prediction. Proceeding of the Statistical Computing Section and the Section on Statistical Graphics of the American Statistical Association 2000 meeting (pp. 32-37).

2. Dutch Academic Publications

Journals

Jonker, N., Hartog, J. & Ophem, J.C.M. van (2001). Duale opleidingen: niet enkel beter. ESB, 86, (4291), 56-58.

176

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3. Ph.D. Thesis

Bun, M.J.G. (2001, 26 June). Accurate Statistical Analysis in Dynamic Panel Data Models. [Promotor Prof.dr.dr J.F. Kiviet].

4. Professional Publications

Bethlehem, J.G. (2001). Gebruik en misbruik van grafieken, deel 1: Het historisch perspectief. Onderzoek, Vakblad van de Marktonderzoek Associatie, 6/7, 22- 29. Bethlehem, J.G. (2001). Gebruik en misbruik van grafieken, deel 2: De verdeling van een variabele. Onderzoek, Vakblad van de Marktonderzoek Associatie, 8/9, 32-37. Bethlehem, J.G. (2001). Gebruik en misbruik van grafieken, deel 2: De samenhang tussen variabelen. Onderzoek, Vakblad van de Marktonderzoek Associatie, 10, 32-37. Kiviet, J.F. (2001). Carl Friedrich Gauss, niet Normaal bedeeld. AENORM, 30, February, 41-44. Kiviet, J.F. (2001). De uitvinders van de DW toets: Jim Durbin en Geoff Watson. AENORM, 31, April, 54-56. Kiviet, J.F. (2001). De brouwer van de Student-verdeling: William Sealey Gosset (1876-1937). AENORM, 32, July, 58-60.

5. Other

Grants Garderen, K.J. van (2001). Acquired KNAW fellowship. Embarks on programme (cofunded by FEE for 1 postdoc and 1 AIO for the duration of the KNAW fellowship) titled: Conditional Inference and Small Samples in Econometrics. Kleibergen, F. (2001). Acquired a NWO Vernieuwingsimpuls grant of Fl 1.5 million (€ 680.000) on the research proposal ‘Empirical Comparison of Economic Models’. The research proposal is for a five year period and embodies three themes: ƒ Development of robust two step procedures ƒ Comparison of non-nested economic models ƒ Improving the empirical foundation of domestic economic models by combining them internationally This research grant will be activated from January 1, 2002 onwards and besides the applicant, it will provide funding for one postdoctoral fellow and one or two Ph.D. students.

177

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OUTPUT FACULTY WITH LESS THAN 0.2 APPOINTMENT UvA-ECONOMETRICS

Table 48 Programme results: outcome in numbers (faculty < 0.2 appointment) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 2436 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 2. Dutch journals books chapters 1 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications

1. International academic publications

Journals 2007 Hoogerheide, L., Kleibergen, F., van Dijk, H.K. (2007). Natural conjugate priors for the instrumental variables regression model applied to the Angrist–Krueger data. Journal of Econometrics 138, 63-103. Jiang, G., Oomen, R.C.A. (2007). Estimating latent variable and jump diffusion models using high frequency data. Journal of Financial Econometrics 5, 1-30. Kat, H.M., and R.C.A. Oomen (2007), “What every investor should know about commodities I: univariate return analysis,” Journal of Investment Management 5 (1), 1 – 25. Kat, H.M., and R.C.A. Oomen (2007), “What every investor should know about commodities II: multivariate return analysis,” Journal of Investment Management, 5 (3), 1 – 25. Kleibergen, F. (2007). Generalizing weak instrument robust IV statistics towards multiple parameters, unrestricted covariance matrices and identification statistics. Journal of Econometrics 139, 181-216. Oomen, R.C.A. (2006), comment on JBES invited address “Realised variance and market microstructure noise” by P.R. Hansen and A. Lunde, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 24, 195 – 202. 2006 Kleibergen, F. & Paap, R. (2006). Generalized Reduced Rank Tests using the Singular Value Decomposition. Journal of Econometrics, 133, 97-126. Oomen, R.C.A. (2006). Comment (on JBES invited address “Realised variance and market microstructure noise” by P.R. Hansen and A. Lunde). Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 24, 195-202. Oomen, R.C.A. (2006). Properties of realised variance under alternative sampling schemes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 24, 219-237. 2005 Cubadda, G. & Omtzigt, P. (2005). Small-sample improvements in the statistical analysis of seasonally cointegrated systems. Journal of Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 49, 333-348.

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Kleibergen, F. (2005). Testing Parameters in GMM without assuming that they are identified. Econometrica, 73, 1103-1124. Omtzigt, P. & Paruolo, P. (2005). Impact factors. Journal of Econometrics, 128, (1), 31-68. Oomen, R.C.A. (2005). Properties of bias corrected realised variance under alternative sampling schemes. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 3, (4), 555- 577. 2004 Kleibergen, F. (2004). Testing Subsets of Structural Parameters in the IV Regression Model. Review of Economics and Statistics, 86, (1), 418-423. Kleibergen, F. (2004). Invariant Bayesian Inference in Regression Models that is robust against the Jeffreys-Lindleys Paradox. Journal of Econometrics, 123, 227-258.

2. Dutch Academic Publications

Chapters 2006 Omtzigt, P. (2006). De Grote Verplichtstelling. In Lecq, S.G. van der & Steenbeek, O.W. (ed.), Kosten en Baten van Collectieve Pensioensystemen (pp. 221- 237). Kluwer.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT analysis regarding the activities and current position of UvA-Econometrics:

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ good reputation, a steady stream ƒ few links with practitioners of A and B publications ƒ few ties with other units of FEB ƒ quality of human capital outside QE department ƒ expertise in a broad range of ƒ relatively little external funding cutting edge areas of econometric ƒ obstructed and rather ad-hoc (and statistical) theory entry into Ph.D. programme ƒ coherence of and atmosphere ƒ a slight tendency towards a less within the group favourable balance than 50/50 ƒ active seminar and workshop between A and B publications series ƒ exposure via own discussion paper series ƒ tight but appropriate facilities regarding computing and travel Opportunities Threats

ƒ development of a UvA Graduate ƒ rather few of our current MSc School in Quantitative Economics Econometrics students show (as suggested by UvA-CvB), ambitions towards the Ph.D. revitalizing a stimulating FEB programme research policy and management ƒ research input by senior staff ƒ developing a more applied profile slipping towards less than 50% of within ASE and with the ABS their total labour input. ƒ improving the research content of our BSc and MSc programmes and stimulating an increased inflow from talented foreign students.

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Operations Research

ƒ Research code: JEL code: Co, C6, I1, N6, N7, C61, C63. ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. N.M. van Dijk (since 1992). ƒ Starting date of the programme: October 1992. ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: Landelijk Netwerk Mathematische Besliskunde (LNMB, Dutch Network on the Mathematics of Operations Research). ƒ Other structural co-operations and relations with national and international research groups: Czech academy of Sciences, Academic Medical Center,Tokyo University. ƒ Research Mission: The development, the application and the dissemination of special (a) insights (b) mathematical results and (c) computational (numerical and simulation) tools for the support and improvement of practical questions of logistical nature (delays, output, costs) within production, transportation (railways, airports) and services (, call centers, hospitals, health care).

B.1 Leadership

The style of the programme leader is flexible and aims to make researchers feel comfortable and free in choosing their research topics, as he believes the intrinsic motivational challenge to be essential for the quality of research. Nevertheless, by enthusiasm and providing specific topics of practical interest, he stimulates and fosters research interactions and collaboration within the group, and with others. Accordingly, he has largely been responsible for the improved internal collaboration. In addition he has initiated and stimulated various collaborative external research of practical and societal interest. (see B.2 and B.3 under: fundamental applied research and collaboration).

These external and practical collaborations require regularly planned meetings for discussion and evaluation with the programme leader involved. For internal collaborations no planned meetings take place but discussions among the researchers involved also take place regularly. During these discussions, the programme leader also strongly stimulates faculty to write an article when appropriate.

For one new and somewhat older programme member, appointed in 2001 on a teaching position, research time was reduced to zero. By the various research collaborations and strong stimulation by the programme leader, this programme member has meanwhile changed his research topic and became involved in collaborative research within health care with one completed and two forthcoming publications in established journals.

B.2 Strategy and policy

Research area and mission The research mission of this programme is the development, application and dissemination of special (a) insights (b) mathematical results and (c) computational (numerical and simulation) tools for the support and improvement of practical questions of logistical nature (delays, output, costs) within production, transportation (railways, airports) and services (banks, call centers, hospitals, health care).

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The research group concentrates on three research directions: (i) combinatorial optimization, (ii) queueing and queueing networks, and (iii) fundamental applied research.

(i) In combinatorial optimization we deal with topics such as: linear assignment problems, generalizations of the traveling salesman problem, Steiner tree problems on graphs and generalizations, and degree constrained trees and problems with criteria as bottleneck, minimum deviation, and partial sum.

The research focuses on both exact and heuristic methods. The heuristic methods are of most interest from a practical point of view, as an optimal solution might be (NP-) hard to obtain while in practice a nearly optimal solution might also be sufficient. Special interest therefore has been developed for the numerical implementation by heuristic algorithms.

As one illustration, next to the publications listed in B9, there is one recent paper forthcoming in “Computers and Operations Research” on Polynomial Algorithms for Robust Bottleneck Problems, by Duin and Volgenant, that can be expected to be cited highly for its practical value.

(ii) Queueing is the classical discipline within Operations Research that provides insights and analytic results for predicting the performance for single or multiple server systems, such as arising in daily-life (e.g. waiting lines, telephony, hospitals, banks). As of today, even these most ‘simple’ practical systems are still highly open for research, e.g. see key-publications by Van Dijk and Miyazawa (2004), and Örmeci and Van der Wal (2006).

Queueing or stochastic service networks are known to be most useful for modeling purposes in manufacturing (production lines), computer science (computer networks), communications (long distance and mobile communications) and transportation (railway systems, traffic lights) and with growing interest, service networks (as hospitals). The research within the group concentrates on: the development of closed form (exact) expressions, most notably product form expressions and simple performance bounds for networks that are non-solvable (e.g. see key publication by Van Dijk and Van der Sluis (2002)). At present, the programme leader is co-editor of a book, for which he has also written four extended chapters, on the topic of Queueing Networks in a state-of-the-art series of Operations Research and Management (also see B.4).

As practical systems in manufacturing, telecommunications and computer networking are often non-solvable, approximations and bounds have to be developed. The error introduced by such approximations or bounds is a first point of considerate interest. In addition, state spaces are usually far too large for computational purposes. To develop different methods to overcome this intractability is a second point of challenging and future research. There are two forthcoming papers on this topic, one by R. Haijema & J. van der Wal on Markov Decision Theory in “Probability Theory and its Applications” and one by N.M. van Dijk on State space truncation in “European Journal of Operational Research”.

(iii) Fundamental applied research concerns a new direction taken (also see below under changes) for the development, and application of special insights and computational techniques adopted from Operations Research for specific practical problems of a logistical nature such as arising in: telecommunications, transportation (railway networks and traffic lights), inventory (blood) management, health care (hospitals) and call centers.

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For this purpose also practical and societal external research interactions are sought and at present take place with the Dutch Blood bank, the Dutch Railways, the Dutch Airport (Schiphol Airport), the Amsterdam Academic Medical Center and various hospitals.

As a particular theme and common component in the various practical research studies under this category, the combination of Operations Research and Simulation has hereby been taken up as a leading ‘new’ general approach (see key publication Van Dijk et al. (2005)). This approach combines insights and techniques from Operations Research with the present-day capabilities of simulation technology. The approach appears to be highly open and promising for further research development.

Previous assessment and changes Despite its productivity (see response letter of 2002), during the former evaluation period up to 2000, the programme was considered most viable and vulnerable. Unfortunately, at the beginning of the evaluation period this observation turned out to be correct. During the first years, as well as before, the programme leader was only parttime available (due to personal circumstances). In addition, the researchers were small in number and individually oriented. Accordingly, in line with the former visitation outcomes, the programme had set itself the objectives of:

ƒ A stronger interaction among the group ƒ A stronger research orientation of all members ƒ A more balanced and consistent production over all the members

Next to the yearly number of publications, dropping and recovering over the years, as can be seen in B.9, the steps in these directions have become visible in the second half of the evaluation period by:

ƒ An overall research mind setting and research participation among the group, ƒ Different research interactions among various members, ƒ Productivity by each of the individual members.

Two Ph.D. students (one with partial external funding) have started and are expected to complete their theses by the end of 2008. One former Ph.D. student has completed its thesis in 2003 under joint supervision by the programme leader and a colleague (from the Vrije Universiteit). Unfortunately none of the “own” master students from the OR-group who were stimulated for and got interested in Ph.D. research, could be funded due to the total “vacancy stop” of the department during a few years, and obtained Ph.D. positions elsewhere.

In addition, during the current evaluation period a major transition has been made from a primarily theoretically oriented programme into a programme that still aims to develop and apply fundamental results, but triggered by specific practical applications such as mentioned above under the third research category of fundamental applied research. Some specific current topics are: Pooling and overflow questions (e.g. for call centers and within hospitals), Stochastic Railway network analysis, Blood management for bloodbanks and waiting time analysis for hospital logistics.

Some specific examples of the results of this change from theoretical to practical but still fundamental research orientation are:

ƒ One forthcoming paper (accepted May 2006) in the journal Production and Operations Management” (listed as no.1 cited journal in the field of

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Operations Research and Management over 2006 and in the top-20 list of management journals of Business Week) (To pool or not to pool in call centers by N.M. van Dijk and E. van der Sluis). ƒ One forthcoming paper (accepted November 2006) in the journal Performance Evaluation on a classical problem in queueing as of interest in telecommunication up-to-present day call centers (Call Packing bounds for overflow by N.M. van Dijk and E. van der Sluis). ƒ Two forthcoming papers on blood platelet production in The International Journal of Production Economics (accepted September 2006) and Transfusion (accepted November 2006), a leading journal in the field of blood medicine (by R. Haijema, J. van der Wal, N.M. van Dijk and C. Smit Sibinga) ƒ One published (2007) and four ‘in revision for acceptation’ papers on hospital logistics with involvement by Hontelez, Joustra, Van der Sluis and Van Dijk.

(These forthcoming publications are listed here to demonstrate the quality and successfulness of the transition.)

Future The programme will continue in this line of the ‘new’ research direction taken of fundamental research as motivated by specific practical questions (rather than by more global research or application areas) of general societal interest.

It will also continue and focus on the collaboration both internally between the group members and externally with other institutions (as the Academic Medical Center, various hospitals and the Dutch Blood bank) as well as research groups at other universities (e.g. Royal Melbourne Institute at University of Melbourne, KU Leuven, Tokyo University of Technology, Czech Academy of Sciences, Eindhoven University).

The programme will submit a grant proposal at NWO/STW/Zon-MW and set up a group in the direction of health care applications to be able to hire a group of Ph.D. students.

Finally, in the near future the programme aims to fill two new positions by younger permanent staff members. Hiring strong researchers is essential for the program’s future position.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

In line with the objectives, the internal collaboration between the programme members has been highly stimulated and improved with joint research in different configurations.e.g, see:

ƒ Duin and Van der Sluis, ƒ Haijema, Duin and Van Dijk ƒ Haijema, Van der Wal and Van Dijk ƒ Van Dijk and Van der Sluis ƒ Volgenant and Duin

In addition, the two Ph.D. students are jointly supervised by two programme members.

There are also several international research co-operations. For instance with E.L.

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Örmeci (see Örmeci and Van der Wal, 2006), S. Voss (see Duin, Volgenant, Voss, 2004), M. Haviv (see Haviv and Van der Wal, 2007), M. Miyazawa (see Van Dijk and Miyazawa, 2004), K. Sladky (see Van Dijk and Sladky, 2006) and A. Segerstedt (see Nilsson, Segerstedt, Van der Sluis, 2006)

In the third category of fundamental applied research external and practical collaborative research takes place with the Dutch Blood bank, the Dutch Railways, the Dutch Airport (Schiphol Airport), the Amsterdam Academic Medical Center and various hospitals.

B.4 Academic reputation

Despite the fact that his research undertaken at this group within the field of Operations Research has a more mathematical than economic orientation, the programme leader was listed (ranked 17th and 31st) at the Dutch top-40 list in 2003 and 2004.

In 2007, the programme leader received an NWO grant for a one-year replacement of teaching in order to perform research on networks of queues.

Among other research activities, this grant is partially obtained to publish/edit a book called “Queueing networks: A fundamental approach” within the esteemed “International Series in Operations Research and Management” subtitled “Advancing the State-of-the-Art”. This editorship is in response to a (repeated) direct invitation by the series editor-in-chief F.S. Hillier, Stanford University.

In 2005, the programme leader has been selected by a peer-review committee to give a presentation at the newly set up yearly “Practice meetings” of the American Society of Operations Research (ORSA/TIMS) (currently IFORS).

In 2005, a plenary presentation was invited at the Winter Simulation Conference, the annual major event for (logistic) simulation.

B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

The evaluation as reflected by the annual research report by the institute is discussed with the programme members. In personal discussions with each of the members research is stimulated.

As indicated, after a vulnerable period a recovery and improvement has become clearly visible in line with the objectives set. The improvement is partially reflected in the output over 2006 and 2007, partially in various main forthcoming papers. This line is aimed for to be continued.

The expectation therefore is regarded as positive in combination with the goal (and approval by the department) of having a new staff member, with research time included. Two Ph.D. students are expected to graduate by the end of 2008 and financial support will be applied for, both internally and externally, to be able to contract new Ph.D. students.

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B.6. External validation

The external collaborations as mentioned under B1 and the corresponding fundings as mentioned under B8 can be regarded as a first recognition outside the scientific community.

In 2007 a small booklet has been produced by the University of Amsterdam, called: “Parallelle agenda’s: onderzoek in de samenleving” (research for society), to briefly present 20 selected research themes/activities for society, executed at this university. The theme “wachttijden in (jeugd)zorg” (waiting times in (youth) health care) as suggested by the OR-programme was one of these.

In 2007 a proposal: “Wiskundige optimalisatie van donorbloed” (Mathematical optimisation of blood donation) by the OR-programme has been selected number 1 by the department (FEB) as university (UvA) candidacy for promoting research for society (among which by presentation to general public) (Wetenschap en maatschappij).

In 2004 (2x) and 2007, three articles have been written for “Medisch Contact” (a major Dutch professional magazine for physicians) to illustrate the use of OR- (queueing) insights and simulation in health care, particularly for the societal purpose of enabling ‘parttime’ physicians.

In 2003, 2004 and 2005, a one-day course was given to high school teachers in mathematics and in 2003, an article was written in their professional magazine to illustrate the ‘new’ possibilities of mathematics for practical problems with present- day tools as simulation.

Next to forthcoming publications in scientific journals, the external research collaboration with the Dutch Blood bank (Groningen and Nijmegen), the Dutch Railways (Prorail), the AMC (Amsterdam Academic Medical Center) are all meant to lead to practical implementations.

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

As indicated before, due to a vacancy stop by the department over a couple of years, some potential Ph.D. students from the own OR-teaching programme could not be funded and have obtained positions elsewhere.

With approval by the department chair and dean during 2008/2009 one and possibly two new staff members will be sought for (preferably at associate and full professor level) in anticipation of two programme members retiring in 2010.A strong research background and orientation for research are essential requirements.

In addition, in 2009 an NWO/Zon-MW research grant is planned to be applied for so as to be able to fund a number of Ph.D. (3/4) students, within the area of health care.

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Table 49 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Dijk, N.M. van 0.20 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.50 0.50 Schrijver, A. 0.06------Wal, J. van der 0.25 0.25 0.15 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 Associate Professor (UHD) Volgenant, A. 0.40 0.30 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 Assistant Professor (UD) Duin, C.W. 0.46 0.25 0.46 0.46 0.40 0.46 0.46 Hontelez, J.A.M. 0.04 0.25 0.40 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sluis, H.J. van der 0.25 0.25 0.35 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Other Tenured Staff

Total Tenured Staff 1.66 1.50 2.01 2.02 1.94 2.00 2.00

Non-Tenured Staff

PhD's Al-Ibrahim, A. - - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 Haijema, R. - 0.15 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.32 Joustra, P. - - - - - 0.08 0.45

Total Non-Tenured Staff 0.00 0.15 0.68 1.08 1.08 1.16 1.17

Total Research Staff 1.66 1.65 2.69 3.10 3.02 3.16 `

B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

By small practical (research) projects limited external contract funding has been acquired as for student assistance and traveling.

In 2007 / 2008, a halftime research position is obtained from the Dutch Blood bank. One Ph.D. student is partially funded by the Dutch railways (NS). One new Ph.D. student is 50% funded by the AMC .

Table 50 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 100% 100% 98% 96% 95% 94% 90% Research funds 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Contracts 0%0%2%4%5%6%10% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Comment on the key publications The key publications have been chosen to reflect the

ƒ analytical ƒ computational and ƒ practical oriented research that is undertaken by the group in different constellations.

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The first paper illustrates the theoretical and analytic research that is present within the group (for queueing, Markov decision theory and combinatorial optimization). In this paper new results are obtained for most classical 'simple' single- and multi-server queues.

The second paper shows the numerical point of view (that is also paid considerable attention to within the group for both queueing and combinatorial optimization problems). The fourth and fifth paper are illustrative for the variety of theoretical research undertaken in both the field of Combinatorial Optimization and Queueing.

The third paper finally, though just a proceedings paper associated with an invited plenary presentation, has been chosen as it illustrates the new direction of practically motivated research, the various internal collaborations as well as the combination of fundamental research and simulation. Each of the applications covered in this paper has a corresponding more detailed technical publication as mentioned in the references. This practically motivated and combined approach will be continued.

Key publications Dijk, N.M. van & Miyazawa, M. (2004). Error Bounds for Perturbing Nonexponential Queues. Mathematics of Operations Research 29, 525-558. Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2002) Simple Product-Form Bounds for Queueing Networks with Finite Clusters. Annals of Operations Research 113, 175-195. Dijk, N.M. van, Sluis, E. van der, Haijema, R., Al-Ibrahim, A. & Wal, J. van der (2005). Simulation and OR (Operations Research) in Combination for Practical Optimization. Proceedings of the 2005 Winter Simulation Conference, 274-284. Duin, C.W., Volgenant, A. & Voß, S (2004). Solving group Steiner problems as Steiner problems. European Journal of Operational Research 154, 323-329. Örmeci, E.L. & Wal, J. van der (2006). Admission Policies for a Two Class Loss System with General Interarrival Times. Stochastic Models 22, 37-53.

Table 51 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 9 3 4 6 3 12 8 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 1 1 2. Dutch journals 1 books chapters 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications 3 1 1

Table 52 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 1 1 Other international Journals 8 3 4 5 3 12 8

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OUTPUT OPERATIONS RESEARCH

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Duin, C.W. (2007). Two fast algorithms for all-pairs shortest paths. Computers & Operations Research,34, 2824-2839. Elkhuizen, S.G., S.F. Das, P.J.M Bakker & J.A.M. Hontelez (2007). Using computer simulation to reduce access time for outpatient departments. Quality & Safety in Health Care (QSHC), vol. 16, 382-386. Haijema, R., Wal, J. van der & Dijk, N.M. van (2007). Blood Platelet Production: Optimization by Dynamic Programming and Simulation. Computers and Operations Research, 34, 760-779. Haviv, M. & Wal, J. van der (2007). Waiting times in queues with relative priorities. OR Letters, 35, 591-594.] Hee, K. van, Serebrenik, A., Sidorova, N., Voorhoeve, M. & Wal, J. van der (2007). Scheduling-Free Resource Management. Data and Knowledge Engineering, 61, 59-75. Lieshout, P.M.D. & Volgenant, A. (2007). Solving the singly constrained assignment problem.European Journal of Operational Research, 176, 151-164. Nilsson, A., Segerstedt, A. & Sluis, E. van der (2007). A new iterative heuristic to solve the Joint Replenishment Problem using a spreadsheet technique. International Journal of Production Economics, 108, 399-405. Volgenant, A. & Zwiers, Y. (2007). Partial enumeration in heuristics for some combinatorial optimization problems. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 58, 73-79.

Chapters Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2007). OR for Simulation and its Optimization. Operations Research Proceedings 2006: Selected Papers of the International Conference on Operations Research (OR 2006), Springer, 587-592. Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2007). Practical Optimization by OR and Simulation. Proceedings of the 6th EUROSIM Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Editors B. Zupancic, R. Karba & S. Blazic.

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Brouns, G. & Wal, J. van der (2006). Optimal threshold policies in a two-class preemptive priority queue with admission and termination control. Queueing Systems, 54, 21-33. Dijk, N.M. van & Sladky, K. (2006). On Total Reward Variance for Continuous-Time Markov Reward Chains, Journal of Applied Probability, 43, 1044-1052. Dijk, N.M. van & Sladky, K. (2006). Monotonicity and Error Bounds for Nonnegative Dynamic Structures. Part I: Discrete Case. Kybernetica, 42, 37-56. Dijk, N.M. van & Sladky, K. (2006). Monotonicity and Error Bounds for Nonnegative Dynamic Structures. Part II: Continuous Case. Kybernetica, 42, 161-180. Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2006). Check-In Computation and Optimization by Simulation and IP in Combination. European Journal of Operational Research, 171, 1152-1168. Duin, C.W. & Sluis, E. van der (2006). On the complexity of Adjacent Resource Scheduling. Journal of Scheduling, 9, 49-62. Duin, C.W. & Volgenant, A. (2006). Some inverse optimization problems under the Hamming distance. European Journal of Operational Research, 170, 887- 899. Ormeci, E.L. & Wal, J. van der (2006). Admission Policies for a Two Class Loss System with General Interarrival Times. Stochastic Models, 22, 37-53. Tijms, H.C. & Wal, J. van der (2006). A Real-World Stochastic Two-Person Game. Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences, 20, 599-608. Volgenant, A. (2006). An addendum on sensitivity analysis of the optimal assignment. European Journal of Operational Research, 169, 338-339. Volgenant, A. & Korteweg, P. (2006). On the Hierarchical Chinese Postman Problem with linear ordered classes. European Journal of Operational Research, 169, 41-52. Volgenant, A. & Waal, A. de (2006). A heuristic for multiple feeder PCB manufacturing. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 57, 1134-1141.

Chapters Dijk, N.M. van (2006). On State Space Truncation of Finite Jackson Networks. Operations Research Proceedings 2005: Selected Papers of the International Conference on Operations Research (OR 2005), 805-810. Springer. Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2006). Two Basic Problems in Communications. Proceedings Second Korea-Netherlands Conference on Queueing Theory and its Applications to Telecommunication System, Tinbergen Institute Amsterdam. Haijema, R., Dijk, N.M. van, Wal, J. van der, & Smit Sibinga, C. (2006). Blood Platelet Production with Breaks: Optimization by SDP and Simulation. 14th International Seminar on Production Economics, Austria. Haijema, R., Dijk, N.M. van & Wal, J. van der (2006). Blood Platelet Optimization by SDP and Simulation. In POMS database refereed as application for Best paper award, 6 pages. Haijema, R., Duin, C.W. & Dijk, N.M. van (2006). Train shunting: A practical heuristic inspired by Dynamic Programming. In Jorna, R.J, Wezel, W. van & Meystel, A. (eds), Planning in Intelligent Systems: Aspects, Motivations and Methods (pp. 437-476). New York: Wiley. Smit Sibinga, C.Th., Dijk, N. van, Wal, J. van der & Haijema, R. (2006). A novel

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approach to optimal blood platelet logistics. Vox Sanguinis, 91 supplement 3, page 13, refereed abstract (2PS-0804) of ISBT (International Society of Blood Transfusion), September 2-7, 2006, Cape Town, South Africa. Smit Sibinga, C.Th., Dijk, N. van, Wal, J. van der & Haijema,R. (2006). A novel approach to optimal blood platelet logistics. Transfusion, 46, refereed abstract supplement of AABB Annual Meeting and TXPO, Oktober 20-24, 2006, Miami Beach, Florida.

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Dijk, N.M. van (2005). On Product Form Tandem Structures. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 62, (3), 429-436. Duin, C.W. (2005). A Branch-Checking Algorithm for All-Pairs Shortest Paths. Algorithmica, 41, 131-145. Voβ, S., Finke, A. & Duin, C.W. (2005). Looking ahead with the Pilot Method. Annals of Operations Research, 136, 285-302.

Chapters Haijema, R., Wal, J. van der & Dijk, N.M. van (2005). Blood Platelet Production: a Multi-type Perishable Inventory Problem. Operations Research Proceedings 2004: Selected Papers of the International Conference on Operations Research (OR 2004). Springer, 84-92. Sladky, K. & Dijk, N.M. van (2005). On Total Reward Variance in Markov Chains. Operations Research Proceedings 2004: Selected Papers of the International Conference on Operations Research (OR 2004). Springer, 319-326. Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der, Haijema, R., Al-Ibrahim, A. & Wal, J. van der (2005). Simulation and OR (Operations Research) in Combination for Practical Optimization. Proceedings of the 2005 Winter Simulation Conference, 274-284. Wal, J. van der, Hee, K. van, Serebrenik, A., Sidorova, N. & Voorhoeve, M. (2005). The price of co-ordination in resource management. In Lecture Notes in Computer Science Volume 3649/2005, Proceedings Business Process Management: 3rd International Conference, BPM 2005, Nancy, , September 5-8, 2005.

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Dijk, N.M. van & Miyazawa, M. (2004). Error Bounds for Pertubing Nonexponential Queues. Mathematics of Operations Research, 29, 525-558. Duin, C.W., Volgenant, A. & Voß, S. (2004). Solving group Steiner problems as Steiner problems. European Journal of Operational Research, 154, 323-329. Teeninga, A. & Volgenant, A. (2004). Improved heuristics for the Traveling Purchaser Problem. Computers & Operations Research, 31, 139-150. Volgenant, A. (2004). A note on the assignment problem with seniority and job priority constraints. European Journal of Operational Research, 154, 330-335. Volgenant, A. (2004). Solving the k-cardinality assignment problem by transformation. European Journal of Operational Research, 157, 322-331. Volgenant, A. & Duin, C.W. (2004). On Steiner versions of (bi)connectivity in network problems. Graphs and Combinatorics, 20, 263-273.

4. Professional Publications

Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2004). Check-In Optimalisatie door Computer Simulatie en Wiskunde in Combinatie. Euclides, tijdschrift voor wiskunde docenten, 8 (juni), 340-346.

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Boucherie, R. & Wal, J. van der (2003). Transient handover blocking probabilities in road covering cellular mobile networks. Computer Networks, 42, (4), 537-550. Brouns, G.A.J.F. & Wal, J. van der (2003). Optimal threshold policies in a workload model with a variable number of service phases per job. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 58, 483-501. Koole, G.M. & Sluis, E. van der (2003). An optimal local search procedure for manpower scheduling in call centers. IIE Transactions on Scheduling and Logistics, 35, 1049-1055. Wal, J. van der & Yechiali, U. (2003). Dynamic visit-order rules for batch-service polling. Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences, 17, 351- 367.

Chapters Brouns, G.A.J.F. & Wal, J. van der (2003). Monotonicity properties in a batch workload model with controlled phase-type service times. Proceedings of the 4th Aegean International Conference on `Analysis of Manufacturing Systems', ZITI Publishing, Greece, 53-58.

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2002

1. International academic publications

Journals Dijk, N.M. van & Sluis, E. van der (2002) Simple Product-Form Bounds for Queueing Networks with Finite Clusters. Annals of Operations Research, 113, 175-195. Huisman, T., Boucherie, R.J. & Dijk, N.M. van (2002). A solvable queueing network model for railway networks and its validation and application for the Netherlands. European Journal of Operational Research, 142, 30-51. Volgenant, A. (2002). Solving some lexicographic multi-objective combinatorial problems. European Journal of Operational Research, 139, 578-584.

Chapters Dijk, N.M. van (2002) To Pool or Not to Pool? The Benefits of Combining Queuing and Simulation. Proceedings of the 2002 Winter Simulation Conference, 1469-1472.

4. Professional Publications

Dijk, N.M. van (2002). Column in Simulation Facts, 2, (1).

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Brouns, G.A.J.F. & Wal, J. van der (2001). Monotonicity and threshold properties in batch workload models with controlled service times consisting of a sum of geometric phases. SPOR Report 2001-04. Technical University Eindhoven Halachmi, I., Adan, I.J.B.F., Wal, J. van der, Heesterbeek, J.A.P. & Beek, P. van (2001). Dairy barns and queueing networks. European Journal of Operations Research, 124, 437-446. Huisman, T. & Boucherie, R.J. (2001). Running times on railway sections with heterogeneous train traffic. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 35, 271-292. Keizers, J., Adan, I.J.B.F. & Wal, J. van der (2001). A queueing model for due date control in a multi-server repair shop with subcontracting. Naval Research Logistics, 48, 281-292. Nunen, A.E.E. van & Wal, J. van der (2001). Jaap Wessels - his life with stochastic processes. Statistica Neerlandica, 54, 116-126. Örmeci, E.L., Burnetas, A. & Wal, J. van der (2001). Admission policies for a two class loss system. Stochastic Models, 17. Sassen, S.A.E. & Wal, J. van der (2001). The M|G|_ queueing model for optimistic concurrency control. Statistica Neerlandica, 54, 190-201. Schrijver, A. (2001). A short proof of Mader’s S-paths theorem. Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series B, 82, 319-321. Smith, M.A.J., Dekker, R., Kos, J. & Hontelez, J.A.M. (2001). The availability of unmanned air vehicles: a post-case study. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 52, (2), 161-168.

Chapters Dijk, N.M. van (2001). Monotonicity and Error Bound Results. In Haverkort, B.R., Marie, R., Rubino, G. & Trividi, K. (eds), Performability Modelling (pp. 107- 138). John Wiley & Sons. Dijk, N.M. van & Joustra, P.E. (2001). Simulation of check-in at airports. Proceedings of the 2001 Winter Simulation Conference, 1023-1028. Wal, J. van der (2001). Threshold subcontracting. In Proceedings of the Third Aegean International Conference on Design and Analysis of Manufacturing Systems, Tinos Island, Greece, May 19-22, 2001. Editions ZITI, Thessaloniki. Yücesan, E., Wassenhoven, L.N., Papanikas, K. van & Dijk, N.M. van (2001). On-line error bounds for steady-state approximations: a potential solution to the initialization bias problem. Proceedings of the 2001 Winter Simulation Conference, 460-467.

2. Dutch Publications

Journals Tesselaar, B., Absil, F. & Volgenant, A. (2001). Clustering in doelvolgalgoritmen van radarsystemen. Kwantitatieve Methoden, 22, 27-49.

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4. Professional Publications

Dijk, N.M. van & Joustra, P.E. (2001). Wachten geanalyseerd. Verkeerskunde, 5, 42- 47. Volgenant, A. (2001). Book review of Weglarz, J. (ed.) (1998). Project scheduling. Recent models, algorithms and applications. International series in Operations Research and Management Science. Dordrecht: Kluwer. In Kwantitatieve Methoden, 22, 114. Volgenant, A. (2001). Book review of Tsurkov, V. & Mironov, A. Minimax Under Transportation Constrain(t)s. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers. In Nieuw Archief voor de Wiskunde, 5, (2), 296.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ The theoretical quality and technical ƒ A small size and two members skills of the programme members, the close to retirement openness and stimulation for ƒ An insufficient number of Ph.D.’s practical topics, the build-up and possibilities for hiring new ones collaborations both internally and externally as well as the practical contacts by the programme leader ƒ Fundamental research motivated by selective practical problems (particularly in the field of health care services). ƒ Collaboration with ‘real life’ institutes for real life research

Opportunities Threats

ƒ Recruitment of new staff members ƒ Competition from other OR-groups ƒ Further development of analytically for recruitment of staff members based but computationally oriented and Ph.D. students research with present-day software support, most notably in combination with computer simulation

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Equilibrium, Expectations & Dynamics

ƒ Research area and mission: The objective of the programme is to investigate dynamic economic processes using theoretical, computational, empirical and experimental methods. Central to the approach taken is the assumption that real economic agents are only boundedly rational. This calls for developing models featuring agents with different degrees of rationality; in order to discipline these models, their behavioural assumptions are tested empirically and experimentally. ƒ JEL: C, D, E6. ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. C.H. Hommes (2001- 2007) & Dr. F.O.O. Wagener (2007). ƒ Starting date of the programme: 1998. The NWO Pionier programme Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance (CeNDEF, 1998-2003), the NWO-Vernieuwingsimpuls programme Information Flows in Financial Markets (2001-2007), the EU STREP project Financial Markets and Complexity (2005-2008) and the NWO-VIDI programme Structural Stability in Economic Dynamics (2006-2010) are all part of the research programme. ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute (e.g. research school) and other structural co-operations and relations with national and international research groups: Tinbergen Institute, EU-Programme Complex Markets.

In the CeNDEF period, the programme has changed extensively, both in scientific direction and in its personal composition. By now, the redesigned programme has reached maturity and develops steadily, while regularly branching into new research areas.

B.1 Leadership

The primary tasks of the programme leader are to create a fertile research environment, to motivate the investigators and to monitor the quality of the scientific output. As the group is rather young, the day-to-day management is very informal. There are four tenured senior researchers and a fluctuating number of junior researchers. The senior researchers assist the programme leader in several of the management tasks; discuss with him the performance of the other group members; and play a large role in developing new research avenues.

B.2 Strategy and policy

In the beginning of the 1990's, the predecessor of the programme was a small, mostly method-driven mathematical economics programme under the title equilibrium and dynamics. Funded by a NWO-MaG Pionier grant, Cars Hommes started the Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance (CeNDEF) in 1998. By attracting several young and promising postdoctoral researchers, this has had the effect of rejuvenating and enlarging the programme significantly. Moreover, since its initialisation CeNDEF has developed into an internationally respected research institute with a constant inflow and outflow of Ph.D. students, postdoctoral researchers and international visitors. Simultaneously the research approach changed to being more multi-disciplinary and problem-driven, focussing on explaining economic stylised facts using the core assumption of bounded rationality and the application of nonlinear dynamics. Also the programme has diversified, adding to its fields of interest game theory and evolutionary game theory, dynamic optimisation, structural stability and

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RESAM: Equilibrium, Expectations & Dynamics complex market research. To reflect the change, the title of the programme has been modified to equilibrium, expectations and dynamics.

At the time of the previous research assessment (2000), these developments were only in their initial stages. This was reflected in relatively low scores for scientific quality and relevance of the programme. This was reflected in a low score for scientific quality and a very low score for relevance of the program. During the intervening years, the programme was very successful in implementing its new research approach. We like to point out two instances of external recognition of a substantial improvement of both the scientific quality and the relevance: in 2005 David Colander published an article in the Cambridge Journal of Economics, where he reflected about the future development of the science of economics. He stated that “The work done at CeNDEF (...) is an example of the approach I have in mind that will become the dominant approach in the future. Researchers there are combining new and old strategies to address fundamental questions.” And in 2006, the Bank of England published a working paper, co-authored by Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank, using methodology developed at CeNDEF to model heterogeneous beliefs about future inflation rates.

As the models used in almost all investigations are inherently nonlinear and dynamic, the programme has heavy mathematical, statistical and computational components; in particular ideas and tools from non-linear dynamics and complexity research are important to the programme. To carry out this multi-disciplinary approach, the group has accumulated a wide variety of expertise next to its economic core, from the fields of mathematics, statistics, physics and psychology. The programme can be subdivided into five closely related and interacting research themes:

Equilibrium theory: Individual optimising behaviour of economic agents generates aggregate supply and demand of commodities, as a function of prices and individual expectations. In equilibrium supply and demand are equal. Many types of equilibrium can be studied: partial versus general, competitive versus monopolistic, dynamic versus static, temporary versus infinite horizon, representative agent versus heterogeneous agents, temporary equilibrium, single, representative agent as well as heterogeneous, interacting agents equilibria. Existence of equilibria as well as conditions for stability or instability of dynamic adjustment processes are studied.

Game theory & Industrial organisation: This part of the programme focuses on modelling strategic behaviour of economic agents in markets with imperfect competition, such as duopoly and oligopoly. Non-cooperative games (e.g. oligopoly models and models of anticompetitive behaviour such as mergers and cartels) as well as cooperative games (cost sharing, general equilibrium) are studied. Another topic of research are evolutionary games with heterogeneous boundedly rational strategies competing against each other.

Expectations and learning: Bounded rationality models of expectation formation and learning schemes are becoming a serious alternative to rational expectations, which was the dominating paradigm until quite recently. The fully rational representative agent is replaced by a large heterogeneous population of boundedly rational interacting agents, who form expectations based upon time series observations and update their forecasting rules according to new observations and new information about market fundamentals. Conditions under which learning schemes converge to rational expectations or to a boundedly rational expectations equilibrium are investigated. Formation of expectations is studied in theory, in laboratory experiments

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Nonlinear economic dynamics: This part of the programme focuses on nonlinear complexity models of dynamic market phenomena. Are market fluctuations mainly caused by random exogenous shocks, or can endogenous nonlinear economic laws of motion explain (a significant part of) the fluctuations? Various deterministic and stochastic economic models are studied theoretically, computationally as well as empirically, attempting to explain the most important stylised facts observed in real economic and financial time series. Emphasis is given to complex adaptive systems where markets consist of a large population of agents selecting simple strategies according to their relative success in the recent past. In these evolutionary adaptive systems endogenous variables such as prices and agents’ beliefs co-evolve over time.

Dynamic optimisation: Emphasis is given to dynamic optimisation problems in environmental economics, characterised by a conflict between economic benefits and ecological costs. Tools from nonlinear dynamics and bifurcation theory are employed to investigate non-convex dynamic optimisation problems. The main thrust is a structural analysis, that is, investigation of the global solution structure of dynamic optimisation problems and dynamic games. The qualitative changes of these solutions are studied under changes of the parameters. Geometrical methods, like bifurcation theory, normal form theory and perturbation theory, as well as numerical methods yield insights that hold not just at isolated parameter values, but for the complete parameter set.

The problem driven approach, the emphasis given to behavioural modelling and the new applications to environmental problems all have substantially improved the relevance of the program. As the programme has matured over the last years, the principal objective is steady growth. An important development in this respect has been that the faculty has granted tenure to the three original postdoctoral research assistants of the CeNDEF project, ensuring that the programme would keep critical mass. All three have meanwhile reached the rank of Associate Professor and they are developing their own research agendas. Two of them have been awarded individual NWO research grants: Cees Diks obtained an NWO-Vernieuwingsimpuls grant in 2001, and Florian Wagener an NWO-VIDI grant in 2005. These grants are very beneficial for the research effort of the programme, as the regular teaching load which the Department imposes is rather high. That being said, the programme has developed several new courses for the departmental curriculum as well as for the Tinbergen Institute. Moreover, a significant effort has gone into developing the E&F Chaos software package. With this educational tool students can simulate and analyse economic dynamical systems: it is especially useful for master thesis research. Another important area, where the programme has been quite successful, is the recruitment and training of promising young researchers as Ph.D. students. This will ensure the long-term dissemination of the programme's research themes.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

The number of individual projects, projects with only members of the group participating, and projects with both group members and external researchers participating, are well balanced. Over the review period, 30% of the refereed journal articles were single-authored papers; 20% were multi-authored with only group members participating; the remaining 50% were multi-authored with at least one non- group author. Of the latter category, about 66% had at least one international co- author. It is a policy goal that Ph.D. students write at least one single-authored paper,

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RESAM: Equilibrium, Expectations & Dynamics which may feature as “job market paper” after their project has finished.

On a regular basis, reading groups and internal seminars are organised. In reading groups potentially interesting new research areas are surveyed; at the internal seminars, new results and work in progress are presented to the scrutiny of the whole research group. They are an important training ground for Ph.D. students before they actually present at international conferences, but more widely they fulfil the purpose of keeping the whole group informed of the research of its members. The group assembles at least once a month for an informal “coffee meeting”. This is the place where announcements are made that affect the whole group. At the January coffee meeting the research results of the previous year and the projected results of the coming year are presented and discussed, with a great level of qualitative and quantitative detail. This evaluation is the main quality control instrument of the group; as the results are discussed openly, there is a gentle social pressure not to perform worse than one's peers.

Furthermore, there has been a constant stream of visitors to the group (amongst others William Brock, Dee Dechert, Alan Kirman, Blake LeBaron, Thomas Lux, Thomas Sargent), and group members have paid shorter and longer visits to research groups all over the world. In many cases, these contacts have lead to joint research projects.

B.4 Academic reputation

The programme has been very successful over the review period. The Web of Knowledge citation database lists more than 800 citations to work of tenured group members (Hommes, Diks, Furth, Tuinstra, Wagener, Koster, Ramer) in the period 2001-2007. More than 250 works cite the seminal papers of Brock & Hommes 1997 (Econometrica) and 1998 (JEDC); a large part of this success is due to the group's efforts to explore the research topics of these papers and to disseminate their results. As already mentioned, additionally to the NWO Pionier grant obtained by Hommes in 1998, two more individual research grants have been awarded to group members: in 2001 Diks obtained a NWO-Vernieuwingsimpuls grant for his project Information Flow in Financial Markets, and in 2005 Wagener was awarded a NWO-VIDI grant for the project Structural Stability in Economic Dynamics. Hommes has been awarded a NWO Vervangingssubsidie for the period 2006-2008. Finally, van der Hoog and Anufriev have both obtained prizes for the best student paper, the former at the 2004 Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance, the latter at the ACSEG 2005 meeting.

The group is one of the six participants of the international consortium that has been awarded an EU-STREP grant for the project Financial Markets and Complexity in 2005.

Hommes is co-editor of the Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control and associate editor of Macroeconomic Dynamics, Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, Journal of Economic Interaction and Co-ordination, Journal of Nonlinear Science, Computational Economics and Quantitative Finance. Diks is associate editor of Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics in Econometrics. Tuinstra is associate editor of Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. Diks, Tuinstra and Wagener have all served as Editor of special issues of the Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. The group has organised the 2000 and 2001 CeNDEF Workshops, which were attended by more than 100 scientists, and the 2004

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Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance, which was attended by more than 300 participants. Hommes, Diks, Tuinstra and Wagener have been member of the programme committee of several “Computing in Economics and Finance” conferences, Diks has additionally served as member of the programme committee of several SNDE meetings. Also, the group has organised three Lorentz Workshops (2002, 2007) at the Lorentz Center in Leiden; these workshops are co-financed by the Lorentz Center and have the same format as the well-known Stanford SITE Workshops.

Finally, Hommes has been invited to write the entry of “Interacting agents in finance” for the second edition of the “New Palgrave”.

B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

The RESAM system of allotting research time is working quite well for the programme: the minimal publication requirements are amply fulfilled by all tenured researchers. There is an issue with the recognition of publications in non-economic journals: this is always done on a case-to-case basis, which tends to undervalue the multi-disciplinarity of the research. This issue is much more pronounced in the evaluations of the Tinbergen Institute, which simply does not recognise such publications, and which in this manner seems to discourage multi-disciplinary research institutionally.

B.6. External validation

As may be expected for a research programme that treats fundamental issues, expressions of interest in the results come mostly from the scientific community itself. However, several aspects of the programme have generated outside attention. Hommes has given the Paradiso lecture in 2002, being the first to do so. This is a prestigious public lecture organised by a public education trust, NWO, the national newspaper NRC and the television station VPRO. He has also given several interviews on national radio and television channels. The Ph.D. thesis on technical trading of Griffioen led in 2003 to an interview with him in FEM Business and to an article about his work in the national newspaper de Volkskrant in the same year. In 2006, both Hommes and Wagener were invited to give lectures at a conference at the European Central Bank on Monetary Policy, Asset markets and Learning. In 2007 Hommes was invited to give a seminar at the Bank of England; in the same year, there have been expressions of interest of the Milieu en Natuurplanbureau for the project Structural Stability in Economic Dynamics, as this project has a strong environmental component.

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

In general we follow the common institute practices of ASE and RESAM. Recruitment is habitually done by a committee of at least two senior researchers and a member of the personnel department. Training of Ph.D. students is done within the faculty and the Tinbergen Institute; however, with the latter organisation there has been some friction, as the TI takes a rather narrow view of its role and does not tend to meet the needs of a multi-disciplinary oriented research programme. In general, the programme aims at maintaining a good equilibrium between achieving a good

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When a Ph.D. student completes the 3rd year of his project, the supervisor discusses with him his interests, future plans and expectations. If necessary, the activities of the student in the final year are adapted to fit in better with these plans.

Ilija Zovko is an external Ph.D. student, whose research is mainly done at the Santa Fe Institute (USA) with Doyne Farmer and Cars Hommes as his two supervisors. Ilija has visited the CeNDEF group regularly, usually through short yearly visits (2-3 weeks) to work on his thesis and interact with researchers at CeNDEF and other groups, e.g. econometrics and finance.

Table 53 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Hommes, C.H. (CeNDEF) 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Weddepohl, H.N. 0.42 0.21 - - - - - Associate professor (UHD) Diks, C. (CeNDEF) - - - 0.40 0.80 0.60 0.50 Furth, D. - 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 - - Tuinstra, J. (CeNDEF) - - - - 0.25 0.50 0.50 Wagener, F. (CeNDEF) - - - - 0.50 0.80 Assistant professor (UD) Koster, M.A.L. 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Ramer, R. ------0.15 Tuinstra, J. (CeNDEF) - - 0.13 0.50 0.25

Wagener, F. (CeNDEF) - - 0.13 0.50 0.50 - - Other Tenured Staff Griffioen, G.A.W. (CeNDEF) - 0.25 0.15 - - - -

Total Tenured Staff 1.42 1.96 1.91 2.90 3.30 2.60 2.95

Non-Tenured Staff Anufriev, M. - - - - 0.20 0.80 0.80 Assenza, T. ------1.00 Bekiros, S. -----0.051.00 Diks, C. (CeNDEF) 0.80 0.80 0.60 0.20 - - - Dindo, P.D.E. ------0.25 Heijnen, P. - - - - - 0.08 0.80 Manzan, S. (CeNDEF) - - 0.80 0.80 0.40 - - Tuinstra, J. 0.80 0.80 0.60 - - - - Wagener, F. (CeNDEF) 0.80 0.80 0.60 - - - - Zerom, D. (CeNDEF) - 0.21 0.40 - - - - Zovko, I. (CeNDEF) - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 PhD's Dindo, P.D.E. - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 - Griffioen, G.A.W. (CeNDEF) 0.60 0.45 - - - - - Heemeijer, P. (CeNDEF) - 0.35 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.25 - Hoog, S. van der 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.45 - - - Kiseleva, T. -----0.200.60 Manzan, S. (CeNDEF) 0.60 0.60 - - - - - Massaro, D. ------0.20 Mohammadian Moghayer, S. - - - - - 0.20 0.60 Ochea, M.I. - - - - - 0.20 0.60 Panchenko, V. (CeNDEF) - 0.10 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.45 - Velden, H. van de 0.40 ------Weide, R. van der (CeNDEF) 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.35 - - -

Total Non-Tenured Staff5.205.516.003.602.402.835.85

Total Research Staff 6.62 7.47 7.91 6.50 5.70 5.43 8.80

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B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

The primary research facilities provided by the faculty are very good and up-to-date. Funds for travel are however on the meagre side; this has not been a huge problem in the past years, as the programme has been supplied with several NWO and EU grants, but it might become an issue in the future. The group will therefore also in the future try to obtain external funding, both from NWO and from the appropriate European research agencies.

Table 54 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 61% 58% 53% 69% 65% 48% 40% Research funds 39% 42% 47% 31% 35% 52% 60% Contracts 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Hommes, C.H. (2006). Heterogeneous Agent Models In Economics and Finance. In Tesfatsion, L. & Judd, K.L. (eds), Handbook of Computational Economics, Volume 2: Agent-Based Computational Economics (pp. 1109-1186). Elsevier Science. Hommes, C.H., Sonnemans, J., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2005). Co- ordination of expectations in asset pricing experiments. Review of Financial Studies, 18, 955-980. Wagener, F.O.O. (2003). Skiba points and heteroclinic bifurcations, with applications to the shallow lake system. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 27, 1533-1561. Droste, E., Hommes, C.H. & Tuinstra, J. (2002). Endogenous Fluctuations under Evolutionary Pressure in Cournot Competition. Games and Economic Behaviour, 40, 232-269. Diks, C.G.H. & Panchenko, V. (2006). A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30, (9-10), 1647-1669.

Comments on the 5 key publications: The key publications have been chosen to illustrate the multi-disciplinary aspects of the program. Hommes (2006) is an up-to-date overview chapter on one of the main research themes, dynamic models with heterogeneous agents, in the prestigious Handbook of Computational Economics. Hommes et al. (Review of Financial Studies 2005) illustrates some of the laboratory experiments done in recent years. Wagener (2003) illustrates recent applications in environmental economics, and laid the foundation of the NWO VIDI programme on Structural Stability and Economic Dynamics. Droste et al. (Games and Economic Behaviour 2002) is a game theoretical application of evolutionary selection among heterogeneous strategies. Finally, Diks and Panchenko (Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2006) illustrates empirical work, as part of Panchenko’s Ph.D. thesis and the NWO- Vernieuwingsimpuls programme Information Flows in Financial Markets.

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Table 55 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 3 10 11 9 17 15 10 b. books, monographs c. books, edited 1 d. chapters 1 5 4 1 4 2 2. Dutch journals 1 books 1 chapters 3. PhD theses 1 2 1 1 1 4. Professional publications 1 1 4 1 1

Table 56 Programme results: outcome in numbers (core faculty) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 3 10 11 9 17 15 10 b. books, monographs c. books, edited 1 d. chapters 1 5 4 1 4 2 2. Dutch journals 1 books 1 chapters 3. PhD theses 1 2 1 1 1 4. Professional publications 1 1 4 1 1

Table 57 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 0 2 2 0 6 3 2 Other international Journals 3 8 9 9 11 12 8

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OUTPUT EQUILIBRIUM, EXPECTATIONS & DYNAMICS

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Bekiros, S. & Georgoutsos, D. (2007). Extreme Returns and the Contagion Effect between the Foreign Exchange and the Stock Market: Evidence from Cyprus. Applied , 18(3), 239-254. Bekiros, S. (2007). A Neurofuzzy Model for Stock Market Trading. Applied Economics Letters, 14(1), 53 – 57. Bekiros, S. & Georgoutsos, D. (2007). Evaluating direction-of-change forecasting: Neurofuzzy Models vs. Neural Networks. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 46, 38–46. Boswijk, H.P., Hommes, C.H. and Manzan, S. (2007), Behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31, 1938-1970. Broer, H.W., Naudot, V., Roussarie, R., Saleh, K. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2007), Organising Centres in the Semiglobal Analysis of Dynamical Systems. International Journal of Applied Mathematics & Statistics, 12, 7-36. Diks, C.G.H. and Panchenko, V. (2007). Nonparametric tests for serial independence based on quadratic forms. Statistica Sinica, 17, 81-98. Karnaukhov, I.N., Kolomytsev, V.I. and Diks, C.G.H. (2007). Hybridized mechanism of pairing of fermions in single-walled carbon nanotubes. Physical Review B 75 (12), art. no. 125407, 1-4. Koster, M. (2007). The Moulin-Shenker rule. Social Choice and Welfare, 29, 271-293. Hommes, C.H., Sonnemans, J., Tuinstra, J. & van de Velden, H. (2007). Learning in cobweb experiments. Macroeconomic Dynamics 11 (S1), 8-33. Tuinstra, J. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2007). On learning equilibria. Economic Theory 30, 493-513.

Chapters Hommes, C.H. (2007), Evolutionary and adaptive learning in complex markets: a brief summary, in Proceedings of SPIE conference on ``Noise and stochastics in complex systems and finance’’, Vol. 6601. Hommes, C.H. (2007), Interacting agents in finance, entry for the second edition of the New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, edited by L. Blume and S. Durlauf, MacMillan. Gaunersdorfer, A. and Hommes, C.H. (2007), A nonlinear structural model for volatility clustering, In: G. Teyssière and A. Kirman (eds.), Long Memory in Economics, Springer-Verlag, pp. 265-288.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Dindo, P.D.E. (2007, 2 February). Bounded Rationality and Heterogeneity in Economic Dynamic Models. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. C. H. Hommes, co-promotor dr. C.G.H. Diks].

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4. Professional publications

Hommes, C.H. (2007), Paul De Grauwe and Marianna Grimaldi, The exchange rate in a behavioural finance framework, Princeton University Press (2006), book review International Review of Economics and Finance 16, 455-457.

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Anufriev M., Bottazzi G. & Pancotto, F. (2006). Equilibria, stability and asymptotic dominance in a speculative market with heterogeneous agents. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30, (9-10), 1787-1835. Benthem, A.A. van, Kramer, G.J. & Ramer, R. (2006). An options approach to investment in a hydrogen infrastructure. Energy Policy 34, 2949-2963. Brock, W.A., Dindo, P. & Hommes, C.H. (2006). Adaptive rational equilibrium with forward looking agents. International Journal of Economic Theory, 2, 241-278. Chiarella, C., He, X.Z. & Hommes, C.H. (2006). Moving average rules as a source of market instability. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 370, 12-17. Chiarella, C., He, X.Z. & Hommes, C.H. (2006). A dynamic analysis of moving average rules. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30, 1729-1753. Diks, C.G.H. & Panchenko, V. (2006). A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30, (9-10), 1647-1669. Diks, C.G.H. (2006). Comments on `Global Sunspots in OLG Models’, Journal of Macroeconomics, 28, (1), 46-50. Heijnen, P. &. Kooreman, P. (2006) Modeling Strategic Interactions to Car and Fuel Taxation. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, (40), 203-223. Hommes, C.H. & Manzan, S. (2006). Comments on ``Testing for nonlinear structure and chaos in economic time series’’. Journal of Macroeconomics, 28, 169- 174. Karnaukhov, I.N. & Diks, C.G.H.(2006). Hybridized mechanism of pairing of fermions in single-walled carbon nanotubes. Physical Review B, 74, article 235432 (5 pages). Koster, M.A.L. (2006). Heterogeneous Cost Sharing, the Directional Serial Rule. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 64, (3), 429-444. Sadiraj, V., Tuinstra, J. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2006). A computational electoral competition model with social clustering and endogenous interest groups as information brokers. Public Choice, 129, 169-187. Schinkel, M.P. & Tuinstra, J. (2006). Imperfect competition law enforcement. International Journal of Industrial Organisation, 114, 466-486. Vrugt, J.A., Clark, M.P., Diks, C.G.H., Duan, Q. & Robinson, B.A. (2006). Multi- objective calibration of forecast ensembles using Bayesian model averaging. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, (19), Art. No. L19817 Oct. 12, (6 pages). Wagener, F.O.O. (2006). Skiba points for small discount rates. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 128, 261-277.

Chapters Anufriev, M. & Bottazzi, G. (2006). Noisy Trading in the Large Market Limit. In Mathieu, P., Beaufils, B. & Brandouy, O. (eds), Artificial Economics. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol.564. Berlin: Springer- Verlag. Anufriev, M. & Dindo, P. (2006). Equilibrium return and agents’ survival in a multiperiod asset market: analytic support of a simulation model. In Brun, C. (eds), Advances in artificial economics. Berlin: Springer-Verlag. Anufriev, M. & Panchenko V. (2006). Heterogeneous beliefs under different market

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architect-tures. In Brun, C. (eds), Advances in Artificial Economics. Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, vol.584. Berlin: Springer- Verlag. Hommes, C.H. (2006). Heterogeneous Agent Models In Economics and Finance. In Tesfatsion, L. & Judd, K.L. (eds), Handbook of Computational Economics, Volume 2: Agent-Based Computational Economics (pp. 1109-1186). Elsevier Science. Sadiraj, V., Tuinstra, J. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2006). Voting cycles in a computational electoral competition model with endogenous interest groups. In Endriss, U. & Lang, J. (eds), Proceedings of the First International Workshop on Computational Choice.

3 Ph.D. Thesis

Panchenko, V. (2006, 11 October). Nonparametric Methods in Economics and Finance: Dependence, Causality and Prediction. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. C.H. Hommes, co-promotor dr. C.G.H. Diks] [cat. I]

4. Professional Publications

Bullard, J., Diks, C. & Wagener, F. (2006). Editorial Introduction to the Special Issue on "Computing in Economics and Finance". Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30 (9-10), 1441-1444.

5. Other

Grants Hommes, C.H. (2006-2008). NWO Vervangingssubsidie (replacement subsidy), for the project Nonlinear Dynamics, Bounded Rationality and Interacting Agents. Koster, M. (2006, July-August). Travel grant NPS, Monterey CA, USA. Koster, M. (2006, August). Travel grant from H. Moulin, Rice University, Houston TX, USA. Wagener, F.O.O. (2006). NWO-MaG VIDI grant on research proposal Structural Stability in Economic Dynamics, 2006-2010.

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Brock, W.A., Hommes, C.H. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2005). Evolutionary dynamics in markets with many trader types. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 41, 7- 42. Cason, T., Friedman, D. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2005). The dynamics of price dispersion, or Edgeworth variations. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 801-822. Dastidar, K.G. & Furth, D. (2005). Endogeneous price leadership in a duopoly: equal products, unequal technology. International Journal of Economic Theory, 1, 189-210. Diks, C. & Weide, R. van der (2005). Herding, A-synchronous Updating and Heterogeneity in memory in a CBS. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 741-763. Diks, C. & Panchenko, V. (2005). A note on the Hiemstra-Jones test for Granger non- causality. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 9, (2), art. no. 4, 1-7. Dindo, P. (2005). A tractable evolutionary model for the Minority Game with asymmetric payoffs. Physica A, 355, (1), 110-118. Hommes, C.H., Huang, H. & Wang, D. (2005). A robust rational route to randomness in a simple asset pricing model. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 29, 1043-1072. Hommes, C.H., Sonnemans, J., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2005). Co- ordination of expectations in asset pricing experiments. Review of Financial Studies, 18, 955-980. Hommes, C.H., Sonnemans, J., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2005). A strategy experiment in dynamic asset pricing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 823-843. Manzan, S. & Westerhoff, F. (2005). Representativeness of news and exchange rate dynamics. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 677-689. Manzan, S. & Zerom, D. (2005). Kernel Estimation of a Partially Linear Additive Model. In Statistics and Probability Letters, 72, 313-322. Panchenko, V. (2005). Goodness-of-fit test for copulas. Physica A, 355, (1), 176-182. Wagener, F.O.O. (2005). On the quasi-periodic d-fold degenerate bifurcation. Journal of Differential Equations, 216, 261-281. Sadiraj, V., Tuinstra, J. & Winden, F. van (2005). Interest group size dynamics and policymaking. Public Choice, 125, 271-303. Suijs, J., Borm, P., Hamers, H., Quant, M. & Koster, M. (2005). Communication and Co-operation in Public Network Situations. Annals of Operations Research, 137, 117-140. Wagener, F.O.O. (2005). Structural analysis of optimal investment for firms with non- concave production. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 57, (4), 474-489. Vrugt, J., Diks, C.G.H., Gupta, H.V., Bouten, W. & Verstraten, J.M. (2005). Improved Treatment of Uncertainty in Hydrologic Modeling: Combining the Strengths of Global Optimization and Data Assimilation. Water Resources Research, 41, (1), art. No. W01017, JAN 27 2005, 1-17.

Chapters Broer, H.W., Hanssmann, H., Jorba, A., Villanueva, J. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2005).

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Quasi-periodic response solutions at normal-internal resonances. In Dumortier, F., Broer, H.W., Mawhin, J., Vanderbauwhede, A. & Verduyn Lunel, S. (eds), Proceedings of EQUADIFF 2003 (pp. 702-707). World Scientific. Gaunersdorfer, A., Hommes, C.H. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2005). Nonlocal onset of instability in an asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents. In Dumortier, F., Broer, H.W., Mawhin, J., Vanderbauwhede, A. & Verduyn Lunel, S. (eds), Proceedings of EQUADIFF 2003 (pp. 613-618). World Scientific. Hommes, C.H. (2005). Heterogeneous agent models: two simple examples. In Lines, M. (ed.), Nonlinear Dynamical Systems in Economics, CISM Lecture Notes Series (pp.131-164). Vienna-New York: Springer-Verlag.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Hoog, S. van der (2005, 22 April). Microeconomic Disequilibrium Dynamics. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. H.N. Weddepohl, co-promotor Prof.dr. C.H. Hommes].

4. Professional Publications

Diks, C. (2005). Econophysics, Ignore it or Explore it? AENORM, 50, December, 11- 14. Hoog, S. van der (2005, October). A spatial separation model of a credit economy. AENORM, 49, 13-19. Kirman, A.P. & Tuinstra, J. (2005). Introduction for the special issue on "Heterogeneity, bounded rationality and market dynamics." Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 29, 595-600. Panchenko, V. (2005). Copulas in finance: estimation and evaluation. Medium Econometrische Toepassingen, 13, 10-12.

5. Other

Grants Koster, M. (2005, July-September). Travel grant from project Guillermo Owen entitled Game-Theoretic Approaches to Terrorist and Insurgent Networks, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey CA.

Prizes Anufriev, M. (2005, November). Winner of the 1st Student Prize Award for the paper presentation Wealth-driven competition in a speculative financial market: example with "rational'' strategies, awarded by the ACSEG meeting in Aix-en- Provence, France.

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Bjorndal, E., Koster, M. & Tijs, S.H. (2004). Weighted Allocation Rules for Standard Fixed Tree Games. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 59, (2), 249-270. Bjorndal, E., Hamers, H. & Koster, M. (2004). Cost Allocation in a Bank ATM Network. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 59, (3), 405-418. Diks, C. (2004). The correlation dimension of returns with stochastic volatility. Quantitative Finance, 4, (1), 45-54. Diks, C. (2004). Bootstrapping the BDS test for serial independence. Resampling with or without replacement? Medium Econometrische Toepassingen, 12, (2), 4-7. Manzan, S. (2004). Model Selection for Nonlinear Time Series. Empirical Economics, 29, (4), 901-920. Manzan, S. & Westerhoff, F. (2004). Does Liquidity in the FX Market Depend on Volatility? Economics Bulletin, 6, (10), 1-8. Schinkel, M.P. & Tuinstra, J. (2004). Forced freebies: a note on partial deregulation with pro bono supply requirements. Journal of Regulatory Economics, 26, 177-187. Sonnemans, J., Hommes, C.H., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2004). The instability of a heterogeneous cobweb economy: a strategy experiment on expectation formation. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 54, 453-481. Tuinstra, J. (2004). A price adjustment process in a model of monopolistic competition. International Game Theory Review, 6, 417-442.

Chapters Brock, W.A. & Hommes, C.H. (2004). A rational route to randomness. In Barkley Rosser Jr., J. (ed.), Complexity in Economics Volume I. Methodology, interacting agents and microeconomic models (pp. 166-202). Cheltenham, Northhampton: Edward Elgar Publ. Reprinted from (1997). Econometrica, 65, 1059-1095. Goeree, J.K., Hommes, C.H. & Weddepohl H.N. (2004). Stability and complex dynamics in a discrete tâtonnement model. In Barkley Rosser Jr., J. (ed.), Complexity in Economics Volume I. Methodology, interacting agents and microeconomic models (pp. 390-405). Cheltenham, Northhampton: Edward Elgar Publ. Reprinted from (1997). Journal Of Economic Behaviour & Organisation, 33, 395-410. Hommes, C.H. & Sorger, G. (2004). Consistent expectations equilibria. In Barkley Rosser Jr., J. (ed.), Complexity in Economics Volume I. Methodology, interacting agents and microeconomic models (pp. 260-294). Cheltenham, Northhampton: Edward Elgar Publ. Reprinted from (1998). Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2, 287-321. Hommes, C.H. (2004). Economic Dynamics. In Scott, A. (ed.), Encyclopedia of Nonlinear Science. Routledge.

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2. Dutch academic publications

Books Furth, D., Kanning, W., Kerkmeester, H.O., Plug, G. & Bergh, R.J. van den (2004). Economie en Recht. Groningen: Stenfert Kroese.

5. Other

Grants Hommes, C.H. (2004). EU-grant for a Specific Targeted Research or Innovation Project (STREP) on Financial Markets and Complexity, 2005-2008, within the Sixth Framework Programme, jointly with University of Warwick (coordinator), University of Kiel, Universite Aix-Marseille III, Universita Cagliari and ICTP Trieste.

Prizes Hoog, S. van der (2004). Student Prize for Best Student Paper at 10th SCE Conference, July 8-11, Amsterdam.

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Broer, H.W., Hanßmann, H., Jorba, À., Villanueva, J. & Wagener, F.O.O. (2003). Normal-internal resonances in quasi-periodically forced oscillators: a conservative approach. Nonlinearity, 16, 1751-1791. Diks, C. (2003). Detecting Serial Dependence in Tail Events. Economics Letters, 97, (3), 319-324. Furth, D. (2003). The (Price) Core of a Bertrand-Edgeworth Economy. Journal of Economics, 78, 57-82. Gooijer, J.G. de & Zerom, D. (2003). On conditional density estimation. Statistica Neerlandica, 57, (2), 159-176. Gooijer, J.G. de & Zerom D. (2003). On additive conditional quantiles with high- dimensional covariates. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 98, (461), 135-146. Heertje, A. & Heemeijer, P. (2002). On the Origin of Samuelson's Multiplier- Accelerator Model. History of Political Economy, 34, (1), 207-218. Koster, M., Reijnierse, H. & Voorneveld, M. (2003). Voluntary Contributions to Multiple Public Projects. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 5, (1), 25-50. Neugart, M. & Tuinstra, J. (2003). Endogenous fluctuations in the demand for education. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 13, (1), 29-51. Tuinstra, J. (2003). Beliefs equilibria in an overlapping generations model. Journal of Economic Behaviour & Organisation, 50, 145-164. Wagener, F.O.O. (2003). Skiba points and heteroclinic bifurcations, with applications to the shallow lake system. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 27, 1533-1561. (Reviewed in Mathematical Reviews, MR1962514 (2003m:91118)). Wagener, F.O.O. (2003). A note on Gevrey regular KAM theory and the inverse approximation lemma. Dynamical Systems, 18, 159-163.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Griffioen, G.A.W. (2003, 3 March). Technical Analysis in Financial Markets. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotores Prof.dr. C.H. Hommes & Prof.dr. H.P. Boswijk]. Manzan, S. (2003, 6 June). Essays in Nonlinear Economic Dynamics. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. C.H. Hommes].

4. Professional Publications

Griffioen, G.A.W. (2003). Technische analyse maakt zichzelf waar. ESB, 88, (4410) August. Tuinstra, J. (2004), Tönu Puu and Irina Sushko, Oligopoly dynamics: models and tools, Springer (2002), book review Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 54, 611-614.

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2002

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Diks, C.G.H. & Velden, van de M. (2002). Solution Problem 1/SP01: Conditional Variance of an MA(1) process, Problem Section. Statistical Papers, 43, 453- 454. Diks, C.G.H. & Manzan, S. (2002). Tests for Serial Independence and Linearity Based on Correlation Integrals. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 6, (2), 1-20. Droste, E., Hommes, C.H. & Tuinstra, J. (2002). Endogenous Fluctuations under Evolutionary Pressure in Cournot Competition. Games and Economic Behaviour, 40, 232-269. Furth, D. & Cayseele, P. van (2001). Two is Not Too Many for Monopoly. Journal of Economics, 74, (3), 231-258. Gooijer, J.G., Gannoun, A. & Zerom, D. (2002). Mean squared error properties of the kernel-based-multi-stage median predictor for time series. Statistics & Probability Letters, 56, 51-56. Hommes, C.H. (2002). Modeling the stylised facts in finance through simple nonlinear adaptive systems. Proceedings National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Vol. 99, suppl. 3. May, 7221-7228. Koster, M.A.L. (2002). Hierarchical constrained Egalitarianism in TU-games. Mathematical Social Sciences, 43, 251-265. Koster, M.A.L., Molina, E., Sprumont, Y. & Tijs, S.H. (2002). Sharing the cost of a network core and core allocations. International Journal of Game Theory, 30, (4), 567-599. Schinkel, M.P., Tuinstra, J. & Vermeulen, D. (2002). Convergence of Bayesian Learning to General Equilibrium in Mis-specified Models. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 38, December 483-508. Weide, R. van der (2002). GO-GARCH: A Multivariate Generalized Orthogonal GARCH Model. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 17, (5), 549-564.

Books edited Hommes, C.H. (2002). Editor Equilibrium, Markets and Dynamics. Essays in honour of Claus Weddepohl. Berlin: Springer-Verlag. With Ramer, R. & Withagen, C.A.

Chapters Brock, W.A. & Hommes, C.H. (2002). Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to complex dynamics in asset pricing models with price contingent contracts. In Hommes, C.H., Ramer, R. & Withagen, C.A. (eds), Equilibrium, Markets and Dynamics. Essays in honour of Claus Weddepohl. Berlin: Springer-Verlag. Furth, D. & Damme, E.E.C. van (2002). Game Theory and the Market. In Borm, P. & Peters, H. (eds), Chapters in Game Theory: in honor of Stef Tijs (pp. 51-81). Boston-Dordrecht-London: Kluwer. Furth, D. (2002). Why are there nowadays only a few articles on matrices in economic journals? In Hommes, C.H., Ramer, R. & Withagen, C.A. (eds), Equilibrium, Markets and Dynamics: Essays in Honor of Claus Weddepohl (pp. 267-281). Berlin-Heidelberg-New York: Springer Verlag. Koster, M.A.L. (2002). Concave and convex serial cost sharing. In Borm, P. & Peters, H. (eds), Chapters in Game Theory. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers. Tuinstra, J. (2002). Nonlinear dynamics and the stability of competitive equilibria. In

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Hommes, C.H., Ramer, R. & Withagen, C.A. (eds), Equilibrium, Markets and Dynamics. Essays in honour of Claus Weddepohl. Berlin: Springer-Verlag.

2. Dutch Publications

Journals Weddepohl, H.N. (2002). Over dynamische Economische modellen. Tijdschrift voor politieke economie, 24, (2), 3-21. Weddepohl, H.N. (2002), Over dynamische Economische modellen, (rede bij het neerleggen van het ambt van hoogleraar Wiskundige economie aan de UvA), Amsterdam.

5. Other

Grants Tuinstra, J. (2002). Visiting professor Universiteit Maastricht, August – October on Meteor grant.

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Diks, C. & Velden, M. van de (2001). Conditional variance of an MA(1) process. Problem 1/SP01. Problems and Solutions section. Statistical Papers, 42, (3), 412-412. Hommes, C.H. (2001). Financial markets as complex adaptive evolutionary systems. Quantitative Finance, 1, 149-167. Hommes, C.H. & Rosser Jr, J.B. (2001). Consistent expectations equilibria and complex dynamics in renewable resource markets. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 5, 180-203.

Chapters Diks, C. & DeGoede, J. (2001). A general nonparametric bootstrap test for Granger causality. In Broer, H., Krauskopf, B. & Vegter, G. (eds), Global Analysis of Dynamical Systems (pp. 391-403). London: Institute of Physics. Gaunersdorfer, A. & Hommes, C.H. (2001). Nonlinear adaptive beliefs and the dynamics of financial markets: the role of the evolutionary fitness measure. In Dorffner, G., Bischof, H. & Hornik, K. (eds), Artificial Neural Networks – ICANN 2001 (pp. 782-789). Berlin: Springer Verlag. Hoekstra, B.P.T., Diks, C.G.H., Allessie, M.A. & DeGoede, J. (2001). Nonlinear time series analysis: methods and applications to atrial fibrillation. In Barbaro, V. et al. (eds), Analysis and processing of cardiac electrograms in atrial fibrillation, Annali dell’Istituto Superiore di Sanità, 37, (3), 325-334. Wagener, F.O.O. (2001). Semi-local analysis of the k:1 and k:2 resonances in quasi- periodically forced systems. In Broer, H.W., Krauskopf, B. & Vegter, G. (eds), Global Analysis of Dynamical Systems (pp. 113-129). London: Institute of Physics.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Velden, H. van de (2001, 13 December). An experimental approach to expectation formation in dynamic economic systems. Amsterdam: Thesis Publishers. Tinbergen Institute Research Series 268 [Promotor Prof.dr. C.H. Hommes, Co-promotor Dr J. Sonnemans].

4. Professional Publications

Weddepohl, H.N. (2001). Publiek monopolie blijft het goedkoopst. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4297), 200-202.

5. Other

Grants Diks, C.G.H. (2001-2005). NWO-MaG ``Vernieuwingsimpuls’’ research grant for the proposal Information Flows in Financial Markets.

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Hommes, C.H. (1998-2003). NWO-MaG PIONIER grant for the Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance (CeNDEF).

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OUTPUT FACULTY WITH LESS THAN 0.2 APPOINTMENT EQUILIBRIUM, EXPECTATIONS & DYNAMICS

Table 58 Programme results: outcome in numbers (faculty < 0.2 appointment) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International 1 a. journals b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 2. Dutch journals books chapters 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications

1. International Academic Publications

Journals 2002 Zovko, I. & Farmer, J.D. (2002). The power of patience: a behavioural regularity in limit-order placement. Quantitative Finance, 2, 387-392.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ The programme has a very high ƒ Links with practitioners and policy scientific impact in terms of citations makers are still limited ƒ The research group is young, yet it has reached maturity and critical mass ƒ The group is internationally visible and recognised, attracting many short term and long term visitors and long-term international co-operation ƒ The group has been very successful in obtaining external funding ƒ The research is problem-based and multi-disciplinary; the group members have a variety of different scientific backgrounds Opportunities Threats

ƒ To apply group-specific know-how to ƒ The complexity of the tools used may core economic problems, and to turn out to be an impediment at demonstrate in this way the value of disseminating the research approach the programme's characteristic ƒ A multidisciplinary group is likely to approach be handicapped when evaluated in a ƒ To focus more on macro-economic mono-disciplinary environment stability and monetary policy questions

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Actuarial Science

ƒ JEL-classification: C, G2 ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. H. Wolthuis (– 2002), Prof.dr. R. Kaas (2003 - 2007) Current programme leader (as per 1-1-2008) Prof.dr. A. Pelsser. ƒ Starting date of the programme: 1989 ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: Tinbergen Institute and Netspar. ƒ Other structural co-operations and relations with national and international research groups: Actuarial Department of University of Leuven. ƒ Research Mission: The programme concerns both fundamental and applied research in the field of actuarial science and risk management, mainly directed at insurance and pension funds, but also at banks and other financial institutions.

B.1 Leadership

We see the programme leader mainly in the role of a coach. It is the role of the senior researchers within the programme to identify and select the research lines they wish to pursue. It is the responsibility of the programme leader to create the conditions where excellent research can flourish. This includes the active supervision of our junior researchers, maintaining an active seminar series for Actuarial Science, and regular attendance of international conferences. All staff is reviewed annually by the head of the department QE. Any problems concerning research performance are communicated to the programme leader.

B.2 Strategy and policy

The research mainly concerns the mathematical modelling, estimation, appraisal and control of financial risks of financial institutions (for insurers in the field of life, non-life and pension insurance) under complete and incomplete information and compete and incomplete markets. For long term insurance contracts, especially pensions, saving by insurance is significant, which leads to accompanying investment problems. This for instance concerns the "tuning" of the insurance and investment portfolios. Another practical aspect is the influence of the "risk of longevity" on the policies of life insurance, social insurance and care insurance. This remains a permanent subject of investigation. Present-day problems of insurance companies concern decreasing profit margins, increasing competition and selective behaviour of the insured and of insurance companies. Up to now limited attention has been given to problems that emerge from the privatisation of social insurance. The research partly deals with problems related to the supervision of insurance companies. Another important subject of investigation is the further development of actuarial risk theory, in particular the development of new mathematical and economic models in the fields of market-consistent valuation, market-consistent pricing and market- consistent embedded value for insurance portfolios. Other significant fields of research are the interaction between credibility theory, models for the estimation of unreported claims (IBNR) and actuarial ordering of risks, and the consequences for the determination of insurance premiums. In the premium calculation, the determination of factors that affect the risk (risk classification) is a significant aspect. Other aspects are the homogeneity and heterogeneity of insurance portfolios, the probabilistic and subsidising solidarity imposed on the insured, the voluntary or compulsory character of the insurance, and the auto-selection and anti-selection of

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RESAM: Actuarial Science those insured. Another theoretical research subject concerns the unification of several distinct actuarial theories in the field of non-life, life and pension insurance, partly in connection with stochastic financial mathematics. Another topic of interest will be the Generalized Linear Models and Generalized Linear Mixed Models. GLMs can be used for a variety of actuarial statistical problems like survival modelling, graduation, multiple-state models, loss distributions, risk classification, premium rating and claims reserving in non-life-insurance. Credibility models can in fact be viewed as GLMMs, having both random (subject-specific) and fixed effects in the linear predictor.

We have taken the issues raised in the previous research assessment (in particular the concerns on Productivity, Relevance and Viability) very seriously. The main focus of the research of the Actuarial Science group in the last few years has traditionally been on the subject of ordering of risks and dependence of risks. More recently we have also shifted our attention more to the field of financial modelling. In co-operation with the professors of financial economics and financial econometrics of our faculty, and partners from Netspar (both academic and industry partners), we closely collaborate on research projects about the integration of actuarial and financial modelling, which is currently a fast developing field. These research projects have already resulted in three Ph.D.'s: two in 2005 (Laeven, Vanduffel), one in 2007 (Schrager). Furthermore, our group hosts a €1mln funded Netspar theme “Valuation and Risk Management for Insurance Companies and Pension Funds” (coordinated by Pelsser) that started in April 2006 and runs until April 2009. This grant has allowed us to expand our research group and invest heavily in young talented researchers. We have been able to hire one postdoc (Chen) and five Ph.D. students (Cao, Plat, Janssen, Van Haastrecht, Joseph). These Ph.D.-students work parttime in the insurance industry, and work parttime on their Ph.D. at the UvA.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

At our research group we actively coach young researchers and Ph.D. students. We view them as academic “apprentices” who learn the academic trade from their “masters” (i.e. the senior researchers). Ph.D. students are coached on a regular basis (at least bi-weekly) by their supervisors on all aspects of the academic trade: selecting interesting research topics, writing of papers, giving presentations, etc. Junior researchers are also coached by one or several senior researchers, but have already a larger responsibility in determining their research agenda. Senior researchers, being the experts in their fields, are responsible for selecting their own research topics. However, they are held accountable for their scientific output by benchmarking them against the RESAM publication list.

We run an active seminar series where we invite international researchers to present their work to the Actuarial Science group. For example, this year we have a list of 15 speakers including Damir Filipovic, Peter Jørgensen, Lane Hughston, Alex McNeil and Laura Ballotta. Furthermore we attend the seminars of the Finance group and the Tinbergen Institute.

Our Belgian colleagues at the KU Leuven are running a large GOA Project called ``Actuarial, financial and statistical aspects of dependencies in insurance and financial portfolios''. In this framework, co-operation has been established between the GOA group and the Actuarial Section of the Universiteit van Amsterdam (R. Kaas, J. Dhaene). Within , a close co-operation already exists between the GOA-group and the University of Antwerp (A. De Schepper, M. Van Wouwe) and the

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University of Ghent (M. Vanmaele) as well as with the UCL (M. Denuit), all resulting in joint papers within the topic of the GOA. We think that with this international co- operation we succeed in playing a more pronounced role in the international world, where we succeeded in becoming one of the few university groups involved in the project concerning R(isk) B(ased) C(apital) evaluations, which will to some extent form the basis of the new IAS 52 reporting. We refer to the "Report of Solvency working party" (www.iasb.org.uk and www.actuaries.org). As a consequence we are also involved in the IAA Risk-Based Capital Solvency Structure working party, which is preparing a final report. The basic concepts in the actuarial reserving and risk taking strategies rely heavily on the notion of economic capital. Using the concepts of risk order and comonotonicity we succeeded in providing the instruments for describing the role of economic capital and capital allocation taking into account diversification effects. These theoretical results in the meantime have had some influence on the RBC-approach from the IAA and the S&P rating agency. Some of our theoretical results may serve as a basis (and are in fact a breakthrough) for the capital adequacy of financial conglomerates.

B.4 Academic reputation

Dhaene, J.: Associate editor Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, Elsevier; Editor Belgian Actuarial Bulletin. Goovaerts, M.J.: Editor Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, Elsevier; Editor Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Elsevier; Editor Financial Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier; Associate Editor ASTIN-Bulletin and Journal of Financial Economics. Kaas, R.: Managing Editor Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, Elsevier. Pelsser, A: Managing Editor of International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, World Scientific; Member of Editorial Board of European Actuarial Academy (EAA) Lecture Notes Series, (book series) Springer Verlag. Wolthuis, H.: Associate editor Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, Elsevier.

Goovaerts has been awarded an honorary from the University of Ankara (Turkey), for his contributions to non-life actuarial science. Goovaerts is a Fellow of the Tinbergen Institute. Goovaerts, Kaas and Pelsser are Senior Researchers of Netspar.

In the actuarial book Modern Actuarial Risk Theory (2001) written by Kaas, Goovaerts, Dhaene and Denuit, the authors integrate classical actuarial techniques with financial aspects based on dependencies. The Chinese edition of this book has appeared early in 2005. A Russian version has appeared in 2007. A second edition (with additional material and attention to implementation of the theory using the language R) is in preparation and is due to appear in 2008.

Below are several Research fellowships awarded to members of the group:

10/2001 – 09/2006. Concerted Research Action of the K.U.Leuven Research Fund, Project G.O.A./2002/01, Actuarial, financial and statistical aspects of dependencies in insurance and financial portfolio’s, promoters: Jan Beirlant, Jan Dhaene, Marc Goovaerts (spokesman), Jef Teugels. € 1 408 516. 01/2006 – 12/ 2009. FWO Research Project, Project G.0280.06, Modern perspectives in claims reserving for non-life insurance, promoter: Jan Dhaene, co- promoter: Jan Beirlant, researcher: Tom Hoedemakers. € 177 716. 02/2006 – 07/2007. Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship, FP6-2004-Mobility-5, Project MEIF-CT-2005-024001: CONSOL-M, A consistent solvency model for the

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B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

Research output is benchmarked against the RESAM journal list. We expect the senior researchers in our group to be international experts in their area. This implies that senior researchers are expected to qualify for membership for one or more top research schools (like Tinbergen Institute or Netspar). Ph.D. students are evaluated after one year, to assess the likelihood that they will complete their Ph.D. on time. Based on this evaluation a decision is made to extend their contract after the first year or not.

B.6. External validation

The actuarial group supports the actuarial profession's rethinking of their role in the world. Research work has been initiated into the history of and the philosophy behind the actuarial profession. This happens in close co-operation with professionals organisations such as the Dutch Actuarial Society (Actuarieel Genootschap) and the International Actuarial Association.

As a consequence of our activities, the University of Amsterdam plays an important role in the organisation of actuarial and financial meetings world-wide. Our researchers are members of organising committees and of scientific committees of various forthcoming important actuarial-financial colloquia and conferences. Several international series of conferences are organised with the co-operation of the members of our team: the annual IME conferences, the biannual ICCAM conferences at the KU Leuven, the conferences at the University of the Aegean (Samos), as well as the Brazilian Conferences on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance (Ubatuba). Furthermore, a series of seminars has been organised in co-operation with Netspar, PRMIA (association of risk managers) and Dutch Actuarial Society. These seminars are aimed at both practitioners and academics.

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

The Actuarial Science research programme is actively recruiting Ph.D. students and junior researchers in order to ensure the continued viability of the research programme for the years to come. In 2006 and 2007 we have already hired 5 Ph.D. students and one postdoc. We plan to continue this active hiring policy in the coming years.

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Our past Ph.D. students are finding good positions both in academia as well as in the industry. Steven Vanduffel has a parttime appointment at the University of Leuven and is co-holder of the Fortis Chair in Financial and Actuarial Risk Management. David Schrager is working at ING Group, Corporate Insurance Risk Management. Roger Laeven has an appointment at the University of Tilburg, and currently has a visiting position at Princeton. He has also won the Christiaan Huygens prize in 2007, awarded by the Royal Dutch Academy of Sciences (KNAW).

Prof Dhaene has been having a nominal appointment at our faculty since a long time now, and he reports his UvA affiliation on publications. He participates substantially in our research program. Apart from regular visits to Amsterdam and many co- authored articles, he is cooperating with Prof Goovaerts, Prof Kaas and Prof Denuit (UCL) in a project to produce a number of books; textbooks as well as research monographs. Two have already appeared; a text on comonotonicity is in preparation. Also, he cooperates with Prof Pelsser on their joint topic, the market-consistent valuation of insurance contracts. The intention is that there will be a teacher exchange between the two. He also acts as co-organiser of the series of IME- conferences initiated at the UvA, and their spin-offs. He has been a member of several promotion committees at the UvA, most recently those of Laeven and Vanduffel, of which he was one of the two promotors.

Table 59 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Goovaerts, M.J. 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 Kaas, R. 0.35 0.30 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Kuné, J.B. - - 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 Pelsser, A.J. -----0.060.70 Wolthuis, H. 0.10 0.07 0.13 0.13 0.20 0.20 0.06 Associate Professor (UHD) Heerwaarden, A.E. van 0.30 0.42 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Assistant professor (UD) Willemse, W.J. - - 0.16 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.23 Other Tenured Staff Tamerus, J.H. - - 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.00

Total Tenured Staff 0.96 1.00 1.63 1.34 1.41 1.47 1.85

Non-Tenured Staff Antiono, K. ------0.12 Chen, A. ------0.80 Dhaene, J. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Laeven, R. ----0.070.25- Ronner, A.E. -----0.030.10 Rijckevorsel, J.L.A. -----0.050.20 Tang, Q. - 0.65 1.00 0.47 - - - Vanduffel, S. ----0.120.14- Vermaat, A.J. 0.06 0.06 - - - - - Vernic, R. - - - 0.50 - - - Vylder, F.E.C. de 0.00------PhD's Cao, J. -----0.120.60 Haastrecht, A. van ------0.12 Janssen, M.J.J. ------0.15 Joseph, A.S. ------0.05 Laeven, R. - 0.34 0.48 0.48 0.32 - 0.36 Plat, H.J. ------0.15 Schrager, D.F. 0.20 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.29 0.00 - Tomas, J. - - - 0.05 0.60 0.60 0.60

Total Non-Tenured Staff 0.26 1.53 1.96 1.98 1.40 1.19 3.25

Total Research Staff 1.22 2.53 3.59 3.32 2.81 2.66 5.10

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B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

The €1mln research grant from Netspar has had a very positive impact on the research activities and the viability of the Actuarial Science research programme. We are already working on securing funding from Netspar and the insurance industry for the period after April 2009. We have already obtained a verbal commitment from the insurance industry, and we will submit a written proposal for funding in the first half of 2008.

Table 60 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 78% 64% 62% 57% 77% 58% 45% Research funds 0% 26% 28% 29% 7% 15% 0% Contracts 22% 11% 10% 14% 16% 27% 55% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Dhaene, J., Denuit, M., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2002). The concept of comonotonicity in Actuarial Science and Finance: Theory. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 31, 3-33. Hoedemakers, T., Beirlant, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2005). On the distribution of discounted loss reserves using generalized linear models. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 25-45. Schrager, D. & Pelsser, A. (2006). Pricing Swaptions and Coupon Bond Options in Affine Term Structure Models. Mathematical Finance, 16(4), 673-694. Laeven, R.J.A., Goovaerts, M.J. & Hoedemakers, T. (2005). Some asymptotic results for sums of dependent random variables, with actuarial applications. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 37(2), 154-172. Kaas, R., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. (2001). Modern actuarial risk theory. 2nd edition. Kluwer Academic Publishers

Table 61 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 11 12 18 21 18 9 6 b. books, monographs 1 1 1 1 c. books, edited d. chapters 13 1 2. Dutch journals 2 4 5 12 4 books 1 1 chapters 1 3 3 3 2 5 3. PhD theses 2 4. Professional publications 4 13 10 11 11 2 7

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Table 62 Programme results: outcome in numbers (core faculty) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 7 12 17 21 18 7 5 b. books, monographs 1 1 1 1 c. books, edited d. chapters 11 1 2. Dutch journals 2 4 5 12 4 books 1 1 chapters 1 3 3 3 2 5 3. PhD theses 2 4. Professional publications 4 13 10 11 11 2 7

Table 63 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals Other international Journals 11 12 18 21 18 9 6

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OUTPUT ACTUARIAL SCIENCE

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Antonio, K & J. Beirlant (2007). Actuarial statistics with generalized linear mixed models. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 40(1), 58-76. Chen, A. & Suchanecki, M. (2007). “Default risk, bankruptcy procedures and the market value of life insurance liabilities''. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics (40), 231-255. Goovaerts, M., R. Kaas, R. Laeven (2007) Decision Principles derived from Risk Measures, Hermis Vol. 8, pp. 109-124. Kaas, R & W.J. Willemse (2007). Rational reconstruction of frailty-based mortality models by a generalisation of Gompertz’ law of mortality, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 40, 468-484 Lord, R. & Pelsser, A. (2007). Level-Slope-Curvature - Fact or Artefact? Applied Mathematical Finance, 14 , (2), 105-130.

Books, chapters Chen, A. & Mahayni, A. (2007) “Hedging guarantees under interest rate and mortality risk'', Proceedings of 5th Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Day, February 9, 2007, Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Science and the Arts, Brussels, 2007, 43-54.

2. International academic publications

Books, chapters Bruning, R. (2007) "Uitkeringssymmetrie bij gespiegelde levensverzekeringen": in ‘Sensei in het actuariaat’ Kaas, R. (2007) "De opleiding Actuarile wetenschappen: verleden, heden en toekomst": in ‘Sensei in het actuariaat’ Tamerus, J. (2007) “Hoe het pensioencontract praktijk, onderwijs en wetenschap bij elkaar brengt”, in Sensei in het actuariaat. Willemse, W.J. (2007). Theorie en praktijk in de verzekeringswetenschap, in 'Sensei in het actuariaat' Willemse, W.J. (2007) Afkoop: een ondergewaardeerd onderwerp, in 'Sensei in het actuariaat' (with Martijn Visser)

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Antonio, K. 2007. Statistical tools for non-life insurance: essays on claims reserving and ratemaking for panels and fleets. Ph.D. thesis, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.

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4. Professional publications and products

Dhaene J., Vanduffel S., Goovaerts M. (2007). Comonotonicity. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, vol. LII, 265-278. Plat, H.J. (2007) "Keuze rentemodel voor waardering embedded opties" De Actuaris, maart 2007. Rijckevorsel, J.L.A. van, (2007). Niet alles wat telt wordt geteld. Inaugural speech. Vossiuspers, Amsterdam; also published in Het Verzekeringsarchief 4-2007 Tamerus, J. (2007) “Pensioenleeftijd sleutel tot houdbaar pensioencontract”, Pensioenmagazine 8/9, 12de jaargang, augustus/september 2007 pp 14-18. Also published in Actuariaatcongresmagazine VSAE, december 2007, pp 25- 29 Treur, F., Rijckevorsel, J.L.A. van (2007). Transparantie van Kosten. Het Verzekeringsarchief 1-2007 Treur, F., Rijckevorsel, J.L.A. van (2007). CVS Consumentenmonitor. CVS rapportage reeks 2007/2 Rijckevorsel, j.l.a. van, L. Steevens (2007). The role of insurance in the provision of pension revenu september 2007, CEA Statistics no. 28

5. Other

Prizes Chen, A. (2007) “On the regulator-insurer-interaction in a structural model'' (with Carole Bernard) won the Second Best Paper Award at the 11th Annual APRIA Conference.

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Ahcan, A., Darkiewicz, G., Goovaerts, M.J. & Hoedemakers, T. (2006). Computation of convex bounds for present value functions with random payments. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 186, 23-42. Decamps, M., De Schepper, A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2006). A path integral approach to asset-liability management. Physica A, 363, 404-416. Decamps, M., Goovaerts, M.J. & Schoutens, W. (2006). Asymmetric skew Bessel processes and their applications to finance. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 186, 130-147. Dhaene, J. Vanduffel, S. Tang, Q. Goovaerts, M.J. Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2006). Risk measures and comonotonicity: a review. Stochastic Models, 22, 573- 606. Goovaerts, M.J., Vandewalle, S. & Wuytack, L. (2006). Special Issue: Proceedings of the 11th International Congress on Computational and Applied Mathematics. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 186, 1-1. Schrager, D. & Pelsser, A.A.J. (2006). Pricing Swaptions and Coupon Bond Optuions in Affine Term Structure Models. Mathematical Finance,16, 673-694. Schrager, D. (2006). Affine stochastic mortality. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 38, 81-97.

Chapters Chen, X., Deelstra, G., Dhaene, J. & Vanmaele, M. (2006). Static super-replicating strategies for exotic options. 4th Conference in Actuarial Science & Finance in Samos, Karlovassi, Greece. Denuit, M., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M., Kaas, R. & Laeven, R. (2006). Risk measurement with equivalent utility principles. In Rüschendorf, L. (ed.), Risk Measures: General Aspects and Applications, special issue of, Statistics & Decisions, 24, (1), 1-25 Dhaene, J., Laeven, R., Vanduffel, S., Darkiewicz, G. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2006). Can a coherent risk measure be too subadditive? 28th International Congress of Actuaries, AFIR, Paris. Vanmaele, M., DeSchepper, A., Dhaene, J., Reynaerts, H., Schoutens, W., & VanGoethem, P. (2006). Proceedings of the ‘third Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Day (February, 2006), Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Science and Arts, Brussels. Willemse, W.J. & Wolthuis, H. (2006). Risk based solvency norms and their validity, 28th International Congress of Actuaries, AFIR, Paris. .

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Kuné, J.B. (2006). Takaful, islamitisch pensioenalternatief. Pensioen Bestuur & Management, 3, 51-53. Kuné, J.B. (2006). Storm in een glas water (column). Tijdschrift voor Pensioenvraagstukken, October 122. Kuné, J.B. (2006). Meditatie maakt oude dag ook prettig. Socialisme en democratie, 63, (9), 45-48.

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Vanduffel, S., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Kaas, R. (2006). Invloed van IFRS and Solvency 2 op het risicobeheheer van verzekeringsondernemingen. Bank- en Financiewezen, 5.

Chapters Boeijen, D., Jansen, C., Kortleve, N. & Tamerus, J. (2006). Leeftijdsolidariteit in de doorsneepremie. In Lecq, S.G. van der & Steenbeek, O.W. (eds), Kosten en baten van collectieve pensioensystemen (147-165). Vereniging voor Bedrijfstakpensioenfondsen, Kluwer. Kuné, J.B. (2006). Solidariteiten in collectieve pensioenregelingen. In Lecq, S.G. van der & Steenbeek, O.W. (eds), Kosten en baten van collectieve pensioenregelingen, (pp. 23-46). Deventer: Kluwer.

4. Professional Publications

Kuné, J.B. (2006). Book review in Tijdschrift voor Pensioenvraagstukken, October. Laeven, R.J.A. (2006). Stochastische afhankelijkheid en het meten van risico: uitdagingen in kwantitatief risicomanagement. Aenorm, 51.

5. Other

Grants Laeven, R.J.A. (2006). VENI Research Grant 2006, Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO), EUR 208.000,-. Beirlant, J., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Teugels, (2001-2006). Concerted Research Action of the K.U.Leuven Research Fund, Project G.O.A./2002/01, Actuarial, financial and statistical aspects of dependencies in insurance and financial portfolio’s, promoters: Jan Beirlant, Jan Dhaene, Marc Goovaerts (spokesman), Jef Teugels. € 1 408 516. Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2006-2011). Concerted Research Action of the K.U.Leuven Research Fund, Project G.O.A./2007/, Risk modeling and valuation of insurance and financial cash flows, with applications to pricing, provisioning and solvency, promoter: Marc Goovaerts, co-promoter: Jan Dhaene. € 60 000 per year. Goovaerts, M.J. & Vanduffel, S. (2006-2011). Fortis Chair on Financial and Actuarial Risk Management, Fortis Central Risk Management, chairholder (with Marc Goovaerts and Steven Vanduffel). Pelsser, A.A.J. (2006 – 2009). Netspar theme grant: Valuation and Risk Management for Insurance Companies and Pension Funds, theme coordinator, €1.000.000.

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Albrecher, H., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Schoutens, W. (2005). Static hedging of Asian options under Levy Models: the Comonotonicity Approach. Journal of Derivatives, 12, (3), 63-72. Chen, X., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M. & Vanduffel, S. (2005). A liability driven approach to asset allocation. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 5, 52-56. Darkiewicz, G., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M. (2005). Risk measures and dependencies of risks. Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 19, 155- 178. Decamps, M., De Schepper, A., Goovaerts, M.J. & Schoutens, W. (2005). A note on some new perpetuities. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (4), 261-270. Dhaene, J. Vanduffel, S., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2005). Comonotonic approximations for optimal portfolio selection problems. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 72, (2), 253-300. Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M., Lundin, M. & Vanduffel, S. (2005). Aggregating economic capital. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 5, 14-25. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Laeven, R.J.A., Tang, Q. & Vernic, R. (2005). The tail probability of discounted sums of Pareto-like losses in insurance. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (6), 446-461. Goovaerts, M.J., Van den Borre, E. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2005). Managing economic and virtual economic capital within financial conglomerates. North American Actuarial Journal, 9, (3), 77-89. Goovaerts, M.J., De Schepper, A., Hua, Y., Darkiewicz, G. & Vyncke, D. (2005). On the use of copula for calculating the present value of a general cash flow. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, 50, (1), 69-94. Hoedemakers, T., Beirlant, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene M.J. (2005). On the distribution of discounted loss reserves using generalised linear models. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (1), 25-45. Hoedemakers, T., Darkiewicz, G. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2005). Approximations for life annuity contracts in a stochastic financial environment. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 37, (2), 239-269. Kaas, R. & Tang, Q. (2005). A large deviation result for aggregate claims with dependent claim occurrences. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 36, (3), 251-259. Laeven, R.J.A., Goovaerts, M.J. & Hoedemakers, T. (2005). Some asymptotic results for sums of dependent random variables, with actuarial applications. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 37, (2), 154-172. Suarez, F., Dhaene, J., Henrard, L. & Vanduffel, S. (2005). Basel II: Capital requirements for equity investment portfolios. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 5, 37- 45. Vanduffel, S., Hoedemakers, T. & Dhaene, J. (2005). Comparing Approximations for risk measures of sums of non-independent lognormal random variables. North American Actuarial Journal, 9, (4), 71-82. Vanduffel, S., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2005). Comonotonic approximations for the savings-retirement problem. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 4, (1), 17-30. Vanduffel, S., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2005). On the evaluation of saving- consumption plans. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 4, (1), 17-30. Vanmaele, M., Deelstra, G., Liinev, J., Dhaene, J., & Goovaerts, M.J. (2005). Bounds

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for the price of discrete arithmetic Asian options. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 185, (1), 51-90.

Books, Monographs Denuit, M., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Kaas, R. (2005). Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks - Measures, Orders and Models. Wiley. Kaas, R., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. (2005). Modern Actuarial Risk Theory (Chinese translation) (pp. 235). Bejing: Science Press. (English edition appeared by Kluwer Academic Publishers).

Chapters Decamps, M., Goovaerts, M.J. & De Schepper, A. (2005). Applications of Jensen's inequality to interest rate derivatives. Proceedings IWAP 2004. Athens, 101- 103. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2005). Decision principles derived from risk measures. Proceedings of the 36th International Astin Colloquium. Zürich, Switzerland. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2005). Decision principles derived from risk measures, Proceedings of the 2nd Brazilian Conference on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance. Ubatuba, Brasil. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2005). Decision principles derived from risk measures. Proceedings of the 7th International Hercma Conference, Athens, Greece. Kaas, R. (2005). Compound Poisson distribution and GLM’s -- Tweedie’s distribution. Handelingen van het contactforum "3rd Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Day (4 February 2005), 3-12.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Beirlant, J., Claeskens, G., Croux, C., Degryse, H., Dewachter, H., Dhaene, J., Gijbels, I., Goovaerts, M.J., Hubert, M., Roodhoofd, F., Schoutens, W. & Willekens, M. (2005). Managing uncertainty: Financial, Actuarial and Statistical Modelling. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, 50, (1), 23-49. Decamps, M., De Schepper, A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2005). Pricing exotic options under local volatility. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, 50, (1), 49-68. Kuné, J.B. (2005). Pension Plan Design. Pensioen Bestuur & Management, 2, 42-44. Kuné, J.B. (2005). Integreer de AOW met het aanvullend pensioen! ABP Wereld (Pensioenpantheon), 18-19. Kuné, J.B. (2005). Het wereldbeeld van Bert de Vries; over verleden, heden en toekomst van het sociaal-economisch beleid in Nederland. Pensioen- Magazine, 10, 11-14. Tamerus, J.H. (2005). Geef herstel de ruimte. Pensioen, Bestuur en Management, 2, (4). 23-26. Vanduffel, S. & Dhaene, J. (2005). Is het discrimineren van verzekerden discriminatie? Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 5, 57-58. Vyncke, D., Goovaerts, M., Dhaene, J. & Vanduffel, S. (2005). Optimal portfolio selection for cash flows with bounded capital at risk. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, 50, 103-114. Willemse, W.J. (2005). Het Morris Review of the actuarial profession. Het Verzekerings-Archief, 82, (1/2), 47-51. Willemse, W.J. (2005). De solvabiliteitspositie van de verzekeringsbranche. Het Verzekerings-Archief, 82, (3), 92-94.

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Willemse, W.J. & Wolthuis, H. (2005). De zekerheidsmaatstaf voor pensioenfondsen. Tijdschrift voor Pensioenvraagstukken, February, 2-5. Willemse, W.J. & Wolthuis, H. (2005). Een praktische betekenis van de zekerheidsmaatstaf voor pensioenfondsen. Tijdschrift voor Pensioenvraagstukken, June, 77-81.

Chapters Kuné, J.B. (2005). Billijkheid en doelmatigheid in het systeem van de (aanvullende) pensioenvoorziening. In publicatiereeks Financiële en Monetaire Studies. Utrecht: Lemma. Kuné, J.B. (2005). Financiering en veiligstelling van het pensioeninkomen: omslag of kapitaaldekking. In Bauer, R., Maatman, R., Steenkamp, T., Kuné, J. & Stuurmans, M. (eds), Vergezichten; over beleggen, pensioenen en toezicht (Liber amicorum J.M.G. Frijns) (pp. 45-52). Driebergen: Riskmatrix. Kuné, J.B. (2005). De toekomst van vergrijzend Nederland; het kan nu eenmaal niet altijd paradijs zijn. In Perron-H, eenmalige uitgave ter gelegenheid van het afscheid van Han Thoman als directeur van Blue Sky Group (pp. 12-14). Blue Sky Group.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Laeven, R.J.A. (2005, 21 September). Essays on Risk Measures and Stochastic Dependence, with Applications to Insurance and Finance. Tinbergen Institute Research Series 360. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor: Prof.dr. M.J. Goovaerts; co-promotor: Prof.dr. F.C.J.M. de Jong] [cum laude]. Vanduffel, S. (2005, 27 January). Comonotonicity: From Risk Measurement to Risk Management. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotores: Prof.dr. J.L.M. Dhaene & Prof.dr. M.J. Goovaerts].

4. Professional Publications

Dhaene, J., Henrard, L. & Vanduffel, S. (2005). Is one € of actuaries worth the same as one € of financial economists? Contingencies, November/December, 16- 18. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2005). Onafhankelijkheid, zo doen we dat. De Actuaris, 12, (5), 29-31. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2005). Wetenschap ondersteunt de schade-expert. De Actuaris, 12, (5), 14-16. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2005). Apeldoorns maatwerk is een baken in de zorgjungle. De Actuaris, 13, (2), 26-27. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2005). Beroepsprofiel van de actuaris. Concept-versie. Actuarieel Genootschap, August. Kuné, J.B., Mulder, A. & Junge, R. (2005). Langer werken kan niet zonder steeds weer ontwikkelen, tezamen met. Praktijkblad Arbeidsvoorwaarden, 9, 14-16. Vanduffel, S. (2005). Hoe efficient aan Risicobeheer doen? Comonotone benaderingen helpen! De Actuaris, 12, (4). Vanduffel, S. (2005). Comonotoniciteit: een efficiënte risk management tool. Aenorm, 47, 7-9. Vroon, H. & Tamerus, J. (2005). Afspraken over pensioenzekerheid duidelijk. De Actuaris, July, 36-39. Wolthuis, H. & Kaas, R. (2005). Wiley’s “Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science”. De Actuaris, March, 36-37.

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Wolthuis, H. (2005). Sterftetafel Johan Hudde al meer dan honderd jaar bekend. De Actuaris, November, 42-43.

5. Other

Grants Kaas, R. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2005). Travel fund, FWO Flanders, Belgium. Kaas, R. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2005). Individual Research Grant awarded by the Actuarial Education and Rearch Fund, Society of Actuaries.

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Antonio, K., Goovaerts, M.J. & Hoedemakers, T. (2004). On the distribution of Discounted Loss Reserves. MET, 12, (3), 12-16. Cai, J. & Tang, Q. (2004). On max-sum equivalence and convolution closure of heavy-tailed distributions and their applications. Journal of Applied Probability, 41, (1), 117-130. Darkiewicz, G., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Distortion risk measures for sums of random variables. Blätter DGVFM, 26, (4), 631-641. Decamps, M., De Schepper, A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Applications of delta- functions perturbation to the pricing of derivative securities. Physica A, 342, (3-4), 677-692. Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Kaas, R. (2004). Discussion on the paper “Self Annuitization and Ruin in Retirement”. North American Actuarial Journal, 4, 124-126. Dhaene, J., Vanduffel, S., Tang, Q., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2004). Capital requirements, risk measures and comonotonicity. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 4, 53-61. Goovaerts, M.J., De Schepper, A. & Decamps, M. (2004). Closed form approximations for diffusion densities: a path integral approach. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 165, 337-364. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Laeven, R.J.A. & Tang, Q. (2004). A Comonotonic Image of Independence for Additive Risk Measures. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 35, (3), 581-594. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Dhaene, J. & Tang, Q. (2004). Some new classes of consistent risk measures. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 34, (3), 505-516. Jiang, T. & Tang, Q. (2004). On the moments of the severity of ruin in the delayed renewal risk model under heavy-tailed claims. Southeast Asian Bulletin of Mathematics, 27, (6), 1043-1050. Kaas, R., Goovaerts, M. & Tang, Q. (2004). Some useful counterexamples regarding comonotonicity. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 4, 1-4. Laeven, R.J.A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). An Optimization Approach to the Dynamic Allocation of Economic Capital. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 35, (2), 299-319. Ng, K.W. & Tang, Q. (2004). Asymptotic behaviour of tail and local probabilities for sums of subexponential random variables. Journal of Applied Probability, 41, (1), 108-116. Ng, K.W., Tang, Q., Yan, J. & Yang, H. (2004). Precise large deviations for sums of random variables with consistently varying tails. Journal of Applied Probability, 41, (1), 93-107. Schrager, D.F. & Pelsser, A.A.J. (2004). Pricing Rate of Return Guarantees in Regular Premium Unit Linked Insurance. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 35, 369-398. Tang, Q. & Tsitsiashvili, G. (2004). Finite and infinite time ruin probabilities in the presence of stochastic return on investments. Advances in Applied Probability, 36, (4), 1278-1299. Tang, Q. (2004). Asymptotics for the finite time ruin probability in the renewal model with consistent variation. Stochastic Models, 20, (3), 281-297. Tang, Q. (2004). The ruin probability of a discrete time risk model under constant

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interest rate with heavy tails. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, (3), 229-240. Tang, Q. (2004). Uniform estimates for the tail probability of maxima over finite horizons with subexponential tails. Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences, 18, (1), 71-86. Tang, Q. & Tsitsiashvili, G. (2004). Randomly weighted sums of subexponential random variables with application to ruin theory. Extremes, 6, (3), 171-188. Wang, D. & Tang, Q. (2004). Maxima of sums and random sums for negatively associated random variables with heavy tails. Statistics & Probability Letters, 68, (3), 287-295.

Chapters Ahcan, A., Darkiewicz, G., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M. & Hoedemakers, T. (2004). Optimal portfolio selection: applications in insurance business. Proceedings of the 8th International IME Conference. Darkiewicz, G., Hoedemakers, T., Ahcan, A., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Multi-period portfolio selection for stochastic liabilities. Proceedings of the 3rd Conference in Actuarial Science & Finance, Samos, Greece, September 2-5. Decamps, M., Goovaerts, M.J. & Schoutens, W. (2004). A bimodal Vasicek short rate model. Handelingen van het contactforum "2nd Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Day (6 February 2004), 45-52. Dhaene, J., Vanduffel, S., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2004). Comonotonic approximations for optimal portfolio selection problems: the case of terminal wealth. Handelingen van het contactforum "2nd Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Day (6 February 2004), 53-70. Dhaene, J., Laeven, R.J.A., Vanduffel, S. Darkiewicz, G. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Can a coherent risk measure be too subadditive? Proceedings of the 14th International AFIR Conference. Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J., Vanduffel, S. & Vyncke, D. (2004). Comonotonic approximations for optimal portfolio selection problems. Proceedings of Stochastic Finance 2004. Lisbon, September 26-30. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Laeven, R.J.A. & Tang, Q. (2004). A comonotonic image of independence for additive risk measures. Proceedings of the 3rd Conference in Actuarial Science & Finance, Samos, Greece, September 2-5. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Laeven, R.J.A. & Tang, Q. (2004). A comonotonic image of independence for additive risk measures. Proceedings of the 8th International IME Conference. Goovaerts, M.J., Van den borre, E. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2004). Managing economic and virtual economic capital within financial conglomerates. Proceedings of the 35th International ASTIN Conference. Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Collective risk models. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. I (pp. 290-292). Wiley. Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Insurance Mathematics and Economics. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. II (pp. 908). Wiley. Goovaerts, M.J. & Vyncke, D. (2004). Reinsurance forms. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. III (pp. 1403-1404). Wiley. Goovaerts, M.J & Kaas, R. (2004). Risk utility ranking. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. III (pp. 1513-1515). Wiley. Hoedemakers, T., Darkiewicz, G., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). On the distribution of life annuities with stochastic interest rates. Proceedings of the 8th International IME Conference. Kaas, R. (2004). Adjustment coefficient. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. I (pp. 27-30). Wiley. Kaas, R. (2004). Beekman’s convolution formula. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. I (pp. 167-169). Wiley. Kaas, R. (2004). Generalized Linear Models. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science,

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Vol. II (pp. 759-769). Wiley. Kaas, R. (2004). Ordering of risks. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. III (pp. 1225-1229). Wiley. Laeven, R.J.A., Goovaerts, M.J. & Hoedemakers, T. (2004). Some asymptotic results for sums of dependent random variables with actuarial applications. Proceedings of the 8th International IME Conference. Vanduffel, S., Dhaene, J. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). On the evaluation of ‘saving- consumption’ plans. Proceedings of the 3rd Conference in Actuarial Science & Finance. Samos, Greece, September 2-5. Vanduffel, S., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. (2004). Comonotonic approximations for the savings-retirement problem. Proceedings of the 8th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics & Economics (June 14-16). Rome, Italy. Wolthuis, H. (2004). Heterogeneity. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. II (pp. 819-821). Wiley. Wolthuis, H. (2004). International Actuarial Notation. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. II (pp. 927-931). Wiley. Wolthuis, H. & Willemse, W.J. (2004). Mortality tables in insurance industry. In Encyclopedia of Social Measurement, Vol. II (pp. 291-297). Elsevier.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Ponds, E.H.M. (2004). Pensioenfonds als zero-sum game of als positive-sum game? VBA Journaal, 20, zomer, 17-21. Ponds, E.H.M. (2004). Pensioen en Renterisico: Renteafhankelijke pensioenopbouw. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 28 mei. Willemse, W.J. (2004). Overgangen naar andere pensioensystemen in de afgelopen tien jaar. Het Verzekerings-Archief, mei. Willemse, W.J. (2004). Book review of Understanding Actuarial Management: the actuarial control cycle. In De Actuaris, mei. Wolthuis, H. (2004). Book review of Lewin, C.G., Pensions and insurance before 1800; a social history. East Linton, Scotland: Tuckwell Press. In De Actuaris, september, 36-37.

Books Kuné, J.B. (2004). Op weg naar één nationale pensioeninstelling. Inaugural lecture UvA. Amsterdam: Vossiuspers

4. Professional Publications and products

Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2004). De IBNR-discussie. De Actuaris, 11, (4), 26-28. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2004). Drie handen de lucht in voor een uitgekleed besluit. De Actuaris, 11, (5), 31. Heerwaarden, A.E. van & Willemse, W.J. (2004). Actuarieel Manifest, De Actuaris, januari. Kuné, J.B. (2004). Middelloonsystematiek: voordelen te over. Pensioen Bestuur en Management, 1, 10-11. Kuné, J.B. (2004). Solidarititeiten in de aanvullende pensioenregeling, nu en straks. Pensioen-Magazine, 9, december, 6-13. Kuné, J.B. (2004). Review of (2004). De belangstelling voor het Deeltijdpensioen. Research commissioned by Aegon door Research International BV, Rotterdam. In Tijdschrift voor Pensioenvraagstukken, 15, 143.

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Kuné, J.B. (2004). Review of Dewall, F.A. von (ed.) (2004). Solidaritiet en risicodeling; een vruchtbare voedingsbodem voor goed pensioen; de ING-visie op een goed pensioen. Amsterdam: ING. In Tijdschrift voor Pensioenvraagstukken, 15, 179- 180 . Kuné, J.B. (2004). Review of CPB-document 67, Naar een schokbestendig pensioenstelsel. In Pension Bestuur & Management, 2, 30-31. Kuné, J.B. (2004). Op weg naar één nationale pensioeninstelling. Aenorm, 11, (45), 43-46. Laeven, R.J.A. & Sugihartono, T. (2004). De Extreme Waarde van Extreme Waarde Theorie. De Actuaris, maart. Wolthuis, H. (2004). Prof.dr. J. Engelfriet, wetenschapper en zakenman. De Actuaris, mei, 22-23.

5. Other

Grants Kaas, R. & Laeven, R.J.A. (2004). 2004 Individual Research Grant awarded by the Actuarial Education and Research Fund.

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Cheng, Y. & Tang, Q. (2003). Moments of the surplus before ruin and the deficit at ruin in the Erlang(2) risk process. North American Actuarial Journal, 7, (1), 1- 12. Decamps, M. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2003). Discussion on "Geometric Brownian Motion Models for Assets and Liabilities: From Pension Funding to Optimal Dividends" by Hans Gerber and Elias Shiu. North American Actuarial Journal, 7, (3), 18-19. Decamps, M. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2003). Discussion on "Pricing lookback options and dynamic guarantees" by Hans Gerber and Elias Shiu. North American Actuarial Journal, 94-95. Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Kaas, R. (2003). Economic capital allocation derived from risk measures. North American Actuarial Journal, 7, (2), 44-59. Dhaene, J., Vanduffel, S., Goovaerts, M.J., Olieslagers, R. & Koch R. (2003). On the computation of the capital multiplier in the Fortis Credit Economic Capital model. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 3, 50-57. Goovaerts, M., Kaas, R., Dhaene, J. & Tang, Q. (2003). A unified approach to generate risk measures. ASTIN-Bulletin, 33, (2), 173-191. Goovaerts, M.J., De Schepper, A., Vyncke, D., Dhaene, J. & Kaas, R. (2003). Stable laws and the present value of cash-flows. North American Actuarial Journal, 7, (4), 32-43. Hoedemakers, T., Beirlant, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2003). Confidence bounds for discounted loss reserves. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 33, (2), 297-316. Kaas, R. & Tang, Q. (2003). Note on the tail behaviour of random walk maxima with heavy tails and negative drift. North American Actuarial Journal, 7, (3), 57-61. Ng, K., Tang, Q., Yan, J. & Yang, H. (2003). Precise large deviations for the prospective-loss process. Journal of Applied Probability, 40, (2), 391-400. Ponds, E.H.M. & Quix, A.A.C.M (2003). Integral Risk Management by Pension Funds in a Fair Value Framework. Pensions, 8, 222-234. Su, C. & Tang, Q. (2003). Characterisations on heavy-tailed distributions by means of hazard rate. Acta Math. Appl. Sinica (English Ser.), 19, (1), 135-142. Tang, Q. (2003) A note on the severity of ruin in the renewal model with claims of dominated variation. Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society, 40, (4), 663- 669. Tang, Q. (2003). Uniform estimates for the tail probability of maxima over a finite horizon with subexponential tails. Probabability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences, 18, (1), 71-86. Tang, Q. & Tsitsiashvili, G. (2003). Precise estimates for the ruin probability in finite horizon in a discrete-time model with heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks. Stochastic Process. Appl., 108, (2), 299-325. Vanduffel, S., Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Kaas, R. (2003). The hurdle-race problem. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 33, (2), 405-414. Vyncke, D., Goovaerts, M.J., De Schepper, A., Kaas, R. & Dhaene, J. (2003). On the distribution of cash-flows using Esscher transforms. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 70, (3), 563-575.

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Books, Monographs Kuné, J.B. (2003). On Global Aging, old-age income systems in the EU and other major parts of the world. Heidelberg: Springer Verlag. Wolthuis, H. (2003). Life insurance mathematics (The Markovian model). Second edition. Amsterdam: Instituut voor Actuariaat en Econometrie. pp. 288+xi.

Chapters Barbanson, R.J. de, Friedel, M., Jongh, J.A. de, Laeven, R.J.A., Pas, S.F.J. van de, Peters, R.W., Wisselink, C.J.A.J.J. & Zijp, P.P.C. van (2003). An Introduction to Credit Risk with a Link to Insurance, Proceedings of the 13th International AFIR Conference. Dhaene, J., Vanduffel, S., Tang, Q., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2003). Risk measures and optimal portfolio selection. Proceedings of the Seventh International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Lyon. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Dhaene, J. & Tang, Q. (2003). Some New Classes of Consistent Risk Measures, Proceedings of the First Brazilian Conference on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance, Sept 1-6, 2003, Ubatuba. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R., Dhaene, J. & Tang, Q. (2003). Some New Classes of Consistent Risk Measures, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Proceedings of the First Brazilian Conference on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance, Sept 1-6, 2003, Ubatuba. Laeven, R.J.A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2003). An Optimization Approach to the Dynamic Allocation of Economic Capital, Proceedings of the AFIR Colloquium 2003, Maastricht, The Netherlands. Laeven, R.J.A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2003). An Optimization Approach to the Allocation of Economic Capital, Proceedings of the 7th International IME Conference. Laeven, R.J.A. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2003). An Optimization Approach to the Dynamic Allocation of Economic Capital, Proceedings of the 13th International AFIR Conference. Su, C. & Tang, Q. (2003) Heavy tailed distributions and their applications. The Proceedings of Workshop on Probability with Applications in Insurance and Finance. Held in the University of Hong Kong, July 15-17, 2002. World Scientific, 2003.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals De Schepper, A., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J., Vyncke, D. & Kaas, R. (2003). The valuation of cash-flows in the presence of dividend barriers. Medium Econometrische Toepassingen, 11, (2), 18-25. Paulis, A.M. & Ponds, E.H.M. (2003). Pensioenperikelen in vogelvlucht. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 12 december 2003, 587. Ponds, E.H.M. (2003). Fair Pensioen voor Jong en Oud. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 24 januari 2003, 28-31. Ponds E.H.M. (2003). The Policy Ladder as a tool to manage pension fund risk. Tijdschrift voor Corporate Finance, december 2003.

Chapters Kuné, J.B. (2003). Wij groeien vast in tal en last, het begrip ‘grijze last’ in theoretisch en empirisch perspectief. In Leven in een ouder wordende samenleving, generatiebewust vooruitzien in de 21e eeuw. Den Haag: SDU. Poel, J.H.R. van de & Ponds, E.H.M. (2003). Bestuurbaarheid van pensioenfondsen. Huijgen C.A., Helden, G.J. van & Tempelaar, F.M. (eds), Informatie en

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Waarde, Liber Amicorum Prof.dr. D.W. Feenstra. Groningen. Ponds E.H.M. (2003). Fair Pensioen voor Jong en Oud. In Jaarboek 2003. Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde.

4. Professional Publications and products

Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2003). Solvabiliteit: een toets voor actuarissen. Fiducie, congress special, April, 31-35. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2003). Terreurschade: markt, overheid of onverzekerbaar? De Actuaris, September, 8-11. Hoedemakers, T., Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2003). IBNR-problematiek in historisch perspectief. De Actuaris, 11, 27-29. Kleynen, R. & Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2003). AFIR 2003: dat wordt smullen geblazen!!! De Actuaris, July, 25. Laeven, R.J.A. (2003). Recensie Alternative Risk Strategies. De Actuaris, July. Ponds, E.H.M. & Quix, A.A.C.M (2003). Prestaties Nederlandse pensioenfondsen op basis van de Funding Ratio Return benadering. VBA Journaal, 19, 19-25. Ponds, E.H.M. (2003). Beleidsstaffel en modern risicobeheer. ABP Wereld, 3, 22-25. Ponds, E.H.M. (2003). The Policy Ladder as a tool to manage pension fund risk. Tijdschrift voor Corporate Finance, december. Tamerus, J.H. (2003). Even opnieuw beginnen - Reactie van Jan Tamerus van PGGM op de levensloopregeling. De Actuaris, July, 6-7. Wolthuis, H. & Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2003). Actuariële bibliotheek: van historische collectie tot actuariële startpagina. De Actuaris, January, 16-18.

5. Other

Grants Vernic, R. (2003, November). NWO-grant on research proposal "Approximating distributions and estimating the ruin probability in the framework of asset- liability management for dependent lines of insurance business”, with R. Kaas and M.J. Goovaerts

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2002

1. international academic publications

Journals Boeck, P., Goovaerts, M.J., Piessens, R. & Wuytack, L. (2002). Preface Proceedings van het 9e ICCAM. Juli 2000. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 140, (1-2), xi-xii. Cheng, Y.B., Tang, Q.H. & Yang, H. (2002) Approximations for moments of deficit at ruin with exponential and subexponential claims. Statistics and Probability Letters, 59, 367-378. De Schepper, A., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J., Kaas, R. & Vynke, D. (2002). Bounds for present value functions with stochastic interest rates and stochastic volatility. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 31, 87-103. Dhaene, J., Denuit, M., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2002). The concept of comonotonicity in Actuarial Science and Finance: Theory. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 31, 3-33. Dhaene, J., Denuit, M., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2002). The concept of comonotonicity in Actuarial Science and Finance: Applications. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 31, 133-161. Goovaerts, M.J. & Kaas, R. (2002). Some problems in actuarial finance involving sums of dependent risks. Statistica Neerlandica, 56, 253-269. Kaas, R., Dhaene, J., Vyncke, D., Goovaerts, M.J. & Denuit, M. (2002). A Simple Geometric proof that comonotonic risks have a convex largest sum. ASTIN Bulletin, 32, 71-77. Konstantinides, D.G., Tang, Q.H. & Tsitsiashvili, G.Sh. (2002). Estimates for the ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force in the presence of heavy tails. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 31, 447-460. Konstantinides, D.G., Tang, Q.H. & Tsitsiashvili, G.Sh. (2002). Two-sided bounds for ruin probability under constant interest force. Information Processes, 2, (2) (special issue of Kalashnikov memorial seminar), 220-223. Ng, K.W., Tang, Q.H. & Yang, H. (2002). Maxima of sums of heavy-tailed random variables. ASTIN Bulletin, 32, 43-55. Tang, Q.H. (2002). An asymptotic relationship for ruin probabilities under heavy- tailed claims. Science in China (Series A), 45, 632-639. Tang, Q.H. & Yan, J.A. (2002). A sharp inequality for the tail probabilities of sums of i.i.d. r.v.'s with dominatedly varying tails. Science in China (Series A), 45, (8), 1006-1011.

Books, Monographs Kaas, R., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. (2002). Modern actuarial risk theory. 2nd edition. Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Chapters Dhaene, J., Wolthuis, H., Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2002). Risk and savings contracts. Proceedings 27th International Congress of Actuaries. Cancun. Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Dhaene, J. (2002). Economic capital allocation derived from risk measures. In Proceedings 6th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. Lisbon, Portugal. Goovaerts, M.J., De Schepper, A. & Decamps, M. (2002). Transition probabilities for diffusion processes by means of path-integrals. Proceedings 6th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. Lisbon, Portugal. Hoedemakers, T., Beirlant, J., Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2002). Confidence

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Bounds for discounted Loss Reserves. Proceedings 6th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. Lisbon, Portugal.

2. Dutch academic publications

Books Kaas, R. (2002). Actuariële Statistiek – Verleden en Toekomst. Vossiuspers AUP, Amsterdam.

Chapters Kuné, J.B. (2002). Waarde van pensioen, rendement, risicodeling en solvabiliteit: kijken in de 21e eeuw. In Kuné, J.B. (ed.) (2002). Waarde van pensioen; over waardering, zekerstelling en toereikendheid (pp. 172-223). Den Haag: Stichting Pensioenwetenschap. Kuné, J.B. (2002). Chapter in Kuné, J.B. (ed.), Pensioenwetenschap en management van pensioen, aandachtspunten voor de 21e eeuw. Heerlen: Stichting Pensioenfonds ABP. Ponds, E.H.M. (2002). Generational Accounting bij Pensioenfondsen. In Kuné, J.B. (ed.), Pensioen-wetenschap en management van pensioen, aandachtspunten voor de 21e eeuw. Liber Amicorum Jan van de Poel. Heerlen: Stichting Pensioenfonds ABP.

4. Professional Publications and products

Brender, A., Broekhoven H. van, Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J., Monnik, T., Meyers, G., Panjer, H., Sandberg, O., Shoeman, H., Veurne, S. van, Wason, S. & Waszink, H. (2002). Report on Solvency working party. IAA-report 95, 1-95. Broekhoven, H.W.M. van, Heijer, D. den, Oosenbrug, A., Ven, J.H.M. van de, Wolthuis, H., IJsel Smits, G.A. van & Zijp, P.P.C. van (2002). ‘Voorwoord’ AG- tafels 1995-2002, VII-XXV. Goovaerts, M.J. & Bauwelinckx, T. (2002). Praktijkgids 2002 Aanvullende bedrijfspensioenen, Kluwer, 1-829. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2002). Opleidingsnieuws van de Universiteit van Amsterdam’, 2-maandelijkse rubriek in De Actuaris. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2002). VSAE Actuariaatdag 2002: Verzekeren en herverzekeren in moeilijke tijden. De Actuaris, januari 2002, 13. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2002). Afscheidscollege Udo Smid: Geldstromen en winst in het levens-verzekeringsbedrijf. De Actuaris, januari 2002, 14-15. Heerwaarden, A.E van (2002). Is terrorisme verzekerbaar? Symposiumbundel bij VSAE Actuariaatdag 2002, pp. 34-39, en AENORM,april 2002, pp. 9-12. Joseph, A. & Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2002). Moet de overheid bijspringen bij terreurrisico? De Actuaris, mei 2002, 16-17. Kaas, R. (2002). Actuariële Statistiek - verleden en toekomst. De Actuaris, maart 2002, 20-22. Kleynen, R. & Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2002). Internationaal AFIR Colloquium is interessant voor álle Nederlandse actuarissen. De Actuaris, september 2002, 2-3. Laeven, R.J.A. (2002). Issues around catastrophe derivatives, Aenorm, Vol. 9, No. 36. Laeven, R.J.A. (2002). Catastrofe derivaten: een alternatief voor traditionele herverzekering? De Actuaris, november 2002. Tamerus, J.H. (2002). Prijs van zekerheid hand in hand met solvabiliteitsbeoordeling

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- Pilotstudie Pensioenzekerheid dynamisch getoetst. Onderzoeksrapport Stuurgroep Zekerheidsmaat (chairman: Tamerus, J.H.). Actuarieel Genootschap, December 19.

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2001

1. international academic publications

Journals Dhaene, J., Wang, S., Young, V. & Goovaerts, M.J. (2000). Comonotonicity and maximal stop-loss premiums. Mitteilungen der Schweiz. Actuarvereinigung, 99-113. Dhaene, J., Goovaerts, M.J., Vanduffel, S. & Vyncke, D. (2001). How to determine the Capital Requirements for a Portfolio of Annuity Liabilities. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, XLVI, 533-544. Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J. & Kaas, R. (2001). Risk Measures, Measures for Insolvency Risk and Economical Capital Allocation. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, XLVI, 545-562. Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J., Vanden Borre, E. & Redant, H. (2001). Some remarks on IBNR Evaluation Techniques. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, XLVI, 525-533. Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J., Borre, E. van den & Redant, R. (2001). Some remarks on IBNR evaluation techniques. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 58-60. Schrager, D.F. (2001). Properties of stock returns, time varying volatility. AENORM, 33, 4-6. Vyncke, D., Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2001). Convex upper and lower bounds for present value functions. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 17, 149-164.

Books, Monographs Kaas, R., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. (2001). Modern actuarial risk theory. Kluwer Academic Publishers. pp. 328.

Chapters DeSchepper, A., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J., Vyncke, D. & Kaas, R. (2001). The valuation of cash flows for dividend paying securities. In Proceedings Astin Colloquium. Washington. DeSchepper, A., Goovaerts, M.J., Dhaene, J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2001). Bounds for present value functions with stochastic interest rates and stochastic volatility. In Proceedings of the fifth International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, State College. Dhaene, J., Denuit, M., Goovaerts, M.J., Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D. (2001). The concept of comonotonicity in Actuarial Science and Finance: Theory. In Proceedings of the fifth International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, State College. Goovaerts, M.J., DeSchepper, A., Vyncke, D., Dhaene, J. & Kaas, R. (2001). Stable laws and the distribution of cash-flows. In Proceedings AFIR colloquium. Toronto. Kaas, R., Dhaene, J., Vyncke, D., Goovaerts, M.J. & Denuit, M. (2001). A simple geometric proof that comonotonic risks have a convex largest sum. In Proceedings of the fifth International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. State College. Vyncke, D., Goovaerts, M.J., DeSchepper, A., Kaas, R. & Dhaene, J. (2001). On the distribution of cash-flows using Esscher transforms. In Proceedings of the Fifth International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. State college.

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2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Schrager, D.F. (2001). Waardering van rendementsgaranties binnen beleggingsverzekeringen. De Actuaris, May, 24-27. Vermaat, A.J. (2001). Kapitaaleisen aan financiële conglomeraten. Het Verzekerings- Archief, 4, 160-165.

Chapters Smid, C.L. & Wolthuis, H. (2001). Bedrijfsanalyse en embedded value. Amsterdam: IAE. pp. 291.

4. Professional Publications and products

Bauwelinckx, T. & Goovaerts, M.J. (eds) (2001). Aanvullende Bedrijfspensioenen. Kluwer. 1-782. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (ed.) (2001). Column `Nieuws van de Universiteit van Amsterdam'. De Actuaris. (Bi-monthly). Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2001). Toepassing van kennistechnologie in het actuariaat. Report on Symposium Practis. De Actuaris, juli, 9-10. Heerwaarden, A.E. van (2001). Computational intelligence: mortality models for the actuary. De Actuaris, July, 11-12. (Bookreview).

5. Other

Grants Goovaerts, M.J. (2001). NWO Project. The Theory of Dependencies of risks applied to asset-liability models, Fl 428.000 (€ 195.000). Goovaerts, M.J. & Dhaene, J. (2001). Belgian GOA Project. Actuarial, financial and statistical aspects of dependencies in insurance and financial mathematics, Fl 3.200.000 (€ 1.450.000).

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OUTPUT FACULTY WITH LESS THAN 0.2 APPOINTMENT ACTUARIAL SCIENCE

Table 64 Programme results: outcome in numbers (faculty < 0.2 appointment) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 4 1 2 1 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 2 2. Dutch journals books chapters 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications

1. International academic publications

Journals 2007 Denuit M. & Dhaene J. (2007). Comonotonic bounds on the survival probabilities in the Lee-Carter model for mortality projection. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, vol. 203, 169-176. 2006 Dhaene, J., Ribas, C. & Vernic, R. (2006). Recursions for the individual model. Acta Mathematica Applicatae Sinica, English Series, 22, (4), 631-652. Reynaerts, H., Vanmaele, M., Dhaene, J. & Deelstra, G. (2006). Bounds for the price of a European-style Asian option in a binary tree model. European Journal of Operational Research, 168, (2), 322-332. 2003 Denuit, M. & Dhaene, J. (2003). Simple characterisations of comonotonicity and countermonotonicity by extremal correlations. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 3, 22- 27. 2001 Cossette, H., Denuit, M., Dhaene, J. & Marceau, E. (2001). Stochastic approximations of present value functions. Mitteilungen der Schweiz. Actuarvereinigung, 15-28. Denuit, M., Dhaene, J. & Ribas, C. (2001). Does positive dependence between individual risks increase stop-loss premiums? Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 28, 305-308. Denuit, M., Dhaene, J., Le Bailly De Tilleghem, C. & Teghem, S. (2001). Measuring the impact of a dependence among insured life lengths. Belgian Actuarial Bulletin, 18-39. Denuit, M. & Dhaene, J. (2001). Bonus-malus scales using exponential loss functions. Blätter der Deutsche Gesellschaft für Versicherungsmathematik, 25, 13-27.

Books, Monographs 2004 Dhaene, J. (et al.) (2004). A Global Framework for Insurer Solvency Assessment,

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Report of the Insurer Solvency Assessment Working Party, International Actuarial Association.

Chapters 2005 Vanmaele, M., DeSchepper, A., Dhaene, J., Reynaerts, H., Schoutens, W. & VanGoethem, P. (2005). Proceedings of the ‘second Actuarial and Financial Mathematics Day (February, 2005), Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Science and Arts, Brussels. 2004 Darkiewicz, G., Deelstra, G., Dhaene, J., Hoedemakers, T. & Vanmaele, M. (2004). Bounds for stop-loss premiums of life annuities with random interest rates. Proceedings of the 8th International IME Conference. Denuit, M. & Dhaene, J. (2004). Dependent risks. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, Vol. I. (pp. 464-471). Wiley. Dhaene, J. & Vyncke, D. (2004). The individual risk model. In Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science , Vol. I. (pp. 871-875). Wiley. 2003 Dhaene, J., Kolev, N. & Morettin, P. (eds) (2003). Proceedings of the First Brazilian Conference on Statistical Modelling in Insurance and Finance. University of Sao Paulo: Institute of Mathematics and Statistics.

5. Other

Grants 2006 Dhaene, J., Beirlant, J. & Hoedemakers, T. (2006-2009). FWO Research Project, Project G.0280.06, Modern perspectives in claims reserving for non-life insurance, promoter: Jan Dhaene, co-promoter: Jan Beirlant, researcher: Tom Hoedemakers. € 177 716. Dhaene, J. & Sterzynski, M. (2006-2007). Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship, FP6-2004-Mobility-5, Project MEIF-CT-2005-024001: CONSOL-M, A consistent solvency model for the insurance undertakings in the European Single Insurance Market, promoter: Jan Dhaene, researcher: Maciej Sterzynski. € 135 000.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

The field of actuarial science is experiencing a sea change: the application of financial economic valuation and risk management techniques is having a profound impact on actuarial science and the actuarial profession.

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ We feel that the Actuarial Science ƒ Our research group is rather small, research group is well positioned to so we very face a significant “key be an international leader in this person” risk, especially for the senior changing environment researchers. ƒ We feel that the Actuarial Science research group is well positioned to also to give guidance to the actuarial professionals and the insurance and pensions industry world-wide. Opportunities Threats

ƒ By offering parttime positions and an ƒ Due to the high salaries paid in the exiting research agenda we have industry, it is difficult for us to attract been able to attract top talent to our and retain the most promising group research talents ƒ We are confident that we can continue to produce a steady stream of research output that is of the highest academic standard, and is also relevant for the industry and the actuarial profession.

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Transformation of Europe

ƒ Research area and mission: Macroeconomics, international economics, monetary economics and transition economics. The programme aims at investigating and answering important questions for Europe and other parts of the world in the aforementioned areas. ƒ JEL: E, F, H, P ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Roel Beetsma. ƒ Starting date of the programme: January 1, 2000. ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: This programme is part of RESAM, the research school of the Amsterdam School of Economics. It has no further formal ties.

The current programme was created eight years ago out of a set of smaller programmes. Although no longer in the starting up phase, there are still important transitions taking place. In particular, members of the original smaller programmes are still being replaced by new, younger researchers. The programme has benefited from the venue of Prof.dr. Wouter den Haan (formerly at the University of California at San Diego and London Business School) and his VICI grant. This, as well as the parttime return of Prof.dr. Rick van der Ploeg (also at Oxford University and formerly at the European University Institute and London School of Economics), are among the factors that form the basis for further expansion, in terms of quality and quantity of this research programme. These senior hires have been important in attracting young researchers. In addition to several postdocs the group has also successfully participated in the international job market, which resulted in hiring Christian Stoltenberg, a student of Harald Uhlig (now at the University of Chicago). Members of the programme have published in the very best journals and can be expected to do so given that some have recently received revise and resubmits from top journals like the American Economic Review and the Journal of Monetary Economics. Members of the programme have also been invited to write an article for the Journal of Economic Literature.

B.1 Leadership

The programme leader provides academic and strategic leadership. Academic leadership is shared mainly with Prof.dr. Wouter den Haan, but also with the other professors in the programme, where each person provides the leadership in the area in which he is an expert. Strategic leadership involves the directions in which the main research lines develop and expand, as well as recruiting. The programme leader is responsible for the overall functioning and delegates a variety of tasks to lower levels, such as the compilation of the annual report, the website and the organisation of the various seminar series. The programme leader keeps control over the of the programme. Management style is to provide the participants the freedom to conduct their own research within certain limits, but also to stimulate active co-operation and to get everyone involved and feel part of the group. Style is informal and “light”, aimed at stimulating creativity and providing individual participants, especially the younger ones with advice on their research strategy. Communication between management and other researchers is frequent (on a weekly, sometimes daily basis) and informal (often even over lunch which we usually have together as a group). However, management also aims at making participants aware that we are striving for gradual but ongoing improvement of the programme. The programme leader regularly discusses with the other participants their research progress and provides them with advice on their research if necessary. Researchers

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RESAM: The Transformation of Europe earn research time on the basis of their publication achievements.

B.2 Strategy and policy

The research areas of this programme are macroeconomics, international economics monetary economics and transition economics. The programme aims at investigating and answering important questions in the aforementioned areas with some emphasis on questions related to the European economies. The programme was formed out of the original smaller programmes that still exist as the subprogrammes. The organisation by subprogrammes is only for practical management purposes (span of control) and there are no barriers in doing research with members of other subprogrammes. In fact, much of the research cuts through the subprogrammes. The research focus has gradually shifted. The original focus was on the macroeconomic, and related aspects, of the European Union, while, moreover, transition economics played an important role. Transition economics is gradually being built down, while in other dimensions the programme has broadened its scope. Hence, the in the previous assessment observed “heterogeneity of research interests” between the transition economics subprogramme and the other parts of the research programme is vanishing with the phasing out of this subprogramme.

The European Union as study object is still important, but in relative terms its weight has declined substantially. In particular, the macroeconomics of pensions has acquired a place in the programme (stimulated by participation in Netspar and through a Netspar theme grant). With the venue of Wouter den Haan, research on business cycles, macro-labour economics, the monetary transmission mechanism and computational methods have obtained more importance. Fiscal policy (and its political economy aspects) remains an important part of the program. Exchange rate economics also remains a part of the programme. There is a chance that in the near future we will change the name of the programme to reflect its wider coverage.

After the previous assessment, the strategy of hiring high quality young and senior professors has improved the quality of the program. The plan is to continue to attract the best young researchers within our fields of interest. Another important element on the progamme's agenda/wish list is hiring one more fulltime senior person of international stature (ideally in international economics) who can help in providing co- leadership and support, through his experience and contacts, the programme's path towards higher excellence. Such an appointment should be helpful in our fulfilling our goal of letting the members who publish in second-tier or B journals publish in first- tier or A journals. Moreover, although some members have already published in the best or A+ journals (like the American Economic Review and Review of Economic Studies), the aim is to increase the frequency of publishing in those journals as well. An important part of the group's strategy to improve the quality of the research output (and the publication outlets) is to encourage collaboration with outstanding academics from prominent institutions abroad.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

Researchers determine their own research agenda with the only constraint that most of the research undertaken must fall within the scope of the programme. Collaboration with other researchers in the programme is stimulated and the many joint projects have led to a stimulating research atmosphere in which the programme members function well. We also stimulate joint work between junior researchers and

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Ph.D. students and their supervisors. This provides those researchers with practical research experience (“learning-by-doing”). Ph.D. students have a formal training provided by the Tinbergen Institute. There are several concrete elements in place to foster such collaboration and create a healthy research environment. In addition, to a formal seminar series the programme also has a more informal lunch seminar in which often preliminary work is presented. This makes it possible to point especially younger members in the right direction. Less concrete but equally important is the vision that researchers should be around often, interact, and be interested in each other's work. In terms of external collaboration we aim at an improvement in the quality of the outside researchers and institutes that we are working with. We see this a one route towards publication in top field journals and hopefully also top general interest journals. Besides this it yields valuable contacts and puts the programme on the map in the international research community, which is important in terms of for example placing Ph.D. students. The senior members have already been quite successful in making contacts with academics at top universities and are frequently invited to give outside seminars. The aim is to strengthen the links between the junior members of the programme and the outside academic community, for example, by inviting academics to the UvA more often.

B.4 Academic reputation

There are clear signs that the academic reputation of the research programme is increasing. One such sign is the success in obtaining awards from outside institutions. Several of these awards are substantial (as high as EUR 800,000 of outside funding). In particular, we have received funding from the European Commission (2002 – 2006) for the Macroeconomic Policymaking in Monetary Unions (MAPMU) project, from Netspar for the theme grant on the macroeconomics of pension systems (2007-2010) and from the NWO for the VICI grant of Prof.dr. Wouter den Haan (2006-2011).

Another such sign is that our former members have obtained high-level appointments: Andreas Schabert who was assistant professor was appointed full professor at the University of Dortmund, Bas Jacobs who was postdoc has been appointed full professor at the University of Rotterdam, Philip Jung who was postdoc has been appointed assistant professor at the University of Mannheim, and Pontus Rendahl who is a postdoc has been appointed assistant professor at the University of California at Davis. Our students have obtained jobs at the IMF, University College London, and CEPII (Paris).

Our members have been on several editorial boards during the evaluation period. The main positions are Editor of the Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (Wouter den Haan), Associate Editor of the Journal of Economic Literature (Roel Beetsma), Associate Editor of the European Economic Review (Roel Beetsma), Associate Editor of the Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (Wouter den Haan), and Editor of CESifo Economic Studies (Roel Beetsma).

B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

The University of Amsterdam has several concrete procedures in place to evaluate the teaching and research output. First, there is an annual evaluation by the deputy dean. Second, there are also strict publishing requirements. In particular, publications

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RESAM: The Transformation of Europe are awarded points based on the quality of the journal and if not enough points are earned then the teaching buy out is lost. Third, as participant of the Tinbergen Institute, programme members have a chance to become Tinbergen fellows. The requirements of the Tinbergen institute are more demanding than those imposed by the University to receive the teaching buy out. Nevertheless, there are five members of the group that are Tinbergen fellows. Finally, the teaching at the Tinbergen institute is shared by the three participating universities but the core macro sequence is almost completely taught by members of our programme and so is a large part of the macro electives.

B.6. External validation

The programme is having an impact on the outside world. Although this is not always visible, the programme is being noticed (as is clear from the informal circuit). For example, employees of the European Commission have mentioned this to the programme leader. It is also visible from the fact that members are being invited for “major lectures”, such as the organisation of a plenary session at the annual conference of the European Economic Association (Beetsma, 2007) and a plenary presentation at a large conference organised by the German Ministry of Finance (Beetsma, 2007). There are intensive contacts with the European Commission (visitorships and joint research papers), the ECB (visitorships and internships), the IMF (visitorships and joint research papers), the Dutch Central Bank (joint conference organisation, joint appointments and supervision of Ph.D. students), the CPB (a joint Netspar project and a joint appointment of Casper van Ewijk, Deputy Director at CPB and Professor at the UvA) and Robeco (Lex Hoogduin, Professor at the UvA and Chief Economist Robeco). Beetsma was appointed Member of the Steering Committee on the EU Budget Review (committee with top Commission officials, a.o. the Deputy Secretary General). There are contacts with parties in the financial world (banks and pension funds). Moreover, several of the group members (in particular Beetsma, Hoogduin, Van Wijnbergen and Van der Ploeg) are frequently asked by radio and television channels to comment on macroeconomic questions. They also regularly contribute to the policy discussion in the opinion pages of quality newspapers. The Economist in the Economics Focus (12-18 November 2005) has spent a full page of discussion of Beetsma’s research.

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

Most recruiting is done jointly for teaching and research. Exceptions are postdocs who are recruited purely for research, although they will have to do some teaching to equip them for life after their postdoctoral fellowship. Recruiting takes place at the level of the programme, although selected candidates of course have to be accorded by the Dean of the School. Ph.D. students that join our group have in most cases received their formal training from the Tinbergen Institute. People recruited at the Assistant Professor level are expected to follow the standard tenure-track and become Associate Professor and eventually Professor. While this has not always been the case in the past, recruiting will in the future follow the standard U.S. job market cycle. Employees will be stimulated to spend longer periods abroad (e.g. Franc Klaassen will spend two months at the University of Wisconsin, Beetsma has spent longer periods at the EUI in Florence, the ECB, UBC Vancouver and UC Berkeley, and Wouter den Haan visits the London School of Economics on a regular basis).

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Table 65 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Beetsma, R. 0.47 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.56 0.60 0.53 Ewijk, C. van 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 Ellman, M.J. 0.50 0.50 0.53 0.53 0.50 0.50 0.25 Fase, M.M.G. 0.16 0.16 - - - - - Haan, W.J. den -----0.500.80 Hoogduin, L. - - - 0.04 0.11 0.11 0.07 Jager, H. 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.40 0.40 Jepma, C.J. 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.00 Ploeg, F. van der 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 Wijnbergen, S.J.G. 0.20 0.18 0.10 0.10 0.55 0.52 0.42 Associate Professor (UHD) Carchedi, G. - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Klaassen, F.J.G.M. - - 0.08 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Knaack, R.K. 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.08 0.08 0.00 Prast, H.M. 0.25 0.19 - - - - - Assistant professor (UD) Veestraeten, D. 0.20 0.40 0.40 Vermeylen, K. 0.20 0.40 0.44 Westerhout, E.W.M.T. - - 0.02 0.11 0.07 - - Other Tenured Staff Catalán-Aravena, O.O. 0.26 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.00 0.20 Thio, B. 0.25 0.25 0.13 0.13 0.06 0.06 0.06

Total Tenured Staff 3.24 3.09 2.66 3.25 3.88 4.46 4.38

Non -Tenured Staff Aidis, R. - - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Buiter, W. - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cruijsen, C.A.B. van der - - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Demertzis, M. - - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gërxhani, K. 0.50 - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Giuliodori, M. ----0.530.500.50 Giuliodori, M. - - 0.76 0.83 - - - Graaf, Th. de ----0.100.25- Hek, P. de 0.42 0.32 - - - - - Hoeberichts, M.M. - - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Horen, N. van -----0.000.00 Jacobs, B. ----0.150.410.24 Jung, P. -----0.130.80 Klaassen, F.J.G.M. 0.80 0.80 0.50 - - - - Maes, K. - 0.08 0.29 - - - - Rendahl, R.P. ------0.27 Romp, W.E. ------0.27 Schabert, A. - - - 0.00 0.88 0.50 - Scharrenborg, R. - 0.30 0.00 - - - - Spange, M. - - 0.50 - - - - Veestraeten, D. 0.17 0.50 0.53 0.53 0.33 Vermeylen, K. 0.13 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.30 Vuuren, A.P. van - - - 0.10 0.12 - - Westerhout, E.W.M.T. 0.16 0.16 0.10 - - - - PhD's Aidis, R. 0.60 0.60 0.10 - - - - Daal, W. 0.36 0.24 - - - - - Daniëls, T.R. - - 0.55 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.05 Horen, N. van 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.25 0.17 - - Kusmerski, D. - 0.200.600.600.600.60- Leefmans, N. 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.32 0.51 0.38 - Ribeiro-Poplawski, M. - 0.17 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.32 Rusinova, D. - 0.200.600.250.360.270.33 Schouwstra, M. 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.35 0.60 0.20 0.00 Sterk, V. ------0.20 Vos, S.J. ------0.15

Total Non-Tenured 4.14 5.07 6.13 4.93 5.85 4.44 3.13

Total Research Staff 7.38 8.16 8.79 8.18 9.73 8.90 7.51

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Some researchers involved have only very small appointments:

ƒ Aidis, Gerxhani and Schouwstra: they are former Ph.D. students of a programme member (Prof.dr. Michael Ellman) and as such have kept guest researcher positions with no formal obligations. ƒ Buiter: he is a guest researcher with no formal obligations. His main appointment is as a Professor at the London School of Economics. ƒ Carchedi: he is retired and has retained a guest researcher’s position with no formal obligations. ƒ Daniels: his appointment has been terminated. ƒ Hoogduin: his appointment is parttime teaching and parttime research. His main appointment is Chief Economist of Robeco. He is also former research director of the Dutch Central Bank. His appointment is also important for the link between academia and the central and commercial banking world. ƒ Jepma: his appointment has been terminated. ƒ Knaack: his appointment has been gradually reduced as he approaches retirement. ƒ Thio: his appointment is gradually being phased out. ƒ Van der Cruijsen, Demertzis and Hoeberichts: they have their main appointment at the Dutch Central Bank. They have a guest researcher’s position with no formal obligations. Their appointment serves to strengthen the monetary economics/policy part of the programme and to strengthen ties with the Dutch Central Bank. ƒ Van Ewijk: his appointment is half teaching and half research. His main appointment is Deputy-Director of the CPB. He is also involved (as overall leader) in the Netspar theme grant on the macroeconomics of pension systems. His appointment is also important for the link between academia and actual policymaking. ƒ Van Horen: she is a former Ph.D. student of a programme member (Prof.dr. Henk Jager) and as such has kept guest researcher positions with no formal obligations.

B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

Research facilities on the whole are reasonable. The library is reasonably well equipped with most of the relevant (though not all) journals being available online. Most of the books though are found at the central library in the centre of the city, while for renewal of the library pass has to go there in person, an obvious discouragement of use of the library. ICT support is poor. The network is frequently unavailable and there are often problems with the software. License renewal for some packages each year is a hassle and time consuming. However, there are some signs the matters are improving in this regard. Funding for research activity (travelling, books, etcetera) has so far never been an obstacle. It should be said, though, that the senior programme members get most of their travelling financed from outside by host institutions and conference organisations. With the growth of the group and its quality, we expect programme members to make more use of the research funds in the future.

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Table 66 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 88% 91% 84% 87% 81% 77% 61% Research funds 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 10% 25% Contracts 12% 9% 16% 11% 17% 13% 14% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Den Haan, W.J., Sumner, S.W. & Yamashiro, G.M. (2007). Bank Loan Portfolios and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Journal of Monetary Economics, 54, 904-924. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Jensen, H. (2005). Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in a Micro-Founded Model of a Monetary Union. Journal of International Economics, 67, 320-352. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. (2004). Long Swings in Exchange Rates: Are They Really in the Data? Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 23, 87-95 Beetsma, R.M.W.J., Giuliodori, M. & Klaassen, F. (2006). Trade Spillovers of Fiscal Policy in the European Union: A Panel Analysis. Economic Policy, 21, (48), 640-687. Schabert, A. (2004). Interactions between Monetary and Fiscal Policy via Open Market Operations. Economic Journal, 114, C186-C206.

Table 67 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 24 11 18 19 22 28 16 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 4325355 2. Dutch journals 3 14 10 2 4 9 3 books 1 1 chapters 7121313 3. PhD theses 5 7 3 2 4. Professional publications 26 23 13 11 14 8 9

Table 68 Programme results: outcome in numbers (core faculty) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 24 8 15 13 18 23 10 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 4323242 2. Dutch journals 3 14 10 2 4 8 2 books 1 1 chapters 7121313 3. PhD theses 5 7 3 2 4. Professional publications 26 23 13 11 11 6 7

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Table 69 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 4343532 Other international Journals 20 8 14 16 17 25 14

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OUTPUT THE TRANSFORMATION OF EUROPE

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J., Cukierman, A. & Giuliodori, M. (2007). On the Relationship between U.S. Defense and Non-Defense Spending during the World Wars, Economic Letters, 95, 415-421. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Debrun, X. (2007). The New Stability and Growth Pact: A First Assessment, European Economic Review, 51, 453-478. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Vermeylen, K. (2007). The Effect of Monetary Unification on Public Debt and its Real Return. Public Choice, 133, 393-415. Bun, M.J.G. & Klaassen, F.J.G.M. (2007). The Euro Effect on Trade is not as Large as Commonly Thought. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69, 473- 496. Den Haan, W.J. (2007). Shocks and the Unavoidable Road to Higher Taxes and Higher Unemployment, Review of Economic Dynamics, 10, 348-366. Den Haan, W.J., Sumner, S.W. & Yamashiro, G.M. (2007). Bank Loan Portfolios and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism, Journal of Monetary Economics, 54, 904-924. Horen, N. van (2007). Foreign banking in developing countries; Origin Matters, Emerging Markets Review, 8, 81-105. Romp, W.E. & Haan, J. de (2007). Public Capital and Economic Growth: A Critical Survey, Perspektiven der Wirtschaftpolitik, 8, 6-52. Rusinova, D.T. (2007). Growth in Transition: Re-examining the Roles of Factor Inputs and geography, Economic Systems, 31, 233-255. Veestraeten, D.J.M. (2007). The presence of target zones nonlinearities when narrower bands exist within official zones, Applied Economics, 39, 449-452.

Chapters Knaack, R. & Jager, H. (2007). On the relevancy of institutional economics for international economics. In Teaching Pluralism in Economics (edited by Groenewegen, J.). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Ploeg, F. van der (2007). New Keynesian economics, in International Encyclopedia of Social Sciences, second edition (edited by Darity, W.A. et. al.), Farmington Hills, MI: MacMillan.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R., Mahieu, R. & A. Slager (2007). CDC en de rol van de werkgever in de pensioenregeling, Economisch Statistische Berichten, 2007, 696-697. Ewijk, C. van (2007). Efficiëntie en continuïteit in pensioenen: het FTK nader bezien, Het Verzekerings-Archief, 84, 50-59. (with Coen Teulings)

Chapters Ewijk, C. van (2007). Rondpompen van geld, in H. de Groot, P. Tang (ed.) Struisvogels en dwarskoppen. Rotterdam.

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Ewijk, C. van (2007). Tussen wetenschap en beleid: het eigen woning dossiers, in D.A. Albregtse, P. Kavelaars (ed.), Maatschappelijk Heffen, 2006, pp. 145- 156, Kluwer. (with S. Cnossen and R.A de Mooij). Hoogduin, L.H. (2007). Column Een Babylonische spraakverwarring in Preadviezen van de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde 2007. Private Equity en Aandeelhoudersactivisme.

4. Professional Publications and products

Ellman, M. (2007). Review of Gaidar, E. Gibel’ imperii, in Europe-Asia Studies, 59 (4), 696-697. Ellman, M. (2007). Review of Wegren, S.K. (ed.) Rural adaptation in Russia, in Slavonic and East European Review, 85 (2), 388-390. Ewijk, C. van (2007). Efficiëntie en continuïteit in pensioenen,: het FTK nader bezien, NEA paper 3, Netspar, Universiteit van Tilburg, 29 p. (with Coen Teulings). Ewijk, C. van (2007). Vergrijzing Vraagt om Aanvullend Beleid, in G. Gelauff et al., Jaarboek 2006/2007. Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staaathuishoudkunde, Sdu Uitgevers: Den Haag, 11-29. (herdruk van Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën 2, 2006, pp. 48-61) (with N. Draper, E. Westerhout, H. ter Rele en J. Donders). Ewijk, C. van (2007).Verslag Interview Casper van Ewijk, in Kopstukken over de Krijgsmacht. Interviews over de toekomst van de krijgsmacht, Ministerie van Defensie 2006, pp. 32-36. Ploeg, F. van der (2007). Dr. Pangloss en de zoetwatergekken (Dr Pangloss and the fresh water idiots), in Gevaarlijke Ideeën – De belangrijkste denkers van nu over wat zij een gevaarlijk idee vinden, Het Spectrum: Utrecht. Ploeg, F. van der (2007). Kanttekeningen bij het nieuwe zorgstelsel, 121-128 in H.L.F. de Groot and P.J.G. Tang (eds.), Struisvogels en Dwarskoppen, Boek ter Nagedachtenis aan Richard Nahuis.

5. Other

Grants Beetsma, R.M.W.J. (2007). Netspar grant for the programme The Macroeconomics of Pension Reforms (2007-2010). Ewijk, C. van (2007). Research Grant Netspar “Macroeconomics of Pension Reform”, starting April 1.

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2006). Political Shocks, Public Debt and the Design of Monetary and Fiscal Institutions. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30, (11), 1857-1883. Beetsma, R.M.W.J., Giuliodori, M. & Klaassen, F. (2006). Trade Spillovers of Fiscal Policy in the European Union: A Panel Analysis. Economic Policy, 21, (48), 640-687. Brueckner, M. & Schabert, A. (2006). Can Money Matter for Interest Rate Policy? Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30, 2823-2657. Carchedi, M. (2006). Tsakalotos on homo economicus: some additional comments. Science and Society, 70, (3), July. Carchedi, M. (2006). The fallacies of Keynesian policies. Rethinking Marxism, 18, (1), January, 63-81. Carchedi, M. (2006). The military arm of the European Union. Rethinking Marxism, 18, (2), April, 327-339. Carchedi, M. (2006). I vecchi miti non muoiono mai … purtroppo. Proteo, 1, January- April, 108-114. Carchedi, M. (2006). Il ruolo delle innovazioni tecnologiche nello sviluppo capitalistico. Sulla caduta tendenziale del saggio di profitto. Proteo, May-August, 100-10. Carchedi, M. (2006). Der militärische Arm der Europäischen Union. Prokla, 36, (3), September, 381-395. Chowdhury, I., Hoffmann, M. & Schabert, A. (2006). Inflation Dynamics and the Cost Channel of Monetary Transmission. European Economic Review, 50, 995- 1016. Ellman, M. (2006). Churchill on Stalin: A Note. Europe-Asia Studies, 58, 965-971. Ellman, M. (2006). Review of Service, R. Stalin: A biography. In The Review of Politics, 68, 1, 155-158. Ellman, M. (2006). Review of Kuromiya, H. Stalin. In Europe-Asia Studies, 68, 6, 985-987. Horen, N. van, Jager, H. & Klaassen, F. (2006). Foreign Exchange Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis: A Regression-based Approach. Review of World Economics, 142, 374-401. Jacobs, B. & Ploeg, F. van der (2006). Guide to reform of higher education: A European perspective. Economic Policy, 537-592. Jacobs, B. & Ploeg, F. van der (2006). Getting European universities into shape. European Political Science, 5, 288-303. Linnemann, L. & Schabert, A. (2006). On the Validity of the Taylor Principle in Open Economies. International Finance, 9, 343-367. Linnemann, L. & Schabert, A. (2006). Productive Government Expenditure in Monetary Business Cycle Models. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 53, 28-46. Ploeg, F. van der (2006). Rolling back the public sector: differential effects on growth, employment and investment. Oxford Economic Papers, 58, 103-122. Ploeg, F. van der (2006). Conditional benefits reduce equilibrium unemployment. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 8, (4), 603-610. Schabert, A. (2006). Central Bank Instruments, Fiscal Policy Regimes, and the Requirements for Equilibrium Determinacy. Review of Economic Dynamics, 9, 742-762. Veestraeten, D.J.M. (2006). An alternative approach to modelling relapse in cancer

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with an application to adenocarcinoma of the prostate. Mathematical Biosciences,199, 38-54. Vermeylen, K. (2006). Heterogeneous Agents and Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Employment Shocks in a Linearized Dynamic General Equilibrium Model. The Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 38, (3), 837-846.

Books, Monographs Ewijk, C. van, Draper, N., Westerhout, E. & Rele, H. ter (2006). Ageing and the sustainability of Dutch public finances. The Hague: CPB.

Chapters Canoy, M.F.M., Ploeg, F. van der & Ours, J. van (2006). The economics of books. Chapter 21 in Ginsburgh, V. & Throsby, D. (eds), Handbook of Cultural Economics. Amsterdam: North-Holland. Ellman, M. (2006). Transition. In Clark, D.A. (ed.), The Elgar companion to development studies. Cheltenham: Elgar. Ellman, M. (2006). The issues. In M.Ellman (ed.) Russia’s oil and natural gas: Bonanza or curse? London: Anthem. Ploeg, F. van der (2006). The making of cultural policy: A European perspective. Chapter 34 in Ginsburgh, V. & Throsby, D. (eds), Handbook of the Economics of Art and Culture. Amsterdam: North-Holland. Ploeg, F. van der (2006). The welfare state, redistribution and the economy: reciprocal altruism, consumer rivalry and second best. Chapter 8 in Farina, F. & Savaglio, E. (eds), Inequality and Economic Integration (pp. 192-223). London: Routledge.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Ewijk, C. van, Jacobs, B. & Mooij, R.A. de (2006). Doelmatigheidswinst van minder hypotheekrenteaftrek. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4489), 292- 295. Ewijk, C. van, & Tang, P.J.G. (2006). Meer oog voor de toekomst: een lagere discontovoet, Economisch Statistische Berichten, 205- 207. Ewijk, C. van, Draper, N., Westerhout, E. & Rele, H. ter (2006). Vergrijzing vraagt om aanvullend beleid. Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 2, 48-61. Jacobs, B. (2006). Experiment open bestel gedoemd te mislukken. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4500s. Jacobs, B. & Webbink, D. (2006). Rendement van onderwijs blijft stijgen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4492), 405-407. Jacobs, B. (2006). De Scandinavische mythe. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4490), 91. Jacobs, B. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2006). Voortschrijdend inzicht in de vergrijzing. Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 38, (2), 62-79. Wijnbergen, S.J.G. van (2006). Een Zeepbel van 12 miljard. Economisch Statistische Berichten, March.

Chapters Jacobs, B. (2006). De politieke economie van de vergrijzing en het conflict tussen de generaties. In Brink, D. van den & Heemskerk, F. (eds), De Vergrijzing Leeft. Amsterdam: Bert Bakker.

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4. Professional Publications and products

Ewijk, C. van, Koning, M., Lever, M. & Mooij, R. (2006). Hervorming fiscale behandeling van de eigen woning. The Hague: CPB. Hoogduin, L.H. (2006). Lage rente en discontovoet, ESB. Hoogduin, L.H. (2006). Leve de vergrijzing en afnemende bevolkingsgroei. Financieel Dagblad Hoogduin, L.H. (2006, 28 August). Ageing and inflation. Vermeylen, K. (2006). Macro-economie Compendium. Studentensupport.nl Vermeylen, K. (2006). Macro-economie Opgavenboek. Studentensupport.nl

5. Other

Grants Den Haan, W.J. (2006) VICI scholarship from NWO . Ewijk, C. van (2006). Netspar grant for the programme The Macroeconomics of Pension Reforms (2007-2010) Jacobs, B. (2006). 2006 Raden van de Arbeidprijs for best contributions of a young academic to economic policy making in the Netherlands.

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2005

1. international academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Jensen, H. (2005). Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in a Micro-Founded Model of a Monetary Union. Journal of International Economics, 67, 320-352. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2005). Structural Distortions and Decentralised Fiscal Policies in EMU. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 37, 1001-1018. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Illing, G. (2005). Revival of Aggregate Demand Policies – Introduction. CESifo Economic Studies, 51, 497-509. Bovenberg, A.L. & Jacobs, B. (2005). Redistribution and education subsidies are Siamese twins. Journal of Public Economics, 89, 2005-2035. Carchedi, G. (2005). Sapiens nihil affirmat quod non probat. Review of Political Economy, 17, 127-139. Carchedi, G. (2004). On the Production of Knowledge. Research in Political Economy, 22, 267-304. Ellman, M. (2005). Transition: Intended and unintended processes. Comparative Economic Studies, 47, 595-614. Ellman, M. (2005). The role of leadership perceptions and of intent in the Soviet famine of 1931-34. Europe-Asia Studies, 57, 823-841. Ewijk, C. van (2005). Reform of occupational pensions in the Netherlands. De Economist, 153, 331-347. Giuliodori, M. (2005). The Role of House Prices in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Across European Countries. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 52, 519-543. Giuliodori, M. & Beetsma, R.M.W.J. (2005). What Are the Trade Spill-Overs from Fiscal Shocks in Europe? An Empirical Analysis. De Economist, 153, 167- 197. Jacobs, B. (2005). Optimal income taxation with endogenous human capital. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 7, 295-315. Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J. (2005). Innovation in the Netherlands: The market falters and the government fails. De Economist, 153, 107-124. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. (2005). Long Swings in Exchange Rates: Are They Really in the Data? Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 23, 87-95. Noailly, J., Waagmeester, D., Jacobs, B., Rensman, M. & Webbink, D. (2005). Scarcity of science and engineering students in the Netherlands. CPB Document 92. The Hague: CPB. Ploeg, F. van der (2005). Back to Keynes? CESifo Economic Studies, 51, 777-822. Schabert, A. (2005). Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks with Changes in Open Market Operations. European Economic Review, 49, 561-577. Vermeylen, K. (2005). Job Insecurity, Reallocation and Technological Innovation in a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy. Topics in Macroeconomics 5, Article 5.

Chapters Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Vermeylen, K. (2005). Clustering, Optimal Currency Areas, and Macroeconomic Policy. In Brakman, S. & Garretsen, J.H. (eds), Location and Competition. London: Routledge. Ellman, M. (2005). Perekohodnyi period: zaprogrammirovannye i nezaprogrammirovannye protsessy. In Semigin, G.Yu. (ed.), Reformy perekhodnogo perioda (pp. 9-36). Moscow: Institute of Comparative Political

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Science, Russian Academy of Sciences. Ellman, M. (2005). Golod v SSSR v 1947g v svete problemy “dostupa k prodovol’stviyu”. In Ekonomicheskaya istoriya: Ezhegodnik. 2005 (pp. 320- 363). Moscow: ROSSPEN. Ellman, M. (2005). Russian economic boom, post-1998. In Chowdary, N.V. (ed.), Economic crisis in Russia and Latin America. Issues and perspectives (pp. 155-168). Punjagutta Hyderabad India: ICFAI University Press. Ploeg, F. van der (2005). Macroeconomics of fiscal policy and government debt. In Gijsel, P. de & Schenk, H. (eds), Multidisciplinary Economics: The Birth of a New Economics Faculty in the Netherlands. Dordrecht: Springer. Ploeg, F. van der (2005). Culture and the creative economy. In Woerden, F. van & Neef, T. de (eds), All That Dutch – International Cultural Politics. Rotterdam: NAi Publishers. Veestraeten, D.J.M. (2005). Investigating Nonlinearities and Undeclared Narrow Zones in the Exchange Rate Mechanism. In Deville, V., Landesberger, J. von, Müller, M., Schobert, F. & Worms, A. (eds), Issues on Monetary Theory and Policy. Proceedings of a Colloquium in Honour of Wolfgang Gebauer (pp. 147-174). Frankfurt: Bankakademie Verlag.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Ewijk, C. van, Draper, N., Ven, M. van de & Westerhout, E. (2005). De macro- economische repercussies van pensioenstelsels. De Actuaris, 12, 20-22. Hoogduin, L.H. (2005). W.F. Duisenberg 1935 – 2005. Economisch Statistische Berichten. Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J. (2005). Naschrift: Kritiek Preadviezen Onterecht. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4451), 47. Jager, H. (2005). Het Europese integratieproces: een stabiliteitsbrug te ver? Kwartaalschrift Economie, 2, 342-344.

Books Ewijk, C. van (et al.) (2005). Jaarboek 2004/2005 Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Utrecht: Lemma.

Chapters Ewijk, C. van (2005). Leven-lang-leren loont, Dies Rede Open Universiteit. In Open Universiteit Redes (pp. 21-30). Heerlen: Open Universiteit. Ewijk, C. van (2005). Pensioenen en de arbeidsmarkt, in Bauer, R. et al. (red.), Vergezichten; over beleggen, pensioenen en toezicht (pp. 27-30). Heerlen: ABP. Ewijk, C. van & Kooiman, P. (2005). Langer werken voor het pensioen. In Kogels, H. (ed.), Toekomstvoorzieningen in een nieuw perspectief (pp. 13-30). Den Haag: Sdu publishers.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Horen, N. van (2005, 9 September). Economic Effects of Financial Integration for Developing Countries. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. H. Jager, co-promotor Prof.dr. C.A.M.F. Claessens]. Lorié, J.A. (2005, 7 April). International tax differences and real exchange rate changes in an integrated financial market. A welfare analysis of the European

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Union. [promotor Prof.dr. H. Jager].

4. Professional Publications and products

Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Thio, K.B.T. (2005). Na het zuur het zoet, of meer zuur? Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 37, 206-211. Ellman, M. (2005). Golod 1947g v SSSR. Ekonomicheskaya istoriya. Obozrenie, 10, 197-199. Moscow: Moscow State University. Ellman, M. (2005). Vitte, Mironov i oshibochnoe ispol’zovanie antropometricheskikh dannykh. Ekonomicheskaya istoriya. Obozrenie, 11, 159-166. Moscow: Moscow State University. Ewijk, C. van (2005). Reforming unemployment compensation in order to stimulate labor force participation. Fondation pour l' innovation politique, Paris. Newsletter, 11, 10-11. Ewijk, C. van (2005). Bespreking VWO examen Economie 1,2 in Wetenschappers over het VWO examen 2005. Kennisnet, Zoetermeer. Geelhoed, J. & Schouwstra, M. (2005). Krachtige overheid begint met heldere taal. Openbaar Bestuur 8, 2-5. Hoogduin, L.H. (2005). Een kans voor open doel? Safe. Hoogduin, L.H. (2005). Die Europeäische Zentralbank in Bewegung. Der Fonds. Hoogduin, L.H. (2005). The Euro: Achievements and Challenges. JPE. Hoogduin, L.H. (2005). W.F. Duisenberg 1935 – 2005. Rostra Economica. Jacobs, B. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2005). Kenniseconomie, menselijk kapitaal, herverdeling en overheidsbeleid. Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 37, 3- 22.

5. Other

Grants Jacobs B. (2005). Jean Monet Fellowship, European University Institute Florence.

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Jensen, H. (2004). Mark-up Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy Stabilization in a Monetary Union. Journal of Macroeconomics, 26, 357-376. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. &. Debrun, X. (2004). Reconciling Stability and Growth: Smart Pacts and Structural Reforms. IMF Staff Papers, 51, 431-456. Ellman, M. (2004). Soviet industrialization: A remarkable success? Slavic Review, 63, 841-849. Ewijk, C. van & Tang, P.J.G. (2004) Going back to comparing apples and oranges? Reply to Piet de Vries. De Economist, 152, 455-446. Giuliodori, M. (2004). Nominal Shocks and the Current Account: a Structural VAR Analysis of 14-OECD Countries. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv/Review of World Economics. Jepma, C.J. & Gaast, W.P. van der (2004). Streamlining JI and CDM Accounting Procedures Through a Multi-Project Approach. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 9, (2), 97-102. Klaassen, F. (2004). Why is it so Difficult to Find an Effect of Exchange Rate Risk on Trade? Journal of International Money and Finance, 23, 817-839. Levy Yeyati, E., Schmukler, S.L. & Horen, N. van (2004). The price of inconvertible deposits: the stock market boom during the Argentine Crisis. Economics Letters, 83, 7-13. Ploeg, F. van der (2004). Beyond the dogma of the fixed book price agreement. Journal of Cultural Economics, 28, (1), 1-20. Schabert, A. & L. Linnemann (2004). Can Fiscal Spending Stimulate Private Consumption? Economics Letters, 82, 173-179. Schabert, A. (2004). Interactions between Monetary and Fiscal Policy via Open Market Operations. Economic Journal, 114, C186-C206. Veestraeten, D.J.M. (2004). The conditional probability density function for a reflected Brownian motion. Computational Economics, 24, 185-207. Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2004). Competition in the Dutch Health Care System. Revue Économie Publique, 14, 47-54.

Chapters Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Debrun, X. (2004). The Interaction between Monetary and Fiscal Policies in a Monetary Union: a Review of Recent Literature. In Beetsma, R. (et al.) (eds.), Fiscal Policies, Monetary Policies and Labour Markets. Key Aspects of European Macroeconomic Policymaking after Monetary Unification (pp. 91-133). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. Eid Jr., W. & Ribeiro, M.P. (2004). Fatos e Lendas da Privatização. [Facts and Legends about the Privatization]. In Wood Jr., T. (ed.), Gestão Empresarial: Finanças – volume 1 (chapter 6). São Paulo: Editora Vivali. Ellman, M. (2004). Administration for Organised Recruitment, Aganbegyan, Barsov, Civic Union, Economic Reform Commission, Scientific Socialism, Zasulich. In Millar, J. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Russian History (pp. 8-9, 14-15, 124-125, 264- 265, 431-432, 1354-1356, 1720-1721). New York: Macmillan Reference. Ploeg, F. van der (2004). Role of employers in transforming disability into ability: Learning from Dutch Mistakes. In Marin, B., Prinz C. & Queisser, M. (eds), Transforming Disability into Ability (pp. 341-348). Ashgate: Aldershot.

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2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Ellman, M. (2004). Transitie: bedoelde en onbedoelde resultaten. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 25, 24-50. Jepma, C.J. & Kuipers, J.P. (2004). Vennootschapsbelasting: effectiviteit verlaging twijfelachtig. ESB, 89, (4436), 294-295.

Chapters Ewijk, C. van (2004). Vergrijzing, een financieel èn verdelingsprobleem. In Kuné, J.B. (ed.), Leven in een ouder wordende samenleving (pp. 47-64). Den Haag: Sdu publishers.

4. Professional Publications and products

Catalán Aravena, O.O. (2004, February). Naar de hervorming van de hervormingen in Latijns Amerika. Advisory Report for the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The Hague. Carchedi, G. (2004). Competizione per Blocchi e Class Transnazionali. Proteo, January-April, 112-119. Ellman, M. (2004). The economic implications of current Russian demographics. Judge Institute of Management, Cambridge University. In Global Business Colloquia Proceedings (pp. 71-77). Cambridge. Ellman, M. (2004). Russian economic boom, post-1998: Illusion, miracle or recovery? Economic and Political Weekly, XXXIX, 3234-3237. Ellman, M. (2004). Review of Haynes, M. & Husan, R. A century of state murder? Death and policy in twentieth century Russia. In Reviews in History (387). Posted 29 June with reply. Ewijk, C. van (2004). Maastricht voorbij: economische aspecten van vergrijzing in Europa. In Ewijk, C. van (et al.) (eds), Vergrijzing als uitdaging (pp. 7-20). Den Haag: SMO. Jepma, C.J. (2004). Hydra: aantasting van leveringszekerheid. Paterswolde. Jepma, C.J. (2004). Complicated Additionality. Joint Implementation Quarterly, 10, (1), 1. Jepma, C.J. (2004). Tip of the Iceberg. Joint Implementation Quarterly, 10, (2), 1. Jepma, C.J. (2004). Post Kyoto. Joint Implementation Quarterly, 10, (3), 1. Jepma, C.J. (2004). Fuel switch underrated. Joint Implementation Quarterly, 10, (4), 1.

5. Other

Grants, prizes and honours Ellman, M. (2004). Appointed to Visiting Fellowship at Fitzwilliam College, Cambridge for October-December 2005. Ewijk, C. van (2004, July). European Science Foundation/ NWO grant on research proposal Homeownership, Commuting and Labour Mobility, (Postdoc 0.3 for 2 years.)

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Aidis, R. (2003). Officially despised yet tolerated: Open-air markets and entrepreneurship in post-socialist economies. Post-Communist Economies, 15, 461-473. Aidis, R. (2003). Female small and medium-sized enterprise ownership in Lithuania: A comparison. Journal of Baltic Studies, 14, 332-353. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Bartelsman, E.J. (2003). Why Pay More? Tax Avoidance through Transfer Pricing in the OECD. Journal of Public Economics, 87, 2225- 2252. Beetsma, R.M.W.J., Bettendorf, L. & Broer, P. (2003). The Budgetary and Economic Consequences of Ageing in the Netherlands. Economic Modelling, 20, 987- 1013. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2003). Inflation Targets and Public Debt Accumulation, European Journal of Political Economy, 19, 1-15. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Jensen, H. (2003). Why Money Talks and Wealth Whispers: Monetary Uncertainty and Mystique. A Comment. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 35, 129-136. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Jensen, H. (2003). Structural Convergence under Reversible and Irreversible Monetary Unification. Journal of International Money and Finance, 22, 417-439. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Jensen, H. (2003). Contingent Deficit Sanctions and Moral Hazard with a Stability Pact. Journal of International Economics, 60, 187-208. Dewachter, H., Maes, K. & Smedts, K. (2003). Monetary Unification and the Price of Risk: an Unconditional Analysis. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 139, 276-305. Ellman, M. (2003). The Soviet 1937-1938 Provincial Show Trials Revisited. Europe- Asia Studies, 55, 1121-1137. Ewijk, C. van & Tang, P. (2003). How to price the risk of public investment? De Economist, 151, 317-328. Fase, M. & Abma, R.C.N. (2003). Financial environment and economic growth in selected Asian countries? Journal of Asian Economics, 14, 11-21. Jepma, C.J. (2003). The EU emissions trading scheme (ETS): how linked to JI/CDM? Climate Policy, 3, 89-94. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R. (2003). Forecasting the Winner of a Tennis Match. European Journal of Operational Research, 148, 257-267. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R. (2003). On the probability of winning a tennis match. Medicine and Science in Tennis, 8, 10-11.

Books, Monographs Jepma, C.J., Jager, H. & Kamphuis, E. (2003). Introduction to International Economics. Pearson Education Longman, UK. (second edition).

Chapters Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Vermeylen, K. (2003). Clustering, Optimale Valutagebieden en Macro-Economisch Beleid. In Brakman, S. & Garretsen, J.H. (eds), Locatie en Concurrentie, Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde, Preadviezen 2003. Carchedi, M. (2003). Il valore e l’imperialismo: sono ancora attuali per un’analisi del capitalismo contemporaneo? In Vasapollo, L. (ed), Il piano inclinato del capitale, Crisi, Competizione globale e guerre (pp. 57-65). Milan: Jaca Books.

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Draper, N., Ewijk, C. van, Rele, H.J.M. ter & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2003). Vergrijzing, een financieel en verdelingsprobleem. In Kuné, J. (ed), Leven in een ouder wordende samenleving; generatiebewust vooruitzien in de 21e eeuw. Ellman, M. (2003). Expectations and reality: Reflections on a decade of agricultural transformation. In Spoor. M. (ed), Transition, Institutions, and the Rural Sector (pp. 1-3). Lanham, MD, USA: Lexington. Ellman, M. (2003). Transition economies. In Chang, H.J. (ed), Rethinking development economics (pp.179-198). London: Anthem. Ewijk, C. van (2003). Ageing and public finances. In Gross, D. (ed.), The Broad Economic Policy Guidelines (pp. 56-66). Brussels: CEPS. Jepma, C.J. & Bandsma, J. (2003). Policies and measures in international climate policy: price vs. quantity. In Ierland, E.C. van, Gupta, J. & Kok, M.T.J. (eds), Issues in International Climate policy, Theory and Policy (97-114). Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R. (2003). Forecasting in Tennis. In Miller, S. (ed.), Tennis Science & Technology 2 (pp. 333-340). London: International Tennis Federation. Wijnbergen, S. van & Budina, N. (2002). Guarantees as Options: An Evaluation of Foreign Debt Restructuring Agreements. In Polackova Brixi, H., Schick, A. & Wijnbergen, S. van (eds), Government at Risk: Contingent Liabilities and Fiscal Risk (pp. 419-450). Oxford University Press.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Ewijk, C. van, Jacobs, B., Mooij, R. de & Tang, P. (2003). Tien doelmatigheidsargumenten voor een progressieve loon- en inkomstenbelasting. Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 35, 30-35. Ewijk, C. van (2003). Nieuw pensioenakkoord nodig. ESB, 88, 77-79. Fase, M.M.G. (2003). Monetaire politiek van Nederland sinds de val van de gouden standaard. Jaarboek voor Munt- en Penningkunde, 87, 23-28. Jepma, C.J. & Kamphuis, E. (2003). De Doha-ronde: vrijhandel van arbeid? ESB, 88, 490-492. Jepma, C.J. & van der Gaast, W.P. (2003). Efficiënte allocatie Kyoto-projecten lastig. ESB, 88, 569-573. Maes, K. (2003). Book review of Mundell, R.A. & Zak, P.J. (eds) (2002). Monetary stability and economic growth: a dialog between leading economists. Edward Elgar. ISBN 1840649984. In Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management. Maes, K. (2003). Book review of Bernholz, P. Monetary regimes and inflation: History, economic and political relationships. In Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management. Maes, K. (2003). Book review of Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Lemmen, J.J.G. (eds), International Financial Integration, Volume 1 and 2. The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, 156. In Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management. Plasmeijer, H.W. & Thio, K.B.T. (2003). Hedendaagse geschiedschrijving – bij 25 jaar Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 25, 3-10. Rele, H. ter & Westerhout, E. (2003). Schuldfinanciering van overheidsuitgaven? Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 4, 158-167.

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3. Ph.D. Theses

Aidis, R. (2003, 14 May). By law and by custom: Factors affecting small and medium- sized enterprises during the transition in Lithuania. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr.M.J.Ellman]. Cavelaars, P. (2003, 8 April). European Integration, Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Behaviour. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. R.M.W.J. Beetsma]. Horst, A. van der (2003, 13 February). Government interference in a dynamic economy. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr.B.J. Heijdra].

4. Professional Publications and products

Aidis, R. (2003). Fenn website biedt informatie aan een bredere publiek. FENN-Mail, 8, (1), 9. Bekkers, E. & Westerhout, E. (2003). Public Debt and Pension Wealth – No Siamese Twins. CPB Report, 4. Carchedi, M. (2003). Il decline dello stato Keynesiano. Proteo, 148-152. Carchedi, M. (2003). Marx y las Pyrámides. Quadernos del Sur, 36, 57-81. Carchedi, M. (2003). A Note on Chris Arthur’s ‘Dialectics of negativity’. Capital and Class, 81, 25-31. Carchedi, M. (2003). Os fabricantes de armas buscan clients. Nosa Terra, 13-19 February. Ellman, M. (2003). Review of Dmitriev, V. Kriticheskie issledovaniya o potreblenii alkogola v Rossii. In Economic Journal, 113, F202-F203. Ellman, M. (2003). Review of Gimpelson, V. & Lippoldt, D. The Russian labour market. In International Review of Social History, 48, 121-122.

Ellman, M. (2003). Russian mortality. Johnson’s Russia List, 7066, 18 February. Jepma, C.J. (2003). (ed.), Procedures for Accounting and Baselines for JI and CDM projects, PROBASE, final report on research for the EU Fifth Framework Programme, DG Research, sub-programme “Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development”. Paterswolde, The Netherlands (175 p.). Jepma, C.J. (2003). Sustainable Forest Managemenet Certificates and the Biodiversity Aspects, Puits de Carbone & Biodiversité, International Conference under the Belgium Presidency of the EU, 2003. Travaux, 26, 109- 22. Jongen, E. & Westerhout, E. (2003). Institutions Breaking the Law. CPB Report, 4. Rele, H. ter & Westerhout, E. (2003). Does an Increase of Public Expenditure Justify Slower Debt Reduction? CPB Report, 1, 27-34.

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2002

1. International academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J., Debrun, X. & Klaassen, F.J.G.M. (2001). Is Fiscal Policy Co- ordination in EMU Desirable? Swedish Economic Policy Review, 8, 57-98. Botman, D.P.J. & Jager, H. (2002). Co-ordination of speculation. Journal of International Economics, 58, 159-175. Ellman, M. (2002). Soviet repression statistics: Some comments. Europe-Asia Studies, 54, 1151-1172. Ellman, M. (2002). Was the collapse of the USSR entirely unforeseen? Perspectives on Political Science, 31, 132-135. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Inflation differentials and their convergence in EMU. De Economist, 150, 211-217. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. (2002). Improving GARCH Volatility Forecasts with Regime- Switching GARCH. Empirical Economics, 27, 363-394. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R. (2002). Some Properties of a Generalized Two- Error Components Matrix, solution of problem 01.5.1. Econometric Theory, 18, 1274-1275. Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2002). The Capital Tax and Welfare Effects from Asymmetric Information on Equity Markets. International Tax and Public Finance, 9, 219- 233.

Chapters Jepma, C.J. & Bandsma, J. (2002). Policies and measures in international climate policy: Price v. Quantity. In Ierland, E. van, Gupta, J. & Kok, M. (eds), Issues in International Climate Policy. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishers. Klaassen, F. (2002). Improving GARCH Volatility Forecasts with Regime-Switching GARCH. In Hamilton, J.D. & Raj, B. (eds), Advances in Markov-Switching Models (pp. 223-254). Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. Prast, H.M. (2002). Herding in Financial Markets: a role for psychology in explaining investor behaviour? In Wilmott, P. & Rasmussen, H. (eds), New Directions in Mathematical Finance, New York: John Wiley.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Thio, K.B.T. (2002). Macro-economisch beleid op gespannen voet met economische rationaliteit. Openbare Uitgaven, 34, (5), 266-271 Besseling, P., Bovenberg, A.L. & Ewijk, van C. (2001). Donner onder de loep. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, 86. Also appeared in Bovenberg, A.L. (ed.) (2002). Jaarboek KVS, 2001, (pp. 823-825). Catalán Aravena, O.O. & Jager, H. (2002). Economische groei en volatiliteit in het Chileense liberalisatiemodel. Maandschrift Economie, 66, 495-509. Ewijk, C. van, Mooij, R. de & Tang, P. (2002). Dom stabiliteitspact. Economisch- Statistische Berichten, 87, 780-782. Ewijk, C. van (2002). Maastricht voorbij: Economische aspecten van vergrijzing in Europa. Bevolking en Gezin, 35-51. Ewijk, C. van, Rele, H. Ter & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2002). Reactie op Thio’s naschrift. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, Website: www.economie.nl Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Tijd is geld: de monetaire opbrengst van uurwerken.

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Maandschrift Economie, 66, 286-295. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Geld en maatschappij. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Economie, 24, 22-38. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Muntillusie. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, 87, 410-411. Jager, H. (2002). Globalisering en armoede. Maandschrift Economie, 66, 171-174. Jongen, E. & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2002). Onbetaalde arbeid in de beleidsvoorbereiding, reader Integratie van onbetaalde arbeid in de sociaal- economische beleidsvoorbereiding, Ministerie van Sociale Zaken en Werkgelegenheid. Knaack, R.K. & Jager, H. (2002). De relevantie van institutionele economie voor economische transitie en ontwikkeling. Maandschrift Economie, 66, 476-494. Thio, K.B.T. (2002). Aflossen staatsschuld is niet nodig. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, 87, 48-50. Thio, K.B.T. (2002). Naschrift bij Ewijk, C. van & Ter Rele, H. & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, Website: www.economie.nl .

Chapters Fase, M.M.G. & Mooij, J. (2002). Het samenspel tussen het bankwezen in het Hollands Noorderkwartier en de Nederlandsche Bank 1865-1997. In NEHA- Jaarboek voor economische, bedrijfs- en techniekgeschiedenis, 65 (pp. 143- 168). NEHA.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Berkum, S. van (2002, 4 June). Trade and foreign direct investment patterns: the case of Dutch agribusiness. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr. mr. C.J. Jepma]. Daal, W.H. (2002, 18 October). A term structure model of interest rates and forward premia: on alternative monetary approach. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr. M.M.G. Fase]. Gerxhani, K. (2002, 17 January). The informal sector in transition: Tax evasion in an institutional vacuum. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr.M.J.Ellman]. Jacobs, B. (2002, 14 May). Public Finance and Human Capital. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr. C.van Ewijk]. Langen, F. de (2002, 27 June). The Business Cycle: Dynamical Coupling and Chaotic Fluctuations. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr. C.van Ewijk]. Moers, L. (2002, 10 January). Institutions, Economic Performance and Transition. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr.M.J.Ellman; Co-Promotor dr.R.Knaack]. Siemons, R. (2002, 15 October). A Development Perspective for Biomassfuelled Electricity Generation Technologies: Economic technology assessment in view of sustainability. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr. mr. C.J. Jepma]. Veestraeten, D.J.M. (2002, 18 April). Asset Price Dynamics under Announced Policy Switching. Katholieke Universiteit van Leuven. [Promotor dr. H. Dewachter]

4. Professional publications and products

Aidis, R. (2002). Litouwen op weg naar Europa, Oost-Europa Verkenningen, 29-43. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. (2002). Is Fiscal Policy Co-ordination in EMU Desirable?

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Aelementair, 2, 8-9. Donker, M.A. & Prast, H.M. (2002). Bankwezen en toezicht in Nederland van 1814 tot heden. Onderneming & Financiering, 20-24. Eatwell, J., Ellman, M., Karlsson, M., Nuti, D.M., & Shapiro, J. (2002). Pehme riik,karm eelarve. Tallinn: Moodukad. Ellman, M. (2002). Book review of Jansen, M. & Petrov, P. (2002). Stalin’s loyal executioner: People’s Commissar Nikolai Ezhov 1895-1940. Stanford CA. In Europe-Asia Studies, 54, 1352-1353. Ellman, M. (2002). Russia’s mortality rises again. Johnson’s Russia List, 6392, 10- 11. Ellman, M. (2001). Pensioenhervorming in Midden en Oost-Europa: vergrijzing of transitie? Bevolking en Gezin, 30, (2), 53-65. Ewijk, C. van & Ven, M. van de (2002). Pensioenvermogen vanuit macro-economisch perspectief. In Preadviezen van de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde 2002. Amsterdam: KVS. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Folkert de Roos, 3 september 1920-12 juli 2000. In KNAW Levensberichten en herdenkingen 2002 (pp. 95-100). Amsterdam: KNAW. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Van droom naar daad: veertig jaar monetaire economie in vogelvlucht. Amsterdam: Vossiuspers UvA. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Dankers, J. Van der Linden & Vos, J. (2001) Spaarbanken in Nederland: ideeën en organisatie, 1817-1990. Amsterdam: Boom. In Bijdragen en Mededelingen betreffende de Geschiedenis der Nederlanden, 117, 214-215. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Jonker, J. & Sluyterman, K. (2000) Thuis op de wereldmarkt: Nederlandse handelshuizen door de eeuwen heen. Den Haag: Sdu. Bijdragen en Mededelingen betreffende de Geschiedenis der Nederlanden 117, 242-244. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Lietaer, B.A. (2001). Het geld van de toekomst: een nieuwe visie op welzijn, werk en een humanere wereld. Amsterdam: Forum. In Het Financiëele Dagblad, 11 mei, 25. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Modigliani, F. (2001). Adventures of an economist. New York: Texere. In De Economist, 150, 613-614. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Alders, G. & Eksters (2002). De nazi-roof van 146 duizend kilo goud bij de Nederlandsche Bank. Amsterdam: Boom. In Bijdragen en Mededelingen betreffende de Geschiedenis der Nederlanden, 117. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Neederveen, E. Van & Peet, J. (2002). Een peertje voor de dorst: geschiedenis van het Philips Pensioenfonds. Amsterdam: Askant. In Het Financieële Dagblad, 17 augustus, 20. Fase, M.M.G. (2002). Book review of Wytzes, H.C. (2002). En het geld verantwoordt alles: een financiële geschiedenis van het Koninkrijk der Nederlanden. Amsterdam: VU Uitgeverij. In NEHA bulletin, 16 (2), 109-110. (Also appeared in Het Financieële Dagblad, 23 november 2002, 22.) Prast, H.M. (2002). In the Lap of the Gods. Wilmott Magazine, September 2002, John Wiley Publishers. Prast, H.M. (2002). Geld en Gevoel, Over Emoties, Economie en Ethiek. Contact/Het Financieële Dagblad, februari 2002. Prast, H.M. (2002). Een halve eeuw bankentoezicht. DNB magazine, 22-25 Prast, H.M. (2002). Over kuddegedrag en zelfoverschatting…. The Financial Analyst, 48-51 Prast, H.M. (2002). De Euro een jaar later. Het Financieële Dagblad, 28 december. Thio, K.B.T. (2002). Aflossen staatsschuld is ongefundeerd. AElementair, 1, (2), 12- 15.

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5. Other

Grants Beetsma, R.M.W.J. (2002, November). RTN (European Commission) grant on research proposal “Macroeconomic Policy Design for Monetary Unions”.

Awards Aidis, R.K. (2002). Winner of Best Paper award for presentation at RENT (=Research in Entrepreneurship and Small Business) XVI conference, Barcelona, Spain, for Officially despised yet tolerated: Open-air markets and entrepreneurship in post-socialist economies.

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2001). When Does an Inflation Target Yield the First Best? Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 103, (1), 119-126. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2001). The Optimality of a Monetary Union without a Fiscal Union. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 33, (2), 179- 204. Beetsma, R.M.W.J. & Schotman, P.C. (2001). Measuring Risk Attitudes in a Natural Experiment: Data from the Television Game Show LINGO. Economic Journal, 111, (474), 821-848. Bezemer, D. (2001). Post-socialist financial fragility: the case of Albania. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 25, 1-23. Carchedi, G. (2001). On temporality, simultaneity, and TSS: a Reply to Laibman. Science and Society, 65, (4), 509-515. Carchedi, G. (2001). Il Trattato di Nizza. Alternative/i,1. March, 139-142 Carchedi, G. (2001). Il problema inesistente. Proteo. September, 69-72 Catalán Aravena, O.O. (2001). Globalización y ajuste estructural en Nicaragua. Revista Encuentro, Universidad Centro Americana, XXXIII, (59), 42-57. Dewachter, H. & Veestraeten, D. (2001). Measuring convergence speed of asset prices toward a preannounced target. Applied Financial Economics, 11, (6), 591-601. Ellman, M. (2001). The Soviet 1937 Provincial Show Trials: Carnival or terror? Europe-Asia Studies, 53, 1221-1233. Ellman, M. (2001). The road from Il’ich to Il’ich: the life and times of Anastas Ivanovich Mikoian. Slavic Review, 60, 140-150. Ewijk, C. van (2001). Beyond Maastricht. De Economist, 149, 509-522. Fase, M.M.G. & Tieman, A.F. (2001). Wage moderation, innovation and labour productivity: myths and facts revisited. De Economist, 149, 115-127. Fase, M.M.G. & Folkertsma, C.K. (2001). Measuring inflations: testing Carl Menger's concept of the inner value of money. Kredit und Kapital, 34, 197-222. Fase, M.M.G. & Palm, F.C. (2001). Measurement of inflation for monetary policy: introduction. De Economist, 149, 401-403. Grogan, L. & Moers, L. (2001). Growth empirics with institutional measures for transition countries. Economic Systems, 25, (4), 37-58. Hek, P.A. de & Roy, S. (2001). On Sustained Growth under Uncertainty. International Economic Review, 42, 801-813. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R. (2001). Are Points in Tennis Independent and Identically Distributed? Evidence from a Dynamic Binary Panel Data Model. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 96, 500-509. Klaassen, F.J.G.M. & Magnus, J.R. (2001). Some Properties of a Generalized Two- Error Components Matrix, problem 01.5.1. Econometric Theory, 17, 1025. Prast, H.M. (2001). Financial Stability and Efficiency in the Twentieth Century: the Netherlands. The Journal of European Economic History, 185-213. Prast, H.M. (2001). The Herding Mentality. Wilmott-Financial Markets. News, Analysis and Technology, May, 34-37. Prast, H.M. & Vor, M. de (2001). Investor Reactions to News: An Analysis of the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate. Research Series Supervision 38, July, De Nederlandsche Bank. Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2001). Disability Risk, Disability Benefits, and Equilibrium Unemployment. International Tax and Public Finance, 8, 219-243.

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Wijnbergen, S. van & Budina, N. (2001). Inflation Stabilization, Fiscal Deficits, and Public Debt Management in Poland. Journal of Comparative Economics, 29, (2), 293-309.

Books, Monographs Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Investments in painting: the interaction between monetary returns and psychic income. SUERF Studies, 13. 72 pages.

Chapters Beetsma, R.M.W.J. (2001). Does EMU Need a Stability Pact? In Brunila, A., Buti, M. & Franco, D. (eds), The Stability and Growth Pact: The Architecture of Fiscal Policy in EMU (pp. 23-52). Palgrave. Carchedi, G. (2001). For Another Europe. A Class Analysis of European Economic Integration. London:Verso. Ellman, M. (2001). Chapter in 下斗米, 伸夫 (Shimotomai, Nobuo) (ed.) ロシア変動の構図: エリツィンからプーチンへ (Roshia hendō no kōzu eritsuin kara pūchin e) ISBN4-588- 62203-X (pp. 39-62). Tokyo: Hosei University Press. Ellman, M. (2001). Teoriya mirovoi sistemy: novyi podkhod k globalistike. Vestnik sanktpeterburgskogouniversiteta Seriya 5 Ekonomika, (3), 45-52. Ewijk, C. van, Mooij, R. de & Cnossen, S. (2001). European tax co-ordination in the 21st century. In Kuper, G.H., Sterken, E. & Wester, E. (eds), Co-ordination and growth (pp. 1127-130). Kluwer Academic Publishers. Ewijk, C. van (2001). Growing older. In Klok, H. et al. (eds), Economologues, Liber Amicorum voor Theo van de Klundert (pp. 79-84). Tilburg: Press. Fase, M.M.G. (2000). Financial intermediation and long-run economic growth in the Netherlands between 1900-2000. In Klok, H., Schaik, T. van & Smulders, S. (eds), Economologues (pp. 85-98). Tilburg: Tilburg University Press. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Monetary policy rules for EMU. In Kuper, G.H., Sterken, E. & Wester, E. (eds), Co-ordination and Growth (pp. 181-198). Boston etc.: Kluwer Academic Publishers. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Taxation, banknotes and the shadow economy. In Albregtse, D.A., Bovenberg, A.L. & Stevens, L.G.M. (eds), Er zal geheven worden (pp. 115-125). Deventer: Kluwer. Jepma, C.J. et al. (2001). Policies, Measures, and Instruments. In IPCC, 2001. Climate Change 2001: Mitigation, Contribution of WGIII to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC (pp. 399-450). MA, USA: Cambridge University Press. Prast, H.M. (2001). The Emotional Investor. In Jenks, Ph. & Eckett, S. (eds), The Book of Investing Rules (pp. 349-351). London: Harriman House Ltd Publishers. Prast, H.M. & Vor, M. de (2001). News filtering, financial instability and the Euro, in Marrying the macro- and microdimensions of financial stability. Conference Proceedings, Bank for International Settlements papers No 1 (pp. 301-310). Monetary and Economic Department, Basel, March. Prast, H.M. (2001). Stabilità ed efficienza nel XX secolo: i Paesi Bassi. In De Rosa, L. (ed.), Sistemi Bancari e Finanziari Internazionali, evoluzione e stabilità (pp. 295-323). Roma/Bari: Editori Laterza.

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2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Jager, H. & Pauli, R. (2001). Anti-inflatoir wisselkoersbeleid via een currency board; de Walters kritiek doorbroken? Maandschrift Economie, 65, 466-496. Knaack, R. (2001). De crisis van de Tsjechische economie. Tijdschrift voor economie en management XLVI, (2), 81-108. Kort, J. de & Scharrenborg, R. (2001). Het IMF en Rusland, een moeizame verhouding. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 23, (2), 85-101.

Books, monographs Prast, H.M. & Bikker, J. (2001). Doelmatigheid en rechtvaardigheid van de depositoverzekering. Onderzoeksreeks Toezicht 40, december. De Nederlandsche Bank.

Chapters Ewijk, C. van (2001). Zondagskind of wonderkind? De economie van zeven jaar paars. In Becker, F. et al. (eds), Zeven jaar paars, 22ste jaarboek voor democratisch socialisme (pp. 79-100). Amsterdam: Arbeiderspers. Ewijk, C. van (2001). Loonbeleid tussen flexibiliteit en solidariteit. In Catz, F. et al. (eds), Ruimte voor de CAO. FNV Jaarboek 2000/2001 (pp. 55-58). Amsterdam: FNV. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). H. den Hartog: econoom 1934-1992. In Gabriëls, A.J.C.M. (ed.), Biografisch Woordenboek voor Nederland deel V (pp. 170-172). 's- Gravenhage: Instituut voor Nederlandse Geschiedenis. Fase, M.M.G. & Mooij, J. (2001). De Nederlandsche Bank in Leiden 1865-1969: een antwoord op het wisselende economische tij. In Vereniging Oud Leiden (ed.), Leids Jaarboekje (pp. 91-118). Leiden: Vereniging Oud Leiden. Jager, H. (2001). Wát sterke Euro?! In Bovenberg, A.L. et al. (eds), Jaarboek 2000/2001 Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Utrecht: Lemma. Wellink, A.H.E.M. & Cavelaars, P.A.D. (2001). De ontwikkeling van de Nederlandse economie: zijn de polderinstituties klaar voor de toekomst? In Kremers, J.J.M., Sinderen, J. van & Gradus, R. (eds), Nederland kennisland? Groningen: Stenfert Kroese. Westerhout, E.W.M.T., Douven, R. & Folmer, C. (2001). Een macromodel voor de gezondheidszorg. In Lapré, R., Rutten, F. & Schut, F.T. (eds), Algemene economie van de gezondheidszorg (pp.247-272). Elsevier.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Bezemer, D.J. (2001, 16 October). Structural change in the post-socialist transformation of central European agriculture. Studies from the Czech and Slovak republics. [Promotor Prof.dr. M.Ellman]. Botman, D.P.J. (2001, 10 October). Globalization, heterogeneity, and imperfect information. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor Prof.dr. H. Jager]. Junz, H.B. (2001, 8 May). Where did all the money go? [Promotor Prof.dr. M.M.G. Fase]. Laeven, L.A.H. (2001, 18 September). Essays on financial intermediation in developing countries [Promotor Prof.dr. S.J.G. van Wijnbergen]. Tang, P. (2001, 29 March). Essays on Economic Growth and Imperfect Markets. [Promotor Prof.dr. C. van Ewijk, Co-promotor Dr. F. van der Ploeg].

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4. Professional publications and products

Bezemer, D. & Davis, J. (2001). Non-farm activities for the post-socialist rural economy of the Balkans. Background paper for the project ‘Characterisation and analysis of the non-farm rural sector in transition economies’ undertaken by theWorld Bank and the UK Department for International Development. Cavelaars, P.A.D. (2001). Monetary policy and competition policy in a two-country, two-sector model. DNB Staff Reports, 69. De Nederlandsche Bank. Cavelaars, P.A.D. (2001). International trade costs, home bias and Europe’s Single Market. MEB series, 12. De Nederlandsche Bank. Douven, R., Mot, E. & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2001). Gereguleerde concurrentie, te mooi om waar te zijn? Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, D23-D25. Eatwell, J., Ellman, M., Karlsson, M., Nuti, D.M. & Shapiro, J. (2001). Tv’rdi byudzheti – slabi d’rzhavi. Sofia: Institute for Historical and Political Studies. Ellman, M. (2001). Book review of Aslund, A. & Menil, G. de (eds) (2000). Economic reform in Ukraine: The unfinished agenda. New York. In Europe-Asia Studies, 53, (5), 798-799. Ellman, M. (2001). Book review of Zon, H. van (ed.), The political economy of independent Ukraine. Basingstoke & New York. In Europe-Asia Studies, 53, (6), 959-961. Ewijk, C. van, Besseling, P. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2001). Donner onder de loep. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, 823-825. Ewijk, C. van & Leuvenstijn, M. van (2001). De woningmarkt in de val. Openbaar Bestuur, September, 30-32. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Strouse, J. (1999). Morgan: American financier. New York: Random House. In Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4306), 373- 374. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Martin, J.S. (2000). Greenspan: the man behind money. Cambridge Mass.: Perseus Publ. In Economisch Statistische Berichten 86, (4320), 680-681. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Garber, P.M. (2000). Famous first bubbles: the fundamentals of early manias. Cambridge NA/Londen UK: MIT Press. In De Economist, 149, 134-136. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Frey, B.S. (2000). Arts & economics: analysis and cultural policy. Berlijn/Heidelberg/New York: Springer. In Kyklos, 43. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Ferguson, N. (1998). The house of Rothschild: money's prophets 1798-1848. New York: Viking. In De Economist, 149, 253- 254. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Ferguson, N. (1999). The house of Rothschild: the world's banker 1849-1999. New York: Viking. In De Economist, 149, 253-254. Fase, M.M.G. (2001). Review of Throsby, D. (2001). Economics and Culture. Cambridge. In De Economist, 149, 527-528. George, S., Lundback, E., Moers, L., Merlino, A., Poirson, H. & Schiff, J. (2001). Labor markets in Hard-peg accession countries: the Baltics and Bulgaria. IMF Country Report 01/100. Washington DC: IMF. Jongen, E., Kuipers, B. & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2001). Parental Leave. CPB Report 2001/2, Centraal Planbureau, Den Haag. Jepma, C.J. (2001). Gas onder druk. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, 86, (4323), 704-707. Kamphuis, E. & Jepma, C.J. (2001). TRIPs en de geneesmiddelenvoorziening in ontwikkelingslanden. Economisch-Statistische Berichten, 86, 7 december, 490-492. Mooij, R.A. de & Westerhout, E.W.M.T. (2001). MIMICing Tax Policies and the

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Labour Market. Workshop report, CPB Report 2001/4, Centraal Planbureau, Den Haag. Prast, H.M. & Keijer, M. (2001). De telecomhype: hij was er echt. Economisch Statistische Berichten,30 March, 288-289. Prast, H.M. (2001). Bankwezen in Nederland. Banking Review, April, 63-69. Prast, H.M. (2001). De ratio achter het sentiment. Bank en Effectenbedrijf, April, 2-3. Prast, H.M. & Bikker, J. (2001). De depositoverzekering tegen het licht. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 26 October, 820-822. Prast, H.M. (2001). In the Lap of the Gods. www.wilmott.com/technicalarticles.

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OUTPUT FACULTY WITH LESS THAN 0.2 APPOINTMENT THE TRANSFORMATION OF EUROPE

Table 70 Programme results: outcome in numbers (faculty < 0.2 appointment) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 3 3 6 4 5 6 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 2113 2. Dutch journals 11 books chapters 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications 322

1. International academic publications

Journals 2007 Cruijsen, C.A.B. van der & Demertzis, M. (2007). The Impact of Central Bank Transparency on Inflation Expectations, European Journal of Political Economy, 23, 51-66. Demertzis, M. & Hoeberichts, M. (2007). The Costs of Increasing Transparency, Open Economies Review, 18, 263-280. Demertzis, M. & Hughes Hallett, A. (2007). Central Bank Transparency in Theory and Practice, Journal of Macroeconomics, 29, 760-789. Demertzis, M. & Tieman, A. (2007). Dealing with Uncertainty: Robust Rules in Monetary Policy, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 54, 295-307. Gërxhani, K. (2007). Did you pay your taxes? How (not) to conduct tax evasion surveys in transition countries. Social Indicators Research, 80, 555-581. Gërxhani, K. (2007). Explaining gender differences in tax evasion: The case of Tirana, Albania. Feminist Economics, 13, 119-155. 2006 Aidis, R. & Mickiewicz, T. (2006). Why entrepreneurs do not expect to expand their : Lessons from Lithuania. Europe-Asia Studies, 58, 855-880. Álvarez, L.J., Dhyne, E., Hoeberichts, M., Kwapil, C., Le Bihan, H., Lünnemann, P., Martins, F., Sabbatini, R., Stahl, H., Vermeulen, P. & Vilmunen, J. (2006). Sticky prices in the Euro area: a summary of new micro-evidence. Journal of the European Economic Association, 4, 575-584. Cruijsen, C.A.B. van der (2006). Book Review of The Changing Face of Central Banking: Evolutionary Trends Since World War II (Pierre L. Siklos). De Economist, 154, (1), 126-128. Demertzis, M. (2006). The Role of Expectations in Monetary Policy. International Finance, 9, (3), 393-412. Gërxhani, K. & Schram, A. (2006). Tax evasion and income source: A comparative experimental study. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, (3), 402-422. 2005 Aidis, R. (2005). Institutional impediments to small- and medium-sized enterprise development in transition countries. Small Business Economics, 25, (4), 305- 317. Aidis, R. & Sauka, A. (2005). Assessing moving targets: Analyzing the impact of transition stages on entrepreneurship development. Ekonomika (Vilnius

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Lithuania), 69, 1-23. Buiter, W.H. (2005). New developments in Monetary Economics: Two Ghosts, Two Eccentricities, a Fallacy, a Mirage and a Mythos. Economic Journal, 115, (502), C1-31. Buiter, W.H. (2005). Overcoming the Zero Bound: Gesell vs. Eisler; Discussion of Mitsuhiro Fukao’s “The Effects of ‘Gesell’ (Currency) Taxes in Promoting Japan’s Economic Recovery”. International Economics and Economic Policy, 2, (2-3), 189-200. 2004 Gërxhani, K. (2004). Tax evasion in transition: Outcome of an institutional clash? Testing Feige’s conjecture in Albania. European Economic Review, 48, (4), 729-745. Buiter, W.H. & Grafe, C. (2004). Patching up the Pact; Some Suggestions for Enhancing Fiscal Sustainability and Macroeconomic Stability in an Enlarged European Union. The Economics of Transition, 12, (1), 67-102. Demerzis, M., Hughess Hallett, A. & Viegi, N. (2004). An Independent Central Bank faced with Elected Governments: A Political Economy Conflict. European Journal of Political Economy, 20, (4), 907-922. Gërxhani, K. (2004). The informal sector in developed and less developed countries: A literature survey. Public Choice, 120, (3-4), 267-300. Hoeberichts, M. (2004). Comments on ‘Active monetary policy, passive fiscal policy and the value of public debt: Some further monetarist arithmetic. Journal of Macroeconomics, 26, (2), 253-255. Buiter, W.H. (2004). Two Naked Emperors? Concerns about the Stability and Growth Pact & Second Thoughts about Central Bank Independence. Fiscal Studies, 25, (3), 249-277. 2003 Buiter, W. (2003). Commandments for a Fiscal Rule in the E(M)U. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 19, 84-99. Buiter, W. (2003). James Tobin; an appreciation of his contribution to economics. Economic Journal, 113, 585-631. Buiter, W. & Panigirtzoglou, N. (2003). Overcoming the Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates with Negative Interest on Currency: Gesell’s Solution. Economic Journal, 113, 723-746. 2002 Buiter, W.H. & Grafe, C. (2002). Anchor, Float or Abandon Ship: Exchange Rate Regimes for the Accession Countries. Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, 221, 1-32. Buiter, W.H. & Grafe, C. (2002). Ancorare, fluttuare o abbandonare la nave: I regimi valutari dei paesi candidati all’Unione Europea. Moneta e Credito, 55, 127-64. Buiter, W.H. (2002). The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level: A Critique. Economic Journal, 112, 459-480.

Chapters 2007 Demertzis, M. (2007). Debating Fiscal Federalism in EMU: Plus ça change… In Quantitative Economic Policy: Essays in honour of Andrew Hughes Hallett (edited by Neck, R., Richter, C. & Mooslechner, P.), Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 157-182. Hoeberichts, M. & Stokman, A. (2007). The pricing behaviour of Dutch firms: survey evidence on price stickiness. In Pricing Decisions in the Euro Area: How Firms Set Prices and Why (edited by Fabiani, S., Loupias, C., Martins, F. & Sabbatini, R.), Oxford: Oxford University Press. Sabbatini, R., Álvarez, L., Dhyne, E., Hoeberichts, M., Le Bihan, H., Lünnemann, P., Martins, F., Rumler, F., Stahl, H., Vermeulen, P., Veronese, G., & Vilmunen,

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J., (2007). What quantitative micro data reveal about price setting behaviour. In Pricing Decisions in the Euro Area: How Firms Set Prices and Why (edited by Fabiani, S., Loupias, C., Martins, F. & Sabbatini, R.), Oxford: Oxford University Press. (UK)/Northampton (MA): Edward Elgar, 200-225. 2006 Gërxhani, K. (2006). Politico-economic institutions and the informal sector in Albania. In Bezemer, D. (ed.), On eagle’s wings: The Albanian economy in transition. New York: Nova. 2004 Buiter, W.H. (2004). The return of deflation: what can central banks do? In Stevenson, H. (ed.), Challenges for Europe (pp. 46-74). Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave Macmillan. Buiter, W.H. (2004). Comments on Kenneth M. Kletzer: ‘Sovereign bond restructuring: collective action clauses and official crisis intervention’. In Haldane, A.G. (ed.), Fixing Financial Crises in the Twenty-first Century (pp. 254-257). Routledge International Studies in Money and Banking, London and New York: Routledge.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals 2007 Lorié, J.A. (2007). Belastingverschillen in de EU: een welvaartsanalyse. Kwartaalschrift Economie, 3, 339-361. 2006 Irrgang, E. & Hoeberichts, M. (2006). Inkomensongelijkheid in de eenentwintigste eeuw. Economisch Statistische Berichten.

4. Professional Publications and products

2007 Cruijsen, C.A.B. van der & Cees Ullersma (2007). Transparantie en Centrale Banken, DNB Kwartaalbericht maart 2007, 59-63. Gërxhani, K. & A. Schram (2007). Albanië: 15 jaar Worstelen met de Instituties. Internationale Spectator, 61, 301-304. 2006 Aidis, R., Krupickaite, D. & Blinstrubaite, L. (2006). The migration tendencies of Lithuanian university students, (in Lithuanian). In Emigration from Lithuania: the situation, problems and possible solutions (pp. 76-79). Conference Report, The Parliament of Lithuania. Vilnius: Valstybes Zinios. Aidis, R. (2006). Review of Jackson, J.E., Klich, J. & Posnanska, K. The Political Economy of Poland’s Transition: New Firms and Reform. In Democratization, 13, (4), 704-706. 2005 Aidis, R. (2005). Business owners growth expectations in Lithuania. Beyond Transition, January-March, 16, (1), 8. Aidis, R. & Sauka, A. (2005). Entrepreneurship in a changing environment: Analyzing the impact of transition stages on SME development. Webpublication of European Council for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (ECSB). www.ecsb.org/eng/publications/ Fidrmuc, J. & Gërxhani, K. (2005). Formation of social capital in Central and Eastern

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Europe. Beyond Transition, 16, (3), 18-20.

5. Other

Prizes 2007 Demertzis, M. (2007). 19 March-1 May, Awarded Pierre Werner Fellowship, European University Institute, Florence. Grants 2005 Gerxhani, K. (2005-2007). VENI grant (NWO).

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ excellent research atmosphere ƒ the number of international contacts of ƒ frequent publications in excellent junior members journals ƒ the number of visiting international ƒ good interactions with the other scholars academics outside the Netherlands ƒ uncertainty and lack of control on by the senior members teaching curriculum puts an ƒ extremely determined management, unnecessary burden on the members aimed at achieving the objective of of the programme (for example, our becoming one of the top programmes two largest courses taught are in the in our area in Europe. Over the same block) years, management has acquired a ƒ a number of researchers have lot of experience in building up a unfortunately not been very active research programme. over the past years and as a result have also lost most of their research time. It would be best if their appointments with the research programme could be terminated. The problem is that relative to the size of the appointment, the amount of nominal research time can become arbitrarily small and people can remain member of the research programme. It would be good to be able to apply additional criteria to the participation in the programme, for example based on how frequently one presents in the informal seminar series, whether one helps in organizing seminars, etcetera.

Opportunities Threats

ƒ Outside funding by pension funds ƒ Departure of one the two most and other parties in the financial research active senior members world. Concrete steps are being (den Haan & Beetsma) would undertaken and have already make it harder to continue the resulted in an informal permission by momentum build up a financial company to finance a

postdoc. ƒ Improved collaboration with DNB (more than the two Ph.D. students that they now fund and some joint appointments) ƒ Upward potential in terms of collaboration with academics from top institutions ƒ New appointments to replace faculty that will retire in the near future

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Human Capital

ƒ Research code: Zo mogelijk invullen met metis, NABS of JEL-classification ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. Joop Hartog ƒ JEL: I, J, L Starting date of the programme: The programme was initiated to meet the requirements of the “Voorwaardelijke Financiering” (Conditional Funding), in 1983. ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: Research and Ph.D. training are strongly embedded in the Tinbergen Institute (Labour, Region and the Environment) and until recently also in the NAKE network. Programme members are individually associated with the main international networks (CEPR, IZA, CESifo) ƒ Research area and mission: The Programme aims to improve the understanding of the economic role of human capital. Human capital can be defined as the value of all assets tied to an individual that generate a future stream of utility. The stock of human capital can be enlarged by deliberate investment, in schooling, education and training, in health, in information. Investment decisions will require comparison of costs and benefits. In this research programme we are interested in the investment decisions of individuals, households, firms, institutions (such as schools) and the government and in the consequences of the decisions, both for the agents and for society at large.

B.1 Leadership

The programme leader oversees the operation of the research programme and reports annually to the management of the research institute, RESAM. The Annual Report to the Research Institute is an important moment for taking stock: assessing past performance, reflection on future possibilities and challenges, options for research funding, attracting new Ph D’s, post docs etc. More importantly, there is continuous informal interaction and communication among senior faculty and between senior and junior faculty. For junior faculty, the annual evaluation is important. For Ph.D.’s there is a well-defined cycle of supervision, stimulation and assessment.

SCHOLAR is a significant component of the programme (see below) and the Managing Director of SCHOLAR (Maassen van den Brink) has played and no doubt will continue to play an important role in managing and utilising resources and assessing performance of externally funded researchers.

B.2 Strategy and policy

Human Capital has a long history. It was formalised shortly after the appointment of Hartog as professor of microeconomics in 1981, in the framework of “Voorwaardelijke Financiering” (Conditional funding, a government imposed funding structure). Research focused on the performance of the labour market, in terms of efficiency and distribution, with a regular flow of external funding from the national science foundation NWO and government agencies. Later, under the new institutional regime, with all research under the umbrella of a Research Institute, the programme got its present structure.

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A 6 million guilder (€ 2.7 million) NWO grant was obtained in 1996 for SCHOLAR, a six-year research programme on schooling, labour market and economic development. It should deliver high quality academic research on the role of human capital and also contribute actively to translation and communication of relevant research results to society at large and to policy makers. SCHOLAR fitted in the tradition of combining academic research with attention for policy relevance, policy advice and distributional issues. SCHOLAR gradually became the core of the programme.

The two other pillars, under different names but presently labelled Comparative gender and population economics and Social inequality and direct welfare measurement also have their roots in the early history of the programme. The social inequality subprogramme has its roots in the attention for distribution issues, and later came to lean mostly on co-operation with AIAS, an interfaculty research institute.

The comparative gender subprogramme has been alternating between integration and independence. It started in the late 1980’s with a government subsidy for a chair in (women’s) Emancipation Economics, as part of the labour research programme. When the present institutional structure was implemented, it set out as an independent programme, but after the most recent Research assessment (Visitatie) considered the programme too small, it became part of Human capital. As explained below, it will now be discontinued.

Understanding the role of human capital has always been the connecting feature of the research activities. Direct research questions on schooling and on-the-job training have been studied (rates of return, schooling and training participation decisions, the human capital production function). Schooling and training have always been central variables in research on mobility, migration, earnings inequality, female participation, unemployment etc. The most recent research line that has been developing quite rapidly, on entrepreneurship, also focuses on the role of human capital (relevance of schooling for entrepreneurs, selecting effective training programmes, etc)

Topics for new research are selected for their link with expertise of the Programme members, their intrinsic interest and their potential for results that will interest the international research community. All programme members (senior, junior, Ph.D.’s) participate actively in this community.

From the very beginning of the research programme, empirical work has dominated. While members have also engaged in developing theoretical models, measurement and testing has been far more prominent. Initially, this was based on the usual econometric methods, later experimental methods were added, stimulate by the proximity of CREED researchers and laboratory. As an outgrowth of the work on estimating causal effects of schooling on earnings, interest in the proper econometric methodology (natural and quasi-natural experiments, instrumental variables, regression discontinuities, twin and adoptee data, field experiments) has been strong. Communicating the value of such methodology to policy makers has recently resulted in a € 5 million grant for a Center for evidence-based interventions in education.

The empirical focus also leads to special attention for interesting datasets. They may be obtained or accessed as an intentional by-product of commissioned research (such as for government agencies), from joint work with institutions that have rich datasets (such as Swedish or Danish research centers and the Dutch National

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Statistical Office) or from deliberate spending of time and other resources (such as large surveys in newspapers or at internet).

In the subprogramme Social Inequality, Tijdens builds large data collections as a research basis that is also accessible for external researchers and that draws growing international attention: ƒ Annual Social Reports data set a collection of Annual Social Reports of approximately 300 companies in the Netherlands, some dating back as far as 1990; reports until 1998 have been coded for 200 variables. ƒ Best Employers survey (2001 to date): a dataset concerning HRM-policies in 30 organisations, surveyed every 3 months; Tijdens is advisor, the survey is under supervision of the weekly magazine Intermediair ƒ The collective agreements database (2002 to date): an annual dataset with coded information from 1,300 collective bargaining agreements, collected by the trade union confederation FNV; AIAS converts the data ƒ Wage Indicator (2000 to date): a continuous questionnaire on the internet in Belgium, Denmark, , Finland, Italy, Poland, Spain, United Kingdom, Brazil, India, South Africa, United States, South Korea, Hungary, Argentina, Mexico (see www.loonwijzer.nl).

Interaction with society and policy makers thus appears to pay off in creating opportunities for funding high-quality research, while at the same time serving society and policy makers with relevant research results. This leads to financial support, commissioned research and to access to and creation of valuable data sets. In particular, co-operation with the labour movement has created the unique dataset on wages and working conditions by internet users, now available in 11 countries and the basis for a joint venture with the Labour Union and Worklife Programme at Harvard University.

As academic and policy interest in entrepreneurship grew, and it became clear that the relevance of human capital for successful entrepreneurship was poorly understood, the research effort in this direction was stepped up. Again based on active interaction with policy makers and the business community, this recently resulted in a research grant of 6 million € for a Centre on entrepreneurship, a joint venture with the business school.

Teaching and research are highly complementary. All lecturing activities are in the fields of labour economics, microeconomics and econometrics, thus jointly covering microeconometrics. Teaching takes place in the regular FEB curriculum, but also in the Tinbergen Institute. Senior researchers are Fellow of the Tinbergen Institute and actively participate in the seminars and conferences (presenting, attending and organizing). Academic interaction in TI leads to joint work, both as joint research and joint teaching. Interaction between research and teaching also occurs in a special series of lectures for the top 10% students in the economics faculty (Talent Lectures), where four members of the Research Programme participate with lectures related to their research topics.

In the first round of National Research Visitations, the programme was rated 4 on each dimension. In the second round, the score was 3 on Quality and 4 on the other dimensions. The score on Quality was perceived as an underrating, and has been interpreted as an indication of underperformance relative to potential. To improve quality, hiring and promotion standards have been raised and awareness of the need

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As of 2008, as part of the ongoing process of adjusting research to opportunities and circumstances, the subprogramme Comparative Gender and Population Economics will be terminated. With the retirement of professor Gustafsson has lost its viability. The subprogramme Social inequality will be fully concentrated at AIAS. It had become rather small and it fits better in the multidisciplinary environment of AIAS.

Also as of 2008, the programme will be expanded with a large impact evaluation study on the introduction of low-cost health insurance packages for low-income workers in several African countries. The insurance provides access to basic health care and will always include coverage for counseling and treatment for HIV/AIDS. Insurance should eliminate the most severe financial consequences of becoming HIV positive, and provide treatment for those who suffer from AIDS. In this way, infected individuals can stay productive and can continue to provide for their families. Of particular importance is the impact of investment in human capital, especially for the next generation. The project is joint with the Free University) and will be led by professor Jacques van der Gaag. It is funded by a € 100 million grant of the Dutch government. Data will be collected from large household surveys covering both the treatment group and a control group, with households interviewed annually for a period of three to five years. It is expected that 6-8 projects will be in the field before the end of 2008. The study will contribute to our main themes: health and education as key factors in human capital, the methodology of impact evaluation and attention for social inequality. It also fits with other evaluation research in the developing world: Oosterbeek is advisor to the government of Ecuador and will supervise a Ph.D. research project in government intervention in rural development.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

The research programme has developed over many years and through selection and self-selection, a highly motivated, ambitious and competent group of senior researchers has emerged. This group has a very active interaction and also interacts with junior faculty and Ph.D.’s. Joint work develops spontaneously, there is quick feedback on ideas and results. On top of that, there is slightly more formal interaction in internal seminars. Ph.D.’s are tightly monitored and supervised, learn a lot from joint research and are fully embedded in an active research culture that aims for participation at international frontiers.

Reputed international research centers are visited, reputed international scholars visit, either as guests of the Research Programme or through Tinbergen Institute (seminars, workshops, visitors). The Royal Dutch Academy of Sciences funds a co- operation with Peking University.

The combination of personal ambition, annual assessments, the academic career promotion system and a very stimulating research environment create a competitive environment that is very conducive to aiming for the best possible results.

B.4 Academic reputation

1. SCHOLAR evaluation In October 2006, an international evaluation committee, consisting of prof Anders Bjorklund (Stockholm University), prof Henry Levin (Columbia University ) and prof

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Stephen Machin (UCLondon and LSE) was very positive on SCHOLAR. To quote from their report:

“The following five issues formulated in the mid term evaluation are readdressed: 1.International rank: whether the programme is internationally a leader in its field; 2.Scale: whether the scale of the programme is substantial; 3.Coherence: whether the programme is set up in a coherent fashion; 4.Output: whether the output is high by all available standards; 5.Policy relevance: whether the contributions have a relevance for policy (whether government or firm policy).

The committee judges that on all of these points the SCHOLAR project has performed excellently. The committee has been very impressed by the performance of the SCHOLAR group. The output in terms of publications and activities is outstanding, and the public returns are multiple. Firstly, good scholars and excellent graduate students have been attracted and trained, who now have promising academic career prospects. Secondly, excellent topics have been addressed. Thirdly, very important policy relevant issues have been researched. Fourthly, important insights have been garnered in the research which have been disseminated in scholarly and policy articles and which make contributions in both the Dutch and international policy agenda”

2. Participation in editorial work As spelled out elsewhere, programme members participate actively in editorial work for international journals. They are represented in leading journals of their fields (Economics of Education Review, Labour Economics, Small Business Economics). On top of that they act as guest editors for Special Issues.

3. Programme organisers international network meetings, conferences etc Programme members are actively engaged in initiating and organising specialist meetings in their field of research, ad hoc or as a member of international research networks (CEPR, IZA, TSER).

4. Refereeing Programme members regularly act as referee for leading general journals, such as American Economic Review, Economic Journal, Econometrica, European Journal of the Economic Association, European Economic Review, International Economic Review as well as all the relevant leading field journals, such as Journal of Labor Economics, Journal of Public Economics, Journal of Population Economics, Economics of Education Review etc.

5. Visiting positions, keynote speeches, foreign dissertation committees In 2006, C. M. van Praag was appointed as a Research professor at the Max Planck Institute of Economics, Jena. During the last 6 years Hartog held visiting positions in many places, including Stanford and Harvard. Programme members gave keynote speeches at international conferences ands were invited to participate in Ph.D. exam committees abroad.

Dr. Wim Groot, one of the founders of SCHOLAR, was awarded an honourary doctorate at National University of ‘Kyiv-Mohyla Academy’, Kiev, Ukraine, in September 2004.

6. External funding SCHOLAR Programme members obtained many grants from external academic

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7. Academic training Hartog supervised 36 promotions since 1986; the vast majority is still active in research, mostly academic, 9 of them are now full professor at a Dutch university. Other supervisor’s graduates now work for the government, in private consulting firms or in academic research. The most recent graduate took up a position in the Department of Economics at the University of Chicago.

B.5 Internal evaluation and analysis

Programme members are generally satisfied about the quality of the research environment and the funding opportunities. They appreciate the system of incentives where research time is allotted on the basis of performance with a strong objective component (the system used by RESAM and Tinbergen Institute to grade journals and publishing houses for academic standing).

Attracting good Ph.D. students is a problem however.

B.6 External validation

Programme members actively disseminate research results to society at large. Three programme members write (or wrote) columns for national newspapers, Hartog was a member of the Council of Economic Advisors (a council of 5 independent advisors to parliament), Hartog and Oosterbeek were advisors to the government on active labour market policies. Maassen van den Brink is active in a wide spectre of academic, government and social advisory and resource allocating bodies (Chair Social Sciences Dutch Science Foundation, Advisory Council NIAS, SIG, Chair European Conference under Dutch EU Chair, chair Evaluating Research in Context (NWO, KNAW, VSNU) Commissie voor vaststelling maatschappelijke kwaliteit van Onderzoek, member Taskforce Elderly and Work, member Council on Education, Advisory Committee CPB, Onderwijsraad, RVZ). Groot and Maassen van den Brink were members of SER (Social Economic Council) committees.

Tijdens is a Member of EUROSTAT’s Advisory Committee on statistical information (CEIES)

Between 2000 and 2007, SCHOLAR raised 550.000 € for commissioned research. Examples are studies on the effectiveness of tax credits for company training programmes and effectiveness of subsidies for schools with children from disadvantaged family backgrounds.

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Table 71 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Gustafsson, S.S. 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.25 0.25 0.25 Hartog, J. 0.50 0.50 0.53 0.53 0.25 0.25 0.38 Maassen van den Brink, H. 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 Martin, S. 0.50 0.25 - - - - Oosterbeek, H. 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Plug, E.J.S. ------0.90 Praag, B.M.S. van ------Praag, C.M. van - - - - - 0.25 0.25 Associate Professor (UHD) Hinloopen, J. - 0.42 0.67 0.67 - - - Odink, J.G. 0.30 0.24 0.23 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 Praag, C.M. van 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.31 - - Sloof, R. -----0.500.50 Assistant Professor (UD) Brouwer, M.T. 0.30 0.50 0.50 0.50 - - - Goeree, M.S. - 0.50 0.50 0.08 - - - Hinloopen, J. 0.50 ------Pott-Buter, H.A. 0.20 0.34 0.20 - - - Sloof, R. - 0.17 0.50 0.50 0.50 - - Other Tenured Staff Plug, E.J.S. - 1.001.001.000.800.90- Tijdens, K.G. 0.50 0.75 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.80 0.80

Total Tenured Staff 5.21 7.08 7.54 6.69 4.01 4.05 4.19

Non-Tenured Staff Dominguez Martinez, S. ------0.17 Cornelisse-Vermaat, J.R. - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Diaw, K. - 0.75 - - - - Dorhout, P. 0.33 0.28 - - - - Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. - - - 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.67 Groot, W. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Jacobs, B. - 0.67 0.84 0.84 0.00 - Jolivet, G. -----0.92- Kalwij, A. - 0.80 0.75 - - - Kannari Kenjō, E. - 0.25 1.00 0.75 0.00 - Klaauw, B. van der 0.80 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - Leuven, E. 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.90 0.90 Lindahl, M. 0.80 1.00 1.00 - - - Maestri, V. ------0.75 Naper, L. - - - - 0.00 0.00 Plug, E.J.S. 0.80 Sloof, R. 0.80 0.53 - - - - Rønning, M. - - - - 0.83 0.17 Sluis, J. van der ------0.50 Valdenaire, M. ------0.42 Webbink, D. 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wetzels, C.M.M.P. - 0.42 0.42 0.76 1.00 1.00 0.25 PhD's Bajdechi, S. 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 - - Booij, A.S. - - - 0.450.600.600.20 Cardoso, P. 0.60 0.60 0.60 - - - Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. 0.60 0.60 0.55 - - - Grogan, L. ------Haan, M. de - - 0.00 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 Huang, J. - - - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 Hu, Y. - 0.60 0.60 - - - Jacobs, B. 0.51 0.17 - - - - Jonker, N. ------Kannari Kenjō, E. 0.60 0.45 - - - - Klaveren, C.P.B.J. van - 0.35 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.30 - Maximiano, S.M.S.N. - 0.230.600.600.600.45 Mazza, J. ------0.50 Schreuder, K. - 0.40 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.38 Sluis, J. van der - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 Smits, N. 0.00 0.00 0.00 - - - Yergou Worku, S. - 0.45 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 IJsselstein, A. - - - - 0.58 0.60 0.20 Zorlu, A. 0.60 0.40 0.50 0.10 - -

Total Non-Tenured Staff 8.24 11.49 11.04 7.70 8.21 7.91 5.76

Total Research Staff 13.45 18.57 18.58 14.39 12.22 11.96 9.95

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B.7 Researchers and other personnel

Senior researchers funded by the university have been the core of the group ever since the start of the research program. The senior researchers attract a fluctuating group of temporary researchers, as PhD’s, invited post-docs or post-docs who apply for visits; post-docs are financed by external funding.. Some outside researchers have long-standing connections with the program. Professor Groot is one of the recipients of the original NWO grant that created SCHOLAR; he remained connected to the group when he moved to Maastricht, and he published much joint work with Maassen van den Brink. Van der Klaauw has been funded for some years in the SCHOLAR program and maintained a close connection not only through joint research and intellectual interaction but also as active participant in the organization of the labour program in the Tinbergen Institute. Similarly, Webbink has been funded for some time by SCHOLAR and since then maintained close connection, with joint research and frequent visits; he establishes a link with the education research group at CPB and will also play a pivotal role in the new Center on evidence based interventions in education.

B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

The program always thrived on external funding, and successful competition for PhD funding, both internal and external. In the present senior staff, only three researchers have always been fully funded by university funds (“eerste geldstroom”). All others either started on external funding or have always been on external funding. Resources provided by the university for data collection, experiments, visits to other research centers, and for inviting visitors are essentially zero. University funding (about € 10.000,- per annum) barely suffices for workshop/conference participation.

Table 72 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 48% 48% 51% 47% 42% 34% 27% Research funds 44% 43% 38% 41% 49% 50% 62% Contracts 8% 8% 11% 12% 8% 16% 12% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Plug, Erik (2004). Estimating the Effect of Mother's Schooling on Children's Schooling using a Sample of Adoptees. American Economic Review 94(1). 358--68. Bjorklund, Anders, Mikael Lindahl & Erik Plug 2006). The Origins of Intergenerational Associations: Lessons from Swedish Adoption Data. Quarterly Journal of Economics 121(3), 999-1028. Leuven, Edwin & Hessel Oosterbeek (2004). Evaluating the effect of tax deductions on training. Journal of Labor Economics 22(1). 461--488. Leuven, Edwin, Hessel Oosterbeek & Hans van Ophem (2004). Explaining international differences in male wage inequality by differences in demand and supply of skill. Economic Journal 144. 478--498. Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Ada & Paul Frijters (2004). How Important is Methodology for the estimates of the determinants of Happiness? Economic Journal 114(497), pages 641-659,

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Table 73 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 16242626221728 b. books, monographs 1 1 c. books, edited 1 1 1 1 d. chapters 2 1 3 3 2 4 14 2. Dutch journals 16 12 12 7 8 4 1 books 8 3 1 1 chapters 7 9 9 11 4 5 3. PhD theses 5 2 1 2 2 1 3 4. Professional publications 7 4 4 22 4 4 12

Table 74 Programme results: outcome in numbers (core faculty) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 15242119181022 b. books, monographs 1 1 c. books, edited 1 1 1 1 d. chapters 2 1 3 3 2 4 14 2. Dutch journals 15 12 11 7 7 3 1 books 8 3 1 1 chapters 799944 3. PhD theses 5 2 1 2 2 1 3 4. Professional publications 7 3 4 22 4 4 12

Table 75 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 3 1 4 5 5 4 2 Other international Journals 13 23 22 21 17 13 26

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OUTPUT HUMAN CAPITAL

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Berg, B. van den & Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2007). Monetary valuation of informal care: The well-being valuation method,. Health Economics. 16, 1227–1244. Cornelisse-Vermaat J.R. and Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Ethnic differences in lifestyle and overweight in the Netherlands. Obesity; 483 – 493 Groot, W., Maassen van den Brink, H. & Praag B.M.S. van (2007). The Compensating Income Variation of Social Capital, Social Indicators Research, 82, 189-207. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Optimism, pessimism and the compensating income variation of cardiovascular disease: a two-tiered quality of life stochastic frontier model, Social Science and Medicine 65, pp. 1479- 1489 Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007), The health effects of education, Economics of Education Review 26, p. 186-200. Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Gowdy, J.M. (2007). Environmental degradation and happiness. Ecological Economics, 60(3), 509-516. Hartog, J. & Diaz Serrano, L. (2007). Earnings risk and demand for higher education, Journal of Applied Economics, X (1), 1-28 Hartog, J. & Vijverberg, W. (2007). On compensation for risk aversion and skewness affection in wages Labour Economics, Special Issue on Education and Risk, 14 (6), 938-956 Hartog, J. & Vijverberg, W. (2007). Schools, skills and risk Economics of Education Review, 14(6), 758-770. Special Issue in honour of J-C. Eichner Hartog, J., Ophem, H. van & Bajdechi, C. (2007). Simulating the Risk of Investment in Human Capital, Education Economics, 15 (3), 259 – 275. Hartog, J. (2007). Immigrants in Europe : What do we know ? Peking University Education Review, Vol. 5.(3),.47-53 Klaveren, C. van & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Intra-household work time synchroni-zation togetherness or material benefits?. Social Indicators Research, 84(1), 39-52. Leuven, E., Lindahl, M., Oosterbeek, H. & Webbink, D. (2007). The effect of extra funding for disadvantaged students on achievement. Review of Economics and Statistics 89(4), 721-736 Maximiano, S., Sloof, R. & Sonnemans, J. (2007). Gift exchange in a multi-worker firm. Economic Journal 117, 1025-1050 Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. & Sonnemans, J. (2007). Promotion rules and skill acquisition: an experimental study, Economica 74(2), 259-297 Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. & Sonnemans, J. (2007). Who should invest in specific training?, Journal of Population Economics 20(2), 329-357 Oosterbeek, H. & Webbink, H.D. (2007). Wage effects of an extra year of basic vocational education. Economics of Education Review 26, 408-419. Praag. C.M. van & Versloot, P. (2007).What is the value of entrepreneurship? A review of research, Small Business Economics 29(4), 351-382. Praag. C. M. van & Cools, K. (2007). The value relevance of top executive departures: Evidence from the Netherlands, Journal of Corporate Finance

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13(5), 721-742. Praag, C.M. van & Aidis, R. (2007). Illegal entrepreneurship experience: Does it make a difference for business performance and motivation? Analyzing the effects of illegal entrepreneurship experience in Lithuania, Journal of Business Venturing 22(2), 283-310 Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H. & Sonnemans, J. (2007). On the importance of default breach remedies, Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics 163(1), 5-22 Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H. & Sonnemans, J. (2007). Does making specific investments unobservable boost investment incentives? Journal of Economics and Management Strategy 16, 911-942

Books, edited Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.). Human Capital, Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

Books, chapters Cornelisse-Vermaat J.R., Antonides G., Maassen van den Brink, H. & Ophem, J. van (2007). Outsourcing meal preparation. In: Understanding consumers of food products. In: Frewer, L. & Trijp, H. van.(eds.). Woodhead Publishing Limited. Cambridge England.. 221 – 235. Groot. W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007), The effects of education on health. In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital: Advances in Theory and Evidence, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 65-80 Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007), Overeducation in the labor market. In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital: Advances in Theory and Evidence, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 101-112 Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007), What does education do to our health?, Measuring the Effects of Education on Health and Civic Engagement: Proceedings of the Copenhagen Symposium, OECD Paris, p. 355-363 Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007), Onderwijs en arbeidsmarkt: investeren in de toekomst. In: Veld, R. in ‘t & Veen, J. van der (eds), IJsberenplaag op de Veluwe, Commissie voor Overleg Sectorraden, p. 161- 183 Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.) (2007).Human Capital, Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Hartog, J. & Bajdechi, S.M. (2007). Human capital and risk, In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.). Human Capital, Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, (eds.).134-151 Hartog, J. & Oosterbeek, H. (2007). What should you know about the private returns to education? In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.). Human Capital, Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press. 7-20. Hartog, J. (2007). Income assistance programmes and the labour market. In: Fortuna, M., Vieira, J. & Menezes, A. (eds.). (2005). Income Support Programmes and Labour Market Participation, Ponte Delgada: Universidade dos Acores, 216-266. Leuven, E. (2007). Returns to Training. In: Hartog, J. &. Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital: Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press. Leuven, E. & Oosterbeek, H. (2007). The Effectiveness of Human Capital Policies for Disadvantaged Groups in the Netherlands. In: Peterson, P. &. Woessmann, L. (eds.), Schools and the Equal Opportunity Problem. MIT Press. Leuven, E., Bassanini, A., Booth, A.L., Brunello, G. & De Paola, M. (2007).

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Workplace Training in Europe. In: Brunello, G. Garibaldi, P. & Wasmer, E. (eds.). Education and Training in Europe (Ch. 8-13). Oxford University Press. Oosterbeek, H. (2007). Using (quasi-)experiments to evaluate education interventions. In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital: Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press. Plug, E. (2007). Are Successful Parents the Secret to Success? In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital, Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Praag, B.M.S. van & Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A (2007). Happiness Quantified A Satisfaction Calculus Approach (revised edition in paperback).Oxford: Oxford University Press. Praag, B.M.S. van & Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2007). A Multi-dimensional Approach to Subjective Poverty. In: Kakwani , N.& Silber, J.,(eds), Quantitative approaches to multidimensional poverty measurement, Chapter 8, NY: Palgrave, Macmillan Praag., C.M. van & Sluis, J. van der (2007). Returns to education for entrepreneurs. In: Hartog, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital: Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Chapter 4, Cambridge : Cambridge University Press Sloof, R., Sonnemans, J. and H. Oosterbeek, (2007). Underinvestment in training? In: Hartog, J. &. Maassen van den Brink, H. (eds.), Human Capital: Advances in Theory and Evidence, Moving the Frontier. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 113-133.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Praag, C.M. van (2007). Nieuwe Combinaties, artikel op basis van inaugurele rede in Tijdschrift Politieke Ekonomie 28(1), p 27-55

3. Ph.D. Theses

Sluis, J. van der (2007, April 20). Successful entrepreneurship and human capital. Universiteit van Amsterdam {promotor Prof.dr. C.M. van Praag, Prof.dr. J. Hartog) [cat. I] Maximiano, S. (2007, February 23). Essays in Organisational Economics. Universiteit van Amsterdam (promotor Prof.dr. H. Oosterbeek, co-promotor Dr. R. Sloof) [cat. I] M. van Herpen (2007). Pay, Promotions and Performance, Groningen, January 25 (promotores Prof.dr. K. Cools, K. and prof C.M. van Praag,). [cat. IV]

4. Professional publications and products

Berkhout, P. and J. Hartog, Nederland kieskeurig met kennismigrant, Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4505, 142-143 Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Het Toeval neemt een binnenweg naar het doel, Economisch Statistische Berichten, Jaargang 92, nr. 4525, pp 788-790 Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). De Rijksbegroting Volksgezondheid en Zorg: Gebrekkig uitgavenmanagement en boekhoudkundig beleid,

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Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën (2) Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Maatstafconcurrentie slecht voor de zorg, Medisch Contact 62, pp. 1734-1736 Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A & Bergh, J.C.J.M.van den, (2007). Book review. L. Bruni and P.L. Porta (eds.). Economics & Happiness: Framing the Analysis. Ecological Economics 62(1).196-198. Hartog, J. (2007). Ruimte voor een eigen koers, B en M, Tijdschrift voor beleid, politiek en maatschappij, 34 (1), 33-46 Hartog, J. & Witteloostuijn, A. van (2007). Mondialisering en de arbeidsmarkt, Economisch Statistische Berichten, Dossier, 4514S, 36-40 Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Nut of Nuts?, Economisch Statistische Berichten, Jaargang 92, nr. 4515, pp 475 Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Saaie Wetenschap, Economisch Statistische Berichten, Jaargang 92, nr. 4507, pp 218 Maassen van den Brink, H. (2007). Hoe vroeger op school hoe beter, Economisch Statistische Berichten , Jaargang 92, nr. 4523, pp 733 Praag, C.M van, Versloot, P. &. Kool, M. (2007). De economische voordelen van ondernemerschap, Entrepreneurship Update 3, ACE, Amsterdam (ISBN 978- 90-78621-03-4) Praag, C. M. van & Cardia, F. (2007). Onderwijs en Ondernemerschap in Nederland, Entrepreneurship Update 4, ACE, Amsterdam ISBN 978-90-78621-03-5)

5. Other

Grants Hartog, J. (2007-2008). KNAW (Royal Dutch Academy of Sciences), Education and risk in China Plug, E. (2007). NWO VIDI research grant for proposal Intergenerational mobility and the nature and nurture of economic outcomes. (2003-2008) Sloof, R. (2007). Awarded a grant from a Spanish scientific institution (IVIE) to run experiments at the University of Valencia

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2006

1. International Academic Publications

Journals Björklund, A. Lindahl, M. & Plug E.(2006). The Origins of Intergenerational Associations: Lessons from Swedish Adoptoin Data. Quarterly Journal of Economics, August, 999-1028. Cools, K., Herpen, M. van & Praag, C.M. van (2006). Wage structure and the incentive effect of promotions. Kyklos, 59, (3), 441-459. Cornelisse-Vermaat, J.R., Antonides, G., Ophem, J.A.C. van & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). BMI, perceived health, and happiness: Their determinants and structural relationships. Social Indicators Research, 79 143-158. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). The compensating income variation of cardiovascular disease. Health Economics, 15, 1143-1148. Hartog, J, Jonker, N. & Ophem, H. van (2006). Dual track or academic route for auditors: does it matter? Applied Economics, 38, (9), 1019-1035. Hartog, J. (2006). On the reservation price of schooling. Sri Lanka Economic Journal, 6, (1&2), 1-22. Hartog, J. & Diaz Serrano, L. (2006). Is there a risk-return trade-off across educations? Evidence from Spain. Investigaciones Economicas, XXX, (2), 353-380. Mueller, G. & Plug, E. (2006). Estimating the Effect of Personality on Male-Female Earnings. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October, 3-22. Parker, S.C. & Praag, C.M. van (2006). Schooling, Capital Constraints and Entrepreneurial Performance: The Endogenous Triangle. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 24, (4), 416-431. Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H., Riedl, A. & Sonnemans, J. (2006). Breach remedies, reliance and renegotiation. International Review of Law and Economics, 26, (3), 263-296.

Books, Monographs Praag, C.M. van (2006). Entrepreneurship and Human Capital. Amsterdam: Amsterdam Center for Entrepreneurship, Research Update 2.

Books edited Gustafsson, S.S. & Kalwij, A. (2006). Editors Education and Postponement of Maternity, Economic Analyses for Industrialized Countries. Dordrecht: Springer.

Chapters Gustafsson, S.S. (2006). Introduction and Contributions of this Volume. In Gustafsson, S.S. & Kalwij, A. (eds), Education and Postponement of Maternity, Economic Analyses for Industrialized Countries. Dordrecht: Springer. Gustafsson, S.S. & Kalwij, A. (2006). Fertility Decisions: Economic Theory, Empirical Analysis, and Policy Relevance In Gustafsson, S.S. & Kalwij, A. (eds), Education and Postponement of Maternity, Economic Analyses for Industrialized Countries. Dordrecht: Springer. Gustafsson, S.S. & Worku, S. (2006). Assortative Mating by Education and Post- ponement of Couple Formation and First Birth in Britain and Sweden. In Gustafsson, S.S. & Kalwij, A. (eds), Education and Postponement of

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Maternity, Economic Analyses for Industrialized Countries. Dordrecht: Springer. Praag, C.M. van (2006). Venture performance and venture input: human and financial capital. Chapter 17 in Parker, S. (ed.), The Life Cycle of Entrepreneurial Ventures, International Handbook Series on Entrepreneurship (pp. 507-533). Springer Academic Publishers.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). Meer eigen verantwoordelijkheid voor ouderenzorg. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4498), 594-597. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). Externaliteiten in volksgezondheidsbeleid. TSG Tijdschrift voor Gezondheidswetenschappen, 84, (5), 14-17. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). Stil vermogen: een onderzoek naar de maatschappelijke kosten van laaggeletterdheid. Rapport voor de Stichting Lezen en Schrijven

Books Praag, C.M.van (2006). Nieuwe Combinaties. Book based on inaugural lecture from September, 28th, with the official installment as a professor of “Entrepreneurship and Organisation”, December. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press, the Netherlands.

Chapters Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). De rol van onderwijs in de economie. In Hout, H. van (et. al) (ed.), Vernieuwing in het Hoger Onderwijs, Onderwijskundig Handboek (pp. 341-355). Assen: Van Gorcum. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). Kosten per gewonnen levensjaren. In Zicht op Zinnige en Duurzame Zorg (pp. 89-135). Raad voor Volksgezondheid en Zorg. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2006). Financiering en bekostiging van onderwijs. In Financiering van onderwijs: een verkenning (pp. 81-94). Vlaamse Onderwijsraad. Praag, C.M. van, Sluis, J. van der & Kok, J. de (2006). Goed belonen loont. Amsterdam: Amsterdam Center for Entrepreneurship, Research Update 1.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Zijl, M. (2006, 20 June). Economic and social consequences of temporary employment. Promotores: J. Hartog & G.J. van den Berg. [cat II].

4. Professional publications and products

Odink J.G. (2006). Risicoaversie; het zekere voor het onzekere. Economenblad, 29, april/mei, 30-32. Odink J.G. & Schoorl, J.S. (2006). Odink & Schoorl, Met de KAE op IJsland. Economenblad 29, april/mei, 39-41. Praag, C.M. van (2006). Prestatiebeloning aan de top. Economische Statistische Berichten, (4479), 72.

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Praag, C.M. van, Kok, J. de, & Sluis, J. van der (2006). Goed belonen loont, EIM Publieksrapportage.

5. Other

Grants Hartog, J. (2006). Research grant: KNAW (Royal Dutch Academy of Sciences), Education and risk in China Hartog, J. (2006). Research grant: NWO, Education and risk (Ph.D. position) Plug, E. (2003-2008). NWO VIDI research grant for proposal Intergenerational mobility and the nature and nurture of economic outcomes. Sloof, R. (2006, July). Awarded a grant from the municipality of Valencia to visit the University of Valencia for one month. Tijdens, K.G. (2006, May-2009, April). Coordinator of the EU-FP6 grant on research proposal Euroccupations, Developing a detailed 8-country occupations database for comparative socio-economic research in the European Union. Penvoerder Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam, Universiteit van Amsterdam is partner. Tijdens, K.G. (2006, August-2007, August). Coordinator of the project WageIndicator support for trade union bargaining in Europe (WIBAR), supported by the European Commission in its Industrial Relations and Social Dialogue Program, Budget Heading 04030301. Nr 2006/VP001/10017.

Awards Hartog, J. (2006). Establishment of Joop Hartog Dissertation Prize, bi-annual prize for best Ph.D. thesis Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Amsterdam, to honour my 25th anniversary in Amsterdam.

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Bovenberg, A.L. & Jacobs, B. (2005). Redistribution and education subsidies are Siamese twins. Journal of Public Economics, 89, 2005-2035. Gustafsson, S.S.(2005). Having Kids Later, Economic Analyses for Industrialized Countries. Review of Economics of the Household, 3, 5-16. Gustafsson, S.S. & Worku, S. (2005). Assortative Mating by Education and Postpone-ment of Couple Formation and First Birth in Britain and Sweden. Review of Economics of the Household, 3, 91-113. Hartog, J. & Zorlu, A. (2005). The effect of immigration on wages in three European countries. Journal of Population Economics, 18, 113-151. Hartog, J. (2005). Schooling as a risky investment. Mededelingen van de Afdeling Letterkunde, Nieuwe Reeks Deel 68 no 2, (Proceedings Royal Dutch Academy of Sciences). Koninklijke Nederlandse Akademie van Wetenschappen. Herpen, M. van, Praag, C.M. van & Cools, K. (2005). The effects of performance measurement and compensation on motivation. De Economist, 38, (2), 303- 329. Jacobs, B. (2005). Optimal income taxation with endogenous human capital. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 7, 295-315. Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J. (2005). Innovation in the Netherlands: The market falters and the government fails. De Economist, 153, 107-124. Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. & Klaveren, C. van (2005). Worker reciprocity and employer investment in training. Economica 72, (285), 137-149. Leuven, E. (2005). The economics of training: A survey of the literature. Journal of Economic Surveys 19, (1), 91-111. Plug, E.J.S. & Vijverberg, W.P.M. (2005). Does Family Income Matter for Schooling Outcomes? Using Adoption as a Natural Experiment. Economic Journal, 115, October, 879-906. Praag, C.M. van, Wit, G. de & Bosma, N. (2005). Initial capital constraints hinder entrepreneurial venture performance: An empirical analysis. Journal of Private Equity, 9, (1), 36-44. Praag, B.M.S. van & Baarsma, B. (2005). Using happiness surveys to value intangibles: The case of airport noise. Economic Journal, 115, 224-246. Sloof, R. (2005). Opting out: An experimental comparison of bazaars versus high- tech markets. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 161, 589- 620. Sluis, J. van der, Praag, C.M. van & Vijverberg, W. (2005). Entrepreneurship selection and performance: A meta-analysis of the impact of education in less developed countries. World Bank Economic Review, 19, (2), 225-261. Steijn, B. & Tijdens, K.G. (2005). Workers and Their Willingness to Learn: Will ICT- Implementation Strategies and HRM Practices Contribute to Innovation? Creativity and Innovation Management, 14, (2), 150-158. Tijdens, K.G. & Steijn, B. (2005). The determinants of ICT competencies among employees. New Technology, Work and Employment, 20, (1), 60-73. Wetzels, C. (2005). Supply and Price of Childcare and Female Labour Force Participation in the Netherlands. Labour: Review of Labour Economics and Industrial Relations, 19, Special Issue, 171-210.

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Books, Monographs Praag, C.M. van. (2005). Successful Entrepreneurship: Confronting Economic Theory with Empirical Evidence. London, England: Edward Elgar.

Chapters Cornelisse-Vermaat, J.R. &. Maassen van den Brink, H. (2005). The demand for health, differences between the native Dutch and immigrants. In Yfantopoulos, J.N. (ed), The Economics of Health reforms. ATINER. Dex, S., Gustafsson, S.S., Jenkins,A., Joshi, H., Kenjoh, E. & Killingsworth, M. (2005). Mothers’ changing labour Supply in Britain, the USA and Sweden. In Ramon, G-S., Lamo, A., Petrongolo, B., Ward, M. & Wasmer, E. (eds), Labour Supply and Incentives to Work in Europe (pp. 115-150). Cheltenham, UK: Edgar Elgar. Gustafsson, S.S. (2005). Impacto de Género en los sistemas de impuesto sobre la renta. Desincentivos al trabajo de las mujeres casadas producidos dor la tributación conjunta. (Gender effects of income taxation systems. Disincentives for married women to work). In Pazos Moràn, M. (ed.), Politico fiscal y género. Madrid: Instituto de estudios fiscales. Klaveren, M. van, Tijdens, K.G., Peters, P. & Wetzels, C. (2005). IT and Telework. In Peper, B., Doorne-Huiskes, A. van & Dulk, L. den (eds), Flexible Working and Organisational Change. The Integration of Work and Personal Life (pp. 268- 293).Cheltenham, Northhampton: Edward Elgar. Tijdens, K.G. (2005). How Important are Institutional Settings to Prevent Marginalisation of Parttime Employment? In Marx, I. & Salverda, W. (eds), Low-wage Employment in Europe (pp. 81-99). Leuven/Voorburg: Acco.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Hartog, J., Zorlu, A, Sprangers, A. & Nicolaas, H. (2005, 28 January). De arbeids- marktpositie van nieuwe immigranten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4451), 31-33. Hartog, J. (2005, 25 February). De bataljons van het onderzoeksleger. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4454). [column]. Hartog, J. (2005, 17 June). Krimp als groeistrategie. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4463). [column]. Hartog, J. (2005, 7 October). Proza in China. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4472). [column]. Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J. (2005). Naschrift: Kritiek Preadviezen Onterecht. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4451), 47. Maarse, H. & Groot, W. (2005). Productinnovatie en arbeidsproductiviteit in de zorg. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4452), D25-D27. Odink, J.G. (2005, 12 January). Inkomensherverdeling door IB & LB en premies onder Oordt. Weekblad fiscaal recht, 6006, 134.

Books Damme, M. van, Haan, J. de, Kraan, K., Kwakkelstein, T., Leede, J. de, Steijn, B. & Tijdens, K.G. (2005). Verzonken technologie. Ict en arbeidsmarkt. Den Haag: Sociaal Cultureel Planbureau.

Chapters Cornelisse-Vermaat, J., Maassen van den Brink, H. & Groot. W. (2005). De prijs van overgewicht. In Ewijk, C. van (ed.), Jaarboek 2004/2005 (pp. 143-148).

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Koninklijke Vereniging voor Staathuishoudkunde. Utrecht: Lemma. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2005). De econoom, de columnist en de zedenmeester. In Dolfsma, W. & Nahuis, R. (eds), Media en Economie: Markten in Beweging en een Overheid die Stuurt Zonder Kompas. Preadviezen van de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 157-162). Maassen van den Brink, H.(2005). Beter welvarend dan rijk. In Ewijk, C. van (ed.), Jaarboek 2004/2005 (pp. 143-148). Koninklijke Vereniging voor Staathuishoudkunde. Utrecht: Lemma. Steijn, B. & Tijdens, K.G. (2005). ICT-competenties en computerangst van werknemers. In Haan, J. de & Laan, L. van der (red.), Jaarboek ICT en samenleving 2005. Kennis in netwerken (pp.147-160). Amsterdam, Boom.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Hu, Y. (2005, 16 June). Essays on Labour Economics: Empirical Studies on Wage Differentials across Categories of Working Hours, Employment Contracts, Gender and Cohorts. Tinbergen Ph.D. Thesis 357. [promotor: Prof.dr. J.J.M. Theeuwes, co-promotor: Prof.dr. K.G. Tijdens]. Raita, S.M. (2005, 7 December). The risk of investment in human capital, Universiteit van Amsterdam [promotor Prof.dr. J. Hartog, co-promotor: J.C. van Ophem].

4. Professional publications and products

Berkhout, P.H.G., Leuven, E. & Oosterbeek, H. (2005). Gebruik en effectiviteit van de aftrek scholingsuitgaven. SEO-Rapport nr 826. [Commissioned by the ministries Financiën, SZW and OcenW]. Heyma, A., Tijdens, K.G., Janssens, L. & Berkhout, E. (2005). De aantrekkelijkheid van de collectieve sector als werkgever. Een vergelijking van beloningsprofielen tussen collectieve sector en marktsector. SEO-rapport nr. 797. Amsterdam, University of Amsterdam, Stichting voor Economisch Onderzoek. Jacobs, B. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2005). Kenniseconomie, menselijk kapitaal, herverdeling en overheidsbeleid. Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 37, 3- 22. Praag, C.M. van (2005). Rapport Literature review Relatie beloning van topbestuurders en bedrijfsprestaties. [Commissioned by the Monitoring Commissie Corporate Governance Code].

5. Other

Grants Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2005). Received a VENI grant (NWO).

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Groeneveld, S. & Hartog, J. (2004). Overeducation, wages and promotions within the firm. Labour Economics, 11, (6), 701-714. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004), A direct method for estimating the compensating income variation for severe headache and migraine. Social Science and Medicine, 58, 305-314. Groot, W., Maassen van den Brink, H. & Plug, E.J.S. (2004). Money for health: The equivalent variation of cardiovascular diseases. Health Economics, 13,(9), 859-872. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004). Are we educating too much? Overeducation in the labor market: a meta analysis. Zdrowie Publiczne, 114, 63-72. Hinloopen, J. (2004). The market for knowledge brokers. Small Business Economics, 22, (5), 407-415. Jacobs, B. (2004). The Lost Race Between Schooling and Technology. De Economist, 151, (1), 47-78. Leuven, E. & Oosterbeek, H. (2004). Evaluating the effect of tax deductions on training. Journal of Labor Economics, 22, 461-488. Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H. & Ophem, H. van (2004). Explaining international differences in male skill wage differentials by differences in demand and supply of skill. Economic Journal, 114, 466-486. Lippe, T. van der, Tijdens, K.G. & Ruijter, E. de (2004). Outsourcing of domestic tasks and time saving effects. Journal of Family Issues, 25, (2), 216-240. Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. & Kuilen, G. van der (2004). Cultural differences in ultimatum game experiments: Evidence from a meta-analysis. Experimental Economics, 7, 171-188. Peters, P., Tijdens, K.G. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2004). Employees' opportunities, preferences, and practices in telecommuting adoption. Information & Management, 41, (4), 469-482. Plug, E.J.S. (2004). Estimating the effect of mother's schooling on children's schooling using a sample of adoptees. American Economic Review, 94, (1), 358-368. Plug, E.J.S. & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2004). Effects of Sexual Preferences on Earnings in the Netherlands. Journal of Population Economics, 17, (1), 117-131. Plug, E.J.S. & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2004). A Bivariate Poisson Count Data Model Using Conditional Probabilities. Statistica Neerlandica, 58, (3), 349-364. Praag, C.M. van, Bosma, N., Thurik, R. & Wit, G. de (2004). The Value of Human and Social Capital Investments for the Business Performance of Startups. Small Business Economics, 23, (3), 227-236. Praag, C.M. van & Sluis, J. van der (2004) Economic returns to education for entrepreneurs: The development of a neglected child in the family of economics of education? Swedish Economic Policy Review, 11, (2), 183-226. Sloof, R., Sonnemans, J. & Oosterbeek, H. (2004). Specific investments, holdup, and the outside option principle. European Economic Review, 48, 1399-1410. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2004). The Economic Contribution of the Copyright-based Sector in the Netherlands. Review of Economic Research on Copyright Issues, 1, (1), 65-69. Webbink, D. & Hartog, J. (2004). Can students predict their starting salaries? Yes! Economics of Education Review, 23, (2), 103-113.

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Books, Monographs Praag, B.M.S. van & Ferer-i-Carbonell, A. (2004). Hapiness Quantified: A Satisfaction Calculus Approach. Oxford University Press, Oxford: United Kingdom.

Books edited Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & Del Boca, D. (eds) (2004). Fertility in Europe: the role of social policies, submitted for publication. Cambridge University Press.

Chapters Groot, W., Maassen van den Brink, H., Dobbelsteen S. & Mierlo, N. van (2004). The economics of early childhood education: a survey. In Sofer, C. (ed.), Human Capital over the Life Cycle (pp. 15-35). Edgar Elgar Publishers. Hartog, J. (2004). Comparing migrants to non-migrants: the case of Dutch migration to New Zealand. In Zimmermann, K. & Constant, A. 2004 (eds), How labor migrants fare (pp. 97-120). Berlin: Springer Verlag. From Hartog, J. & Winkelmann, R. (2003). Journal of Population Economics, 16, (3). Margolis, D., Plug, E.J.S., Simonnet, V. & Vilhuber, L. (2004). The Role of Early Career Experiences in Determining Later Career Success: An International Comparison. In Sofer, C. (ed.) Human Capital Over the Life Cycle: A European Perspective. Northampton USA: Edgar Elgar Publishing. Praag, C.M. van, Gelderen, M. van, Brand, M., Ombach, M. & Bodewes, W. (2004). Some advances in the explanation of entrepreneurial intentions. In Dowling, M., Schmuede, J. & zu Knyphausen-Aufsess, D. (eds), Advances in Interdisciplinary European Entrepreneurship Research (pp. 27-45). Münster, Germany: Lit Verlag. Tijdens, K.G. (2004). Women in Management in the Netherlands. In Davidson, M.J. & Burke, R.J. (eds), Women in Management Worldwide (pp. 68-82). Aldershot: Ashgate.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J.M.M. (2004). Innovatie in Nederland: De Markt Draalt en de Overheid Faalt. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4448), 582-585. Jacobs, B., Kalshoven, F. & Tang, P.J.G. (2004). Epiloog: Noodzakelijk Links. Socialisme en Democratie, 61, (3), 32-37. Nicolaas, H., Sprangers, A., Zorlu, A. & Hartog, J. (2004). Migranten: wie komen, wie gaan terug en wie laten hun gezin overkomen? Bevolkingstrends, II, 36-42. Nooij, M. de & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2004). De kosten en baten van internationale organisaties. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 25, (3), 116-141. Sprangers, A., Zorlu, A., Hartog, J. & Nicolaas, H. (2004). Immigranten op de Arbeidsmarkt. Bevolkingstrends (pp. 45-53). Voorburg: CBS. Sprangers, A., Zorlu, A., Hartog, J. & Nicolaas, H. (2004). Immigranten op de arbeidsmarkt. Sociaal-Economische Trends, 2004-II (pp. 27-37). Voorburg: CBS. Tijdens, K.G., Winter, J.M. de & Korteweg, J.A.C (2004). Voorwaarden voor verlofsparen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4424), 42-43.

Chapters Bovenberg, L. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2004). Arbeid en Innovatie. In Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J. (eds), Innovatie in Nederland. De markt draalt en de overheid

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faalt. Preadviezen voor de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 137-160). KVS. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004). De waarde van waarden. In Schuyt, C. (ed.), Bijdragen aan Normen en Waarden (pp. 251-273). Amsterdam University Press. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004). Stress en WAO: de prijs van emancipatie? In Glastra, F., Haar, S. van der, Lens, M. & Schedler, P. (eds), Losse Koppelingen: Over Flexibilisering van Arbeid, Organisatie en Leefwereld (pp. 97-112). Den Haag: Reed Business Information. Hartog, J. (2004). Midassen. Reprint in Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Jaarboek 2003/2004 (pp. 85-86). Utrecht: Lemma/ESB. From ESB, 16 April (204), 169. Jacobs, B. & Webbink, D. (2004). Onderwijs, Innovatie en Productiviteit. In Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J.M.M. (eds) (2004), Preadviezen voor de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Innovatie in Nederland: De Markt Draalt en de Overheid Faalt (pp. 163-186). Amsterdam: Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2004). Innovatie in Nederland. De markt draalt en de overheid faalt. In Jacobs, B. & Theeuwes, J. (eds), Preadviezen voor de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Innovatie in Nederland. De markt draalt en de overheid faalt (pp. 191-210). Amsterdam: Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Praag, C.M. van & Cools, K. (2004) Hoe effectief is ons corporate governance system? Reprint in Yearbook 2003-2004 of the "Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 91-99). Utrecht: Lemma/ESB. Praag, C.M. van & Cools, K. (2004) De essentie van prestatiemaatstaven. Reprint in Yearbook 2003-2004 of the Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 114-122). Utrecht: Lemma/ESB. Theeuwes, J. (2004). Het ongrijpbare publiek belang. In Meurs, P.L. & Sie Dhian Ho, M. (eds), Democraat met Beleid. Liber amicorum Michiel Scheltema (pp. 163- 174). Den Haag: WRR.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Cardoso, P (2004, 7 December). The Future of Old-age Pensions: its explosion and implosion, [promotor: Prof.dr. B.M.S. van Praag]. Kenjoh, E. (2004, 29 June). Balancing Work and Family Life in Japan and Four European Countries: Econometric Analyses on Mothers’ Employment and Timing of Maternity. Universiteit van Amsterdam [promotor Prof.dr. S.S. Gustafsson].

4. Professional publications and products

Aalbers, R., Dijkgraaf, E., Onderstal, S. & Shestalova, V. (2004). Better safe than sorry? Reliability policy in network industries. CPB/SEOR-ECRI policy document. Den Haag, The Netherlands. Cornelisse-Vermaat, J.R. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004). Overgewicht en voedingsgewoonten in Nederland. Een studie naar verschillen tussen allochtonen en autochtonen in Nederland. Tijdschrift voor Gezondheidswetenschappen, 82, 3. Nederlands Congres Volksgezondheid, 59. Cornelisse-Vermaat, J.R. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004). De Vraag naar

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gezondheid: verschillen tussen allochtonen en autochtonen in Nederland. Tijdschrift voor Gezondheidswetenschappen, 82, 3. Nederlands Congres Volksgezondheid, 60. Del Boca, D., Pasqua, S., Pronzato, C. & Wetzels, C. (2004). Chapter 1: Motherhood and Labour market Participation. In Final Report to the European Commission on The Rationality of Motherhood Choices (pp. 17-42). Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H (2004). Globalisering is goed voor iedereen. Tijdschrift voor Genderstudies, 7, (3), 41-43. Gustafsson, S. & Kenjoh, E. (2004). New Evidence on Work among New Mothers: What Can Labour Unions Do? Transfer, 10, (1). Hartog, J. (2004). Midassen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4431), 169 Hinloopen, J. (2004). Ruimte en economische activiteit. Economenblad, 27, 4-5. Hinloopen, J. (2004). Dat wil ik ook. Rostra Economica, 48, (249), 11. Hinloopen, J. (2004). Marktwerking aan de Amstel: ENCORE. Rostra Economica, 48, (249), 8-10. Janssens, L., Kok, L., Wetzels, C. & Tijdens, K.G. (2004). Uittreding en herintreding in zorg en welzijn. Tilburg, Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. OSA-publicatie ZW52 Klaauw, B. van der, Leuven, E. & Oosterbeek, H. (2004). Financiele prikkels voor studenten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, 156-157. Koning, P. & Onderstal, S. (2004). Goed aanbesteed is het halve werk: een economische analyse van de aanbesteding van reïntegratie. CPB policy document. Den Haag, The Netherlands. Koning, P. & Onderstal, S. (2004). Werkzoekenden onder de hamer. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4446), 544-546. Odink J.G. (2004). Nr. 14; De rijke poldereconomie in een dip. Economenblad, juni, 14- 15. Odink J.G. (2004). Brood en Olympische spelen. Economenblad, september/oktober, 14-15. Onderstal, S. & Appelman, M. (2004). Gelijk Speelveld met Beleid. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4430), 161-163. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2004). Een kritische beschouwing van de Calculus van het publiek belang. In Essays over de Calculus van het publiek belang. Den Haag: Kenniscentrum voor Ordeningsvraag-stukken. Tijdens, K.G. (2004). Een functie met inhoud 2004. Onderzoeksrapport voor FNV Bondgenoten. Amsterdam: Universiteit van Amsterdam. Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2004). Enabling The Role Of Institutions For Gender Equality In Employment In Europe: Towards A Capability-Based Approach Of Household Behaviour. Report Universite Libre de Bruxelles, Bruxelles. Research in Action Programme. Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & Tijdens, K.G. (2004). Baanzekerheid in de zorgsector, Onderzoek op basis van de Zorgloonwijzer. Zorlu, A., Hartog, J., Sprangers, A. & Nicolaas, H. (2004). Retourmigratiegrdrag van recente immigranten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, 402-404.

5. Other

Grants Leuven, E. (2004). NWO VENI grant Causes and Consequences of Teacher Absenteeism. Maassen van den Brink, H. (2004). Grant voor Surf project 'Community website for SCHOLAR(s), in co-operation with K. de Belder, UB, UVA.

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Awards Tijdens, K.G. (2004). Nominee for the Rosabeth Moss Kanter Award for Excellence in Work-Family Research. Tijdens, K.G. (2004). FP6 grant for WOLIWEB The socio-economic determinants of citizens’ work life attitudes, preferences and perceptions, using data from the continuous web-based European Wage Indicator Survey (FP6-2004-50659, duration 2004-2007).

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). A direct method for estimating the compensating income variation for severe headeache and migraine. Social Science and Medicine, 58, 305-314. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Firm-related training tracks: a random effects ordered probit model. Economics of Education Review, 22, 581-589. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Match specific gains to marriage: a random effects ordered response model. Quality and Quantity, 37, 317-325. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Sympathy and the value of health: the spill-over effects of migraine on household well-being. Social Indicators Research, 61, 97-120. Harmon, C., Oosterbeek, H. & Walker, I. (2003). The returns to education: microeconomics. Journal of Economic Surveys, 17, 115-155. Hartog, J., Plug, E.J.S., Serrano, L. & Vieira, J. (2003). Compensation wage differentials for wage uncertainty. Empirical Economics, 28, 639-647. Hartog, J. & Winkelmann, R. (2003). Comparing migrants to non-migrants: the case of Dutch migration to New Zealand. Journal of Population Economics, 16, (3), 683–705. Hinloopen, J. (2003). An economic analysis of leniency programmes. De Economist, 151, (4), 415-432. Hinloopen, J. (2003). R&D efficiency gains due to co-operation. Journal of Economics, 80, (2), 107-125. Hinloopen, J. & Haan, L. de (2003). Ordering the preference hierarchies for internal finance, bank loans, bond and share issue: evidence from Dutch firms. Journal of Empirical Finance, 10, (5), 661-681. Hinloopen, J. (2003). Innovation performance across Europe. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 12, (2), 145-161. Klaveren, M. van & Tijdens, K.G. (2003). Substitution or Segregation? The Impact of Changes in Employment, Production and Product on the Gender Composition in Dutch Manufacturing 1899 -1999. Economic and Industrial Democracy, 24, (4), 595-629. Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. & Sonnemans, J. (2003). An experimental comparison of reliance levels under alternative breach remedies. RAND Journal of Economics 34, 205-222. Lindahl, M., Björklund, A. & Sund, K. (2003). Family background and school performance during a turbulent era of school reforms. Swedish Economic Policy Review, 2, Autumn. Oosterbeek, H., Sonnemans, J. & Velzen, S. van (2003). The need for marriage contracts: an experimental study. Journal of Population Economics, 16, 431- 453. Peters, P., Tijdens, K.G. & Wetzels, C. (2003). Employees opportunities, preferences and practices in telecommuting adoption. Information and Management. www.sciencedirect.com Plug, E.J.S. & Vijverberg, W. (2003). Schooling, family background, and adoption: Is it nature or is it nurture? Journal of Political Economy, 111, 611-641. Praag, B.M.S. van, Frijters, P.& Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2003). The anatomy of subjective well-being. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 51, 29-49.

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Praag, B.M.S. van & Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2003). Income satisfaction inequality and its causes. Journal of Economic Inequality, 1, 107-127. Praag, C.M. van (2003). Business Survival and Success of Young Small Business Owners. Small Business Economics, 21, (1), 1-17. Tijdens, K.G. (2003). Employers' and employees' preferences for working time reduction and working time differentiation. A study of the 36 hours working week in the Dutch banking industry. Acta Sociologica, 46, (1), 69-82 .

Chapters Groot W. & Maassen van den Brink H. (2003). The dynamics of skill mismatches in the Dutch labor market. In Büchel, F., Mertens, A. & Grip, A. de (eds). Overeducation in Europe. Edward Elgar Publishers. Groot W. & Maassen van den Brink H. (2003). The dynamics of skill mismatches in the Dutch labor market. In Büchel, F., Mertens, A. & Grip, A. de (eds). Overeducation in Europe. Edward Elgar Publishers.Hartog, J. (2003, 21 March). Gustafsson, S.S., Kenjoh, E. & Wetzels, C. (2003). Employment Choices and Pay Differences between Non-Standard and Standard Work in Britain, Germany, Netherlands and Sweden. In Houseman, S. & Osawa, M. (eds), Nonstandard Work Arrangements in Japan, Europe, and the United States. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. (Translation in Japanese, Japanese Institute of Labour). Kenjoh, E., Gustafsson, S.S. & Wetzels, C. (2003). Standard and Nonstandard Work Arrangements in The Netherlands, Sweden, Britain and Germany: Employment Choices and Wage Differences. (オランダ、スウェーデン、イギリス、ドイツにおける典型労働就業選択と賃 金格差). In Osawa, M. & Houseman, S. (eds), The Future of Working Life: A comparison of Nonstandard Work Arrangements in Japan, Europe and the United States (働き方の未来:非典型労働の日米欧比較). The Japan Institute of Labour. Klaveren, M. van, Peters, P., Wetzels, C. & Tijdens, K.G. (2003). ICT and Telework in the Netherlands. In Doorne-Huiskes, J. van, Dulk, L. den & Peper, B. (eds). Flexible working and organisational change: the integration of work and personal life. Cheltenham: Edgar Elgar Publishers. Praag, B.M.S. van (2003). Cost of Children. In Demeny, P. & McNicoll, G. (eds), Encyclopedia of Population (pp. 177-180). New York: Macmillan Reference USA. Tijdens, K.G. (2003). Equal Pay in the Netherlands. In European Commission-DG EMPL, Equal Pay in Belgium, Final Report (pp. 75-79).

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Cools, K. & Praag, C.M. van (2003). Hoe effectief is ons corporate governance systeem? Economische Statistische Berichten, (4403), 220-223. Cools, K. & Praag, C.M. van (2003). De essentie van prestatiemaatstaven. Economische Statistische Berichten, (4394), 56-59. Cornelisse-Vermaat, J., Maassen van den Brink, H. & Groot, W. (2003). De prijs van overgewicht. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4395), 92-94. Ewijk, C. van, Jacobs, B., Mooij, R.A. de & Tang, P.J.G. (2003). Tien Doelmatigheidsargumenten voor Progressieve Belastingen. Tijdschrift voor Openbare Financiën, 1, 30-35.

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Groot W. & Maassen van den Brink H. (2003). Economie van de taal, Economisch- Statistische Berichten, 88, (4397), 123 (column). Hartog, J. & Theeuwes, J. (2003). Wat heeft arbeidseconomen opgewonden? – Een selectieve terugblik. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Economie, 25, (1), 81-107. Herpen, M. van, Praag, C.M. van & Cools, K. (2003). De promotieprikkel. Economische Statistische Berichten, (4411), 394-395. Leuven, E., Lindahl, M., Oosterbeek, H. & Webbink, D. (2003). Onderwijssubsidie niet kosteneffectief. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4406), 276-277. Odink, J.G. (2003). De fiscus en het herbeleggingssprookje. Weekblad voor fiscaal recht, 6544, 132, 1408-1411. [10]. Odink, J.G. (2003). Lonen en rendementen in Nederland in de vorige eeuw. Maand- schrift Economie, 67, (5), 414-426. Praag, C.M. van (2003). De motivatie van de ondernemer. Economische Statistische Berichten, (4402), 17.

Books Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Investeren en terugverdienen. SBO, Den Haag. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Welvaartseffecten van onderwijsinvesteringen. SBO, Den Haag. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Productiviteit en leeftijd. Ministerie SoZa, Den Haag, p. 1-110.

Chapters Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Het gezondheidskapitaal als beleidsdoelstelling. In Groot, W., Brouwer, W. & Lienden, H. van (eds), Gezondheid, een kapitaal goed (pp. 17-28). Public Health Forum. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2003). Zorg voor menselijk kapitaal. In Peters, F. (red.), Stelselherziening en de Arbeidsmarkt in de Zorgsector (pp. 13-28). OSA-publicatie ZW46. Hinloopen, J. & Marrewijk, C. van (2003). De locatie van economische activiteit. In Brakman, S. & Garretsen, H. (eds), Locatie en concurrentie; pre-adviezen van de Koninklijke Vereniging van Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 1-35). Utrecht: Lemma. Klaveren, M. van, Tijdens, K.G., Peters, P. & Wetzels, C. (2003). ICT en telewerken. In Ester, P., Fouarge, D., Kerkhofs, M. & Wolff, C. de (eds), ICT en de Nederlandse arbeidsmarkt (pp. 185-206). Den Haag: Elsevier Bedrijfsinformatie. Odink, J.G. (2003). Lonen, rendementen en prijzen in Nederland in historisch perspectief. In Promotieboek Boorsma (pp. 263-274). Universiteit Twente. Praag, C.M. van (2003). Ideeën over ondernemerschap. Chapter 6 in Risseeuw, P. & Thurik, A.R. (eds), Handboek Ondernemers en adviseurs: management en economie van het Midden- en Kleinbedrijf (pp. 103-126). Kluwer. Tijdens, K.G. & Steijn, B. (2003). De determinanten van ICT-competenties bij werknemers. In P. Ester, P., Fouarge, D., Kerkhofs, M. & Wolff, C. de (eds), ICT en de Nederlandse arbeidsmarkt (pp. 169-183). Den Haag: Elsevier Bedrijfsinformatie. Tijdens, K.G. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2003). Verborgen reserves: onder welke voorwaarden willen welke vrouwen herintreden? In Maassen van den Brink, H. & Salverda, W. (eds), De Nederlandse ArbeidsmarktDag (pp. 135-145). Amsterdam: Congresbijdragen. Uitg. Stichting Nederlandse Arbeidsmarktdag. Visser, J. & Tijdens, K.G. (2003). Zorg- en arbeidsverhoudingen In Peters, F., Bakker, I. & Simons, H. (eds), Stelselherziening en de arbeidsmarkt in de zorgsector (pp. 135-145). Tilburg: Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek.

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3. Ph.D. Thesis

Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2003). Quantitative Analysis of Well-being with Economic Applications. [promotor: Prof.dr. B.M.S. van Praag].

4. Professional Publications and products

Hinloopen, J. (2003). Review of Ellig, J. (ed.) (2001). Dynamic competition and public policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. In De Economist, 151, (4), 460-461. Leuven, E. & Sianesi, B. (2003). PSMATCH2: Stata module to perform full Mahalanobis and propensity score matching, common support graphing, and covariate imbalance testing. http://ideas.repec.org/c/boc/bocode/s432001.html. Pott-Buter, H.A. (2003). Book review of Ones, A.W. & Rownthorn, R. (eds.) (2002). The Law and Economics of Marriage and Divorce. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press. In De Economist, 151, (3), 340-342. Praag, B.M.S. van & Lambooy, J.G. (2003). Het Demografisch Probleem. Liberaal Reveil, 44, (6) (december), 221-227.

5. Other

Grants Gustafsson, S.S. (2001, 1 October). received together with Danièle Meulders, ULB, Brussels Funding for the Research Project: The Rationale of Motherhood Choices: Influence of Employment Conditions and of Public Policies. The project involves 5 partners: Brussels University, Amsterdam University, University of Torino, National Centre for Social Research (EKKE) Athens and Observatoire Français des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE) Paris, The total budget is 750.000 € and the project will run for three years starting October 1, 2001. Plug, E.J.S. (2003-2008). NWO VIDI research grant for proposal Intergenerational mobility and the nature and nurture of economic outcomes.

Awards Goeree, M.S. (2003, August). Young Economist Prize, European Association for Research in Industrial Economics (EARIE) for Advertising in the US PC Industry. Sluis, J. van der, Praag, C.M. van & Vijverberg, W. (2003, November) Winner of the Best Paper Award for “Entrepreneurship Selection and Performance: A Meta- analysis of the Impact of Education in Industrialized Countries”at the RENT XVII - RESEARCH IN ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND SMALL BUSINESS conference in Lodz.

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2002

1. International academic publications

Journals Brouwer, M.T. (2002). Weber, Schumpeter and Knight on Entrepreneurship and Economic Development. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 12, 83-105. Cramer, J.S., Hartog, J., Jonker, N. & Praag, C.M. van (2002). Low risk aversion encourages the choice for entrepreneurship: an empirical test of a truism. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 48, (1), 29-36. Dobbelsteen, S., Levin, J. & Oosterbeek, H. (2002). The causal effect of class size on scholastic achievement: Distinguishing the pure class size effect from the effect of changes in class composition. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 64, 17-38. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Sympathy and the value of health: the spill-over effects of migraine on household well-being. Social Indicators Research, 61, 97-120. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Age and education differences and their effects on life satisfaction. Journal of Happiness Studies, 3, 153-165. Gustafsson, S.S., Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & Kenjoh, E. (2002). Postponement of Maternity and the Duration of Time Spent at Home after First Birth. Panel Data Analyses comparing Germany, Great Britain, the Netherlands and Sweden. Public Finance and Management, (2), 2. Hartog, J., Ferrrer-I-Carbonell, A. & Jonker, N. (2002). Linking measured risk aversion to individual characteristics. Kyklos, 55, (1), 3-26. Hartog, J. (2002). On human capital and individual capabilities. Review of Income and Wealth, 47, (4), 515-540. Hartog, J., Leuven, E. & Teulings C.N. (2002). Wages and the Bargaining Regime in a Corporatist Setting. European Journal of Political Economy, 18, 317-331. Hartog, J. & Ranasinghe, A. (2002). Free education in Sri Lanka. Does it eliminate the family effect? Economics of Education Review, 21, (6), 623-633. Hartog, J., Pereira, P. & Vieira, J. (2002). Bargaining regime and wages in Portugal. Portugese Economic Journal, 1, (3), 237-268. Hinloopen, J. (2002). Price regulation in a spatial duopoly with possible non-buyers. Annals of Regional Science, 36, (1), 19-39. Hinloopen, J. (2002). Book review of Barrell, R., Mason, G. & O’Mahony, M. (eds) (2000). Productivity, innovation and economic performance. In De Economist, 150, (5), 617-619. Jacobs, B. & Nahuis, R. (2002). A General Purpose Technology Explains the Solow Paradox and Wage Inequality. Economics Letters, 74, 243–250. Jacobs, B., Nahuis, R. & Tang, P. (2002). Sectoral Productivity Growth and R&D Spillovers in the Netherlands. De Economist, 150, 181–210. Leuven, E. & Oosterbeek, H. (2001). Firm-Specific Human Capital as a Shared Investment: Comment. The American Economic Review, 91, (1), 342-347. Pavlova, M., Groot, W. & Merode, F. van (2002). Public attitudes towards patient payments in Bulgarian public health care sector: results of a household survey. Health Policy, 59, 1-24. Praag, B.M.S. van & Ferrer-I-Carbonell, A. (2002). The subjective costs of health losses due to chronic diseases. An alternative model for monetary appraisal. Health Economics, 11, 709-722. Praag, B.M.S. van & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2002). The Cost and Benefits of Lifelong Learning: The case of the Netherlands. Human Resource Development Quarterly, 13, (2), 151-168.

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Praag, C.M. van & Wit, G. de (2002). The Value of Investments in Human and Social Capital for Small Business Founders. Frontiers in Entrepreneurship Research. Smits, N., Mellenbergh, G.J., & Vorst, H.C.M. (2002). Alternative missing data techniques to grade point average: Imputing unavailable grades. Journal of Educational Measurement, 39, 187-206. Tijdens, K.G. (2002). Gender Roles and Labor Use Strategies: Women’s Parttime Work in the European Union. Feminist Economics, 8, (1), 71-99 Tijdens, K.G. (2002). The impact of a career break on a woman’s wage. Transfer, 8, (1), 123-127. Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & K.G. Tijdens. (2002). Women's career break due to motherhood and the effects on wages. Cahier Economique de Bruxelles, 45, (1), 169-189.

Books, Monographs Zorlu, A. (2002). Ethnic and Gender Wage Differentials, Amsterdam: AIAS Research Report 13.

Chapters Gustafsson, S.S., Kenjoh, E. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2002). The Role of Education on Postponement of Maternity in Britain, Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden. In Ruspini, E. & Dale, A. (eds), The Gender Dimension of Social Change: The Contribution of Dynamic Research to the Study of Women’s Life Courses (pp. 55-79). Policy Press. Gustafsson, S.S., Kenjoh, E. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2002). First Time Mothers' Labour Force Transitions in Britain, Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden. In Mosley, H., O’Reilly, J. & Schömann, K. (eds), Labour Markets, Gender and Institutional Change, Essays in Honour of Günther Schmid (pp. 185-211). Cheltenham, United Kingdom: Edward Elgar. Hartog, J. (2002). Over the hill: the Dutch way out of the labour market misery. In Ilmakunnas, S. & Koskela, E. (eds), Towards higher emloyment, the role of labour market institutions, (pp. 169-188). Helsinki: Valtion Taloudellinen Tutkimuskeskus (Government Institute for Economic Research). Hartog, J. & Zorlu, A. (2002). Migration and immigrants. In Rotte, R. & Stein, P. (eds), Migration policy and the economy: minternational experiences (pp. 119-149). München: Hanns Seidel Stiftung. Raes, S., Rath, J., Dreef, M., Kumcu, A., Reil, F. & Zorlu, A. (2002). Amsterdam: Stiched Up. In Rath, J. (ed), Unraveling the Rag Trade. Immigrant Entrepreneurship in Seven World Cities. Oxford: Berg Publishers. Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2002, September). Motherhood and wages; Reviewing the effects of time out for child care working part time and children, Chapter 4 in State of the Art. MOCHO project, contractno HPSE CT2001-00096. The rationale of motherhood choices: influence of employment conditions and of public policies.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Brouwer, M.T. (2002). Schumpeter en Weber over Ondernemen. Filosofie in Bedrijf, 14, (2), 7-18. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Marktwerking in het funderend onderwijs. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4370, 548-550. Jacobs, B. & Mooij, R. de (2002). Fiscaliteit en de Kenniseconomie (Taxation in the Knowledge Economy). Openbare Uitgaven, 34, 62–72.

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Jacobs, B. (2002). Equity Participation in het Hoger Onderwijs (Equity Participation in Higher Education). Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4367, 484–487. Jacobs, B. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2002). Herverdeling en Onderwijssubsidies (Redistribution and Education Subsidies). Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4379, 744–746. Kok, R.S., Praag, C.M. van, Cools, K. & Herpen, M. van (2002). Motiverend belonen loont. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4386), 867-870. Plug, E.J.S. & Berkhout, P. (2002). Het verdiende loon van homo's. Economische Statistische Berichten, 87, 16-18. Tijdens, K.G. (2002). Van arbeidsduurverkorting via deeltijdarbeid en verlofsparen naar de CAO-à-la-carte: de impact van het Akkoord van na twintig jaar. Tijdschrift voor Arbeidsvraagstukken, 18, (4), 309-318. Tijdens, K.G. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2002). Gevraagd: herintreedsters. Nemesis, 18, (2), 39-45. Tijdens, K.G. (2002). De vrouwenloonwijzer. Over Werk, Tijdschrift van het steunpunt WAV, 12, (1-2), 144-146. Webbink, H.D. (2002). Moeten we ons zorgen maken over de dalende Citoscores? Pedagogische Studien, 79, (3), 184-191. Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & Tijdens, K.G. (2002). Ficties en feiten over herintreedsters. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4349), 176-178.

Books Abbring, J.H. & Klaauw, B. van der (2002). Analyse van activerend arbeidsmarktbeleid in dynamische modellen. In Daadwerkelijk effectief, prestatiemeting van reintegratie en activering. Hoofddorp: TNO. Dorhout, P., Maassen van den Brink, H. & Groot, W. (2002). Winst komt met de Jaren. Den Haag: Taskforce Ouderen en Arbeid. pp 1-150. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). De Economische effecten van (on) gezond gedrag. Achtergrondstudie voor de Raad voor de Volksgezondheid en Welzijn, RVZ, Zoetermeer. Pott-Buter, H.A. & Tijdens, K.G. (2002). Emancipatie-effectrapportage belastingen en premies. Een verkenning naar nieuwe mogelijkheden vanuit het belastingstelsel 2001. AIAS Research Report RR02/12. Universiteit van Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Salverda, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002) (eds). De Nederlandse Arbeidsmarkt in 2002. Den Haag: Stichting NAD. Thijsse, J. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Legkaart van de vergrijzing, 50plussers in het onderwijs. Onderwijsraad, Den Haag. Tijdens, K.G., Dragstra, A., Dragstra, D., Klaveren, M. van, Osse, P., Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & Zorlu, A. (2002). Loonwijzers 2001/(2002). Werk, lonen en beroepen van mannen en vrouwen in Nederland. AIAS Research Report RR02/10. Universiteit van Amsterdam. Tijdens, K.G. & Steijn, B. (2002). Competenties van Werknemers in de Informatiemaatschappij. Een survey over ICT-gebruik. AIAS Research Report RR02/11. Universiteit van Amsterdam.

Chapters Brouwer, M.T. (2002). Strategie en Ondernemerschap. In Witteveen, A., Zegveld, M. & Witteloostuijn, A. van (eds), De Grote Lijn; Strategie en Strategisch Management (pp. 180-199). Schiedam: Scriptum Uitgevers. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Arbeidsmarkt in ontwikkeling door opleiding. Essay in: Schoolagenda 2010, Adviesraad voor het Wetenschaps- en Technologiebeleid (AWT) en Commissie van Overleg Sectorraden onderzoek en ontwikkeling (COS), p. 5-35. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Europa in het onderwijs. In

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Wieringen, F. van (ed.), Europa in het Hoger Onderwijs (pp. 11-26). Den Haag: Onderwijsraad. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Skill mismatches in the labor market: a meta-analysis. In Nata, R. (ed.), Progress in Education, Volume 4 (p. 1-19). Huntingdon, New York: Nova Science Publishers. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2002). Vergrijzing op de arbeidsmarkt. In Wieringen, A.M.L. van (ed.), Max Goote Jaarboek 2002. Amsterdam: Max Goote Kenniscentrum, Elsevier Bedrijfsinformatie. Hartog, J. (2002). Nederland immigratieland? Nee!. In Dalen, H. Van & Kalshoven F. (eds), Meesters van de welvaart (pp. 91-103). Amsterdam: Balans. Oosterbeek, H. (2002). Waarom de fiscus zich niet met scholing moet bemoeien. In Dalen, H. van & Kalshoven, F. (2002). Meesters van de welvaart. Top economen over Nederland. Amsterdam: Uitgeverij Balans. Peters, P., Tijdens, K.G. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P (2002). Mogen, willen en doen niet altijd gelijk! Toegang, wensen en praktijk van telethuiswerken in Nederland. In Batenburg, R., Benders, J., Heuvel, N. van den & Onstenk, J. (eds), Arbeid en ICT in onderzoek (pp. 137-151). Utrecht: Lemma. Tijdens, K.G. (2002). Werken in de digitale delta. De ontwikkeling van enquêtevragen om ICT-gebruik in organisaties te meten. In Batenburg, R., Benders, J., Heuvel, N. van den & Onstenk, J. (eds), Arbeid en ICT in onderzoek (pp. 75- 90). Utrecht: Lemma.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Levin, J. (2002, 23 October). Essays in the economics of education. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor: Prof.dr. J. Hartog, co-promotor Prof.dr. H. Oosterbeek]. Mot, E.S. (2002, 15 November). Paying the medical sapecialist: the eternal puzzle, Experiments in the Netherlands [Promotor Prof.dr. B.M.S. van Praag, co- promotor J.W. Velthuijsen].

4. Professional Publications and products

Hartog, J. (2002). Desperately seeking structure, Sherwin Rosen (1938-2001). Economic Journal, November. Krueger, A.B. & Lindahl, M. (2002). The School’s Need for Resources – A Report about the importance of small classes. Ds 2002:12, Government Report, The Swedish Ministry of Finance, 123 pages, May. Krueger, A.B. & Lindahl, M. (2002). Klassfrågan – En ESO-rapport om Lärartätheten I skolan. Ds 2002:11, Government Report, The Swedish Ministry of Finance, 74 pages, May 2002. (Shortened and non-technical version of DS 2002:12 above)

5. Other

Grants Hartog, J. (2002). Research grant. Economische effecten van immigratie. Ministerie van Financiën. Den Haag. Hinloopen, J. (2002).co-author of the winning bid for hosting the Network on Competition and Regulation at the FEE of the University of Amsterdam, involving a six year subsidy of 3 M € in total (with J. Theeuwes).

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Tijdens, K.G. (2002, January). Research grant for a study of wage differentials by ethnicity and gender, as part of the Loonwijzer project. Grant from the Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment, Den Haag.

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Praag, B.M.S. van (2001). Poverty in Russia. Journal of Happiness Studies, 2, (2), 147-172. Godfried, H.M., Oosterbeek, H. & Tulder, F. van (2001). Adverse selection and the demand for supplementary dental insurance. De Economist, 149, 177-190. Gustafsson, S.S. (2001). Optimal Age at Motherhood. Theoretical and Empirical Considerations on Postponement of Maternity in Europe. Journal of Population Economics, 14, (2), 225-247. Gustafsson, S.S., Kenjoh, E. & Wetzels, C.M.M.P. (2001). Does Part Time Work During Early Motherhood Lead to Regular Work Later? A Comparison of Labour Market Behaviour of Mothers with Young Children in Germany, Britain, the Netherlands and Sweden, Viertelsjahrheft, 15-23. Hartog, J., Pereira, P. & Cabral Vieira, J. (2001). Inter-industry wage dispersion in Portugal. Empirica, 27, (4), 353-364. Hartog, J., Pereira, P. & Cabral Vieira, J. (2001). Changing returns to education in Portugal during the 1980s and early 1990s: OLS and quantile regression estimators. Applied Economics, 33,1021-1037. Hartog, J. (2001). On human capital and individual capabilities. Review of Income and Wealth, 47, (4), 515-540. Hartog, J., Pereira, P. & Cabral Vieira, J. (2001). Vocational training and earnings in Portugal. Economia, 35-52. Hinloopen, J. (2001). Subsidizing R&D cooperatives. De Economist, 149, (3), 313- 345. Hinloopen, J. & Marrewijk, Ch. van (2001). On the empirical distribution of the Balassa index. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 137, (1), 1-35. Klaauw, B. van der (2001). Combining micro and macro unemployment duration data. Journal of Econometrics, 102, 271-301. Krueger, A.B. & Lindahl, M. (2001). Education for Growth: Why and For Whom? Journal of Economic Literature, XXXIX, (4), (December), 1101-1136. Plug, E.J.S. (2001). Season of birth, schooling and earnings. Journal of Economic Psychology, 22, 641-660. Praag, C.M. van & Cramer, J.S. (2001). The roots of entrepreneurship and labour demand: individual ability and low risk aversion. Economica, 269, 45-62. Rengers, M. & Plug, E.J.S. (2001). Private or Public? How Dutch Visual Artists Choose between Working for the Market and the Government. Journal of Cultural Economics, 25, 1-20. Sonnemans, J., Oosterbeek, H. & Sloof, R. (2001). On the relation between asset ownership and specific investments. Economic Journal, 111, 791-820.

Books, Monographs Wetzels C.M.M.P. (2001). Squeezing Birth into Working Life, household panel data analyses comparing Germany, Great-Britain, the Netherlands and Sweden (pp. 181). Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing. Smits, J. & Odink, J. (2001). The Inequality of the Wage Distribution in 15 European Countries. PURE, Final Report. Helsinki: ETLA.

Chapters Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2001). Parenting between labor market and household. In Gerris, J. (ed.), The dynamics of parenting (pp. 273-296). Leuven: Garant Publishers.

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Martin, S. (2001). Competition Policy. In Artis, M. & Nixson, F. (eds), The Economics of the European Union (pp. 125-42). Oxford University Press. Odink, J., Smits, J. & Hartog, J. (2001). The Netherlands. In Harmon, C., Walker, I. & Westergaard-Nielsen, N. (eds), Education and Earnings in Europe: A Cross Country Analysis of the Returns to Education (pp. 179-197). Cheltingham/Northamton: Edward Elgar. Tijdens, K.G. (2001). Are Secondary Parttime Jobs Marginalised? Job Characteristics of Women Employed less than Twenty Hours a Week in the European Union. In Lippe, T. van der & Dijk, L. van (eds), Women’s Employment in a Comparative Perspective (pp. 203-219). New York: Aldine de Gruyter.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Bovenberg, A.L. & Jacobs, B. (2001). Rechtvaardigheid of Individualisering. Economisch Statistische Berichten, (4310), 437-439. Cools, K. & Praag, C.M. van (2001). On the virtues of transparency and simplicity: an empirical analysis of the value-relevance of targets. Special issue in English of Maandblad voor Accountancy en Bedrijfseconomie, 74, 24-37. Cools, K. & Praag, C.M. van (2001). Meerdere doelstellingen is geen doelstelling. Economische Statistische Berichten, 86, (4321), 644-647. Groot, W. & Maassen van den Brink, H. (2001). Deirdre McCloskey is een profeet. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4305), 348-349. Hartog, J., Jonker, N. & Ophem, H. van (2001). Duale opleidingen: niet enkel beter. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4291), 56-58. Hartog, J., Praag, B.M.S. van & Plug, E.J.S. (2001). Een droomtax op inspanning. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, 308-311. Hartog, J. (2001). Book review - Geprikkeld hoger onderwijs. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4335), 910-911. Hinloopen, J. (2001). Accomodeer de revolutie. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4307), D11. Klaauw, B. van der & Berg, G.J. van den (2001). Goed beleid begint met goede toetsing. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (69), 904-905. Plug, E.J.S. (2001). De genen daargelaten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, 267-268. Praag, B.M.S. van (2001). Pensioenfondsen in gevaar. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 886, (4330), 795. Tijdens, K.G., Klaveren, M. van & Wetzels, C. (2001). Wie kan en wie wil telewerken? Een enquête in de ICT-sector. Tijdschrift voor Arbeidsvraagstukken, 17, (2), 152-164. Tijdens, K.G. (2001). De Vrouwenloonwijzer. Werk, lonen en beroepen van vrouwen. Amsterdam: AIAS research report 7. Tijdens, K.G. (2001). Werken in de digitale delta. Een vragenbank voor ICT-gebruik in organisaties. Amsterdam: AIAS research report 8, NWO-MES project no. 495-43-004. Wetzels, C.M.M.P. & Tijdens, K.G. (2001). Dubbel delen in de digitale delta. (Also published in English: A Digital Dutch Miracle in Households and Firms). Delft: TNO-STB.

Chapters Groot, W. (2001). Geld voor leven: betalen voor innovaties in de zorg. In Gradus, R. et. al (eds), Nederland Kennisland? Groningen: Wolters-Noordhof.

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Maassen van den Brink, H. (2001). De economische effecten van informeel leren. In Wieringen, A.M.L. van (ed.), Culturele Dimensie van leven lang leren. Den Haag: Nationale Unesco Commissie. Oosterbeek, H. & Webbink, H.D. (2001). Risico's van indicatoren van schoolkwaliteit. In Dijkstra, A.B., Karsten, S., Veenstra, R. & Visscher, A.J. (eds), Het oog der natie: Scholen op rapport, 2001. Assen: Van Gorcum. Pott-Buter, H.A. (2001). Veranderende ideeen over kinderbijslag. In Jaspers, A.Ph.C.M., Noordam, F.M., Oorschot, W.J.H. van & Pennings, F.J.L. (eds), De gemeenschap is aansprakelijk ...’ Honderd jaar sociale verzekering 1901- 2001 (pp. 187-205). Den Haag: Koninklijke Vermande. Pott-Buter, H.A. (2001). Verkleinen van gezondheidsverschillen via inkomensbeleid: mogelijkheden en wenselijkheden. In Stronks, K. & Hulshof J. (eds), De kloof verkleinen Theorie en praktijk van de strijd tegen sociaal-economische gezondheidsverschillen (pp. 81-94). Assen: Koninklijke Van Gorcum. Tijdens, K.G. (2001). De FNV CAO Databank en de vrouwen loonwijzer. Onderzoek naar arbeidsvoorwaarden. In Catz, F. et al. (eds), Ruimte voor de CAO. FNV Jaarboek 2000/2001 (pp. 115-121). Amsterdam: FNV Pers. Waterreus, J.M. (2001). Prestatiebeloning in het onderwijs. In KVS (Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde), Jaarboek 2000/2001 (pp. 71-73).

3. Ph.D. Theses

Beer, P.T. de (2001, 5 June). Over werken in de postindustriële samenleving. [Promotor Prof.dr. J. Hartog, Co-promotor Prof.dr. C.J.M. Schuyt]. Jonker, N. (2001, 13 June). Job performance and career prospects of auditors. Amsterdam, Tinbergen Instituut [Promotor Prof.dr. J. Hartog, co-promotor dr J.C. van Ophem]. Kuiper, E. (2001, 8 February). The Most Valuable of All Capital, a Gender Reading of Economic Texts. Amsterdam, Thela Thesis [Promotor Prof.dr. S.S. Gustafsson]. Leuven, E. (2001, 18 October). Studies in the Economics of training. [Promotor: Prof.dr. H. Oosterbeek]. Velzen, S. van (2001, 6 February). Supplements to the Economics of Household Behaviour. Tinbergen Institute, Research Series [Promotor Prof.dr. S.S. Gustafsson].

4. Professional Publications and products

Groot, W. (2001). Book review of Returns to human capital in Europe: A literature review by Rita Asplund & Pedro Telhado Pereira. Economics of Education Review. Hinloopen, J. (2001). Review of Brakman, S. & Marrewijk, C. van (1999). The economics of international transfers. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. In De Economist, 149, (2), 256-258. Jacobs, B. (2001). Het Betwistbare nut van Hogere Onderwijsuitgaven. Socialisme en Democratie, February. Reprinted in: Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde, Jaarboek 2000/2001. Rotterdam: ESB. Kuiper, E. (2001). Engendering development at the World bank. FENN-Mail. Martin, S. (2001). Advanced Industrial Economics. 2nd revised edition (1st ed. 1993). Basil Blackwell. Martin, S. (2001). Industrial Organisation: A European Perspective. Oxford University Press.

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Oosterbeek, H. (2001, 20 March). Voortschrijdend inzicht. Inaugural lecture. Delivered when accepting a chair as Professor in Onderwijseconomie at the Universiteit van Amsterdam. Amsterdam: Vossius UvA.

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OUTPUT FACULTY WITH LESS THAN 0.2 APPOINTMENT HUMAN CAPITAL

Table 76 Programme results: outcome in numbers (faculty < 0.2 appointment) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 1 5 7 4 7 6 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 2. Dutch journals 1 1 1 1 books chapters 2 1 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications 1

1. International academic publications

Journals 2007 Belot, M., E. Canton and H.D. Webbink, 2007, Does reducing student support affect scholastic performance? Evidence from a Dutch reform, Empirical Economics, 32 (2), 261-275. Blok B.M.J. de, Vlieg-Boerstra B.J., Oude Elberink, J.N.G., Duiverman E.J., DunnGalvin A., Hourihane J. O’B., Cornelisse-Vermaat J.R., Frewer L., Mills E.N.C.& Dubois A.E.J.(2007). A framework for measuring the social impact of food allergy across Europe. A Euro Prevall state of the art paper. Allergy 62; 733 – 737. Cornelisse-Vermaat, J.R., Botjes, E., Frewer, L. & Voordouw, J.(2007). The importance of accurate and understandable food allergen labelling for food allergic consumers. Agrofood Industry hi-tech 18, 5, 25 – 27. Cornelisse-Vermaat J.R., Voordouw J., Yiakoumaki V., Theodoridis G. & Frewer L. (2007). Food-allergic consumers’ labelling preferences; a cross-cultural comparison. European Journal of Public Health, Advance Access published June 21, 1 – 6. Webbink, H.D. (2007). Returns to University Education: Evidence from a Dutch Institutional Reform, Economica, 74 (293),113-134. Webbink, H.D., Hay, D. & P.M. Visscher (2007). Does sharing the same class in school improve cognitive abilities of twins?, Twin Research and Human Genetics, 10(4), 573-580. 2006 Berg, G.J. van den & Klaauw, B. van der (2006). Counseling and monitoring of unemployed workers: theory and evidence from a controlled social experiment. International Economic Review, 47, (3), 895-936. Bilsen, P. van, Hamers, J., Groot, W. & Spreeuwenberg, C. (2006). Demand of elderly people for residential care: an exploratory study. BMC Public Health, 6, 39. Dolders, M., Zeegers, M., Groot, W. & Ament, A. (2006). A meta-analysis demonstrates no significant differences between patient and population preferences. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 59, 653-664. Frijters, P. & Klaauw, B. van der (2006). Job search with nonparticipation. Economic

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Journal, 116, (508), 45-83. Habbani, K., Jelovac, I. & Groot, W. (2006). Household health-seeking behaviour in Khartoum, Sudan: The willingness to pay for public health services if these services are of good quality. Health Policy, 75, 140-158. Joling, C., Groot, W. & Janssen, P. (2006). Duration dependence in sickness absence. Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 48, 803-814. Ronckers, E., Groot, W., Steenbakkers, M., Ruland, E. & Ament, A. (2006). Costs of the ‘Hartslag Limburg’ Community Heart Health Intervention. BMC Public Health, 6, 51. 2005 Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2005). Income and Well-being: An Empirical Analysis of the Comparison Income Effect. Journal of Public Economics, 89, (5-6), 997-1019. Kenjoh, E. (2005). New Mothers’ Employment and Public Policy in the UK, Germany, The Netherlands, Sweden, and Japan. Labour, 19, 4-49. Noailly, J., Waagmeester, D., Jacobs, B., Rensman, M. & Webbink, D. (2005). Scarcity of science and engineering students in the Netherlands. CPB Dcoument 92. The Hague: CPB. Ronckers, E., Groot, W. & Ament, A. (2005). Systematic review of economic evaluations of smoking cessation: standardising the cost-effectiveness. Webbink, D. (2005). Causal effects in education. Journal of Economic Surveys, 19, (4), 535-560. Medical Decision Making, 25, 437-448. 2004 Berg, G.J. van den, Klaauw, B. van der & Ours, J.C. van (2004). Punitive sanctions and the transition rate from welfare to work. Journal of Labor Economics, 22, (1), 211-241. Berkhout, P., Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Muskens, A.C. (2004). The ex-post impact on household energy of an energy tax on household demand. Energy Economics, 26, (3), 297-317. Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Frijters, P. (2004). How important is methodology for the estimates of the determinants of happiness? The Economic Journal, 114, (497), 641-659. Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Bergh, J.C.J.M. van den (2004). A Micro-econometric Analysis of Determinants of Unsustainable Consumption in The Netherlands. Environmental and Resource Economics, 27, (4), 367-389. Groot. W. & Gryga, I. (2004). Social health insurance in the Ukraine: why (not)? Social Work and Public Health, 15, 28-34. Joling, C., Janssen, P. & Groot, W. (2004). Modelling return-to-work intervention strategies: a method to help target interventions. Journal of Occupational Rehabilitation, 14, (1), 43-62. Pavlova, M., Groot W. & Merode, F. van (2004). Willingness and ability of Bulgarian consumers to pay for improved public health care services. Applied Economics, 36, (10), 1117-1130. 2003 Groot, W. (2003). Scale of reference bias and the evolution of health. European Journal of Health Economics, 4, 176-183. Joling, C., Groot, W. & Janssen, P. (2003). Waiting for doctor: gender differences in the timing of an intervention by the occupational physician. Journal of Occupational Rehabilitation, 13, 45-61. Kenjoh, E. (2003). Family Policy and Below Replacement Fertility: Household Panel Data Analyses on Timing of Maternity in Britain, Germany, The Netherlands and Sweden (少子化現象と家族政策の有効性:家計パネルデータによるイギリス、オラン ダ、ドイツ、スウェーデンの学歴別出産タイミングの分析). Mita Business

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Review (三田商学研究), 46, (3). Klaauw, B. van der & Ours, C. van. (2003). From welfare to work: does the neighborhood matter? Journal of Public Economics, 87, (5-6), 957-985. Klaauw, B. van der & Koning, R.H. (2003). Testing the normality assumption in the sample selection model with an application to travel demand. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 21, 31-42. 2001 Waterreus, J.M. & Dobbelsteen, S.H.A.M. (2001). Wages and Teachers’ Hours of Work. De Economist, 149, (3), 277-298.

Books, chapters 2007 Cornelisse-Vermaat J.R., Fischer A.R.H., Kleef E. van, Rijswijk W. van & Voordouw, J. (2007). Gérer les informations sur une alimentation saine aux Pays-Bas. Quels sont les rapports entre l’industrie, les pouvours publics et les consommateurs dans la gestion des informations et leur utilisation? In: Manger … Danger! Beaufils, Th. (ed.). Deshima No 1. 195 – 212 2004 Kenjoh, E. (2004). Family Policy and Timing of Maternity in Advanced Countries: Comparing Britain, Germany, The Netherlands and Sweden [先進諸国の家族政策と学歴別出産タイミング:家計パネルデータによるイギ リス、オランダ、ドイツ、スウェデンの比較, Senshin Shokoku no Kazoku Seisaku to Gakureki-betsu Shussan Taimingu: Kakei Paneru Deta niyoru Igirisu, Oranda, Doitsu, Suweden no Hikaku]. In Kenjoh, Y. (ed.), Pension Reform and Social Security [年金改革と積極的社会保障政策, Nenkin kaikaku to sekkyokuteki shakai hoshō seisaku]. Keio University Press. The book was awarded The 27th Annual Award for Research Monographs on Labour, 2004 jointly sponsored by the Japan Institute for Labour Policy and Training and Yomiuri Newspaper.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals 2006 Bilsen, P. van, Hamers, J., Groot, W. & Spreeuwenberg, C. (2006). Beperkingen in relatie tot zorgindicatie. Provinciale Raad voor de Volksgezondheid. 2005 Groot, W. (2005). Voorkomen kan beter. Psychosociale Oncologie, 13, (3), 16-17. 2003 Berg, G.J. van den & Klaauw, B. van der, Homburg, G.H. & Hospers, L.A. (2003). Activering en controle weinig effectief. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 88, 140-142. 2001 Waterreus, J.M. (2001). Het meten van schoolprestaties. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, 538.

Chapters 2006 Maarse, H. & Groot, W. (2006). Productinnovatie en arbeidsproductiviteit in de zorg. In Gelauff, G. (et. al) (eds), Jaarboek 2005/2006 Koninklijke Vereniging voor

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Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 44-50). KVS. 2004 Groot, W. (2004). Maak Nederland onaantrekkelijk voor migratie. In Ewijk, C. van (ed.), Jaarboek 2003/2004 Vereniging voor Staathuishoudkunde (pp. 44-46). Utrecht: Lemma. Groot, W. (2004). AWBZ. In Handboek Mogelijkheden 27 (pp. VI 1.5.1-1 – VI 1.5.1.- 8). Maarssen: Elsevier, Reed Business Information.

4. Professional publications and products

2002 Groot, W. (2002). Book review of Asplund, R. & Pereira, P. Returns to Human Capital in Europe, A Literature review. In Economics of Education Review, 21, 187.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ Our strength is our human capital. ƒ The group is strong in senior The research group is lively, research capacity but the balance dynamic, entrepreneurial and between junior and senior research creative, with lots of productive capacity is weak. More good Ph.D. interaction. students and postdocs would be a ƒ The group has a good mixture of fruitful basis for additional research focus on the academic community output. and on society. ƒ We are strong in generating external funding, to a significant extent precisely because of this mixture

Opportunities Threats

ƒ With growing international reputation ƒ Quitting of good senior researchers of the research group it should be would impose a loss on the group, possible to attract high-quality visitors and it is important to prevent this by and further increase interaction with giving them excellent working and integration in the international conditions. research community. ƒ Basic funding from the university ƒ The newly acquired funding brings budget is modest and financial opportunities to attract good scholars constraints are alleviated through and finance good data collection. external funding. However these funds have to be obtained in strong external competition, at a cost of time and effort and under uncertainty.

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History & Methodology of Economics: Theorizing, Modeling and Policy Application

ƒ Research area and mission: Methodological approach to past and current economics This research programme investigates the mutual connections in economics between theorizing, modeling, and policy application, in order to explain research strategies and methods of explanation in past and current economics. In this investigation, the research group employs a methodological approach using a theory-historical perspective. This involves examining changing research strategies and methods of explanation as employed in the history of economics up to the present. Keywords: Research strategies and methods of explanation in economics, Current economics as the product of past economics, Economic behaviour in relation to social structure, Models as instruments mediating between theory and data, Economic policy, norms, and values, Methodological approach with a theory-historical perspective ƒ JEL: B (B0-B5) ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. J.B. Davis (2002- 2007), dr. G.A.T.M. Reuten (2002-2005), dr.ir. M.J. Boumans (2006-2007) ƒ Starting date of the programme: 1998 ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: History of Social Science Group, École normale supérieure de Cachan, Center for History in Management and Economics (CHIMES), EUR: M. Blaug, Visiting Director and Co-director, Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science, LSE, UK: M.J. Boumans, Research Associate; M.S. Morgan, Research Associate, Department of Economic History, LSE, UK: M.S. Morgan, Professor History of Economics, Erasmus Institute for Philosophy and Economics, EUR: M. Blaug, Visiting Professor, Honorary Member and Member Advisory Board; J.B. Davis, Member, Marquette University, USA: J.B. Davis, Professor Economics, Max Planck Institute for the History of Science, Berlin, Germany: H.B.J.B. Maas, Core member research project ‘The History of Scientific Observation’, Netherlands Network of Economics (NAKE): M.J.Boumans, Fellow; G.A.T.M. Reuten, Fellow, Tinbergen Institute: J.B. Davis, Fellow; M.J. Boumans, Fellow, Trends and Tensions in Intellectual Integration group, University of Helsinki: J.B. Davis, Research Associate.

B.1 Leadership

The History and Methodology group is directed by two programme leaders (John Davis, Chair of the group, and Marcel Boumans). Boumans organises teaching and administration, and Davis directs the research programme and Ph.D. supervision. Both activities are carried out in regular consultation with other group members. Annual meetings are held by both Davis and Boumans with the Chair of the School of Economics, Henriette Maassen van den Brink, and with the Director of Research, Hessel Oosterbeek. In addition, regular meetings have been held with the Director of the Tinbergen Institute, Maarten Janssen. Management style includes formal and informal communication, and emphasis is placed on maintaining open channels of communication. Motivation focuses on clear explanation of the nature of the history and methodology field, its academic requirements, and its status and state of development within the science of economics as a whole. Boumans and Davis also emphasize the history of contribution the group has made in the Amsterdam School, as well as the opportunities for contributions in the future.

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B.2 Strategy and policy

We investigate current economics as the product of past economics, and study past economics to understand the development of current economics. We particularly focus on current economics because of the special methodological issues involved in its strategies and methods of explanation (see below), and because of its rapid evolution and change in recent decades.

A central characteristic of recent economics is a renewed interest in the relation between economic behaviour and social structure, as reflected in a succession of new views and ideas about how economic behaviour and social structure mutually influence one another. These new currents in theory go hand in hand with new ideas about modeling, measurement, and investigative methods appropriate to economics. In line with the research group’s earlier research into models as instruments that mediate between theory and data, we investigate how these new techniques and methods are used to further represent, measure, and intervene in the economy.

Changes in economic theorizing and modeling have been accompanied by new thinking about the scope and content of economic policy. This has expanded the range of norms and values at work in the applied and policy domains in economics, and also produced changes in thinking about the nature of political decision-making in regard to the economy and to economics as a science. The linkages between economic theorizing, modeling, and measurement to economic policy are an explicit concern in the programme.

As a meta-study of economics, our investigations should serve economic researchers by pointing out the implications and consequences of various research strategies and methods of explanation in different sub-fields of economics as they relate to the discipline of economics as a whole. In addition, we also aim to produce research that clarifies to the users of economic science in the public domain what current economics involves and how this applies to economic policy and political decision-making.

The two main changes in the research programme over the period 2002-2007 were to increase the focus on recent history of economics and methodology in which there have been considerable changes in the last two decades and to increase the attention to normative and policy themes which have become increasingly important in the global economy. These changes built on the programme’s previous focus on methods of measurement and quantitative techniques in the history and methodology of economics. Teaching (in both the Amsterdam School of Economics and the Tinbergen Institute) and Ph.D. supervision over this period have emphasized these changes, and several Ph.D.’s will soon complete to reflect this. Editorships of two main journals in the field (Journal of Economic Methodology and Journal of the History of Economic Thought) have also been brought into the group to reinforce these directions. Leadership in these journals helps to communicate the group’s research programme to the wider academic community. In addition, the group is completing its first textbook in the field of economic methodology (to be published by Palgrave), which will be used in required teaching in the Amsterdam School of Economics and at universities throughout the world.

The group is undertaking a new research focus on forms of scientific observation in economics in connection with NWO funding to Harro Maas that will support further Ph.D. supervision. This initiative is part of the group’s 2008-2013 plan to extend and

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RESAM: History & Methodology of Economics deepen the research programme’s emphasis on measurement, new developments in current economics, economic policy and ethics, and scientific practices in recent economics. In addition, a new Pierson chair, Albert Jolink, has joined the group to specialize in Dutch history of economics, particularly twentieth century history, including special attention to .

A last but not least item that should be mentioned is that for the previous assessment our programme was represented by Mark Blaug, as interim chair holder. For the assessment of our programme, this was quite an unfortunate coincidence, because due to this interim period our programme was represented by an otherwise excellent chair holder but who was neither committed to nor responsible for the continuation of our programme. As a result the former committee received the wrong impression that “the departure of, first, Morgan and, then, Blaug may affect the productivity of the programme considerably”. We hope that the continuous (even increasing) productivity of the more permanent members, Marcel Boumans and Harro Maas, and the later chair holder John Davis have shown that our programme is very productive and viable.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

The research process and the research culture of the group combine individual production and group collaboration. Individual research projects are presented and evaluated within the group through frequent and regular discussion and review of past output prior to researchers’ undertaking individual research efforts. Individual research in progress is subject to continuing commentary and evaluation, in particular in the form of review of intermediate stages of research. A key means are seminar presentations of work in progress which occur throughout the academic year and also on a year-end research day in December.

In addition, within-group collaboration and review are supported by external interaction with other research groups: the Cachan History of Social Science Group at École normale supérieure in Paris, the Center for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS) at the London School of Economics, Department of Economic History at the London School of Economics, Erasmus Institute for Philosophy and Economics in Rotterdam, and the Max Planck Institute for the History of Science in Berlin. An additional external collaboration is planned with the Trends and Tensions in Intellectual Integration group at University of Helsinki. These external interactions rely on two principal forms of communication and exchange: presentation of work in progress to new constituencies and regular participation as research associates to gain knowledge of work parallel research developed elsewhere. The LSE groups’ connection emphasizes the Amsterdam group’s long-standing emphasis on methods of measurement and quantitative techniques in the history and methodology of economics. The Cachan and Helsinki connections emphasize and widen the Amsterdam group’s emphasis on the changing nature of recent economics within social science generally. A key part of all these external interactions is creating opportunities for junior researchers, including Ph.D. students, to present and share their work and gain access to scholars elsewhere, pursuing related subjects of research by visiting these other research groups.

B.4 Academic reputation

The Amsterdam history and methodology group has established itself as one of the

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B.5 Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

The term of the current Chair runs to 2013. It is crucial that this position be filled by an individual of the highest international reputation. The high regard the group has had internationally for many years – that it is seen as one of three best programmes in the world – is due to its having had a succession of very well regarded chairs who have been both productive as individual scholars and well connected to academic networks in the field.

The HME group is at a significant disadvantage in terms of the current RESAM system regarding funding Ph.D. students. The current arrangement requires individuals have earned a Tinbergen MPhil. However, Tinbergen MPhil’s have insufficient training in history and methodology of economics to begin Ph.D. dissertations in the field. The HME group strongly favors exceptions to the current RESAM policy to permit it funding for Ph.D. students the group judges to be qualified.

The Chair was guaranteed funding for one Ph.D. student upon at the start of his first five-year contract. No further funding has come forward with the start of his second five-year contract. To maintain the high level of Ph.D. supervision currently in place, one Ph.D. student should be funded for this second five-year contract.

B.6. External validation

Geert Reuten is, since June 12, 2007, senator in the Dutch for the Socialist Party. He gained this position due to his academic work.

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

Encouragement of our Ph.D. students to stay for a while at some of the other research groups with whom we cooperate (the ones that are mentioned in B.3)

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A number of scholars of international reputation are affiliated with the group as Research Associates. Research Associates visit the group on a regular basis to present their research and discuss the research of the group. They are appointed for three-year (renewable) terms, and identify themselves as Research Associates of the group in their publications. These individuals also help create opportunities for members of the group at the Research Associates’ institutions.

Our Ph.D. students secured full academic positions: Hsiang-Ke Chao is Associate Professor of Economics at National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan Peter Rodenberg is Assistant Professor at the Department of European Studies of the University of Amsterdam Floris Heukelom is Assistant Professor at the Department of Economics of the Radboud University Nijmegen

Table 77 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Blaug, M. 0.25 0.18 0.05 0.10 0.05 0.05 0.05 Davis, J.B. - 0.080.250.250.250.250.17 Heertje, A. 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.06 - - Morgan, M.S. 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Associate Professor (UHD) Boumans, M.J. 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.50 0.50 Maas, H.B.J.B. 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 Reuten, G.A. 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50

Total Tenured Staff 1.72 1.72 1.76 1.81 1.72 1.75 1.67

Non-Tenured Staff Damsma, D.F. - - - - 0.61 0.58 0.58 Jonge, J.P.R. de ------0.00 Kotan, M. ------0.70 Kuiper, E. 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 1.00 1.00 0.58 Rodenburg, P. - - 0.00 0.00 - - Schliesser, E. ------0.00 Went, R. - 0.000.000.000.000.000.00 PhD's Chao, H.-K. 0.60 0.25 - - - - Heukelom, F. - - - 0.50 0.60 0.60 0.44 Rodenburg, P. 0.60 0.60 0.10 ---- Went, R. 0.13------

Total Non-Tenured Staff 1.33 0.85 0.10 0.92 2.21 2.18 2.30

Total Research Staff 3.05 2.57 1.86 2.73 3.93 3.93 3.97

Prof. M.S. Morgan has been chairholder of our group from 1992 to 1999 and maintained a nominal appointment at the faculty and conscientiously reports her affiliation with the University of Amsterdam in all her publications. She has continued to participate in our research program by means of regular visits, co-authorships, and supervision. Two of her Ph.D.-students, Hsiang-Ke Chao and Peter Rodenburg, have been copromoted by Marcel Boumans.

Prof. M. Blaug has been chairholder of our researchgroup from 1999 to 2002 and maintained a nominal appointment at the faculty. He has continued to participate in our research program by means of regular visits, Ph.D. teaching and supervision.

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Dr. R. Went is a former Ph.D.-student of our group and maintained a 0-appointment as research associate, and fulfills our requirements as stated above.

Dr. E.S. Schlieser recently joined our group on a guest-appointment and fulfills our requirements for being research associate, as stated above. He shows strong commitment and involvement by attending almost every meeting or seminar of our research group.

B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

Edith Kuiper earned a NWO VENI grant for research project on 'Gender and Adam Smith', 2004-2007. Harro Maas earned a NWO VIDI grant for a research project on ‘Observations in Economics, Historically Considered’ (2007-2012). Continuing NWO applications.

Table 78 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 96% 96% 94% 81% 73% 75% 85% Research funds 0% 0% 0% 15% 25% 25% 15% Contracts 4%4%6%4%2%0%0% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Davis, J.B. (2003). The Theory of the Individual in Economics. Routledge. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2005). William Stanley Jevons and the Making of Modern Economics. Cambridge University Press. Boumans, M.J. (2005). How Economists Model the World into Numbers. Routledge. Heertje, A. (2006). Schumpeter on the Economics of Innovation and the Development of Capitalism. Edward Elgar. Reuten, G.A.T.M. (2004). ‘Zirkel vicieux’ or trend fall?; the course of the profit rate in Marx's ‘ Capital III’. History of Political Economy, 36, (1), 163-86.

Table 79 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 10 12 8 12 12 7 10 b. books, monographs 1 1 2 2 c. books, edited 3 1111 d. chapters 6 17 10 10 6 6 7 2. Dutch 0 journals 5 2 3 3 2 5 books 1 0 chapters 0 1 1 3. PhD theses 3 2 1 4. Professional publications 2 6 6 5 8 6 10

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Table 80 Programme results: outcome in numbers (core faculty) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 8 106 8868 b. books, monographs 1 2 1 c. books, edited 1 2 1111 d. chapters 6 14 7 10 6 6 6 2. Dutch journals 5 2 3 2 2 books 1 chapters 1 1 3. PhD theses 3 2 1 4. Professional publications1 4 6 5547

Table 81 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 1 Other international Journals 10 12 8 12 12 6 10

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OUTPUT HISTORY & METHODOLOGY OF ECONOMICS

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Davis, J.B. (2007). The turn in economics and the turn in economic methodology. Journal of Economic Methodology, 14, (3), 275-290. Davis, J.B (2007). Akerlof and Kranton on identity in economics: Inverting the analysis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 31, 349-362. Davis, J.B. (2007). Postmodernism and the individual as a process: Comment on Ruccio and Amariglio. Review of Social Economy, 65, 203-208. Davis, J.B. (2007). Why is economics not yet a pluralistic science. Post-Autistic Economics Review, 43, (15), 42-51. Davis, J.B. & McMaster, R. (2007). The individual in mainstream health economics: A case of persona non-grata? Health Care Analysis, 15, 195-210. Heertje, A. (2007). An unpublished letter by David Ricardo. History of Political Economy, 39, (3), 545-550. Ozler, S. and Kuiper, E. (2007). Psychoanalytic analysis of texts by Adam Smith (1723 - 1790). Journal of the American Psychoanalytic Association, 55, (1), 305-309. Reuten,G.A.T.M. (2007). El valor como forma social [translation of 1988 article, ‘Value as Social Form’, by Mario L. Robles Baez]. Economia: Theoria y Practica, Nueva Epoca, 23, (05).

Books, edited Boumans, M.J. (ed.) (2007). Measurement in Economics: A Handbook. Amsterdam, e.a.: Elsevier.

Books, chapters Boumans, M.J. (2007). Introduction (Chapter 1). In Boumans, M. (ed.), Measurement in Economics: A Handbook (pp. 3-18). Amsterdam: Elsevier. Boumans, M.J. (2007). Invariance and calibration (Chapter 9). In M. Boumans (ed.), Measurement in Economics: A Handbook (pp. 231-248). Amsterdam: Elsevier. Davis, J.B. (2007). Identity and commitment: Sen’s fourth aspect of the self. In Schmid, B. & Peters, F. (eds.), Rationality and Commitment (pp. 313-335). Oxford: Oxford University Press. Davis, J.B. (2007). Complexity theory’s network conception of the individual. In Giacomin, A. & Marcuzzo, C. (eds.), Money and Markets (pp. 30-47). London: Routledge. Davis, J.B. (2007). Neuroeconomics, philosophy of mind, and identity. In Montero, B. & White, M. (eds.), Economics and the Mind (pp. 58-74). London: Routledge. Davis, J.B. (2007). Heterodox economics, the fragmentation of the mainstream, and embedded individual analysis. In Garnett, R. & Harvey, J. (eds.), Future Directions in Heterodox Economics (pp. 53-72). Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. Davis, J.B. (2007). Keynes, J. M. In Melchiorre, V. (ed.), Enciclopeida fiosofica, in Italian, trans. S. Cremasci (pp. 6038-6040). Milan: Bompiani. Davis, J.B. (2007). Socioeconomia. In Melchiorre, V. (ed.), Enciclopeida fiosofica, in Italian, trans. S. Cremasci (pp. 10765-10767). Milan: Bompiani.

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Maas, H.B.J.B. (2007). A pragmatic intellectual: Dutch Fabians, Boekman, and cultural policy in the Netherlands, 1880-1940. In Ahearne, J. & Bennett, O (eds.), Intellectuals and Cultural Policy. London and New York: Routledge.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Kotan, M. (2007). De allochtone economie van het CPB. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4524, 740-743. Kuiper, E. (2007). Het dure dogma der economen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4514, 444.

4. Professional publications and products

Boumans, M.J. (2007). Battle in the Planning Office: Biased Experts versus Normative Statisticians. Working papers on The Nature of Evidence: How Well Do ‘Facts’ Travel? No. 16/07. LSE. Boumans, M.J. (2007). Review of P. Fontaine and R. Leonard (2005), The Experiment in the History of Economics. Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 29, (2), 263-265. Davis, J.B. (2007). Review: Ordinary Choices: individuals, incommensurability, and democracy, by Robert Urquhart. Economica, 74, 565-566. Davis, J.B. (2007). Review: Economic Theory and Cognitive Science, by Don Ross. Economics and Philosophy, 23, 245-252. Davis, J.B. (2007). Review: Conflict and Co-operation: Institutional and Behavioural Economics, by A. Allan Schmid. Land Economics, 83, 280-283. Davis, J.B. (2007). Review: The Natural Origins of Economics, by Margaret Schabas. Journal of the History of Behavioural Sciences, 43, 320-321. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2007). Review of H. Wainer and I. Spence (eds.) 2005. William Playfair: The Commercial and Statistical Atlas and Statistical Breviary. History of Political Economy, 39, (2): 324-325.

5. Other

Awards Davis, J.B. (2007). Thomas F. Divine, Lifetime Achievement Award, Association for Social Economics.

Grants Maas, H.B.J.B. (2007-2012). NWO VIDI grant on research proposal ‘Observation in Economics, Historically Considered’. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2007). NWO Travel grant for project “Introspection in Victorian Economics”.

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Bod, R., Boon, M. & Boumans, M.J. (2006). Introduction to the Symposium ‘Applying Science’. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science, 20, (1), 1-3. Boettke, P.J., Coyne, C.J., Davis, J., Guala, F., Marciano, A., Runde, J. & Schabas, M. (2006). Where economics and philosophy meet. Review of the Elgar Companion to Economics and Philosophy with Responses from the Authors. Economic Journal, 116 (June), F306-325. Davis, J.B. (2006). Social identity strategies in recent economics. Journal of Economic Methodology, 13, (3), 371-390. Davis, J.B. (2006). The turn in economics: Neoclassical dominance to mainstream pluralism? Journal of Institutional Economics, 2, (1), 1-20. Davis, J.B. & Klaes, M. (2006). Imprecise precision: rejoinder to Basbøll. Journal of Economic Methodology, 13, (1), 121-123. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2006). A pragmatic intellectual: Dutch Fabians, Boekman and cultural policy in the Netherlands, 1890-1940. International Journal of Cultural Policy, 12, (2), 151-170.

Books, Monographs Heertje, A. (2006) Schumpeter on the Economics of Innovation and the Development of Capitalism. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

Books edited Davis, J.B. (ed.) (2006). Recent Developments in Economic Methodology. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

Chapters Boumans, M.J. (2006). The difference between answering a ‘why’-question and answering a ‘how much’-question. In Lenhard, J., Kueppers, G., & Shinn, T. (eds), Simulation: Pragmatic Constructions of Reality. Sociology of the Sciences Yearbook, vol. 25 (pp. 107-124). Springer. Davis, J.B. (2006). Introduction. In Davis, J.B. (ed.), Recent Developments in Economic Methodology. Vol I (pp. ix-xv). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Davis, J.B. (2006). Neuroeconomics, philosophy of mind, and identity. In Montero, B. & White, M.D. (eds), Economics and the Mind. London: Routledge. Davis, J.B. (2006). The normative significance of the individual in economics. In Clary, B., Dolfsma, W. & Figart, D. (eds), Ethics and the Market: Insights from Social Economics. London: Routledge. Davis, J.B. (2006) Preface. In Clary, J., Dolfsma, W. & Figart, D. (eds.), Ethics and the Market (pp. xiv-xv). London: Routledge. Kuiper, E. (2006). Adam Smith and his feminist contemporaries. In Montes, L. & Schliesser, E. (eds), New Voices on Adam Smith, (pp. 40–60). London and New York: Routledge. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2006). Economics and philosophy. In Grayling, A.C., Pyle, A. & Goulder, N. (eds), The Continuum Encyclopedia of British Philosophy. London: Continuum.

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3. Ph.D. Theses

Rodenburg, P. (2006). The construction of instruments for measuring unemployment. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [supervisors: M.S. Morgan and M.J. Boumans]

4. Professional Publications and products

Boumans, M.J. (2006). Jan Tinbergen. In Alberts, G., Brandhof, A. van den & Koetsier, T. (eds), Biografisch Woordenboek van Nederlandse Wiskundigen. www.bwnw.nl Davis, J.B. (2006) Review of Grossbard-Schechtman, S. & Clague, C. The Expansion of Economics. In Economica, 73, (290), 358-359. Heertje, A. (2006). Het was niet de bedoeling. Algemeen evenwicht, Banach-ruimten en Europees mededingingsbeleid. Vossiuspers UvA. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2006). Review of Capaldi, N. (2004). John Stuart Mill: A Biography. History of Political Economy, 38, (3), 557-559.

5. Other

Awards Davis, J.B. (2006). Sigma Xi Distinguished Researcher Award, Marquette University. Davis, J.B. (2006). Sabbatical Fellowship Award, Marquette University. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2006). Joseph J. Spengler best book award of History of Economics Society for book William Stanley Jevons and the Making of Modern Economics. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Grants Davis, J.B. (2006). Helen-Klingler Fellowship, Marquette University. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2006). Visiting Scholar to the invitation of the Director (Prof.dr. Lorraine Daston) 1-3-2006 - 31-6-2006, Max Planck Institut für Wissenschaftsgeschichte, Berlin, Germany. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2006). NWO travel grant (Berlin, Ireland, Cambridge) for research project “history of observation in economics”.

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Backhouse, R., Coats, A., Davis, J.B. & Sent, E-M. (2005). Perspectives on Michael A.Bernstein’s A Perilous Progress: Economists and Public Purpose in Twentieth-Century America. In European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 12, Spring, 127-147. Boumans, M.J. (2005). Measurement outside the laboratory. Philosophy of Science, 72, (5), 850-863. Boumans, M.J. (2005). Measurement in Economic Systems. Measurement, 38, (4), 275-284. Davis, J.B. (2005). Robbins, textbooks, and value neutrality. History of Political Economy, 37, (2), 191-6. Davis, J.B. (2005). The individual in economics: reply. Ethique-Economique, 3, (1). Heertje, A. (2005). Addenda: The Dutch and Portuguese-Jewish Background of David Ricardo. European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 12, (1), 183-184. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2005). Jevons, Mill, and the Private Laboratory of the Mind. The Manchester School, 73, (5), 620-649. Perkins, E., Kuiper, E., Quiroga-Martínez, R., Turner, T.E., Brownhill, L.S., Mellor, M., Todorova, Z., Jochimsen, M.A. & McMahon, M. (2005). Introduction: A Feminist Ecological Economics. Feminist Economics, 11, (3), 107-150.

Books, Monographs Boumans, M.J. (2005). How Economists Model the World into Numbers. London and New York: Routledge. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2005). William Stanley Jevons and the Making of Modern Economics. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.

Books edited Kuiper, E. & Barker, D.K. (eds) (2005), Feminist Economics and The World Bank. London/ New York: Routledge.

Chapters Barker, D.K., & Kuiper, E. (2005). Introduction: Feminist Economics and The World Bank. In Kuiper, E. & Barker, D.K. (eds), Feminist Economics and The World Bank (pp. 1-10). London/ New York: Routledge. Boumans, M.J. (2005). Economics, Strategies in social sciences. In Kempf-Leonard, K., Encyclopedia of Social Measurement, Volume 1 (pp. 751-760). Amsterdam: Elsevier. Boumans, M.J. (2005). Truth versus precision. In Hajek, P., Valdes-Villanueva, L. & Westerstahl, D. Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science: Proceedings of the Twelfth International Congress (pp. 257-269). London: King's College Publications. Davis, J.B. (2005). Value. In Beckert, J. & Ziforovski, M. (eds), International Encyclopedia of Economic Sociology. London: Routledge. Heertje, A. (2005). Economics, technical change, the firm and entrepreneurs: An overview from Cantillon to Schumpeter. In Guidi, M.E.L. and Parisi, D. (eds.), The Changing Firm. Contributions for the History of Economic Thought. Milan: Franco Angeli. Heertje, A. technical change and entrepreneurship: An overview from Cantillon to

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Schumpter. In Vinig, G.T. and van der Voort, R.C.W. (eds.), The Emergence of Entrepreneurial Economics, Vol. 9. Amsterdam: Elsevier. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2005). Jevons, William Stanley. In Kempf-Leonard, K., Encyclopedia of Social Measurement. (pp. 389-400). Amsterdam: Elsevier. Reuten, G.A.T.M. (2005). Money as constituent of value; the ideal introversive substance and the ideal extroversive form of value in Capital. In Moseley, F. (ed), Marx's Theory of Money: Modern Appraisals (pp. 78-92). London/New York: Palgrave–Macmillan. Reuten, G.A.T.M. (2005). Una transustanziazione si aggira ...; L'ideale sostanza introversa e l'ideale forma estroversa del valore [A transubstantiation is haunting ...; the ideal introversive substance and the ideal extroversive form of value (transl. Lucia Sollecito)]. In Musto, M. (ed.), Sulle tracce di un fantasma; L'opera di Karl Marx tra filologia e filosofia (pp. 225-37) [On the tracks of a spectre; the works of Karl Marx between philology and philosophy]. Roma: Manifestolibri. Reuten, G.A.T.M. (2005). El trabajo dificil de una teoria del valor social: metaforas y dialectica sistematica al principio de 'El Capital' de Marx [The difficult labour of a theory of social value; metaphors and systematic dialectics at the beginning of Marx's 'Capital' (transl. Mario L. Robles Baez)]. In Robles Baez, Mario L. (comp.), Dialectica y Capital; Elementos para una reconstruccion de la critica de la economia politica [Dialectics and Capital; Elements of a reconstruction of the critique of political economy] (pp. 31-58).

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Davis, J.B. (2005). Het individu binnen de economie [trans. M. Biermans]. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4471), 418-419. Heertje, A. (2005). Economsiche recessie of keerpunt. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90.

4. Professional publications and products

Boumans, M.J. (2005). When evidence is not in the mean. Discussion paper DP 76/05. LSE, CPNSS. Boumans, M.J. (2005). On Bridges. Review of Stigum, B.P. (2003). Econometrics and the Philosophy of Economics: Theory-Data Confrontations in Economics. In Economica, 72 , (285), 180-181. Boumans, M.J. (2005). Review of Pearl, J. (2000). Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference. In Review of Social Economy, 63, (1), 129-135. Davis, J.B. (2005). The Individual in Economics. Vossiuspers UvA. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2005). Review of Raffaelli, T. (2002) Marshall's Evolutionary Economics. Routledge. In Economics and Philosophy, 21, 143-137.

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Boumans, M.J. (2004). The Reliability of an Instrument. Social Epistemology, 18, (2- 3), 215-246. Boumans, M.J. & Beaulieu, A. (2004). Foreword to 'Objects of Objectivity'. Social Epistemology, 18, (2-3), 105-108. Davis, J.B. (2004). Complex adaptive systems: individual identity in networks. Revue de Philosophie Economique, (9) June. Davis, J.B. (2004) Economists’ Dreams: 'Machine Dreams'. Journal of Economic Methodology, 11, (4), 485-491. Heertje, A. (2004). The Dutch and Portuguese-Jewish Background of David Ricardo. European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, II, (2), 281-294. Heertje, A. (2004). Schumpeter and Methodological Individualism. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 14, (4), 153-156. Kuiper, E. & Ferber, M.A. (2004). Feminist and Economic Inquiry in Central and Eastern Europe. An Introduction. Feminist Economics, 10, (3), 81-85. Reuten, G.A.T.M. (2004). ‘Zirkel vicieux’ or trend fall?; the course of the profit rate in Marx's ‘ Capital III’. History of Political Economy, 36, (1), 163-86.

Books edited Davis, J.B., Marciano, A. & Runde, J. (eds) (2004). The Elgar Companion to Economics and Philosophy. Cheltenham & Northhampton: Edward Elgar.

Chapters Boumans, M.J. (2004). Models in Economics. In Davis, J.B., Marciano, A. & Runde, J. (eds), The Elgar Companion to Economics and Philosophy (pp. 260-282). Cheltenham & Northhampton: Edward Elgar. Boumans, M.J. (2004). Measuring Instruments in Economics. In Muravyov, S.V. (ed.), 10th IMEKO TC7 International Symposium on Advances of Measurement Science (pp. 28-35). Tomsk, Russia: Tomsk Polytechnic University. Davis, J.B. (2004). The Theory of the Embedded Individual in Heterodox Economics. In Lewis, P. (ed.), Transforming Economics: Perspectives on the Critical Realist Project (pp. 132-51). London: Routledge. Davis, J.B. (2004). Collective Intentionality in Economics. In Davis, J., Marciano, A. & Runde, J. (eds), The Elgar Companion to Economics and Philosophy (pp. 386-402). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Davis, J.B. (2004). Transnational Corporations: Dynamic Structures, Strategies, and Processes. In O’Hara, P. (ed.), Global Political Economy and the Wealth of Nations (pp. 129-146). London: Routledge. Davis, J.B., Marciano, A. & Runde, J. (2004). Introduction. In Davis, J., Marciano, A. & Runde, J. (eds), The Elgar Companion to Economics and Philosophy (pp. xii-xxvii). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Heertje, A. (2004). On Say’s Law. In Aspromourgos, T. & Lodewijks, J. (eds), History and Political Economy; Essays in Honour of P.D. Groenewegen (pp. 1-3). London and New York: Routledge. Kuiper, E. (2004). Critical Realism and Feminist Economics: How well do they get along? In Lewis, P.A. (ed.), Transforming Economics: Perspectives on the Critical Realist Project. London: Routledge. Kuiper, E. (2004). Strathern’s A Brief History of Economic Genius. In Samuels, W.J.

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& Biddle, J.E. (eds), Research in the History of Economic Thought (pp. 419- 428). Oxford: Elsevier. Kuiper, E. (2004). What about Eve? The Lifestory of the Sister Adam Smith Never Had. In Jochimsen, M.A., Kesting, S. & Knobloch, U. (eds), Lebensweltökonomie (pp. 29-42). Bielefeld: Kleine Verlag. Kuiper, E. (2004). Ökonomie: Feministische Kritik mikro- und makroökonomischer Theorien und Entwurf alternative Ansätze. In Becker, R. & Kortendiek, B. (eds), Handbuch Frauen- und Geschlechterforschung. Theorie, Methoden, Empirie (pp. 494-503). Wiesbaden, Germany: VS Verlag für SozialWissenshaften. Maas, H. (2004). Contributions to The Biographical Dictionary of British Economists and The Dictionary of Nineteenth-Century British Scientists. Bristol: Thoemmes Continuum. Entries on: Babbage, Charles (1791-1871) (pp. 35- 38); Cairnes, John Elliot (1823-1875) (pp. 174-179); Cobden, Richard (1804- 65) (pp. 245-247); Hartley, David (1705-57) (pp. 491-493); Jenkin, Henry Charles Fleeming (1833-1885) (pp. 589-591); Jennings, Richard (1814-1891) (pp. 591-592); Jevons, William Stanley (1835-1882) (pp. 1074-1077); Jones, Richard (1790-1855) (pp. 613-617); Mandeville, Bernard de (1670-1733) (pp. 730-734); Whewell, William (1794-1866) (pp. 1287-1289). Morgan, M.S. & Boumans, M.J. (2004). Secrets Hidden by Two-Dimensionality: The Economy as a Hydraulic Machine. In De Chadarevian, S. & Hopwood, N. (eds), Models: The Third Dimension of Science (pp. 369-401). Stanford: Stanford University Press. Reuten, G. (2004). Productive force and the degree of intensity of labour; Marx's concepts and formalizations in the middle part of Capital I. In Bellofiore, R. & Taylor, N. (eds), The Constitution of Capital; Essays on Volume I of Marx's `Capital' (pp. 117-45). London/New York: Palgrave–Macmillan. Reuten, G. (2004). The inner mechanism of the accumulation of capital: the acceler- ation triple; A methodological appraisal of Part Seven of Marx's Capital I. In Bellofiore, R. & Taylor, N. (eds), The Constitution of Capital; Essays on Volume I of Marx's `Capital' (pp. 274-98). London/New York: Palgrave– Macmillan.

2. Dutch academic Publications

Journals Heertje, A. (2004). Economen hebben het aan zichzelf te danken. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4449), 606-609. Heertje, A. (2004). Economie tussen wiskunde en politiek, laudation Pierson-penning R. van der Ploeg. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89. Kuiper, E. & Pouw, N. (2004). Feministisch economische visie op globalisering: de Wereldbank onder de loep. Tijdschrift voor Gender Studies, 4-16.

Chapters Heertje, A. & Hoyng, A-C. (2004). Anne-Robert Jacques Turgot (1727-1778). In Velde, M. van de (ed.), Marktmeesters. Portretten van vooraanstaande liberale economen (pp. 49-71). Amsterdam: Boom.

4. Professional publications and products

Boumans, M.J. (2004). Review of Sutton, J. (2000). Marshall's Tendencies: What can economists know? In Economica, 71, (281), 177-178.

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Davis, J.B. and McMaster, R. (2004). The individual in mainstream health economics: A case of persona non-grata? University of Stirling SCEME working papers series. Davis, J.B. (2004). Review of Oakley. In History of Economic Ideas, 12, (3), 132-135. Heertje, A. & Sandwijk, M. van (2004). De Kern van de Economie. Kernboek en stuurboek HAVO. Wolvaboek, Hout. Kuiper, E. (2004). Care economy in The Netherlands. In Report United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) on seminar Women’s Unpaid Work and the Care Economy, Preparatory Meeting, 8-10 December, Sciences Po, Paris.

5. Other

Prizes Davis, J.B. (2004). Myrdal Book Prize. Theory of the Individual in Economics, European Association for Evolutionary Political Economy.

Grants Kuiper, E. (2004). NWO-VENI grant three year project on ‘Gender and Adam Smith’. €200.000,-.

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Boumans, M. (2003). How to Design Galilean Fall Experiments in Economics. Philosophy of Science, 70, 308-329. Davis, J. & Klaes, M. (2003). Reflexivity: Curse or Cure? Journal of Economic Methodology, 10 (3), 329-352. Davis, J. (2003). Collective Intentionality, complex economic behaviour, and valuation. Protosociology, 16, 163-183. Heertje, A. (2003). On Adam Smith and his books. Contributions to Political Economy, 22, 79-86. Heertje, A. (2003). Further Evidence on the Origin of Samuelson’s Multiplier- Accelerator Model. History of Political Economy, 35, (2), 329-333. Maas, H. (2003). Where Mechanism Ends: Thomas Reid on the Moral and the Animal Oeconomy. History of Political Economy, 35 (annual supplement), 338-360.

Books, Monographs Davis, J. (2003). The Theory of the Individual in Economics. London: Routledge.

Books edited Barker, D. & Kuiper, E. (eds) (2003). Towards a Feminist Philosophy of Economics – An Anthology. London/New York: Routledge. Samuels, W.J., Biddle, J.E. & Davis, J.B. (eds) (2003). The Blackwell Companion to the History of Economic Thought. Oxford: Blackwell.

Chapters Boumans, M. (2003). Tinbergen’s Business-Cycle Analysis. In Ladiray, D. (ed.), Papers and Proceedings of the Colloquium on the History of Business Cycle Analysis, Monographs of Official Statistics. : European Communities. Davis, J. (2003). Economic methodology since Kuhn. In Samuels, W.J, Biddle, J.E. & Davis, J.B. (eds), The Blackwell Companion to the History of Economic Thought (pp. 571-587). Oxford: Blackwell. Davis, J. (2003). Economics as Colonial Discourse of Modernity. In Charusheela, S. & Zein-Elabdin, E. (eds), Postcolonialism meets Economics (pp. 130-5). London: Routledge. Davis, J. (2003). The relationship between Keynes’s early and later philosophical thinking. In Mizuhara, S. & Runde, J. (eds), Essays on Keynes (pp. 100-110). London: Routledge. Kuiper, E. & Barker, D. (2003). Introduction: Sketching the Contours of a Feminist Philosophy of Economics. In Barker, D. & Kuiper, E. (eds), Towards a Feminist Philosophy of Economics – An Anthology (pp. 1-14). London/New York: Routledge. Kuiper, E. (2003). The construction of masculine identity in Adam, Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments. In Barker, D. & Kuiper, E. (eds), Towards a Feminist Philosophy of Economics – An Anthology (pp. 145-160). London/New York: Routledge. Reuten, G. (2003). On ‘Becoming Necessary’ in an Organic Systematic Dialectic; the case of creeping inflation. In Albritton, R. & Simoulidis, J. (eds), New Dialectics and Political Economy (pp. 42-59). London/New York: Palgrave–

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Macmillan. Reuten, G. (2003). Karl Marx: his work and the major changes in its interpretation. In Samuels, W.J., Biddle, J.E. & Davis, J.B. (eds.), The Blackwell Companion to the History of Economic Thought (pp. 148-66). Oxford: Blackwell.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Heertje, A. (2003). Recensie, The Legacy of Léon Walras, redactie D.A. Walker. De Economist. Heertje, A. en Schöndorff, R. (2003). Inconsistent economieprogramma. Economisch Statistische Berichten.

Chapters Heertje, A. (2003). Karl Marx, technische ontwikkeling en de Sovjet-Unie. In Backhaus, J.G. (ed), Economic Policy in an orderly Framework, Liber Amicorum Gerrit Meyer (pp. 189-201). Münster, Lit. Verlag.

4. Professional publications and products

Boumans, M. (2003). Review of Leeson, R. (ed.) (2000). A.W.H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective. In Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 25, 372-376. Boumans, M. (2003). Review of Weintraub, E.R. (2002). How Economics Became a Mathematical Science. In Philosophy of Science, 70, 852-855. Boumans, M. (2003). Review of Hoover, K.D. (2001). Causality in Macroeconomics. In History of Political Economy, 35, 564-566. Davis, J. (2003). Review of DeMartino, G., Global Economy, Global Justice. In Review of Social Economy. Heertje, A. & Sandwijk, M. van (2003). De Kern van de Economie voor VWO. Holten: Walvaboek. Maas, H. (2003). Review of Inoue, T. et al. (2002). W. Stanley Jevons: Collected Reviews and Obituaries; Peart, S.J. (2003). W.S. Jevons: Critical Responses. In History of Political Economy, 35, (4), 212-216.

5. Other

Grants Kuiper, E. (2003). NWO travel grant. Reuten, G. & Went, R. (2003). European Commission grant for an international research programme on financial integration (SETN–2002–00011).

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2002

1. International academic publications

Journals Blaug, M. (2002). Kurz and Salvadori on the Sraffian interpretation of the surplus approach. History of Political Economy, 34, (1), 237-40. Davis, J. (2002). The History of Economics as a Sub-Discipline: The Role of the History of Economics Society Meetings. History of Political Economy, 34, Annual Supplement, 62-76. Davis, J. (2002). Regional economic integration, the environment, and community: East Asia and APEC. International Review of Applied Economics, 16, (4), 1- 15. Davis, J. (2002). Capabilities and Personal Identity: Using Sen to Explain Folbre’s ‘Structures of Constraint’ Analysis. Review of Political Economy, 14, (4), 481- 496. Davis, J. (2002). Gramsci, Sraffa, Wittgenstein: Philosophical Linkages. European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 9, (2), 382-399. Davis, J. (2002). The Emperor’s Clothes. Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 24, (2), 141-154. Davis, J. (2002). Will Social Values Influence the Development of HMOs? Cambridge Quarterly of Healthcare Ethics, 11, 418-421. Heertje, A. & Heemeijer, P. (2002). On the origin of Samuelson's multiplier- accelerator model. History of Political Economy, 34, (1), 207-218. Heertje, A. (1998). Seitz und Stackelberg über das Oligopol. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 218. Maas, H. & Morgan M.S. (2002). Timing History: The Introduction of Graphical Analysis in 19th Century British Economics. Revue d'Histoire des Sciences Humaines, 7, 97-127.

Books edited Campbell, M. & Reuten, G. (eds.) (2002), The Culmination of Capital; Essays on Volume Three of Marx's 'Capital'. London/New York: Palgrave-Macmillan. Heertje, A. (ed.) (2002). Vademecum zu einem Klassiker der Physiokratie Marquis de Mirabeaus und Francois Quesnays “Philosophie rurale”. Düsseldorf: Verlag Wirtschaft und Finanzen.

Chapters Blaug, M. (2002). Is there progress in economics? In Boehme, S., Gehrke, G., Kurz, H. & Sturn, R. (eds), Progress in Economics (pp. 54-79). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Blaug, M. (2002). Endogenous growth theory. In Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. (eds), Encyclopedia of Macroeconomics (pp. 202-212). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Boumans, M. (2002). Calibration. In Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. (eds), Encyclopedia of Macroeconomics (pp. 105-109). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Boumans, M. (2002). Calibration of Models in Experiments. In Magnani, L. & Nersessian, N.J. (eds), Model-Based Reasoning: Science, Technology, Values (pp. 75-93). Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publisher. Davis, J. (2002). Sraffa’s Influence on Wittgenstein through Gramsci. In Kitching, G. & Pleasants, N. (eds), Wittgenstein and Marxism: Language, Science and Morality (pp. 131-143). London: Routledge. Davis, J. (2002). Collective Intentionality and the Agency-Structure Model. In Fullbrook, E. (ed.), Intersubjectivity in Economics: Agents and Structures (pp.

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11-27). London: Routledge. Heertje, A. (2002). Recent criticism of general equilibrium theory. In Equilibrium, Markets and Dynamics – Essays in Honour of Claus Weddepohl. Heidelberg: Springer. Heertje, A. (2002). In Heertje, A. (ed.), Vademecum zu einem Klassiker der Physiokratie. Düsseldorf: Verlag Wirtschaft und Finanzen. Heertje, A. (2002). On Kant’s methodology and the natural order in Adam Smith. In Lim, H., Park, U.K. and Harcourt, G.C. (eds.), Editing Economics, Essays in Honour of Mark Perlman (pp. 147-159). London: Routledge. Kuiper, E. (2002). Dependency and denial in economic texts. In Gerschlager, C. & Mokre, M. (eds), Exchange and Deception – A Feminist Perspective. Kluwer Publishers. Maas, H. & Mosselmans, B. (2002). Jevons, William Stanley (1835-82). In Mander, W.J. & Sell, Alan P.F. (eds), The Dictionary of Nineteenth-Century British Philosophers (pp. 598-604). Bristol: Thoemmes. Reuten, G. (2002). Marx's Capital III, the Culmination of Capital. In Campbell, M. & Reuten, G. (eds), The Culmination of Capital; Essays on Volume Three of Marx's 'Capital' (pp. 1-15). London/New York: Palgrave. Reuten, G. (2002). The rate of profit cycle and the opposition between Managerial and Finance Capital; a discussion of ‘Capital III’ Parts Three to Five. In Campbell, M. & Reuten, G. (eds), The Culmination of Capital; Essays on Volume III of Marx's 'Capital' (pp. 174-211). London/New York: Palgrave. Reuten, G. (2002). Marxian macroeconomics: an overview. In Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. (eds), Encyclopedia of Macroeconomics (pp. 464-69). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Reuten, G. (2002). Marxian macroeconomics: some key relationships. In Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. (eds), Encyclopedia of Macroeconomics (pp. 569-80). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Reuten, G. (2002). Business cycles: Marxian approach. In Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. (eds), Encyclopedia of Macroeconomics (pp. 73-80). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Chao, Hsiang-Ke (2002, 12 December). Representation and Structure: The Methodology of Ecoonometric Models of Consumption. University of Amsterdam. [Supervisors: M.S. Morgan and M.J. Boumans]. Claessen, M.S. (2002, 6 March). "Monoplie en Monopolist" door Condorcet. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Supervisor: A. Heertje].

4. Professional publications and products

Boumans, M. (2002). Review of Granger, C.W.J., Empirical Modeling in Economics, Specification and Evaluation. In Journal of Economic Methodology, 9, 103-106. Davis, J. (2002). Review of Colander, D. The Art of Economics. In History of Economic Ideas. Heertje, A. (2002). Review of Exemplary Economists. In The Economic Journal, June. Kuiper, E. (2002). Review of Dimand, R., Dimand, A. & Forget, M. (2000). A Biographical Dictionary of Women Economists. Edward Elgar. In Newsletter of the European Society for the History of Economic Thought, 6, 31-2.

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5. Other

Grants Maas, H.B.J.B. (2002). NWO travel grant to Cambridge, UK, Autumn 2002. Maas, H.B.J.B. (2002). NWO grant seminar "Measurement in Economics and Physics", May 13-14, 2002.

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Blaug, M. (2001). A survey of cultural economics. Journal of Economic Surveys, 15, (2), 123-44. Blaug, M. (2001). Is competition such a good thing? Static efficiency versus dynamic efficiency. Review of Industrial Organisation, 19, 37-48. Boumans, M.J. (2001). Measure for measure: How economists model the world into numbers. Social Research, 68, 427-453. Boumans, M.J. (2001). Fisher's instrumental approach to index numbers. History of Political Economy, 33, Annual Supplement, 313-344. Boumans, M.J. & Morgan, M.S. (2001). ‘Ceteris paribus’ conditions: materiality and the application of economic theories. Journal of Economic Methodology, 8, (1), 11-26. Maas, H. (2001). An instrument can make a science: Jevons's balancing acts in economics. History of Political Economy, 33, Annual Supplement, 277-302. Reuten, G. (2001). The interconnection of systematic dialectics and historical materialism. Historical Materialism, 7, 137-165. Went, R. (2001). Globalization: Towards a transnational state? A skeptical note. Science & Society, 65, (4), 484-491.

Books edited Heertje, A. (ed.) (2001). Vademecum zu einem Klassiker der Standorttheorie, August Lösch “Die räumliche ordnung der Wirtschaft”. Düsseldorf: Verlag Wirtschaft und Finanzen.

Chapters Blaug, M. (2001). The works of Irving Fisher. In Samuels, W.J. & Biddle, J.E (eds), Research in the History of Thought and Methodology, vol. 19-A (pp. 123-149). Amsterdam: JAI, Elsevier. Boumans, M. (2001). A macroeconomic approach to complexity. In Zellner, A., Keuzenkamp, H.A. & McAleer, M. (eds), Simplicity, Inference and Modeling. Keeping It Sophisticatedly Simple (pp. 73-82). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Heertje, A. (2001). Some observations on recent growth theory. In Kuper, G.H., Sterken, E. & Wester, E. (eds.), Co-ordination and Growth. Essays in Honour of Simon Kuipers (pp. 249-255). Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers. Reuten, G. (2001). The logic of accumulation. In Barry Jones, R.J. (ed.), Encyclopedia of International Political Economy (pp. 3-5). London/New York: Routledge. Reuten, G. (2001). Disproportionality. In Barry Jones, R.J. (ed.), Encyclopedia of International Political Economy (pp. 358-59). London/New York: Routledge. Went, R. (2001). Crisis, of world capitalism. In Barry Jones, R.J. (ed.), Encyclopedia of International Political Economy (pp. 750-51). London/New York: Routledge.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Heertje, A. (2001). Johan Witteveen. Economische Statistische Berichten, 86, (4292), 39-42.

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Heertje, A. (2001). Lessen uit het buitenland. Economische Statistische Berichten, 86, 467. Heertje, A. (2001). Recensie, J.P. Henderson, J.B. Davis, The Life and Economics of David Ricardo. De Economist. Maas, H. & Bartelsman, E.J. (2001). Theorie en Statistieken. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4299), 27-30. Went, R., Dam, J. van & Welp, P. (2001). Stimulering van ondernemerschap. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4337), 924-926.

Books Heertje, A. (2001). Marketing in een notendop. Prometheus.

3. Ph.D. Theses Kuiper, E. (2001). The most valuable of all capital; a gender reading of economics texts. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Supervisors S. Gustafson and G. Reuten]. Maas, H. (2001). Mechanical reasoning: Jevons and the making of modern economics (cum laude). [Supervisor: M.S. Morgan]. Went, R. (2001). Essays on globalization: a journey to a possibly new stage of capitalism. [Supervisors M. Blaug and G. Reuten].

4. Professional publications and products

Maas, H. (2001). Review of Davis, J.B., Hands, D.W. & Mäki, U. (eds) The Handbook of Economic Methodology. In Economic Journal, 111, (469), F141-F143.

5. Other

Grants Boumans, M.J. (2001-2002). Fellow of NIAS.

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OUTPUT FACULTY WITH LESS THAN 0.2 APPOINTMENT HISTORY & METHODOLOGY OF ECONOMICS

Table 82 Programme results: outcome in numbers (faculty < 0.2 appointment) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 2 2 2 4412 b. books, monographs 1 1 c. books, edited 1 d. chapters 3 3 1 2. Dutch journals 2 1 3 books chapters 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications 1 2 3 2 3

1. International academic publications

Journals 2007 Blaug, M. (2007). The fundamental theorems of modern welfare economics, historically contemplated. History of Political Economy, 39, (2), 185-207. Schliesser, E.S. (2007). Two definitions of ‘cause,’ Newton, and the significance of the Humean distinction between natural and philosophical relations. Journal Scottish Philosophy, 5, (1). 2006 Morgan, M.S. (2006). Economic man as model man: Ideal types, idealization and caricatures. Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 28, (1), 1-27. 2005 Blaug, M. (2005). Why did Schumpeter Neglect Intellectual Property Rights? Economic Research on Copyright Issues, 2, (1), 69-74. Morgan, M.S. (2005). Experiments versus models: New phenomena, inference and Surprise. Journal of Economic Methodology, 12, (2), 317-329. Rodenburg, P. (2005). Models as Measuring Instrument: Measurement of Duration Dependence of Unemployment. Journal of Economic Methodology, 12, (3), 407-431. Went, R.C.P.M. (2005). Globalization: Waiting – in Vain – for the New Long Boom. Science & Society, 69, (3), 367-395. 2004 Morgan, M.S. (2004). Imagination and imaging in economic model-building. Philosophy of Science, 71, (2), 753-766. Morgan, M.S. (2004) Simulation: The birth of a technology to create “evidence” in economics. Revue d’Histoire des Sciences, 57, (2), 339-376. Went, R.C.P.M. (2004). Economic Globalization Plus Cosmopolitanism? Review of International Political Economy, 11, (2), 337-355. Went, R.C.P.M. (2004). Globalization: Can Europe Make a Difference? Review of International Political Economy, 11, (5), 980-994. 2003 Blaug, M. (2003). Rational versus Historical Reconstructions - A Counternote on Signorino’ Note on Blaug. The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 10, (4), 607-609. Blaug, M. (2002). Standing On the Shoulders of Giants. Classical Writings in Price

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Theory. A Review Essay on Bridel, P. (ed.) (2001). The Foundations of Price Theory, 6 vols. London. Pickering and Chatto Publishing. In History of Economic Ideas, 3, 103-110. 2002 Morgan, M.S. (2002). How models help economists to know [Commentary on John Sutton's "Marshall's Tendencies – What Can Economists Know?"]. Economics and Philosophy, 18, 5-16. Went, R. (2002). Globalization in the Perspective of Imperialism. Science & Society, 66, (4), 473-497. 2001 Morgan, M.S. (2001). Making measuring instruments. History of Political Economy, 33, Annual Supplement, 235-251. Morgan, M.S. (2001). Models, stories and the economic world. Journal of Economic Methodology, 8, (3).

Books, chapters 2007 Morgan, M.S. (2007). An analytical history of measuring practices: The case of velocities of money. In Boumans, M. (ed.), Measurement in Economics: A Handbook (pp 105-132). Amsterdam: Elsevier. Morgan, M.S. (2007). The curious case of the prisoner’s dilemma: Model situation? Exemplary narrative? In Creager, A.N.H., Lunbeck, E. & Wise, M.N. (eds.), Science Without Laws: Models Systems, Cases, Exemplary Narratives (pp 157-185). Durham: Duke University Press. Schliesser, E.S. (2007). Newtonianism and anti-Newtonianism in Hume. Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/hume-newton/. 2003 Blaug, M. (2003). The Formalist Revolution of the 1950’s. In Samuels,W.J. & Biddle, J.E. & Davis, J.B. (eds), The Blackwell Companion to the History of Economic Thought (pp. 395-410). Oxford: Blackwell. Blaug, M. (2003). Welfare economics. In Towse, R. (ed.), A Handbook of Cultural Economics. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Morgan, M.S. (2003). Economics. In Porter, T. & Ross, D. (eds.), The Cambridge History of Science, Volume 7: The Modern Social Sciences (pp. 275-305). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Morgan, M.S. (2003). Experiments without material intervention: Model experiments, virtual experiments and virtually experiments. In Radder, H. (ed), The Philosophy of Scientific Experimentation. University of Pittsburgh Press. Morgan, M.S. (2003). Business Cycles: Representation and Measurement. In Ladiray, D. (ed.), Papers and Proceedings of the Colloquium on the History of Business Cycle Analysis, Monographs of Official Statistics (pp. 175-190). Luxembourg: European Communities. Went, R.C.P.M. (2003). Globalisation: vers l’ultra-imperialisme? In M. Husson (ed.), Mondialisation et Imperialisme (pp. 53-59). Paris: Syllepse. 2002 Morgan, M.S. (2002). Model experiments and models in experiments. In Magnani, L. & Nersessian, N.J. (eds), Model-Based Reasoning: Science, Technology, Values (pp. 41-58). Kluwer Academic/Plenum. Morgan, M.S. (2002). History of econometrics. In Smelser, N.J. & Baltes, P.B. (eds), International Encyclopaedia of the Social and Behavioural Sciences, 6 (pp. 4065-69). Oxford/Amsterdam: Elsevier. Went, R. (2002). Globalization. In Snowdon, B. & Vane, H. (eds), Encyclopedia of Macroeconomics (pp. 288-292). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

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Books edited 2003 Blaug, M. & Vane, H.R. (eds) (2003). Who is Who in Economics, 4th edition. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. 2001 Morgan, M.S. and Klein, J.L. (eds.) (2001). The Age of Economic Measurement, Annual Supplement History of Political Economy Vol. 33. Duke University Press.

Books, monographs 2006 Went, R.C.P.M. (2006). The Enigma of Globalization. A Journey to a New Stage of Capitalism. London and New York: Routledge. Paperback. 2002 Went, R. (2002). The Enigma of Globalization: A journey to a new stage of capitalism. London/New York: Routledge. Went, R. (2002). Globalizáció. Neoliberális feladatok, radikális válaszok. Budapest: Perfekt. (Translation of Went, R. (2000). Globalization: Neoliberal Challenge, Radical Responses. London: Pluto Press.)

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals 2007 Mulder, M., Korteland, M. & Went, R.C.P.M. (2007). Subsidie op groene stroom kan doelmatiger’, Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4510, 308-310 Went, R.C.P.M. (2007). Globalisering is onbekend en omstreden. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4514S, 10-14. Went, R.C.P.M. (2007). Bespreking “Bad Samaritans” van Ha-Joon Chang, Economisch Statistische Berichten, 4521, 670. 2003 Went, R.C.P.M. (2003). Globalisering: de weggetrapte ladder. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 24-1-2003, 44-45. 2002 Went, R. (2002). Globalisering als nieuw stadium van het kapitalisme. Krisis: tijdschrift voor empirische filosofie, 3, (1), 76-91. Went, R. (2002). Boekbespreking globalisering: Op hoop van zegen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 21-06-2002, 494-5.

3. Ph.D. Theses

2006 Hickson, K. (2006). The contribution of improved health to standards of living in twentieth century England and Wales. [supervisor: M.S. Morgan] 2005 Mata, T.J.F. (2005). Dissent in economics, making radical political economics and post-Keynesian economics, 1960-1980. LSE. [Supervisor: M.S. Morgan] Rouvray, A.A. de (2005). Economists writing history: American and French experience in the mid-20th century. LSE [Supervisor: M.S. Morgan] 2001 Harrison, M.I. (2001). The human development index: A search for a meaure of human values. LSE [Supervisor: M.S. Morgan].

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4. Professional Publications and products

2007 Schliesser, E.S. (2007). Review of Pierre Force’s Self Interest Before Adam Smith, Adam Smith Review, 3. Schliesser, E.S. (2007). Review of the Cambridge Companion to Adam Smith, edited by Knud Haakonssen. Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews. http://ndpr.nd.edu/review.cfm?id=10823. Schliesser, E.S. (2007). Review of Margaret Schabas’ The Natural Origins of Economics. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science, 21, (3), 351- 355. 2006 Blaug, M. (2006). Review of O’Brien, D.P. The Classical Economists Revisited. In History of Political Economy, 38, (2), 398-400. Morgan, M.S. (2006). Measuring Instruments in Economics and the Velocity of Money. Working papers on The Nature of Evidence: How Well Do ‘Facts’ Travel? No. 13/06. LSE. 2005 Blaug, M. (2005). Review of Caldwell, B.J., Hayek's Challenge. An Intellectual Biography of H.A. Hayek. In Journal of Economic Methodology, 12, (3), 171- 76. Blaug, M. (2005). Obituary. John Michael Montias (1928-2005). Journal of Cultural Economics, 29, (4), 335-336. Morgan, M.S. Experimental Farming and Ricardo's Political Arithmetic of Distribution. Working papers on The Nature of Evidence: How Well Do ‘Facts’ Travel? No. 03/05. LSE. 2002 Went, R. (2002). Het mondiale casino. De globalisering is het nieuwe kapitalisme. Agora, tijdschrift voor sociaal-ruimtelijke vraagstukken, 18, (3), 4-6. Went, R. (2002). Globaliseringsfabel, bijdrage op website ESB, www.economie.nl. 2001 Morgan, M.S. (2001). The formation of ‘modern’ economics: Engineering and ideology. LSE Working papers in economic history, 62/01.

5. Other

Grants Morgan, M.S. (2004-2008). Leverhulme Trust/Economic and Social Research Council grant “The Nature of Evidence: How Well do ‘Facts’ Travel?”.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ worldwide unique combination of ƒ We need more people to diversify history and methodology coverage within history and ƒ international orientation and co- methodology. operation

Opportunities Threats

ƒ Becoming one of the main centers for ƒ Not being acknowledged as a research in methodology and history. reputable field within economics. ƒ Also, new developments in methodology – experimentalism etc. – could enable us to offer a new initiative.

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Experimental & Political Economics

ƒ Research area and mission: Our mission is to do cutting-edge research in the area of experimental and political economics. ƒ JEL Code: C7, C9, D7, D8, H41 ƒ Programme leader during the review period: Frans van Winden ƒ Starting date of the programme: 1991 ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute (e.g. research school) and other structural co-operations and relations with national and international research groups: Tinbergen Institute; EC-MC-RTN ENABLE (international research network with teams from Toulouse, Zurich, Mannheim, Munich, CEPR (Oxford), Stockholm, Harvard and Princeton)

B.1 Leadership

The responsibilities of a programme leader in relation to the management of the institute (RESAM) are largely informal. In practice, the formal responsibilities are mostly related to the co-ordination of the annual research report, the allocation of a small budget, a yearly meeting with the director of the institute together with the other programme leaders, and being a spokesman for the research group.

The management style can be characterized as ‘management by persuasion’, within a strongly horizontally organised research group at the senior researcher level.

Communication and control is institutionalized in different ways. At the senior research level there is a yearly ‘Financial & planning meeting’ (with as an important fixed agenda item the ways and means to cover the substantial experimental payments and the reputation of the lab). For the whole group there is the monthly ‘CREED-meeting’ and ‘Newsletter’ (with fixed items such as ‘research’, ‘visits’, and ‘whereabouts’), the regular ‘CREED-lunch-seminars’ where in particular new experimental designs are presented and discussed (a must for young researchers and external users of the CREED-lab), and the regular advanced research seminars organised jointly with the Tinbergen Institute (programme ‘Institutions and Decision Analysis’). There is further an informal ‘CREED-coffee’ on Wednesdays. CREED is an ‘open door’ research group with traditionally a lot of interaction between researchers at all levels. Other important channels for (external) communication are the CREED-secretariat, the CREED-website, and a web-based recruiting system for experimental subjects.

Within the constraints of the wider Faculty organisation motivation largely takes place via informal and immaterial channels, like recommendations and proposals for honours/awards or career development (job market, internal position, salary), individual encouragement, special attention in the group’s newsletter, social events, and the like.

Important channels for improvement and innovation are − in addition to the internal ‘fora’ mentioned above and the innovative larger research projects supported by the Dutch science foundation NWO − the many visitors and the research networks (ENDEAR, ENABLE) and research group exchanges (NYU, Nottingham, Waseda) maintained by CREED. The involvement of world-wide top-researchers facilitates the tracking and digestion of cutting-edge knowledge as well as new developments or opportunities for improvement and innovation.

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B.2 Strategy and policy

Research area The research area concerns experimental and political economics.

Mission Improving the understanding of the behavioural determinants and consequences of economic decision making by (a) focusing on political economic issues, (b) allowing for bounded rationality, and (c) using laboratory experimentation as research method.

Motivation Political decision making plays an important role in economies. Governments, for example, are essential for the functioning of markets, may be called upon to correct for market failures, but also have their own dynamics. Positive welfare effects of policies cannot be taken for granted. It is, therefore, important to study political decision making and the way in which policies can be applied beneficially. These observations provide the motivation for the first project: Economics of political decision making, a long standing project at the FEB dating back to 1983. It is related to public choice and the more recent upsurge in political economics.

Economic models, also when concerned with political decision making, typically make strong assumptions about the rationality, sophistication, and selfishness of individual behaviour. Experimental and other empirical evidence suggests, however, that the predictive power of the standard ‘homo economicus’ model is often disappointing and depends on the institutional character of the decision making environment. There is a need for greater knowledge and a more satisfactory treatment of the bounds on rationality generated by the nature of cognition and emotion, and the influence of institutions. This motivates the second project: Bounded rationality and institutions, which fits into the new field of behavioural economics.

For the advancement of theory, empirical feedback is crucial. This may hold in particular for new research areas, when sorting out the most promising ways to go. Empirical analysis is seen as an important ingredient of this programme. For many of the issues studied in the aforementioned two projects, however, adequate field data are hard to come by or even non-existent. Laboratory experimentation is a helpful complementary research method, especially in these cases, for exploration or the testing of models focusing on fundamental behavioural aspects or mechanisms. This motivates the third project: Experimental economics, which is stimulated by, and provides feedback for, the other two projects.

Institutional embedding The research of this programme is carried out within the Center for Research in Experimental Economics and political Decision-making (CREED), a research institute of the FEB. CREED was established in 1991 by a PIONIER-grant from the Netherlands Organisation for the Advancement of Scientific Research (NWO) for the development of experimental economics in the Netherlands.

An important facility is the CREED-laboratory for experimental economics, one of the few dedicated computer laboratories in Europe. Its focus on political decision making and experimental economics distinguishes CREED internationally.

Previous assessment The previous assessment regarded the ‘quality’ of this research programme excellent

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(5) and its ‘viability’ beyond doubt (5). Regarding ‘productivity’ the hope for an ‘even larger output’ was expressed (4), while with respect to the programme’s ‘relevance’ (3) it was mentioned that, notwithstanding its theoretical orientation, “the group still maintains an interest in work with policy relevance.”

While taking care to keep and even further strengthen the quality and viability of the programme, several actions have been taken to further improve its productivity and societal (policy) relevance. First of all, productivity has been greatly improved through appointments (professorships, Ph.D.-positions), an adjustment in publication efforts towards higher ranked publication outlets, and, last but not least, the coming of age of the research programme (CREED celebrated its 10th anniversary in 2001, commemorated with a special Faculty brochure). To illustrate, the total number of international publications was about 4 times as large as the total number in the previous assessment period. Moreover, 7 publications were in the top-five journals (AA-journals according to the Tinbergen Institute’s ranking), compared to 0 in the previous period. CREED members contributed 25% of the total number of AA- publications of the Tinbergen Institute, while comprising only 5-6% of its fellows (see B10). The number of doctoral theses per year increased with about 45% (this excludes the 4 theses that are expected to be finished in 2008).

Second, more effort has been put in getting across and exploiting the group’s expertise to the benefit of third parties, involving private as well as public institutions. This is partly related to the development of new lines of research (e.g. , an NWO- VICI grant for the theoretical, experimental, and policy related study of license auctions). As discussed in greater detail below (see B6), over the relevant period CREED has been frequently asked for advise, for carrying out consultancy projects, and to inform a wider audience about the relevance of its research findings.

Development over the relevant period Some of the more important research innovations within the programme during the present assessment period are related to the employment of new researchers, the appointment of full professorships for behavioural game theory and behavioural economics (next to the already existing ones for experimental economics and public economics), and the acquisition of a series of (major) research grants (NWO, EU).

Areas that were substantially stimulated this way are related to (key publications within parentheses): ƒ decision making under risk and uncertainty (Wakker, Econometrica, 2001; Köbberling & Wakker, Journal of Economic Theory, 2005); ƒ bounded rationality (Offerman, Potters & Sonnemans, Review of Economic Studies, 2002; Hommes, Sonnemans, Tuinstra & van de Velden, Review of Financial Studies, 2005); ƒ the role of emotions in economics and politics (Bosman & van Winden, Economic Journal, 2002; van Dijk, Sonnemans & van Winden, Journal of Public Economics, 2002); ƒ the impact of the institutional aspects of auctions (Goeree & Offerman, American Economic Review, 2002; Goeree & Offerman, Econometrica, 2004; Offerman & Potters, Review of Economic Studies, 2006); ƒ the dynamics of social institutions (norms, social networks; Ule, 2007); ƒ evolutionary aspects of co-operation and reciprocity (Seinen & Schram, European Economic Review, 2006; van Veelen, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2006; van Veelen & Hopfensitz, Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2007).

More generally, compared to the previous assessment, a shift has occurred toward more fundamental aspects of decision making. This shift also shows up in the new

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Future The longer term development of a (fundamental) research programme is by its very nature notoriously difficult to plan, due to its internal dynamics (what proves to be interesting to pursue?) and the exit or entry of productive and innovative researchers. On the other hand, in the short run, existing projects and grants largely determine its more general course. Some foreseen new accents in the shorter run are related to the role of communication in (strategic) decision making, the development of social networks, and the (neuro-)psychological underpinning of behavioural assumptions in economic modelling. Moreover, developments in experimental technology have made it possible to expand laboratory control beyond the walls of the laboratory itself, for example, by running experiments via the internet or ‘in the field’. It is to be expected that such new methods will be increasingly used by CREED. Links and exchanges with other important research groups (at present, at NYU and Nottingham) are expected to be continued and strengthened. Furthermore, co- operation with biologists (IBED) and neuro-psychologists/scientists (ACACIA, CSCA) of the UvA is expected to grow.

Regarding teaching, CREED has successfully promoted and actively supports the use of experiments in the class room to make teaching more vivid and effective (cases and software have been developed to that purpose in the past). Moreover, it has stimulated the incorporation of new subjects, like experimental and (more recently) behavioural economics, in the curricula at the undergraduate as well as the graduate level.

CREED maintains important links with the Tinbergen Institute. It provides a substantial input in its research programme (Institutions and Decision Analysis) as well as its teaching curriculum (with courses in: experimental economics and public/political economics). In response to CREED’s leading role in research, the core programme has also been adjusted to include a course on behavioural economics and information economics in the micro-economics curriculum. CREED is also affiliated with the Cognitive Science Center Amsterdam (Steering group, lecturing).

Finally, regarding (inter-)national affiliations, CREED is keen on developing and maintaining an active involvement in important academic networks (e.g. , EU-RTNs like ENDEAR and ENABLE, CEPR, Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences) and academic associations (frequent involvement in management and organisational activity), regular exchanges with research groups (e.g. , at NYU and Nottingham University), and participation in the editorial boards of relevant publication outlets (e.g. , EER, Experimental Economics, Games and Economic Behaviour, Management Science).

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

The culture of our programme can be characterized by open communication, extensive interactions and collaborations within the research group and with other groups at our university or other universities. A quick look at the publication list shows that only about 13% of the publications are single-authored, around 13% are collaborations with only other group members, 16% are with other UvA researchers, and about 60% are with researchers from other universities. Noteworthy are the experimental studies involving the CeNDEF group, the Scholar group, and the IO

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RESAM: Experimental & Political Economics group at our Faculty. Recently, we have witnessed a growing interest from the business school. In addition, a fruitful collaboration with theoretical biologists at the UvA (IBED) has been established through a major NWO-grant, leading to both theoretical and experimental studies. A recent NWO-pilot-grant supports a new neuro-economics project with neuropsychologists at the UvA (ACACIA).

A good example of our culture of open interaction, and of our quality control and methodological safeguarding are the internal CREED-seminars. In these seminars, new ideas are presented and designs of experiments are discussed at a very early stage. In principal, one is not allowed to use resources like the laboratory and money without at least once presenting an internal seminar. This has many advantages: at this stage one is generally more open for suggestions and discussion can be particularly helpful (because after the experiment is run, you can only discuss the analyses and presentation); we get to know the interests and ideas of everybody including our visitors; and it is very instructive and stimulating. Additionally, our Ph.D. students and junior staff are offered a useful training in presenting and debating. Further training aspects are discussed under B7.

In addition to these early-stage internal seminars, we organise seminars at the Faculty and the Tinbergen Institute where completed working papers are presented by us and by visitors.

Our national and international contacts are very valuable. In the Netherlands we have contacts and collaborations with Tilburg and Maastricht where the former CREED- members Jan Potters and Arno Riedl now run their own research groups. International collaborations are enhanced in the following ways: we are the coordinators of two European (MC-RTN) research networks ENDEAR and ENABLE (with joint projects, summer schools, workshops); we organise an annual meeting with research groups from NYU and Nottingham University, and on a regular basis international workshops and conferences (e.g. , ESA, Public Choice); and we receive many visitors who want to spend some time at our group. We also encourage Ph.D. students, postdocs, and senior researchers to spend some time at other groups. Our network benefits from the active involvement of the more senior researchers in international associations and the editorial boards of international journals (see B4).

Processes in which research strategies are evaluated and redirected have been indicated under B1.

B.4 Academic reputation

CREED is one of the leading institutes for Experimental Economics in the world. In the period under observation, CREED members were invited to give 34 lectures at major international conferences and workshops (including 11 keynote addresses) and 170 invited seminars outside of the UvA. Moreover, two world conferences (The World Meetings of the Economic Science Association in 2004 and the first World Meetings of the Public Choice Society in 2007) and a major European conference (EARIE) were organised by individual CREED members as well as over a dozen smaller workshops. CREED members also regularly serve on the programme committees of international conferences, on Ph.D. committees outside of the UvA (over 15 times during the period under consideration), and as external advisor to foreign academic institutions (regarding research programmes, appointments, prizes).

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Aside from a variety of smaller grants (like two NWO-VENI grants, and an NWO-Pilot Project grant on cognition), CREED members acquired three major scientific grants (each over k€500) in this period: An NWO-VICI grant for the theoretical, experimental and policy related study of license auctions; a European MC-RTN grant (ENABLE) for the advancement of behavioural economics (including teams from Harvard and Princeton); and a project within the NWO programme Evolution and Behaviour.

Various fellowships were awarded by, among others, the Econometric Society, CEPR, and the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences (KNAW). Members received publication awards in 2002, 2003, and 2005. CREED traditionally scores well in national and international rankings. It is always represented in the top 40 of Dutch economists published by ESB. Between 2001 and 2007 this included first place rankings and various top 10 slots. It was also in the top 100 of the most cited scientists in economics and business published in 2003. In the Faculty’s list of 10 most cited publications, 8 slots were taken by CREED members. In a comprehensive analysis of various individual rankings of Dutch economists published in De Economist in 2007, two CREED members are ranked in the top 10. As a group, the political economics group of the UvA (which consists mainly of CREED) ranked 3rd in Europe in a ranking published in 2006 (http://www.econPh.D.net).

CREED’s reputation also shows from its members’ editorial activities. In the period concerned CREED members served as: editor of the journals Experimental Economics, the European Journal of Political Economy, and Theory and Decision; associate editor of the European Economic Review, Games and Economic Behaviour, and the Journal of Risk and Uncertainty; editorial board member of Public Choice, the Journal of Economic Psychology, Quantitative Finance, the Journal of Behavioural Decision Making, the Journal of Mathematical Psychology, the Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Management Science, Medical Decision Making, Experimental Economics, and Theory and Decision. CREED is also active in the boards of various international organisations, such as the Economic Science Association (for experimental economics), the European Public Choice Society, and the International Institute of Public Finance.

CREED’s academic reputation further shows from the academic positions obtained by former CREED members. CREED Ph.D.-students found jobs at, among others, Princeton University, the University of Chicago, Northwestern University, and the University of Toulouse. In addition, CREED members left to take full professorships at the University of Maastricht, the Erasmus University Rotterdam, and the California Institute of Technology.

In a recent report of the executive board of the UvA (“Onderzoeksvisie Universiteit van Amsterdam”, College van Bestuur, 2006) CREED’s research is explicitly mentioned as part of the characteristic research of this university.

B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

In the past six years, we managed to fulfil our ambition to become recognised as one of the leading groups in the world in our field of Experimental Economics. That we succeeded doing so can be inferred from the regular stream of publications in the top-5 journals, the frequent invitations for CREED members to perform as key-note speaker and the fact that we organised the world meeting for the Economics Science Association in 2004, the most important conference on Experimental Economics. We

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RESAM: Experimental & Political Economics succeeded in hiring top researchers like Jacob Goeree and Peter Wakker and we attracted excellent Ph-D students, some of whom went to top Institutes like Princeton and Northwestern after obtaining their degree. This year we attracted three of the best students out of a cohort of 22 students from the TI graduate program. All this means that we are successful according to our own standards and our institute's standards. Our objective is to maintain our international position in the next six years, and to expand it where possible.

B.6. External validation

The discussion of real-world policy issues benefits substantially from a combined game theoretic and experimental research input. The combined efforts of experimental economists and game theorists to guide the Federal Communication Commission in the US to design the telecom license auctions is a primary example of such research. Given the available expertise at CREED, it is not surprising that CREED-members frequently advise public as well as private institutions on the design of economic institutions. Examples concerning the period 2001-2007 where various ministries were involved include license auctions, the tax system, and the introduction of the new health-insurance system.

An important part of CREED’s advisory work was dedicated to the design of auctions (starting with a project commissioned by the biggest Dutch flower auction in the previous assessment period). CREED advised about how to design the allocation mechanisms for assigning commercial radio-frequencies (‘Zero-Base’), for Public Access Mobile Radio (‘PAMR’), for special telephone-numbers (‘18XY’), for assigning the locations of gas-stations to oil-companies, for the sale of wireless local loop frequencies (‘WLL’) and for assigning shares of the Zuidas-Dok project to private bidders.

Other main projects for the government concern an experimental study of the employment effects of shifting the tax burden from labour to value added (‘Plan van Elswijk’), and an experimental study that investigated how people deal with the abundance of available information when they choose their health-insurance and how the processing of information affects their choices for health-insurance.

Some research was also commissioned by private institutions. For instance, CREED advised SHELL and TEXACO on the question what strategy to pursue in the auctions for the locations of gas-stations. Furthermore, several studies were commissioned by the Dutch Central Bank, one regarding the consequences of vote rotation in committees (instead of all members always having a vote), and a recent project concerning the stability of inter-bank payment systems.

Members of CREED regularly disseminate their knowledge through seminars for laymen audiences (such as for high-school students in disadvantaged neighborhoods) or more professional audiences (e.g. , ministries). CREED also regularly contributes to major Dutch newspapers, professional magazines (e.g. , ESB), and radio and television. Topics that are covered range from the prevention of terrorism, and the effects of employing auctions on consumer prices in the aftermarket, to the voting- procedure of choosing the new pope.

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B.7. Researchers and other personnel

Ph.D.-candidates are acquired in two ways: via the Tinbergen Institute’s Mphil- programme and via external funding (NWO or the European Community). Though the MPhil programme of the Tinbergen Institute has only recently started to supply more than a handful of students to the three participating faculties, CREED seems to be an attractive group for students to move to. For example, it is already known that three MPhil candidates will join CREED in 2008. Training occurs ‘hands on’ within the research group and through the regular exchanges with other research groups, through courses of the Tinbergen Institute, international summer schools, and skills & career development opportunities facilitated by the Faculty and the EU-RTN grants. Junior researchers (postdocs) have typically started on the basis of external funding (NWO, EC). Recruitment is organised through official channels (in co-ordination with the Faculty) but generally the group’s international network gives access to many excellent candidates. The most successful postdocs are proposed for getting tenure by the Faculty (recently, Ule and van Veelen).

CREED members can obtain (and two in fact did obtain) full professorships based on academic merits (as part of their career development at the Faculty). In addition, there is a continuous search (alertness) for young and more senior talent from elsewhere, in interaction with the dean.

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Table 83 Total Total Total Total Total Total Total Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Goeree, J.K. - 0.50 0.72 0.46 - - - Offerman, T.J.S. - - - - 0.80 0.80 0.65 Schram, A.J.H.C. 0.50 0.50 0.56 0.55 0.50 0.50 0.50 Sonnemans, J. - - - 0.53 0.50 0.50 0.50 Wakker, P.P. 0.72 0.72 0.51 0.64 0.32 0.00 0.00 Winden, F.A.A.M. van 0.50 0.50 0.53 0.53 0.33 0.46 0.50 Associate Professor (UHD) Abbink, K. - - - - - 0.46 0.50 Offerman, T.J.S. - 0.80 0.80 0.80 - - - Riedl, A.M. - - - - 0.33 - Sonnemans, J. 0.50 0.50 0.53 - -

Assistant Professor (UD) Offerman, T.J.S. 0.50 - - - - - Onderstal, A.M. - - - 0.14 0.42 0.42 0.42 Riedl, A.M. 0.30 0.50 0.50 0.50 - - Veelen, C.M. van ------0.17

Total Tenured Staff 3.02 4.02 4.15 4.15 3.20 3.14 3.24

Non-Tenured Staff Bardsley, N. 0.80 0.20 - - - - Boone, J. - - - 0.11 0.42 0.42 0.42 D'Exelle, B. - - - 0.04 0.00 0.00 - Falconieri, S. 0.60 ------Kocher, M.G. - - - - 0.25 1.00 0.50 Le Lec, 0.75 Michelucci, F. ------1.00 Riedl, A.M. 0.27 ------Sadiraj, V. - 0.66 1.00 - - - - Ule, A. - - - 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.54 Veelen, C.M. van - - - 0.33 1.00 0.80 0.67 Zeelenberg, M. - - - 0.00 0.00 0.00 - PhD's Angelova, M. - 0.20 0.05 - - - - Bosman, R. 0.40 ------Broek, E.M.F. van den - - - 0.40 0.60 0.60 0.60 Gillet, J. - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.40 - Groot Ruiz, A. de------0.50 Großer, J. 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - Hopfensitz, A. - 0.55 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.05 - Hu, X. - - - - - 0.25 0.60 Krawczyk, M. - - - - 0.50 0.60 0.60 Kuilen, G. van der - 0.40 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.30 - Pelloux, B. ------0.20 Reuben, E. - 0.20 0.60 0.60 0.40 - - Rostek, M. 0.35 ------Sadiraj, V. 0.40 0.20 - - - - - Seinen, I. 0.45 ------Traxler, Ch. - - - 0.10 0.33 - 0.50 Trautmann, S.T. - - - 0.20 0.40 0.00 0.00 Ule, A. 0.60 0.60 - - - - - Veen, A. van der - - - - - 0.10 0.60 Vieider, F.M. - - - 0.20 0.40 0.00 0.00

Total Non-Tenured Staff 4.32 3.21 3.45 4.53 7.10 5.52 7.48

Total Research Staff 7.34 7.23 7.60 8.68 10.30 8.66 10.72

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B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

Facilities CREED’s main facility is its laboratory. This consists of three parts: a reception room (36m2), an operational annex storage center (20m2), and a laboratory (108m2) stocked with 30 desktop computers separated in cubicles. The laboratory is equipped with a ‘computer floor’ to hide cables, and a cooling system. The computer equipment has recently been renewed and is sufficient to serve its purpose. New equipment is planned, however, for future experiments (e.g. , audio and video facilities). For the use of equipment requiring specialized psychological or neuroscientific expertise (like eye-tracking and brain-scanning) existing links with the Cognitive Science Center Amsterdam (and the new Spinoza Centre for Neuroimaging) are already exploited and may be further developed.

The CREED laboratory is used by CREED members but also on a regular basis by other Faculty members, in particular from research groups in the Amsterdam School of Economics (e.g. , SCHOLAR, ENCORE, and CenDEF) and the Amsterdam Business School. On occasion, the facilities are used by researchers from other Universities.

Because the demand for the CREED laboratory now exceeds the available capacity (leading to unacceptable waiting times for running experiments), CREED has recently proposed a reconstruction of the laboratory where the number of terminals would be increased to 40 and the parallel running of experiments would be enabled.

CREED further maintains a small library, mainly with various technical and specialized handbooks and some journals, and a web-based recruiting system for experimental subjects.

Personnel The number of young researchers (at the tenure level) has increased over the years, mainly as a consequence of large scale, externally funded projects such as the NWO-VICI and ENABLE projects (e.g. , involving Jan Boone, Martin Kocher, and Sander Onderstal). In addition, CREED was ‘rejuvenated’ by a process where Jacob Goeree, Peter Wakker and Arno Riedl left for (full professorship) positions elsewhere. Matthijs van Veelen and Aljaž Ule obtained tenured assistant professorships and Klaus Abbink was hired as a tenured associate professor. Theo Offerman and Joep Sonnemans were promoted to full professor. The result is a more balanced distribution in terms of both age and academic position. Because of the grants received, the percentage of salaries paid directly by the Faculty (‘eerste geldstroom’) was reduced from more than 80% in 2001-2003 to less than 40% in the last two years.

Future Funding Targets Aside from an increase in the laboratory’s capacity and new equipment, CREED aims at some further growth in research personnel. It is an internationally renowned institute that provides an attractive working environment for top-level research. On a regular basis excellent researchers from around the world have shown interest in moving to CREED and it would greatly stimulate the Faculty’s research if it were possible to accommodate some of these wishes.

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Table 84 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 81% 86% 89% 70% 50% 38% 33% Research funds 4% 11% 11% 28% 39% 44% 45% Contracts 15% 3% 0% 2% 10% 18% 22% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Goeree, J.K. & Offerman, T.J.S. (2004). The Amsterdam Auction. Econometrica, 72, 281-294. Offerman, Th., Potters, J. & Sonnemans, J. (2002). Imitation and Belief Learning in an Oligopoly Experiment. Review of Economic Studies, 69, 973-997. Bosman, R. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2002). Emotional Hazard in a Power-to-Take Experiment. The Economic Journal, 112, 147-169. Wakker, P.P. (2001). Testing and Characterizing Properties of Nonadditive Measures through Violations of the Sure-Thing Principle. Econometrica, 69, 1039-1059. Großer, J. & Schram, A.J.H.C. Neighborhood Information Exchange And Voter Participation: An Experimental Study. American Political Science Review, 100, 235-248.

Table 85 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 13 16 12 14 15 26 20 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 4 4 2 1 2 2. Dutch journals 3 1 1 1 books chapters 1 1 3. PhD theses 1 1 1 3 1 4. Professional publications 1 5

Table 86 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 6 12 8 3 9 7 5 Other international Journals 7 4 4 11 6 19 15

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OUTPUT EXPERIMENTAL & POLITICAL ECONOMICS

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Ben-Shakar, G., Bornstein, G., Hopfensitz, A. and Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2007). Reciprocity and Emotions in Bargaining: Using Physiological and Self-Report Measures. Journal of Economic Psychology, 314-323. Belot, M., Boone, J. and Ours, J. van (2007). Welfare effects of employment protection. Economica, 74, 381-396. Boone, J., Fredriksson, P., Holmlund, B. and Ours, J. van (2007). Optimal unemployment insurance with monitoring and sanctions. Economic Journal 117, 399-42. Boone, J. and Bovenberg, L. (2007). The simple economics of bunching: Optimal taxation with quasi-linear preferences. Journal of Public Economic Theory 9 (1), 89–105. Hommes, C., Sonnemans, J.H., Tuinstra, J. and Velden, H. van de (2007) Learning in Cobweb Experiments. Macroeconomic Dynamics 11, 8-33. Kocher, M. and Sutter, M. (2007). Trust and trustworthiness across different age groups. Games and Economic Behaviour 59, 364-382. Kocher, M. & Sutter, M. (2007). Individual versus group behaviour and the role of the decision making process in gift-exchange experiments. Empirica 34, 63-88. Kugler, T., Bornstein, M., Kocher, M. and Sutter, M. (2007). Trust between individuals and groups: Groups are less trusting than individuals but just as trustworthy. Journal of Economic Psychology 28, 646-657. Maasland, E. & Onderstal, S. (2007). Auctions with Financial Externalities. Economic Theory 32, 551-574. Maximiano, S., Sloof, R. and Sonnemans, J (2007). Gift exchange in a multi-worker firm. Economic Journal 117, 1025-1050. Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. and Sonnemans, J.H. (2007). Who should invest in firm specific training? Journal of Population Economics 20, 329-357. Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. and Sonnemans, J.H. (2007). Promotion rules and skill acquisition: An experimental study. Economica 74, 259-297. Quiggin, J. and Veelen, M. van (2007). Multilateral indices: conflicting approaches? Review of Income and Wealth 53, 372-378. Riedl, A. and Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2007). An experimental investigation of wage taxation and unemployment in closed and open economies. European Economic Review 51, 871-900. Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H. and Sonnemans, J.H. (2007).On the Importance of Default Breach Remedies. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics 163, 5- 22. Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H. and Sonnemans, J. (2007). Does making specific investments unobservable boost investment incentives? Journal of Economics and Management Strategy 16, 911-942. Sonnemans, J.H. (2007). Distant relations, a review of “Social Psychology and Economics. Social Justice Research 20, 388-399. Veelen, M. van (2007). Hamilton's missing link. Journal of Theoretical Biology 246, 551-554. Veelen, M. van and Hopfensitz, A. (2007). In Love and War; altruism, norm

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formation, and two different types of group selection. Journal of Theoretical Biology 249, 667-680. Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2007). Affect and Fairness in Economics. Social Justice Research 20, 35-52.

Chapters Sloof, R., Sonnemans, J.H. and Oosterbeek, H. (2007) Underinvestment in training? Joop Hartog and Henriette Maassen van den Brink (eds) Human Capital; Advances in Theory and Evidence Cambridge University Press 113-133. Winden, Frans van (2007) Affective Public Choice. José Casas Pardo and Pedro Schwartz (eds) Public Choice and the Challenges of Democracy Edward Elgar 45-61.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Kuilen, G. van de (2007, 13 February). The Economic Measurement of Psycological Risk Attitudes. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. P.P. Wakker].

4. Professional publications and products

Gërxhani, K. and Schram, A.J.H.C. (2007). Albanië: 15 jaar worstelen met de instituties. Internationale Spectator 61, juni 2007, 301-304. Groot, I and Onderstal, S. (2007). No Cure, No Pay: Een Goed Idee. ESB 4502, 46- 47. Lackner, I., Petri, M. and Schram, A.J.H.C. (2007). Keuzegedrag op de zorgverzekeringsmarkt. ESB dossier april 2007, 22-27. Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2007). Affective public choice, (reprinted from José Casas Pardo and Pedro Schwartz (eds) Public Choice and the Challenges of Democracy Edward Elgar 45-61) in: M. Kohno and T. Saijo (eds.), Shakai Kakagu no Jikken Apurochi (Experimental Approaches in Social Scieces), Keisoshobo Publishers, Tokyo, 2007, pp. 37-58. Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2007). Experimentele en politiek economie, 'Economie in beweging'. In Noorda, S.J, Polak, M.S. & Sevink, J. (eds), Over de volle breedte. Amsterdams universitair onderzoek na 1970. Amsterdam University Press. (about the origin and development of CREED/research at the University of Amsterdam after 1970).

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2006

1. International academic Publications

Journals Abbink, K. (2006). Majority rip-off in referendum voting. Social Choice and Welfare, 26, 1-22. Abbink, K. & Hennig-Schmidt, H. (2006). Neutral versus Loaded Instructions in a Bribery Experiment. Experimental Economics, 9, 103-121. Abbink, K., Irlenbusch, B. & Renner, E. (2006). Group Size and Social Ties in Microfinance Institutions. Economic Inquiry, 44, 614-628. Abbink, K., Irlenbusch, B. & Renner, E. (2006) Interest Rates in Group Lending: A Behavioural Investigation. Pacific Economic Review 11, 185-199 Abbink, K. & Rockenbach, B. (2006) Option Pricing by Students and Professional Traders: A Behavioral Investigation. Managerial and Decision Economics 27, 497-510 Boone, J. & Bovenberg, A.L. (2006). Unemployment vs. In-work Benefits with Search Unemployment and Observable Abilities. Journal of Economic Theory, 126, (1), 165-193. Boone, J. & Ours, J. van (2006). Are recessions good for workplace safety? Journal of Health Economics, 25, 1069-1093. Boone, J. & Potters, J. (2006). Transparency, prices, and welfare with imperfect substitutes. Economic Letters, 93, 398-404. Boone, J. & Ours, J. van (2006). Modeling financial incentives to get unemployed back to work. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 162, (2), 227-252. Bosman, R., Hennig-Schmidt, H. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2006). Exploring Group Decision Making in a Power-to-Take Experiment. Experimental Economics, 9, 35-5. Cox, J.C. & Sadiraj, V. (2006). Small- and Large-Stakes Risk Aversion: Implications of Concavity Calibration for Decision Theory. Games and Economic Behaviour, 56, (1), 45-60. Gerxhani, K. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2006). Tax Evasion and Income Source: A Comparative Experimental Study. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, 402- 422. Goeree, J.K., Offerman, T.J.S. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2006). Using First-Price Auctions to Sell Heterogeneous Licenses. International Journal of Industrial Organisation, 24, 555-581. Großer, J. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2006) Neighborhood Information Exchange And Voter Participation: An Experimental Study. American Political Science Review, 100, 235-248. Kocher, M., Strauß, S. & Sutter, M. (2006). Individual or team decision-making – Causes and consequences of self-selection. Games and Economic Behaviour, 56, 259-270. Kocher, M. & Sutter, M. (2006). Time is money – Time pressure, incentives, and the quality of decision making. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 61, 375-392. Kocher, M., Luptacik, M. and Sutter, M. (2006). Measuring productivity of research in economics. A cross-country study using DEA. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 40, 314-332. Kuilen, G. van de & Wakker, P.P. (2006). Learning in the Allais Paradox. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 33, 155-164. Maasland, E. & Onderstal, S. (2006). Going, Going, Gone! A Swift Tour of Auction

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Theory and Its Applications. De Economist, 154, 197-249. Offerman, T.J.S. & Potters, J. (2006). Does Auctioning of Entry Licenses Induce Collusion? An Experimental Study. Review of Economic Studies, 73, 769- 791. Sadiraj, V., Tuinstra, J. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2006). A computational electoral competition model with social clustering and endogenous interest groups as information brokers. Public Choice, 129, 169-187. Seinen, I. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2006). Social Status and Group Norms: Indirect Reciprocity in a Helping Experiment. European Economic Review, 50, 581- 602. Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H., Riedl, A. & Sonnemans, J. (2006). Breach remedies, reliance and renegotiation. International Review of Law and Economics, 26, 263-296. Sonnemans, J. (2006) Price clustering and natural resistance points in the Dutch stock market: a natural experiment. European Economic Review, 50, 1937- 1950. Sonnemans, J., Dijk, F. van & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2006). On the dynamics of social ties structures in groups Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, 187-204. Veelen, M. van (2006). Why kin and group selection models may not be enough to explain human other-regarding behaviour. Journal of Theoretical Biology 242, 790-797.

Chapters Abbink, K. (2006). Laboratory experiments on corruption. In Rose-Ackerman, S. (ed). International Handbook on the Economics of Corruption. Northampton US and Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar Publishers. Kocher, M., Margreiter, M., Pogrebna, A. & Sutter, M. (2006). Women in top journals of economics. In Wohlgemuth (ed.), Arbeit, Humankapital und Wirtschaftspolitik (pp. 317-338). Berlin: Duncker und Humblot. Kocher, M. (2006). Der souveräne Nationalstaat als Akteur im Prozess der Konstitutionalisierung aus Sicht der Ökonomik. In Busek/Hummer (eds), Die Konstitutionalisierung der Verbandsgewalt in der (neuen) Europäischen Union. Rechtliche, politische und ökonomische Konsequenzen der neuen Verfassung der EU. Wien: Böhlau. Ule, A & Boucherie, R. (2006). Adaptive dynamic capacity borrowing in road-covering mobile networks. In Pan, Y. & Li, W. (eds), Resource Allocation in Next Generation Wireless Networks. Nova Science Publishers. Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2006). Social Science In The Making: An economistís view. In Lange, P.A.M. van (eds), Bridging Social Psychology: Benefits of Transdisciplinary Approaches Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Offerman, T.J.S. (2006). Economisch Design. Tijdschrift Politieke Ekonomie, 27, (4), 22-39.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Grosser, J. (2006, 24 May). Voting in the laboratory. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. A.J.H.C. Schram]. Hopfensitz, A. (2006, 23 February). The Role of Affect in Reciprocity and Risk

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Taking. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. F.A.A.M. van Winden] [cat. I] Reuben, E. (2006, 16 February). Fairness in the Lab. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. F.A.A.M. van Winden].

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Abdellaoui, M. & Wakker, P.P. (2005). The Likelihood Method for Decision under Uncertainty. Theory and Decision, 58, 3-76. Bosman, R., Sutter, M. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2005). The impact of real effort and emotions in the power-to-take game. Journal of Economic Psychology, 26, 407-429. Gächter, S. & Riedl, A. (2005). Moral Property Rights in Bargaining with Infeasible Claims. Management Science, 51, 249-263. Goeree, J.K., Maasland, E., Onderstal, S. & Turner, J. (2005). How (Not) to Raise Money. Journal of Political Economy, 113, 897-918. Hommes, C., Sonnemans, J., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2005). A strategy experiment in dynamic asset pricing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 29, 823-843. Hommes, C., Sonnemans, J., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2005). Co-ordination of Expectations in Asset Pricing Experiments. Review of Financial Studies, 18, 955-980. Köbberling, V. & Wakker, P.P. (2005). An Index of Loss Aversion. Journal of Economic Theory, 122, 119-131. Kocher, M. & Sutter, M. (2005). The decision maker matters. Individual versus team behaviour in experimental beauty-contest games. Economic Journal, 115, 200-223. Okada, A. & Riedl, A. (2005). Inefficiency and Social Exclusion in a Coalition Formation Game: Experimental Evidence. Games and Economic Behaviour, 50, 278-311. Riedl, A. & Tyran J. (2005). Tax Liability Side Equivalence in Gift Exchange Labor Markets. Journal of Public Economics, 89, 2369-2382. Sadiraj, V., Tuinstra, J. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2005). Interest Group Size Dynamics and Policymaking. Public Choice, 125, 271-303. Schram, A.J.H.C. (2005). Artificiality: the tension between internal and external validity in economic experiments. Journal of Economic Methodology, 12, (2), 225-237. Ule, J., Ule, A., Spencer, J., Williams, A., Hu, J., Cline, M., Wang, H., Clark, T., Fraser, C., Ruggiu, M., Blume, J. & Darnell, R.B. (2005). Nova regulates an alternative splicing module to shape synaptic activity. Nature Genetics, 37, 844-852. Veelen, M. van (2005). On the use of the Price equation. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 237, 412-426. Wakker, P.P. (2005). Decision-Foundations for Properties of Nonadditive Measures; General State Spaces or General Outcome Spaces. Games and Economic Behaviour, 50, 107-125.

Chapters Hopfensitz, A. (2005). Eifersucht: Eine Leidenschaft die Leiden schafft? In Mummert, U. & Sell, F. (eds), Emotionen, Markt und Moral. LIT Verlag. Kocher, M. (2005). Außenabhängigkeit und der öffentliche Sektor von Kleinstaaten. In Busek, E. & Hummer, W. (eds), Der Kleinstaat als Akteur in den Internationalen Beziehungen. Liechtenstein - Politische Schriften, Band 39 (pp. 170-192). Schaan: Verlag der LAG. Ule, A. & Boucherie R. (2005). Adaptive dynamic capacity borrowing in road-covering

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mobile networks. In Pan, Y. & Li, W. (eds), Resource Allocation in Next Generation Wireless Networks. Nova Science.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Offerman, T.J.S. (2005). Optimale Veilingen in de Praktijk. Contribution to KNAW Yearbook 2005.

Chapters Maasland, E., Onderstal, S. & Rutten, P. (2005). Bloed, Zweet en Tranen: De radiomarkt en de verdeling van de commerciële radiofrequenties. In Dolfsma, W. & Nahuis, R. (eds), Pre-adviezen van de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde 2005.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Ule, A. (2005, 7 June). Exclusion and Co-operation in Networks. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [promotor Prof.dr. A.J.H.C. Schram] [cum laude].

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2004

1. international academic publications

Journals Anderson, S.P., Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C.A. (2004). Noisy Directional Learning and the Logit Equilibrium. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 106, 581-602. Brandts, J., Saijo, T. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2004). A Four Country Comparison of Spite and Co-operation in Public Goods Games. Public Choice, 119, 381-424. Diecidue, E., Schmidt, U. & Wakker, P.P. (2004). The Utility of Gambling Reconsidered. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 29, 241–259. Goeree, J.K. & Offerman, T.J.S. (2004). The Amsterdam Auction. Econometrica, 72, 281-294. Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C. (2004). A Model of Noisy Introspection. Games and Economic Behaviour, 26, (2), 365-382. Goeree, J.K., Plott, C. & Wooders, J. (2004). Bidders’ Choice Auctions: Raising Revenues through the Right to Chooce. Journal of the European Economic Association, 2, 504-515. Köbberling, V. & Wakker, P.P. (2004). A Simple Tool for Qualitatively Testing, Quantitatively Measuring, and Normatively Justifying Savage's Subjective Expected Utility. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 28, 135–145. Offerman, T.J.S. & Sonnemans, J. (2004). What's Causing Overreaction? An Experimental Investigation of Recency and the Hot Hand Effect. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 106, 533-553. Oosterbeek, H., Sloof, R. & Kuilen, G. van de (2004). Cultural differences in ultimatum game experiments: evidence from a meta-analysis. Experimental Economics, 7, 171-188. Osch, S.M.C. van, Wakker, P.P., Hout, W.B. van den & Stiggelbout A.M. (2004). Correcting Biases in Standard Gamble and Time Tradeoff Utilities. Medical Decision Making, 24, 511–517. Sloof, R., Oosterbeek, H. & Sonnemans, J. (2004). Specific investments, holdup, and the outside option principle. European Economic Review, 48, 1399-1410. Sonnemans, J., Hommes, C., Tuinstra, J. & Velden, H. van de (2004). The Instability of a Heterogeneous Cobweb Economy: a Strategy Experiment on Expectation Formation. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 54, 453-481. Wakker, P.P. (2004). On the Composition of Risk Preference and Belief. Psychological Review 111, 236–241. Wakker, P.P., Jansen, S.J.T. & Stiggelbout, A.M. (2004). Anchor Levels as a New Tool For the Theory and Measurement of Multiattribute Utility. Decision Analysis, 1, 217−234.

Chapters Bornstein, G., Schram, A.J.H.C. & Sonnemans, J. (2004). Do Democracies breed Chickens? In Suleiman, R., Budescu, D., Fischer, I. & Messick, D. (eds), Contemporary Psychological Research on Social Dilemmas (pp. 248-268). Cambridge University Press. Wakker, P.P. (2004). Preference Axiomatizations for Decision under Uncertainty. In Gilboa, I. (ed.), Uncertainty in Economic Theory: Essays in Honor of David Schmeidler's 65th Birthday (pp. 20-35). London: Routledge.

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Bowles, S., Choi, J.-K. & Hopfensitz, A. (2003). The co-evolution of individual behaviours and social institutions. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 223, 135- 147. Goeree, J.K. (2003). Bidding for the Future: Signaling in Auctions with an Aftermarket. Journal of Economic Theory, 108, (2), 345-364. Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C.A. (2003). A Model of Noisy Introspection. Games and Economic Behaviour, 46, (2), 365-382. Goeree, J.K., Holt, C.A. & Palfrey, T.R. (2003). Risk Averse Behaviour in Generalized Matching Pennies Games. Games and Economic Behaviour, 45, (1), 97-113. Goeree, J.K. & Offerman, T.J.S. (2003). Winner’s Curse without Overbidding. European Economic Review, 47, 625-644. Goeree, J.K. & Offerman, T. (2003). Competitive Bidding in Auctions with Private and Common Values. Economic Journal, 113, 598-614. Köbberling, V. & Wakker, P.P.(2003). Preference Foundations for Nonexpected Utility: A Generalized and Simplified Technique. Mathematics of Operations Research, 28, 395–423. Oosterbeek, H., Sonnemans, J. & Velzen, S. van (2003). The need for marriage contracts: an experimental study. Journal of Population Economics, 16, 431- 453. Sloof, R., Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H. & Sonnemans, J. (2003). An experimental comparison of reliance levels under alternative breach remedies. Rand Journal of Economics, 34 (Summer 2003), 205-222. Ule, A. & Boucherie, R.J. (2003). On the Distribution of Calls in a Wireless Network driven by Fluid Traffic. European Journal of Operational Research, 147, 146- 155. Ule, A., Ule, J., Jensen, K.B., Ruggiu, M., Mele, A. & Darnell, R.B. (2003). CLIP Identifies NOVA-Regulated RNA Networks in the Brain. SCIENCE, 302, 1212-1215. Wakker, P.P. (2003). The Data of Levy and Levy (2002), "Prospect Theory: Much Ado about Nothing?" Actually Support Prospect Theory. Management Science, 49, 979-981.

Chapters Henrich, J., Bowles, S., Boyd, R.T., Hopfensitz, A., Richerson, P.J., Sigmund, K., Smith, E.A., Weissing, F.J. & Young, H.P. (2003). Group Report: The Cultural and Genetic Evolution of Human Co-operation. In Hammerstein, P. (eds), Genetic and Cultural Evolution of Co-operation (pp. 445-468). MIT Press. Riedl, A. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2003). Information and the Creation and Return of Social Capital: An Experimental Study. In Flap, H. & Völker, B. (eds), Creation and Returns of Social Capital (pp. 77-103). Routledge. Riedl, A. (2003). Emotionen bestimmen wirtschaftliches Handeln: Experimentelle Befunde. In Sturn, R., Held, M. & Kubon-Gilke, G. (eds), Experimentelle Wirtschaftsforschung (Normative und institutionelle Grundfragen der Ökonomik, Jahrbuch) (pp. 191-216). Marburg/Lahn: Metropolis Verlag. Schram, A.J.H.C. (2003). Experimental Public Choice. In Rowley, Ch. & Schneider, F. (eds), Encyclopedia of Public Choice (pp. 96-104). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

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Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2003). Interest group behaviour and influence. In Rowley, Ch. & Schneider, F. (eds), Encyclopedia of Public Choice, Vol. 1 (pp. 118-129). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Goeree, J.K. & Offerman, T.J.S. (2003) Spannende Experimenten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, Fall.

4. Professional publications and products

Offerman, T.J.S. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2003). Advies: De Uitgifte van 088- Bedrijfsnummers door de OPTA: Keuze van een Veiling, Advisory Paper commissioned by OPTA.

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2002

1. International academic publications

Journals Anderson, S.P., Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C.A. (2002). The Logit Equilibrium: A Perspective on Intuitive Behavioural Anomalies. Southern Economic Journal, 69, (1), 21-47. Bosman, R. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2002). Emotional Hazard in a Power-to-Take Experiment. The Economic Journal, 112, 147-169. Capra, C.M., Goeree, J.K., Gomez, R. & Holt, C.A. (2002). Learning and Noisy Equilibrium Behaviour in an Experimental Study of Imperfect Price Competition. International Economic Review, 43, (3), 613-636. Cox, J., Offerman, T., Olson, M., & Schram, A. (2002). Competition For vs On the Rails: A Laboratory Experiment. International Economic Review, 43, 709-736. Diecidue, E. & Wakker, P.P. (2002). Dutch Books: Avoiding Strategic and Dynamic Complications, and a Comonotonic Extension. Mathematical Social Sciences, 43, 135–149. Dijk, F. van, Sonnemans, J. & Winden, F. van (2002). Social ties in a public good experiment. Journal of Public Economics, 85, 275-299. Gilboa, I., Schmeidler, D. & Wakker, P.P. (2002). Utility in Case-Based Decision Theory. Journal of Economic Theory, 105, 483-502. Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C.A. (2002). Ten Little Treasures of Game Theory and Ten Intuitive Contradictions. American Economic Review, 91, (5), 1402-1422. Goeree, J.K., Holt, C.A., & Laury, S. (2002). Private Costs and Public Benefits: Unraveling the Effects of Altruism and Noisy Behaviour. Journal of Public Economics, 83, (2), 255-276. Goeree, J.K., Holt, C.A., & Palfrey, T.R. (2002). Quantal Response Equilibrium and Overbidding in Auctions. Journal of Economic Theory, 104, (1), 247-272. Goeree, J.K. & Offerman, T. (2002) Efficiency in Auctions with Private and Common Values. American Economic Review, 92, (3), 625-643. Guth, W., Offerman, T., Potters, J., Strobel, M. & Verbon, H.A.A. (2002). Are Family Transfers Crowded Out by Public Transfers? Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 104, (4), 587-604. Mazza, I. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2002). Does centralization increase the size of government? The effects of separation of powers and lobbying. International Tax and Public Finance, 9, 379-399. Offerman, Th., Potters, J. & Sonnemans, J. (2002). Imitation and Belief Learning in an Oligopoly Experiment. Review of Economic Studies, 69, 973-997. Offerman, Th. (2002). Hurting Hurts More Than Helping Helps. European Economic Review, 46, 1423-1437. Wakker, P.P. & Zank, H. (2002). A Simple Preference-Foundation of Cumulative Prospect Theory with Power Utility. European Economic Review, 46, 1253- 1271.

Chapters Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C.A. (2002). Co-ordination Games. In Nadel, L. (ed.), Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science, Vol. 2 (pp. 204-208). London: Nature Publishing Group, McMillan. Goeree, J.K. & Holt, C.A. (2002). Learning in Economics Experiments. In Nadel, L. (ed.), Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science, Vol. 2 (pp. 1060-1069). London: Nature Publishing Group, McMillan. Goeree, J.K., Holt, C.A. & Laury, S.K. (2002). Incentives in Public Goods Games:

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Implications for the Environment. In List, J. & Zeeuw, A. de (eds), Recent Advances in Environmental Economics. Edwar Elgar Publisher. Goeree, J.K. (2002). Retiring Rich. In Hommes, C., Ramer, R. & Withagen, C. (eds), Essays in Honor of Claus Weddepohl (pp. 197-207). Berlin: Springer Verlag. Wakker, P.P. (2002). Decision-Principles to Justify Carnap's Updating Method and to Suggest Corrections of Probability Judgments. In Darwiche, A. & Friedman, N. (eds), Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Proceedings of the Eighteenth Conference (pp. 544-551). San Francisco: CA Morgan Kaufmann. Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2002). Experimental investigation of collective action. In Winer, S.L. & Shibata, H. (eds), Political Economy and Public Finance (pp. 178-196). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Offerman, T.J.S. and Potters, J. (2002) Homo Economicus als Proefdier. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4354). Offerman, T.J.S. and Potters, J. (2002) Een Prijs van Veilen, Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4365). Wakker, P.P. and Sonnemans, J. (2002) Het irrationele rationeel verklaard. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4379), 750-751

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Sadiraj, V. (2002, 11 Juni). Essays on Political and Experimental Economics. [promotor: Prof.dr. F.A.A.M. van Winden; co-promotor: dr. J. Tuinstra].

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Bardsley, N. (2000). Control Without Deception: Individual Behaviour in Free-Riding Experiments Revisited. Experimental Economics, 3, (3), 215-240. Bleichrodt, H., Pinto, J.L. & Wakker, P.P. (2001). Making Descriptive Use of Prospect Theory to Improve Prescriptive Applications of Expected Utility. Management Science, 47, 1498-1514. Brandts, J. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2001). Co-operation and Noise in Public Goods Experiments: Applying the Contribution Function Approach. Journal of Public Economics, 79, 399-427. De Waegenaere, A. & Wakker, P.P. (2001). Nonmonotonic Choquet Integrals. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 36, 45-60. Diecidue, E. & Wakker, P.P. (2001). On the Intuition of Rank-Dependent Utility. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 23, 281-298. Dijk, F. van, Sonnemans, J. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2001). Incentive Systems in a Real Effort Experiment. European Economic Review, 45, 187-214. Offerman, T.J.S., Potters, J. & Verbon, H. (2001). Co-operation in an Overlapping Generations Experiment. Games and Economic Behaviour, 36, 264-275. Offerman, T.J.S., Sonnemans, J. & Schram, A.J.H.C. (2001). Expectation Formation in Step-Level Public Good Games. Economic Inquiry, 39, (2), 250-269. Post, P.N., Stiggelbout, A.M. & Wakker, P.P. (2001). The Utility of Health States Following Stroke; a Systematic Review of the Literature. Stroke, 32, 1425- 1429. Riedl, A. & Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2001). Does the wage tax system cause budget deficits? A macro-economic experiment. Public Choice, 109, 371-394. Sonnemans, J., Oosterbeek, H. & Sloof, R. (2001). On the relation between asset ownership and specific investments. The Economic Journal, 111, 791-820. Wakker, P.P. (2001). Testing and Characterizing Properties of Nonadditive Measures through Violations of the Sure-Thing Principle. Econometrica, 69, 1039-1059. Winden, F.A.A.M. van (2001). Emotional Hazard, Exemplified by Taxation-Induced Anger. Kyklos, 54, 491-506.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Bosman, R.A.J. (2001, 19 December). Emotions and Economic Behaviour: An Experimental Investigation. Academic Publishing Services. [Promotor Prof.dr. F.A.A.M. van Winden].

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ CREED has more than fulfilled the ƒ A more solid foundation of CREED’s hope of an even larger output outlays on subject payments would expressed in the previous be desirable. It seems reasonable assessment report. For example, in that the University would contribute to sharp contrast with the previous experimental research, just as it does period, papers regularly appeared in to other empirical investigations. the very best journals. In fact, if we consider the rankings of journals by the Tinbergen Institute, and the affiliations of the authors at the time of publication, 25% (6/24) of the AA- publications in the Tinbergen Institute were by CREED-members, whereas CREED members constitute only 5- 6% of the fellows of the Tinbergen Institute.international orientation and co-operation ƒ CREED manages to combine fundamental research published in the best journals with consultancy for the private and the public sector. A substantial amount of CREED’s research money is raised via consultancy and through funds obtained from NWO and the European Community, and is successfully used for research. ƒ In a relatively short period, CREED has become an established brand in experimental economics. It has a leading role in the field in the Netherlands, where ex-CREED members have started experimental economics at other universities (like Jan Potters at the University of Tilburg and Arno Riedl at Maastricht University). CREED is now recognised as one of the main centers for experimental economics in the world. This is also testified by the many invitations for lectures, keynote addresses, external advising (on appointments, research programmes, laboratory design), and the participation in professional boards and academic committees.

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Opportunities Threats

ƒ With its cutting edge and innovative ƒ To maintain its leading role, it is research, which belongs to the core crucial that CREED can count on of economics but has also strong being able to replace top-researchers interfaces with the wider social and if they leave for better positions at life sciences, CREED offers a ‘ivy-league’ universities. It takes window of opportunity. much more time to build up an excellent reputation as a research group than to lose it. ƒ Finally, to continue to be recognised as one of the main centers of experimental economics in the world, we also need to be able to handle the increasing utilization of our lab and to include new technological advances in our research. In addition to the greater details provided under B8, it is important to stress here that these technological advances will also substantially reinforce the financial issue raised above. For example, the use of neural techniques like brain- scanning are extremely costly from a traditional economic research perspective.

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Industrial Organisation, Competition Policies & Regulation

ƒ Research code: JEL-Code: L ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. P. J. G. van Cayseele (2005 - ) ƒ Starting date of the programme: 2005 ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: Katholieke Universiteit Leuven ƒ Research Mission: Improving the understanding of the working of imperfectly competitive markets and the possible role for government intervention on these markets by focusing on issues within the sphere of Industrial Organisation and using applied oligopoly theory, field experiments and laboratory experimentation as research methods.

B.1 Leadership

The programme leader has only a limited affiliation (20%) with the university. Time to manage the programme is therefore limited. The organisation of the IO-group, which is responsible for the research program, is strongly horizontal. This allows for an informal and ‘light’ management style. At the same time, it is projected that as of January 2009 there will be a full time programme leader. With the envisaged growth of the number of Ph.D.-candidates that will be affiliated to the IO-group this could mean a more formal management structure.

Currently the main formal task of the programme leader is the allocation of a small research budget amongst the members of the research program. Priority is given here to to Ph.D.-candidates in the allocation of this budget.

As to communication and control, there are ad hoc group meetings during which ongoing administrative matters are discussed. Interaction with the Ph.D.-students is institutionalized in that weekly meetings are held to discuss their research progress. These meetings are conducted not only with the programme leader but also by the other group members.

B.2 Strategy and policy

Research area The research area concerns industrial organisation.

Mission Improving the understanding of the working of imperfectly competitive markets and the possible role for government intervention on these markets by focusing on issues within the sphere of Industrial Organisation and using applied oligopoly theory, field experiments and laboratory experimentation as research methods.

Historical context The research programme itself is only recently established. The IO-group used to be part of Amsterdam Business School, although it did not carry the label IO-group. 2002 three faculty members, two assistant professors and one associate professor, associated with the subject field of IO (in part because these members taught IO courses) moved from the ABS to the Amsterdam School of Economics to form the IO-group. The Full Professor of IO at that time, Stephen Martin, left at that time to

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In 2002 Recruiting started at all levels. This quickly resulted in two assistant professors, one of which was joining CREED at the same time for a fixed period of time (5 years), after which he will be a fulltime member of the IO-group. On the other hand, it took three years to attract a Full Professor (be it for 20% only).

Initially the research carried out by the members of the IO-group was classified as a subprogramme within the labour research program. As of January 2005 the current programme was initiated. An important reason for this delay in establishing the current programme was the lack of a professor of IO who could take on the role as programme leader. As mentioned, it took three years to appoint the successor to Stephen Martin, Patrick van Cayseele. With the arrival of Patrick van Cayseele the research programme was established.

An important stimulus to the IO-group was that in 2002 Jeroen Hinloopen won a €1.5 million tender for setting up the Economics Network for Competition and Regulation (ENCORE). This was joint work with Jules Theeuwes, who became the director of the network. Jeroen Hinloopen became the academic director of the network (for 20%) while being affiliated with the IO-group for the remaining 80%. The academic director was responsible for all academic aspects of the network, including the organisation of a seminar series in IO, the distribution of research money for policy- driven IO-research, the setting up of ENCORE Summer Schools, and the wider dissemenation of the network within the international academic setting. Meanwhile ENCORE is an established brand name due to the numerous activities organised during the tender period (2003 – 2006). As of January 2006 Jeroen Hinloopen stepped down as academic director after successfully winning the follow-up tender for another three years. ENCORE was then transferred to the Amsterdam Centre for Law and Economics (ACLE).

Institutional embedding The research of this programme is carried out within the IO-group of the Amsterdam School of Economics. One member of the IO-group is also affiliated with the Center for Research in Experimental Economics and political Decision-making (CREED), for 43%. This affiliation ends in 2009 after which he will join the IO-group fulltime. The contract of the current programme leader ends at the end of 2009 as well. It is envisaged that as of January 2009 the current associate professor of the group will replace the programme leader as he is to be promoted to the level of full professor.

Previous assessment NA

Development over the relevant period Although the programme needs to be fully developed further, several noteworthy developments can be mentioned: ƒ One member of the group (Adriaan Soetevent) succeeded in attracting a Veni- grant from NWO. ƒ One Ph.D.-student (Aufa Doarest) joined the group (and another one did so as of March 2008). ƒ One member of the group (Jeroen Hinloopen) became a parttime full professor at the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. ƒ In the three years that the programme was operational the group realised 2 AA-

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publications, 2 A publications, and 9 B publications (according to the TI-journal ranking).

Future Future developments are inherently difficult to predict but the IO-group seems to be well prepared for developing the programme such that it (continues to) meet international standards. Recently it was decided by the management of the ASE that another assistant professor of IO can be hired due to the NWO-grant of Adriaan Soetevent. It is the group’s intention to attract a young, active scholar that can contribute to group’s research environment.

Through the involvement of the group in the MPhil. teaching programme of the TI (Jeroen Hinloopen) it is also known that at least two students that are currently enroled in the programme wants to join the IO-group to carry out their research for completing their Ph.D.-thesis. This adds to the critical mass that is necessary to further develop the research program. It will also mean that more structure will be given to the organisation of the group (i.e. internal seminars to present ongoing work, bi-monthly group meetings to discuss group-related issues, etc.).

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

The programme is still relatively small which has the advantage that the all group members actively involved in decisions concerning the direction of the programme. Collaboration between group members in terms of joint research projects was little in the first years of the programme, partly because newly arrived members first had to finish previous projects they were involved in. Recently a number of promising joint research projects have started, one of which already led to a paper that is forthcoming in an A-journal. An initiative taken up in 2007 to further the internal collaboration is to organise a reading group on empirical and experimental IO. During these weekly meetings members of the IO-group discuss important (working) papers whereby one different member each week prepares a discussion note. The Ph.D.-students of the IO-group participate in these meetings as well (as do researchers from outside the IO-group, be it on a more ad hoc basis). The IO-group has a substantial national and international network. This resulted in joint publications with researchers from Caltech, University of Georgia, CREED, and the Erasmus University of Rotterdam, among others. Moreover, in 2005, the IO- group was responsible for organizing the annual EARIE-conference, a major European conference in the field of industrial organisation, which attracted over 600 attendants. In addition, several researchers visited our group for some time.

B.4 Academic reputation

The programme only started as of 2005, but it brought together researchers with an excellent track record of research. Most people in the group hold either joint appointment at universities abroad (University of Leuven, Belgium) or are involved in other top research programmes at UVA as well (e.g. CREED), or their research was awarded with outside finance (Veni-grant from NWO). Most members of the IO-group are fellow of the Tinbergen Institute and of the Amsterdam Centre for Law and Economics. One member of the IO-group sits on the Editorial Board of the Review of Industrial Organisation, and all members are regulalry invited for giving seminars.

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B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

The IO-group uses the list of the ranked journals provided by the research institute as an important measuring rod to evaluate its members. The group aims for path-breaking publications in the highest journals on this list. The publication record shows that the group regularly succeeds in publishing in AA or A journals. Considering the forthcoming papers (two A publications sofar) the group is confident that this high- quality output will remain the group’s reference level.

B.6. External validation

In 2002 the IO-group won a 1.5 million € tender for setting up the Economics Network for Competition and Regulation (ENCORE). Meanwhile ENCORE is an established brand name due to the numerous activities organised during the tender period (2003 – 2006). As of January 2006 the academic director of ENCORE, who was at the same the the associate professor of the IO-group, stepped down after successfully winning the follow-up tender for another three years. ENCORE was then transferred to the Amsterdam Cenre for Law and Economics (ACLE).

Members of the IO-group are frequently asked for advisory work for both public and private institutions outside academics. The Ministry of Economic Affairs appointed one member of the group as advisor. Invited workshops and seminars in which class- room experiments were used to illuminate the functioning of markets were organised for the NMa (2006 and 2007) and for the congress of VECON, the Dutch association of teachers of economics. The group shared their expertise on e.g. auctions, collusion and the Dutch retail gasoline market by giving various seminars at the Ministry of Economic Affairs, NMa, OPTA, and SEO Economic Research.

Other research was commissioned by public and private institutions. The group for example designed and supervised on behalf of CCV Europe and in collaboration with the Reumafonds a field study on the effects of cash and electronic payment systems on contributions to charity. Other examples include advice on auction design for the Zuidas-Dok project and welfare-to-work programmes for the Ministry of Social Affairs.

Members of the IO-group also feature every so often in the popular press. Media performances include interviews and articles in national newspapers and on radio.

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B.7. Researchers and other personnel

Table 87 Total Total Total Name 2005 2006 2007 Full Professor Cayseele, P. van 0.10 0.10 0.10 Associate Professor (UHD) Hinloopen, J. 0.58 0.50 0.50 Assistant Professor (UD) Brouwer, M.T. 0.25 0.00 0.00 Onderstal, S. 0.29 0.29 0.26 Soetevent, A.R. 0.50 0.50 0.63

Total Tenured Staff 1.72 1.39 1.49

PhD's Doarest, A. --0.45

Total Non-Tenured Staff 0.00 0.00 0.45

Total Research Staff 1.72 1.39 1.94

B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

Facilities The IO-group is actively involved in experimental research. For this the laboratory of CREED is being used.

Funding Ever since the start of the programme in 2005, one or more group members have been (partially) externally funded by projects like the ENCORE, NWO-VICI and NWO-VENI projects (involving Jeroen Hinloopen, Sander Onderstal and Adriaan Soetevent respectively). The group is on average young of age and in the early stages of their academic career. The current group composition forms an excellent basis for further expansion in terms of research personnel in the next few years. To this end, the group aims to attract futher external funding and to keep providing a stimulating environment where talented researchers can prosper.

Table 88 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 91% 100% 85% Research funds 0% 0% 0% Contracts 9% 0% 15% Other 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100%

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B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Goeree, J., Maasland, E., Onderstal, S. & Turner, J. (2005). How (Not) to Raise Money. Journal of Political Economy, 113, 897- 918. Hinloopen, J. (2006). Internal cartel stability with time-dependent detection probabilities. International Journal of Industrial Organisation, 24, (6) (November), 1213-1229. Konings, J., Cayseele, P. van & Warzinky, F. (2005). The Effects of Privatization and Competitive Pressure on Firms’ Price-Cost Margins. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 87, 124-134. Ioannides, Y.M. & A. R. Soetevent (2006). Wages and Unemployment in a Random Social Network with Arbitrary Degree Distribution. American Economic Review, 96, (2), 270-274.

Table 89 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 6 8 5 b. books, monographs c. books, edited d. chapters 3 2. Dutch journals 3 2 1 books 1 chapters 1 3. PhD theses 4. Professional publications 1 10

Table 90 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 3 1 2 Other international Journals 3 7 3

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OUTPUT INDUSTRIAL ORGANISATION, COMPETITION& REGULATION

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Cayseele P. van. & C. Wuyts. (2007). Cost Efficiency in the European Securities Settlement and Depository Industry. Journal of Banking and Finance 31(10), pp. 3058–3079. Ioannides, Y.M. & A.R. Soetevent (2007). Social Networking and Individual Outcomes beyond the Mean-Field Case. Journal of Economic Behaviour & Organisation, 64(3-4):369-390. Maasland, E. & Onderstal, S. (2007).Auctions with Financial Externalities. Economic Theory 32, 551-574. Soetevent, A. R. & P. Kooreman (2007). A Discrete Choice Model with Social Interactions; with an Application to High School Teen Behaviour. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(3), 599-624. Hinloopen, J. (2007). The pro-collusive effect of increasing the repose period for price fixing agreements. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 7, Issue 1 (Contributions), Article 17.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Hinloopen, J. (2007). De dynamiek van België. 2007, Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, LII(2): 237 – 264.

4. Professional publications and products

Cayseele P. van . (2007). Het Boetebeleid Bekeken vanuit Economisch Perspectief. Tijdschrift voor Belgische Mededinging – Revue de la Concurrence Belge 2007 (1), pp. 21–30 Groot, I and Onderstal, S. (2007). “No Cure, No Pay: Een Goed Idee,” ESB 4502, 46- 47. Hinloopen J. and Soetevent, A. R. (2007). Het succes van clementieregelingen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, April 20, no. 4508, pp. 232-234. Hinloopen, J. (2007). Een experiment? Leuk!. Tijdschrift voor het Economisch Onderwijs, No. 6 (december): 292 – 295. Hinloopen, J. (2007). Nogmaals het Cournot oligopolie. Tijdschrift voor het Economisch Onderwijs, No. 5 (oktober): 232 – 235. Hinloopen, J. (2007).Een verzekeringsparadox. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92(4517): 526 – 527. Hinloopen, J. (2007). Het gebruik van klaslokaalexperimenten. Factor D, 25(3): 11 – 13. Hinloopen, J. (2007). Het Bertrand oligopolie: een openbare les. Tijdschrift voor het Economisch Onderwijs, No. 3 (juni): 132 – 136. Hinloopen, J. (2007). Transfer vanuit een concept of een context; wat werkt in de klas?. Factor D, 25(2): 7 – 8.

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Hinloopen, J. (2007). Het Cournot oligopolie: een openbare les. Tijdschrift voor het Economisch Onderwijs, No. 2 (april), pp. 94 – 98.

5. Other

Grants Soetevent, A. R. (2007, March). Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) Vernieuwingsimpuls (VENI) on proposal Locational choice, price competition and consumer switching on networks.

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Brouwer, M.T. (2006). Reorganisation in US and European Bankruptcy Law. European Journal of Law and Economics, 22, 5-20. Cayseele P. van & Wuyts C. (2006). Measuring Scale Economies in a Heterogeneous Industry: The Case of European Settlement Institutions. SUERF Studies 2006/3, 56p. Hinloopen, J. & Martin, S. (2006). The economics of cartels, cartel policy, and collusion: introduction to the special issue. International Journal of Industrial Organisation, 24, (6) (November), 1079-1082. Hinloopen, J. (2006). Internal cartel stability with time-dependent detection probabilities. International Journal of Industrial Organisation, 24, (6) (November), 1213-1229. Ioannides, Y.M. & Soetevent, A.R. (2006). Wages and Unemployment in a Random Social Network with Arbitrary Degree Distribution. American Economic Review, 96, (2), 270-274. Maasland, E. & Onderstal, S. (2006). Going, Going, Gone! A Swift Tour of Auction Theory and Its Applications. De Economist, 154, 197-249. Soetevent, A.R. (2006). Empirics of the Identification of Social Interactions; an Evaluation of the Approaches and Their Results. Journal of Economic Surveys, 20, (2), 193-228. Soetevent, A.R. & Schoonbeek, L. (2006). Price-Setting Behaviour in the Presence of Social Interactions. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 226, (2), 208-228.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Brouwer, M.T. (2006). Mededingingsbeleid en Welvaartstheorie volgens Heertje. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4488), 285. Cayseele P. (2006). Editeco en de Tijd. Enkele Initiële Economische Bedenkingen bij de Beslissingen van de Raad. Tijdschrift voor Belgische Mededinging – Revue de la Concurrence Belge, 1, (2), 148–153.

Books Groot, I., Hollanders, D., Hop, J. & Onderstal, S. (2006) Werkt de reïntegratiemarkt? SEO publication 946, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

4. Professional Publications and products

Cayseele P. van (2006). De Interactie tussen Economisch Bureau en Juristen. Bergeijk, P. van & Verkoulen, M. (eds), Contouren van het Economisch Bureau Nma (pp. 43–56). Den Haag: Nederlandse Mededingingsauthoriteit.

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Brouwer, M. (2005). Entrepreneurship and University Licensing. The Journal of Technology Transfer, 30, (3), 263-270. Brouwer, M. (2005). Managing Uncertainty through Profit sharing Contracts from medieval Italy to Silicon Valley. Journal of Management and Governance, 9, (3), 237-255. Goeree, J., Maasland, E., Onderstal, S. & Turner, J. (2005). How (Not) to Raise Money. Journal of Political Economy, 113, 897-918. Konings, J., Cayseele, P. van & Warzinky, F. (2005). The Effects of Privatization and Competitive Pressure on Firms’ Price-Cost Margins. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 87, 124-134. Soetevent, A.R. (2005). Anonymity in Giving in a Natural Context – A Field Experiment in 30 Churches. Journal of Public Economics, 89, (11-12), 2301- 2323. Soetevent, A.R. & Kooreman, P. (2005). Social ties within school classes – the roles of gender, ethnicity and having older siblings. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 21, (3), 373-391.

Chapters Bartelsman, E. & Hinloopen, J. (2005). Unleashing animal spirits: investment in ICT and economic growth. In Soete, L. & Weel, B. ter (eds), The Economics of the digital society (pp. 272-304). Edward Elgar. Cayseele, P. van (2005). What Merger Simulation is Not: Hessen-natie and Noord Natie in retrospect. In Bergeijck, P. van & Kloosterhuis, E. (eds), Modeling European Mergers: Theory, Competition Policy and Case Studies (pp. 187- 200). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Hinloopen, J. & Marrewijk, C. van (2005). Locating economic concentration. In Brakman, S. & Garretsen, H. (eds), Location and competition (pp. 1-31). Routledge.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Cayseele, P. van (2005). On the Use of economics in Antitrust decisions: Five Lessons from the European Scene. Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, 50, 805-823. Brouwer, M. (2005). Denken over Innovatie in Nederland. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Economie, 26, (4), 79-93. Hinloopen, J. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2005). Opwinding over marktwerking. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4464), D29-D31.

Chapters Maasland, E., Onderstal, S. & Rutten, P. (2005). Bloed, Zweet en Tranen: De radiomarkt en de verdeling van de commerciële radiofrequenties. In Dolfsma, W. & Nahuis, R. (eds) Pre-adviezen van de Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde 2005.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ High productive, young researchers ƒ Size ƒ Active internal collaboration ƒ Missing fulltime professor ƒ Abundant (research) potential

Opportunities Threats

ƒ External funding ƒ Allow to grow? ƒ Future Ph.D. students ƒ Continuity

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SEO Economic Research

ƒ Research code: JEL codes D4, H5, J, I, L, L93, K2, R3 ƒ Programme leader(s) during the review period: Prof.dr. Hugo Keuzenkamp (2000 - 2004), Prof.dr. Coen Teulings (2004 - 2006), Prof.dr. Jules Theeuwes (2006 - present). ƒ Starting date of the programme: SEO Economic Research was founded in 1949, as a research institute of the Faculty of Economics at the Universiteit van Amsterdam, to encourage applied research. Since the 1980s it has been legally independent from the university, while retaining close links with the academic community and the economics faculty. ƒ Formal affiliations outside the institute: None apart from the UvA Faculty of Economics and Business administration, the Amsterdam School of Economics and RESAM. Jules Theeuwes is professor of applied economics and Jaap de Wit is professor of transport economics at the economics faculty. ƒ Other structural co-operations and relations with national and international research groups: AIAS (Amsterdam Institute for Advanced Labour Studies), IViR (Institute for Information Law, Faculty of Law), SCO Kohnstamm Instituut (Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences) ƒ Research Mission: SEO carries out contract research in applied economics for the public and the private sector and for non-profit institutions, nationally and internationally. SEO distinguishes itself from other contract research bureaus by its analytical approach. Modern economic analysis is applied to practical issues. Empirical questions are tackled with the econometrics toolkit. SEO aims at contributing significantly to the development of the field of applied economic research by means of scientific and professional publications. In the last decade SEO has grown into a renowned contract research institute, occupying a niche for independent and authoritative economic research in the contract research market.

B.1 Leadership

Programme leader SEO Economic Research is governed by a seven-member Executive Board. The dean of the economics faculty (Tom Wansbeek) and the vice dean of the Amsterdam School of Economics (Henriëtte Maassen van den Brink) are members of the executive board. SEO has an Advisory Board which meets yearly to review its strategy and its research programme.

Day-to-day management responsibility at SEO is in the hands of the director (Jules Theeuwes) and the vice director (Barbara Baarsma). The SEO management team consists of the two directors and the section heads. SEO is subdivided into five sections. Each section head is responsible for the quality of contract and academic research in his or her section.

The final responsibility for research quality of contract and academic research and for the SEO academic research programme is with the director.

Motivation SEO staff members are expected to spend most of their time on contract research and on the acquisition of new contracts. The required time to work on contract research varies from 62% for junior researchers to 42% for section heads. Higher level staff members are expected to spend more time on contract acquisition.

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SEO staff members spend on average 8% of their time on academic research. This consist of time spend on writing scientific articles, chapters of dissertations, participating in reading groups and internal SEO seminars and in national and international economic conferences.

Scientific output (articles, presentations at conferences, progress in dissertation) of each staff member is monitored and evaluated (together with other aspects of performance at work) in the twice yearly evaluation rounds. Performance of staff members is evaluated by the section heads, performance of section heads and vice director is evaluated by the director. The director is evaluated by the chairman of the SEO Executive Board. A more than average academic output (compared to other SEO staff members) is one of the prerequisites to get a personal financial bonus at the end of the year. A personal financial bonus can be substantial for excellent performance (in good years).

B.2 Strategy and policy

Research area SEO Economic Research consists of five research groups or sections organised along fields of applied economic research. A first section is Labour Economics & Education which specialises in research on labour markets, labour market policy, schooling and training. Recent applied research papers deal with supply and demand projections, matching problems, internal and external labour market dynamics, wage differentials, employment benefits, migration, ethnic minorities, career choices and schooling and work.

The section on Health Economics & Social Security analyses developments in healthcare and social security, with research often shaped by the highly regulated nature of these two sectors. This section specialises among others in market analyses, effectiveness and cost-benefit studies and budgeting and costing systems. Major work has been done recently on the evaluation of the effectiveness of labour-market reintegration services.

Research in the section on Regulation & Competition Policy concentrates on the design, analysis and evaluation of competition and government intervention. The section deals with issues related to the structure, conduct and performance of markets and sectors, regulation and deregulation, economic aspects of cartels, mergers, market dominance and other topics in the field of competition. It assesses new or established regulations and policy from the perspective of law and economics.

Starting with the question of how companies relate to one another within their own industry the Industrial Economics section combines findings obtained from research at the sector and individual company levels. The structure of a business sector is mapped by answering questions such as what kind of businesses are there, how do they profile themselves, to what extent and in what ways do they work together, where do innovations come from, how do they spread and how do they perform financially? In this section there is special focus on the real estate sectors and the sector of financial services.

Aviation Economics is a section specializing in aviation economics. It advises governments, airlines, airports, financial institutions and other interested parties on the economic issues related to aviation. Aviation Economics activities include operations

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The research topics in which SEO is active changes over time. SEO will always be in the applied economics field but the specifics of its topics are determined by the market. Hence research topics within sections and sections themselves change over time. In the period under consideration (2000-2007) SEO has added the section on Industrial Economics and has phased out a section on regional economics and transport. At the moment SEO is investing in building a section in applied financial economics. SEO also aims at increasing the share of commissioned research from the private sector and from international parties in its portfolio of contract research in the next years.

Strategy and policy SEO Economic Research has always encouraged its researchers to publish in scientific journals, to participate in economic conferences and to complete a PH.D. degree. This policy enhances the attractiveness of SEO as an employer for economic researchers. Scientific publications have a positive effect on the quality of our contract research. The research institute of the economics faculty of the UvA supports SEO Economic Research in these policies.

In the last years SEO has intensified its scientific strategy. Since 2007 a programme to stimulate scientific production (“wetenschapsplan”) has been initiated and a substantial internal budget for scientific research has been set aside. This budget is financed out of the positive result from contact research. These funds are distributed (on the basis of research proposals) among SEO staff members to finance time spend on scientific activities (publications, congress participation, and dissertation). In this way staff members can reduce the time required for contract research and increased the allotted time for academic research. Its aim is to increase scientific quality and productivity of SEO researchers. We expect that this plan will stimulate the production of more publications in economic journals by SEO, more active participation in economic conferences and more dissertations. Only by publishing and presenting research results, a research institute stays ‘alert’ and keeps abreast of the newest developments in applied economics.

SEO Economic Research creates a stimulating environment for Ph.D. research. Over the years many PH.D.’s have been completed by SEO researchers and have been supervised by SEO professors. At this moment SEO has 5 staff members working towards a PH.D.

B.3 Processes in research, internal and external collaboration

Academic publications by members of SEO Economic Research are often a spin-off from contract research. As stressed earlier academic publications have consistently been stimulated and rewarded (financially and career wise) by SEO management. The policy to encourage scientific production has been intensified in a new “wetenschapsplan”.

It is SEO policy to stimulate publications in refereed economic journals (A and B publications). But it is also in our interest to publish in policy oriented publications, professional journals, economic weeklies and newspapers. Participation in the public discourse on economic issues by staff members is much encouraged. Publications in scientific, professional and popular media have a positive effect on growth of the portfolio of contract research for SEO.

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For many young researchers in the field of applied economics SEO provides a training ground. SEO regular hires junior researchers (economists, econometricians) often right after graduation. A common career path starts at the level of junior researcher, goes on to researcher and then to senior researcher. SEO invests a lot in junior researchers. It trains them on the job or through external training courses on how to write and present (competitive) research proposals and research papers and how to manage time and deadlines in research production. After a few years as a senior researcher staff members often leave SEO for other jobs (often with parties that have commissioned research at SEO).

SEO organises a weekly seminar for the presentation of research results by its staff members and by invited researchers (often from the UvA). SEO invites specialists to teach in-house courses on new developments in applied economics (such as econometric models for qualitative data and panel data and new developments in cost benefit analysis).

Contract research is almost always done in a research group consisting of junior and senior researchers and a research project leader. Academic research is mostly done in a combination of junior and senior people.

In our contract research we often work together with other contract research bureaus who have research skills which are complimentary to ours, e.g. skills in data collection or in disciplines other than economics. SEO highly favors working together in contract research projects with researchers from the economics faculty. In the past we have for instance worked together with researchers from the Industrial Organisation group, CREED and the econometrics group in the economics faculty.

Over the last years SEO has been doing labour market research commissioned by Randstad Holding (a large international temporary work agency headquartered in the Netherlands). Research topics in the past on this project have been flexible work arrangements, immigration and labour force participation. As part of this research project Randstad finances two part time visiting professorships. These visitors participate in the research programme of SEO and in other research groups of the UVA. The two recent visitors were Professor Piet Emmer, labour history at the University of Leiden and Professor Christian Dustmann, labour and population economics at University College London. They stayed at AIAS (Amsterdam Institute of Advanced Labour Studies) during their visiting period.

SEO also accommodates visiting researchers. In 2007 Dr. Hidenobu Matsumoto of the University of Kobe, Japan stayed 3 months with SEO Economic Research for his study of air port systems. He returned this year and was granted a scholarship by NWO up to September 2008 to continue his research.

AIRNETH is a dedicated world-wide scientific network for aviation research and policy in the Netherlands. It is part of SEO and is related to the section on Aviation Economics. Airneth stimulates publications in aviation economics and organises workshops and conferences. It was set up in 2005 and is financed (until 2009) by the The Netherlands Directorate-General for Civil Aviation and Freight Transport (see www.airneth.com).

B.4 Academic reputation

As can be seen from the following review a lot of editorial and refereeing work is

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done by SEO staff members. They also participate as members of editorial boards of journals and in academic and advisory boards. The list is for the period 2002 – 2007. Participation in editorial activities and advisory boards is mostly concentrated among senior researchers, section heads and directors of SEO.

Editorships, Editorial Boards ƒ H. Keuzenkamp: Member editorial board Socialisme en Democratie ƒ L. Kok: Member editorial board Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, Member editorial board Rendemens ƒ C. Teulings: Member editorial Board ESB ƒ J. Theeuwes: Founding editor Labour Economics; Member editorial board Bedrijfseconomische Signalementen (SDU); Member editorial board Amsterdam niversity Press (AUP); Member of the editorial board ofTijdschrift voor Arbeidsmarktvraagstukken; Member scientific advisory board of the digital Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie (TPE-Digital) ƒ J. de Wit: Member of the editorial board of Journal of Air Transportation Management; Member of the editorial board of Journal of Air Transport; Member of the editorial board of Tijdschrift voor Vervoerswetenschappen;

Referee activitees ƒ B. Baarsma: Energy Policy ƒ G. Burghouwt, Applied Geography; European Journal of Infrastructure; Transport Policy ƒ J. Theeuwes: Labour Economics ƒ J. de Wit: Tijdschrift voor Vervoerwetenschappen; Journal of Transport Economics and Transportation Policy

Academic Networks, Academic Committees, Advisory boards and committees ƒ B. Baarsma: Member Visititatiecommissie Prestaties Publieke Omroep ƒ G. Burghouwt: Member of the urban and Regional Research Centre Utrecht (URU); member of the Air Transport Research Society ƒ Heyma, Fellow Amsterdam Institute for Advanced Labour Studies (AIAS) ƒ M. de Nooij: Member scientific committee the European Electricity Market ƒ H. Keuzenkamp: Member Scientific Advisory Board ICES; Member Advisory Board National Accounts, CBS, Member Advisory Board AIAS; Member of Raad van Economisch Adviseurs van de Tweede Kamer (REA); ƒ Teulings: Fellow Tinbergen Institute; Chairman Committee New Examination Programme Economy for Havo and VWO; Member manifesto committee of the politica programme PvdA; Member of the Committee Dijkstal (salaries political and civil top); Member of the Central Planning Committte of the Central Planning Bureau (CPB); ƒ J. Theeuwes, Chairman Advisory Board Labour Statistics CBS; Chairman Advisory Board Social Statistics CBS, Member Advisory Board Collective Agreements in Health and Care Sector, Ministry of Health; Member Committee Minimum Wages, SER; Member of the scientific committee of the Raad voor de Rechtspraak; Chairman Vakraad Economie of the Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde; Member Board of the Dutch Society for Social Security; member of the Economists panel for Business News Radio. ƒ J. de Wit: Member of the German Aviation Research Society; Member Steering Committee Air Transport Research Society; Member Benelux Inter Universitaire Groepering Vervoerseconomen (BIVEC), Member of the Aviation Forecasting and Economics Committee of the Transportation Research Board USA; Added expert member Raad van Verkeer en Waterstaat voor Luchtvaartzaken.

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B.5. Internal evaluation and analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

The SEO academic research programme is an integral part of the research programme of RESAM. The ties between SEO and RESAM are specified in a formal agreement that dates from February 2001. Although SEO is not a regular within- faculty research group, we adhere to the same principles for excellent scientific research as other research programmes within RESAM. The research output of SEO is registered and added to the departmental output in the yearly scientific report of RESAM. SEO participates in the faculty meetings of programme directors. Evaluation of the progress of the parttime aio’s working at SEO and co-financed by RESAM is done together with the faculty research director. The new “wetenschapsplan” of SEO has been commented upon by the faculty research director. The dean of the economics faculty and the vice dean of the Amsterdam School of Economics are members of SEO’s executive board. Strategic and policy plans from the directors have to be approved by the executive board.

B.6. External validation

It is SEO policy to encourage staff member to publish and disseminate research results as widely as possible. SEO is in the media very often. Staff members are encouraged to write policy articles in newspapers and weeklies. Senior staff members, section heads and directors are regularly interviewed by journalists from newspapers and news magazines and by radio and television stations.

Appearance by staff member in the media is monitored on the SEO website (http://www.seo.nl/nl/actueel/seoindemedia). We had more than 50 entries in the 2007 list, which implies that SEO is in the media once a week on average

B.7. Researchers and other personnel

Academic research production is an integral part of SEO work and of information flows at SEO. There is a number of top-bottom information channels through which staff members are informed about policy (including policy regarding academic production). And there are bottom top information flows. There is a newsletter (written by the director) which appears (almost) every week and which announces and explains changes in policies. Staff members in each of the five sections meet every week to discuss all work and research related matters. All sections have internal sessions in which staff present work in progress (both academic and contract research) or read journal articles or book chapters together. SEO has an official OR (work council). Policies about the scientific research programme are part of the agenda of discussion between director and members of the OR. The OR organises a yearly questionnaire among staff members about job satisfaction and other work issues. reacts extensively to the results of the yearly questionnaire and adjust its policies if necessary.

New staff at the junior or intermediate level is hired by the section heads. Senior staff is hired by the director. The director and vice director are appointed by the executive board. New staff members are assigned a coach on their first working day. The coach helps the new worker in the first weeks to get acquainted with SEO mores. SEO has a personnel turnover of roughly 15-20% per year. Part of this high turnover can be explained by the large in- and outflow of student assistants.

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Table 91

Name 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Full professor (HGL) Keuzenkamp, H.A. 0.20 1.00 1.00 - - - Koopmans, C.C. - 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.67 - Teulings, C.N. - - 0.63 0.63 0.26 - Theeuwes, J.J.M. 0.80 0.08 0.48 0.42 0.30 0.58 0.79 Wit, J. de - 0.270.750.800.800.801.00 Other tenured staff Aalbers, R.F.A. - - 0.75 1.00 0.83 Baarsma, B.E. 0.63 0.63 0.84 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Berkhout, E.E. 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Berkhout, P.H.G. 0.80 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.95 0.95 0.95 Biermans, M.C. - 0.081.001.001.001.000.28 Bijvoet, C.C. - 1.00 1.00 0.83 - - Bröcheler, V.K. 0.08 - - Brouwer, N.M. 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.05 - Budil-Nadvorníková, H.M. 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.60 0.60 0.60 Buiren, K.B. - - 0.63 0.98 0.71 Burghouwt, G. - - 0.14 1.00 1.00 1.00 Dustmann, C. - 0.03 0.03 Emmer, P.C. - 0.03 0.03 Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A.F.C. 0.20 0.20 - - - Geffen, S. van - 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 - Graaf, D. de 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Graaf-Zijl, M. de 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 1.00 1.00 Groot, C.M.E. 1.00 0.92 0.92 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.75 Heemskerk, L.C.H. - 0.33 1.00 1.00 1.00 Heyma, A.O.J. 0.67 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Hof, B.J.F. - 0.550.600.600.600.95 Hop, P.J. 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.63 Janssens, L.R. 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.71 - Junggeburt, J.F.H. 0.00 0.00 0.00 - Jurgens, K.J. 0.67 - - Kok, L.M. 0.84 0.92 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.88 Korteweg, J.A. 0.08 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Leeuwen, M.J. van 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.25 Leffelaar-Felsö, F.A. 1.00 1.00 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 Lieshout, R.B.T. - - 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Manshanden, W.J.J. 0.67 - - Mulder, J.D.W.E. - 0.501.001.000.00- Muskens, A.C. 0.56 - - Niessen, N. 0.33 Nooij, M.N. de 0.58 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Pelger, M. - 0.331.001.001.000.25 Pomp, J.M. - 0.75 - Poort, J. - - 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.84 Risseeuw, P.R. - - 0.54 1.00 1.00 Rosenberg, F.A. - - 0.77 0.84 0.84 0.14 Sadiraj, K. - - 0.84 0.80 0.79 Seters, J. van 0.25 0.99 0.99 1.00 - - Vegt, C. van der1.001.001.000.800.600.60 Veldhuis, J.G. - 0.84 0.95 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Velthuysen, J.W. - 0.00 - Winter, J.M. de 1.00 1.00 - - - Zijderveld, C.E. 0.85 1.00 0.58 0.63 0.42 -

Total tenured staff 18.39 22.78 25.60 29.19 29.04 26.39 20.28

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Table 91 (continued) Nontenured staff Alla, A. 0.33 Berg, E. van den 0.33 Berg, M. van den - - 0.13 1.00 1.00 Bremer, S. - - 0.55 1.00 Gerritsen, M. - - 0.70 0.95 Gietema, B.G. - - 0.34 0.63 0.05 Hollanders, D.A. - - 0.80 0.20 0.10 Holleman, J. - - 0.46 0.84 0.84 Houkes-Hommes, A. 0.84 Janssen, K. 0.80 Klaveren, C.P.B.J. - - 0.50 1.00 Leenheer, J. - - 0.50 0.84 Seikh, O. 0.61 Sluis, J. van der - - 0.33 0.37 Smits, F. 0.49 Weda, J.N.T. 0.44 Zuidberg, J. 0.35 PhD students Buiren, K.B. 0.24 Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A.F.C. 0.60 0.60 - - - Graaf-Zijl, M. de 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 - Hollanders, D.A. - - 0.48 0.48 Leffelaar-Felsö, F.A. - 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.27

Total non-tenured staff 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.80 2.53 6.13 11.33

Total research staff 19.39 23.78 26.40 29.99 31.57 32.52 31.61

SEO holds an NEN-EN ISO 9001:2000 quality certificate for Applied Economic Research and Consulting. This implies that all SEO work procedures and information flows are structured along prescribed ways and checked yearly by the certification agency.

B.8 Resources, funding and facilities

SEO Economic Research obtains its funding almost exclusively from contract research. Part of the funding is obtained - according to the 2001 agreement between RESAM and SEO – as a compensation for SEO’s research output in terms of A and B publications. Out of the compensation two SEO staff members can be financed as (part time) aio’s in the ‘AIO-programme’ from RESAM.

The compensation which the SEO obtains from RESAM is added to the total scientific budget available under the new “wetenschapsplan” to intensify academic production (see above: strategy and policy). SEO funds its scientific budget from the positive result it obtains from contract research. The yearly total scientific budget varies with this positive result. In good years the scientific budget will be substantial. Research facilities (installations, equipment, computers, library) are financed from the proceeds of contract research. SEO has a 10 person strong supporting staff for administration, secretariat, library, web management and computers. Total amount of commissioned research of SEO was close to 3,7 million € in 2007. SEO has a total staff of between 50 and 55 persons. Both the total amount of contract research and staff size grows over time.

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Table 92 Staff funding at programme level Funding 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Direct funding fte's 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% Research funds 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Contracts 95% 96% 95% 96% 97% 98% 98% Other 0%0%0%0%0%0%0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

B.9 Overview of the results

Key publications Teulings, C.N. (2005), Comparative advantage, relative wages, and the accumulation of human capital, Journal of Political Economy, 113, (2), 425-461 Praag,. B.M.S. van & Baarsma, B.E. (2005), Using happiness surveys to value intangibles: the case of airport noise, The Economic Journal, 115, (1), 224- 246 Heyma, A. (2004), A structural dynamic analysis of retirement behaviour in the Netherlands, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19, 739-759. Nooij, M. de, Koopmans, C. & Bijvoet, C. (2007), The value of supply security, the cost of power interruptions: economic input for damage reduction and investment in networks, Energy Economics, 29, (1), 277-295 Teulings, C.N. & Gautier, P.A. (2004), The right man for the job, Review of Economic Studies, 71, (247), 553-580.

Table 93 Total programme results: outcome in numbers 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1. International a. journals 1 4 3 10 11 3 9 b. books, monographs 1 c. books, edited 2 d. chapters 2 1 1 2 1 2. Dutch journals 23 20 11 15 30 26 23 books 29503755457051 chapters 46155136 3. PhD theses 1 1 1 2 2 4. Professional publications 7 5 29 10 9 5 10

Table 94 Total programme results: outcome in numbers international journal publications 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 International Top Journals 3 2 1 Other international Journals1437938

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OUTPUT SEO ECONOMIC RESEARCH

2007

1. International academic publications

Journals Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de, Koster, W. & Weijden, C. van der (2007). Divide and rule: the economic and legal implications of the proposed ownership unbundling of distribution and supply companies in the Dutch electricity sector. Energy Policy, 35, (3), 1785-1794. Burghouwt, G. (2007). Deregulation comes at a cost: a liberalised market has serious consequences for planners. Jane’s Airport Review, 19, (10), 8-9. Jaspers. F., Hulsink, W. & Theeuwes, J. (2007). Entry and innovation in maturing markets: virtual operators in mobile telecommunications. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 19, (2), 205-225. Leenheer, J., Heerde, H.J. van, Bijmolt, T.H.A. & Smidts, A. (2007). Do loyalty programmes really enhance behavioural loyalty?: an empirical analysis accounting for self-selecting members. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 24, (1), 31-47. Nooij, M. de, Koopmans, C. & Bijvoet, C. (2007). The value of supply security, the cost of power interruptions: economic input for damage reduction and investment in networks. Energy Economics, 29, (1), 277-295. Nooij, M. de (2007). Lessons for the appraisal of interconnection investments from the NorNed-Case, oil, gas & energy law intelligence. OGEL, 5, (1), 1-22. Nooij, M. de (2007). What’s it really worth?: guaranteeing the lights stay on. Competition & Regulation Times ISCR, 22, (March), 12., issue 22) Werson, M. & Burghouwt, G. (2007). Airport planning in the free market regimes. Journal of Airport Management, 2, (1), 38-55. Wit, J. de, Veldhuis, J., Burghouwt, G. & Matsumoto, H. (2007). Measuring and comparing the network performance of four major airports in Japan and Korea: which airport is the primary hub to Japan? A Viewpoint to East Asia, 18, (4), 25-36. (In Japanese).

Books, Monographs Burghouwt, G. (2007). Airline network development in Europe and its implications for airport planning. Aldershot, Hampshire: Ashgate.

Chapters Felsö, F., Baarsma, B. & Mulder, J. (2007). Co-operation for tenders: is it a threat to competition? In Piga, G. & Thai, K.V. (eds), Advancing public procurement: practices, innovation and knowledge-sharing (pp. 71-96). Boca Raton, Fl.: PrAcademics Press.

2. Dutch Academic publications

Journals Aalbers, R. & Vollebergh, H. (2007). Handel in milieu: de windhandel voorbij? Chirsten Democratische Verkenningen, herfst nr., 144-151.

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Baarsma, B.E. (2007). Controlitis, wat doe je ertegen?: laveren tussen ‘je maintiendrai’ en ‘moet kunnen’. Pensioen Bestuur & Management, 4, (1), 11- 13. Baarsma, B. (2007). Fusies en het gebruik van de SSNIP-test. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4513), 395-397. Baarsma, B. (2007). Schoolboeken: over ‘gratis’ schoolboeken in het voortgezet onderwijs. Vernieuwing, 66, (1), 6-8. Berkhout, P. & Hartog, J. (2007). Nederland kieskeurig met kennismigrant. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4505), 142-143. Buiren, K. van & Gerritsen, M. (2007). Over compensaties van Diensten van Algemeen Economisch Belang. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4518), 570-571. Burghouwt, G. (2007, 6 April). Doebai wil de wereld veroveren. FEM Business, (14), 30-33. Burghouwt, G. (2007). Rekeningrijden in de luchtvaart: van generieke naar selectieve mainportstrategie voor vracht. Cargo Magazine, 1, (oktober), 50. Graaf, D. de (2007). Trends & tips. Thema nummer Schaarste op de arbeidsmarkt. U©Business Journal, nr. 12, 4. Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2007). Tijdelijke arbeidscontracten en/of ontslagbescherming. TPE Digitaal, 1, (1), 30-45. Groot, I. & Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2007). De bijstand als vangnet. Rostra Economica, 53, (264), 16-18. Groot, I. & Onderstal, S. (2007). No cure, no pay, een goed idee. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4502), 46-47. Hollanders, D. & Kok, L. (2007). De Zweedse oplossing van het vergrijzingsprobleem. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4517), 537- 538. Mulder, J. & Baarsma, B. (2007). Goed(koop) geregeld?: het gebruik van een kosten- batenmethodiek bij de beoordeling van (zelf)regulering. Recht der Werkelijkheid, 27, (2), 149-168. Nooij, M. de (2007). Leren van NorNed. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4514), 429-431. Poort, J. (2007). Boekbespreking P.A.G. Bergeijk & M. Verkoulen (eds.) Contouren van het Economisch Bureau NMa. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4504), 126. Redactie Elsevier & SEO (June 2007). De beste banen 2007 & salaris. Gids studie & werk: de arbeidsmarkt voor HBO’ers en academici. Elsevier thema carrière, 91-121. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). De arbeidsmarkt is een badkuip. Factor D, 25, (2), 1-6. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). Hoe het moet boven de vijfenveertig. Column. Tijdschrift voor Arbeidsvraagstukken, 23, (3), 238-239. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). Iedereen doet mee in 2008. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4525), 778-780. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). Reactie op: Globalisering en het hoger onderwijs. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4514S), 33. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). Rechtse economen schrijven beter. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4518), 572. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). Vraag van de week aan Jules Theeuwes. Cetris paribus. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 92, (4521), 672.

Books Aalbers, R. (2007). Het effect van toewijzingsregels op de doelmatigheid. SEO- rapport, 982. Amsterdam: SEO. Aalbers, R., Baarsma, B., Poort, J. & Nooij, M. de (2007). Buitenlandse activiteiten: waar ligt de grens: achtergrondnotitie. SEO-rapport, 993. Amsterdam: SEO.

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Aalbers, R., Bremer, S. & Nooij, M. de (2007). Instrumenarium voor transitie naar CO2 neutrale glastuinbouw. SEO-rapport, 983. Amsterdam: SEO. Aalbers, R., Vollebergh, H. & Zult, D. (2007). Mogelijkheden voor een continue monitoring van de investeringsmotivatie van bedrijven die gebruik maken van de EIA. SEO-rapport, 965. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B.E., Buiren, K.H.S. van, Gerritsen, M., Leenheer, J. & Honk, J. van (2007). Telemarketing: irritatie geregeld? Onderzoek naar de perceptie van consumenten ten aanzien van telemarketing en effectiviteit van (zelf)regulering. SEO-rapport, 963. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de & Poort, J. (2007). Toetredingsdrempels kleinverbruikersmarkt energie. SEO-rapport, 2007-49. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Janssen, K., Groot, I. & Beek, H. ter (2007). Selectie sturingsinstrumenten: op weg naar een roadmmap. SEO-rapport, 967. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Laverman, F., Hof, B. & Theeuwes, J. (2007). Methodiek doorlichting VROM-beleid: op zoek naar publieke belangen. SEO-rapport, 966. Amsterdam: SEO. Berg, M.R. van den (2007). Beloningsniveu directeuren Cedris-lidbedrijven 2006. SEO-rapport, 2007-55. Amsterdam: SEO. Berg, M.R. van den & Risseeuw, P.A. (2007). Cedris Bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek 2005. Resultaten op hoofdlijnen & Tabellaire bijlagen. SEO-rapport, 973, 973A. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E.E., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Smits, F. (2007). Studie en werk 2007. Statistische bijlage hbo-tabellen & Statistische bijlage vwo tabellen. SEO- rapport, 989. Amsterdam: SEO/Elsevier Thema. Berkhout, E., Dustmann, C. & Emmer, P. (2007). Mind the gap: International Database on Employment and Adaptable Labour (IDEAL). SEO-rapport, 968. Amsterdam: SEO/Randstad. Berkhout, E.E., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Kara, S. (2007). De markt voor hogere opleidingen in Communicatie, Media en Informatie. SEO-rapport, 2007-50. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Biermans, M., Salverda, W. & Tijdens, K. (2007). Internationale beloningsverschillen van wetenschappelijk personeel. SEO-rapport, 981. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P.H.G., Hoop, T. de, & Hartog, J. (2007). De arbeidsmarktpositie van studenten met een buitenlandse achtergrond. SEO-rapport, 955. Amsterdam: SEO. Besseling, J., Hagen, B., Andriessen, S., Peele, A. te, Crone, M., Kok, L. & Vos, E. de (2007). Toename gebruik ondersteuning voor jongeren met een gezondheidsbeperking. SZW werkdocument, 385. Den Haag: Ministerie van Sociale Zaken en Werkgelegenheid. Biermans, M.L. & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2007). Literatuuronderzoek effectiviteit van onderwijsinterventies. SEO-rapport, 964. Amsterdam:SEO. Biermans, M.L. & Poort, J. (2007). Industrie in beweging. SEO-rapport, 972. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M.L. & Poort, J. (2007). Zeven jaar onderzoek voor de SIC: synopsis. SEO-rapport, 974. Amsterdam: SIC Stichting voor Industriebeleid en Communicatie. Felsö, F., Baarsma, B., Gerritsen, M. & Mulder, J. (2007). Tolken in het publiek domein: over de vraag, aanbod en de bemiddeling van tolken. SEO-rapport, 986. Amsterdam: SEO; Den Haag: WODC. Felsö, F., Hollanders, D., Honk, J. van & Laemers, M. (2007). De tijd loopt door: de gevolgen van lange doorlooptijden in de rechtspraak. SEO-rapport, 994. Amsterdam: SEO; Den Haag: WODC. Giffen, T. van, Holleman, J. & Leenheer, J. (2007). Marktaandelen volmachtkanaal

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2006. SEO-rapport, 2007-47. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de, Heyma, A., Klaveren, C. van, Theeuwes, J., Lieshout, R. & Berkhout, P. (2007). Arbeidsmarkt van hoger opgeleide bèta’s. SEO-rapport, 992. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2007). Leidt de SVWW tot werk? De Stimuleringsregeling Vacaturevervulling door Werklozen en met werkloosheid bedreigde Werknemers (SVWW) vergeleken met andere reintegratietrajecten. SEO- rapport, 979. Amsterdam: SEO. Grijpstra, D.H., Klaver, P.M. de, Heyma, A.O.J., Biermans, M. & Janssen, P.M. (2007). Arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord-Holland, januari 2007. Amsterdam: Programmabureau PAO, DWI Gemeente Amsterdam. Groot, I., Graaf-Zijl, M. de, Hop, P., Kok, L., Fermin, B., Ooms, D. & Zwinkels, W. (2007). Effect re-integratietrajecten op de uitgaven aan sociale zekerheid. SEO-rapport, 2007-67. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. de, Hoop, T. de, Houkes, A. & Sikkel, D. (2007). De kosten van criminaliteit: een onderzoek naar de kosten van criminaliteit voor tien verschillende delicttypen. SEO-rapport, 971. Amsterdam: SEO; Den Haag: WODC. Hof, B., Poort, J. & Baarsma, B. (2007). Wegen van publieke belangen. SEO-rapport, 997. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B. & Rosenberg, F. (2007). Bossche Spoorzone: maatschappelijke kosten en baten van vier deelprojecten. SEO-rapport, 988. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Hop, P., Pott-Butter, H. et al (2007). Kosten en baten van participatiebeleid. SEO-rapport, 960. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Sluis J. van der, Hollanders, D. Witte, I., Zonnenberg, L. & Zult, D. (2007). Evaluatie Wet verevening pensioenrechten bij echtscheiding. SEO-rapport, 969. Amstedam: SEO; Den Haag: WODC. Kok, J.M.P. de, F.M.J. Westhof, J. van der Sluis & C.M. van Praag (2007). Flexibele arbeid in het MKB. Zoetermeer: EIM. Kuipers, B., Manshanden, W.J.J., Koops, O., Verweij, C.A., Veldhuis, J., Rosenberg, F. & Schouten, E. (2007). Maatschappelijk-economische analyse mainport Schiphol. TNO rapport, 2007-D-R0523/A. Delft: TNO Mobiliteit en Logistiek. Leenheer, J.. Berg, M. van den & Holleman, J. (2007). Snoeien doet groeien: bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek VHG 2005. SEO-rapport, 958. Amsterdam: SEO. Leenheer, J., Sheikh, O. & Holleman, J. (2007). Bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek NVA 2006. SEO-rapport, 2007-44. Amsterdam: SEO. Leenheer, J. & Risseeuw, P. (2007). Compliance van startende ondernemingen. SEO-rapport, 959. Amsterdam: SEO. Marlet, G., Poort, J. & Laverman, F. (2007). De kunst van het investeren in cultuur. SEO-rapport, 976. Amsterdam: SEO; Den Haag: OCW. Plantenga, J. & Kok, L. (2007). Nederland werkt en moeder ook. Den Haag: E- Quality, kenniscentrum voor emancipatie, gezin en diversiteit. Poort, J., Breugelmans, R., Laverman, F. & Hof, B. (2007). Bronnen van baten. SEO- rapport, 2007-52. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J. & Gerritsen, M. (2007). Reacties en visies KPN, Vodafone en Orange inzake waardebepaling GSM-spectrum. SEO-rapport, 961. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J., Houkes, A. & Groot, I. (2007). Yardsticks and carrots: assessment of transitory regulation of hospital care. SEO-rapport, 987. Amsterdam: SEO. Risseeuw, P. (2007). De uitdaging is steeds hetzelfde, alleen de invulling is anders: een onderzoek naar de ondersteuningsstructuur van de Nederlandse muzieksector. SEO-rapport, 2007-66. Amsterdam: SEO. Rosenberg, F., Korteweg, J.A. & Hof, B. (2007). Indirecte effecten NZKG: een kwalitatieve beschouwing van de indirecte effecten en relaties in het NZKG. SEO-rapport, 2007-43. Amsterdam: SEO. Rosenberg, F., Lieshout, R. & Hof, B. (2007). MKBA Bodemsanering. SEO-rapport,

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977. Amsterdam: SEO. Rosenberg, F., Lieshout, R., Wingerden, T. van & Jonkhoff, W. (2007). Evaluatie van ondergrondse infrastructuur: een maatschappelijke kosten-batenanalyse van het ondergronds bundelen van kabels en leidingen. COB publicatienummer, O15070-07. Gouda: COB Centrum voor Ondergronds Bouwen. Scheele, D. , Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Vries, G.J.M. de (red.) (2007). Arbeidsflexibiliteit en ontslagrecht. WRR-verkenningen, 14. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press. Sluis, J. van der, Buiren, K. van & NZa (2007). Oriënterende monitor Huisartsenzorg: het nieuwe financieringssysteem en marktwerking in de huisartsenzorg. Utrecht: Nederlandse Zorgautoriteit (Nza). Theeuwes, J.J.M., et al. (2007). Investeren in werkzekerheid. WRR rapporten aan de regering, 77. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press. Wit, J.G. de, Burghouwt, G., Cornelissen, M. & Mendes de Leon, P. (2007). Luchthavensystemen. SEO-rapport, 980. Amsterdam: SEO. Wit, J.G. de (2007). Op de lange baan?: prognoses voor Groningen Airport Eelde nader gewogen. SEO-rapport, 985. Amsterdam: SEO. Wit, J. de & Burghouwt, G. (2007). The impact of secondary slot trading at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. SEO-rapport, 957. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de. (2007). Splitsen energiebedrijven vermindert welvaart. p. 170-179. In Gelauff, G. et al (eds.). Jaarboek 2006/2007 Koninklijke Vereniging voor de Staatshuishoudkunde. Den Haag: Sdu Uitgevers. Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2007). Leidt de SVWW tot werk? De stimuleringsregeling Vacaturevervulling door Werklozen en met werkloosheid bedreigde Werknemers (SVWW) vergeleken met andere reintegratietrajecten. In Raad voor Werk en Inkomen (ed.). Evaluatie SVWW; onderzoeken uitgevoerd door Ecorys en SEO Economisch Onderzoek. Den Haag: Raad voor Werk en Inkomen. Houkes, A.R.B.J. & Kok, L.M. (2007). Gezondheidszorg. p. 87-109. In C.A. de Kam & A.P. Ros (eds.) Jaarboek Overheidsfinanciën 2007. Den Haag: Sdu Uitgevers. Risseeuw, P. & Holleman, J. (2007). Kengetallen goede doelen 2007. p. 7-15. In VFI (ed.). Nationale goede doelen rapport 2007: midden in de samenleving. Amsterdam: VFI, brancheorganisatie van landelijk wervende goede doelen. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). Gezondheid en werk. p. 117-121. In VWS (ed.) Niet van later zorg. Den Haag: Ministerie van Volksgezondheid, Wetenschap en Sport. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2007). De werknemer en de flexibele arbeidsmarkt. p. 11-24. In L. Verburg (ed.). De werknemer in beweging. Den Haag: SDU uitgevers.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Sluis, J. van der (2007, 20 April). Successful entrepreneurship and human capital. Universiteit van Amsterdam [Promotors: Prof.dr. J. Hartog, Prof.dr.C.M. van Praag]. Veraart, M.D.L. (2007, 8 June). Sturing van publieke dienstverlening: privatiseringsprocessen doorgelicht. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotors: Prof.dr. J.J.M. Theeuwes, prof dr. C.N. Teulings].

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4. Professional Publications and products

Baarsma, B.E. (2007). Sociale advocatuur: over maatschappelijk verantwoord ondernemen en de gefinancierde rechtsbijstand. NJB Nederlands Juristenblad, 82, 2, 81-85. Baarsma, B. (2007). Rechtsbijstandsverzekering ontslaat advocaat niet van ongeschreven plicht: ProDeofonds. Advocatenblad, 87, (2), 91. Berg, M. van den (2007). Transparantie: rollen en instrumenten voor de brancheorganistie. VM Vaktijdschrift voor professionals van verenigingen, branche- en beroepsorganisaties, 4, (1), 77-79. Biermans, M.L. & Poort, J. (2007). Industrie in beweging: samenvatting onderzoeksrapport Stichting voor Industriebeleid en Communicatie (SIC). Techni Show Magazine, 5, (2), 42-43. Burghouwt, G. (2007). Bookreview. Michel van Wijk. Airports as cityports in the city- region: spatial-economic and institutional positions and institutional learning in the Randstad, Schiphol (AMS), Frankfurt Rhein-Main (FRA), Tokyo Haneda (HND) and Narita (NRT). Nederlandse Geografische Studies, 353. Utrecht: KNAG; Faculteit Geowetenschappen, Universiteit Utrecht, 2007. S & RO Stedebouw & Ruimtelijke Ordening, 88, (4), 59. Leenheer, J. (2007). Praktische vrijstellingsregels: toezicht waarborg- en garantiefondsen. VM tijdschrift voor professionals van verenigingen, branche- en beroepsorganisaties, 4, (7), 69-71. Leenheer, J. (2007). Winstdaling ondanks omzetgroei: NVA bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek. Reflector, 55, (11), 30-31. Risseeuw, P. (2007). Maandelijkse column. Tuin & Landschap, 29. Wit, J.G. de (2007, 14 April). Het S-woord voor de Mainport. www.luchtvaartnieuws.nl Wit, J.G. de (2007, 7 July). Mainportbelang, capaciteit en selectiviteit: even goed schudden … www.luchtvaartnieuws.nl

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2006

1. International academic publications

Journals Burghouwt, G. & Veldhuis, J. (2006). The competitive position of Hub airports in the transatlantic market. Journal of Air Transportation, 11,(1), 106-130. Meijer, E.M., Sluiter, J.K., Heyma, A., Sadiraj, K. & Frings-Dresen, M.H.W. (2006). Cost-effectiveness of multidisciplinary treatment in sick-listed patients with upper extremity musculoskeletal disorders: a randomized, controlled trial with one-year follow up. International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health, 79, (8), 654-664. Teulings, C.N. & Vries, C.G. de (2006). General accounting, solidarity and pension losses. De Economist, 154, (1), 63-84.

Books, Monographs Berkhout, P.H.G., Berkhout, E.E., Biermans, M.L. & Valk, J. van der (2006). Monitoring the entry of young people into the labour market: the potential of the EU-LFS. SEO-rapport, 921. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M.L. & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2006). Insight in offshoring: perspectives of offshoring in the Netherlands. SEO-rapport, 954. Amsterdam: SEO. Heyma, A. & Graaf, D. de (2006). Methodologies on labour market indicators: job vacancies, job creation and job destruction in small businesses in the Slovak Republic. SEO-report, 874. Amsterdam SEO. Kok, L. & Hollanders, D. (2006). Dutch lessons from the Swedish pension reform. SEO-rapport, 862. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Biermans, M.L. & Leeuwen, M. van (2006). Basis for chapters on offshoring: Insight into offshoring: perspectives on offshoring in the Netherlands. In Hesp & Robroek (eds), Dynamische wereldspelers: een industriële revolutie, globalisering, offshoring, flexibilisering (pp. 44-49, 58-63). Diemen: Capac Inhouse Services. Gautier, P.A., Teulings, C.N. & Vuuren, A. van (2006). Labor market search with two sided heterogeneity: hierarchical versus circular models. In Bunzel, H., Christensen, B.J., Neumann, G.R. & Robin, J.M. (eds), Structural models of wage and employment dynamics. Contributions to economic analusis, 275 (pp 117-132). Amsterdam: Elsevier. Groot, I. & Heyma, A. (2006). The case of the Netherlands. In Skalli, A., Johansson, E. & Theodossiou, I. (eds), Are the healthier wealthier or the wealthier healthier?: the European evidence (pp. 199-245). Helsinki: The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy (ETLA). Wit, J.G. de (2006). Hub development at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol. In Hub airport strategies & cases in 21st century (pp. 95-122). Incheon: University of Incheon. (in Korean).

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Aalbers, R. & Bakker, R. (2006). Private verzekerbaarheid van overstromingen behoeft inhaalslag. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4491), 376-378. Aalbers, R., Cesar, H. & Hoogendoorn, B. (2006). Is van der Ploeg kleurenblind?.

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ESB dossier, 91, (4498S), 56-58 Baarsma, B. & Felsö, F. (2006). Waarborg van rechtszekerheid vanuit economisch perspectief niet optimaal. Recht der Werkelijkheid, 27, (1), 57-61, 69-70 (nawoord).. Baarsma, B. & Felsö, F. (2006). Een economische blik op het procesmonopolie van de advocatuur. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4481), 107-109. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Splitsen energiebedrijven vermindert welvaart. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4490), 338-340. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Splitsen energiebedrijven vermindert welvaart. ESB dossier, 91, (4498S), 96-99. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Splitsen energiebedrijven vermindert welvaart. ESB, 9, (jubileum nr.), 41-43. Damme, E. van, Teulings, C. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). Zoals algemeen bekend … Tijdschrift voor Economisch Onderwijs, 25, (2), 66-71. Graaf, D. de, Jong, U. de & Veen, I.van der (2006). Staken of switchen binnen het hbo: kunnen instellingen hun studenten behouden? Tijdschrift voor Hoger Onderwijs, 24, (4), 218-228. Graaf-Zijl, M. de & Heyma, A. (2006). Cliëntenstromen in de bijstand. Werk & Inkomen, 2, (10), 16-18. Haperen, T. van, Mantel, A.F., Heertje, A., Damme, E.E.C. van & Teeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). The wealth of education? Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4485), 212-213. Heyma, A. & Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2006). Onderzoek naar cliëntstromen in de bijstand. Werk en Inkomen, 2, (6), 11. Hollanders, D. (2006). Book review of Brink, D. van de & Heemskerk, F. (eds) De vergrijzing leeft. Bert Bakker. In Economische Statistische Berichten, 91, (4491), 379. Kok, L. (2006). De baten van thuiswonen. Onderzoek: is thuiswonen goedkoper dan opname? Handicap & Beleid, 13, (3), 16-17. Koopmans, C. (2006). ‘Zachte’ beleidseffecten in maatschappelijke kosten-baten- analyses: hoe kan het beter? Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 27, (3), 4- 19. Leenheer, J. (2006). The effectiveness of relational marketing instruments: the self- selection problem. Medium Econometrische Toepassingen, 14, (1), 2-25. Leenheer, J. (2006). Loyaliteitsprogramma’s: zinvol CRM-instrument? Tijdschrift voor Economie en Management, 51, (2), 237-268. Nooij, M. de & Swenne, A. (2006). Kosten en baten van betere waterzuivering bij Apeldoorn. Nieuwsbrief Milieu & Economie, 20, (3), 3-4. Poort, J. & Baarsma, B. (2006). De prijs van toegangsregulering. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4500), 58-62. Risseeuw, P. (2006). Omzetgroei & herstructurering: bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek 2005. NVA nieuws. Reflector: visie op de verzekeringsactualiteit, 55, (9), 28- 31. Swenne, A., Rosenberg, F., Nooij, M. de & Kempen, J. van (2006). Waterkwaliteitsspoor en MKBA-studie leiden niet tot aanpassing lozing rwzi Apeldoorn. H2O: tijdschrift voor watervoorziening en waterbeheer, 39, (17), 47-49. Teulings, C.N. (2006). Economische vooruitblik 2006. Verzekerd!, 4, (1), 10-11. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). Pareto voor de arbeiders. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4500S), 15-19. Theeuwes, J.J.M., (2006). De strijd tussen generaties, column. Praktijkblad Arbeidsvoorwaarden, 10, (6), 7 Theeuwes, J.J.M., (2006). Wie in de stad woont, werkt er niet. Arbeidsmarkt Journaal, 6, (3), 19. Vries, L. de & Nooij, M. de (2006). Slimme subsidies van schone stroom.

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Economisch Statistische Berichten, 91, (4495), 508.

Books Aalbers, R., Baarsma, B. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Maatschappelijke kosten en baten van innovatiebeleid: essay. SEO-rapport, 881. Amsterdam: SEO. Aalbers, R. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Per maand of per kWh?: beoordeling van de effecten van een ander tariefsysteem voor kleinverbruikers elektriciteit. SEO- rapport, 865. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Lieshout, R. Poort, J. & Zult, D. (2006). Bodem in de belmarkt?: evaluatie van de Universele Dienst Telefonie. SEO-rapport, 929. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de & Koopmans, C. (2006). Splitsen op de weegschaal: opzet voor een maatschappelijke kosten-baten analytisch kader m.b.t. de splitsing van de energiebedrijven. SEO-rapport, 883. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B.E., Mulder, J.D.W.E. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Vergelijking van toezichtsystemen: (hoe) kan toezicht verbeteren? SEO-rapport, 877. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de & Rosenberg, F. (2006). Indicator administratieve lasten burger: technisch eindrapport. SEO-rapport, 909. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Calculus van het publieke belang op de elektriciteitsmarkt: essay. SEO-rapport, 885. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Hoge stroomprijzen voor Nederlandse industriële grootverbruikers: een schets van oorzaken en oplossingen. SEO-rapport, 882. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Reactie op Memorie van Antwoord Eerste Kamer, vergaderjaar 2006-2007, 30212, D, 1-56. Wijziging van de Elektriciteitswet 1998 en de Gaswet in verband met nadere regels omtrent onafhankelijk netbeheer. SEO-rapport, 913A. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de & Koopmans, C. (2006). De welvaartseffecten van het splitsingsvoorstel: een overkoepelend beeld. Een maatschappelijke kosten- batenanalsyse van de splitsing van de energiebedrijven. SEO-rapport, 913. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B.E., Berndsen, R.C.D., Bottelberghs, Nooij, M. de & Rijken T. van der (2006). Kosten van octrooigemachtigden. Utrecht: Berenschot. Berg, M.R. van den (2006). Beloningsniveau directeuren Cedris-lidbedrijven 2005. SEO-rapport, 910. Amsterdam: SEO. Berg, M.R. van den & Buiren, K.H.S. van (2006). De toekomst van groen in economisch perspectief. SEO-rapport, 873. Amsterdam: SEO. Berg, M.R. van den , Gietema, B. & Risseeuw, P.A. (2006). Kengetallen assurantiekantoren 2005: bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek onder leden van de NVA 2005. SEO-rapport, 914. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E.E., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Biermans, M.L. (2006). De ASRE-doelgroep in 2006: een vergelijking van de vraag naar opleidingen in de vastgoedkunde. SEO-rapport, 888. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E.E., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Biermans, M.L. (2006). Studie en werk 2006. SEO-rapport, 902. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Heyma, A. & Salverda, W. (2006). Beloningsverschillen tussen de marktsector en collectieve sector in 2004. Den Haag: Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties. Berkhout, P., Berkhout, E., Girigorie, L. & Kotzebue, C. (2006). Turisitka: modelscenario’s 2005-2012 (deel II) Verslag behorende bij de workshop van 5 mei 2006. SEO-rapport, 869. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P., Berkhout, E. & Girigorie, L. (2006). Turistika: modelscenario’s 2006- 2012 (deel III) Curaçao. SEO-rapport, 948. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M. & Poort, J. (2006). Rolopvatting innovatie en arbeidsproductiviteit.

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SEO-rapport, 956. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M. & Poort, J. (2006). Industriebeleid op het juiste niveau: welke agenda moet waar liggen? SEO-rapport, 912. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M.L., Poort, J.P., Leeuwen, M.J. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Kennisverwerving in de maakindustrie: najaarspaper 2005. SEO-rapport, 856. Amsterdam: SEO. Bleumink, P., Zanden, F. van der, Manshanden, W., Koops, O., Sneider, M., Veldhuis, J., Koopmans, C., Rosenberg, F. & Lieshout, R. (2006). Economische effecten Schiphol. SEO-rapport, 897. Amstedam: SEO. Breejen, F. van, Huigsloot, P., Korteweg, J.A.C., Leerdam, J. van, Lieshout, R.B.T., Rosenberg, F.A. & Wildt, R. de (2006). Stedelijke vernieuwing: kosten en baten. SEO-rapport, 895. Amsterdam: SEO. Buiren, K.H.S. van, Weda, J. & Felsö, F. (2006). Chemie in concurrentie: onderzoek naar de concurrentiepositie van de Nederlandse chemische industrie. SEO- rapport, 918. Amsterdam: SEO. Felsö, F., Scheele, D., Bremer, S. & Baarsma, B. (2006). Evaluatie Prognosemodellen Justitiële Ketens: civiel en bestuur. Technisch achtergrondrapport. SEO-rapport, 923. Amsterdam: SEO, Den Haag: WODC. Graaf, D. de & Berkhout, P. (2006). De uitstroom van jonge fiscalisten uit het hoger onderwijs. SEO-rapport, 900. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf-Zijl, M. de, Berkhout, P., Hop, P. & Graaf, D. de (2006). De onderkant van de arbeidsmarkt vanuit werkgeversperspectief: de rol van percepties bij de selectie van laagopgeleide sollicitanten. SEO-rapport, 893. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf-Zijl, M. de, Groot, I. & Hop, J.P. (2006). De weg naar werk: onderzoek naar de doorstroom tussen WW, bijstand en werk, voor en na de SUWI operatie. Den Haag: Raad voor Werk en Inkomen. Graaf-Zijl, M. de, Heyma, A. & Hoop, T. de (2006). Van bijstand naar werk in Amsterdam: effectiviteit van reïntegratietrajecten voor de bijstandsgerechtigden in de periode 2001-2004. SEO-rapport, 903. Amsterdam: SEO. Grijpstra, D., Klaver, P. de, Biermans, M., Graaf, D. de, Korteweg, J.A. & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2006). De arbeidsmarkt van Noord-Holland Noord. Deel 1: Foto van 2005. Amsterdam: Regionaal Platform Arbeidsmarktbeleid Noord-Holland Noord. Grijpstra, D., Klaver, P. de, Korteweg, J.A., Leeuwen, M. van & Vegt, C. van der (2006). Arbeidsmarkt van Noord-Holland Noord. Deel 2: Vooruitblik op 2010. Amsterdam: Regionaal Platform Arbeidsmarktbeleid. Grijpstra, D.H. , Klaver, P.M. de, Heyma, A., Biermans, M.L., Graaf, D. de, Korteweg, J.A.C. & Vegt, C. van der, Jansen, P.M. (2006). Arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord-Holland juli 2006. Amsterdam: Platform Arbeidsmarkt en Onderwijs DWI Gemeente Amsterdam. Groot, I. , Gent, M. van, Graaf, D. de, Hop, P. & Niet, M. de (2006). Uit de bakken aan de bak: houdt het verdeelmodel voor het werkdeel van de WWB voldoende rekening met de samenstelling van de bijstandspopulatie?. SEO- rapport, 890. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I., Hollanders, D., Hop, J.P. & Onderstal, S. (2006). Werkt de reïntegratiemarkt?: onderzoek naar de marktwerking op de reïntegratiemarkt. SEO-rapport, 946. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. & Sadiraj, K. (2006). Verdiend met pensioen?: ontwikkelingen in participatie over de levensloop. SEO-rapport, 907. Amsterdam: SEO. Heemskerk, L.C. , Wit, J.G. de & Rosenberg, F. (2006). Langere baan, meer werk?; toetsing van het rapport Regionaal-Economische Betekenis van Lelystad Airport. SEO-rapport, 944. Amsterdam: SEO. Heyma, A. (2006). De weg terug; epiloog: onderzoek naar netto-effect van reïntegratiedienstverlening bij (gedeeltelijk) goedgekeurde niet-werkende

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arbeidsongeschikten in de periode 2002-2004. Den Haag: Raad voor Werk en Inkomen. Heyma, A., Graaf, D. de, Klaveren, C. van (2006). Exploratie van beloningsverschillen in het onderwijs 2001-2004. Beleidsonderzoek arbeidsmarkt en Personeelsbeleid Onderwijs, 148. Den Haag: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschap. Hof, B. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Toetsing prioriteiten stationsprojecten. SEO-rapport, 950. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Woningcorporaties in Amsterdam: marktmacht en subsidies. SEO-rapport, 875. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B., Koopmans, C. & Teulings, C. (2006). Een nieuw fundament: borging van publieke belangen op de woningmarkt. SEO-rapport, 899. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B., Korteweg, J.A., Poort, J. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Baten in beeld: uitwerking Kengetallen kosten-batenanalyse Beelden voor de toekomst. SEO-rapport, 884A. Amsterdam: SEO. Holleman, J. (2006). Marktaandelen volmachtkanaal 2005. SEO-rapport, 930. Amsterdam: SEO. Holleman, J. & Risseeuw, P.A. (2006). Nationale goede doelen rapport 2006: een inventarisatie onder VFI-leden. SEO-rapport, 936. Amsterdam: SEO. Klaver, P.M. de, Korteweg, J.A., Heyma, A. & Grijpstra, D.H. (2006). Vergrijzing en ontgroening van de beroepsbevolking. Leiden: Research voor Beleid. Kok, L. & Heemskerk, L. (2006). Kosten en baten van zorgvernieuwing: de mamapoli doorgelicht. SEO-rapport, 916. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Hollanders, D, Hop, J.P., Graaf-Zijl, M., Groot, I. & Hoop, T. (2006). Kosten en baten van reïntegratie. SEO-rapport, 928. Amsterdam: SEO. Koopmans, C. (2006). De waarde van normen: essay over kosten-batenanalyse van milieubeleid. SEO-rapport, 892. Amsterdam: SEO Korteweg, J.A., Poort, J. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Kengetallen kosten-batenanalyse: beelden voor de toekomst. SEO-rapport, 884. Amsterdam: SEO. Leenheer, J. (2006). Waarborg- en garantiefondsen: een inventariserend onderzoek naar de omvang en activiteiten van de sector. SEO-rapport, 931. Amsterdam: SEO. Leenheer, J. & Risseeuw, P. (2006). Best practice in toezicht. SEO-rapport, 924. Amsterdam: SEO. Leeuwen, M.J., Biermans, M.L., Vegt, C. van der, Oosteren, C.G.M. van, Federova, T., Slot, J.J.M. & Jansen, P.M. (2006). Arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord- Holland januari 2006. Amsterdam: Programmabureau Platform Arbeidsmarkt en Onderwijs DWI Gemeente Amsterdam. Lieshout, R.B.T., Veldhuis, J. & Balke, P. (2006). Klachtenanalyse 2005: een statistisch onderzoek naar de relatie tussen klachten en vliegbewegingen. SEO-rapport, 915. Amsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de & Rosenberg, F. (2006). Maatschappelijke kosten-batenanalyse voor de planstudie versterking zwakke schakel Noordwijk. SEO-rapport, 879. Amsterdam: SEO. Pelger, M. & Veldhuis, J. (2006). Luchthavengelden en overheidsheffingen: benchmark van zes Europese luchthavens. SEO-rapport, 911. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J., Gerritsen, M., Baarsma, B., Philipson, F., Rosellón Cifuentes, M. & Eijk, N. van (2006). Waarde GSM-spectrum. SEO-rapport, 927. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J. & Gerritsen, M. (2006). Nadere bepaling waarde GSM-spectrum. SEO- rapport, 927A. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J., Baarsma, B., Bremer, S. & Tijssen, M. (2006). Vaste netten, dynamische markten. SEO-rapport, 920. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J., Baarsma, B. & Teulings, C. (2006) Over regulering internettelefonie: nut en noodzaak van de regulering van VoIP. SEO-rapport, 863. Amsterdam: SEO.

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Poort, J., Koopmans, C., Hoo, J. & Velthuijsen, J.W. (2006). Opties op de Zuidas. SEO-rapport, 926. Amsterdam: SEO. Rij, P. van, Beek, H. ter & Koopmans, C. (2006). Kosten en baten van harmonisatie van de rechtspositie van overheidspersoneel. SEO-rapport, 935. Amsterdam: SEO. Sadiraj, K. & Groot, I. (2006). Sociaal-economische status in vereveningsmodel zorgverzekeraars: wat zijn de mogelijkheden? SEO rapport, 886. Amsterdam: SEO. Swenke, A.A.A. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Waterkwaliteitsspoor Grift/Apeldoorns kanaal, inclusief maatschapelijke kosten batenanalyse. Apeldoorn: Arcadis. Timmer, M., Nieuwenhuis, P., Rijnhout, R. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Financiële consequenties van de gewijzigde status van de invoering van de OV- chipkaart. Utrecht: Hypercube Business Innovation. Vegt, C. van der, Korteweg, J.A. & Lieshout, R. (2006). Amsterdamse Economische Verkenningen, voorjaar 2006. SEO-rapport, 901. Amsterdam: SEO. Veldhuis, J., Kroes, E. & Kouwenhoven, M. (2006). Effecten van beleidsmaatregelen bij de groei van Schiphol tot 2020. SEO-rapport, 851C. Amsterdam: SEO. Veldhuis, J., Kroes, E. & Kouwenhoven, M. (2006). Ontwikkeling Schiphol tot 2020- 2040 bij het huidige beleid. SEO-rapport, 851B. Amsterdam: SEO. Wit, J.G. de, Baarsma, B.E. & Koopmans, C.C. (2006). Onderzoek mainportontwikkeling in het kader van evaluatie Schipholbeleid: de externe effeten. SEO-rapport, 876. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). De basis van het marktwerkingsbeleid. In Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (eds), Dynamische marktwerking: over de complexiteit van mededinging in vijf sectoren (pp. 1-31). Den Haag: Academic Service. Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). Lessen over marktwerking. In Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (eds), Dynamische marktwerking: over de complexiteit van mededinging in vijf sectoren (pp. 163- 174). Den Haag: Academic Service. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Elektriciteit: een spannende markt. In Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (eds), Dynamische marktwerking: over de complexiteit van mededinging in vijf sectoren (pp. 55-87). Den Haag: Academic Service. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2006). Storewar: gezonde concurrentie of roofgedrag. In Gelauff, G., Boot, A., Herings, J.J., Keuzenkamp, H., Lindenboom, M. & Schenk, H. (eds), Jaarboek 2005/2006 Koninklijke Vereniging voorde Staatshuishoudkunde (pp. 109-112 ). Den Haag: Sdu uitgevers. Berkhout, E., Biermans, M., Berkhout, P. & Leeuwen, M. van (2006). Aansluiting school en werk: digitalisering van het zoekproces. In Haan, J. de & Hof, C. van ‘t (eds), Jaarboek ICT en samenleving 2006: de digitale generatie (pp. 145-158). Amsterdam: Boom. Kok, L. & Felsö, F. (2006). De postbode is de klos (pp. 117-132). In Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (eds.). Dynamische marktwerking: over de complexiteit van mededinging in vijf sectoren (pp. 90-109). Den Haag: Academic Service. Leenheer, J. (2006). Loyaliteitsprogramma’s in de Nederlandse detailhandel: adoptie en effectiviteit. In Marktonderzoekassociatie (ed.), Ontwikkeling in het marktonderzoek. Jaarboek 2006 (pp. 43-61). Amsterdam: Marktonderzoekassociatie. Pannekeet-Helsen, M.J.E., Rijken, P.M., Janssens, L. & Hop, P. (2005). Gebruik en niet-gebruik BU 2004. SEO rapport, 830A. In M.J. Pannekeet-Helsen, P.M. Rijken (eds), Financiële situatie van chronisch zieken en gehandicapten.

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Nationaal Panel chronisch zieken en gehandicapten (pp. 29-47). Utrecht: NIVEL. Poort, J. & Koopmans, C. (2006). Overheid tussen twee sporen. In Baarsma, B., Pomp, M & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (eds), Dynamische marktwerking: over de complexiteit van mededinging in vijf sectoren (pp. 113-138). Den Haag: Academic Service. Poort, J., Marlet, G. & IJdens, T. (2006). Omvang en belang van de creatieve sector. In Hofstede, B. & Raes, S. (eds), Creatief vermogen: de economische potentie van cultuur en creativiteit (pp. 39-60). ’s Gravenhage: Elsevier Overheid Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). Groei en het grote geluk .In Beek, K. van & Zonderop, Y. (eds), 30 plannen voor een beter Nederland (pp. 22-37). Amsterdam: Meulenhoff. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2006). Het einde van de wereld. In Asbeek Brusse, W., Donk, W.W.B.H.J. van de & Pree, J.C.I. de (eds), Laten we wel wezen…, Liber amicorum voor Jan Schoonenboom (pp. 114-116). Den Haag: Wetenschappelijke Raad voor het Regeringsbeleid. Wit, J. de (2006). Luchtvaartconcurrentie: een slag in de lucht? In Baarsma, B., Pomp, M. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (eds), Dynamische marktwerking: over de complexiteit van mededinging in vijf sectoren (pp. p. 139-161). Den Haag: Academic Service.

3. Ph.D. Theses

Zijl, M. (2006, 20 June). Economic and social consequences of temporary employment (in English). Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotors Prof.dr. G.J. van den Berg & Prof.dr. J. Hartog] [cat. II]. Scheele, D. (2006, 28 november). Doelmatigheid in de rechtshuishouding. [Promotores Prof.dr. J.J.M. Theeuwes & Prof.dr. K. Schuyt] [cat. II].

4. Professional publications and products

Baarsma, B. & Felsö, F. (2006). Kritiek op onderzoek domeinmonopolie klopt niet. Advocatenblad, 86, (3), 136. Groot, I., Gent, M. van & Graaf, D. de (2006). Het verdeelmodel voor het werkdeel van de VWB verdeelt niet naar de daadwerkelijke behoefte. Maandblad Reïntegratie, 6, (12), 10-11. Kok, L., Groot, I.& Maljers, J. (2006). Zonder prikkels geen vernieuwing: bekostigingssystematiek belemmert innovaties in de zorg. Medisch Contact, 61, (2), 76-78. Risseeuw, P. (2006). Stelling. Oproep Dekker ‘3% voor speelruimte’ is verkiezingsretoriek. Tuin & Landschap, 28, (9), 9.

Veldhuis, J. (2006). Global alliance: the way to create a hub-airport. Airport Partners, (2-3), 21-22. (in Russian).

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2005

1. International academic publications

Journals Baarsma, B.E. & Lambooy, J.G. (2005). Valuation of externalities through neo- classical methods by including institutional variables. Transportation Research, Part D, 10, (6), 459-475. Berkhout, P.H.G. & Brouwer, N.M. (2005). The influence of the weather on recreational behaviour: a micro econometric approach. Tourism Analysis, 10, (3), 211-221. Biermans, M, Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van, & Roeleveld, J. (2005). Opting for science and technology. Dossier Redcom, scientific studies in Europe: an issue for VET. Vocational Training: European Journal, 35, (2), 28-35. Biermans, M., Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van & Roeleveld, J. (2005). Begabungsreserven in den Niederlanden: zu den Entscheidungs- und Anreizfaktoren für ein Studium der Natur- und Technikwissenschaften. Die Hochschule, 14, (2), 44-62. Biermans, M., Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van & Roeleveld, J. (2005). Opting for science / technology! European Journal of Education, 40, (4), 433-445. Biermans, M., Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van & Roeleveld, J. (2005). Opting for science / technology! European Journal Vocational Training, 35, (12), 28-31. Praag, B.M.S. van & Baarsma, B.E. (2005). Using happiness surveys to value intangibles: the case of airport noice. The Economic Journal, 115, (1), 224- 246. Ritsema van Eck, J., Burghouwt, G. & Dijst, M. (2005). Lifestyles, spatial configurations and quality of life in daily travel: an explorative simulation study. Journal of Transport Geography, 13,(2), 123-134. Teulings, C.N (2005). Comparative advantage, relative wages, and the accumulation of human capital. Journal of Political Economy, 113, (2), 425-461. Veen, I. van, Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van & Korteweg, J.A. (2005). The development of higher education students' subject-related interest in their subject in higher education: the case of higher professioal education in the Netherlands. Studies in Higher Education, 30, (3), 275-289. Veldhuis, J. (2005). Impacts of the Air France-KLM merger for airlines, airports and air transport users. Journal of Air Transport Management, 11, (1), 9-18.

Books, Monographs Aalbers, R., Mulder, J. & Poort, J. (2005). International opportunities for the creative industries. SEO-report, 821. Amsterdam: SEO. Aalbers, R., Mulder, J. & Poort, J. (2005). International opportunities for the ICT- sector. SEO-report, 820. Amsterdam, SEO. Baarsma, B., Aalbers, R., Poort, J., Biermans, M., Velthuisen, J.W. & Putman, G. (2005). Diamonds are for ever?: the welfare effects of national champions. SEO-rapport, 810. Amsterdam: SEO. Dijk, M. van, Minne, B., Mulder, M., Poort, J. & Wiel, H. van der (2005). Do markt failures hamper future perspectives of broadband? CPB document, 1002. Den Haag: Centraal Planbureau. Groot, I., Kruytzer, J. & Maljers, J. (2005). An international comparison of the impact of health care systems on diffusion of innovation. SEO-rapport, 819. Amsterdam: SEO. Jong, G. de, Pieters, M., Daly, A., Graafland, I., Kroes, E. & Koopmans, C. (2005). Using the logsum as an evaluation measure: literature and case study.

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Leiden: Rand Europe. Poort, J., Groot, I., Kok, L, Graaf, D. de & Hof, B. (2005). Accessibility of public services. SEO-rapport, 775. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Heyma, A. & Oosterhaven, J. (2005). Social cost-benefit analysis and spatial- economic models in the Netherlands. In Oort, F. van, Thissen, M. & Wissen, L. van. (eds.) A survey of spatial economic planning models in the Netherlands: theory, application and evaluation (pp.153-175). Rotterdam: Nai publishers. Kok, L.M. & Hop, J.P. The cost of waiting. In Yfantopoulos, J.N. (ed.) The economics of health reforms (pp. 651-660). Athens: Athens Institute for Education and Research.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Aalbers, R., Baarsma, B. & Poort, J. (2005). Breedband uit het stopcontact en privatisering van stroomnetten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4460), 232-233. Aalbers, R.F.T. & Baarsma, B.E. (2005). Splitsen energiebedrijven vermindert concurrentie. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4468), 356-357. Baarsma, B.E. (2005). Over de opheffing van een kartel: de vaste boekenprijs (VBP) voor schoolboeken in het voortgezet onderwijs. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie 26, (3), 80-99. Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de, Koster, W. & Weijden, C. van der (2005). Verdeel en heers: beleid; splitsing van energienetten. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 26, (4), 56-78. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2005). Bodemprijs of bodem onder de prijs?: waarom de overheid er goed aan doet om géén wettelijk verbod op verkoop onder inkoopprijs in te stellen. Kwartaalschrift Economie, 2, (1), 11-28. Baarsma, B.E. & Nooij, M. de (2005). Storewar: gezonde concurrentie of roofgedrag. Economenblad, 28, (4), 16-17. Berg, G.J. van den, Gautier, P.A. & Teulings, C.N. (2005). Feiten en valkuilen van het minimumloon. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4453), 52-54. Berkhout, P.H.G. & Graaf, D. de (2005). Geef deeltijders meer keus. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4467), 330-331. Bovenberg, A.L. & Teulings, C.N. (2005). De vlaktaks in concreto. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4455), 112-114. Burghouwt, G. & Veldhuis, J. (2005). De concurrentiepositie van hub-luchthavens op de transatlantische markt. Tijdschrift Vervoerswetenschap, 41, (2), 2-10. Burghouwt, G. & Wit, J. de (2005). Hubontwikkeling op Amsterdam Airport. Rooilijn, 38, (5), 219-225. Gameren, E. van, Stevens, J., Woittiez, I., Kok, L. & Sadiraj, K. (2005). Zelfstandig wonen door ouderen: wensen en mogelijkheden. TSG: tijdschrift voor gezondheidswetenscahppen, 83, (8), 479-484. Graaf-Zijl, M. & Groot, I. (2005). Werkt het Borea-keurmerk?: transparantie op de reïntegratiemarkt. Flexmarkt, 11, (12), 22-23. Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2005). Beperkt belang van ontslagkosten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4462), 262. Groot, I. & Heyma, A. (2005). Efficiëntie reïntegratie van mensen met een WWB- uitkering. Journaal Werk en Inkomen, 3, (4), 59-62. Heyma, A. (2005). Stelling Dertigers zijn niet solidair met hun grootouders: Riante

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regelingen. Gids Signaal, 3,(1), 8. Heyma, A. (2005). Estimating effects of selectively applied labour market programmes. MET Medium Econometrische Toepassingen, 13, (2), 13-17 Kok, L.M., Stevens, J., Gemeren J. van, Sadiraj, K. & Woittiez, I.B. (2005). De baten van thuis wonen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4451), 36-38. Koopmans, C. (2005). Zuiderzeepijn. Trens, 5, (1), 2. Nooij, M. de & Baarsma, B. (2005). Caravans en kavelverdeling in Slochteren. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4458), 191. Nooij, M. de & Baarsma, B. (2005). Meer marktwerking bij gemeenten goed voor de burger: naar een mededingingsbonus voor gemeenten? B&G, 32, (1), 20-24. Oosterhaven, J., Elhorst, J.P., Heyma, A. & Koopmans, C. (2005). Indirecte effecten infrastructuur: aanvulling Leidraad OEI. Tijdschrift Vervoerswetenschap, 41, (1), 2-12. Oosterhaven, J., Koopmans, C.C. & Elhorst, J.P. (2005). Indirecte effecten van beleid: lastig, maar belangrijk. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4467), 335-337. Poort, J. & Baarsma, B. (2005). Relatieproblemen VROM-woningcorporaties: een goede scheiding is beter dan een slecht huwelijk. B&G, 32,(7/8), 30-31. Teulings, C.N. (2005). Die heffingen helpen echt. Trens, 5, (4), 12-13. Teulings, C.N. & Vries, C.G. de (2005). Micropremie en macroparadox. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4470), 386-389. Teulings, C.N. (2005). Tien vragen aan Coen Teulings, directeur SEO en hoogleraar Economie UvA. Verzekerd!:nieuwsuitgave van het Verbond van Verzekeraars, 3, (7), 15. Teulings, C.N. (2005). Verdeel het vermogen nú: generatierekening overbrugt tegenstellingen. Pensioen, Bestuur & Management, 2, (2), 6-7. Wit, J.G. de (2005). Vliegen zonder franje: de opkomst van de low cost carriers in Europe. Tijdschrift Vervoerswetenschap, 41,(2), 22-28. Zijl, M. (2005). Tijdelijk werk als springplank: flexibilisering van arbeidsmarkten staat volop in de belangstelling. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4450), 17.

Books Aalbers, R.F.T. & Lieshout, R.B.T. (2005). Beoordeling concept kwartaalrapportage detailhandelsmarkt. SEO-rapport, 816. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B. (2005). De transactiestaat: een beknopte economische interpretatie. SEO-rapport, 807. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B. & Felsö, F. (2005). Het proces als domein: over de effecten van het procesmonopolie van de advocatuur. SEO-rapport, 846. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B. & Mulder, J. (2005). Nederland toezichtland: een economisch perspectief. SEO-rapport, 792. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de, Mulder, J. & Haster, J. (2005). Zelf doen of samen met anderen?; uitbesteden van bedrijfsprocessen (BPO) door de rijksoverheid en uitvoeringsinstellingen. SEO-rapport, 803. Amsterdam: SEO. Berg, M.R. van den, Buiren, K.H.S. van & Holleman, J. (2005). Groen onder druk: bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek 2004. SEO-rapport, 857). Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Heyma, A., Leeuwen, M. van, Brouwer, N. & Zijderveld, C. (2005). Waarom dalen de inningspercentages van transacties en boetevonnissen. SEO-rapport, 801. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P., Berkhout, E. & Biermans, M. (2005). Studie en werk 2005. SEO- rapport, 808. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P.H.G. , Leuven, E. & Ooosterbeek, H. (2005). Gebruik en effectiviteit van de aftrek scholingsuitgaven. SEO-rapport, 826. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P., Graaf, D. & Leeuwen, M. van (2005). Terug naar meer?: langere werkweek in de collectieve sector. SEO-rapport, 790. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P., Berkhout, E., Girigorie, L. & Kotzebue, C. (2005). Turistika:

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modelscenario’s 2005-2012: tussentijds verslag behorende bij de workshop 6 oktober 2005. SEO-rapport, 841. Amsterdam: SEO. Buiren, K.H.S. van, Gietema, B. & Lodder B. (2005). Brancheverkenning architectenbureaus 2004. SEO-rapport, 847. Amsterdam: SEO. Buiren, K.H.S. van, Gietema, B. & Lodder, B. (2005). Performance monitor architectenbureaus 2004. SEO-rapport, 852. Amsterdam: SEO. Buiren, K.H.S. van & Holleman, J. (2005). Kengetallen goede doelen 2004: een inventarisatie onder VFI leden. SEO-rapport, 828. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de & Berkhout, P. (2005). Constructie en stabiliteit van de Arbeidsmarktvertrouwensindex. SEO-rapport, 818. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de (2005). MOA 2005: weging en correctie van allochtonen zonder Internet. SEO-rapport, 811. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de & Berkhout, P. (2005). AGO 2004: weging en correctie voor Nederlanders zonder Internet. SEO-rapport, 799. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de, Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van, Veen, I. van & Budil-Nadvorniková, H. (2005). Stoppen of doorgaan: vertrekkers en switchers op de HHS/THR: wie, waaarom en hoe uitval te voorkomen. SEO-rapport, 815. Amsterdam: SEO. Grijpstra, D.H., Klaver, P.M. de, Leeuwen, M.J. van, Biermans, M.L., Graaf, D. de, Korteweg, J.A.C. & Vegt, C. van der. (2005). Regionale Arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord-Holland, juni 2005. Amsterdam: Platform Arbeidsmarkt en Onderwijs. Groot, I. & Korteweg, J.A. (2005). Hoe verloopt de levensloop?: update literatuuronderzoek naar de nieuwe levensloopregeling. SEO-rapport, 832. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. (2005). Kosten en baten van EQUAL-projecten: verantwoordingsdocument. Bij de brochure: Naar een succesvolle mainstreaming: een handleiding om de kosten en baten van Equal-projecten te meten. SEO-rapport, 858. Amsterdam: SEO. Heyma, A., Tijdens, K., Janssens, L. & Berkhout, E. (2005). De aantrekkelijkheid van de collectieve sector als werkgever: een vergelijking van beloningsprofielen tussen collectieve sector en marktsector. SEO-rapport, 797. Amsterdam: SEO. Heyma, A., Cuelenaere, B., Reijenga, F. & Graaf, M. de (2005). De weg terug: van arbeidsongeschiktheid naar werk. Den Haag: Raad voor Werk en Inkomen, Doetichem: Reed Business Information. Hof, B., Koopmans, C. & Jong, G. de (2005). Tijdwaardering van de verladers op het spoor. SEO-rapport, 802. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B., Rosenberg, F. & Koopmans, C. (2005). Kosten-Batenanalyse vaarwegverruiming Boven-IJssel. SEO-rapport, 798. Amsterdam: SEO. Holleman, J. (2005). Marktaandelen volmachtkanaal 2004. SEO-rapport, 848. Amsterdam: SEO. Hop, J.P. & Kok, L.M. (2005). Normering tijdinzet MEE-diensten. SEO-rapport, 822. Amsterdam: SEO. Janssens, L., Rijken, M. & Spreeuwenberg, P. (2005). Wijziging van de regeling voor buitengewone uitgaven: inkomsteneffecten bij chronisch zieken. SEO-rapport, 777. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Biermans, M., Groot, I., Janssens, L. & Korteweg, J.A. (2005). Morgen zonder zorg(en)?: arbeidsproductiviteit en innovatieve kracht in de zorg. SEO- rapport, 817. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Groot, I., Mulder, J. & Sadirai, K. (2005). De markt voor kinderopvang in 2004. SEO-rapport, 845. Amsterdam: SEO. Korteweg, J.A., Leeuwen, M. van, Pelger, M. & Veldhuis, J. (2005). Luchthavenmonitor: tien Europese regio’s in de tijd vergeleken. SEO-rapport, 793. Amsterdam: SEO. Lieshout, R. & Rosenberg, F. (2005). Wie betaalt de rit?: uitgaven aan openbaar

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vervoer en deelgroepvervoer in zes landen. SEO-rapport, 812. Amsterdam: SEO. Marlet, G. & Poort, J. (eds.) (2005). Cultuur en creativiteit naar waarde geschat. SEO-rapport, 813. Amsterdam: SEO; Utrecht: Atlas voor gemeenten. Nooij, M. de & Poort, J. (2005). Vooruit met procesinnovatie. SEO-rapport, 814. Amsterdam: SEO. Pelger, M. (2005). Actualisatie benchmark, luchthavengelden en overheidsheffingen. SEO-rapport, 804. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J., Baarsma, B. & Teulings, C. (2005). Marktwerking op de rit: het borgen van de publieke belangen op de taximarkt. SEO-rapport, 827. Amsterdam: SEO. Rijken, M. & Janssens, L. (2005). Niet-gebruik buitengewone uitgavenregeling onder chronisch zieken en gehandicapten. Utrecht: NIVEL. Risseeuw, P. & Berg, M.R. van den. (2005). Brancheverkenning makelaardij onroerend goed 2004. SEO-rapport, 849. Amsterdam: SEO. Risseeuw, P. (2005). De woningmakelaardij naar een nieuwe toekomst. Heerenveen: Rotero Groep. Teulings, C.N., Bovenberg, L. & Dalen, H. van (2005). De cirkel van goede intenties: de economie van het publieke belang.. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press. Vegt, C. van der, Korteweg, J.A. & Lieshout (2005). Amsterdamse Economische Verkenningen, voorjaar 2005. SEO-rapport, 789. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der (2005). De economische les: perspectieven van de Amsterdamse binnenstad. SEO-rapport, 795. Amsterdam: SEO. Veldhuis, J., Kroes, E., Kouwenhoven, M., Lierens, A. Heemskerk, L. & Wouw, N. van der (2005). Modelontwikkeling ACCM en kwantitatieve verkenning WLO- luchtvaartscenario’s. SEO-rapport, 796. Amsterdam: SEO. Wit, J.G. de, Rosenberg, F.A., Veldhuis, J.G. & Koopmans, C.C. (2005). Evaluatie Schipholbeleid: mainportontwikkeling in het kader van de evaluatie Schipholbeleid. Den Haag: Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat.

Chapters Berkhout, E. & Berkhout, P. (2005). Kenniswerkers en hun vakkenpakket. In CBS (ed.), Kennis en economie 2004 (pp. 35-41). Voorburg: Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. Heyma, A. (2005). Reïntegratie instrumenten voor WW-gerechtigden: behoefte, inzet en effecten. In Vos, E.L. de & Genabeek, J. van. (eds), Verraderlijk effectief: prestatiemeting van reïntegratie en activering, deel 2 (pp. 19-60). Hoofddorp: TNO Kwaliteit van Leven. Hop, J.P.& Kok, L. (2005). Normering tijdinzet MEE-diensten. SEO-rapport, 822. In College voor Zorgverzekeringen (ed.), Kosten MEE-organisaties. Diemen: CVZ. Koopmans, C. (2005). Beleving, berekening en besluiten. In Dammers, E., Hornis, W. & Vries, J. de (eds.) Schoonheid is geld!: naar een volwaardige rol van belevingswaarden in maatschappelijke kosten- batenanalyses (pp. 70-79). Rotterdam: Nai Uitgevers. Teulings, C.N. (2005). SEO heeft zeker baat bij de reputatie van de UvA, tegelijkertijd profiteert de UvA van de uitstraling van SEO. In Jaarverslag UvA 2004 (pp. 36). Amsterdam: UvA.

4. Professional publications and products

Buiren, K. van & Risseeuw, P. (2005). Back to normal: brancheverkenning architectenbureaus 2004. BladNA, 12, 20.

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Heemskerk, L.C. (2005). ORM in de ziekenhuispraktijk; kwantitatieve effecten van deeltijdwerken door medisch specialisten. STAtOR, 6, (1-2), 17-22. Graaf-Zijl, M. de (2005). Transparantie op de reïntegratiemarkt: werkt het Borea- keurmerk? Reïntegratie, 5, (10), 23-25. Groot, W., Verbon, H., Teulings, C.N. & Kleinknecht, A. (2005). Hoogleraren geven commentaar inzake uw beleidsagenda 2006 …: concurrentie bevorderen, innovatie stimuleren en het ondernemersklimaat verbeteren, dat zijn de hoofdpunten uit EZ’s beleidsagenda 2006. EZ Journaal, 18, (18), 4-5. Risseeuw, P., Ginkel, K. van & Gijsberts, B. (2005). Als je geld wilt verdienen, moet je je specialiseren. Stelling. Tuin & landschap, 27, (17), 9. Risseeuw, P. (2005). Winnaars en verliezers?: bedrijfsvergelijkend onderzoek NVM- makelaars 2004. Vastgoed, 80, (11), 42-44. Risseeuw, P. (2005). Nieuwe verhoudingen in de woningmakelaardij. Vastgoed, 80, (10), 18-20. Teulings, C.N. (2005). Verdeel het vermogen nu: generatierekening overbrugt tegenstellingen. Pensioen, Bestuur & Management, 2, (2), 6-7. Teulings, C.N. (2005). Verplichtstelling is voordelig voor fondsen, maar hoe lang nog? Verzekerd, 3, (13), 11.

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2004

1. International academic publications

Journals Berkhout, P.H.G. & Plug, E.J.S. (2004). A bivariate poisson count data model using conditional probabilities. Statistica Neerlandica, 58, (30), 349-364. Berkhout, P.H.G., Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Muskens, J.C. (2004). The ex post impact of an energy tax on household energy demand. Energy Economics, 26, (3), 297-317. Burghouwt, G. & Wit, J.G. de (2004). Temporal configuration of European airline networks. Journal of Air Transport Management, Special issue: Eight Annual Air Transport Society Conference, Toulouse, 11, (3), 185-198. Dur, R., Teulings, C.N. & Rens, T. van (2004). Should higher education subsidies depend on parental income? Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20, (2), 284- 297. Frenken, K., Terwisga, T. van, Verburg, T. & Burghouwt, G. (2004). Airline competition at European airports. TESG Journal of Economic and Social Geography, 95, (2), 238-242. Heyma, A. (2004). A structural dynamic analysis of retirement behaviour in the Netherlands. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19, 739-759. Plug, E. & Berkhout, P. (2004). Effects of sexual preferences on earnings in the Netherlands. Journal of Population Economics, 17, (1), 117-131. Teulings, C.N. & Gautier, P.A. (2004). An empirical measure for labor market density. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85, (4), 901-908. Teulings, C.N. & Gautier, P.A. (2004). The right man for the job. Review of Economic Studies, 71, (247), 553-580. Wit, J. de (2004). Development strategy of Schiphol Airport and lessons for Incheon Airport to be a logistic hub. Journal of International Logistics and Trade, 2, (2), 83-97.

Books, Monographs Berkhout, E.E. & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2004). International Database on Employment and Adaptable Labour (IDEAL): Randstad jobs report. SEO-report, 752. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Dur, R.A.J. & Teulings, C.N. (2004). Are education subsidies an efficient redistribution device? In Agell, J., Keen, M. & Weichenrieder, W. (eds), Labor market, institutions and public regulation (pp. 123-161). Cambridge (MA): MIT Press. Wit, J.G. de (2004). The privatization and regulation of Amsterdam airport Schiphol. In Forsyth, P., Gillen, D.W., Knorr, A., Mayer, O.G., Niemeier, H.M. & Starkie, D. (eds), The economic regulation of airports (pp. 83-99). Brookfield: Ashgate Publishing Company. Wit, J.G. de (2004). Changing business models in the air transport supply chain. In Meersman, H., Roosens, P., Voorde E. van de & Witlox, F. (eds), Optimising strategies in the air transport business: survival of the fittest? (pp.137-151). Antwerp: Garant.

2. Dutch academic publications

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Journals Baarsma, B.E., Berkhout, P.H.G., Hop, J.P. & Gemert, M. van (2004). Net goed: prijs van kwaliteit van het elektriciteitsnet. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4436), 298-301. Berkhout, P.H.G. (2004). De relatieve marktwaarde van studies. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4431), 184-186. Groot, I. & Kok, L. (2004). Lusten en lasten van marktwerking bij huisartsen: horen huisartsen thuis onder het regime van de mededingingswet? Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4428), 108-109. Heyma, A.O.J. & Zwinkels, W. (2004). Reïntegratie beter bij homogene groepen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4426), 82-83. Hop, J.P. & Zijl, M. (2004). Afschrikken helpt meer dan bemiddelen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4438), 344-36. Janssens, L.R. & Kok, L.M. (2004). Kinderen, financiële prikkels en het wao-risico van vrouwen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4439), 372-374. Kok, L. & Putman, L. (2004). De financiering van de pensioenen: generatieconflict of gulden middenweg? Facta, 12, (3), 30-31. Koopmans, C.C. & Kroes, E.P. (2004). Werkelijke kosten van files tweemaal zo hoog. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4430), 154-155. Mulder, J.D.W.E. & Baarsma, B.E. (2004). Transparantie leidt tot samenspanning van notarissen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4428), 118-120. Nooij, M. de & Theeuwes, J.J. (2004). De kosten en baten van internationale organisaties. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 25, (3), 116-142. Nooij, M. de (2004). Investeringen van de overheid zijn lang niet altijd optimaal. Prospect, 10, (1), 27-28. Nooij, M. de & Baarsma, B. (2004). Privatiseer de laagspanning nu! EZJournaal, 16, (7), 12. Nooij, M. de & Koopmans, C.C. (2004). Vergeten kosten van projecten. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 90, (4442), 444-445. Teulings, C.N., Bovenberg, A.L. & Dalen, H.P. van (2004). Privatisering van de kunst van het loslaten. Strategie en beleid. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4424), 28-31. Tijdens, K.G., Winter, J.M. de & Korteweg, J.A.C. (2004). Voorwaarden voor verlofsparen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 89, (4424), 42-43.

Books Aalbers, B., Dietvorst, G., Gier, E. de, Janssens, L., Kok, L. & Putman, L. (2004). De waarde van solidariteit: spanning in de tweede pijler van het pensioengebouw. SISWO cahiers sociale wetenschappen en beleid, 2004-7. Amsterdam: SEO, SISWO. Baarsma, B., Koopmans, C., Mulder, J., Nooij, M. de & Zijderveld, C. (2004). Goed(koop) geregeld: een kosten-batenanlyse van wetgeving en zelfregulering. SEO-rapport, 720. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B.E., Nooij, M. de, Koster, W. & Weijden, C.H.A. van der (2004). Advies betreffende aangekondigde wetgeving splitsing energiebedrijven. SEO- rapport, 782. Amsterdam: SEO, Norton Rose Advocaten. Baarsma, B., Berkhout, P. & Hop, J.P. (2004). Op prijs gesteld, maar ook op kwaliteit: de prijs van stroomonderbrekingen – op zoek naar f : technisch rapport. SEO-rapport, 726. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Poort, J., Teulings, C. & Nooij, M. de (2004). Private investments in new infrastructures. SEO-rapport, 772. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Mulder, J. & Teulings, C. (2004). Rechtszekerheid als publiek belang: over de notaris, zijn domein en de markt. Position paper. SEO-rapport, 765. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B.E., Koopmans, C., Mulder, J. & Zijderveld, C. (2004). Kosten en baten

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van open standaarden en open source software in de Nederlandse publieke sector: een analyse op meso- en macroniveau. SEO-rapport, 755. Amsterdam: SEO. Bekkers, R., Maltha, S., Poort, J, & Geffen, S. van (2004). Vooruitgang zonder marktverstoring: analyse breedbandplannen publieke en private partijen. SEO-rapport, 787A. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E.E., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Biermans, M.L. (2004). De CWI-monitor Jeugdwerkeloosheid: een eerste opzet. SEO-rapport, 771. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Berkhout, P. & Wolthoff, R. (2004). Studie & werk 2004. SEO-rapport, 748. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P. & Graaf, D. de (2004). Weegprocedure en correctie voor allochtonen zonder Internet. SEO-rapport, 730. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M., Korteweg, J.A. & Leeuwen, M van (2004). De keuze voor bèta/techniek: kwantitatieve analyse van de keuze voor bèta/techniek op basis van TKMST-data. SEO-rapport, 721. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M.L., Leeuwen, M.J. van, Poort, J. & Korteweg, J.A.C. (2004). Offshoring: een vergezocht probleem?: een onderzoek onder de 100 grootste zakelijke dienstverleners uit de provincie Utrecht. SEO-rapport, 785. Amsterdam: SEO. Bijvoet, C.C. & Koopmans, C.C. (2004). De effectiviteit van regionaal beleid in wetenschappelijk onderzoek vanaf 1970. SEO-rapport, 751. Amsterdam: SEO. Felsö, F., Mulder, J. & Baarsma, B. (2004). Samen sterk of beter alleen?: over de werking van het besluit vrijstelling combinatieovereenkomsten. SEO-rapport, 780. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de, Kok, L. & Berkhout, P. (2004). Is het mogelijk om integratie te meten? SEO-rapport, 749. Amsterdam: SEO. Grijpstra D.H., Klaver, P.M. de, Leeuwen, M.J. de, Biermans, M.L., Graaf, D. de, Korteweg, J.A.C., Vegt, C. van der & Jansen, P.M. (eds) (2004). Regionale Arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord-Holland. December 2004. Amsterdam: RPA Zuidelijk Noord-Holland. Groot, I., Janssens, L. & Zijderveld, C. (2004). Toetsing verdeelsystematiek werkdeel WWB. SEO-rapport, 743. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. & Korteweg, J.A. (2004). Hoe gaat de levensloop lopen?: litertuuronderzoek naar de nieuwe levensloopregeling. SEO-rapport, 781. Amsterdam, SEO. Groot, I. & Heyma, A. (2004). Financiële prikkels voor werknemers bij uittreding. RMO werkdocument, 3. Den Haag: Raad voor Maatschappelijke Ontwikkeling. Groot, I. & Kok, L. (2004). Ontwikkelingen op de markt voor vrijwillige aanvullingen op het pensioen. SEO-rapport, 778. Amsterdam: SEO. Grijpstra D.H., Klaver, P.M. de, Leeuwen, M.J. van, Biermans, M.L., Graaf, D. de, Korteweg, J.A.C., Vegt, C. van der & Jansen, P.M. (eds) (2004). Regionale Arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord-Holland. Juni 2004. Amsterdam: RPA Zuidelijk Noord-Holland. Heyma, A., Berkhout, E., Salverda, W. & Biermans, M. (2004). Beloningsverschillen tussen de marktsector en collectieve sector in 2001. SEO-rapport, 764. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B. & Koopmans, C. (2004). Beoordeling van het vergelijkingskader modaliteiten. SEO-rapport, 724. Amsterdam: SEO. Hof, B. & Koopmans, C. (2004). De maatschappelijke betekenis van doorvoer: second opinion bij TNO Inro onderzoek. SEO-rapport, 736. Amsterdam: SEO. Janssens, L. & Kok, L. (2004). Lijden vrouwen aan de hypotheekziekte?: man- vrouw verschillen in arbeidsongeschiktheidsrisico. SEO-rapport, 744. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Nooij, M. de (2004). Marktwerking in Mokum. SEO-rapport, 728. Amsterdam: SEO.

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Kok, L., Korteweg, J.A.C. & Meer, M. van der (2004). Evaluatie sluitende aanpak. SEO-rapport, 739. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Groot, I., Janssens, L. & Sadiraj, K. (2004). Zorgstelsels vergeleken. SEO- rapport, 769. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Stevens, J., Brouwer, N., Gameren, E. van, Sadiraj, K. & Woittiez, I. (2004). Kosten baten van extramuralisering: de gevolgen voor de Regeling hulpmiddelen. SCP werkdocument, 109. Den Haag: Sociaal en Cultureel Planbureau. Koopmans, C. (2004). Beoordeling van de kosten-batenanalyse vervanging LPG. SEO-rapport, 756. Amsterdam: SEO. Koopmans, C.C. (2004). Ongewenst onderzoek: de gespannen relatie tussen economisch onderzoek en beleid. Rede uitgesproken bij de aanvaarding van het ambt van bijzonder hoogleraar in de Infrastructuur en Mobiliteit aan de Universiteit van Amsterdam op vrijdag 19 maart 2004. Amsterdam: Vossiuspers. Koopmans, C., Mulder, J. & Zijderveld, C. (2004). Kosten en baten van open standaarden en open source software in de Nederlandse publieke sector: een analyse op meso- en macroniveau. SEO-rapport, 755. Amsterdam: SEO. Lieshout, R., Pelle, E., Rosenberg, F. & Tummers, P. (2004). Materieel en Stallingen. Den Haag: Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat. Adviesdienst Verkeer en Vervoer. Miltenburg, J., Leeuwen, M. van, Meer, M. van der, Rijken, M., Budil-Nadvorniková, H., Graaf, D. de, Korteweg, J.A. & Reijntjes, M. (2004). Aantrekkelijkheid van het werken in het Bakkersbedrijf: tussenrapport aan het Georganiseerd Overleg van Werkgevers- en werknemersorganisaties in het Bakkersbedrijf. Utrecht: Miltenburg Organisatieadvies. Mulder, J., Poort, J., Arend, R. van der, Dijk, J. van & Lierop, W. van (2004). Loont liberalisering?: financiële effecten toetreding destructiemarkt. SEO-rapport, 758. Amsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de, Felsö, F. & Baarsma, B. (2004). Industrie en diensten in beeld: kwantitatieve fase van een SWOT analyse van de Nederlandse industrie. SEO-rapport, 740. Amsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de & Poort, J. (2004). Trends in industrie 2004. SEO-rapport, 779. Amsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de, Lieshout, R., Bijvoet, C. & Koopmans, C. (2004). Verfijning regionale informatie. SEO-rapport, 770. Amsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de & Koopmans, C. (2004). Second opinion bij de toetsing spoorwegprojecten. SEO-rapport, 722. Amsterdam: SEO. Pelger, M., Veldhuis, J. & Wit, J. de (2004). Capaciteitsgebrek of –gebruik?: een analyse naar de mogelijkheden van selectiviteitsbeleid op Schiphol. SEO- rapport, 734. Amsterdam: SEO. Petersen, A. van, Vree, F. van & Janssens, L. (2004). Insluizing van de ADL- clusterregeling in de functiegerichte AWBZ: effecten op zorginhoudelijk en financieel-technisch vlak. Leiden: Research voor Beleid. Poort, J. & Mulder, J.D.W.E. (2004). Parels voor de zwijnen: een alternatieve vergoedingsmethodiek voor de destructie van dierlijk afval. SEO-rapport, 741. Amsterdam: SEO. Poort, J., Zijderveld, C. & Brouwer, N. (2004). Verplaatsing industrie: hoe erg is het? SEO-rapport, 753. Amsterdam: SEO. Rosenberg, F.A. & Koopmans, C.C. (2204). Kosten-batenanalyse Zeetoegang IJmuiden. SEO-rapport, 776. Amsterdam: SEO. Scheerens, M.J.J., Werven, M.J.N. van, Seebregts, A.J., Poort, J.P., Nooij, M. de & Baarsma, B.E. (2004). Norm voor leveringszekerheid: een minimumnorm voor waarborging van het evenwicht tussen elektriciteitsvraag en –aanbod op lange termijn. Petten: ECN.

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Teulings, C.N. & Koopmans, C.C. (2004). Rendement en publieke belangen: de besluitvorming bij Betuweroute en HSL-Zuid. Notitie ten behoeve van Onderzoek naar infrastructuurprojecten (Commissie Duivesteijn). SEO- rapport, 786. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der, Bijvoet, C., Hof, B. & Lieshout, R. (2004). Amsterdamse Economische Verkenningen, voorjaar 2004. SEO-rapport, 750. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der (2004). Amsterdamse Economische Verkenningen. Najaarsbrief 2004. De regionale economie in 2004 en 2005: herziene ramingen en een terugblik. SEO-rapport, 774. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der & Mulder, J. (2004). Industrie in Noord-Holland-Zuid: visies en feiten. Haarlem: Provincie Noord Holland Afd. Economie Landbouw en Milieu. Verhoef, E.T., Koopmans, C.C., Bliemer, M.C.J., Bovy, P.H.L., Steg, L. & Wee, G.P. van (2004). Vormgeving en effecten van prijsbeleid op de weg: effectiviteit, efficiëntie en acceptatie vanuit een multidisciplinair perspectief. S.l. VU Amsterdam: VU/SEO, Delft: TU Delft, Groningen: RU Groningen. Wit, J.G. de & Heemskerk, L. (2004). Economische effecten van de capaciteitsreductie op Schiphol als gevolg van de invoerfout. SEO-rapport, 725. Amsterdam: SEO, Amsterdam Aviation Economics. Zijl, M. & Leeuwen, M.J. (2004). Tijdelijk werk: tussenstap of springplank. Onderzoek naar het stepping-stone effect van tijdelijke banen. SEO-rapport, 733. Amsterdam: SEO. Zwinkels, W.S., Genabeek, J. van & Groot, I. (2004). Buitenlandse ervaringen met de aanbesteding van reïntegratiediensten. Doetichem: Reed Business Information.

Chapters Berkhout, P., Biermans, M. & Korteweg, J.A. (2004). Jonge kenniswerkers in beweging. In Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (ed.), Kennis en economie 2003: onderzoek en innovatie in Nederland (pp. 33-38). Voorburg: CBS. Hop, J.P & Zijl, M. (2004). De bijstandsteller: gemeenten hebben invloed op de bijstandspopulatie. In Arbeidsmarkt beleid en uitvoering. Supplement 4 (pp. A I.1,1-15). ’s Gravenhage: Reed Business Information. Kok, L. & Hop, P. (2004). De kosten van wachten. In Groot, W., Brouwer, W. & Lienden, H. van (eds), Gezondheid: een kapitaal goed. Naar een economie van de public health (pp. 65-71). Den Haag: Stichting Public Health Forum. Nooij, M. de & Theeuwes, J. (2004). Quota for the outsourcing of television programmes. In Papanikos, G.T. (ed.), Competition, regulation and protection: essays from an International Conference on Industrial Organisation, Law and Economics, AATINER, Greece (pp. 107-120). Athens: The Athens Institute for Education and Research. Poort, J.P. (2004). On the intimate relationship between airports and regional growth. In Flotow, L. von (ed.), Innovative city and business regions Structural change in Europe, 3 (pp. 30-35). Bollschweil (Germany): Hagbarth Publications.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Berkhout, P.H.G. (2004, 29 January). Van bul naar baan. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotor: Prof.dr. J.J.M. Theeuwes, co-promotor: dr. J.C.M. van Ophem].

4. Professional publications and products

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Baarsma, B.E. (2004). Over een onnodig en schadelijk kartel: de vaste boekenprijs voor wetenschappelijke boeken. Tijdschrift voor Hoger Onderwijs, 22, (4), 238-250. Baarsma, B. & Nooij, M. de (2004). Differentiatie voor optimaal investeringsniveau netbeheer. Energie Nederland, 7, (15), 5. Baarsma, B., Groot, I. de & Kok, L. (2004). No-claim prikkelt zorggebruiker minder dan eigen risico. Ecoomenblad, 27, (5-6), 10-11. Dijk, N.M. van, Heemskerk, L.C., Diercks, R.L. & Andriessen, M.P.H.M. (2004). Het halve werk is een goed begin: wachttijdtheorie en simulatie illustreren de perspectieven voor deeltijdwerk. Medisch Contact, 59, (11), 409-411. Dijk, N.M. van, Heemskerk, L.C., Diercks, R.L. & Andriessen, M.P.H.M. (2004). Heersen over de golven: het verkorten van wachtlijsten met wachttijden theorie en simulatie. Medisch Contact, 59, (11), 406-408. Graaf, D. de, Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M.J. van & Veen, I. van der (2004). Meer lenen bedreigt toegankelijkheid hoger onderwijs. Tijdschrift voor hoger onderwijs, 22, (1), 2-9. Janssens, L., Kok, L., Wetzels, C. & Tijdens, K. (2004). Uittreding en herintreding in zorg en welzijn. OSA-publicatie, ZW52. Tilburg : Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. Poort, J. (2004). Verplaatsing : hoe erg is het? Bulletin voor Industriebeleid, 5, (2), 1- 4. Teulings, C.N. (2004). Winst door samenwerking: publieke en private dienstverleners ontmoeten elkaar. MensenWerk: bedrijfsblad CWI, 7, (8), 10-11. Wee, B. van, Annema, J.A. & Koopmans, C. (2004). Kosten-batenanalyse op degoede weg? Arena milieutijdschrift, 10, (2), 30-33.

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2003

1. International academic publications

Journals Baarsma, B.E. (2003). The valuation of the IJmeer nature reserve using conjoint analysis. Environmental and Resource Economics, 25, (3), 343-356. Nooij, M. de, Kruk, R. van der & Soest, D.P. van (2003). International comparison of domestic energy consumption. Energy Economics, 25, (4), 359-373. Smulders, S. & Nooij, M. de. (2003). The impact of energy conservation on technology and economic growth. Resource and Energy Economics, 25, (1), 59-79.

Chapters Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2003). A day of reckoning for politicians, or economists? In Graafland, J.J. & Ros, A.P. (eds), Economic assesment of election programmes (pp. 3-6). Boston: Kluwer.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Berkhout, E.E. & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2003). Verkapt inkomensbeleid bij scholieren? Economisch Statistische Berichten, 88, (4392), 12-14. Bijvoet, C.C., Felsö, F.A., Koopmans, C.C. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2003). Bouwstenen voor minder afspraken in de bouw. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 88, (4407), 292-294. Bijvoet, C.C., Nooij, M. de & Koopmans, C.C. (2003). Kosten van stroomstoringen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 88, (4415), 460-463. Heyma, A. & Zijl, M. (2003). Ouderen gevoelig voor financiële prikkels. Economische Statistische Berichten, 88, (4005), 14-15. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2003). NMa in zorgenland. ZorgVisie, 33, (10), 6-7. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2003). De pijlen van Hoogervorst. Economische Statistische Berichten, 88, (4413), 411. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Seters, J. van (2003). Prikkel de werknemer en zijn arts. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 88, (4400), 176-178. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Pomp, J.M. (2003). De vuile markt voor contractonderzoek. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 88, (4417), D22-23. Koopmans, C. (2003). Geld genoeg. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4396), 99. Nooij, M. de (2003). Tulpenratio. Economische Statistische Berichten, 88, (4406), 282-283. Plug, P.J., Timmerman, R.M., Baarsma, B.E., Theeuwes, J.J.M., Bruggert, J.F.G. & Lijn, N.J. van der (2003). Leren van de evaluatie van de Mededingingswet. MM Markt & Mededinging, 6, (1), 16-20.

Books Baarsma, B. (2003). Maatschappelijk bungeejumpen of gerichte zelfsturing?: essay over zelfsturing in de publieke sector. SEO-rapport, 710. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Beemsterboer, M. & Nooij, M. de (2003). Samenwerking stimuleren, maar hoe?: op zoek naar best practices bij samenwerkingsverbanden en clustervorming in het MKB op ICT-gebied in de regio Amsterdam. SEO- rapport, 673. Amsterdam: SEO.

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Baarsma, B., Felsö, F., Geffen, S., Mulder. J. & Oostdijk, A. (2003). Zelf doen? Inventarisatie van de zelfreguleringsinstrumenten. SEO-rapport, 664. Amsterdam: SEO. Also published in translation: Do it yourself?: stock-taking study of self- regulation instruments. Study commissioned by the Ministry of Economic Affairs. The Hague: Ministry of Economic Affairs. Berkhout, E.E., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Wolthof, R.P. (2003). Studie en werk 2003. SEO- rapport, 680. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P.H.G., Brouwer, N.M. & Felsö, F.A. (2003). Revisie SEO Waterrecreatiemodel. SEO-rapport, 668. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P.H.G. & Graaf, D. de (2003). Weegprocedure en correctie voor mensen zonder Internet. SEO-rapport, 671. Amsterdam: SEO. Biermans, M. & Leeuwen, M. van (2003). SWOT-analyse modellen Veiligheidsketen. SEO-rapport, 699. Amsterdam: SEO. Bijvoet, C., Nooij, M. de & Koopmans, C. (2003). Gansch het raderwerk staat stil: de kosten van stroomstoringen. SEO-rapport, 685. Amsterdam: SEO. Bijvoet, C., Hof, B., Koopmans, C. & Vegt, C. van der (2003). Woningbouw in de Noordvleugel: onderzoek naar woningvraag en bouwlocaties tot 2030. SEO- rapport, 703. Amsterdam: SEO. Boswijk, H.P. & Wolthoff, R.P. (2003). Stabiliteit van coïntegratierelaties: literatuuronderzoek en toepassing op een VEC-model voor de criminaliteit. SEO-rapport, 686. Amsterdam: SEO. Brouwer, N. (2003). De bekendheid van de WIK onder beeldend kunstenaars. SEO- rapport, 661. Amsterdam: SEO. Brouwer, N., Nooij, M. de & Pomp, M. (2003). SIC Industriemonitor najaar 2003. SEO-rapport, 706. Amsterdam: SEO. Dalen, S., Leeuwen, M. van & Biermans, M. (2003). TKMST mbo-monitor, pilot onderzoek, juni 2003. SEO-rapport, 690. Amsterdam: SEO. Felsö, F., Leeuwen, M. van & Seters, J. van (2003). Verklaringsmodel tbs-instroom. SEO-rapport, 702. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I., Keuzenkamp, H., Seters, J. van & Theeuwes, J. (2003). Concurrentie tussen huisartsen doorgeprikt. SEO-rapport, 666. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I., Kok, L. & Koopmans, C. (2003). Kosten en baten van reïntegratiediensten. SEO-rapport, 677. Amsterdam: SEO. Heyma, A., Zijl, M. & Bijvoet, C. (2003). Aan de slag met vergrijzing: gevolgen van vergrijzing voor de arbeidsmarkt in Zuidelijk Noord-Holland. SEO-rapport, 694. Amsterdam: SEO. Heyma, A., Zwinkels, W. & Seters, J. van (2003). Doelgroepindeling aanbesteding reïntegratie: de relatie tussen persoonskenmerken, kosten en effectiviteit van reïntegratietrajecten. Den Haag: Raad voor Werk en Inkomen. Hop, J.P. & Zijl, M. (2003). De Gemeentelijke bijstandsteller: instrument voor het voorspellen van het aantal bijstandsgerechtigden. SEO-rapport, 715. Amsterdam: SEO. Jansses, L., Theeuwes, J & Zijderveld, C. (2003). Overzichtstudie filmbranche: werkdocument. SEO-rapport, 659. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Theeuwes, J. & Nooij, M. (2003). Aan de schandpaal: de economische betekenis van ‘Naming and shaming’. SEO-rapport, 717. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Pomp, M. (2003). Hobbels op het speelveld van zorgverzekeraars. SEO-rapport, 692. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Nooij, M. de & Geffen S. van (2003). De kunst van het investeren in de elektriciteitssector. SEO-rapport, 672. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Theeuwes, J & Janssens, L. (2003). Outsourcing van het ICT door overheidsinstellingen. SEO-rapport, 658. Amsterdam: SEO. Koopmans, C. (2003). “Plan 17”, beoordeeld: verkeersveiligheidsmaatregelen voor

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beginnende bestuurders tegen het licht. SEO-rapport, 670. Amsterdam: SEO. Mulder, J. (2003). De blinde vlek van transparantie: een onderzoek naar de invloed van transparantie op de hoogte van notaristarieven in de onroerendgoedpraktijk. SEO-rapport, 696. Amsterdam: SEO. Nieuwenhuis, B., Minkman, M., Timmer, M. & Koopmans, C. (2003). De maatschappelijke kosten en baten van de invoering van de OV-Chipkaart. Utrecht: Hypercube Business Innovation. Plug, P., Dekker, A., Hurk, S. van der, Baarsma, B. & Felsö, F. (2003). Mededinging versus domeinmonopolie en ministerieplicht: over de gevolgen van marktwerking in het notariaat. Amsterdam: Berenschot; Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Pomp, M. (2003). Bèta/techniek voor innovatie en productiviteit: beleidsadvies. SEO- rapport, 679. Amsterdam: SEO. Pomp, M. (2003). Innovatie: wie het weet mag het zeggen; feiten, onzekerheden en beleid. SEO-rapport, 706A. Amsterdam: SEO. Pomp, M. (2003). Meetbaar nut of onschatbare waarde?; wetenschappelijk onderzoek en het bedrijfsleven. SEO-rapport, 669.Amsterdam: SEO. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2003). Naar een plan voor de productiviteit in de Nederlandse maakindustrie. SEO-rapport, 678. Amsterdam: SEO. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2003). Het publieke belang van de Europese elektriciteitsmarkt: position paper. SEO-rapport, 663. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der & Bijvoet, C. (2003). Amsterdamse economische verkenning voorjaar 2003. SEO-rapport, 681. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der (2003). Amsterdamse economische verkenningen najaarsbrief 2003: de regionale economie in 2003 en 2004, herziene ramingen. SEO- rapport, 705. Amsterdam: SEO. Wit, J. de, Berkhout, P. & Pelger, M. (2003). Wat brengt de passagier naar de luchthaven?: een analyse naar de invloed van zachte factoren op luchthaven- en voortransport keuze. SEO-rapport, 707. Amsterdam: SEO. Zijl, M., Berkhout, E., Korteweg, J.A., Sol, E. & Aerts, M. (2003). Uitzendwerk en conjunctuur: motieven van werkgevers en de gevolgen voor de samenloop met conjunctuur. SEO-rapport, 704. Amsterdam: SEO, HSI.

Chapters Koopmans, C.C. & Dijkman, H. (2003). Infrastructuur. In Kam, C.A. de & Ros, A.P. (eds), Jaarboek Overheidsfinanciën 2003 (pp.133-156). Den Haag: Sdu uitgevers.

4. Professional publications and products

Bekkers, R., Groot, H. de, Baarsma, B., Geffen, S. & Mulder, J. (2003). Auteursrecht, economische lust of last?: een literatuurstudie naar de economische aspecten van het auteursrecht. Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Bekkers, R., Baarsma, B., Bilderbeek, R., Maltha, S., Groot, H., Vanderberg, R., Brouwer, N. & Mulder, J. (2003). Auteursrecht economische lust of last: een empirische studie naar de economische aspecten van het auteursrecht in het Nederlandse multimediacluster. Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Benedictus, H., Boer, R. dem, Meer, M. van der, Salverda, W., Visser, J. & Zijl, M. (2003). The European social dialogue: development, sectoral variation and prospects report to the Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment. The Hague: Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment. Berkhout, P. & Korteweg, J.A. (2003). Schoolverlatersbrief 2003: hoe verloopt de

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stap van school naar werk? Amsterdam: CWI Centrum voor Werk en Inkomen. Biermans, M., Leeuwen, M. van, Jong, U. de & Roeleveld, J. (2003). Kiezen voor Bèta/techniek! Thema, 10, (3), 25-31. Biermans, M., Graaf, D. de, Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van, Veen, I. van der & Budil- Nadvornìkova, H. (2003). Leengedrag van studenten in het hoger onderwijs. In Commissie Uitgangspunten Nieuwe Studiefinancieringsstelsel (ed.), Leren investeren; investeren in leren: een verkenning naar stelsels van studiefinanciering (pp. 151-233). Den Haag: Commissie Uitgangspunten Nieuwe Studiefinancieringsstelsel. Bijvoet, C. & Koopmans, C.C. (2003). Toekomstperspectief bouwsector: visie van de ministers van Economische Zaken, van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer en van Verkeer en Waterstaat tot stand gekomen met ondersteuning van de Stichting voor Economisch Onderzoek. Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Brouwer, N. & Zijderveld, C. De markt voor beeldende kunst en de financiële positie van Beeldend kunstenaars 2001. Den Haag: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en wetenschap. Graaf, D. de, Jong, U. de, Korteweg, J.A., Leeuwen, M. van & Veen , I. van der (2003). Nadere analyses Studentenmonitor 2002: studeren met een handicap en studieloop in het algemeen. Beleidsgerichte studies Hoger onderwijs en wetenschappelijk onderzoek, 101. Den Haag: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschap. Groot, I., Kok, L. & Aerts, M. (2003). Zorgverleners zonder zekerheid: de arbeidsmarktpositie van freelancers in de gezondheidszorg en van werknemers voor mensen met een persoonsgebonden budget. OSA- publicatie, ZW44. Tilburg : Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. Hakfoort, J.R., Berkhout, P.H.G. & Manshanden, W.J.J. (2003). The demand for professional education: evidence from the Dutch real estate industry. Journal of Real Estate practice and Education, 6, (1), 5-21. Heyma, A., Zwinkels, W. & Seters, J. van (2003).Doelgroepindeling aanbesteding reïntegratie: de relatie tussen persoonskenmerken, kosten en effectiviteit van reïntegratietrajecten. RWI-rapport. Den Haag: Raad voor Werk en Inkomen. Heyma, A. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2003). Lesssons from the Dutch health and retirement survey (Cerra). In European Commissin (ed.), 18th CEIES seminar Active ageing statistics. The Hague, 23 ad 24 May 2002 (pp. 123-139). Luxembourg: Eurostat. Hofman, A., Boom, J. de, Heijl, E., Jong, U. de, Veen, I. van der, Leeuwen, M. van & Korteweg, J.A. (2003). Studentenmionitor 2002: studenten in het hoger onderwijs. Beleidsgerichte studies Hoger onderwijs en Wetenschappelijk onderzoek, 94. Den Haag: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Jol, G. & Koopmans, C. (2003, 25 April). Beheersbaarheid grote projecten een must. Cobouw. Nieuwsbericht. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Seters, J. van (2003). Repliek op reacties op een artikel verschenen. Tijdschrift voor Bedrijfs- en Verzekeringsgeneeskunde, 11, (4), 99. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Seters, J. van (2003). De sociale zekerheid uitgedokterd: de markt voor arbeidsgerichte zorg. Sociaal Bestek, 65, (1), 9. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Seters, J. van (2003). Tel uit je winst: de Duitse Ziekenhuis NV als voorbeeld voor zorgvernieuwing. Utrecht: ING Bank Gezondheidszorg. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Seters, J. van (2003). Waarom de gezondheidszorg niet gericht is op reïntegratie. TSG Tijdschrift voor Gezondheidswetenschappen, 81, (4), 210-212.

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Kok, L., Felsö, F., Dykmann, E. & Strikwerda, H.. (2003). Tante Pos krijgt concurrentie: effecten van de liberalisering van de postmarkt. Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Koopmans, C.C. & Bijvoet, C. (2003). Toekomstperspectief bouwsector:visie van de ministers van Economische Zaken, van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer en van Verkeer en Waterstaat, totstandgekomen met ondersteuning van de Stichting Economisch Onderzoek van de Universiteit van Amsterdam. Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Korteweg, J.A.C., Tijdens, K.G. & Winter, J.M. de (2003).Keuzemogelijkheden in CAO’s: wat is het de werknemer waard? OSA publicatie, A202. Tilburg : Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. Korteweg, J.A., Leeuwen, M. van, Jong, U. de & Veen, I. van der. (2003). Sociaal milieu en de keuze tussen hbo en wo. TVHO Tijdschrift voor Hoger Onderwijs, 21, (1), 2-16. Leeuwen, M. van, Korteweg J.A., Biermans, M., Graaf, D. de & Heyma, A. (2003). Regionale arbeidsmarktmonitor Zuidelijk Noord-Holland 2003. Amsterdam: RPA Zuidelijk Noord-Holland. Leeuwen, M. van (2003). Dynamiek arbeidsmarkt is er nog. Commentaar. Gids voor Personeelsmanagement, 82, (7/8), 18. Ooms, I., Groot, I., Eggink, E., Janssens, L. & Seters, J. van (2003). Landelijk ramingsmodel kinderopvang 2002-2010. SCP werkdocument, 98. SEO- rapport, 700. Den Haag: Sociaal en Cultureel Planbureau. Plug, P.J., Luursema, M.A., Roost, M.A.R. van, Timmermans, R.M., Koopmans, R.G., Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Nooij, M. de (2003). Spanning op de markt, resultaten van marktwerking in de elektriciteitssector. Den Haag: Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Vos, E.L. de & Heyma, A. (2003). Kwaliteit meten van reïntegratie. Activering & Reïntegrtie, 1, (2), 6-10.

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1. International academic publications

Journals Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Praag, B.M.S. van (2002). The subjective costs of health losses due to chronic diseases: an alternative model for monetary appraisal. Health Economics, 11, (8), 709-722. Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A., Muskens, A.C. & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2002). Behavioural responses to energyrelated taxes: a survey. International journal of Global Energy Issues (IJGEI), 18, (2/3/4), 202-217. Hartog, J., Ferrer -i-Carbonell, A. & Jonker, N. (2002). Linking measured risk aversion to individual characteristics. Kyklos, 55, (1), 3-26. Leeuwen, M.J. van & Praag, B.M.S. van (2002). The costs and benefits of lifelong learning: the case of the Netherlands. Human Resource Development Quaterly, 13, (2), 151-168.

Books, Monographs Berkhout, E., Junggeburt, H. & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2002). International database on employment and atypical labour (IDEAL). Facts and figureas on international labour relations. Part of the Randstad/SEO Labour market monitor research project. SEO-report, 642. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Manshanden, W., Lambooy, J. & Vegt, C. van der. (2002). The Netherlands: knowledge-intensive service markets in a small open economy. In Wood, P. (ed.), Consultancy and innovation: the business service revolution in Europe (pp. 152-174). London: Routledge. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). A flight to heaven. In Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (ed.) Essays on aviation: a reconnaissance flight for policy renewal. p.120-129. The Hague: Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Berkhout, P. & Winter, J. de (2002). Kenniswerkers: grote vraag naar exacte en technische opleidingen. Index, 9, (2), 2-3. Heyma, A.O.J. & Vos, E.L. de (2002). Reïntegratie-instrumenten zijn effectief. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4346), 116-118. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). (G)rrrr: rekenschap in perspectief. Rekenschap, 1, (4), 22-24. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). Ongewisse verkiezingen. Welwezen, 32, (1), 14-16. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). Ongewisse verkiezingen (2). Welwezen, 32, (2), 14-19. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Seters, J. van (2002). Reguliere zorg is niet gericht op reïntegratie. TBV Tijdschrift voor Bedrijfs- en Verzekeringsgeneeskunde, 10, (12), 359-362. Kok, L. (2002). Persoonsgebonden reïntegratiebudget is ineffectief. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4376), 680-682. Koopmans, C.C. (2002). Kosten-batenanalyse blijft nodig. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4391), D15-17. Koopmans, C.C. (2002). Verkeer(d). Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4366),

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463. Koopmans, C.C., Dijkman, H. & Verrips, A.S. (2002). Welvaartseconomie en overheidsinvesteringen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4368), 504- 507. Nooij, M. de (2002). Economen versus het publiek. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4349),175. Nooij, M. de (2002). Gevolgen stijging huizenprijzen OZB. B & G, 29, (7/8), 12-13. Plug, E.J.S. & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2002). Het verdiende loon van homo’s. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4341), 16-18. Schut, F.T., Bovenberg, A.L., Canoy, M.F.M., Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Teulings, C.N. (2002). Hervorming zorgstelsel: wat is de slimste weg naar Rome? Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4366), 464-467. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Bonussen voor de onderkant. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4360), 370-371. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Euromythen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4346), 103. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Gesubsidieerde arbeid: terug van weggeweest. Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 23, (4), 73-79. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Een vriendendienst. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 87, (4379), 739. Verhagen, H., Schouten, S., Froidmont, M. & Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). Stelling “Openbaar vervoer is te goedkoop”. Trens, 2, (3), 10-11. Zijl, M. & Seters, J. van (2002). Hoe effectief is activerend arbeidsmarktbeleid? S&D, 59, (10/11), 68-73.

Books Baarsma, B., Theeuwes, J.J.M., Felsö, F., Zijderveld, C. & Hinloopen, J. (2002). De afbakening van de relevante markt: is de huidige benadering aan herziening toe? SEO-rapport, 615.Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Leeuwen, M. van, Boorsma, L., Groot, I. & Hop, P. Kennis over kosten: de beheersing van schoolkosten in het voortgezet en BOL -onderwijs. SEO- rapport, 613. Amsterdam: SEO. Baarsma, B., Hop, P. & Praag, B.M.S. van (2002). Waardering van geluidshinder in het kader van de CPB studie ‘Kengetallen KBO ONL’. Schiphol lange termijn. Kengetallen Kosten-baten analyse dl. 1-11. Den Haag: Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat. Berkhout, E. & Berkhout, P. (2002). Beroepskeuzemotieven van jonge juristen en het imago van de Rechtsprekende Macht. SEO-rapport, 619. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Groot, I. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). SIC Industriemonitor, voorjaar 2002. SEO-rapport, 627. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Berkhout, P. & Winter, J. de. (2002). Studie en werk 2002: HBO’ers en academici van studiejaar 1999/2000 op de arbeidsmarkt. Statistsche bijlage bij Elsevier Speciale uitgave Carrière – De beste banen, juni 2002. SEO- rapport, 630. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Berkhout, P. & Graaf, D. de (2002). Verplichte profielen in het middelbaar onderwijs:effect op studieduur en inkomen van hoger opgeleiden. Onderzoek op basis van 6 jaargangen SEO/Elsevier Studie & Werk. SEO- rapport, 639. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Korteweg, J.A. & Leeuwen, M. van (2002). Ziektekostenverzekering van onderwijspersoneel: inventarisatie van de verzekeringsvorm en mogelijke gedragsveranderingen na wijziging in de Ziekenfondswet. SEO-rapport, 645. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P. & Hop, J.P. (2002). Een prijskaartje aan kwaliteitskenmerken van kantoren : onderzoek naar de preferenties van kantoorgebruikers. SEO-

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rapport, 643. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P. (2002). De zoekduur van EBB-schoolverlaters: definities en berekeningswijze. SEO-rapport, 635a. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P. & Korteweg, J.A. (2002). Schoolverlatersbrief 2002: hoe verloopt de stap van school naar werk? Zoetermeer: CWI Centrum voor Werk en Inkomen. Boswijk, H.P., Kok, M.H.C. & Leeuwen, M.J. van (2002). Naar een gecombineerd VEC-model voor jeugd- en volwassencriminaliteit: verkenning en advies. SEO-rapport, 646. Amsterdam: WODC, SEO. Budil, H., Leeuwen, M. van, Korteweg, J.A. & Berkhout, E. (2002). Studiekeuze monitor 2002. SEO-rapport, 653. Amsterdam: SEO. Felsö, F. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). De vraag naar tbs: haalbaarheidsstudie naar een voorspel model voor de vraag naar tbs. SEO-rapport, 649. Amsterdam: WODC, SEO. Geffen, S. van, Nooij, M. van & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Marktwerking en ICT: is de mededingingswet ICT-proof? SEO-rapport, 624. Amsterdam: SEO. Geffen, S. van, Baarsma, B., Nooij, M. de & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Mededingingsproblemen bij het ontwerpen van wetgeving onderzoek naar een mededingingstoets voor wetgeving. SEO-rapport, 620. Amsterdam: SEO. Groen, J., Hinte, P. van, Keuzenkamp, H.A., Nooij, M. de, Vegt, C. van der & Waal, H. de. Het verband van locale kosten en de inkomens van Amsterdamse huishouden. SEO-rapport, 612.Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. , Janssens, L., Kok, L. & Kok, M.L. (2002). Aard en omvang van de toekomstige behoefte aan tieneropvang. SEO-rapport, 608. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. & Kok, L. (2002). Kostenverschillen tussen verzorgingshuizen: een inventarisatie. SEOrapport, 609. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I., Kok, L., Kok, M.L, Seters, J. van, Prast, H. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Toegang van nanciële diensten. SEO-rapport, 636. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, K. … et al & Baarsma, B. (2002). Vergelijking afwegings- en waarderingsmethoden. Den Haag: Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat, Dienst Weg en Waterbouwkunde. Hofman, A., Boom, J. de, Heyl, E., Jong, U. de, Veen, I. van der, Voorthuis, M., Leeuwen, M. van, Korteweg, J.A.. & Budil-Nadvorniková, H. (2002). Studentenmonitor 2001. Kernrapport. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Hofman, A., Boom, J. de, Heyl, E., Jong, U. de, Veen, I. van der, Voorthuis, M., Leeuwen, M. van, Korteweg, J.A. & Budil-Nadvorniková, H. (2002). Studentenmonitor 2001. Studenten in het hoger onderwijs. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Hofman, A., Boom, J. de, Heyl, E., Jong, U. de, Veen, I. van der, Voorthuis, M., Leeuwen, M. van, Korteweg, J.A. & Budil-Nadvorniková, H. (2002). Studentenmonitor 2001. Tabellenrapport. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Janssens, L. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Nederlands tel evisiedrama bij de Publieke Omroep: een inventarisatie van besteding en beleid. SEO-rapport, 632. Amsterdam: SEO. Janssens, L., Kok, L. & Vervoorn, V. (2002). Van TAS tot vangnet voor asbestslachtoffers. Almere: PWC Consulting. Jong, U. de, Veen, I. van der, Korteweg, J.A. & Leeuwen, M. van. (2002). Studentenmonitor 2001.Aanvullende analyse over motivatie en sociaal milieu. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Jong, U. de, Korteweg, J.A., Leeuwen, M. van, Veen, I. van der & Voorthuis, M. (2002). Studentenmonitor 2001. Trends en vergelijking van cohorten 1996-2001.

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Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Koopmans, C., Vegt, C. van der & Bijvoet, C. (2002). Een frisse wind in Amsterdam: de gevolgen van kabinetsbeleid en economische conjunctuur voor Amsterdam, 2002-2006. SEO-rapport, 638. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A. & Kok, L. (2002). GGZ in perspectief: de positie van de geestelijke gezondheidszorg in de komende regeerperiode. SEO-rapport, 633. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L., Seters, J. van, Heyma, A., Hop, J.P. & Steinbusch, P. De sociale zekerheid uitgedokterd: sociale zekerheid, gezondheidszorg en de markt voor arbeidsgerichte zorg. SEO-rapport, 637. Amsterdam: SEO. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). (G)rrrr! In Holtslag, J.W. (ed.). Rekenschap in perspectief: een drieslag. p. 7-13 .Den Haag: Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties. Kok, L., Kok, M.L. & Groot, I. (2002). Werkgeversbijdrage particuliere ziekenkostenverzekering. SEO-rapport, 631. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, L., Groot, I., Hop. J.P. & Janssens, L. (2002). Kosten en baten van stage- en leerlingplaatsen voor zorginstellingen. OSA publicatie, ZW28. Tilburg: Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. Leeuwen, M.J. van. … et al. In Engelen, W.M.H. … et al (eds.) Regionale Arbeidsmarktmonitor. Amsterdam: RPA Zuidelijk Noord Holland. Manshanden, W.J.J., Janssens, L. & Winter, J. de. Regionale bouwprognoses2002- 2007. TNO Inro rapport, 2002-70. Delft: TNO Inro. Nooij, M. de, Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Geffen, S. van. (2002). Economische analyse artikel 54 Mediawet.SEO-rapport, 607. Aamsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Kosten en baten analyse van vestiging en verblijf internationale organisaties. SEO-rapport, 617. Amsterdam: SEO. Nooij, M. de, Zijderveld, C. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). SIC Industriemonitor, najaar 2002. SEOrapport, 650. Amsterdam: SEO. Pelger, M. & Veldhuis, J. (2002). Vliegen boven Amsterdam: een onderzoek naar de oorzaak van rechte naderingen onder de 3000 voet over het centrum van de stad Amsterdam. SEO-rapport, 641. Amsterdam: SEO. Rij, C. van, Pol, M., Berkhout, P., Berkhout, E. & Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. (2002). Deeltijdwerk uitgediept. Rotterdam: Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat, Rijkswaterstaat, Adviesdienst Verkeer en Vervoer. Rijken, P.M., Konnen, T.D., Spreeuwenberg, P., Janssens, L.R. & Kok, L.M. (2002). Financiële positie van chronisch zieken: gebruik en mogelijkheden van de regeling voor buitengewone uitgaven binnen de Wet inkomstenbelasting 2001. Patiënten panel Chronisch Zieken. SEO-rapport, 647. Utrecht: NIVEL. Schenk, H. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Reflecties op plaats en toekomst Nederlandse maakindustrie. SEO-rapport, 629. Amsterdam: SEO. Seters, J. van, Kok, L. & Groot, I. (2002). Budgetten arbeidsmarktbeleid. SEO- rapport, 616. Amsterdam: SEO. Vegt, C. van der & Bijvoet, C. (2002). Amsterdamse Economische Verkenningen. Voorjaar 2002: ontwikkelingen in de regio Amsterdam. SEO-rapport, 625. Amsterdam: SEO. Veldhuis, J., Wit, J. de & Pelger, M. (2002). Wie doet wat in de luchtvaart en waarom?: een actorenanalyse van het Nederlandse luchtvaartsysteem. SEO- rapport, 644. Amsterdam: SEO. Winter, J. de & Leeuwen, M. van (2002). Op jacht naar talent: ambities en wensen van hoger opgeleiden. SEO-rapport, 626. Amsterdam: SEO. Winter, J. de & Manshanden, W. (2002). Statistisch onderzoek naar prijs en kostenontwikkeling in de bouwsector. SEO-rapport, 614. Amsterdam: SEO. Zijl, M., Meer, M. van der, Seters, J. van, Visser, J. & Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002).

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Dutch experiences with European employment strategy. SEO-rapport, 611. Amsterdam: Amsterdam Economics,Insitute for Advanced Labour Studies.

Chapters Berkhout, P., Felsö, F.A., Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Afbakening afgeschermde sectoren. In Commissie CO2-handel (ed.). Onderzoeken naar deelaspecten van CO2-emissiehandel. p. 57-123. S.l.: Commissie CO2- handel. Berkhout, P. & Winter, J. de (2002). Zoekgedrag en instroom van kenniswerkers. In CBS (ed.). Kennis en economie : onderzoek en innovatie in Nederland. p. 41- 47. Voorburg: Centraal Bureau voor de Statitiek. Bijvoet, C., Felsö, F., Koopmans, C. Theeuwes, J.J.M.& Winter, J.de (2002). Verboden voor onbevoegden. Deel 2. In Tweede Kamer, vergaderjaar 2002- 2003, 28244, nr. 8. Enquête Bouwnijverheid. Deelproject 1: Economische structuurkenmerken van de bouwnijverheid. p.69-175. Den Haag: Sdu. Heyma, A.O.J. (2002). Casus 3: De effectiviteit van reïntegratie-instrumenten voor arbeidsgehandicapten. In Vos. E.L. de (ed.). Daadwerkelijk effectief: prestatiemeting van reïntegratie en activering. TNO-rapport. p. 97-135. Hoofddorp: TNO Arbeid. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). Wanneer de sluier van onwetendheid wordt gelicht. In Dalen, H. van & Kalshoven, F. (eds.). Meesters van de welvaart: top economen over Nederland. p. 187-199. Amsterdam: Balans. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2002). Arbeidsmarkt- en sociaal beleid in Europa: tussen coördinatie en concurrentie. Commentaar. In Hazeu, C. & Kronjee, G. (eds.). Vitaliteit van de nationale staat in een internationaliserende wereld. p. 127- 130. Den Haag: Wetenschappelijke Raad voor het Regeringsbeleid.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Mot, E.S. (2002, 15 November). Paying the medical specialist: the eternal puzzle. Experiments in the Netherlands. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotores Prof.dr. B.M.S. van Praag, Prof.dr.W. Velthuijsen]

4. Professional Publications and products

Berkhout, P., Gerritse, B. & Venema, P. (2002). Kwaliteit van kantoorhuisvesting heeft een prijs. PropertyNL research quaterly, 1, (4), 13-18. Groot, I., Janssens, L., Kok, L. & Kok, M.L. (2002). De behoeften van ouders en tieners aan opvang. In Ministerie van Volksgezondheid, Welzijn en Sport (ed.). Ruimte voor tieners: eindadvies Commissie Tieneropvang. p. 33-37. Den Haag: Ministerie van Volksgezondheid, Welzijn en Sport. Graaf, D. de, Winter, J.M. de & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2002). Het meten van effectiviteit en efficiëntie van woningcorporaties: een verkenning. In Hakfoort, J., Leuvensteijn, M. van & Renes, G. (eds.) Woningcorporaties: prikkels voor effectiviteit en efficiëntie. Bijlage B. p. 79-113. Den Haag: Centraal Planbureau. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2002). Energiepolitiek, trauma’s en verleidingen. Bode, organisatie voor duurzame energie, 1, (1), 3. Leeuwen, M.J. van & Graaf, D. de (2002). Contributors to Euro Student: social and economic conditions of student life in Europe 2000. Synopsis of indicators and national profiles for Austria, Belgium (Flemish Community), Belgium

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(Wallonia-Brussels Community), Finland,France, Germany, Ireland, Italy and the Netherlands. Hannover: HIS Hochschul-Informations -System.

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2001

1. International academic publications

Journals Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Praag, B.M.S. van (2001). Poverty in Russia. Journal of Happiness Studies, 2, (2), 147-172.

Books, Monographs Baarsma, B. (2001). Monetary valuation of noise nuisance in the vicinity of Schiphol: an overview SEO-rapport, 587. Amsterdam: SEO. Kok, M.L., Leeuwen, M.J. van, Muskens, A.C. & Winter, J.M. de (2001). Energy taxes within Europe: a modelling approach. SEO-rapport, 588. Amsterdam: SEO. Zijl, M., Budil-Nadvorníková, H., Junggeburt, H. & Leeuwen, M. van (2001). Atypical labour: flexible labour from the social and employers’ point of view. SEO- report, 600. Amsterdam: SEO.

Books edited Doyle, P., Lane, J.I., Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Zayatz, L.V. (eds). (2001). Confidentiality, disclosure, and data access: theory and practical applications for statistical agencies. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science. Zellner, A., Keuzenkamp, H.A. & McAleer, M. (eds). (2001). Simplicity, inference and modelling: keeping it sophisticatedly simple. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Chapters Felsö, F., Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Wagner, G.G. (2001). Disclosure limitation methods in use: results of a survey. In Doyle, P., Lane, J.I., Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Zayatz, L.V. (eds). Confidentiality, disclosure, and data access: theory and practical applications for statistical agencies (pp. 17- 42). Amsterdam: Elsevier Science. Keuzenkamp, H.A., McAleer, M. & Zellner, A. (2001). The enigma of simplicity. In Zellner, A., Keuzenkamp, H.A. & McAleer, M. (eds). (2001). Simplicity, inference and modelling: keeping it sophisticatedly simple (pp. 1-10). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Manshanden, W.J.J., Lambooy, J.G. & Endendijk, L. (2001). Innovation in the Amsterdam region. In Simmie, J. (ed.) Innovative cities (pp. 129-153). London: Spon Press.

2. Dutch academic publications

Journals Berkhout, P.H.G., Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Muskens, A.C. (2001). Alle beetjes helpen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4319), 603-605. Elsinga, E. & Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Winst in de zorg. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4337), 920-923. Felsö, F., Leeuwen, M. van & Zijl, M. (2001). Beïnvloeding van studiekeuzegedrag. Tijdschrift voor Hoger Onderwijs, 19, (3), 162-172. Graaf, D. de, Leeuwen, M. van & Jong, U. de (2001). Studentenmonitor 2000. Th&ma, 7, (4), 52-55. Heyma, A.O.J. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). De invloed van beleid op de

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arbeidsparticipatie van ouderen. PS Documenta, 4, (15), 1823-1833. Heyma, A.O.J. (2001). Later stoppen, eerder ontslagen. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4339), 964-965. Heyma, A.O.J. (2001). Zolang vrije tijd betaalbaar blijft neemt de arbeidsparticipatie van ouderen niet of nauwelijks toe: onderzoek naar redenen voor vroegtijdige uittreding uit het arbeidsproces. Tijdschrift voor Gerontologie en Geriatrie, 20, (32), 242-244. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). De armoedeval tussen scholastiek en welvaartstheorie. Christen Democratische Verkenningen, 21, (1), 8-14. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Doelen of dolen. Reactie op: Verder met mdw. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4325), D18-20. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Eén grote illusie. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4299), D20. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Spanning op het net. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4291), 51. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Tegen de wind in: duurzame energie. Energie Nederland, 4, (15), 13. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Wat zijn economen eigenlijk waard? Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 23, (1), 3-22. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). De Zalm-norm moet in het PvdA-program!: over regels in het begrotingsbeleid. Socialisme & Democratie, 58, (5), 179-187. Martin, S. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Mededinging en innovatie. Maandschrift economie, 65, (3), 228-244. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Donner en de arbeidsmarkt. Reïntegratie, 1, (9), 23-25. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Donner’s zwakke plek. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4313), 496- 497. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Hoeders van de markt. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4301), 263. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Een moeilijk afscheid van peetvaderrol op arbeidsmarkt. Staatscourant. Speciale bijlage ‘In Statu Nascendi’, 3, (4), 27. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Nooit meer zonder mdw. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4325), D28-30. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Voorrang voor innovatie. Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4307), D8-10. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Wie dragen het stelsel? Economisch Statistische Berichten, 86, (4336), D12-14. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001), De toekomst van de arbeidsmarkt. People and buildings, 1, (1), 5.

Books Anonym with Graaf, D. de, Hartog, J. et al. (2001). Inkomsten en uitgaven van scholen in Vlaanderen: kwantificering van de objectiveerbare verschillen. Eindrapport. Brussel: Deloitte&Touche. Baarsma, B., Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Zijderveld, C. (2001). De vaste boekenprijs voor schoolboeken in het voortgezet onderwijs: een evaluatie. SEO-rapport, 575. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Groot, I. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). SIC Industriemonitor: voorjaar 2001. SEOrapport, 586. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Groot, I. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). SIC Industriemonitor: najaar 2001. SEO-rapport, 597. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, E., Berkhout, P. & Winter, J. de (2001). Studie en werk 2001: Hbo’ers en academici van studiejaar 1998/1999 op de arbeidsmarkt. SEO-rapport, 580. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P.H.G., Felsö, F., Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Afbakening afgeschermde sectoren. SEO-rapport, 581. Amsterdam: SEO.

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Berkhout, P.H.G., Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A. & Muskens, A.C. (2001). Het effect van de REB op huishoudelijk energiegebruik: een economische analyse. SEO- rapport, 584. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P.H.G. & Velthuijsen, J.W. (2001). De haalbaarheid van een milieu & gedrag monitor: bieden bestaande CBS-bronnen een basis? SEO-rapport, 585. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P., Brouwer, N. & Felsö, F. (2001). De markt voor bestuurskunde. SEO- rapport, 604. Amsterdam: SEO. Berkhout, P. & Felsö, F. (2001). De markt voor communicatiewetenschap, SEO- rapport, 606. Amsterdam: SEO. Bröcheler, V. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Differentiatiestrategieën en consumentenreacties in de energiesector verkenningen omtrent de gevolgen van liberalisering van de Nederlandse energiemarkt op het energieverbruik door huishoudens. SEO-rapport, 573. Amsterdam: SEO. Dijk, N. van, Felsö, F., Hinloopen, J., Jaspers, F. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Toegang tot mobiele netwerken. SEO-rapport, 602. Amsterdam: SEO. Felsö, F., Kok, M.L., Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Hinloopen, J. (2001). Marktwerking en productiviteit. SEO-rapport,598. Amsterdam: SEO. Ferrer-i-Carbonell, A., Hop, P., Janssens, L., Keuzenkamp, H.A., Kok, L. & Kok, M.L. (2001). Wachtlijsten: een duur medicijn. SEO-rapport, 605. Amsterdam: SEO. Graaf, D. de, Winter, J.M. de & Berkhout, P.H.G. (2001). Effectiviteit en efficiëntie van woningcorporaties. SEO-rapport, 576. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I., Janssens, L., Kok, L. & Tijdens, K. (2001). Kinderopvang voor gemeentepersoneel: een inventarisatie. SEO-rapport, 595. Amsterdam: SEO. Groot, I. & Kok, L. (2001). De markt voor vrijwillige voorzieningen. SEO-rapport, 591. Amsterdam: SEO. Janssens, L., Leeuwen, M. van, Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Zijderveld, C. (2001?). Instroombekostiging hbo. SEO-rapport, 571. Amsterdam: SEO. Janssens, L., Leeuwen, J. van, Groot, I., Leeuwen, M. van & Graaf, D. de (2001). De vraag naar kinderopvang: raming 2003-2007. SCP werkdocument, 67. Den Haag: Sociaal Cultureel Planbureau. Jehoel-Gijsbers, G., Kok, L. & Janssens, L. (2001). Alleenstaande ouders, het combinatiescenario en kinderalimentatie: een onderzoek naar knelpunten en oplossingen in regelgeving en uitvoering. Den Haag: Ministerie van Sociale Zaken en Werkgelegenheid; Doetinchem: Elsevier bedrijfsinformatie. Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). Wat zijn economen eigenlijk waard ? Inaugural lecture. Amsterdam: Vossiuspers. Leeuwen, M. van, Stevens, J., Vermeulen, L., Graaf, D. de, Hop, P., Janssens, L. & Louvel, G. van. (2001). Personeelssamenstelling en loonkosten in algemene ziekenhuizen: bouw van een Ramingsmodel. SEO-rapport, 596. Amsterdam: SEO / Utrecht: Prismant. Manshanden, W., Muskens, J. & Vegt, C. van der. (2001). Actuatisering Masterplan NZKG: Onderdeel Clustervorming. SEO-rapport, 575. Amsterdam: SEO. Manshanden, W. & Jurgens, K. (2001). Het ICT en Nieuwe media cluster in Amsterdam. SEOrapport, 589. Amsterdam: SEO. Poot, A.P., Brouwer, E., Brouwer, N.M., Ophem, H. van & Zijderveld, C. (2001). Samen innoveren: een onderzoek naar publiek-private kennisrelaties in Nederland. Beleidsstudies technologie en economie, 35. Den Haag, ministerie van Economische Zaken, Directie Algemeen Technologiebeleid. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Het nieuwe werknemen: position paper. Den Haag, Ministerie van Economische Zaken. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). De toekomst van de arbeidsmarkt. Serie wetenschappelijke publikaties. ’s Gravenhage: Elsevier bedrijfsinformatie. Vegt, C. van der, Manshanden, W., Muskens, J. & Jurgens, K. (2001). Amsterdamse Economische Verkenningen Voorjaar 2001. SEO-rapport, 583. Amsterdam:

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SEO. Winter, J. de, Manshanden, W. & Bruijn, P. de (2001). De bouw geregionaliseerd: ontwikkelingen in de jaren negentig en prognoses voor 2000-2006 naar regio, type en bestemming. SEO-rapport, 594. Amsterdam: SEO.

Chapters Keuzenkamp, H.A. (2001). De verboden vrucht, of hoe meer kennis tot minder solidariteit kan leiden. In J. Bussemaker, R. van der Ploeg (eds.). Leven na Paars?: linkse visies op de derde weg. Amsterdam: Prometheus. Leeuwen, M. van & Berkhout, E. (2001). De weg naar bèta/techniek na havo en vwo. In Geurts, J. (ed.), De menselijke kant van bèta/techniek; opmaat voor een betere balans tussen aanbod en vraag (pp. 189-196). Delft: Stichting Axis. Manshanden, W.J.J., Muskens, J. & Vegt, C. van der (2000). De Amsterdamse economie als model. In Boekema, F. & Graaf, W. de (eds), Nieuw ideeën in Nederlands ruimtelijk onderzoek (pp. 71-88). Assen: Van Gorcum. Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Chip, bits en jobs. In Ploeg, R. van der & Veenemans, C. (eds), De burger als spin in het web: essays over het verdwijnen van plaats en afstand in de informatiesamenleving (pp. 145-170). Den Haag: Sdu uitgevers.

3. Ph.D. Thesis

Heyma, A.O.J. (2001, 6 September). Dynamic models of labour force retirement: an empirical analysis of early exit in the Nehterlands. Universiteit van Amsterdam. [Promotores Prof.dr. J.J.M. Theeuwes & M. Lindeboom]

4. Professional publications and products

Berkhout, E., Graaf, D. de, Heyma, A. & Theeuwes, J.J.M. (2001). Loondifferentiatie in Nederland: de vraagkant. OSA publicatienummer, A183. Tilburg: Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. Berkhout, P. & Winter, J. de (2001). Schoolverlatersbrief 2001. Zoetermeer: Arbeidsbureau Nederland. Dommering, E.J., Eijk, N.A.N.M. van, Theeuwes, J.J.M. & Vogelaar, F.O.W. (2001). Toezicht en regulering in de telecommunicatiemarkt. Amsterdam: Instituut voor Informatierecht Faculteit der Rechtsgeleerdheid Universiteit van Amsterdam. Hofman, A., Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van, Berg, M. van den, Boom, J. de, Graaf, D. de &Roeleveld, J. (2001). Studentenmonitor 2000. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Jong, U. de, Leeuwen, M. van, Roeleveld, J. & Zijl, M. (2001). Deelname aan hoger onderwijs. Deel 9. Eindrapport: Toegankelijkheid in beweging. Kiezen voor hoger onderwijs 1995-2000. Beleidsgerichte studies Hoger onderwijs en Wetenschappelijk onderzoek, 81. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Onderwijs, Cultuur en Wetenschappen. Theeuwes, J.J.M., Zijl, M., Brouwer, E., Felsö, F.A. & Overtoom, I.W.D. (2001). Arbeidsparticipatie van ouderen. OSA publikatie, A181. Tilburg, Organisatie voor Strategisch Arbeidsmarktonderzoek. Winter, J. de, Manshanden, W. & Bruijn, P. de (2001). Bouwprognose 2001-2006. Den Haag: Minsisterie van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer.

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B.10 Analysis, perspectives and expectations for the research programme

SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

ƒ The scientific curiosity and research ƒ In a contract research bureau the interest of staff members is a huge strict deadline for commissioned strength. New staff members join research implies that contract SEO because they like to do applied research always has priority over research that is useful for society. scientific research. With the new And they like to publish about their “wetenschapsplan” we hope to make research results to make it easier to spend more time ƒ SEO is highly regarded in the field of on scientific production. contract research and often attracts ƒ Because funding of scientific research questions which are hard research depends on the returns of but also exciting from a scientific contract research we depend on the point of view economic cycle in the market of contract research. As we have spread our contract research portfolio over more sectors (public, private, non- profit, international) we have had a positive result in each year of the period under consideration. But some years were better than others.

Opportunities Threats

ƒ While doing contract research staff ƒ It is increasingly hard to attract and members sometimes encounter keep good economic researchers interesting data sets or stimulating research questions that can be used or expanded into scientific publications ƒ We are valued in the market for our scientific approach. Strengthening our scientific fame will increase our market value and our result and put us onto a virtuous cycle.

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