Raise the Minimum Wage” Statement
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Longitudinal Analysis of Strike Activity David Card Journal of Labor
Longitudinal Analysis of Strike Activity David Card Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 6, No. 2. (Apr., 1988), pp. 147-176. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0734-306X%28198804%296%3A2%3C147%3ALAOSA%3E2.0.CO%3B2-7 Journal of Labor Economics is currently published by The University of Chicago Press. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/about/terms.html. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/journals/ucpress.html. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. The JSTOR Archive is a trusted digital repository providing for long-term preservation and access to leading academic journals and scholarly literature from around the world. The Archive is supported by libraries, scholarly societies, publishers, and foundations. It is an initiative of JSTOR, a not-for-profit organization with a mission to help the scholarly community take advantage of advances in technology. For more information regarding JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. http://www.jstor.org Tue Jul 3 19:08:14 2007 Longitudinal Analysis of Strike Activity David Card, Princeton Univevsity This article presents an empirical study of strike activity in a panel of contract negotiations for some 250 firm-and-union pairs. -
Why Should We Worry About the National Debt: MITCH DANIELS Questions and Answers LEON PANETTA TIM PENNY April 16, 2019
CHAIRMEN Why Should We Worry About the National Debt: MITCH DANIELS Questions and Answers LEON PANETTA TIM PENNY April 16, 2019 “Why Should We Worry About the National Debt?” describes six important ways PRESIDENT MAYA MACGUINEAS that the growing national debt will affect the budget and the economy. Below, we answer specific questions frequently raised about the topic. DIRECTORS Isn’t debt sustainable when the economy grows faster than interest rates? BARRY ANDERSON Despite the fact economic growth rate is higher than government interest rates (r<g), ERSKINE BOWLES CHARLES BOWSHER debt remains on an unsustainable trajectory in the United States. Economist Olivier KENT CONRAD Blanchard and others have pointed out that governments can shrink their debt-to- DAN CRIPPEN GDP ratio while still borrowing to finance their interest payments when r<g. VIC FAZIO However, this only leads to a sustainable outcome if a government is running a WILLIS GRADISON primary balance (revenue equals non-interest spending) or a sufficiently modest JANE HARMAN WILLIAM HOAGLAND primary deficit. The United States today is running a large and growing primary JIM JONES deficit. As a result, both debt and interest payments will continue to rise faster than LOU KERR the economy despite low interest rates. There is also no guarantee that the economic JIM KOLBE growth rate will remain higher than interest rates, particularly as rising debt puts CYNTHIA LUMMIS MARJORIE MARGOLIES downward pressure on growth and upward pressure on rates. DAVE MCCURDY JAMES MCINTYRE, JR. Do low interest rates mean deficits don’t “crowd out” investment? DAVID MINGE Evidence suggests that today’s low interest rates are in spite of, not because of, high JUNE O’NEILL deficits and debt – and that deficits continue to “crowd out” investment. -
The Defense Program and the Economy Hearings
THE DEFENSE PROGRAM AND THE ECONOMY HEARINGS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ECONOMIC GOALS AND INTERGOVERNMENTAL POLICY OF THE JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES NINETY-SEVENTH CONGRESS FIRST AND SECOND SESSIONS PART 1 OCTOBER 7, 13, 22, AND 29, 1981, AND DECEMBER 15, 1982 Printed for the use of the Joint Economic Committee U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 9-760 WASHINGTON:.1983 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to see. 5(a) of Public law 304, 79th Cong.) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE HENRY S. REUSS, Wisconsin, Chairman ROGER W. JEPSEN, Iowa, Vice Chairman RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri WILLIAM V. ROTH, Ja., Delaware LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana JAMES ABDNOR, South Dakota. GILLIS W. LONG, Louisiana STEVEN D. SYMMS, Idaho PARREN J. MITCHELL, Maryland PAULA HAWKINS, Florida FREDERICK W. RICHMOND, New York' MACK MATTINGLY, Georgia CLARENCE J. BROWN, Ohio LLOYD BENTSEN, Texas MARGARET M. HECKLER, Massachusetts WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin JOHN H. ROUSSELOT, California EDWARD M. KENNEDY, Massachusetts CHALMERS P. WYLIE, Ohio PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland JAMES K. GALBRAITH, Executive Director BRucE R. BARTLETT, Deputy Director SUBCOMMITTEE ON ECONOMIC GOALS AND INTERGOVEBNMENTAL PoLIor HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman LLOYD BENTSEN, Texas, Vice Chairman RICHARD BOLLING, Missouri PAULA HAWKINS, Florida STEVEN D. SYMMS, Idaho MACK MATTINGLY, Georgia 1 Representative Richmond resigned from the U.S. House of Representatives on Aug. 25, 1982, and Representative Augustus F. Hawkins, of California, was subsequently appointed to the committee on Sept. 23, 1982. CONTENTS WITNESSES AND STATEMENTS WEDNESDAY, OCTOBEB 7, 1981 Reuss, Hon. Henry S., chairman of the Joint Economic Committee: Open- Page ing statement ------------------------------------------------- 1 Weidenbaum, Hon. -
Janet Yellen's Legacy at the Federal Reserve
Journal of Finance and Bank Management December 2019, Vol. 7, No. 2, pp. 82-87 ISSN: 2333-6064 (Print), 2333-6072 (Online) Copyright © The Author(s). All Rights Reserved. Published by American Research Institute for Policy Development DOI: 10.15640/jfbm.v7n2a6 URL: https://doi.org/10.15640/jfbm.v7n2a6 Janet Yellen’s Legacy at the Federal Reserve Alexander G. Kondeas1 Abstract This paper examines the empirical results of the monetary policies followed by the Federal Reserve during the period of 2010-2018, when Janet Yellen served first as vice chair (2010-2014) and subsequently as chair (2014-2018) of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. As the Central Bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve System (FED) is entrusted with conducting the monetary policy in a way that fulfills the Congressional dual mandate of price stability and full employment. Janet Yellen generally adhered to a dovish view of monetary policy, one that favors looser monetary control and lower interest rates in order to stimulate economic growth. At first glance, the dual mandate was satisfied during her eight years of progressively higher leadership roles at the FED. The economic recovery from the Great Recession (2007- 2008) continued, inflation remained tamed, and the rate of unemployment fell to its lowest level since 1970. Yet a closer look at consumer spending and private fixed investment indicate a sharp decline in the years following the Great Recession and until the end of Yellen’s term at the FED. It is difficult therefore, to argue that the loose monetary policies of her years in office had much of a stimulating effect on the household sector or the business sector. -
After the Phillips Curve: Persistence of High Inflation and High Unemployment
Conference Series No. 19 BAILY BOSWORTH FAIR FRIEDMAN HELLIWELL KLEIN LUCAS-SARGENT MC NEES MODIGLIANI MOORE MORRIS POOLE SOLOW WACHTER-WACHTER % FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON AFTER THE PHILLIPS CURVE: PERSISTENCE OF HIGH INFLATION AND HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT Proceedings of a Conference Held at Edgartown, Massachusetts June 1978 Sponsored by THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF BOSTON CONFERENCE SERIES NO. 1 CONTROLLING MONETARY AGGREGATES JUNE, 1969 NO. 2 THE INTERNATIONAL ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM OCTOBER, 1969 NO. 3 FINANCING STATE and LOCAL GOVERNMENTS in the SEVENTIES JUNE, 1970 NO. 4 HOUSING and MONETARY POLICY OCTOBER, 1970 NO. 5 CONSUMER SPENDING and MONETARY POLICY: THE LINKAGES JUNE, 1971 NO. 6 CANADIAN-UNITED STATES FINANCIAL RELATIONSHIPS SEPTEMBER, 1971 NO. 7 FINANCING PUBLIC SCHOOLS JANUARY, 1972 NO. 8 POLICIES for a MORE COMPETITIVE FINANCIAL SYSTEM JUNE, 1972 NO. 9 CONTROLLING MONETARY AGGREGATES II: the IMPLEMENTATION SEPTEMBER, 1972 NO. 10 ISSUES .in FEDERAL DEBT MANAGEMENT JUNE 1973 NO. 11 CREDIT ALLOCATION TECHNIQUES and MONETARY POLICY SEPBEMBER 1973 NO. 12 INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS of STABILIZATION POLICIES JUNE 1974 NO. 13 THE ECONOMICS of a NATIONAL ELECTRONIC FUNDS TRANSFER SYSTEM OCTOBER 1974 NO. 14 NEW MORTGAGE DESIGNS for an INFLATIONARY ENVIRONMENT JANUARY 1975 NO. 15 NEW ENGLAND and the ENERGY CRISIS OCTOBER 1975 NO. 16 FUNDING PENSIONS: ISSUES and IMPLICATIONS for FINANCIAL MARKETS OCTOBER 1976 NO. 17 MINORITY BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT NOVEMBER, 1976 NO. 18 KEY ISSUES in INTERNATIONAL BANKING OCTOBER, 1977 CONTENTS Opening Remarks FRANK E. MORRIS 7 I. Documenting the Problem 9 Diagnosing the Problem of Inflation and Unemployment in the Western World GEOFFREY H. -
Over the Past Decade Joseph Stiglitz Has Acquired a Considerable Reputa
CORRECTING STIGLITZ: FROM INFORMATION TO POWER IN THE WORLD OF DEVELOPMENT BEN FINE AND ELISA VAN WAEYENBERGE ver the past decade Joseph Stiglitz has acquired a considerable reputa- Otion for radicalism. It began with his launching of the post Washington Consensus after his appointment as Chief Economist at the World Bank, and was then reinforced by his subsequent ‘resignation’ from that post in 2000, followed by his extensive critique of the IMF, above all in his best-selling book, Globalization and Its Discontents.1 But on closer examination Stiglitz’s trajectory reveals a number of telling truths, not so much about himself, as about the World Bank’s policies and ideology, the influence on the Bank of the US government (most sharply revealed in the recent appointment of Wolfowitz as President of the Bank), and the dismal science of the Bank’s economics – from which Stiglitz has in some respects at most marginally departed. In reality the Bank has responded to its crisis of legitimacy in the early 1990s by de-emphasising neo-liberal theory in principle whilst supporting private capital ever more strongly in practice. Ideologically, this has been marked by a number of shifts in World Bank parlance, from ‘good governance’ to ‘poverty alleviation’, and especially its most recent claim to be first and foremost a ‘knowledge bank’. Tellingly, these elements are in fact entirely consistent with Stiglitz’s scholarly work and were, indeed, strongly endorsed by him during his time at the Bank. Only after he was forced out of the Bank was he forced to accept, however partially, unconsciously and implicitly, that the world – including the Bank – has to be understood in ways that depart from the scholarly tradition he has sought to promote. -
Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee Chicago, IL April 17, 2014
American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings 2015, 105(5): 683–688 http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.15000009 Minutes of the Meeting of the Executive Committee Chicago, IL April 17, 2014 The first meeting of the 2014 Executive Charles I. Jones, Rachel Kranton, and Fiona Committee was called to order at 10:00 am on Scott Morton. The Nominating Committee and April 17, 2014 in the Heathrow A-B Room of the Executive Committee, acting together as the Hyatt Regency O’Hare Hotel, Chicago, IL. an electoral college, then VOTED to nominate Members present were: David Card, Dora Costa, Robert Shiller as President-elect, and VOTED Esther Duflo by phone , Steven Durlauf, Amy to recognize Robert Barro, Gregory Chow, Finkelstein, Pinelopi( Goldberg,) Claudia Goldin, Robert J. Gordon, and Richard Zeckhauser as Guido Imbens, Anil Kashyap, Jonathan Levin, Distinguished Fellows of the Association. The N. Gregory Mankiw, Rosa Matzkin, William President requested that the Secretary-Treasurer Nordhaus, Andrew Postlewaite, Peter Rousseau, revise the guidelines provided to the committee Matthew Shapiro, Christopher Sims, and Richard to reflect current practices more closely. Thaler. Alan Auerbach, Judith Chevalier, Henry Report of the Committee on Honors and Farber, and Jonathan Skinner participated in part Awards Auerbach . Auerbach explained that of the meeting and Andrew Abel, Susan Athey, nominations( for the) — Clark Medal were solic- and David Laibson participated by phone as ited from economics department heads of major members of the Honors and Awards Committee. research universities. The Honors and Awards Orley Ashenfelter participated in part of the Committee Auerbach chair , Abel, Athey, meeting as chair of the Nominating Committee. -
Ten Nobel Laureates Say the Bush
Hundreds of economists across the nation agree. Henry Aaron, The Brookings Institution; Katharine Abraham, University of Maryland; Frank Ackerman, Global Development and Environment Institute; William James Adams, University of Michigan; Earl W. Adams, Allegheny College; Irma Adelman, University of California – Berkeley; Moshe Adler, Fiscal Policy Institute; Behrooz Afraslabi, Allegheny College; Randy Albelda, University of Massachusetts – Boston; Polly R. Allen, University of Connecticut; Gar Alperovitz, University of Maryland; Alice H. Amsden, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Robert M. Anderson, University of California; Ralph Andreano, University of Wisconsin; Laura M. Argys, University of Colorado – Denver; Robert K. Arnold, Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy; David Arsen, Michigan State University; Michael Ash, University of Massachusetts – Amherst; Alice Audie-Figueroa, International Union, UAW; Robert L. Axtell, The Brookings Institution; M.V. Lee Badgett, University of Massachusetts – Amherst; Ron Baiman, University of Illinois – Chicago; Dean Baker, Center for Economic and Policy Research; Drucilla K. Barker, Hollins University; David Barkin, Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana – Unidad Xochimilco; William A. Barnett, University of Kansas and Washington University; Timothy J. Bartik, Upjohn Institute; Bradley W. Bateman, Grinnell College; Francis M. Bator, Harvard University Kennedy School of Government; Sandy Baum, Skidmore College; William J. Baumol, New York University; Randolph T. Beard, Auburn University; Michael Behr; Michael H. Belzer, Wayne State University; Arthur Benavie, University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill; Peter Berg, Michigan State University; Alexandra Bernasek, Colorado State University; Michael A. Bernstein, University of California – San Diego; Jared Bernstein, Economic Policy Institute; Rari Bhandari, University of California – Berkeley; Melissa Binder, University of New Mexico; Peter Birckmayer, SUNY – Empire State College; L. -
How the Rational Expectations Revolution Has Enriched
How the Rational Expectations Revolution Has Changed Macroeconomic Policy Research by John B. Taylor STANFORD UNIVERSITY Revised Draft: February 29, 2000 Written versions of lecture presented at the 12th World Congress of the International Economic Association, Buenos Aires, Argentina, August 24, 1999. I am grateful to Jacques Dreze for helpful comments on an earlier draft. The rational expectations hypothesis is by far the most common expectations assumption used in macroeconomic research today. This hypothesis, which simply states that people's expectations are the same as the forecasts of the model being used to describe those people, was first put forth and used in models of competitive product markets by John Muth in the 1960s. But it was not until the early 1970s that Robert Lucas (1972, 1976) incorporated the rational expectations assumption into macroeconomics and showed how to make it operational mathematically. The “rational expectations revolution” is now as old as the Keynesian revolution was when Robert Lucas first brought rational expectations to macroeconomics. This rational expectations revolution has led to many different schools of macroeconomic research. The new classical economics school, the real business cycle school, the new Keynesian economics school, the new political macroeconomics school, and more recently the new neoclassical synthesis (Goodfriend and King (1997)) can all be traced to the introduction of rational expectations into macroeconomics in the early 1970s (see the discussion by Snowden and Vane (1999), pp. 30-50). In this lecture, which is part of the theme on "The Current State of Macroeconomics" at the 12th World Congress of the International Economic Association, I address a question that I am frequently asked by students and by "non-macroeconomist" colleagues, and that I suspect may be on many people's minds. -
Symposium Proceedings, 1998: Income Inequality: Issues And
The Contributors A.B. Atkinson, Warden, Nuffield College, Oxford University Mr. Atkinson is currently serving as warden of Nuffield College, Oxford University. Previously, he was professor of political econ- omy at the University of Cambridge, and chairman of the Suntory Toyota International Centre at the London School of Economics. A fellow of the British Academy, he is a past president of the Royal Economic Society, the Econometric Society, the European Eco- nomic Association, and the International Economic Association. He has served on the Royal Commission on the Distribution of Income and Wealth, the Pension Law Review Committee, and the Commis- sion on Social Justice. He is also the author or co-author of a number of books dealing with public economic issues and income distribution. Alan S. Blinder, Professor, Princeton University Mr. Blinder is the Gordon S. Rentschler Memorial Professor of Economics and co-director and founder of the Center for Economic Policy Studies at Princeton University where he has been a member of the faculty since 1971. He is also vice chairman of the G-7 Group. Between June 1994 and January 1996, he was vice chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Before joining the Board, he was a member of President Clinton’s Council of Eco- nomic Advisers where he was in charge of macroeconomic forecast- ing and also worked on budget, international trade, and health care issues. Mr. Blinder is the author or co-author of 12 books and scores ix x Contributors of articles on such topics as fiscal policy, monetary policy, and the distribution of income. -
Learning, Career Paths, and the Distribution of Wages†
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2019, 11(1): 49–88 https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20170390 Learning, Career Paths, and the Distribution of Wages† By Santiago Caicedo, Robert E. Lucas Jr., and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg* We develop a theory of career paths and earnings where agents organize in production hierarchies. Agents climb these hierarchies as they learn stochastically from others. Earnings grow as agents acquire knowledge and occupy positions with more subordinates. We contrast these and other implications with US census data for the period 1990 to 2010, matching the Lorenz curve of earnings and the observed mean experience-earnings profiles. We show the increase in wage inequality over this period can be rationalized with a shift in the level of the complexity and profitability of technologies relative to the distribution of knowledge in the population. JEL D83, E24, J24, J31 ( ) his paper develops a new model of an economy that generates sustained pro- Tductivity growth. One distinctive feature of the model is that all knowledge in the economy is held by the individual people who comprise it: there is no abstract technology hovering above them in the ether. A second feature, necessarily involv- ing heterogeneous labor, is a kind of complementarity in production involving peo- ple with different skill levels: the marginal product of any one person is contingent on the people he works with. A third feature, closely related to the second, is that improvements over time in individual skill levels depend on imitation or stimulation or inspiration from other people in the economy. All growth is taken to arise from this force. -
Introduction of Joseph Stiglitz Jason Furman Chairman, Council Of
Introduction of Joseph Stiglitz Jason Furman Chairman, Council of Economic Advisers Sixth Annual Moynihan Prize Award Ceremony American Academy of Political and Social Science Washington, D.C. May 8, 2014 As prepared for delivery I am honored to be introducing my friend Joe Stiglitz as he accepts this acknowledgement of the enormous impact his work has had on public policy and the broader public dialogue. Since I expect that Joe’s speech will be critical of inequality, I want to point out one area where the limited degree of inequality is truly an injustice. Maybe not the world’s largest injustice, but an injustice nonetheless. I am talking about the awarding of the Nobel Prize for Economic Sciences. And the injustice is exemplified by the fact that Joe only has one more Nobel Prize than I do. If the Nobel Prize was awarded on merit Joe would have won more of them, including for his contributions to public finance, macroeconomics and other areas. In fact, we are lucky that Joe has conducted his research so tenaciously in the face of what is de facto a 50 to 75 percent tax rate on the prize- winning ideas he generates. Frequently when someone turns up what seems like a new idea in economics, it turns out that Joe had already explored the terrain decades before. For example, Joe published part of his dissertation in Econometrica, the top technical journal in economics, in 1969. The article was entitled “Distribution of Income and Wealth Among Individuals” and the abstract summarizes the topic as “Implications for the distribution of wealth and income of alternative assumptions about savings, reproduction, inheritance policies, and labor homogeneity are investigated in the context of a neoclassical growth model.” Sounds a bit like a current bestseller, doesn’t it? Reading Joe’s CV is an exercise that falls somewhere between dizzying and humbling.