Siena College Research Institute October 28-November 1, 2018 641 New York State Likely Voters MOE +/-3.9% Q1
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Siena College Research Institute October 28-November 1, 2018 641 New York State Likely Voters MOE +/-3.9% Q1. Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Right track 40% 58% 20% 31% 36% 44% 63% 44% 15% 41% 39% 51% 39% 34% 63% 12% 39% 49% 39% 61% 30% 42% 30% 55% 39% 52% 35% 34% 47% Wrong direction 47% 28% 68% 58% 54% 41% 17% 43% 78% 43% 49% 32% 50% 55% 22% 80% 48% 35% 51% 27% 57% 45% 61% 26% 50% 29% 50% 51% 44% Don't know/No opinion 13% 14% 11% 12% 10% 15% 20% 13% 7% 16% 12% 17% 11% 12% 14% 8% 13% 16% 10% 12% 13% 13% 10% 18% 11% 18% 16% 15% 10% Q2. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Right track 39% 16% 65% 46% 50% 29% 7% 33% 70% 38% 38% 26% 42% 44% 12% 78% 41% 13% 34% 40% 40% 37% 55% 25% 34% 21% 38% 39% 36% Wrong direction 56% 80% 29% 47% 46% 65% 87% 63% 23% 58% 55% 67% 52% 52% 83% 17% 53% 81% 57% 60% 52% 58% 41% 69% 57% 75% 57% 53% 60% Don't know/No opinion 5% 4% 6% 7% 4% 7% 6% 3% 7% 4% 6% 8% 6% 4% 5% 5% 6% 5% 9% 0% 8% 5% 4% 6% 9% 4% 5% 8% 4% I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name. [Q3-Q14 ROTATED] Q3. Donald Trump Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 39% 11% 76% 45% 50% 29% 4% 29% 81% 35% 40% 20% 45% 46% 7% 89% 43% 5% 33% 25% 42% 39% 57% 19% 40% 15% 37% 41% 36% Unfavorable 58% 86% 22% 54% 47% 69% 95% 67% 18% 62% 57% 75% 53% 52% 91% 10% 56% 89% 65% 71% 55% 59% 42% 77% 57% 81% 59% 57% 62% Don't know/No opinion 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 6% 2% 4% 4% 2% 1% 4% 3% 4% 4% 2% 2% Q4. Andrew Cuomo Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 45% 72% 17% 32% 34% 55% 70% 53% 16% 48% 44% 68% 41% 34% 85% 3% 41% 80% 53% 52% 38% 48% 36% 61% 46% 53% 50% 43% 43% Unfavorable 49% 22% 80% 63% 59% 41% 24% 42% 81% 45% 51% 25% 53% 61% 10% 93% 54% 15% 33% 35% 57% 47% 61% 32% 50% 37% 42% 51% 54% Don't know/No opinion 5% 7% 3% 5% 7% 4% 7% 6% 3% 7% 5% 7% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 14% 14% 4% 5% 3% 7% 4% 9% 8% 6% 3% Q5. Marc Molinaro Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 29% 13% 49% 36% 36% 24% 6% 27% 54% 27% 31% 19% 26% 37% 11% 61% 31% 15% 29% 19% 33% 29% 40% 12% 34% 15% 29% 29% 32% Unfavorable 25% 38% 10% 20% 22% 27% 43% 26% 10% 32% 22% 24% 26% 24% 37% 6% 26% 21% 14% 31% 15% 29% 20% 49% 17% 34% 23% 21% 29% Don't know/No opinion 46% 49% 41% 44% 42% 49% 51% 47% 36% 41% 47% 56% 48% 38% 52% 33% 42% 64% 57% 49% 52% 42% 41% 39% 49% 51% 48% 50% 39% Q6. Larry Sharpe Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 10% 9% 9% 13% 11% 9% 5% 11% 13% 9% 10% 11% 4% 13% 7% 11% 9% 9% 15% 17% 12% 8% 11% 9% 6% 11% 15% 11% 5% Unfavorable 8% 9% 7% 7% 9% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 8% 9% 5% 9% 8% 8% 7% 14% 13% 16% 9% 6% 8% 4% 7% 12% 8% 8% 10% Don't know/No opinion 82% 82% 84% 80% 80% 84% 87% 82% 78% 82% 82% 79% 90% 78% 85% 81% 83% 77% 72% 67% 79% 86% 82% 87% 87% 77% 77% 81% 85% SNY1018LV Crosstabs (002).xlsx 1 of 5 Siena College Research Institute October 28-November 1, 2018 641 New York State Likely Voters MOE +/-3.9% Q7. Howie Hawkins Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 9% 10% 7% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 7% 14% 7% 10% 6% 10% 10% 4% 9% 16% 11% 13% 9% 9% 8% 5% 9% 12% 11% 10% 7% Unfavorable 10% 10% 8% 10% 11% 8% 7% 12% 9% 9% 10% 10% 7% 11% 8% 10% 9% 10% 13% 15% 12% 8% 11% 9% 6% 10% 12% 9% 9% Don't know/No opinion 81% 80% 85% 80% 80% 83% 83% 78% 84% 77% 83% 80% 86% 79% 82% 86% 82% 75% 76% 72% 79% 84% 81% 85% 85% 78% 77% 81% 84% Q8. Stephanie Miner Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 11% 14% 6% 13% 9% 12% 9% 16% 7% 8% 12% 10% 7% 14% 12% 6% 11% 14% 13% 20% 9% 11% 9% 8% 10% 14% 16% 10% 9% Unfavorable 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 6% 4% 8% 9% 7% 7% 8% 6% 7% 6% 8% 7% 11% 13% 14% 5% 7% 8% 4% 7% 7% 11% 7% 7% Don't know/No opinion 82% 79% 86% 81% 83% 82% 86% 76% 84% 86% 80% 82% 86% 79% 82% 86% 82% 75% 74% 66% 86% 82% 83% 88% 82% 79% 74% 83% 84% Q9. Kirsten Gillibrand Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 46% 65% 27% 38% 40% 52% 74% 52% 14% 46% 47% 51% 41% 47% 71% 16% 48% 52% 21% 37% 33% 55% 36% 67% 45% 60% 40% 42% 55% Unfavorable 34% 12% 56% 49% 45% 25% 6% 29% 69% 36% 34% 21% 36% 41% 8% 72% 37% 6% 29% 20% 41% 32% 43% 21% 35% 22% 30% 37% 35% Don't know/No opinion 20% 23% 17% 13% 15% 23% 19% 19% 17% 19% 19% 28% 23% 12% 21% 13% 15% 42% 50% 43% 25% 13% 21% 12% 20% 18% 30% 22% 11% Q10. Chele Chiavacci Farley Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 6% 5% 6% 9% 7% 6% 2% 6% 10% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 9% 6% 8% 10% 14% 5% 5% 8% 9% 5% 2% 4% 8% 5% Unfavorable 8% 8% 5% 10% 7% 8% 8% 6% 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 5% 7% 7% 10% 14% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 12% 9% 8% 6% Don't know/No opinion 86% 87% 89% 81% 86% 87% 90% 88% 82% 87% 87% 86% 87% 86% 89% 86% 87% 85% 80% 72% 87% 88% 86% 85% 89% 86% 87% 84% 89% Q11. Tom DiNapoli Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Vote Choice Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst Cuomo Molinaro White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Favorable 33% 29% 34% 40% 39% 27% 32% 34% 33% 38% 30% 17% 26% 46% 29% 36% 36% 10% 17% 26% 30% 35% 34% 24% 34% 33% 24% 38% 35% Unfavorable 16% 15% 16% 17% 16% 15% 12% 16% 19% 14% 16% 16% 18% 14% 13% 17% 16% 18% 22% 18% 16% 15% 19% 19% 12% 13% 15% 14% 17% Don't know/No opinion 52% 56% 50% 43% 45% 58% 56% 50% 48% 47% 53% 67% 56% 41% 58% 47% 48% 71% 61% 56% 55% 50% 48% 57% 54% 54% 61% 48% 48% Q12.