Thames Group Tidal Water Resources
1 Executive Summary “Water resources in England and Wales (especially in south east England) are threatened by below average rainfall in the short-term and climate change in the longer-term. The use of these resources is also facing increasingly tight regulation in order to meet ever higher ecological requirements. Simultaneously, demand for water is increasing because of population growth, a decreasing average household size and growing use of water-intensive appliances.” (House of Lords : Science and Technology Committee , 2006)
It is clear from this statement that actions must be taken in order to maintain the current supply of water. A twin-track approach is being encouraged across the industry, aiming to reduce water demand and to invest in the development of new supply measures.
This report presents the range of possible solutions the Thames Group has considered since the Inception Report produced in October 2014 by the Thames Group found that a solution to this problem could be realised without the construction of new reservoirs was, in principle, viable.
The aims of this feasibility study have been to find an alternative solution for maintaining minimum residual flow in the River Thames and also to reduce the carbon footprint of the water supply in the Thames Valley region. The primary option considered has been the construction of a half tide weir in the tidal Thames to harness the water provided by the tides to maintain the minimum residual flow. Alternatives to this have been considered in the report and have been deemed constructible, but would require further investigation and analysis to conclude suitability. There are three main areas that need to be assessed to determine overall feasibility of the scheme: design suitability, costing and carbon footprint.
The water shortage has been of concern for some time, as a result there are existing proposals that aim to solve the issue. Thames Water has proposed to build a new reservoir in Abingdon, Oxford to supply the Thames River with water during times of drought. The construction aims to provide the Thames with sufficient water to achieve the desired river abstractions, whilst also maintaining the minimum residual flow. The scheme is the largest reservoir to be proposed in the U.K. in 25 years and has faced heavy opposition from many sources, not least the Environment Agency, DEFRA and local residents of Abingdon. The proposed Abingdon Reservoir is quoted to have the following specifications (GARD, 2014);
• Capacity of around 150 billion litres of water. • Has an estimated cost of £1 billion. • Estimated construction time of 8-15 years.
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• Will cover an estimated area of 10-12 km2. • Will ensure adequate supply of water for over a period of 25 years.
The Thames Group has determined that a half tide weir cannot provide a suitable solution to the water shortage in the south-east of England alone. Even with the existing abstractions being moved to a more efficient location (Teddington Weir) the water demand for the lifetime stated in the project brief of 100 years cannot be met. In order to achieve this, additional measures will need to be introduced at a later stage, such as the suggested improvements to Hogsmill Sewage Treatment Works discussed in the report. Additionally it has also been found that the provision of a lock is necessary if the full design life is to be aimed for. Therefore the options that do not include such a provision have been rejected at the conclusion of this report.
All of the options considered have minimal impact on the surrounding environment, with Kew Weir being fully submerged resulting in very little visual impact on the river. The moveable nature provides a reduced impact on navigation, especially with the options including the lock. An innovative approach has been taken wherever possible to ensure the most effective solution with consideration given to the wider scheme and surroundings at all times.
Overall the Thames Group have concluded that none of these solutions are viable in terms of carbon reduction when compared to Abingdon Reservoir. However the significant cost savings in the proposals considered leads the Thames Group to recommend option 1b for further development if the carbon issue can be resolved. Option 1b is the most appropriate solution from those studied in this feasibility report, but the water shortage in the south east will still be a problem unless significant changes in water consumption and/or finding new water sources can be achieved.
2 | P a g e Chapter 1 – Executive Summary Thames Group Tidal Water Resources 2 Table of Contents 1 Executive Summary ...... 1 2 Table of Contents ...... 3 2.1 Table of Figures ...... 7 3 Introduction ...... 11 4 Project Management ...... 12 5 Future Flows ...... 13 5.1 Thames at Kingston – Flow Data Processing ...... 13 6 Abstractions ...... 16 6.1 Current Abstraction Points and Values ...... 17 6.2 Future Abstractions & Water Demand ...... 17 The WRMP ...... 17
7 Alterations to Teddington Weir ...... 20 8 Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1) ...... 21 8.1 Geology ...... 22 8.2 Inlet Shaft ...... 23 8.3 Sluice Gate...... 24 8.4 Transfer Tunnel ...... 26 Calculations ...... 26
8.5 Transfer Tunnel Lining ...... 28 Primary Lining ...... 28
Secondary Lining ...... 29
8.6 Tunnel Alignment ...... 29 8.7 Pump-out shaft...... 30 Pump Requirements ...... 30
8.8 Programme of Works and Construction Methodology ...... 33 8.9 Financial Assessment ...... 34 9 Hogsmill Sewage Treatment Works Re-use (Options 2 and 3) ...... 35 9.1 Abstraction Tunnel Alternatives ...... 36 Option 2 - Hogsmill STW Upgrade and direct discharge in the river at Hampton 36
Option 3 - Hogsmill STW Upgrade and Transfer Tunnel to Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir 37
10 Chemical Assessment ...... 38 10.1 Salinity ...... 38
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10.2 Dissolved Oxygen ...... 38 10.3 Other Factors ...... 40 10.4 Mitigation ...... 40 10.5 Option 1 ...... 41 10.6 Option 2 ...... 42 10.7 Option 3 ...... 42 11 Option 1 - Storage Required ...... 42 11.1 Volume Calculation ...... 42 11.2 Storage Available ...... 42 11.3 Sense Check on Calculation ...... 44 12 Comparing Future Flows to Future Abstractions ...... 44 13 Lock Necessity ...... 45 13.1 Options Considered for Kew Weir ...... 48 Option 1a ...... 48
Option 1b ...... 48
Option 1c ...... 49
13.2 Lock Dimensions ...... 49 14 Kew Weir...... 50 14.1 Environmental Impact Assessment ...... 50 14.2 Site Visit ...... 50 14.3 Substructure ...... 52 Geological conditions of the proposed location ...... 52
Foundations ...... 54
Scour ...... 55
14.4 Superstructure ...... 56 Construction Materials ...... 56
Waterproofing ...... 56
Water level management ...... 57
14.5 Sealing of Weir ...... 57 14.6 Fish Pass ...... 58 14.7 Mechanism ...... 59 Determining Type of Weir Movement ...... 59
Determining Method of Actuation ...... 59
Calculations ...... 62
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Financial Assessment ...... 66
Hydrodynamic Lift mechanism ...... 68
14.8 Option 1a ...... 69 Weir Design ...... 70
14.9 Option 1b ...... 74 Weir Design ...... 74
14.10 Option 1c ...... 76 Weir Design ...... 77
14.11 Construction Methodology ...... 77 Option 1a ...... 77
Option 1b ...... 79
Option 1c ...... 81
14.12 Bill of Quantities and Pricing ...... 81 15 Hydropower ...... 84 15.1 Weir Site Suitability Assessment ...... 84 15.2 Teddington Weir Site Suitability Assessment ...... 87 15.3 River Abstraction Inlet Shaft Suitability Assessment ...... 88 Power generation ...... 90
Prediction of Revenue ...... 91
Prediction of cost ...... 91
16 Control Systems...... 92 16.1 Sluice Gate...... 93 Design Specifications ...... 93
System Overview ...... 94
16.2 Operation During Power Failure and Fail safe mechanism...... 97 16.3 Financial Analysis ...... 97 16.4 Pump Out Shaft ...... 97 16.5 Teddington Weir ...... 98 16.6 Kew Weir...... 99 Design Specifications ...... 99
Design process ...... 100
The Control Circuit ...... 101
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Water Level Measurement ...... 102
Measurement of the Height of the weir above the ground ...... 103
Head measurement ...... 104
Generation of the input signal ...... 104
Outline design process of a controller ...... 105
Incorporation of a fail-safe Mechanism ...... 105
Financial Analysis ...... 105
17 Overall Scheme Financial Assessment ...... 106 17.1 Summary...... 107 18 Carbon Assessment ...... 107 18.1 Embedded Emissions and Management ...... 108 18.2 Operational Emissions and Management ...... 109 18.3 Project Life-Cycle Assessment ...... 109 Reservoir Emissions ...... 109
Kew Weir Emissions ...... 111
Transfer Tunnel Emissions ...... 112
18.4 Scheme Comparison ...... 114 19 Conclusion ...... 115 20 Areas for Further Research ...... 117 20.1 Locking Mechanism for Weir...... 117 20.2 Improvements to Teddington Weir ...... 117 20.3 Investigation into Varying Water Depth at Teddington Weir ...... 118 20.4 Sealing Panels for Weir ...... 118 20.5 Sluice Gates ...... 118 20.6 Weir Gate Sections ...... 118 20.7 Tunnel ...... 118 20.8 Weir Foundations and Structure ...... 119 20.9 Flooding Potential ...... 119 20.10 Water Quality ...... 119 20.11 Ecology ...... 119 20.12 Compliance with Legislation ...... 119 20.13 Predicted Carbon Emissions ...... 119 21 Assumptions Register ...... 120 22 Risk Register ...... 125
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23 References ...... 130 24 Appendices ...... 140 24.1 Appendix A – GANTT Chart 24.2 Appendix B - Borehole Logs 24.3 Appendix C – Tunnel, Sluice Gate & Carbon Assessment Calculations (IP) 24.4 Appendix D – Site Visit Photographs (HP) 24.5 Appendix E – Superstructure and Substructure Quantities Calculations (JJ) 24.6 Appendix F – Weir Gate Structural and Geometric Calculations (HP) 24.7 Appendix G - Drawings (HP, JJ, IP) Drawing Register
Drawings
2.1 Table of Figures Figure 5.1 - Quarter 1 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120 ...... 14 Figure 5.2 - Quarter 2 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120 ...... 15 Figure 5.3 - Quarter 3 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120 ...... 15 Figure 5.4 - Quarter 4 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120 ...... 16 Figure 6.1 - Locations of abstraction points and maximum abstractions allowed at each point (Base map taken from Google Maps)...... 17 Figure 6.2 - Future abstractions for full design life of 120 years ...... 20 Figure 7.1 - Aerial view of Teddington Weir (Miatt, 2006) ...... 21 Figure 8.1 - Proposed tunnel location ...... 21 Figure 8.2 - Borehole Maps ...... 23 Figure 8.3 - Proposed inlet shaft location ...... 24 Figure 8.4 - Vertical lift gate at Copperhouse Sluice ...... 25 Figure 8.5 - Layout indicating position of sluice gate relative to inlet shaft ...... 25 Figure 8.6 - Transfer tunnel cross section according to CIRIA C689 ...... 27 Figure 8.7 - Articulated shutters for cast in-situ secondary lining (Photo taken from (Jewell & Bellhouse, 2014)) ...... 29 Figure 8.8 - Proposed pump out shaft location ...... 30 Figure 8.9 - NPV Pump operation cash flow ...... 32 Figure 8.10 - Tunnel costs per m 3 in relation to diameter based on 2013 prices (Graph taken from (British Tunnelling Society, 2010)) ...... 34 Figure 9.1 - Schematic of Langford scheme. Shown in orange is the route that sewage water used to take before being disposed of into the sea ...... 35
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Figure 9.1 - Option 2: Alternative to abstraction tunnel at Teddington Weir – Hogsmill STW to Hampton ...... 37 Figure 1.2 - Option 3: Alternative to abstraction tunnel at Teddington Weir – Hogsmill STW to Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir ...... 37 Figure 10.1 - A section of a graph showing measured DO content along the river. Abstraction points are represented by green arrows and water input is represented by blue...... 39 Figure 10.2 - Compressed air is pumped through a tank containing zeolite pellets which adsorbs unwanted gas leaving oxygen to be stored in the buffer tank. In the opposite tank air is pumped out to clean the pellets. After Gazcon...... 41 Figure 11.1 - World Heritage Site at Kew Gardens and Buffer Zone (UNESCO, 2002) ...... 43 Figure 13.1 - 2014 Abstractions Vs. Future Flows at Kingston ...... 46 Figure 13.2 - 2020 Abstractions Vs. Future Flows at Kingston ...... 46 Figure 13.3 - 2050 Abstractions Vs. Future Flows at Kingston ...... 47 Figure 13.4 - 2080 Abstractions Vs. Future Flows at Kingston ...... 47 Figure 13.5 - 2098 Abstractions Vs. Future Flows at Kingston ...... 48 Figure 14.1 - Kew pier...... 51 Figure 14.2 - Span of river to be sectioned by the proposed Kew Weir ...... 51 Figure 14.3 - Outlet into the River Thames (unknown source or effluent type) ...... 51 Figure 14.4 - Mooring structure in the middle of the Thames immediately adjacent to proposed Kew Weir location ...... 51 Figure 14.5 - Playground on the South bank of the Thames at Kew Weir location ...... 52 Figure 14.6 - North bank of the Thames at Kew Weir location (residential street visible just beyond) ...... 52 Figure 14.7 - South bank of Thames at Kew Weir location - scour protection badly degraded. .... 52 Figure 14.8 - Borehole data map (British Geological Survey, n.d.) ...... 53 Figure 14.9 - Sections through boathouse boreholes in North-South direction (British Geological Survey, n.d.) ...... 53 Figure 14.10 - Sections through boathouse boreholes in East-West direction (British Geological Survey, n.d.) ...... 54 Figure 14.11 - Integral Waterproofing System (Sika Solutions, n.d.) ...... 57 Figure 14.12 - Tilting beamless weir gate (HC Watercontrol, n.d.) ...... 58 Figure 14.13 - Duramax Shaft Sealing System (Duramax Marine, 2015) ...... 59 Figure 14.14 - Moment Required to Raise Weir ...... 60 Figure 14.15 - Worst Case Resistive Moment at Upright Position ...... 60 Figure 14.16 – Indicative arrangement of counterweight and ram mechanism...... 61 Figure 14.17 – Sketch of the movement mechanism in situ ...... 62 Figure 14.18 - NPV Cash Flow Prediction for Operation of Weir ...... 67
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Figure 14.19 - Schematic of an aerofoil with a leading edge slat (SimHQ, 2002) ...... 68 Figure 14.20 - Option 1a cross section (Drawing 211) ...... 69 Figure 14.21 - Option 1a cross section ...... 70 Figure 14.22 - Pier cross section ...... 70 Figure 14.23 - Option 1a plan view ...... 70 Figure 14.24 - Sketch of approximation of section for weir gate ...... 71 Figure 14.25 - Proportional factors of total steel cost (Barrett, Byrd Associates, 2013) ...... 73 Figure 14.26 - Option 1b cross section ...... 74 Figure 14.27 - Lock cross section ...... 74 Figure 14.28 - Option 1b plan view ...... 74 Figure 14.29 - Option 1a, Stage 1 ...... 78 Figure 14.30 - Option 1a, Stage 2 ...... 78 Figure 14.31 - Option 1a, Stage 3 ...... 78 Figure 14.32 - Option 1a, Stage 4 ...... 78 Figure 14.33 - Option 1a, Stage 5 ...... 79 Figure 14.34 - Option 1a, Stage 6 ...... 79 Figure 14.35 - Option 1a, Stage 7 ...... 79 Figure 14.36 - Option 1a, Stage 8 ...... 79 Figure 14.37 - Option 1b, Stage 1 ...... 80 Figure 14.38 - Option 1b, Stage 2 ...... 80 Figure 14.39 - Option 1b, Stage 3 ...... 80 Figure 14.40 - Option 1b, Stage 4 ...... 80 Figure 15.1 - Hydro-turbine Selection Chart (Greenbug Energy Inc, 2014) ...... 85 Figure 15.2 - Commercially available Hydro-Kinetic Turbines (Sornes, 2010) ...... 86 Figure 15.3 - Archimedes Screw Efficiency Curve (Renewables First, 2014)...... 87 Figure 15.4 - Kaplan Turbine (Renewables First, 2014) ...... 89 Figure 15.5 - Predicted Abstractions ...... 89 Figure 15.6 - Kaplan Efficiency Curve Comparison Chart (Renewables First, 2014) ...... 90 Figure 15.7 - NPV Cash Flow for Kaplan Turbine Scheme ...... 92 Figure 16.1 - Block diagram of a typical control system (INTECH open science, n.d.) ...... 92 Figure 16.2 - Operation of the sluice gates to control flow rate, (Turnpenny Horsfield Associates, 2013)...... 93 Figure 16.3 - Block diagram of the control systems ...... 94 Figure 16.4 - A drive mechanism to move the gate (California Polytechnic State University, 2000) ...... 94 Figure 16.5 - Motor numbers and their characteristics (Joyce Dayton, 2013)...... 95 Figure 16.6 - The role of limit switches (California Polytechnic State University, 2000)...... 95
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Figure 16.7 - A typical sensor arrangement system (California Polytechnic State University, 2000) ...... 96 Figure 16.8 - Indicative sketch of how RTU links with the rest of the system, (Schneider Electric, 2012) ...... 97 Figure 16.9 - Systems outline ...... 98 Figure 16.10 - A pump system with cavitation monitoring, (United States of America Patent No. US6663349 B1, 2003) ...... 98 Figure 16.11 - Sketch of Kew Weir in an upright position...... 99 Figure 16.12 - Important parameters of the weir (Anon., 2015) ...... 100 Figure 16.13 - Block diagram of the control circuit ...... 101 Figure 16.14 - Sample water level sensor and how it would be installed, (Global Water, 2015), (Nivus, n.d.) ...... 102 Figure 16.15 - Schematic indicating a decrease in the water level at the weir crest, (Civil Engineering Portal, 2015) ...... 103 Figure 16.16 - Sample angle transducer, (Sensitec, 2009) ...... 103 Figure 16.17 - Spatial relationship between sensor chip and magnetic field (Anaheim Automation, 2011) ...... 103 Figure 16.18 - A block diagram of the summing junction ...... 104 Figure 17.1 - NPV cash flow comparing solutions of Abingdon reservoir, Option 1b with hydropower and Option 1b without hydropower ...... 107 Figure 18.1 - Carbon emissions break-down from an average of 13 reservoirs ...... 110 Figure 18.2 - Embedded emissions break-down from an average of 13 reservoirs...... 110 Figure 18.3 - Material emissions break-down from an average of 13 reservoirs ...... 110 Figure 18.4 - Operational emissions break-down from an average of 13 reservoirs ...... 111 Figure 18.5 - Embedded Emissions Break-down for Kew Weir Option 1a ...... 111 Figure 18.6 - Embedded Emissions Break-down for Kew Weir Option 1b ...... 112 Figure 18.7 - Carbon Emissions Break-down for Transfer Tunnel ...... 113 Figure 18.8 - Embedded Emissions Break-down for Transfer Tunnel ...... 113 Figure 18.9 - Carbon Emissions Break-down for Indirect Effluent Re-use ...... 114 Figure 18.10 - Embedded Emissions Break-down for Indirect Effluent Re-use ...... 114
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3 Introduction In the South-East of England we are nearly abstracting the maximum we can from the natural environment, with less water available per person than in Syria (Gibbs, 2013). London is drier than Istanbul and there has been no approved scheme to address this issue (Gibbs, 2013). Thames Water have proposed the construction of a large reservoir at Abingdon in Oxford, however this has faced heavy objection from locals, government bodies and environmental trusts. Measures taken to reduce water demand have included the implementation of water meters and investment into more effective leak detection. However, water meters have been found to have “little effect on average demand” (Staddon, 2012) And through considering figures published by Ofwat (The Water Services Regulation Authority), it is clear that companies often fail to reach annual leakage targets (Ofwat , 2011).
The current water supply is abstracted from reservoirs, rivers and underground aquifers, needing to reach around 18 billion tonnes on an annual basis, this leads to some cases of abstraction being unsustainable which can lead to water stress and have serious environmental impacts (Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs, 2008). The primary method of abstracting water is through pumping, which consumes energy and releases greenhouse gas emissions (Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs, 2008).
In the case of the River Thames, water is abstracted upstream of the estuary. This water is pumped into reservoirs, where it is stored. This affects the level of water flow along the river, the Environmental Agency has set a value of minimum residual flow, this level is measured at set points and when reached, procedures are put into place in order to maintain the river level. This often requires water companies to pump water back into the river from the reservoirs and can result in reduced abstraction rates (Environment Agency and Thames Water, 2013). This results in the reduction of water levels in the reservoirs and the increased financial and environmental cost of pumping the water back into the river.
The aim of this project is to look into the potential use of tidal resources as an alternative to constructing new reservoirs to supply the Thames Valley area, with the primary focus being on reducing the carbon footprint of any proposed scheme.
The key benefits of the scheme are as follows: • Reduced restriction on commercial abstraction • Increased availability of useable water in reservoirs • Reduced environmental impact • Reduced financial impact
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• Reduced political uncertainty
The key targets for the design are as follows: • To reduce the carbon footprint of Thames Water by: o reducing pumping requirements currently used in the Thames Water network. o potentially harnessing hydroelectric energy. • To provide a more environmentally sensitive solution.
4 Project Management Due to the complex nature of the project, effective project management was essential for facilitating collaborative work, whilst also measuring progress. The primary means of achieving this was through use of a Gantt chart (see Appendix A). The chart incorporated all tasks deemed necessary by the group, setting both a start time and finish time. Precedence’s were created so that the critical path at any stage could easily be recognised by the group; therefore potential delays to the overall project could be avoided if required. A different colour was allocated to each individual within the group, this made it clear who was responsible for each task, helping to structure communication.
The Gantt chart was reviewed and updated each week; as new areas of research emerged these could be added, in addition to this task durations which either became longer or shorter than predicted could be adjusted, the effect of this change in time frame quantified and any measures which were required to be made could be applied effectively. Progress was also tracked on a weekly basis, this allowed individuals to understand their influence on the overall progress, as well as helping to identify any potential issues.
Communication was mainly conducted through an online group page. This provided a hub for all members to share files and comments regarding the project, also the facility to organise meetings was provided in a way where all members can confirm attendance and have a record of both timing and location.
Meetings were regularly scheduled on a weekly basis; this provided a good opportunity for individuals to present their work, allowing all members to develop a more contextual view of the project as a whole. The roles of Chair and Secretary of meetings were rotated weekly. Agendas and minutes were produced for these meetings, providing clear documentation of what was discussed and any actions which were agreed on.
The project management as a whole provided an overlying administrative structure which allowed the individual work of each group member to work towards the desired outcome of the project. Considerable freedom was given to individuals regarding their own tasks which facilitated
12 | P a g e Chapter 3 – Introduction Chapter 4 – Project Management Thames Group Tidal Water Resources creativity within the design work and promoted the application of multi-disciplinary skills, whilst synergy was encouraged by the administrative overlay. In some situations such as report formatting and use of units, more prescriptive controls would have led to a greater efficiency in delivering the final report. In addition to this a greater amount of group orientated work would have proved beneficial, however, due to conflicting academic timetables this was found to be difficult.
5 Future Flows The flow monitoring station at Kingston is one of very few in the country which has data logs far enough back into the past to be able to produce a future flow prediction as part of the Future Flow and Groundwater Level Project (FF-HadRM3-PPE). A joint venture between the Environment Agency, the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, the UK Water Industry Research, the Natural Environment Research Council and Wallingford Hydrosolutions has used the 11 climate change models identified in the Had-RM3-PPE climate simulations based on emissions scenario A1B. This model produced predicted daily flow data for all 11 models, every day between 1951 and 2098 (Prudhomme, et al., 2012). Of these 11 models, 3 key ones were identified as being important to assess (Keller, et al., 2013); 1. Scenario AFGCX – the average climate change model 2. Scenario AFIXA – the wettest climate change model 3. Scenario AFIXK – the driest climate change model
5.1 Thames at Kingston – Flow Data Processing From the future flows data obtained from the CEH a quarterly 1 average was determined for every year for the three chosen climate change models from 2014-2098. From this it was then possible to divide the predicted flows into 4 sections of time to give averages of each quarter, the chosen time periods being: 1. 2014-2020 2. 2021-2050 3. 2051-2080 4. 2081-2098 The average quarterly figures for the recorded data at Kingston were then used to provide the current data (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, 2013). This allows these values to be used to extrapolate to the full design life of the structure to obtain the values for the period to the 2120’s
1 The quarters in this instance are defined as: 1 – December to February 2 – March to May 3 – June to August 4 – September to November 13 | P a g e Chapter 4 – Project Management Chapter 5 – Future Flows - HP Thames Group Tidal Water Resources as can be seen in Figure 5.1, Figure 5.2, Figure 5.3 and Figure 5.4. The results of this analysis are summarised in Table 5.1. Table 5.1 - Future flows data at Kingston summarised for the chosen time periods
Quarter Climate 2000-2013 2014-2020 2021-2050 2051-2080 Change Model 1 Average 121.4854 123.775 129.797 120.908 Wettest 88.766 96.618 118.524 Driest 49.508 118.514 118.511 2 Average 72.27292 93.552 92.005 91.283 Wettest 88.766 78.855 87.571 Driest 87.029 92.536 93.514 3 Average 28.16583 49.508 47.460 41.451 Wettest 40.198 39.257 41.703 Driest 40.795 44.385 34.685 4 Average 45.96757 50.183 46.800 36.209 Wettest 34.047 39.327 45.605 Driest 28.767 43.055 33.764
Figure 5.1 - Quarter 1 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120
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Figure 5.2 - Quarter 2 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120
Figure 5.3 - Quarter 3 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120
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Figure 5.4 - Quarter 4 projected flows at Kingston from 2010 to 2120
6 Abstractions The Thames has six main abstraction points between Windsor and Teddington Weir which can be seen in Figure 6.1 below (Datchett, Staines, Laleham, Walton, Hampton and Kingston). The maximum values that can be abstracted per day from each point as defined in the Lower Thames Operating Agreement (LTOA), however there is also an overall daily abstraction limit. As it has not been possible to obtain exact figures of abstractions from each point that have taken place, the following has been assumed: • The maximums at each station total 100%, therefore each station maximum provides a percentage of the abstractions allowed at that point. • The percentages have then been applied to the total maximum limit to calculate the theoretical distribution of the abstractions.
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6.1 Current Abstraction Points and Values
Figure 6.1 - Locations of abstraction points and maximum abstractions allowed at each point (Base map taken from Google Maps).
It has been decided that stopping all abstractions before Teddington Weir is unreasonable and unfeasible, therefore we have chosen to stop the three nearest to Teddington Weir – i.e. Walton (1264Ml/day), Hampton (109Ml/day) and Kingston (109Ml/day).
6.2 Future Abstractions & Water Demand The future demand for water has been calculated using Thames Water’s “Water Resource Management Plan (WRMP)” which predicts the abstraction patterns for the next 30 years. This plan utilises the predicted increase in population and occupancy ratios of properties. The WRMP includes the SWOX (Oxford) and SWA (Swindon) regions within it, which have been removed for the purposes of these calculations as the weir discussed in this feasibility study cannot influence these areas. It has then been extrapolated to provide a future demand for the entire design life of the structure (i.e. 120 years). The WRMP The WRMP classifies each five year period into AMP (Asset Management Plan) numbers. We are currently in AMP5 and planning is underway for requirements for AMP6 which comes in to effect in 2015. The WRMP splits demand up into several categories: • Measured residential • Unmeasured residential • Non-household The plan provides three estimates of population and property projections produced by independent experts (Experian) summarised in Table 6.1. The first is the “plan-based” projection, a figure that has been produced in accordance with the various local authority plans. The second is
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the “trend-based” projection, based on sub-national estimates supplied to the Department of Communities and Local Government. The third is the “most-likely” projection, which is largely based on the trend-based projection but accounts for the changes in household size that have been occurring gradually (Thames Water, 2014). This has been deemed a valid methodology by Experian as it has been demonstrated when population changes are compared to the projections for that period, they are usually higher than the projection rather than lower. Thames Water have chosen to base their projected demand on the plan-based projection (Thames Water, 2014). Table 6.1 - Predicted increase in population and properties as per the WRMP All Thames Water Zones Years Population No. of Properties AMP Corresponding Planned Most Trend Planned Most Trend No. Years Likely Likely AMP5 2010-2015 9043407 9043407 9043407 3407100 3407100 3407100 AMP6 2015-2020 9325297 9381547 9402837 3505450 3565800 3520110 AMP7 2020-2025 9698787 9891087 9941717 3542480 3635170 3576900 AMP8 2025-2030 10015307 10349117 10439667 3579580 3699060 3633430 AMP9 2030-2035 10338917 10793077 10939097 3616460 3750330 3687860 AMP10 2035-2040 10683337 11243537 11437687 3653280 3800740 3740030 2040-2045 11052437 11698517 11936197 3689750 3850320 3791700
The values for the total water demand are therefore calculated using the climate change factors detailed in the WRMP and leakage is accounted for. Thames Water have forecast no change in their leakage values in the next 40 years according to the WRMP so this value has been taken as a constant. The combination of all these factors produces an estimate of the water demand for both the Dry Year Annual Average (DYAA) and the Average Day Peak Week (ADPW). These have been calculated in Table 6.2 and the average of these two has been carried forward. The aim of using the average value is to give a representative prediction of what the future abstractions are likely to be.
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Table 6.2 - Total predicted water demand based on WRMP excluding SWOX and SWA All Thames Water Zones Except SWOX and SWA Climate Change Years Impact on Leakage Total Water Demand Demand Total Total Non- Average No. of Household Household Average Population of Corres- Properties Consumption Consumption of DYAA AMP DYAA ADPW DYAA ADPW DYAA ponding (m 3/day) (m 3/day) DYAA ADPW m3/s m3/day and No. (m 3/day) (m 3/day) (m 3/s) (m 3/s) and Years ADPW ADPW (m 3/day) (m 3/s) 5 2010-15 7535784 2839213 1166550 418000 1 1 4.502 388972.8 1973522.8 1973522.8 1973522.8 22.842 22.842 22.842 6 2015-20 7777204 2917527 1177150 412000 1.1 1.4 4.502 388972.8 2137037.8 2613782.8 2375410.3 24.734 30.252 27.493 7 2020-25 8074030 2919733 1208940 410000 1.2 1.9 4.502 388972.8 2331700.8 3464958.8 2898329.8 26.987 40.104 33.545 8 2025-30 8339538 2927543 1246760 404000 1.3 2.5 4.502 388972.8 2534960.8 4515872.8 3525416.8 29.340 52.267 40.803 9 2030-35 8627681 2943030 1289570 402000 1.4 3 4.502 388972.8 2757170.8 5463682.8 4110426.8 31.912 63.237 47.574 10 2035-40 8938711 2960200 1336300 402000 1.5 3.7 4.502 388972.8 2996422.8 6820682.8 4908552.8 34.681 78.943 56.812 2040-45 9272293 2976406 1386630 402000 1.6 4.3 4.502 388972.8 3250780.8 8080081.8 5665431.3 37.625 93.519 65.572
Table 6.3 - Total predicted abstraction rates required at Teddington Weir
Abstraction Volume %age 2010's 2020's 2050's 2080's 2120's Point (Ml/d) Datchett 2273 39.18% 712.35 1135.65 2674.47 4096.34 5822.89 Staines 682 11.76% 213.73 340.74 802.46 1229.08 1747.12
Laleham 1364 23.51% 427.47 681.49 1604.92 2458.16 3494.25
Walton 1264 21.79% 396.13 396.13 631.53 631.53 1487.25 1487.25 2277.95 2277.95 3238.07 3238.07 Hampton 109 1.88% 34.16 34.16 54.46 54.46 128.25 128.25 196.44 196.44 279.23 279.23 Kingston 109 1.88% 34.16 34.16 54.46 54.46 128.25 128.25 196.44 196.44 279.23 279.23 Total 5801 100.00% 1818 464.45 2898.33 740.45 6825.60 1743.76 10454.40 2670.82 14860.80 3796.54 Total (m 3/day) 5801000 - 1818000 464450.3 2898330 740446 6825600 1743758 10454400 2670819 14860800 3796536 Total Abstraction 67.141 - 21.042 5.376 33.545 8.570 79.000 20.182 121.000 30.912 172.000 43.941 (m 3/s)
19 | P a g e Chapter 6 – Abstractions - HP Thames Group Tidal Water Resources
Figure 6.2 - Future abstractions for full design life of 120 years
Figure 6.2 gives the total of the abstractions taking place between Windsor and Teddington Weir, so we need to ensure these values are scaled to only account for Walton, Hampton and Kingston. These values can be seen in Table 6.3.
These values will be used to calculate the required tunnel diameter from Teddington Weir to the Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir in Chapter 8.
7 Alterations to Teddington Weir In order to maximise abstraction from the Thames, it will be necessary to have the ability to prevent flow from going over Teddington Weir in times of peak water demand. This is required to ensure that no freshwater goes into the tideway, therefore allowing all freshwater to be abstracted. Currently, this would not be possible as Teddington Weir does not have sufficient mechanical flow control (i.e. any form of gate or moveable weir to regulate flow) to stop water from entering the tideway. As seen in Figure 6.1, while the weir contains some gates to help regulate the river level, a large section is made up of an overspill weir that allows water to flow freely over it.
The design of the works that would be required at Teddington Weir are beyond the scope of this feasibility study, but would need to be considered at detailed design stage to ensure viability of the scheme.
20 | P a g e Chapter 6 – Abstractions - HP Chapter 7 – Alterations to Teddington Weir - BC Thames Group Tidal Water Resources
Figure 7.1 - Aerial view of Teddington Weir (Miatt, 2006)
8 Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1)
Figure 8.1 - Proposed tunnel location
The aim of this project is to provide adequate water resources in the Thames Valley area whilst maintaining the minimum residual flow of 800mL/d as measured across Teddington Weir by optimising tidal effects in the estuary. However, the installation of a weir downstream of Teddington Weir (as proposed in Option 1) will only provide storage and maintain the residual
21 | P a g e Chapter 7 – Alterations to Teddington Weir - BC Chapter 8 – Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1) - IP Thames Group Tidal Water Resources flow for the tidal Thames region (downstream of Teddington Weir). In order to maintain the minimum residual flow upstream of Teddington Weir, the proposed solution is to stop the current abstractions upstream at Walton, Hampton and Kingston (Table 6.3). In this way, the minimum residual flow will be maintained between Walton-on-Thames and Teddington Weir without the need to release water stored in a reservoir. The tunnel will therefore provide a single abstraction point right before Teddington Weir and will store the water in the Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir, the current abstractions feed into here already, meaning no further infrastructure changes would be necessary to this system.
For the design life of the structure at the 2120’s, given the predicted water demand and climate change models, the abstractions that will need to be replaced by the new tunnel at Teddington Weir (Table 6.3) will be equal to 43.941m 3/s . The total distance of the tunnel is 5.905km .
8.1 Geology Table 8.1 - Summary of geological formation from borehole data 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (m) (m) Depth Depth Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole Borehole 1 CLAY Medium MADE Sandy SAND TOPSOIL TOPSOIL MADE Clayey TOPSOIL to coarse GROUND CLAY and GROUND SAND SAND and stones GRAVEL 2.5 CLAY Dense Fine to GRAVEL SAND Coarse Soft green Soft grey Coarser TOPSOIL brown medium and brown SILT clayey clayey sandy fine SAND GRAVEL SAND SILT SAND to coarse with fine and GRAVEL to medium medium GRAVEL GRAVEL 5 CLAY Medium Medium GRAVEL SAND Stiff grey fine grey fine grey GRAVEL GRAVEL to coarse to coarse and silty SAND SAND and and SAND SAND GRAVEL CLAY and and medium SAND medium medium SAND GRAVEL GRAVEL 7.5 - Silty Silty GRAVEL CLAY Stiff grey Stiff Stiff Brown GRAVEL CLAY CLAY and brown silty fissured fissured sandy and with parts CLAY CLAY grey silty grey silty CLAY SAND of CLAY CLAY medium to fine SAND 10 - - - Blue CLAY Stiff grey Stiff grey Stiff grey Brown Grey CLAY silty silty silty sandy CLAY CLAY CLAY CLAY CLAY 15 - - - Blue CLAY Stiff grey Stiff grey Stiff grey Solid - CLAY silty silty silty black CLAY CLAY CLAY CLAY 20 - - - Blue CLAY - - - CLAY - CLAY 25 - - - Blue CLAY - - - CLAY - CLAY 30 - - - Blue CLAY - - - CLAY - CLAY 50 - - - Blue - - - - CLAY - CLAY
22 | P a g e Chapter 8 – Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1) – IP [Pump Requirements – DJ] Thames Group Tidal Water Resources
1
4 3 5 2
6 8
10 9
Figure 8.2 - Borehole Maps
Borehole data has been obtained from the British Geological Survey in order to establish the geological conditions in the area between Teddington Weir and Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir. The following maps in Figure 8.2 show the selected boreholes. Table 8.1 lists the geological data for each of the boreholes consulted. This information shows the geology is fairly uniform in the region between Teddington Weir and Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir.
8.2 Inlet Shaft The inlet shaft (Figure 8.3) will be used as a reception shaft for the Tunnel Boring Machine (TBM) and should therefore be of adequate depth and diameter to enable tunnelling operations. The depth of the shaft is chosen to ensure that the tunnel alignment starts at a sufficient depth to minimise disruption and settlement to existing structures and allow for water transfer through gravity. During the operation of the abstraction tunnel, the volume of water entering in the inlet shaft will be controlled by a sluice gate that will only allow the required abstraction from the river
23 | P a g e Chapter 8 – Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1) – IP [Pump Requirements – DJ] Thames Group Tidal Water Resources up to a maximum (set at a later stage by the Environment Agency in conjunction with Thames Water).
Table 8.2 - Proposed inlet shaft dimensions
Item Value (m) Depth 15 Internal Diameter 10
Inlet Shaft: ID = 10m, depth = 15m
Figure 8.3 - Proposed inlet shaft location 8.3 Sluice Gate A sluice gate is needed in order to control the flow of water that is transferred from the river to Queen Elizabeth II Reservoir. The sluice gate will be placed before the inlet shaft (Figure 8.3) and it will not only control the water flow into the tunnel, but will also enable the maintenance of the shafts and the transfer tunnel. There are various types of gates that could be used (Lewin, 1995) – radial, flap and vertical lift – but for ease of maintenance a vertical lift gate is recommended. The disadvantage of this type of gate is that the overhead structure - where the gate is lifted - is not aesthetically pleasing and careful consideration to this should be given at detailed design. A control system will be used for the operation of the sluice gate, in order to allow for different levels of intake and complete shutdown of the gate for maintenance (Chapter 16.1).
Figure 8.4 shows a sluice gate at Copperhouse which has a similar layout to the proposed design for this project. A gate plate will be used to control the river flow and it will be sliding in a steel frame superstructure. A maintenance bridge is also necessary and a control room to house the control system of the sluice gate. The proposed dimensions of the sluice gate at Teddington Weir are proposed in Table 8.3.
24 | P a g e Chapter 8 – Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1) – IP [Pump Requirements – DJ] Thames Group Tidal Water Resources
Steel Frame Superstructure
Control Room
Sluice gate Maintenance plate Bridge
Figure 8.4 - Vertical lift gate at Copperhouse Sluice There is detailed guidance for the design of sluice gates in “BS7775:2005 – Penstocks for use in water and other liquid flow applications – Specification”. Different forces should be considered in the detailed design, with the most critical being the force of water when acting on the gate panel and frame together. Also, the forces due to lifting that act on the gate panel and frame should be considered, the frame and the gate panel should be designed to withstand the maximum static head from the water flow and the forces from the operating equipment. The design process would be very similar to that adopted in the design of the weir sections in Chapter 14.
Inlet Shaft
River Channel Sluice gate
Figure 8.5 - Layout indicating position of sluice gate relative to inlet shaft
25 | P a g e Chapter 8 – Abstraction Tunnel (Option 1) – IP [Pump Requirements – DJ] Thames Group Tidal Water Resources
Table 8.3 - Recommended sluice gate dimensions
Item Value (m) Channel width 10 Superstructure height 11 Superstructure width 10 Plate height 8 Plate Width 8 Plate thickness 0.03
The recommended material for the sluice gate is stainless steel, which though more expensive than carbon steel, provides better resistance to corrosion, meaning the life-cycle cost of the sluice gate is expected to be less. The schematic for the sluice gate is shown in Figure 8.5.
8.4 Transfer Tunnel In order to calculate the required cross-section of the tunnel for the given flows, the “CIRIA C689 Culvert Design Guide” was used (CIRIA, 2010). The equivalent length method and Manning’s equation were used to derive the required channel slope and consequently the tunnel diameter. An iterative approach was used in order to derive a tunnel diameter that would be able to accommodate the maximum flow (the predicted 2120 abstraction rate) (full calculations in Appendix C).
Calculations Based on future abstractions, the Reynolds number was derived (Equation 8.1) and consequently the friction factor was found using Moody’s chart. The equivalent length method (Equation 8.2) was chosen to account for the losses in the system and was calculated and added to the length of the tunnel and the inlet shaft (tunnel + inlet shaft = 5920m), to calculate a total length. Consequently, the slope was calculated, based on the total difference between the inlet shaft and the pump out shaft (minimum drop of 10m between the two).
Equation 8.1 - Reynold's number