Understanding and Responding to Wealth Inequality
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Wealth Effect
March 2018 Weighing the Wealth Effect BY MARK ZANDI, BRIAN POI, SCOTT HOYT AND WAYNE BEST Abstract Consumers are powering the U.S. economy’s growth. Businesses, housing, government and global trade are all modestly contributing to growth, but it is the consumer who is key to the economy’s performance. Consumers are not spending with the abandon they did in the boom and bubble prior to the Great Recession, but they are stalwart in their spending. Benefiting consumers are strong economic tailwinds. The job market is healthy, creating lots of jobs across all pay scales in most regions of the country. With unemployment at near 4%, the economy is at full employment. Wage growth has been somewhat disappointing, but it is slowly picking up, and because of low inflation, real wage growth—nominal wage growth less inflation—is improving. Household leverage is low and credit is increasingly ample and cheap. Gasoline prices are off their recent bottom, but they remain low by most historical standards. Another critical tailwind to consumer spending has been rapidly rising asset prices—most important, stock and house values. Stock prices are up a robust 20% over the past 18 months, despite the recent market correction, and 300% since their nadir during the recession. House price gains have also been impressive, rising a robust nearly 10% to new highs over the past 18 months, and 40% since their nadir five years ago. The resulting increase in household wealth has supercharged consumer spending via the so-called wealth effect—the impact on consumer spending of changes in household wealth. -
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Journal of Human Thermodynamics 2013, 9: 43-54 Open Access Journal of Human Thermodynamics ISSN 1559-386X HumanThermodynamics.com/Journal.html Article Natural Law Social Science: A Method of Socioeconomics as an Exact Science Author Stephen Ternyik; Independent researcher, Munich, Germany; Email: [email protected] Received: 31 Jan 2012; Reviewed: 3 Mar-29 May 2013; Published: 31 Dec 2013 Abstract A presentation of a synopsis of socioeconomics as a potential-to-become exact science based on units of time, money, and energy is given. Introduction The social science of natural law, founded on the methodical principles of abstract theoretical reasoning and concrete rational inquiry, is practically a lost science; the basic postulate of natural law science is the one idea that natural law is valid at any cosmic time, i.e. every naturally occurring event is bound to temporality and all social systemic processes are natural events. In this context, a salient attribute is the condition that total entropy change increases for every naturally occurring event, human societal events included, social entropy always increases and there is no economic reversal to original conditions. Overview Instead of a sociology as physical sociology, as French thinker Auguste Comte envisioned in 1838, we have sociological research literature and advanced statistical essays, i.e. social science moved from the dynamic concept of natural law to static methods of perception, observation, and measurement of social events; a classical mathematization and modern computerization of the static method did also not better the research methodology, because ‘as far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality’, as German physicist Albert Einstein pointed out, ‘they are not certain, and as so far they are certain, they do not refer to reality.’ The real advantage of the mathematical method over human language is the qualitative reduction of quantitative knowledge bodies into abstract symbols: formulae, equations, and calculations; Journal of Human Thermodynamics, 2013, Vol. -
What Does the Global Future Hold? Wealth and Income Inequality
What Does the Global Future Hold? Wealth and Income Inequality Facundo Alvaredo Paris School of Economics & IIEP-UBA-Conicet & INET at Oxford UN Environment Programme – International Resource Panel June 10th, 2021 The distribution of personal wealth is receiving a great deal of attention… …after being neglected for many years • US (Kopczuk-Saez, 2004; Saez-Zucman, 2016, 2019) • France (Garbinti-Goupille-Piketty, 2020) • UK (Alvaredo-Atkinson-Morelli, 2017, 2018) • Spain (Alvaredo-Saez, 2010; Martínez Toledano, 2018; Alvaredo-Artola, forthcoming) • Italy (Acciari, Alvaredo, Morelli, 2021) • Denmark, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland • Credit Suisse (Shorrocks and Davis), Allianz, Merrill Lynch, UBS,… reports • ECB/ONS/FRB network of wealth surveys, and related papers and reports • OECD Guidelines for Micro Statistics on Household Wealth and Database • LWS • Etc… Part II trends in Global inCome inequality Figure 2.3.2a top 1% vs. bottom 50% national income shares in the us and Western europe, 1980–2016 US 22% 20% 18% Top 1% US 16% 14% Share of national income (%) income national of Share 12% Bottom 50% US 10% 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Part II trends in Global inCome inequality Reason: increasing recognition that weSource: WID.worldneed (2017). See wir2018.wid.world to look for data series and notes.at capital incomes In 2016, 12% of national income was received by the top 1% in Western Europe, compared to 20% in the United States. In 1980, 10% of national income was received by the top 1% in Western Europe, compared to 11% in the United States. and Figure 2.3.2a not only at earnings top 1% vs. -
Self-Interest in Six Dimensions
Journal of Markets & Morality Volume 23, Number 1 (2020): 173–189 Copyright © 2020 Dylan Pahman Self-Interest Managing Editor, Journal of Markets & Morality in Six Dimensions Research Fellow, Acton Institute Introduction It is a first principle for modern economics that people tend to make decisions based upon calculations of their self-interest. Thus, some critics believe they can topple the whole edifice of modern economics if this presumption is shown to be unsound.1 Other critics more friendly to the discipline have seen challenging self-interest as a revolutionary breakthrough.2 Indeed, Nobel laureates Amartya Sen, Richard Thaler, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, and Vernon Smith have all critiqued the presumption of self-interest in their work. This essay seeks to contribute to the philosophy of economics by both complicating and clarify- ing the topic. First, I contend that there is not now, nor has there ever been, one single defi- nition of self-interest in modern economics. Some definitions may overlap, but often writers simply assume that their definition is the same as everyone else’s, when a modest sampling of various authors reveals that this is demonstrably false. If there is no consistent definition of self-interest in economics, then critiques of one particular definition do not succeed in indicting the whole discipline.3 Lest economists breathe a sigh of relief, however, I contend that this is a much bigger problem: If researchers do not all hold the same basic definition, how are they able to contribute to the same body of scholarship? Any two studies of self- interest in the social sciences may take fundamentally incompatible definitions as given, meaning that their findings, though they may be insightful on their own, 173 Dylan Pahman are incomparable with each other—they do not advance our knowledge of the same phenomenon, despite using the same term. -
Lifecycle Patterns of Saving and Wealth Accumulation
Finance and Economics Discussion Series Divisions of Research & Statistics and Monetary Affairs Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C. Lifecycle Patterns of Saving and Wealth Accumulation Laura Feiveson and John Sabelhaus 2019-010 Please cite this paper as: Feiveson, Laura, and John Sabelhaus (2019). \Lifecycle Patterns of Saving and Wealth Accumulation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-010. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2019.010r1. NOTE: Staff working papers in the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS) are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The analysis and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff or the Board of Governors. References in publications to the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (other than acknowledgement) should be cleared with the author(s) to protect the tentative character of these papers. Lifecycle Patterns of Saving and Wealth Accumulation Laura Feiveson John Sabelhaus July 2019 Abstract Empirical analysis of U.S. income, saving and wealth dynamics is constrained by a lack of high- quality and comprehensive household-level panel data. This paper uses a pseudo-panel approach, tracking types of agents by birth cohort and across time through a series of cross-section snapshots synthesized with macro aggregates. The key micro source data is the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), which captures the top of the wealth distribution by sampling from administrative records. The SCF has the detailed balance sheet components, incomes, and interfamily transfers needed to use both sides of the intertemporal budget constraint and thus solve for saving and consumption. -
Fabian Report on a Wealth
FABIAN POLICY REPORT A UNIQUE CONTRIBUTION Reducing budget deficits and tackling inequality with a one-off wealth tax, by Nick Donovan. Foreword by Dan Jarvis MP. About the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung The Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung is a non-profit German political foundation committed to the advancement of public policy issues in the spirit of the basic values of social democracy through research, education, and international cooperation. The FES, headquartered in Berlin and Bonn, has 13 regional offices throughout Germany and maintains an international network of offices in more than 100 countries. Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung 44 Charlotte Street London W1T 2NR T: +44 (0) 20 7612 1900 [email protected] www.feslondon.org.uk ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS CONTENTS I would like to thank Professor Sir Anthony Atkinson for Preface 2 pointing me towards the history of Labour’s one-off taxes on unearned income; Dr Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger, Foreword 3 Deputy director of the Austrian Institute of Economic Summary 4 Research for helpful comments on an earlier draft; Andrew Introduction 6 Harrop and Ed Wallis of the Fabian Society, Ulrich Storck and Silke Breimaier of the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, and Max 1 The scale of the fiscal challenge 8 Lawson and David Quentin for their invaluable help and 2 Wealth in the UK 10 advice. Any errors that remain in this report are mine alone. 3 Wealth taxes 14 4 Proposal for a one-off levy on passive wealth 18 5 Discussion 22 Conclusion 26 Endnotes 27 ABOUT THE AUTHOR Nick Donovan is campaign director at Global Witness, an anti-corruption NGO. Previously he was assistant director at the Royal British Legion – following military service in a bomb disposal team in Iraq. -
Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption: Stock and Housing Market Channels
International Journal of Financial Studies Article Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption: Stock and Housing Market Channels Yener Coskun 1,* ID , Burak Sencer Atasoy 2 ID , Giacomo Morri 3 and Esra Alp 4 1 Capital Markets Board of Turkey and Middle East Technical University, Eski¸sehirYolu 8.Km No:156, Ankara 06530, Turkey 2 Turkish Treasury, Inonu Blv. No 36 Emek, Ankara 06510, Turkey; [email protected] 3 SDA Bocconi School of Management, 20136 Milano, Italy; [email protected] 4 Economics Department, Social Sciences Institute, Dokuz Eylül University, Izmir 35160, Turkey; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 22 December 2017; Accepted: 22 May 2018; Published: 5 June 2018 Abstract: The study primarily explores the linkage between wealth effects, arising from stock and housing market channels, and household final consumption for 11 advanced countries over the period from 1970 Q1 to 2015 Q4. As a modelling strategy, we employ regression analysis through the common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) estimator, as well as Durbin–Hausman cointegration and Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) causality tests. The study provides various pieces of evidence through whole-panel and country-level analyses. In this respect, we find that consumption is mostly explained by income and housing wealth is positively and significantly correlated with consumption. As counter-intuitive evidence, we detect a negative linkage between consumption and stock wealth. The evidence also suggests a long-run cointegration relationship among consumption, income, interest rates, housing wealth, and stock wealth. Moreover, we find bidirectional causality between consumption and income, stock wealth, housing wealth, and interest rates. -
THÔNG BÁO ĐỊA CHỈ TRUY CẬP SÁCH ĐIỆN TỬ 1. Sách Điện Tử
THÔNG BÁO ĐỊA CHỈ TRUY CẬP SÁCH ĐIỆN TỬ 1. Sách điện tử Anmol Publications Địa chỉ: http://www.igpublish.com/anmol-ebooks Lưu ý: chỉ truy cập được từ các máy tính nối mạng tại NEU trong các dải IP sau: 117.6.72.23 - 117.6.72.24 - 118.70.131.111 - 118.70.131.113 - 203.162.174.176/28 - 123.30.16.80/28 Năm STT Tên sách Tác giả ISBN13 xuất bản 1 Managing hospitality operations Mohinder Chand 9788126137473 2009 2 Regional economics & regional planning O.S. Shrivastava 9788126140459 2009 3 Theory and practices of professional housekeeping Sunita Srinivasan 9788126139262 2009 4 Advertising and hotel management M.C. Metti 9788126132515 2008 5 Catering: Housekeeping and hotel management M.C. Metti 9788126132492 2008 6 Customer service and hotel management M.C. Metti 9788126132485 2008 7 Environmental management in hospitality M.C. Metti 9788126132454 2008 8 Hospitality and facilities in hotel management M.C. Metti 9788126132478 2008 9 Hospitality and food management M.C. Metti 9788126132430 2008 10 Hospitality and tourism management systems M.C. Metti 9788126132423 2008 11 Hospitality financial management M.C. Metti 9788126132416 2008 12 Hotel accounting M.C. Metti 9788126132324 2008 13 Hotel and motel professional management M.C. Metti 9788126132959 2008 14 Hotel and public relations M.C. Metti 9788126132393 2008 15 Hotel front office management M.C. Metti 9788126132386 2008 16 Hotel management and administration M.C. Metti 9788126132508 2008 17 Hotel management and catering M.C. Metti 9788126132379 2008 18 Hotel management: Principles and guidelines M.C. Metti 9788126132300 2008 19 Hotel management sales and marketing service M.C. -
Why Money Trickles up – Wealth & Income Distributions
Why Money Trickles Up – Wealth & Income Distributions Geoff Willis The right of Geoffrey Michael Willis to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. 0.0 Abstract This paper combines ideas from classical economics and modern finance with the general Lotka-Volterra models of Levy & Solomon to provide straightforward explanations of wealth and income distributions. Using a simple and realistic economic formulation, the distributions of both wealth and income are fully explained. Both the power tail and the log-normal like body are fully captured. It is of note that the full distribution, including the power law tail, is created via the use of absolutely identical agents. It is further demonstrated that a simple scheme of compulsory saving could eliminate poverty at little cost to the taxpayer. 0.1 Contents 0.0 Abstract 0.1 Contents 0.2 Introduction 0.3 Structure of Paper 1.1 Wealth & Income Data – Empirical Information 1.2 Lotka-Volterra and General Lotka-Volterra Systems 1.3 Wealth & Income Models - Modelling 1.4 Wealth & Income Models - Results 1.5 Wealth & Income Models - Discussion 1.6 Enter Sir Bowley - Labour and Capital 1.7 Modifying Wealth and Income Distributions 11. The Logic of Science 12. History and Acknowledgements 15. References 16. Figures 2 0.2 Introduction This paper is a condensed extract from the full paper 'Why Money Trickles Up' which is available at econodynamics.org. This paper is formed from the first section of the full paper, but has been edited down significantly. -
Wealth, Income, Earnings and the Statistical Mechanics of Flow Systems
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Munich RePEc Personal Archive MPRA Munich Personal RePEc Archive Wealth, income, earnings and the statistical mechanics of flow systems Geoff Willis 26. May 2011 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/31139/ MPRA Paper No. 31139, posted 26. May 2011 19:00 UTC Wealth, Income, Earnings and the Statistical Mechanics of Flow Systems Geoff Willis The right of Geoffrey Michael Willis to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. 0.0 Abstract This paper looks at empirical data from economics regarding wealth, earnings and income, alongside a flow model for an economy based on the general Lotka-Volterra models of Levy & Solomon. The data and modelling suggest that a simple economic system might provide a tractable model for giving an exact statistical mechanical solution for an 'out of equilibrium' flow model. This might also include an exact mathematical definition of a 'dissipative structure' derived from maximum entropy considerations. This paper is primarily a qualitative discussion of how such a mathematical proof might be achieved. Contents 0.2 Introduction 1.1 Wealth & Income Data – Empirical Information 1.2 Lotka-Volterra and General Lotka-Volterra Systems 1.3 Wealth & Income Modelling 7.3 Maximum Entropy Production 7.4 The Statistical Mechanics of Flow Systems 11. Conclusion 15. References 16. Figures 2 0.2 Introduction This paper is a condensed extract from the full paper 'Why Money Trickles Up' which is available at econodynamics.org. -
Wealth Effects on Consumption Across the Wealth Distribution: Empirical Evidence
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Arrondel, Luc; Lamarche, Pierre; Savignac, Frédérique Working Paper Wealth effects on consumption across the wealth distribution: empirical evidence ECB Working Paper, No. 1817 Provided in Cooperation with: European Central Bank (ECB) Suggested Citation: Arrondel, Luc; Lamarche, Pierre; Savignac, Frédérique (2015) : Wealth effects on consumption across the wealth distribution: empirical evidence, ECB Working Paper, No. 1817, ISBN 978-92-899-1630-1, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M. This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/154250 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Working Paper Series Luc Arrondel, Pierre Lamarche and Wealth effects on consumption Frédérique Savignac across the wealth distribution: empirical evidence No 1817 / June 2015 Note: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the European Central Bank (ECB). -
Mathematical Economics • Vasily E
Mathematical Economics • Vasily E. • Vasily Tarasov Mathematical Economics Application of Fractional Calculus Edited by Vasily E. Tarasov Printed Edition of the Special Issue Published in Mathematics www.mdpi.com/journal/mathematics Mathematical Economics Mathematical Economics Application of Fractional Calculus Special Issue Editor Vasily E. Tarasov MDPI • Basel • Beijing • Wuhan • Barcelona • Belgrade • Manchester • Tokyo • Cluj • Tianjin Special Issue Editor Vasily E. Tarasov Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Physics, Lomonosov Moscow State University Information Technologies and Applied Mathematics Faculty, Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University) Russia Editorial Office MDPI St. Alban-Anlage 66 4052 Basel, Switzerland This is a reprint of articles from the Special Issue published online in the open access journal Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390) (available at: https://www.mdpi.com/journal/mathematics/special issues/Mathematical Economics). For citation purposes, cite each article independently as indicated on the article page online and as indicated below: LastName, A.A.; LastName, B.B.; LastName, C.C. Article Title. Journal Name Year, Article Number, Page Range. ISBN 978-3-03936-118-2 (Pbk) ISBN 978-3-03936-119-9 (PDF) c 2020 by the authors. Articles in this book are Open Access and distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which allows users to download, copy and build upon published articles, as long as the author and publisher are properly credited, which ensures maximum dissemination and a wider impact of our publications. The book as a whole is distributed by MDPI under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons license CC BY-NC-ND. Contents About the Special Issue Editor ...................................... vii Vasily E.