Aubrey Matshiqi Senior Associate Political Analyst (Centre for Policy Studies)

Helen suzman Foundation Contents

4 Profiles

8 introduCTION BY Raenette Taljaard

10 XOLELA MANGCU Executive Chairman: Platform for Public Deliberation (WITS University)

14 aubrey matshiqi Senior Associate Political Analyst (Centre for Policy Studies)

20 PROF. steven friedman Research Associate (IDASA), Visiting Professor of Politics (Rhodes University)

24 zwelethu jolobe Lecturer in Comparative Politics (UCT)

26 bantU holomisa Leader: United Democratic Movement (UDM)

30 discussion

38 media coverage

39 relevant ARTICLES

This Quarterly Roundtable Series monograph is published by The Helen Suzman Foundation. ISSN 1996-1170 Board of Trustees: Hylton Appelbaum, Wendy Appelbaum, Doug Band, Colin Eglin, Rachel Jafta, Patricia de Lille, Temba Nolutshungu, Sipho Seepe, Mary Slack, Richard Steyn and David Unterhalter Director and Editor-in-Chief: Raenette Taljaard Managing Editors: Lore Watterson, Chris Watterson - DeskLink™ Editorial Board: Wendy Appelbaum, Gillian Godsell, William M Gumede, Raymond Louw, Howard Preece, Lawrence Schlemmer, Sipho Seepe, Mary Slack, Alfred Stadler and Richard Steyn Cover picture: Painting by Solomon Siko, courtesy of The Cape Gallery, [email protected]. The Helen Suzman Foundation is grateful to the late Solomon Siko for allowing us to use this wonderful art work. Design & Layout: DeskLink™ Media Photography: R. Roberts Printers: Colorpress (Pty) Ltd Cartoons: The Helen Suzman Foundation is grateful to Zapiro for allowing us to reprint so many of his cartoons. The Helen Suzman Foundation is grateful to the Cape Times, The Star, Business Day and the Cape Argus for allowing us to reprint their articles.

3 Profiles

Xolela Mangcu Aubrey Matshiqi

Dr Xolela Mangcu is a Visiting Fellow at Aubrey Mongameli Matshiqi was born in the Public Intellectual Life Project and a November 1962, in Orlando West, Soweto. Resident Equity Scholar at the University of He is a former mathematics, science and English the Witwatersrand. He is Visiting WEB Du teacher. Towards the end of his teaching career Bois Fellow at Harvard University and writes he obtained a degree in English literature and a regular weekly column for Business Day. history. He started his Masters in politics with Dr Mangcu was most recently Distinguished the University of Port Elizabeth in 2000 but Research Fellow and Executive Director for could not complete it. Society, Culture and Identity at the Human He is a former government spokesperson and a Sciences Research Council. Prior to that member of the Strategy Unit in the Premier's he served as the Executive Director of the Office in Gauteng. Steve Biko Foundation; Associate Editor and He was, until recently, an independent political columnist for the Sunday Independent, and a analyst and is now a Senior Associate Political Senior Analyst at the Centre for Policy Studies Analyst at the Centre for Policy Studies. in Johannesburg. His services as an analyst are used by local Dr Mangcu holds a Ph.D in City Planning from and international media, government, political Cornell University, and has held fellowships parties, policy institutes, academic institutions, at Harvard University, the Massachusetts foreign embassies and the corporate sector. Institute of Technology, and the Rockefeller He writes regularly for various publications

Foundationxolela mangcu in New York. He also holds BA and (including a column in the Business Day) and MSc (Development Planning) degrees from the often addresses seminars and conferences. University of the Witwatersrand (Wits). He was previously involved in leadership and His publications include the Meaning of other capacities in the UDF, the ANC, Umkhonto Mandela (a collection of public lectures by Wole weSizwe, the student movement (AZASO), the Soyinka, Henry Louis Gates Jr and Cornel civic movement, the union movement and the West), and Emerging Johannesburg (with South African Communist Party. Richard Tomlinson, Robert Beauregard and Lindsay Bremner). aubrey matshiqi

4 Steven Friedman Zwelethu Jolobe

Steven Friedman is a research associate, Zwelethu Jolobe holds a masters degree in Institute for Democracy in South Africa international relations from the University of (Idasa) and Visiting Professor of Politics and Cape Town (UCT) and is currently doing a PhD International Relations at Rhodes University. at UCT. His doctoral research topic involves Prior to that he was senior research fellow at the refining theory on constitutional engineering and Centre for Policy Studies, an independent, non- constitutional negotiations looking in particular profit, policy research centre. at cases of South Africa and Zimbabwe. He is He is a former consultant on urban politics to the a lecturer in Comparative Politics at UCT’s Urbanisation Unit of the Urban Foundation and Department of Political Studies. Zwelethu is a to the Development Bank of Southern Africa. regular commentator and political analyst on He was national head of the Information Western Cape and Cape Town electoral politics, Analysis Department of the Independent local and provincial government and national Electoral Commission and a member of the political and policy trends. Commission on Provincial Government think- tank which explored constitutional options relevant to provincial government. He is a member of the international research council, International Forum for Democratic Studies, Washington DC, and is an editorial board member of the Journal of Democracy. Friedman publishes widely. steven friedman zwelethu jolobe

5 Profiles

PumuleleB antuMalu Holomisa Raenette Taljaard

Major General (Retired) H Bantubonke (Bantu) Raenette Taljaard is the director of The Helen Holomisa co-founded the United Democratic Suzman Foundation. Taljaard, a former DA MP, Movement (UDM) in 1997 and currently serves served as Shadow Minister of Finance from 2002 as its President. He was chosen by the ANC and was a member of the Portfolio Committee Election Committee to campaign alongside Nelson on Finance. She also served on numerous Mandela, Thabo Mbeki, Cyril Ramaphosa and other parliamentary committees, including the Winnie Madikizela-Mandela and other alliance Standing Committee on Public Accounts during leaders during the democratic election in 1994. He the arms deal investigation. received the most votes in the 1994 ANC National Congress and served as the Deputy Minister of Taljaard lectures part-time at the University Environment and Tourism of South Africa in the of the Witwatersrand’s School of Public and Government of National Unity. Mr. Holomisa was Development Management and locally and expelled from the ANC in 1996 after testifying abroad on the regulation of private military and at the TRC about Transkei issues and refused to security companies. retract his testimony. Mr. Holomisa is a respected Member of Parliament and party leader and has Taljaard is a Yale World Fellow, a Fellow of the addressed various international forums, mediated Emerging Leaders Programme of the Centre for conflicts and acted as a key election monitor in Leadership and Public Values (UCT’s Graduate the June 2007 elections in East Timor. School of Business and Duke University) and a Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum. raenette taljaard

Taljaard holds a BA in Law, RAU (University of Johannesburg), a BA (Hons) in Political Science, cum laude, RAU (University of banto holomisa Johannesburg), an MA in Political Science, cum laude, RAU (University of Johannesburg) and an MSc in Public Administration and Public Policy, cum laude, London School of Economics and Political Science.

Taljaard publishes widely.

6 Helen suzman Foundation Refinement or fundamental redesign? The future of the provinces

7 Introduction

t is a great honour for us to host the last of the Helen Suzman Foundation's Quarterly Roundtable Series for 2007. We're doing it at a rather opportune time, a few days be- Ifore the kick-off, no pun intended, of the Polokwane Conference. We’ve asked some of the best and brightest analytical minds in our contemporary political environment to join us in a discussion on “The Final Stretch”. We literally are in the final stretch, and there are very interesting events emerging. We have Winnie Madikizela Mandela trying to broker agreements between the Mbeki and Zuma camps. We have various interesting issues emerging in the Free State with respect to delegates who may or may not be voting, and that may stretch to other provinces. We have equally fascinating developments with reference to the ANC Women's League, and the possibility of the parity principle being adopted in Polokwane. All these factors could have a bearing on the events that will unfold in the next few days. As a nation we're obviously in rapt attention to see what the outcome of this process will be. This decision will have an impact on all of our lives.

8 “As a nation we're obviously in rapt attention to see what the outcome of this process will be. This decision will have an impact on all of our lives.” Introduction

I'd like to welcome everybody on our panel here today, starting with a former parliamentary colleague, and friend in that regard, and certainly an analytical mind in Parliament I greatly respect: General Bantu Holomisa, who needs very little introduction. He is the leader of the UDM [United Democratic Movement] in Parliament and also a former member of the ANC, and therefore has some interesting insights to offer us in that regard. Zwelethu Jolobe is a lecturer in Comparative Politics at the University of Cape Town, and many of you will have noticed Zwelethu in the commentary and political analysis leading into Polokwane. Prof Steven Friedman is a visiting research associate at IDASA [Institute for Democracy in South Africa] and also at Rhodes University, and he is certainly, again, one of the most respected analysts on this topic. In particular, he has written extensively about the issues relating to the democratic principles that are being established en route to Polokwane, and not only about the popularity contest in terms of who may emerge as the leader. Aubrey Matshiqi has had various incarnations and roles both within both party structures and government, and civil society. He was a strategy consultant in the Cabinet unit of the Premier in Gauteng, and is now an analyst at the Centre for Policy Studies. Xolela Mangcu started the Platform for Public Deliberation at Wits University, which has played a very important role in catalysing issues of discussion around succession this year, and we're very pleased that Xolela could join us.

Without any further ado, I'll hand over to my panellists.

Raenette Taljaard

9 10

Xolela MangcuXolela the fat lady sings, but it seems to me that me to seems it but sings, lady fat the until over never it's say they And that. of beneficiary ultimate the became Zuma Jacob and tailspin, a into got really process The right. was I that course, of out, turns it And position. Frene's was prevail would heads rational more that idea the but whoever, Pallo, or Cyril or Tokyo maybe emerge, would else somebody then deal, arranged of kind some be to were there if course, Of Zuma. Jacob be would tailspin leadership a called then I what of beneficiary the be would who person the that was said I What her. to that do wouldn't I that except public, in shoes her eat to have might she that me to seems It ANC.” the know don't “You talk, ANC-people typical in said, Frene And control. under back it bring to emerge would elders or leaders senior that happen to going not was it and control, of out was process this that said I Ginwala. Frene with wager a into entered I year, the of beginning the at Times Sunday the for discussion panel a At another. or way one degree, some to fate, our decide people 000 4 of group a as spectators are us of most W collective life, and of course of and life, collective our of moments defining and important more the of one of eve the on are we here ell, Mangcu that's just philosophically interesting, is the is interesting, philosophically just that's table, the on put to like I'd that question A actually. not, think I country. this over oneindividual isgoing todoashepleases concernedbytheobsession with theidea that Zumaistaking thecountry down. amSoI Committee]oftheANC just sitting bywhile imaginetheNEC [National Executive actmore likeParliament, a andcannotI Parliamentshould getits act together and bepicking upeverything hesays ordoes. institutionsinthis society. Themedia will goingtobebeyond therecall rangeofa of them.There isnowaythat Jacob Zuma is anyoneindividual just runroughshod over thatthepeople ofthis country will notlet demonstrates ways many in which Mbeki, what'shappening nowwith respect toThabo of because precisely is that saying I’m reason I'msaying thefear isoverdone, andthe campaigning. political of part it's dubious; sometimes, and, good reasons, of kinds all for opponent your fear people make you that politics of nature the ways, many in is, It history. in course, of parallels, interesting some got It's Zuma. Jacob around fear of politics the of playing the scaremongering, the by concerned I'm that is second The make. to like I'd point first the That's thing. this for shoo-in a is Zuma Jacob inhistory.” parallels,ofcourse, I feararound playingofthepolitics of the scaremongering, the by concerned “I'm t'sgotsome interesting J acob Z uma. whether there is an automatic extrapolation “So I am concerned by the from somebody's private morality to their public leadership. In other words, does the obsession with the idea that fact that Jacob Zuma may have 18 wives or one individual is going to whatever number of children translate into his being a bad president for a country? Is do as he pleases over this there an automatic translation of one into country. I think not, actually.” the other? I have a little bit of a nuance in answering that, because you always have to be careful with these things just in case absent from work for weeks and weeks you're misquoted by the newspapers. because he was drunk. That's a case where somebody's private behaviour basically It goes something like this: while private incapacitates them, and I'm sure there were morality may hobble an individual's a whole range of other leaders who were capacity to lead, public leadership cannot hobbled by that. be reduced to private morality. And what do I mean by that? For the first part, The second part of my formulation, however, one example that I like is from the 19th is that public leadership cannot be reduced century in the United States, when Martin to an individual's private morality. So we van Buren was Vice-President and then, need to problematise this relationship, ultimately, President, was known to be and I think in South Africa we don't, we

11 Xolela Mangcu 12 Xolela Mangcu broader political questions? political broader these asking of instead long so for it on hang we do why statement, stupid seriously a is that while really, Because, shower. a taking about something said he that fact the than rather with, engage to like I'd that questions the are Those not. or intolerant is person this whether not, or corrupt incorrigibly is person this whether not, or democrat a is person this whether are these And questions. political more the call I what but – concerns have always should we course, of concerns, are there – fears these of none is else anything than more poses Zuma Jacob question the that me to seems it that is make to want I point The France. remade literally Mitterrand Francois and FDR, about talk you if actually, good, for – ways many in century 20th the of face the changed basically who people as history in down gone They've you? can achievements, public their from away took it that say really cannot you France, in Mitterrand Francois and Clinton, Bill and many, had who Kennedy, F John or mistress, a had who example, for Roosevelt, D] [Franklin at examples, historical at look you If other. the to one from jump just or not.” or personisintolerant corruptornot, whether this thisperson isincorrigibly democratornot, whether whetherthis person isa questions. I haveconcerns but–what course,weshould always there– areconcerns, of elseisnone ofthese fears posesmore than anything thequestion isthat itseems tomethat “ call themore political T hepoint A I want tomake ndthese are J acob Z uma Xolela13 Mangcu 14

Aubrey MatshiqiAubrey I own conference, the MEC for Education, it it Education, for MEC the conference, own its had Gauteng in here ANC the when ago, weeks few a that, is possible is it say I reason The unlikely. highly is it that is view my but process, nomination the of result the reverse will Mbeki that possible always is It Polokwane. in continue will and on, going certainly is that lobbying the of because Polokwane in outcome different a have will you that possibility the out rule cannot you course, of Now, battle. succession the in support of balance the of sense clearer a us give to was did process nomination the what And ANC. the of President as Mbeki Thabo of re-election the to opposition in current strong very a represents also It country. the of presidency the and party the of presidency the power; of centres two the separating of idea the to opposition in current strong very a represents me, for resolution, the of subtext the but reason, a for diplomatic was think I and diplomatic, quite was language The 2009. in State of Head for nominee party's the be should Polokwane in party the of President elected is who person the preferably that saying resolution a passed know, you as which, Conference, Policy National going back to June to the ANC ANC the to June to back going firstly, by, them read I Personally, process. nomination ANC the of results the with start will Matshiqi succession battle.” succession balanceofsupport inthe clearerusa sense ofthe processdidwas togive “ proxy argument in opposition to Zuma's to opposition in argument proxy a was theirs because League Women's the by Zuma of nomination the against protest in similarly out came who people are there Secondly, equality. gender to committed are they because simply voted League Women's the which in way the against protest in out come have who people are there that is first The that. about said be to things two only are there think I because League, Women's the on time much too spend to us want don't I that. in reflected been have to seems President party as Mbeki of re-election the to opposition of current this So poorly. quite did Mbeki well, very did Zuma where provinces in but well, equally almost did Zuma well, did Mbeki where provinces in that fact the is process nomination the of outcome the about interesting also is what But so. think not do I Likely? yes. possible, It's election. an to prior hours of matter a in decisively shift can support of balance the conferences, ANC to comes it when that is lesson the And victory impending her celebrate to election the before night the party a hosted she know, I as far as that so, much So Mashatile. Paul Finance, for MEC the beat would she that conclusion foregone a was It province. this in ANC the of Chair elected be would thought, was W hatthenomination presidential ambitions. In other words, what as pure Xhosa – the Bhaca, the Mpondo, and we have in that case is a situation where so on. In fact, during the campaign in the people are disguising their opposition to Eastern Cape, there were those said, “vote Zuma as a commitment to gender equality. for Mbeki because he is one of us”, meaning I wrote a column in which I explained he's a Xhosa. And some would say well, no, further what I think happened there. actually, his ancestors came from KwaZulu- Natal. So there are interesting intra-ethnic The Eastern Cape result is interesting. Prior dynamics about what happened in the to the conference there was an assumption Eastern Cape. that the ethnic factor may come to the fore, and I think the fact that Zuma did as well Then you wake up and read in the as he did in the Eastern Cape kills the Financial Mail: “Be afraid.” Here I concur ethnic argument. The question is whether with Xolela. There has been an emerging it kills the intra-ethnic argument. If you class consensus about Zuma since 2005, look at the branches that voted for Zuma, and it has become a desperate state which branches are those in terms of the of panic because of the results of the intra-ethnic dynamic? So the result kills nomination process. My view, as far as the the ethnic argument, but I don't think it fears of international investors go, is that kills the intra-ethnic argument as far as the Zuma will have very little room to tilt ANC dynamics among the Xhosas in the Eastern policy in any decisive way towards the left, Cape are concerned. The OR Tambo Region, because the left lacks the qualitative and specifically, and other branches that mainly quantitative presence it requires in the voted for him, in terms of the internal Xhosa structures of the ANC in order to effect dynamics, are people who are not regarded such a shift in policy. Aubrey Matshiqi

15 Secondly, he himself is a philosophical But while I am not concerned about shifts conservative, who is unlikely to shift ANC in the policy content of the ANC, I have policy in any decisive way towards the certain worries, which arise from my view left. In his own words, he has said that that it matters less who the personality is, he supports Mbeki's policies, especially who will win the battle, and matters more Mbeki's economic policies, and therefore what the margin of victory will be. Anyone M atshiqi the support that he has received from the who wins by a wide margin or a very wide left has no ideological basis whatsoever. margin will then have the capacity to It represents what we have been talking impose his political agenda on the party, about as the anti-establishment impulse. on the tripartite alliance, and possibly even on the state, even while Mbeki is still head I'm beginning to think that the tension of state. in the party is not a tension between the establishment and those who represent an A narrow margin means the victors must anti-establishment impulse. I think both negotiate that agenda with the losers, candidates represent the establishment, which of course portends conditions of and therefore what we have is a tension both stability and instability. Let's say it within the establishment. And therefore if turns out that we analysts are nothing we are looking for an anti-establishment but fountains of error as far as this issue option, we are not going to find it in Zuma. is concerned, and Mbeki wins. Are Zuma We will have to wait for him to finish his supporters going to accept the outcome, term, if he's elected, of course, for such especially if Mbeki wins by a narrow an impulse to emerge genuinely within margin? I doubt that. And it is quite

A ubrey the ANC. possible that if Mbeki wins by a wide

16 margin, given rumours that are being quite possible that beyond the presidential spread by some in the Zuma camp that election it will be difficult or impossible for he can only win that election by rigging the conference to continue. it, I think it will be difficult for Zuma supporters to accept such an outcome. Now, the question is what kind of future, then, lies beyond this conference? For me, I also worry about what may happen in the first challenge that will face whoever KwaZulu-Natal. Is it inconceivable that wins is to preside over a process of healing; in parts of KwaZulu-Natal there may be firstly, within the ANC, secondly, within instability in response to an Mbeki victory? the alliance, and to some extent within I assume, I think rather safely, that our the state, because some governance security establishment is on high alert paralysis has begun to set in, especially in that province as far as this matter in provinces such as KwaZulu-Natal. I am is concerned. not convinced that Zuma and Mbeki will be able to preside effectively over a process Will the conference finish? That's another of healing if either of them is elected. And question for me. This conference is not therefore we may be looking at 18 months going to be primarily about the small of some kind of instability, with possibly matter of a better life for all. This Zuma heading Luthuli House and Mbeki conference is going to be primarily about still in control of the Union Buildings. Zuma/Mbeki. I think you are familiar with the Cell C advert, “Hummer Hummer Cell The question, therefore, is whether, if C”. In the same way delegates will either Zuma wins by a wide margin, what we saw be going “Zuma, Zuma”, “Mbeki, Mbeki” or on the front page of the Sunday Times will whatever. I have an image of a food vendor eventuate, that Zuma's supporters will receiving an order from a conference put pressure on Mbeki to call for an early delegate who goes “Mbeki, Mbeki”. So it's election. Of course, Mbeki's unlikely to Aubrey Matshiqi

17 accede to that. So will the matter be taken team that did the unauthorised Thabo to the ANC's parliamentary majority? And, Mbeki documentary. They did fascinating of course, I don't see the UDM and others interviews with members of the ANC in the supporting a vote of no confidence in the OR Region, and you can clearly see that for President. the rank and file, at least in the OR Region of the ANC, the choice is between hope Within the ANC itself you need that two- and despair. For those who support Zuma, thirds majority. You'll be dealing with Zuma represents hope and Mbeki despair, a divided caucus. For me, that does not and for those of course who support Mbeki, matter that much. What matters is a Zuma represents a slide or a decline into a situation where people even think of doing period in which political morality is going it, and actually do it. Whether they lose to be compromised. or succeed is immaterial, the effect is the same: a very unstable ANC and a very In my view, those of us who are looking for negative image of the country outside. hope beyond Limpopo must look elsewhere. Somehow I think that scenario is not going I think we must approach the time, and do to eventuate, not because the ANC has a so quickly, when we rely less on political self-correcting mechanism that will pull it parties for our future. from the brink, as ANC members believe, but for some other reasons that we can go into during the Q&A.

Finally, I am convinced that for ordinary members of the ANC, and maybe even for some ordinary South Africans who are not members of the ANC, the choice between Zuma and Mbeki is a choice between hope and despair. Do yourselves a favour. Watch a documentary that was produced by the M atshiqi A ubrey

18 “In my view, those of us who are looking for hope beyond Limpopo must look elsewhere. I think we must approach the time, and do so quickly, when we rely less on political parties for our future.” Aubrey Matshiqi

19 “There's an interesting paradox about what's happening in the ANC at the moment, and it seems to me unavoidable to argue that, at least for the moment, the ANC is changing quite fundamentally.”

Steven Friedman

efore I discuss what I want to evidence we have in front of us says that a discuss, I have to declare an Zuma victory is more likely. interest, in that I have become Bincreasingly distraught by But that's not fundamentally what I wanted the mounting likelihood that Nkosazana to talk about. As the Chair has said, my Dlamini-Zuma will not be elected interest in this issue is not who wins – and I ANC President. really don't care who wins – it's what all this means for the future, what all this means This has nothing at all to do with political for democracy in South Africa. And in the preferences and everything to do with the short time available to me I want to do two fact that I've been on panels with Aubrey things. I want to say something about what several times in which he's promised to eat I think is happening to the ANC, a sort of various parts of his wardrobe if she gets rehash of a column I wrote for Business Day elected. I'm very distressed that it looks this week, some of which actually made it pretty likely that Aubrey will keep his into the newspaper. And, secondly, I want to wardrobe intact and will eat what the rest look beyond that, and talk a little bit about of us eat. what this means for the country.

I also want to say, over the question of There's an interesting paradox about what's whether this is done and dusted or not, I happening in the ANC at the moment, and would tend to lean more to Aubrey's side of it seems to me unavoidable to argue that, at the argument. I certainly think that a Zuma least for the moment, the ANC is changing victory is far more likely than an Mbeki quite fundamentally. And, whatever the

S teven Friedman victory, but just bear in mind not only that merits or demerits or the candidates, we have there has been intensive lobbying over seen open campaigning for the Presidency the last couple of weeks, which may turn of the ANC – which we haven't seen for 58 out to be significant or may not, but the years, and didn't really see in 1949 either, votes which were counted at the Provincial because Dr Moroko was sort of produced out General Councils [PGCs] don't overlap of a hat at the last moment. We've had a exactly with the votes at Polokwane. In far more vigorous democratic process within other words, some Youth League votes, for the ANC over the last few weeks, I think, example, were counted which will count despite all the hype, than at any time in the less at Polokwane. So I don't think we can movement's history. I suspect that this might say it's all over yet, although obviously the be a fundamental shift.

20 I've had some interesting conversations with ANC activists and supporters, and “I think that the process the general conclusion one can draw from of trying to govern a them is that if the ANC is on the verge of a major democratic breakthrough, which diverse society with a fairly would be entailed by electing a President in developed market economy is an open contest rather than in a backroom deal between leaders, this prospect is not rather too complicated simply exciting the membership and the support to be left to the whims of base of the ANC. In fact, quite the opposite. political high-ups.” I don't know whether the people I've been speaking to are vaguely representative, out of this process deeply divided, that but this is supposed to be impressionistic, people who lose will be deeply alienated, after all. There have been three themes. and that will eat away at the ANC in all The first is that I find many, many sorts of ways. people who really would rather they had somebody to choose other than Jacob Zuma The obvious logical conclusion to draw and Thabo Mbeki. Obviously there are the from these kinds of perceptions is that this zealots on both sides, but people aren't particular exercise in political pluralism, going into this process excited. I think very in allowing the delegates, rather than the many people are going into this saying, if elites, to choose who the next President of this is the candidate that an open election the ANC will be, is a momentary produces, perhaps another method would phenomenon; that people will, once the be more desirable. dust settles if the ANC gets through this successfully, put their heads together Secondly, I encounter a quite widespread and try to find ways of preventing the perception that what is going on at the mistake ever being made in the future, moment is not a great battle between ideas because people will find it distasteful and different approaches to the future of the and distressing. ANC, but a rather grubby battle for power and position. People are saying repeatedly, That's a possibility, it could happen. I “This is not what we used to do in the ANC, don't think it will happen. I think that the this is not an ANC tradition, these people process of trying to govern a diverse society are only in it for themselves.” with a fairly developed market economy is rather too complicated simply to be left to People are a bit vague about whether the whims of political high-ups. they're saying that because they just find the idea of a competitive election in which I think, incidentally, perhaps the most people, in effect, put themselves forward important lesson of the Mbeki era is that distasteful, or whether they feel it must you can have extremely sophisticated be said, with a fair amount of evidential policies, whether you like them or not, put backing on their side, that people are not together by very smart people with lots fighting over real issues, they are fighting of degrees, and if you can't actually take over power or position. your constituency with you, and you can't get the sort of social co-operation from the And, thirdly, and Aubrey has taken us society that you need – which is all about through some quite stark scenarios based politics, and all about the relationships you on this perception, there is a fairly obvious form with people, and all about democracy fear, and a concern, that the ANC will come – if you can't do those things, then people

21 Steven Friedman will not regard the policies as credible, and what we need is a bunch of high-ups to come they will try to get rid of you at the first in and sort the whole thing out.” And that available opportunity. And that's a lesson that's good for the movement and good for that people in any walk of life in South the country, because, of course, what is good Africa could take. for the movement is good for the country, and what is good for the elites is good for One of the consequences of that argument is the movement. I think that that [attitude that – and I'm not just saying this because has] been there for a long time. and she is in of my normative preferences – the business a sense expressing it, but the sort of derision of trying to run South Africa with very small to which the proposal has been subjected, groups of elites is rather more difficult than the fact that it doesn't look like a political it was to run an exile movement with small flyer, perhaps indicates to us that the past groups of elites. has really gone, that the past is indeed another country. “The business of trying It’s very important to stress – and I think to run South Africa with we very often misunderstand this – that very small groups of elites breakthroughs for democracy are not usually achieved anywhere in the world is rather more difficult because noble, saintly people decide that than it was to run an exile democracy is what the country needs. It is usually decided because extremely grubby movement with small people who are involved in extremely grubby groups of elites.” conflicts decide that the only way out of the conflicts is democracy, and I think that that's what we're viewing at the moment. I suspect that the Winnie Mandela proposal, which fortunately is not going to get So I don't think that we should assume that anywhere, is on one level not a serious because ANC members are reluctant about political proposal. But it's quite revealing in this process, because people are not entirely the sense that that, although she tends to sure that it's what they want, that it is take this to extremes, I think she's speaking reversible. I think that there's a fair amount for a section of ANC history and an ANC of evidence to suggest that it may well not tradition which says, “Look, this stuff about be reversible – that, as I say in the article,

S teven Friedman elections, etc, is all very well in theory, but in five or ten years' time the people who are

22 now saying this was absolutely dreadful are “If the ANC can get through this going to be accepting competitive elections within the ANC as a natural process. process with the losers accepting the results then I think we may This depends on one important factor, the well be entering a situation in way in which the post-Polokwane process is managed. Quite obviously, if some of those which centested elections will more nightmarish scenarios that Aubrey is become part of the way in which talking about come to pass, if people don't the ANC conducts its affairs.” accept results, if there's conflict over the nature of the results, if people don't try and resolve this politically ... I don't think there's result was that Nehru, who'd given up the anything particularly alarming about a Congress presidency in order to become political battle about who's going to head the Prime Minister of India, and had wanted to ANC list in 2009, but I think there would separate the two positions, said it was not be alarming prospects if people start saying working, and made himself available for we've been cheated. President of Congress. He became President of Congress, and then said, ”This is pluralist If the ANC can get through this process organisation, a democratic organisation, and with the losers accepting the results – and if you want to differ with the leadership, and accepting doesn't mean you have to like the do it publicly, that's okay.” In his view that results, it means that you have grudgingly was the only way you could keep Congress to learn to live with them – then I think we together. may well be entering a situation in which contested elections will become part of the The results of this were twofold. First of all, way in which the ANC conducts its affairs. people took him at his word, and you had a lot of maverick politicians within Congress Now, what does this mean for the rest of who said all sorts of things in public which the country? You can make an argument, the party lines said they weren't supposed to as some people have, that, in fact, if you are say. But more importantly, over time India a democrat, and believe in multi-partyism evolved into a far more competitive system, and in free and open elections, that it would in which alternatives to the Congress Party actually be a setback for the country. The emerged and in fact won elections. argument that this is based on is that if the ANC entrenches democracy in its own I'm not saying that what happens in India ranks, it becomes better able to handle its has necessarily to happen anywhere in the own conflicts, there's less prospect of a split world, but I think there is a lesson from in the party, and there's more prospect that experience, which is born out in other that the ANC will remain such a dominant situations I've studied in which one party factor in our political life that a vigorous dominates for many, many years, Japan democracy will not be possible. and Italy being very obvious examples. The more you have intra-party democracy, the I don't buy that argument for a number of more you have the principle established reasons which I don't have time to talk to within parties that leaders must be elected now, but the most important point is about democratically and that the rule of law India. The society whose post-democracy must maintain media freedom; the more political development has possibly been democracy tends to become part of the way most analogous to ours is India. And what in which people do things in the society. happened there, in a nutshell, is very similar to what's happening here. In the In other words, I think that the Indian Indian National Congress, the Congress experience and a great deal of other analysis Party, a particular group tried to impose tells us that over time a more democratic, a very top-down elitist approach, which more pluralist, more competitive ANC is created all sorts of problems, much as not only good for the ANC, it's good for we are seeing at the moment. And the democracy in South Africa.

23 Steven Friedman “The problem I have identified has to do with the Mbeki presidency, in the sense that the manner in which it has evolved as an institution, in its relationship to Parliament, to the judiciary, to the alliance structures, and to the society at large, has really isolated and detached the Cabinet from the people.” Zwelethu Jolobe

y great interest in this structures, and to the society at large, has really emerged from the really isolated and detached the Cabinet

J olobe outcomes of the PGC votes. from the people. And the implication of MInitially I was surprised, this has been a weakening of the influence not by the fact that Jacob Zuma was in the of these various political or societal lead, but more importantly by the margins formations, and the consequent reduction in key provinces such as the Eastern Cape in the accountability of this presidency as and the Free State, and the fact that Mr an institution to the alliance structures, to Mbeki got nine votes in KwaZulu-Natal. Parliament and to the ANC membership. This led me to begin to investigate what And I think a number of events this year the underlying reasons were. The basis have played crucial roles in terms of how of the points that I would like to make these results unfolded. is to look at some of the main reasons, and what they could mean for the post- Firstly, the dismissal of Billy Masetlha Polokwane era. after the National General Council, after Project Avani; the protection of the Health The first thing that I've come to realise is Minister against the Deputy Health that Mbeki as an individual doesn't seem Minister; and, most importantly, the to be the only problem here – especially desire to seek a third term at the helm of the fact that he doesn't run the country the ANC, have led to a rise of alone, he runs it with a Cabinet. So we discontentment within the organisation should move away from the notion that and within the alliance. individual leaders can either cripple a country or cripple an organisation, or What opened up the space as a that they are great indispensable messiahs consequence of this was the fact that Z welethu who can single-handedly solve the the President's term limit began to draw country's problems. to a close, and this new coalition found an outlet in Jacob Zuma, or in the new The problem I have identified has to do alliance around Mr Zuma – meaning that with the Mbeki presidency, in the sense the issue here is not so much about the fact that the manner in which it has evolved of Mr Zuma as an individual, but the fact as an institution, in its relationship to that we are witnessing more of a broad- Parliament, to the judiciary, to the alliance based coalition of trade union and business

24 interests, which is indicative of a power implication will be for the coalition around shift within the ANC, as one group is Mr Zuma, and for the perceptions that the making a bid for the alternation of power. organisation will have of Mr Mbeki, given This, I feel, has had a major impact in the fact that there are perceptions that Mr terms of the state of the ANC. Mbeki himself is behind the prosecutions (and the fact that his Minister of Justice Most importantly, that the ANC has wants to involve herself in matters of become responsive to Mr Zuma is prosecution, hasn't helped this issue). testimony that the organisation is opting, Secondly, if Mr Mbeki or Mr Zuma wins, not so much for the individual, but more who will be in this new NEC, and how particularly for the alternation of power for will it respond to or relate to the State the sake of democracy. And the fact that Presidency? Thirdly, what influence will the ANC has been responsive to a Jacob the unions or the NEC have in issues like Zuma campaign, which in many ways he Cabinet selection? And, fourthly, how will has publicised and so made the contest for this new team manage or deal with this the party leadership more transparent and strong inherited presidency? more primary-like, in many ways shows that the ANC is moving gradually more Will they scale down its powers? What towards being a democratic organisation. will happen to the cluster system or the various policy units within the President's The issue, however, is what these office. In the end, whatever the outcome of underlying structural reasons for Mr Polokwane, could the new victors simply Mbeki's initial defeat at the nomination succeed in turning the world upside down, rounds, in particular with reference to the but then, in the end, actually fail to change manner in which his office has evolved, it? In many ways I do not foresee any tells us about what could happen after significant structural or policy changes Polokwane. There are a number of questions after Polokwane. I think that what has that I feel are important in this regard. certainly come out in both camps is that the issue is not necessarily about policy, The first is whether or not the NPA neither is it about ideas. In the end we [National Prosecuting Authority] will could potentially have more of the same, charge Jacob Zuma. And if so, what the but with a more human face. Zwelethu Jolobe

25 “Equally, Mr Zuma might have also to take the podium, or at least make a statement, to assure the people that his continuous refusal to co-operate, or open the cupboards for the Scorpions to search for whatever, in order to finalise the case ... he has to come out in the open and say, “I'm ready to co-operate.” Bantu Holomisa

et me take the meeting back to re-election is a ruse to go for a third term as 1994, when President Mandela the President of the country, in that, if he thought that the person who is elected again, he might make sure that Lwould be his Deputy President the list that goes to Parliament will be the would be Cyril Ramaphosa. He was people who would amend the Constitution basing that argument on the fact that for him to continue. Cyril Ramaphosa was number two on the list to Parliament and, secondly, he was So he needs to clarify that, because when the Secretary-General of the party, and, you listen to the campaigns on the ground, thirdly, he played a meaningful role in the the people interpret the third term as Mbeki

H olomisa Constitution, in the negotiations and so on. wanting to continue to be the President of the country. But what came out clearly was this so-called culture of the ANC of electing or anointing Equally, Mr Zuma might have also to take leaders, which even Mandela himself, and the podium, or at least make a statement, to other members of the ANC, were not aware assure the people that his continuous refusal of. He was told at the last hour that look, to co-operate, or open the cupboards for the we have our President, he has been groomed Scorpions to search for whatever, in order over the years by OR Tambo and his name is to finalise the case ... he has to come out in Thabo Mbeki. the open and say, “I'm ready to co-operate.” And he needs to clarify this theory of the But it looks as though some people did not so-called conspiracy. Where does this theory rest after that, and they started, from 1994 come from, given the fact that the judiciary, up to this day, to change that culture. They especially at appeal level, has rejected that want to participate in electing a new leader argument outright? of the ANC. You hear diplomatic terms now B antu like “we would prefer”, “preferable”. The other area which we need to look at is the role of the SACP [South African But if you come closer to what is expected in Communist Party] and Cosatu [Congress of Polokwane, the delegates, and in particular South African Trade Unions] in this whole the country and the world, would expect campaign. It looks as though they have done Mbeki, when he takes the podium, to a good job of promoting JZ, and they have clarify this confusion about the third term. succeeded in making sure that the people in He would have to dispel the fears that his their NEC list will represent their interests.

26 Now, the delegates, in particular the ANC because he's in a stronger position now. members, might want to question the Suppose JZ is elected as President and then wisdom of wanting to make a Chairperson in January the Scorpions visit him at Luthuli of the SACP Secretary-General of a ruling House and serve him with the indictment, party, which means this alliance is still obviously the SG will be in a better position, confusing to many people. There is still a because he will be the Deputy if they win. need to clarify and educate people. With hindsight you could ask, was he honest to both Zuma and Mbeki? But suppose the ANC members vow that the SACP and Cosatu will not be allowed Lastly, I've been asked to comment and write to advance their social agenda on the articles on this issue and also appeared on back of the ANC. Then we might witness, radio stations, and I still maintain that the sooner rather than later, an emergence ANC, and, in fact, the country, aren’t ready of two political formations representing for the change of guard within two years, as these interest groups. You are aware that was suggested in the Sunday Times. Some SACP has already registered with the IEC ANC members of Parliament might, in big [Independent Electoral Commission]. One numbers, block that idea as well. And, of may argue that the majority of people who course, some tiny opposition parties together

have nominated JZ for now also include the might also reinforce those who are against a Bantu Holomisa ANC [members]. I won't reject that, but I'm vote of no confidence on Mbeki as President looking at the undercurrent Why? of the country.

The other person who, perhaps, might My position is that we should maintain also have to answer a few questions in the the status quo. This would give Mr Zuma Polokwane conference is the Secretary- another opportunity to co-operate with the General himself. He has managed to take Scorpions, and it would also place him in advantage of the situation, and it would a better position if he continues as Deputy appear that he has positioned himself, President. When the case is finalised, or he's

27 acquitted, then come 2009 he would be a strong contender.

So if I were in their boots, I would call one another, go to a room. Mbeki leaves his pipe outside the room, and then Mr Zuma leaves Zapiro outside, and they face one another and say, where do we take the party and the country? I don't think there is a need for them to challenge one another. My fellow panellists are talking about instability, ethnic cleansing and so on – is there a need for that? All they need is to agree on a policy of succession. That's my case.

“The other person who, perhaps, might also have to answer a few questions in the Polokwane conference is the Secretary- General himself. He has managed to take advantage of the situation, and it would appear that he has positioned himself, because he's in a stronger position now.” H olomisa B antu

28 29 Discussion

MR ROBERT WILSON: The question of the role of National Treasury going forward hasn't been touched upon, but, particularly given the recent weekend letters by the Minister of Finance, and his role going forward, I think it's quite crucial – unless we are sanguine about this argument that it will be business as usual in terms of the economy, and that there won't be a fundamental ideological shift to the left. But the devil is in the detail in terms of policy implementation. To date the National Treasury has played an important role in tempering or fettering the exuberance or ideological zeal of other departments, particular the DTI [Department of Trade and Industry] and the DME [Department of Minerals and Energy]. What will the role of the National Treasury be? To what extent can Luthuli House influence National Treasury, and particularly its leadership? That really will have bearing on the way economic forces are played out.

DR MANGCU: I'd like to make a couple of points, and not necessarily respond to that, but I think that point somehow touches on what I want to say. For me it's not just about prediction. I'm not a non-partisan, objective, number-counting analyst, dispassionate and uninterested. I have an interest in a particular outcome, and that interest is that Thabo Mbeki must go. And I've said that as much as I can, and I can make the political argument for that.

But, really, I just want to make two points. One, which we did not, I think, highlight as much as we should have, is that the seismic shift in terms of the political culture in the coun-

30 Well, that'swhat politicalpartiesdoinothersocieties. InBritain,whentheSocial Demo There's anassumption thatifZumacomesin,he's goingtowantchangeeconomic policy. sumption thatthingsmuststay thesame? in almostallofourdailytalk– and thisrelatestoTreasuryissue–whyisthereas something thattakesusintoatizz inthiscountry?Whyisitthatthere'sassumption, tion aroundthearmsdeal.Sowhy isitthatsomethinglikeapardon,whichhappens,again Blair hasjustsaidthattheywere notgoingtoinvestigatetheSaudiArabiansovercorrup Bush justdiditforScooterLibby,theyNixonintheearly ’70s.Ithappens.Tony say JacobZumaisfoundguiltyandthenextPresidentoffershim apardon.Imean,George The secondissomethinglikeapoliticalpardonforsomebodywho's beenfoundguilty–let's was justonething. is suggestedinSouthAfricasomehowit'sArmageddon?It'slike theendofworld?That that's parforthecourseinalotofdemocracies.Itdoeshappen, folks.Whyisitthatwhen other countriesgetusintoatizzhere?ThematterofPresident callinganearlyelection– about somemorewhenI'mdrivinghome,whichis,whyisitthat thingsthatarenormalin The secondpointisrelatedtotheTreasuryissue.Theresomething thatI'dliketothink think that'svery,veryimportant. out there,whichIthinkisgoodforthiscountryeitherway,whetherMbekilosesornot,and So evenifhewinsthereisnoundoing;thegenie'soutofbottle.There'sadifferentmood a tightfistonlytwoyearsago,andnowalmostlikeeverybodyinhispartydoesn'twanthim. try andintheANCisjustamazing;thathere'samanwhohadthiscountry,orhisparty, - - -

31 Discussion crats come in, or when the Labour Party comes in, and takes over from the Tories, the first thing they want to do is to change the economic policies. So why is it that in this country it's blasphemous to think that if Zuma becomes President he might want to change policy? Why is it that we say, if Zuma becomes President, then there's going to have to be payback to his supporters? It's par for the course in every country. You pay back those who've supported you. You appoint your own people, it happens all the time.

I have a suspicion that it has to do with something sociological about South Africa, and it's just a suspicion. I think that there's a schizophrenic aspect about us because of our history, that we're very conservative and that anything that might kind of derail us from the trauma of the past is something that we should be guarded about. However, it's that very same schizophrenia, I think, that in fact may suggest that even if Zuma wins, actually we'll wake up the following day and everything will be just fine, and nobody will be fighting with nobody, precisely because of this schizophrenia, so schizophrenia can work in both directions.

And so my last point, really, is that perhaps because of that schizophrenia, the victory of Jacob Zuma will not bring this country to some kind of Armageddon-like situation. We'll live our lives and we'll fight with him, we'll have all kinds of battles with him. And we'll have policy contestation. I think a lot of the economic policies that we've had with Thabo Mbeki are horrendous. I think the unemployment levels, the poverty, the inequality are as a result of Mbeki's policies, so why should we stay with them? But the problem is once you raise that, which is a legitimate policy question, it's then recast as a Zuma question. And it's not a Zuma question, it's a legitimate policy question. D iscussion

MR MATSHIQI: Well, Xolela, that is happening in part because a lot of class prejudice has come disguised as analysis when it comes to the possibility of a Zuma presidency. I have argued in the past that National Treasury, not only in this country, tends to operate like a state within a state. I mean, our National Treasury is no exception, even from the time I was in government myself. And I've had some run-ins, as a representative of one government department, with Provincial Treasury, which operated in the same way – as a state within a state. So some of the tensions within the alliance stem from the way

32 in which National Treasury operates. But also because of how National Treasury operates, the budget has tended to be the tail that wags the policy dog. What happens is that National Treasury comes to you as head of department, and says they’ve got R10, design your policies around the fact that they can only give you R10. That, basically, is what has been happening. Whether things are going to change depends on whether you think the function and role of the post-apartheid state will change if there's a change in the presidency of the ANC, and possibly that of the country.

My view is that the post-apartheid state will remain a pluralist state, whose function is to manage class contradiction, and it will not have a bias, as demanded by the left, towards the working class. And it does not matter whether the President of the ANC is Zuma or Mbeki or somebody else, the role of the post-apartheid state will remain largely what it is today. And therefore the role of National Treasury will remain largely what it is today.

I would like to touch on Kgalema [Motlanthe] and the NPA. If charges of corruption are reinstated against Zuma there is a possibility that he may have to withdraw from the race for Head of State. So we have a scenario, possibly, in which Zuma has been elected President of the ANC in Polokwane and is charged thereafter, and in the period leading to the 2009 election he is facing corruption charges, or there is even a trial. People tend to think that political Discussion damage will occur at the end of the trial, especially if he's convicted, or that his political problems will be solved if he is acquitted.

As we've learnt from the rape trial, political damage can happen during the trial, long before the conclusion of the trial. Evidence may be adduced of such a nature that he is forced, long before the conclusion of the trial, to withdraw. In which case Kgalema Motlanthe may have to step up if the strategy of the Zuma camp succeeds.

My reading of the strategy of the Zuma camp is that it has two pillars. The first pillar is about preventing Thabo Mbeki from being elected, and the second is about preventing anyone created in his image from being elected Deputy President of the ANC. If you look at the Zuma lists, at the top you have Zuma for President, second is Kgalema Motlanthe for Deputy. It seems the idea is that in case Zuma has to withdraw from the race for Head of State, then the Deputy President of the party may have to step up and become the nominee for Head of

33 State for the ANC. If the Zuma campaign and ticket wins, then Kgalema Motlanthe may be that person. So actually we are looking at the possibility that the next Head of State of the country may actually be Kgalema Motlanthe.

I also want to go back to the question of ethnicity. I think we should not be too sanguine about the fact that Zuma performed as well as he did in the Eastern Cape, and therefore this means the ethnic factor has been destroyed. The Zuma camp smells the Presidency; some, I think, can feel it in their hands. In this climate, what's the point of raising the ethnic issue when the assumption is that Zuma is going to win in Polokwane?

So there is no need for Zuma supporters to raise the ethnic issue, particularly in KwaZulu- Natal, where some have been arguing that this presidential race is about preventing a Zulu from becoming Head of State in 2009. That argument does not have to arise if it seems a foregone conclusion that Zuma is going to win. But should he lose, I have very little doubt that the ethnic issue will come back, particularly in KwaZulu-Natal. To what effect, I don't know.

PROF FRIEDMAN: Yes, ethnicity remains an issue in this society. I don't think that's a problem. I'm always amused by the ethnicity issue. You know, you go to international conferences and somebody – usually, interestingly, somebody upper middle class from Africa – stands up and wrings their hands and says, “Our politics is still dominated by ethnicity.” Well, actually, you look around Europe, and there are the Scottish National Parties and Bavarian People's Parties and Flemish Parties, etc. If it works, if it's okay there, why isn't it okay here? D iscussion

34 The real answer is that it's not a problem about having ethnic identities in any democracy, the problem is how you deal with it. If people were able to express it in a way in which they feel part of the democratic system, it's not a problem. I think that's one of the challenges we have going forward.

I wouldn't quite agree with Aubrey, if I'm understanding him correctly, about the anti-Zuma prejudices. Some reservations about Zuma are legitimate – I think some of the things he said at his rape trial were, to put it mildly, rather unfortunate, and I'm not a great machine gun buff myself – but I think that a lot of the concerns are more a sort of cultural prejudice than an economic prejudice. I think the idea of black men in traditional dress doesn't actually turn most people in the suburbs on, and I think that that's part of what's going on.

And I think the lesson from that, as I've said from this platform before, is that it's very important that democrats in this society – liberal democrats, if that's how you describe yourself – look beyond culture to substance. The issue is not what people wear, the issue is not what language people speak, the issue is whether there are core democratic processes and values there.

Finally, this question about the Treasury. I do a blog, and I wrote precisely on this, saying Discussion economic policy isn't going to change radically. And people write in and say, “You're just doing this to make us feel better” – to which the answer is that I never said anywhere that this is a good thing, that economic policy isn't going to change. I made an analytical observation, and the analytical observation is based on the following, in a nutshell:

When I say that policy is not going to change, I'm not saying that details of policy are not going to change, because details of policy change everywhere all the time in democratic systems. And bear in mind, for those people who are freaking out about all Zuma's policy changes, that there is clearly a different economic approach in the Mbeki camp at the moment. It doesn't involve regulating business, but there is very clearly a sense in the Mbeki camp that there needs to be more public investment, there needs to be a greater public role in the economy. And I think that that's now an ANC consensus, whoever gets into power.

So those of us who say that there's not going to be a major shift are saying that the politics of the ANC, as it's currently constituted, do not allow for that radical shift to the left that Cosatu and the SACP are calling for.

And I'll give you three reasons for that. In March this year Zwelinzima Vavi gave an inter- view to the Mail and Guardian and said three things, one of which, obviously, was: ”We're going to change the ANC from a social democratic movement into a radical left movement.” He then said how they were going to do it.

Point one, they were going to flood the ANC with Cosatu members. If you look at the latest audit, all the gains in membership are in rural areas, so they haven't flooded the ANC.

35 Secondly, he said, we are going to make sure that working-class people and poor people dominate the list. If you look at the top six they've endorsed, if, as seems likely, is de facto the case now, the nominee for Chair is Sexwale. You've got two prominent business people, a trade unionist who's got so many BEE deals that he's forgotten where he came from, and Gwede Mantashu, who's sort of the token member of the working class, but he's in semi-retirement from the working class. So he didn't deliver on that.

The third point, about the radical left thing, is that if, as I have done recently, you speak to Cosatu strategists about this, the conversation's very interesting. You say to them, well, where is the great radical left shift? And they say it's already happened. And you say, oh that's very interesting, how did it happen? Oh well, there's a resolution for Polokwane which says that we should have a National Health Insurance System. So I say, well, all of Western Europe has a National Health Insurance System, that's not radical left. And then they say, if we say we want radical left then we might get moderate left. If we say we want moderate left, we get nothing at all.

All of this is based on the core political reality that Vavi knows that as the ANC is currently constituted, under the card-carrying membership of the ANC, there is no majority for the kind of policies he wants.

I was doing an interesting exercise before I came here this morning, going through the NEC nominations and making sure that I boned up on who all the folks were who had been nominated. It's a bit like a McGregor's Who's Who exercise. You look these people up and it's basically a listing of their shareholdings and interests in various things, and that doesn't sound like a socialist majority to me.

D iscussion MR JOLOBE: On the question that was asked, I think that we have to make a difference between brinkmanship, on the one hand, on the eve of political competition, which happens everywhere in the world, and what is possible. If one looks at the ANC, not only in the post-apartheid era but even before that, it's always been a site of contestation, and I think that various ideas – be they socialist, be they non-socialist – have always competed for hegemony, for dominance.

I think that we need to understand it within that context first, in that on the eve of the changing of the guard, different tendencies are always going to push through or articulate their broad ideas. And the many ideas about socialism in the ANC are not new, neither are

36 ideas about creating perhaps more progressive, or more radical, spending regimes. So I think that we need to be clear about that, and not see this particular era as anything different from that.

The second issue is that all changes in leadership produce policy changes, and the question is the extent of the change. If we were to look at the groupings around Jacob Zuma, I think that there is nothing that suggests that they are going to radically change things at all. If the National Conference, for instance, ratifies the recommendations of the Policy Conference, and if one actually looks at what was discussed at the Policy Conference, it is quite clear that there will be no fundamental shift. And I don't think that the groupings around Mr Zuma will promote such radical change.

MR HOLOMISA: Well, as a former dictator let me have the last word on this issue ...

On a serious note, the Mbeki government has been under pressure since the time of the GEAR policy. So they came up with that concept of a developmental state and all that jargon, ASGISA [Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative of South Africa] and so on. But the bottom line is that it looks like they were just trying to appease the left without moving an inch.

As a result, there is a legitimate expectation, especially from disadvantaged communities, that the developmental state means more state intervention on a number of areas, which they have done. But if you look at how Tito Mboweni runs his affairs across the street from Trevor Manuel, then you begin to ask questions as to whether these people know exactly what agenda are they pushing.

In Parliament we are pushing for legislation for the members of Parliament to have a say in the budget, as opposed to relying on some technocrats who tell us this is what the budget is all about – and then we are expected to sing the praises of Trevor Manuel after that. There's a push in Parliament for legislation that would empower parliamentarians to say, “We are not happy with this. Why are you not developing area A? It's your priority to do A ahead of that area.” So it's not going to be radical. People here are not careless, as Prof. Friedman has already said. You can call them communists, you can call them socialists, and so on. Judge Discussion them by where they live, what they drive, what they eat.

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BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 4 Page 14-Dec-2007 Y, DA BUSINESS Media coverage 4 BUSINESS DAY, Friday, December 14 2007 BUSINESSANC DAY, 14’ DECEMBERs 52nd 2007 NATIONAL CONFERENCE Gender parity Motlanthe ‘fanning rift’ for own gain Few in favour of Wilson Johwa seen as an Mbeki ally. The winning order the alliance partners and floor-crossing, ...... candidate for the deputy presi- youth structures in terms of attack- Political Correspondent dent’s post could be well placed to ing one another, including the ANC loses out to UNITED Democratic Movement become ANC president because president, in public and in the survey finds leader Bantu Holomisa has Mbeki may not stand for a third media, as well as the destruction of accused African National Congress term as SA’s president and Zuma’s party material,” said Holomisa. Wyndham Hartley (ANC) secretary-general Kgalema campaign could be scuttled by In his address, Holomisa’s sug- ...... Parliamentary Editor Motlanthe of causing divisions pending corruption charges. gestion of how to resolve the party politics within the ANC, in a bid to set him- “To an outside observer it potential leadership impasse CAPE TOWN — De l e g a t e s self up for national president. would look as if it would be to his echoed a proposal by his former to the African National Holomisa said Motlanthe was advantage if both Mr Zuma and Mr party ally Winnie Madikizela-Man- Congress (ANC) national fanning the rift between President Mbeki fell by the wayside,” said dela for the ANC to “maintain the conference will have to Wo m e n ’s league drama shows a weakness Thabo Mbeki and ANC deputy Holomisa, suggesting that status quo” by allowing both Mbeki bear in mind recent president Jacob Zuma in the after- Motlanthe would face a grilling at and Zuma to retain their positions research showing almost Karima Brown and Amy Musgrave businesswomen — the ANCWL’s math of the arms deal, which he the ANC national conference until clear succession policies were 80% of all South Africans ...... position ahead of the party confer- described as a “cancerous tumour” which starts on Sunday. worked out and charges against disapprove of floor-cross- W H AT EV E R it was that pushed Pres- ence in Limpopo came as a huge blow. eating into the ANC. Continuing with the surprise Zuma finalised. ing, when they make a ident Thabo Mbeki to pursue gender The league had been expected not “His public utterances seem to attack, he said some of the “sudden “After all there is no difference policy decision on parity in the African National only to back Mbeki, but also to push reflect that he was the main leaders who are lionising Mr Zuma in their policies except personal whether to scrap the Craig Morkel Congress (ANC) and the government for greater gender parity on the ANC’s mobiliser for one camp against the are vultures hovering above him gr ipes,” he said. p ra c t i c e. has arguably done the most for wom- top brass. However, what the league’s other, and as if he wasn’t loyal to waiting for the Scorpions to Speaking at the same event, June policy conference upsurge (against) floor- en in the state and the part y. decision has revealed is that the his president,” said the former i n t e re s t ” in the outcome of the pounce, and then they will be the political analyst Aubrey Matshiqi recommendations come c ro s s ing among the pub- Under Mbeki’s stewardship, the women are themselves divided and ANC cabinet member in a paper succession battle. first to suggest that he step down”. said of major concern was that a up for ratification in the lic in the two provinces ANC’s female quota increased to 30%. would rather vote for men when it released at a roundtable discussion Motlanthe, who is seen as a Holomisa suggested that Mot- small margin of victory by either ANC national conference most affected in window The party is expected to increase this comes to the party’s presidency. organised by the Helen Suzman possible compromise candidate, lanthe had been restrained in candidate could cause i n s t a b i l i t y. starting on Sunday. The periods, namely, KwaZu- 50% at its upcoming elective While the women’s league d ra m a Fo u n d a t i o n . was nominated by the Zuma camp quelling divisions and getting An Mbeki win could result in conference was split on lu-Natal and Western c o n f e re n c e. points to the weaknesses in Mbeki’s ANC spokesman Tiyane for the position of party deputy errant party structures to answer violence, particularly in Kw a Zu l u - the issue, with one camp Ca p e. The president has appointed no gender offensive, his rival Jacob Zuma Rikhotso declined to comment. president. Competing for the same for their actions. Natal. “I assume our security insisting crossing should “Through the practice fewer than 12 women cabinet minis- has so far done very little to quell Holomisa said Motlanthe “has position will be Foreign Minister “The secretary-general will be establishment is on high alert with be scrapped, but the other of floor-crossing, the ANC ters and four female p re m i e r s. allegations that he is socially conser- already shown that he has a vested Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, who is asked about his role in calling to regard to this,” he said. felt it could be modified. assumed governance of There has also been an increase in vative and not gender sensitive. Human Sciences the Western Cape for the the number of female mayors across Mbeki’s top six list is equally Research Council re- first time, while making the country. Moreover, Mbeki has said divided between men and women, search specialist Ben salient gains in represen- on record that he would not mind whereas Zuma only has one woman ANC conference ‘won’t upset markets’ Roberts said yesterday the tation relative to the being succeeded by a woman. in his top six. annual South African So- Inkatha Freedom Party Meanwhile in the private sector, Zu m a ’s rape trial severely dented Renée Bonorchis parties will look to the constitution for recourse. who it was. Cyril Ramaphosa would be posi- cial Attitudes Survey and DA in KwaZulu-Natal. women business leaders such as his reputation despite his being found ...... And if there’s a change in the constitution, then tively received by markets, but a run by deputy showed that over a four- “In the four survey Markets Editor Gloria Serobe, Wendy Luhabe and not guilty. Given that the gender ques- certainly that will be high risk for financial president Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka would year period, from 2003- rounds, floor-crossing op- Danisa Baloyi have moved into tion has become a major faultline in MARKETS are expected merely to shrug when markets in general,” he said. probably be met with indifference. It was, he 2006: “Between two- position rose 30 percent- prominent and powerful executive the party, Zuma too realises the need the African National Congress (ANC) appoints a Another of his concerns was that the Polok - said, the longer-term issues that would be more thirds and slightly more age points in KwaZulu- p o s i t i o n s. for greater representation. new president next week, and then get on with wane conference be perceived to be fair and important than the immediate vote — what than three-quarters of the Natal (from 60% to 90%) Experts say there is also a real and His supporters may push for a vote the serious business of imitating global markets. transparent. If not and if there was any sort of would happen to monetary policy, would sample agreed with the and 28 points in Wester n legitimate struggle — both inside the for a woman in the top six from the “Political issues haven’t troubled financial uproar that could lead to violence, Mathidi Reserve Bank Governor Tito Mboweni or view elected politicians Cape (from 57% to 85%). ANC and in society — to ensure that conference floor. markets for a long time,” said George Glynos, expected the currency to weaken. If it did not Finance Minister Trevor Manuel stay on? should resign when they “In the other prov - women and gender issues inform not This ambivalence indicates that economist and currency specialist at hurt stocks across the board, this would Zuma has spoken to the likes of global change office. In addition, inces, opposition to floor- only discourse but policy and action. the gender question in the ANC is Econometrix Treasury Management. “The last probably help rand hedge stocks and exporters, financial houses Citigroup and Merrill Lynch, opposition to floor-cross- crossing last year ranged It is men who pontificate on the once again being sacrificed at the altar time they did was in 2001 with Zimbabwe, but but knock importers. had lunch with the management of the JSE and ing appears to be exhibit- from 63% in Mpumalanga downtrodden status of women, know- of power politics and patriarchy. not since then.” In the UK and Australia prime ministers are recently gave a lecture at Wits. He has been saying a distinct upward to 80% in the Eastern ing that women form the majority of The poisoned atmosphere in the He said should President Thabo Mbeki allowed to serve for more than two terms, but ing what people want to hear — that he won’t trend, rising from 68% in Cape. Declining opposi- the electorate. ANC, and the fact that the push for retain the top spot, the most that would happen Mathidi pointed out that in SA’s case it is all change the investment landscape and he will late 2003 to 77% in late tion among Mpumalanga At its worst, the politics of repre- equity has happened through the to the rand would be a quick, knee-jerk reaction about the power that rests with a president and tackle issues such as HIV/AIDSs and crime. 2006.” and Free State residents sentation becomes nothing more prism of the party’s presidential and then a return to its normal levels of trading. the fact that the country had been a beacon of But one investor relations specialist based in Roberts said that floor- may relate to the strong than cynical appropriation. succession race, will decide whether Presidential hopeful Jacob Zuma, through hope politically and economically. London this week said Zuma might have spoken crossing — by controver- ANC support base in Mbeki’s critics have slammed his the push for 50-50 representation will meetings with foreign investors, had probably “When you look at a third term, if it goes on to the big firms, but he wasn’t speaking directly sial MPs like Craig Morkel these provinces.” appropriation of the gender question succeed in Polokwane. helped to allay some fears about any dramatic and on and on, you can extrapolate and ask to the fund managers — the people who make — was given the thumbs- On crossing feeding as a cynical attempt to build a power The principle that a woman should policy changes and his alliance with business where does it end? If it’s like (Zimbabwe’s Pres- the final decision about investing invest in SA. down by all race groups, voter apathy, Roberts said: base and to advance narrow class lead the party and the country has tycoon Tokyo Sexwale was something business ident Robert) Mugabe then there’d be a degen- Amelia Soares, the GM of investor relations with black voters, at 75%, “Between 2004 and last interests. The Congress of South long been accepted, but democratic welcomed. Again, Glynos did not expect volatil- eration of the economy.” at Harmony, the gold mining company with most opposed to it. year, the percent indicat- African Trade Unions (Cosatu) says legitimacy demands that one have a ity on the currency if Zuma were to be elected. With Zuma the market would just keep 15% of its investors in London and 42% in the This result is in stark ing they would not vote that Mbeki cares little for the plight of recognised support base. Female “People might be surprised by the lack of watch for any signs of drastic change. US, said the company’s investors were not contrast to claims by ANC more than doubled for unemployed women, female w o rk e r s leaders are not exempt from this reaction. And I’ve had comments that things “There are other more immediate uncertain- showing concern about SA’s political situation. politicians who have said those that disapprove of and HIV-positive women. political reality. can’t get any worse than they are with Mbeki,” ties to deal with. There’s the US risk of recession, At investor meetings in London Soares said floor-crossing was hated floor-crossing (from 6% to The president’s denialism around Mbeki’s lobbyists are hoping to Glynos said. the oil price, inflation and when it will peak, US people wanted to know when they would hear only by largely white par- 13%), while the figure rose H I V- A I D S , which presents a largely reverse Zuma’s early lead and ally the Patrick Mathidi, equity expert and portfolio Fed rate cuts.” the results of the ANC vote in Polokwane and ties and their supporters by two-thirds for support- female face in SA, gives currency to ANCWL behind the president. He al - manager at RMB Asset Management, said the A debt specialist, who wanted to remain when the national election would be held. as they were the ones that ers of the legislation (from the argument. Mbeki’s shock defeat in ready has the backing of league pres - Zuma outcome was probably already priced anonymous, also believed there would be little “They haven’t asked how the economy had been most hurt by it. 6% to 10%). the party’s presidential nomination of ident Nosiviwe Mapisa-Nqakula. into the market, but there were a couple of sce- effect on the market next week. However, he would be affected as a whole,” she said, but A total of 75% of the “More importantly, the the ANC Women’s League (ANCWL) It is rumoured that the league’s narios that could play out in the months after thought Mbeki at the helm again would not be added that one investor had said Zuma would ANC’s support expressed gap in apathy levels be- gives rise to the question of whether delegation to the elective conference the ANC vote in Polokwane that he thought ideal — it would create two centres of power. At not necessarily be any worse than anyone else. opposition to floor-cross- tween the two groups has Mbeki’s gender tactics have paid off. may be changed. might significantly affect local markets. the most he foresaw a short-term relief rally in Harmony, however, did have a team working ing and 82% of the Demo- widened, from 0,2 per- Judging by the reaction of the main The conference vote will show “If Mbeki returns there will be questions the rand post the vote, which might temporarily on scenario planning for the long-term effects cratic Alliance opposed it. centage points in 2004 to beneficiaries during his presidency — whether Mbeki’s appropriation of the around the implications of him becoming pres- lift bonds. If a surprise compromise candidate that a change in leadership might have on the “As anticipated, there three percentage points largely female cabinet ministers and gender question has paid off. ident of the country for a third term. Opposition were to win the day, he said it would depend on economy and the gold price. has been a dramatic last year.”

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BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 6 Page 20-Dec-2007 Y, Page 13 14/12/07 01 01bd1412 pcc1 09:12:27 PM 13/12/07 DA BUSINESS

BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 13 Page 14-Dec-2007 Y, Relevant articles DA BUSINESS 6 BUSINESS DAY, Thursday, December 20 2007 BUSINESS DAY, 14 DECEMBER 2007 OPINIONOPINION & ANALYSIS & ANALYSISBUSINESS DAY, 20 DECEMBER 2007 BUSINESS DAY, Friday, December 14 2007 13

ZUMA VICTORY/Steven Friedman BUSINESSWo r d sDAY Targeted social protection fuels welfareThe toughfraud Thursday,wear December masks 20, 2007 Andile Sokomani Minister Zola Skweyiya, the idea struck little most illegal beneficiaries of grants are not the the UK, the Netherlands and the US, from Gini coefficient would most certainly benefit ...... Trials...... ideologicalahead, resonance with the free-market butcriminally inclined. ANCwher votee SA derives many aspects of its social taskthe collective. of reform forces within President Thabo The mounting cases of illegal security framework, have demonstrated that A measure of inequality of income or O BE or not to be a welfare state — Mbeki’s administration. beneficiaries are indicative of the inadequacy free-market reforms can be pursued while wealth distribution, SA’s Gini coefficient on road to that is the question SA has yet to Consequently, other vulnerable social of the targeted approach to social protection, still cushioning the poor with cash, and other topped 57,8 in 2000, depicting the country as resolve as impoverished millions groups whose material condition is in all and viewing the problem as a token of moral benefits. It is not a matter of choosing one passingone of the most unequal societies in the Reasons to be cheerful clamour for access to free but respects similar to the targeted population decay misses the point. So does the use of law over the other. world. Since then, there has been a steady Polokwane limitedT state-providedmay services, be it housing, wbeere left out of thea system. beaconenforcement to recoup theof billions of rands hopeThe examples from the west illustrate that increase in wealth and income disparity. education or social grants. In the case of the Is it not then naive for the government to lost to the state through welfare fraud. part of transforming to a modern market- The redistributive impact of a universal latter, the government has in the meantime expect the excluded group not to seek other While it is certainly impressive that the driven democracy is to take responsibilitythe for grant remainsbaton progressive regardless of any about Polokwane opted for a selectiveUST protectionafter hissystem, candidate’smeans of accessing social protection? More state has saved R7,7bn in welfare scams sincechallengethose the whom legal the markets process? leave Will behind. macroeconomic qualms the finance minister WO weeks ago I participated in a debate which targets particularvictory, social the groups, young Jacobthan half of SA’s 47-million people survive on commissioning the SIU more than two yearsthey maintainThough w thateak by he western is innocent standards, the may have about its financing. about whether the national conference namely the disabled,Zuma childr delegateen, the aged, volunteered: and less than $2 a day. While 12-million receive ago, it would seem that far greater gains until provedSouth Africanguilty andeconomy so insist is the onmost The long-term success of the welfare N THE end President Thaboof thego Africanvernment National saying Congress things (ANC) like war“So veterans. “This is not Zimbabwe. If theygrants, more than 13-million have no access would accrue if the social safety net were him leadingindustrialised the ANC in sub-Saharan into the 2009 Africa, givingKarima Brownantifraud campaign hinges less on tough ...... Mbeki has only himself to blame.wouldwhat amount do toyou “business want us as to usual do”—ori n va d eThough still muchhad donedebated, this the years idea ago,of a theyto any regular income, even from a grant- simply cast wider in order to reach all the electionthe even country if the he advantage has not beenof a middle class. policing than on replacing the means-tested Tan “opportunity for renewal”. The debate organ- universal welfare system that covers receiving relative. poverty-stricken households. This in turn affords the possibility of some social protection framework with an all- For this editor, it all became clear Zi m b a bwe ? ”, imagine the effect of a Jwould not be in the mess that acquitted? Or will he graciously I isers played a everyone, including the unemployed millions Up to 1-million of the 12-million grant Rather than trigger spending of the state’s cross-subsidisation and makes the case for inclusive, fully fledged welfare state. when he suspended the head of the leader saying, “Yes, Zimbabwe is a they are.” withdraw, leaving his new deputy, ACOB Zuma’s rise to power in the snippet from a who are excludedThat, by surely,the current is the system, key implica-was recipients are believed to be getting the grant limited resources on catching fraudsters, Kgalemabasic Motlanthe, income support to become to all poor our citizens. AfricanAbolishing National the Congress test for eligibility (ANC) also at means prosecutions service, Vusi Pikoli, for great worry todocumentar us in SA. We y do notnot the preferred option. illegally, costing the state a conservatively social grant fraud should serve to remind the In a country with a population for which less welfare bureaucracy and ultimately less tion of Zuma’s victory — it has next president? At stake may be the party’s watershed elective con - trying to serve arrest warrants on like the way citizensbased there on inter- are beingKnown as the basic income grant, the estimated R1,5bn a year. government that it is not doing enough to poverty is not the exception but the rule, corruption and inefficiency. While broader shown that our democracy will not ference in Polokwane provides a the national police commissioner, t re a t e d . ” Zumaviews had that alreadywere begunproposal is to provide each man, woman and Ye t there is strong evidence that most of mitigate widespread poverty. Doing morewhether to some we reliefenjoy in athe smooth form of transi-the dole may see a social protection is not a panacea, it is the follow the path which is meant to be tion to the next state president — Jsneak preview of the difficulties likely to Jackie Selebi, without first clearing this healing processconducted with withthe publicchild aged seven to 65 with a monthly welfare these illegal cases are motivated by need help the poor should involve rethinking the dramatic decrease in welfare-related fraud. foundation for a just, egalitarian society. things with Justice Minister Brigitte ANC members in check of R100.inevitable Though when promoted liberation by a broad move-rather than greed. social protection system and consideringand evenSlightly perhaps higher taxes whether to finance we the schemebedevil the handover from former ANC before Tuesday night. ments lead countries to majority establish the principle that all, leader Thabo Mbeki. It also provides an Ma b a n d l a . the OR Tambo coalition of labour unions, churches, The Special Investigating Unit (SIU), what no other African country has yet done: may present some discomfort to the middle � Sokomani is a researcher in the Institute for What Mbekiregion has taught of the rul- us is hownongovernmentalrule. But, organisations, if it has shown opposition us wherewhich is gaining an increasing reputation as creating a welfare state. includingclass victoriousand the affluent, ANC but presi-the resultantopportunitySecurity to Studies consider’ Corruption the and likely Governance After almost a decade of building important is theing party.common Since touch.politicianswe and are even not Social headed, Development much still needsthe state’s fraud buster, would admit that For nearly a century, welfare states suchdents, as arereduction subject in to the the country law. ’s extremely highrelationshipPro between g ra m m e. the ruling party and up and nurturing the idea of a ThisAUBREY country livesthis on clip a knife was edge. to happen before we know our Finally, how will the tensions the state, and the dynamics that will democracy based on strong and MATSHIQIThe masses cannotshown be before ripped the out of destination. between the ANC and the ANC in underpin the link between Luthuli House independent institutions, Mbeki poverty overnight.panel Evencould take the most In no post-independence Afri - government be managed now that and the Union Buildings. threw it all away in a panic, fearful the stage, the can country has a sitting president the “two centres of power” which More important, the new ANC ardent capitalistaudience should be was able to that Selebi’s arrest might hurt his appreciate the value of a leadership been peacefully and democratically this election was meant to prevent president and the country’s president, chances of being re-electedsaved presi- from my usual head-in-the-clouds ANC ELECTORAL CONFERENCE/Karima Brown sophistry becausethat the can voices talk of to the the documentary poor majority. defeated by his own party. While are immediately among us? On fresh from a titanicArts struggle&Leisure for control of dent of the African had Na ta i odevastatingly n a l We do humbling not fear effect a Zumaon me. presidency some have seen democratic Tuesday night, a senior civil servant the ruling party, will now be forced to co- Congress (ANC). Is there a pointin Tshwane. to this meandering? Don’t be For scared. me, If processes which have rejected suggested that Zuma and Mbeki operate, albeitFILM from two centres of power. All for naught — he the dumped documentaryZuma made can itappreciate clear that — ordinaryagain using sitting presidents, none has need to talk “right now” if the Given this acrimonious context, all eyes Pikoli but then got dumpedmembers himself, of the party seem to think that the happened so soon after majority smooth running of government be- will be on the interaction between the two choice betweenMbeki Thabo as Mbeki an example and Jacobof Zuma what is not to rule. And it may well be that no tween now and 2009 is to be se- leaders over the nextHE 15melancholic months beforeTHE the ASSASSINA- by his own party, in Polokwane, on do — the value of not s u r ro u n d i n g Tuesday night. Jacob Zumaone is betw theeen hope and despair. Some think that a liberationAmid movement anywhere has all the absurdities,cured. They probably did nota talk general electionsTION roll round OF JESSE in 2009 JAMES and BY THE himself with friends as advisers and new leader of the ANC. vote for Zuma is a vote for a better life while seen such a swift assertion by its then but they certainly need to n ow. the ANC putsT forwardCOWARD its new ROBERT candidate FORD for contem - others seem convincedministers that and a v otecan for hire him peoplewould who plates fame and how it creates envy and leads At the same time, Pikoli’s stand- members of their right to decide example, wish that Thabo Mbeki account the leaders they have If government over the next 15 SA’s presidency. The possibility that Zuma result in a declinewill inspeak political the morality. truth toThe him, latter he will to emulation. in is desperately trying to secure an who should lead them. had withdrawn months ago to give chosen — or will they now become months is to be hobbled by constant could well be charged by the National view is popularbewith a big the success middle class. and certain This is crucial because, in many Cyril Ramaphosa a clear shot at the cheerleaders and foot soldiers conflict with the ruling party, again Prosecuting AuthorityJesse James (NPA) (Brad will Pitt) no was doubt the murdering audience with Mabandla,sections presum- of the media, who, in their commitment leader of a bank-robbing gang — yet he Which is not to say Zuma doesn’t people’s minds, there is an p re s i d e n c y. rather than active members? Will the gains of the past few days will be also affect his relations with Mbeki. ably to discuss Selebi’s arrest.to theSo the public interest, have been warning the a chance to reimagine SA became America’s first celebrity, a legend inevitability about countries, partic- This raises the possibility that the Mbeki camp remain active in undermined by a further decline in Naturally, handovers from one regime decision whether or not country to arrest to be haveafraid a of lot Zuma to answer — the ogre for. of His the follow- whose exploits were the subject of paper - succession battleers. should (but won’t) reread Hilary ularly those in Africa, which are led the gap between the political the ANC, will they hold the new government performance. Vigorous to anotherbacksare never that portrayed free of glitches. him as aThis 19th centur y Selebi will be political and it must to majority rule by liberation move- leadership and the country which leadership to account and will they democracy is meant to produce was clear yesterday when the ANC spin mean, if the National ProsecutingFirst, we Sq must u i re not s ’s delude judgment ourselves in the into trial of OCIETIES progress through contra- Robin Hood whereas, in reality, he stole for thinking that theSchabir small matter Shaik. of “ Ita better details life just for how dictionsments: .the And new the leadership present contra- becomes has so hampered progress over the be allowed to do so? On this will strong and effective government — machine experhimself,ienced not for hiccups the poor. f o l l ow i n g Authority (NPA) cannot makeall” will its be uppermost in the minds of ANC dictionsimmune in to the removal African by National the elec- past decade has not been bridged, depend whether we are seeing a there is no point in people choosing Zu m a ’s dramaticRobert win. Ford It issued (Casey press Affleck), state- an impres- own decisions, that a decision now craven was Zuma’s financial delegates. In there l asame t i o n shipway that with people this in a“ cer-business - Ctorongressate or its (ANC) own afford members, SA the prompt- op- that all we have seen is a shift from more democratic and vibrant ANC if their choices cannot be translated ments announcingsionable youth and and then avid suddenlyreader of the books to charge Zuma would tainalso advertisingbe campaign have become zombies portunitying decades to reimagine of decay. the Zimbabwe future. is one elite figure to another in a cancellingand what newspaper would have reports, been was Zuma determined’s to man”. And it asks questions about with open expression of healthy into reality. And it is probably this political. And that probablywho means can only chant “Hummer, Hummer”, the SAfter morthee than most a decadeimmediate of Mbekism, and topicalthe process from which the people will difference or the old p re o c c u p a t i o n danger, rather than the false alarms first press conferencejoin the outlaws. as party Accordingly, president. he approached it can no longer be done.mantra Mbeki of Zumahow supporterseasily he might will be once “Zu magain a , ANC fall and example,the country but do hardly not needthe only another one. continue to be excluded. And so, if with respect for leaders and public that have been raised these past few This stop-startFrank (Sam approach Shepard), was Jesse in’s part older brother, ruined a key institution Zu he m a ”hadand foodunder vendorsthe will spell be astonished of a rich when“fr iend”—technocratic leader.The Afr Whatican they National need is a Congress lead- we are to progress, Zuma and his unity under new management. days, which should be the upper - due to the whodisorientation had neither thatthe time was nor evident the patience to himself helped create. some delegatesif place it hasn orders’t already for “Mbeki, happened. Mbeki”. er and a collective(ANC) vote leadership signalled that that will be we able are on supporters need to know both that Third, what future is there in the most concern of every South Afri- within thelisten ANC to’s the communications callow, awestruck flatterer. unit. Second, some The of the NPA, “Be Afraid if it” believesnewspaper it hasto galv a anise the broadest sections of our peo- Jesse, however, was more tolerant, articles forced me to do a bit of light reading. In ple to participatea differ entin making path in SA which a better leaders place. can this vote was far more a rebellion new ANC for the 42% who voted for can, whatever our view on the ANC. The unit, madeespecially up whereof ANC admirers officials were from concerned HEY say pride comes the before process a Icase stumbled against on him, the book should Plato pursue’s itANC policybe ejected czar Joel by Netshitenzhe those they lead posed and a in against Mbeki than an embrace of Mbeki? A movement which offers Further along, the demand that Luthuli Houseand he andeventually senior allowed government Robert to insinuate Tfall. Mbeki had ample opporRepublic:tu- A Biography,with vigour,by Simon Blackburn. whatever In it political I prescient which, question ther in theefore, Mail high & Guardian office is Zuma and that the more than 9-mil- no active role for the representatives the government become more communicationshimself spokespeople into his closed, was circle clear- and his home nity — and was advised byfound many two warningsobstacles about may the writtenbe put word. in its The way recently whenalways he askeda conditional whether giftthe ANC— you was keep lion people who vote ANC but don’t of four of every 10 members will responsive to the ANC makes it ly muddledwhere after theZu minfamous a’ s victor deed y. was to take place. sympathisers — not to standauthor for re- borrowsM fromeanwhile, Robert Louisthere’ Stevensons a lot to learnable to inspireit only as confidence long as those as who a “leader gave it to belong to it did not choose him. remain in conflict with itself. Equal- more in tune with the voters — but, The confusionBeautifully can also shot be by explained Roger Deakins, in And - election as party presidentwho argued in thatabout “written Zuma. words We remainknow his fixed, electioncapable ofyou taking allow the it. country into a new age”. That means that he cannot ly important, much of the skills and if the one in three people who vote part by therew fact Dominik that the’s divisionsscript and overmeasured who d i re c t i o n become idols oneven Tuesday to the writer, night found marks wooden the end ofEver mindfulImportant of the as absurdities this is, we of are the not assume the support of either the experience which the Zuma camp for other parties are excluded, then should taketreatover the asJames party myth president and those had who believed Polokwane. He ignoreddogmatisms, it all, and preserve flies of obvious error movement that is the ANC, Netshitenzhe in it with respect rather than criticism and the making it impossible for a candi- the Mbeki era and the fears it necessarily riding off into a new ANC or the country — he must work need are to be found in the Mbeki a government more responsive to also drawn in ANC staffers. Smuts Ngonya- in the amber of the truth”. He also refers to Plato cautioned:sunrise. “The We Polokwane may be headedconference for a to achieve it: only if he does are we fold. If they are not made welcome, Po l o k w a n e ’s majority will still not ma, headresult of the is presidency an elegy toand the commu- old west and its date to emerge who could standwho, in up similarevoked vein, said inthat some.“the written Who word will is forgetcannot avoid interrogating this question, not dubious heroes as well as an attempt to how he shut up Anglo American, or more vigorous democracy and, likely to see a government more in the democratic breakthrough will be able to serve all the people. nications unit, is an Mbeki ally who was to Zuma. Now those loyaleasily soldiers turned into an object of recitation or fetish, so muchtherefore, to find angels a more with successful revolutionary coun- touch with the society it governs. be undermined by continued It is too soon to say how the new deeply involveddemythologise in his third-term or, at least effort. explain, one of the who stood on his ticket arethe blown foodstuff ofFirst unintelligent National fundamentalisms Bank’s anticrime”. halos, for such creatures do not exist. But greatest betrayals of trust of that era. Clearly, “dogmatisms” and “fundamentalisms” more to ensuretry. But that many the sinners trials lie are oncommit- the way Second, we do not know yet conflict and decline in the quality of ANC will respond to these realities. Moreover,Fo given rd ’s the motive fractious for gunningnature of down his away too: Mosiuoa Lekota, campaign last January with just a before we can be confident of this. whether the Zuma supporters here party and government leadership. How it does may well determine the presidential leadership race, the have become flicka critical of his feature tongue? of the We succession know Zumated’ senough to keep on trying.” defenceless idol has long been considered a Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma,debate. Joel Because I am not as eloquent as Plato or With theseFirst, words for Netshitenzhe many South seems Africans, to at Polokwane were making a lasting An early test is whether the national whether Polokwane’s democratic passing of mixturethe baton of jealousywill have and to avaricebe swift (the reward Netshitenzhe, Phumzile Mlambo-Stevenson, allno thattechnocrat is left to argue or on manager, this point isbutbe it ’sayings includingthat any attempt many whoat renewal work inin orthe vote statement that they want an ANC in executive being elected this week dawn brings more enduring light to and smoothwas so substantial) as to speed and up the filmhealing does little to Ngcuka. What a waste! the fact that thepossible succession he debate might has, be to a some leader. ANC We will forhave the to take ANC, into the account benefits the fact of an which leaders account to the led or adequately represents people who the entire country. process in confirmthe ANC, or which disprove was either rent reason.down Instead, This is not the time toextent, assess becomeSouth an “echo Africans chamber must” of never middle- fall intothat the partyelection is far for from ANC perfect president and riven are were merely switching their alle- supported Mbeki. the middlethis by rather the fracas. unusual While western the is party a psychological Mbeki’s record, nor his “legacyclass” opinion.. He theThis trap does of not confusing mean we should the two not again.with all manneroutweighed of divisions by and the difficulties. costs of theMotlanthegiance from continues. one leader “But to many another. in the littleFourth, prospect what of if aZuma unified is charged party after � theFriedmanthrough is with a research a narrow associate lead, he presidesdoes overhave study handover of both procedures antagonists, to the guide one perhaps still has some 15 months inbe govern- afraid. We do have reason to be afraid that the In manyresult: ways manythe ANC have is a deep microcosm misgivings of movementAre those have forgottenwho challenged this noble Mbe- task. withDecember corruption? conference. Will his Moreover, supporters the incum-at Idasaan andunruly visiting base that professor could destabilise of the him. transition,resigned the immediateto a fate he aftermaththought inevitable, of the succession battle mayE spiral ALSO out mustnof control’t forgetif the thatbroader about society Zuma. with More all its than attendant a few, forInsteadki-camp they join decisions the party going for to prestige hold to and insistbent ’s he insistence is being on victimised running for and the ANCpolitics’s Mbeki at Rhodes is often University. depicted by his detractorsthe asdramatic a other events, the precursor which ofsaw murderers the ANC who would ment and he should probablynational serve conference becomes an arena of fierce contradictions and foibles. In its draft self- i n t e re s t . ” top job, which would enable him to anoint a deeply vindictive man and this could lead to seek fame by killing famous men, a Ma rk them out, buttressing as much as by the time Mbeki was voted elect a top-six leadership in an open combat betweenW the Zuma and Mbeki camps. strategy and tactics document, the ANC In addition to the factional fights, the ANC successor in 2009, has pushed a “t h i rd - w a y ” further instability and division. contest forDavid the first Chapman time in to 58 Jesse years,’s John caught Lennon. possible the many sensible econo- out of party office on Tuesday night,confronts this reality with candour: “The is also battling to regulate the relationship Ford may have claimed the reward but his Will Zuma supporters be able to restrain candidate such as businessman Tokyo Furthermore, the ANC’s allies onthe the party left off guard. mic policies he and his cabinetthemselves have whenSA’s Mbeki public steps hospitals up to deliver were the alreadyANC is faced with two options: either to act as between its elected officials and the private Sexwale straight into the arms of Zuma — will probably seriously question their contin- dastardly act, in particular the manner of it, opening speechin orruins, are they its Parliament going to boo largely and a ig-party of the present, an electoral machine sector. This weakness has made the ANC nullifying Sexwale as a way out of the Mbeki- ued support for the ANC, which could seeThe a lackbrought of co-ordination him notoriety among no matter key how many put in place. organising staff — such as the ANC’s But it isn’t too early to say,chant with songs withnored, unsavoury its crime references levelsstuck to the on red,blinded by short-term interest, satisfied with vulnerable to corruption at the highest level, Zuma binary politics. This harsh reality has complete realignment of the political times he re-enacted or justified it. Affleck has outgoing leaderits of school the ANC? failure Did I rates say “outgoing breathtaking,current social reality and merely givingNATIONALoften creating LEADERSHIP/ a perception that the Tonymalaise Leonled to concern and about Marian what happens L Tupy after landscape on the eve of a general election.media unit,justits the presidential right blend of communica- innocence and malice certainty, that while Mbeki’s ability tions structure and its security detail — on leader”? Well, racialthis faux animosity pas brings me rife to another and officialstewardship to its sustenance. has become part of the DNA of the party. The December, and the implications it holds not Should Zuma take the ANC presidency, while Pitt conveys precisely the attitude of a to create sound economicquestion. policy is If Mbeki wins, will Zuma supporters “Or it can become a party of the future, underhand tactics used in the presidential only for the ANC, but also for the country and the outcome is equally uncertain. Manythe day in afterconflicted Zuma took legendary over suggests figure aware the of, and arguably unrivalled in the ANC,accept hissuch aninability outcome? to We spend cannot money rule out on the pover-using political power and harnessing the succession fracas serve only to underscore our nascent democracy. the Zuma camp fear Mbeki will unleashANC thewas ill-prevenepared anticipating, for the his change. destiny. ability to hold ministers topossibility account thatty the relief ANC endemic. conference Letmay’s not remember be organisational and intellectual resources of this perception. If Mbeki is re-elected president of the state against the party if he loses the raceThe and subtext of the ANC’s long-held for implementation has beenable to piti- proceedthat beyond Zuma the didn presidential’t do any election of that. society to attain the vision of a national In an attempt to deal with this question, ANC, Netshitenzhe and Deputy President Zuma assumes the party’s presidency.tradition In of anointing leaders meant that ful. It isn’t just a disastroussince health it is not inconceivableThe thing thatto do the now losers is towill getdemocratic the society.Challenges” the party’s proposed strategy for and tactics thePhumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka new lead the list ofordersuch an event, there will be a standoffthere was alwaysERRY Seinfeld consensus’s long-running on key television simply go home or worse will happen when the If the ANC is to rise to the challenges it document, which will be deliberated on over candidates mooted as possible successors to between the ruling party and the state, the show was renowned for being about minister. Telecommunications, jus- transition right. Already, the mere positions in the party, which went a long result is announced.fact that the Already, same person there isn are’t headfaces in society, the immediate task of uniting the next few days in Polokwane, attempts to succeed him when his term ends in 2009. The outcome of which could result in theway under-to smoothJ nothing; the BEE way MOVIE for incoming, on the other hand, tice, trade and industry: theysuggestions’re all that Mbeki can only win the battle of the deeply divided organisation beyond chart the way for ward. Mbeki camp argue that both have the mining of democratic institutions. can be said to be about too much. in a dreadful state while theirPolokwane poli- if of he party resorts and to means country nefarious. will createPolokwane becomesACOB an Zuma imperative will now— no likely TheAfrican document National argues Congress that, to navigate(ANC) to the canrelevant set that government right remains experience uncertain. and enjoyvery supportiveAlready of there his candidacy,are deeply held to perceptionsleaders at electiveOverambitious conferences. if children While arethe the target tical heads live safe politicalPersonally, lives. I worrysome about difficulties the possibility for the of unrest ANC.matter But who winsbecome the presidential SA’s next race. presidentSo just minefieldfill the of governmentpolitical office, benches the ANC shouldwith MbekiIf SA’s is ear to on succeed key policy as a matters. multi- Havingdo whatwithin is necessary. society and in the ANC thatlength state of theaudience handover yet period not smart varies, enough it can to engage in parts of KwaZulu-Natalthe big thing if the will desired be outcome the qualityho ofw will the rulingwhen partythe general overcome election what isgivescores strategic of toadies leadership who tolerate to its min- cadres racialserved society, under theMbeki, new they president would alsowill be ableAbroad,institutions South have African been used foreign to settle takepolitical up to thradults,ee months, Seinfeld officials’s debut say. feature is clever in Until now. Now the game is up. called in 2009. Although SA is isterial mismanagement and cor- have to repudiate the racially divi- policy is increasingly puzzling and The handover revolves mainly around It ’s hard to imagine any incomingdoes not eventuate.government On the other to come.hand, mine If the may promis-Netshitenzhe characterised in his political deployed in various terrains; develop mon- to continue his legacy in ensuring the policies scores during Mbeki’s time in office. In this parts but, overall, lacking in the sort of casual, just be the fulminations of one who is nothing overview J at politically a recent national and economically executive itoringruption and out evaluation of fear forcapacity; their jobs. ensure siveput rhetoricin place thatduring marked his presidency much of yieldat the variancecase, Zuma with the will ANC almost’s statedcertainly bethe retried orientationobservant of and the throwaway ANC’s full-time humour that was head of state (and it may not be es of party unity at Polokwane are to but a “fountainmean of error anything,”. Zuma and Mbekicommitteefreer meeting thanas it“trench was under warfare apartheid,”? How information-sharingMoreover, many and members accountability of the by thedesired Mbeki outcomes. presidency. With a commitmentand face to a the severe promotion jail sentence, of withofficials many, his including trademark. Moreover, secretar y-g the e n absence e ra l of his Zuma) wanting to keep on muchAlternatively, of you should blame Plato for my is the processserious of healing challenges going to be remain handled andthosepublic deployed; refrained and handle from thecriticising transforming the millionWhile white Netshitenzhe South Africans is widely leaving respectedhumanothers rights. following Mbeki in his has wake. done Gwede Mantasheusual team and has deputy not been secretar compensated y- for by Mbeki’s present cabinet. Sostate manyof mind.should He asks a very now disturbing go to question: extraordinaryp o s t - Po l o kZuma w a n e ?will need to try new ways ofstateMbeki as an “ governmentorgan of the people because as a they whole thefor country his policy over acumen the and past enjoys d e c a the d e, respectmuch to fosterThe irony, peace however, in Africa is that but ANC gener MPs al in Thandithe voices Modise, of Reneeboth of Zellweger, whom are Chris Rock, will be looking for jobs, or“If jobless one type oflengths character to outweighs ensure seamless the rest, so change. to South Africanaddressing Communist them. Party chairman ratherworried than a party-political about being instrument accused of”. a Nelsonof various Mandela interest’s “ groupsrainbow and nation factions” inhis the internationalParliament can moralising choose a candidate is at fornew pres- in theirKathy posts. Bates They and will Matthew also beBroderick. based income at least, from 2009. speak, then don’tOne you think way it to draws do this all the would other beGw forede MantasheAccording says theto the ANC United is like Nations, the Motlanthelack of patriotism says the or greatest even racism. danger is a isANC, becoming Mlambo-Ngcuka less colourful. is seen The aslarge somewhatodds withident, the and policies they could, pursued on Zuma by’s instruction,at the ANC’s Seinfeld,head office the at co-writer,Luthuli House plays Barry, a In a way, Mbeki could nottypes have with it?”MbekiFor me to the begin“type to of characterlet go those” is minocean - becauseHIV/AIDS “ it has afflicts the ability 19% to cleanse of SouthtendencyOn to thewant upside, to “conflate the contest the state for and but“yo inefficient u n g ” in ANC public terms, sector and owes is beset her positionhis foreignremove policy Mbeki mandarins. from office. The Zuma’s on acolytes a full-timeworker basis. bee in a giant hive. Unhappy at the not necessarily an individual or group of itself”. ANC secretary-general Kgalema the ANC”. Whatever the outcome of Polok- in the government to her close relationship have mooted the idea as a possibility should prospect of spending his short life producing isters who want to leave and who Africans between 15 and 49, and ANC cozies up to dictators from created better conditionsindividuals. for his It refers to dominant forms of Motlanthe agrees, but puts it differently. “The wane,the the ANC 18-month presidency period has between led to the then bywith skills Mbeki shortages rather than andto frequent her years or their man, after taking control of the ANC,The partyhoney’s for new an national imperious executive queen, he ventures successor at both party andpolitical state.behaviourshould that leave. may And or may he should not have ask ANC,Zu- ” hemany says, doubt“is resilient the government and has been’s com-andfirst June genuine2009 will country-widebe marked by increasing debate protestspedigree among in the party. the intended recip- Burmafind and himself Cuba at the to mercy Libya of state and institutions.committeebeyond (NEC) his will designated also hold pollination discus- area and So disappointing has beenbeen imposed his ma by the to suggestpersonality replacements. of a leader or Thataround formitment nearly a century. to fighting There it. are Presidentmany politicalabout instabilitythe pros and and cons near-permanent of individ- ientsThis of public view is services also shared— the by many vast seniorZimbabwe,For while, this reason, at the samethey have time, alreadysions agreed on howends it up deploys taking a new fancy members to Vanessa to(Zellweger), record on health, crime, Zimbabwe,group of leaders.would The uglinessat least andensure viciousness ministers of experiencedin a Thabo people Mbeki in refuses the movement, to talk aboutconstitutionalual candidates. crises while the party decides majorityANC MPs ofwho whom are veterans are inblack the party,— manycriticisingthat American should Zuma and be Israeli unable for- to standtake as SA ’ ups a specific florist with responsibilities. an unworthy suitor. On e jobs, and so incapable hasthe he succession been Zuma battle reflects cabinet a malaise would that be must familiarincluding theveterans disease and and ordinary his firing people of the who pop-whose faceCorruption will be emblazoned has billowed on the under ballot whichof whom shows will be that among Mbeki those’s race-to nominateeign policies.president in the next elections, Motlanthe,would imagineLiving that celibately these with discussions Vanessa away from of building a warmth with havordinarye set in longwith before their the departments leadership contest and issuescan distinguishular right and from capable wrong. Deputy” HealthpaperMbeki. for the Partnext national of the reasonelection. for that basedthe party electioneering’s candidate for was SA not’s next only president.Forwhom the ANC they to have criticise positioned Ameri- as Zumawould’s run- alsohis focus hive, on Barry how’s the eyes political are opened lead- to the fact started dominating headlines. If this ugliness However,Minister for Motlanthe Nozizwe the ANC Madlala-Rout-’s biggest Onincrease the eve is of the the conflict ANC’s watershed between theelec- unethicalNevertheless, but self-defeating. given that the president can has foreignning mate policy in the mistakes ANC, should while becomeership their of that ANC honey constitutional is consumed structures by humans. Shocked people, that merely addressing after the next election. Mbeki, if continues to nothing the ANC else, conference knows floor, how one to thinkchallenge ledgeis dealing suggests effectively he with values the “ personalvices tive content conference, of SA compromise’s much-admired has effectively con- expressedThe new his president desire to should be succeeded have byshielding a presidential Zimbabwe candidate.’s If Robert Mbeki wins,will it willrelate byin thisa practical unpaid way exploitation to the state. of his fellows’ these things will bring a hugehopes sense that former president Nelson Mandela will of being loyalty a ruling over party ” professional. Careerism, self- ability.beenstitution ruled out and as a the way realities out of the of messy the thewoman, courage she is to likely adopt to get economic his backing, withMugabebe from business international as usual withscorn little is progressThis for includeshard workingwork, Barry out decides how the to sue pres- humankind of relief to the country. break his silencethrough for the sake policy. of us Itall. is a gift he couldenrichment and patronage have become fracas, with President Thabo Mbeki and Netshitenzhe as a possible deputy. the party. The jury is out on whether Zuma and instigates a strike that sees the suspen- begin to pass on to his opponents. That also explains why Jackie Selebi, ANC’s self-styled “national demo- reforms that result in faster hypocritical and then some. ident of the country relates to the party. Instead of some smart-ass from magnetswho attracting failed people to make to the a dent party, in he SA’sJacobcratic Zuma revolution both now” pinning. The constitution their hopes on economicMuch of growth. what Mbeki SA ’cans money- and cannot doSA will remains usher in Africa desperately’s dominant needed re n e w a l .The ANCsion NEC of all pollinating is likely to activities. meet next � Matshiqi is a senior associate political analyst says. “Ourmurder strategic rate objective — which in is thenine ANC timesroutingcontains each other plenty on the of conference checks and floor. guzzlingdepends on parastatal the margin corporations, by which he wins economy— if and its largest democracy. month, whenWhen it will the elect consequences a national ofwork- this industrial at the Centre for Policy Studies. remains to unite all the people of SA,” This sets the scene for bitter infighting and he wins — the party presidency. If he scrapes � Brown is political editor. action become clear, Bee Movie moves into a higher than that of the US — and balances. In contrast, the “national such as South African Airways, In spite of the mistakes of Mbeki’s ing committeemore ofsophisticated about 20 zonepeople. as TheB Larry King who is under indictment for links democratic revolution” saw a Putin- which gets billions of rands in an- presidency, the country’s potential39 new top sixinterviews may also Barry, look and at John thecompo- Goodman appears SECOND TAKE with organised crime, remains po - style placement of ANC supporters nual subsidies, ought to be priva- remains great. To unleash it, the sition of Luthuliin court as House the defendant and beef’s lawyer. up its lice commissioner. The country into all the watchdog roles and tised. The new president should new president must do a better job capacity — especially at policy level, if new the rapidity with which the political needs a president who does not positions of oversight. The ANC has also liberalise the labour market. In than the last. ANC deputy president Kgalema Motlanthe weather is changing, a flexible mock c i t i ze n s ’ concern over crime. mimicked the same approach in the spite of a growing economy, rigid has his way. MotlantheIRECTOR has David spoken Sale’s on30 DAYS OF approach to policy on public services, The parliamentary oversight of private sector, pressuring the coun- labour laws keep u n e m p l oy m e n t � Leon is an MP and the former record about the NIGHT ANC’s is need about to as beef good up a horror as HAVING won the Liberal DemocratCoacheswelfare reform and taxation pick might be the up ever-stronger the executive isballtr y’s large businesses dropped to appoint its high, at 26%. by managementleader of the Democratic Alliance. He policy-developingD any capacity contemporary and there vampire is movie leadership contest by a narrow margin, essential if the Liberal Democrats are to woefully inadequate. The electoral supporters into senior positions. Worryingly, the number of peo- is a fellow at the Institute of Politics, likely to becan a reprioritisation be. The setting of is the Barrow, ANC’ Alaska,s the Nick Clegg faces two formidable chal- remain in the game — especially with system of proportional representa- The hegemonic impulses of the ple who live in absolute poverty John F Kennedy School of policy institute,northernmost which hastown been in the slow US, off which has a lenges: to transform the morale of hisHRISTMASopinion has polls come suggesting early. I Consultancythat the rivalry for trying.tion Its allows letter had political“I’m parties, sure you rather wouldruling benefit party greatly have cost SA much in doubled betweenleft by 1994 incompetent and 2007. management.Government, It proportion Harvard said University. that their bossthe rarely mark becausemonth of ofdarkness a lack of infunds. midwinter. This makes have been sent an invitation been written in a genuine spirit of from the coaching experience!” is, in a way, the supreme example of or never bothered to act on anything it the ideal feeding ground for an i n va d i n g party members (less than two-thirds ofto receivebetween “an introductory the two maininquiry. parties “Is isthere than anyone constituencies, at the Why to select has thetheir coachingterms industry of economic efficiency and Unfortunately,outsourcing. Zuma may Management be too Tupy has hand- is a policythat analyst had been at the discussed. Cato Perhaps group of those creatures of the night. � whom bothered to vote in the contest)businessbecoming coaching increasingly pack- robust.Financial Times whocandidates would currently for Parliament.exploded in That the wayerosion it has? of Thethe rule of law. Whether beholden to theed Congress over the task of of South managingIn sto t i t some- u t e ’s Centresome for psycho-babble Global Liberty therapy wouldBrown is politicalEben (Josh editor. Hartnett), the isolated town’s and to embody a coherentageC message”. A London-basedBut equally, firm, Clegg the couldbenefit find himself from businessarrangement coaching? ” hasInternational allowed Coaching the the Federation, ethically a compromised Zuma African Trade body Unions, else, whichat the introductory was and Prosperity.rate of be welcome after sitting through sheriff, has to contend with such unusual that is plausible to the electorate.Coaching Consultancy,in a weak has position: written ifto histhey defeated asked. rival, That was such an intrigu- US-based trade body, estimates £3 950 plus VAT for the first 10 hours. enough appraisals like this. events as the slaughtering of huskies and the There can be no question meof Clegg offering’s aChris trial run Huhne, of 10 were hours to of takeing his question near miss that I decided to e-mail it conservatively that there are now Recently we had further confirma- Do companies with a “coaching destruction of cellphones, the two losses that personal attractiveness or hiscoaching, ability to includingas an invitation“unlimited to e- becometo all my Prince editorial colleagues. Alas, about 30 000 coaches working tion of the essential mediocrity of so c u l t u re ” handle performance man- ensure Barrow is cut off from the world once conduct himself in an engagingmail and way telephoneAcross support the Water,” and, the at partytheir could response fall was not all that pos- around the world. Annual revenues much day-to-day management. A agement any better? There is not policies a its electricity that meet is the Eskommed. basic needs Townsfolk of flee both in the media and inthe private end of theinto trial, schism “a detailed and reportrecrimination.itive. Some There struggled is Populismwith the concept are rulesin the order of $1,5bn. survey of 3 000 UK employees for the great deal of evidence to suggest thatthe poorbut Eben in accordance’s estranged with wife, the Stella val- (Melissa meetings. His popularity withsent parlia to my - manageralso aidentifying danger what that Vinceof coaching. Cable ’s I don’t really think These numbers will confirm the business organisation Investors in this might be the case. If anything,ues ofGeorge), the Freedom is prevented Charter. from leaving and she, mentary colleagues was almostprogress cer- has beensuccessful made”. interim leadershipeveryone perfor- was entirelySIR familiar — I with burst it. intosceptics tears when’ worst I heard fears. “WhoLetters is paying STEFANto the People found Editor that the bread-and- famously well-managed businessesMorgantogether Phaahla with a diminishing number of trust- tainly the critical factor in his victory.At first sightmance this will looked have like set an a standardI rang that the the CoachingJacob Consultancy Zuma had’s wonout theall this African money Na- for Zuma psycho-bab- becomes a populist leader. The It ’s the butter people task who of take appraisals, action a the basic challengesare usually that have characterised inspired and by theirEkurhuleniworthy, uncontaminated locals, must help to To the wider country, however,offer he I simply is young could successor not refuse. cannot On match.head of marketing, tional Gina McAdam, Congressbling (ANC) pseudotherapy? presidency.” theymasses will ask. are impatient and can ruin theSTERNwho will directelement the ANC. of performance The people manage-constrainedbrisk the and ANC robust since approach it came to to these rid the town of the invading ghouls. closer inspection, however, it was not who had sent me the letter in the first Bad coaches — and they do exist ment, is being woefully mishandled. things. Which is not to say that Sale, who made the challenging Hard Can- something of a blank slate: aquite person- as special asClegg I had isthought. a fresh The face onplace, the national to see exactlyEven what would though be I didn— help’t wantto perpetuate Thabo thefuture stereotype. just to fulfil a present want (not who hold intellectualAlmost halfdebates those in theirsurveyedp owe felt r. coaching should be seen as “soft”. It dy, and cameraman Jo Willems establish and able, rather inexperienced youngpackage man was beingsceneoffered whose manner to me at willinvolved incline in voters this introductoryMbeki tooffer. stay for aThey third bully term, or indulge he was theira clients need). andThat iscoach why can we helphave you leaders; make specifichomes im- mustthat accept their manager what the did active not deal hon-Thoughis, atthe its government best, all about embraces the veryAimmaintain higher, a sense of dreadWits which, comple- whose ideas and real politicalthe convic- “extremelyto competitivegive him a fair rate wind.” of If heA iskey to first make step wouldcertainly be a athree- better candidate.seem to have more personalitypeople flaws with visionprovements and the in strength the way youto domembers t h i n g s. ofestly the withANC themhave during decided. their appraisal.what isbusinesslike called a mixed idea of economy, getting people it to mented by some calculated shocks and tions are almost entirely unknown.£3 950 plus VAT.the To impact be honest, that his this partyway desperately “c o n t ra c t i n g ” meeting,I started where imagining I, and “ whatissues this” than coun- the coachee.carry that vision evenBut when if it flies you in put the it likeCongratulations that, A third saw to Zuma;the procedure the peo- as a wasteseems tobe prioritisebetter at what elements they do. ofBut, cap- as everySIR —plentyCongratulations of gore, guarantees to the Univer-that the graphic This could be turned to hiswas advan- rather moreneeds, money he than will I have had tomy make manager clear and a coachtry would wouldagree be like post-2009Good coaches and how can face help of popular busy doesn opinion.’t it all sound rather likeple what have a spokenof time. and (Only I shall a third?) listen. A fifth saiditalism that thatgood encourage boss knows, the there dominance is a time whensity ofnovel the that Witwatersrand inspired the film (Wits) is not on disgraced. its tage. Carrying the minimumbeen of hoping bag- toprecisely have to pay.what In he fact, means it on by whathis promis- I should be tryingthe markets to achieve. are goingpeople to react. to do better at work.As They I ask sat, good paralysed manager by should fear, be I tryingSiviwe to do Mazwanatheir manager seemed to start think-of whitesupport interests should under be offered a cloak and of a timeambition to become an internation-Phillip Altbeker gage, he is free to be creativewas with about his £3 950es to more. deliver “change”, “ambitionIt didn’t take” and long for GinaMy to fear size was me notclear, that Zuma simplewas questions, ac- received and listen a barrageanyway? of This SMSes is why and coachingBryanston has ing about the appraisal only onceblack the economicwhen you haveempowerment to be a bit to moreally prestigious, research-driven uni- new dispensation for the party.You Given cannota “ blameliberal thefuture Coaching”. London,up. December After a few 19 minutescused she of told corruption me: c a reor fully was toacquitted the answers.phone A decent calls frombecome friends so popular: lamenting it fills in the gap meeting had started, while a similarcreate“ ad i re black c t i ve ”. middleFinancial classTimes that versity,� La Wits vie en jumps Rose is40 reviewed places onin The world Weekender. of ra p e, and certainly not that a Zulu (I the result. depends on the patronage of white charts (December 18). It plans to am Xhosa) was in power, nor that Then it dawned on me: if Zuma Mind the poor capital for its existence and survival. reach the Times Higher Education PRESS OMBUDSMAN: This publication has committed itself to maintain the Zuma has a lack of formal education. becomes a populist leader, then it This betrays the struggle for funda- Supplement (THES) top 100. highest standards of journalism as embodied in the Press Code of Professional Let the National Prosecuting serves me and my friends right. SIR — The people have spoken and mental social transformation. Lest we The gold standard for research- Practice. If you believe we have failed to report news and comment accurately, Authority handle charges of corrup- We all have opinions and claim to Jacob Zuma is the new leader of the forget, the rich get richer while the driven universities, however, is not the honestly and fairly, you may lodge a complaint with the Press ombudsman either by tion; Zuma was acquitted of rape and I have superior intellects to the masses African National Congress (ANC). We poor get poorer under this system. THES rankings. Wits should aim to be e-mail, fax or letter, or by telephoning the office for the procedure to be followed. trust the judiciary; the ANC belongs to in Polokwane. However, all of us were must now remind ourselves that the In order rapidly to achieve the in the top 100 of the Shanghai Jiao Tel: 011 788 4829/4837 SA and Xhosas elected Zuma. As for watching the results on our plasma central task facing us is the pursuit of goals of the national democratic Tong University Rankings. This rank- Fax: 011 788 4990 the education issue, Bill Gates screen TVs. None of us is a card-car- national unity. revolution, the new collective needs ing system is far superior to the THES, e-mail: [email protected] dropped out of school and still rying member of the ANC. Politics are This new phase of the national to convene an alliance summit to and Wits should aim for the best. [email protected] changed our world. irrelevant to us, except in our empty democratic revolution presents an review this regime. We need socially Prof Doug Blackmur website: www.ombudsman.org.za for the press code My fear was a scenario where d i s c u s s i o n s. opportunity for a critical analysis of responsible and people-driven University of the Western Cape

Page 4 20/12/07 01 01bd2012 pcc1 09:14:11 PM 19/12/07

BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 4 Page 20-Dec-2007 Y, Relevant articles DA BUSINESS BUSINESS DAY, 20 DECEMBER 2007 4 BUSINESS DAY, Thursday, December 20 2007 ANC’s 52nd NATIONAL CONFERENCE Fears of big shift under the trade unions’ candidate dismissed, but members say the politics of the party will change Mantashe to New-look ANC gives ‘developmental state‘ a boost

Mathabo le Roux with Cronin calling for such mat- ...... stay in SACP ters to be debated. Trade and Industry Correspondent “It has been part of our frus- REATER emphasis on the tration that in the past these developmental state and issues have been ‘cast in stone’,” G “industrial intervention” he said. hot seat to increase employment were “We have to discuss (matters among the proposals suppor ted such as) inflation targeting. We during policy discussions yester- don’t claim to have a monopoly day at the African Na t i o n a l on wisdom; what we are seeing at Some fear conflict of interest Co n g re s s ’s (ANC’s) Polokwane this conference is a reclaiming of c o n f e re n c e. the democratic debate. Wilson Johwa alone, Mantashe’s leadership This comes as no surprise as “We want a chance to share ...... positions in both parties could be Political Correspondent the proposals are a consolidation p e r s p e c t i ve s, ” Cronin said. a problem, Zondi said. of policy was embarked on at the Economic policy discussions NEWLY elected African National Meanwhile, opposition par ty’s policy conference in June. at the Polokwane conference Congress (ANC) secretary-gener- parties and other key interest Fears of a radical shift to the have also confirmed that changes al Gwede Mantashe has come groups welcomed the election of left with the trade unions’ candi - in the party would be political, under scrutiny over whether he Zuma and a new team of ANC date Jacob Zuma taking the reins while policy direction is largely will now step down as chairman office bearers. of the ANC have generally been locked in. of the South African Communist Independent Democrats pres - dismissed by political analysts as Unsurprisingly then, few new Party (SACP). ident Patricia de Lille was pleased alar mist. policy issues emerged during While some believe that hold - that the ANC succession race had While the new party leader is policy discussions. ing both positions could help him come to an end, freeing the party yet to formally address the media, Instead, the emphasis was on strengthen relations between the to focus on important matters prominent party members close the consolidation of current two organisations, others fear a such as improving service deliv- to Zuma quashed notions of p o l i c i e s. conflict of interest. ery and combating crime. sharp policy shifts as unfounded. The only new resolutions Although this is not the first She welcomed Jacob Zuma’s Even from the South African adopted at the economic trans- time an ANC member has held election as president of the ANC Communist Party (SACP), the formation commission were on more than one post in different on Tuesday, saying SA needed a response to concerns about climate change, rural develop- organisations in the tripartite leader who was pro-poor and sweeping policy shifts was a ment, and land and agrarian alliance, it seems unusual for the “stood firm” in working for the resounding “no”—mainly refor m. posts to be so senior. protection of society’s most because the battle for a shift to But even the latter resolution SACP general secretary Blade v u l n e ra b l e. the left had already been won. is in line with current strategies, Nzimande said there was no However, the African Chris- SACP deputy general secre- encapsulated in the national contradiction as many senior tian Democratic Party was tary Jeremy Cronin says the left- industrial policy framework. ANC leaders had held senior worried that Zuma was elected ward shift is already under way, The only controversial issue to positions in the SACP. despite criminal charges pending with the battle against privatisa- be put forward is a proposal by However, he said, the SACP against him. tion “fundamentally won” and delegates from the SACP to have would discuss the matter at its United Democratic Move- with the focus now on a strong steel producer Arcelor Mittal SA The newly elected top six office-bearers of the ANC are (from left) Thandi Modise, Gwede Mantashe, Baleka Mbete, Jacob Zuma, next executive meeting. ment leader Bantu Holomisa said developmental state that would nationalised. Kgalema Motlanthe and Mathews Phosa REUTERS/Siphiwe Sibeko The Congress of South African the “dilemma” for the tripartite largely be driven by state-owned Demands for the nationalisa- Trade Unions said it did not see alliance members was that they enterprises and job creation. tion of strategic assets are spo- privately dismissing the issue as p o l i t i c s, ” said one party official the fore,” the official said. changing course, emphasising any potential for a conflict of would have to wait two years “What we are seeing now is a radically raised by the left, but minor and likely to fall off the who declined to be named. The view is shared by political the organisational strength of the i n t e re s t . before assuming control of gov- deepening and consolidation of even at yesterday’s discussion agenda. “What will be seen will be a analyst Adam Habib. ANC. Mantashe replaced safety and ernment. “I’m not sure if they will these perspectives,” Cronin said. there was general scepticism “It is as we’ve said all along: matter of prioritisation. Mbeki Habib argued this week that “There has been a lot of spec- security minister Charles Nqaku- have the unity they have now. On macroeconomic policies about the likelihood of such a there will be no changes in policy may have to a larger extent sup- while the Congress of South ulation — largely negative and la as chairman of the SACP at its Make no mistake; the Mbeki the stance is softer than usual, move, with some delegates but a fundamental change in ported global integration and the African Trade Unions (Cosatu) part of a strategy to represent annual congress five months ago, camp is not going to rest,” said African agenda. might claim greater emphasis on Jacob Zuma as this ‘gogga’ who when the party also put off Ho l o m i s a . “It may be that under pro-poor policies as a victory, in has so much debt to pay to the deciding whether to contest the In Zimbabwe, Eddie Cross, Zuma there is a greater fact talk of a developmental state, lefties, as we’re called (but) Jacob 2009 general election under its economic adviser to the opposi- focus on health and state intervention and an end to Zuma is not an organisation. The own flag. tion Movement for Democratic cr ime. privatisation had begun three ANC is the only organisation,” Siphamandla Zondi, a politi- Change, said Zuma’s election “We have been in a years ago. said Va v i . cal analyst at the Institute for would enhance the process of process of shifting policies Neither Cosatu general secre- “It is not true that there is one Global Dialogue, said Mantashe’s change under way in Zimbabwe. in any case. tary Zwelinzima Vavi nor S AC P person who decides policy.” positions in the ANC, the SACP “Zuma is much more straight- “In the past there may general secretary Blade Taking a swipe at former party and the government — in the forward than Mbeki, and has have been a view that eco- Nzimande gloated about the leader Mbeki, Vavi said the hope Joint Initiative on Priority Skills made no secret of his dislike of nomic policy had been a increased influence of the left on is rather that Zuma “would better Ac q u i s i t i o n — could help heal (President Robert) Mugabe and constraint on social devel- the top structures of the ANC. engage with us”. divisions in the a l l i a n c e. his disagreement with the stance opment, but now the They have both played down “Openness and respect — that But to those in the SACP who taken by the Mbeki administra- social issues have come to the role individuals could play in is all we are asking for.” would like the party to stand tion over the past seven years.” Zuma urged to avoid Co s a t u ’s hopes for Mbeki’s costly mistakes unionists on NEC

John Kaninda “This is a change of faces, about the effect the two poles ...... suffer major blow not a change of policies. The of decision would have on the Diplomatic Editor people at the helm of the ANC working relations between the JACOB Zuma might have remain the same (in terms of party and the government. Hajra Omarjee recorded a tsunami-like victo- upholding the party’s policy “Before — when the ANC ...... Political Correspondent ry over bitter archrival Thabo and principles). president was also the coun- Mbeki for the top job in the “The ANC, just like Sw a p o, tr y’s head — there was no A CONGRESS of South African African National Congress faces the same challenges of problem. How a Zuma-led Trade Unions (Cosatu) push to get (ANC), but he would be wise to poverty reduction, policy ANC will affect government more unionists into the national avoid repeating the mistakes implementation and party policies, no one knows.” executive committee (NEC) of the that have led to Mbeki’s down- u n i t y, ” the diplomat said. The question in the region Afr ican National Congress (ANC) fall, said one commentator in One diplomat, speaking on echoes the sentiments raised took a knock this week. reaction to the result of the condition of anonymity, said by the group that campaigned Two senior trade unionists Polokwane congress. his country’s leaders remained against Mbeki’s attempt to run were disqualified during nomina- The Democratic Republic a “little wary” of whether Zuma the ANC for the third term with tions from the floor, despite of Congo’s ambassador to SA, would be able to emulate the view to electing a separate having widespread support at the Bene Mpoko, said the people Mbeki’s achievements in the leader to govern the country. ANC’s 52nd national conference of SA had spoken, and echoed region and internationally. The tripartite alliance, in Polokwane. the thoughts of some analysts’, He said: “Mbeki has been at including the ruling party’s Cosatu was one of ANC presi- saying that something leaders the forefront of a push for youth league, feared that two dent Jacob Zuma’s main backers tended to forget was that they greater development in Africa centres of power would pose a in the party’s presidential succes- should always keep the elec- and better economic integra- threat to political stability in sion battle. While Cosatu backed torate informed about their tion in the SADC (Southern the country. Zuma, the federation raised con- activities, and heed the wise African Development Com- The alliance and the youth cern that his proposed NEC list counsel of their advisers. munity) re g i o n . league argued that there could was not leftist enough. Co s a t u ’s as ex-officio members, a source A Namibian diplomat told “I hope that Zuma will have be conflicting ideas and prob- 11th-hour bid to secure the nom- said. The Zuma camp is believed Business Day he believed the same approach, putting lems should one leader seek to ination of trade unionists in the to be discussing this. Zu m a ’s victory would not sig- economics ahead of politics.” dictate to the other on issues of NEC yielded only one success Other names the entire Zuma nal a change in the ANC’s or The diplomat said Zu m a’ s governance and economic because of a constitutional camp backed for the ANC’s NEC the government’s policies. election raised uncertainty vision for the country. t e c h n i c a l i t y. include ANC Youth League pres- Zwelinzima Vavi, Cosatu gen- ident Fikile Mbalula , Sports and eral secretary, said yesterday they Recreation Minister Makhenkesi had learnt a “hard lesson”. Stofile, South African Communist DA wants Mbete to quit as “It is a lesson we will learn. The Party (SACP) general secretary October (Cosatu) central execu- Blade Nzimande, his deputy, tive committee meeting was too Jeremy Cronin, ANC NEC mem- National Assembly speaker narrowly focused on the top six, ber Ebrahim Ebrahim, Nehawu and by the November meeting it president Noluthando Mayende- was too late. Although we had the Sibiya, ANC MP Ncumisa Kondlo, 40 Wyndham Hartley support, we should have planned SACP central committee member ...... better. The rule was a killer George Mashamba, Deputy Trade Parliamentary Editor punch,” Vavi said. and Industry Minister Rob Davies CAPE TOWN — Some of the Cosatu treasurer Alinah Rant- and Limpopo arts and culture shine of Baleka Mbete’s solase and National Education, MEC Joyce Mashamba. election as national chair- Health and Allied Workers’ Un i o n Vavi was nominated from the woman of the African National (Nehawu) general secretary Fikile floor, but again turned down the Congress was taken off yester- Majola were disqualified because proposal. Yesterday he said the day when the Democratic of a rule that prohibits more than labour movement should remain Alliance (DA) called on her to two people from the same independent and dismissed criti - resign as speaker of the province being nominated from cism that Cosatu had backed National A s s e m b l y. the floor. The conference had just Zuma so that its leaders could get Mbete, who threw her hat nominated Lyndall Shope- cabinet posts. into the arena with newly Mafole, director-general in the Other successful nominations elected ANC president Jacob communications department, from the floor for the NEC includ- Zuma, emerged as one of the and Randall Howard, the South ed ANC MP Lumka Yengeni from top six in the ruling party when African Transport and Allied Western Cape, ANC MP Joyce all the votes were finally count- Wo r k e r s ’ Union general secretary. Moloi from Limpopo, Fikile ed. She has been speaker of the Shope and Howard are from Xhasa, an ANC regional leader in National Assembly since 2004, Gauteng. Because Rantsolase and Eastern Cape, and Enoch having served as deputy Majola are also from Gauteng, Godongwana, another Eastern speaker before that. they were disqualified. Cape strongman. DA chief whip Ian Davidson Former Cosatu general secre- The NEC’s 80 positions are be- said yesterday she should step tary and Gauteng Premier Mbaz- ing contested by 164 candidates. down because it would be the ima Shilowa blew the whistle The nominees include Willie right thing to do. Mixed opposition reaction to Baleka Mbete’s election. when he informed the ANC’s Madisha, Nozizwe Madlala- “Baleka Mbete cannot be newly elected leadership that Routledge, Winnie Madikizela- speaker of the National way of strengthening the Lekota had served in the Rantsolase and Majola were not Mandela, Billy Masetlha and Tony Assembly and chairperson of integrity of the National cabinet at the same time as he eligible to stand. Yengeni, who have all been the fo- the ANC at the same time. The Assembly”. was chairman of the ANC, and Another senior Cosatu leader cus of controversy in recent years. conflict of interest involved Da v i d s o n ’s views were not there had not been a problem. told Business Day they had “mis - The ANC’s national confer- with occupying both positions shared by some of the other “We have full confidence in calculated” constitutional rules ence also ratified a proposal of at once is just too great.” opposition parties. her ability to continue as before floor nominations. “We 50/50 gender parity in the ANC’s He said “although she is not The Inkatha Freedom s p e a k e r, ” he said. pushed to get our people in and NEC. This means the top 40 wom- compelled to step down as one Par ty’s chief whip, Koos van He also said that the chair- had the support of Zuma support- en in the ANC NEC election at of the presiding officers”, the der Merwe, said they had no manship of the party was not a ers but miscalculated.” conference will take their seats on opposition party believed it problem with Mbete continu- full-time post, and would not Cosatu is now lobbying the the party’s decision making body. would be a sign of good faith ing as speaker. He pointed out affect Mbete’s ability to con- ANC’s new leadership to include Results for the NEC’s addition- on her part, and “it would be a that Defence Minister Mosiuoa tinue as speaker. Rantsolase and Majola in the NEC al members are expected today.

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BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 6 Page 21-Dec-2007 Y, DA BUSINESS

6 BUSINESS DAY, Friday, December 21 2007 OPINION & ANALYSIS

CLIMATE CHANGE /Paul Boateng THE THICK END BUSINESSDAY OF THE WEDGE Friday, December 21 2007 Negotiating now to save THE EDITOR’S NOTEBOOK HE Jacob Zuma era has not gotten off to a good start. Hardly had he T been elected president of the African National Congress (ANC) on Tues- Zuma and the rand the day after tomorrow day than that party (his OUTH African markets have which have built SA’s global finan- faithful, no been remarkably calm in the cial credibility and created stable LIKE to be scared at the of action against climate change for doubt) voted Sface of what has been billed fundamentals for its economy. movies. The Day After decades to come. Goals for indus- in a re s o l u t i o n the biggest political shakeup since These include the conservative Tomorrow painted a truly trialised nations to cut their emis- to disband the the end of apartheid. That is testi- fiscal stance which produced the horrific picture of a world sions must be fixed, at the same S c o r p i o n s. mony to all the headway which the first budget surplus in SA’s history, horribly transformed by time helping developing countries The vote is ruling African National Congress and an inflation-targeting frame- climateI change. But yesterday’s cut theirs and adapt to rising tem- re l a t i v e l y fiction looks all too possible today. peratures. But the Bali road map PETER meaningless (ANC) has made in terms of not just work which has worked well until BRUCE the real economy, but in winning recently, when prices soared for Some speculate that the earth is also asks more of the developing but the Scor- now nearing a “tipping point”, after world, requiring negotiators to pions (they’re the trust of global financial markets reasons beyond the control of which climate change will become consider “mitigation actions” by the people since it first came to power in 1994. monetary policy. The trouble is that irreversible. This year has been one poorer countries, and fast-growing who have been investigating Zuma for Efforts beforehand by the party’s some of the more leftist members of of the 10 hottest years on record — economies such as China and India. corruption in the arms deal) can indeed new leader, Jacob Zuma, to reassure the ANC who have teamed up with as were eight other years in the past Significant agreement was also be laid to rest by a vote in Parliament. investors that nothing will change if Zuma have long been calling for an decade — with the least sea ice in reached on : The point here is that, surely, Jacob he is in charge, have also gone a long end to the so-called “market-friend - the Arctic, the fastest retreat of � the potential acceleration and Zuma will recognise the dangers inherent way towards keeping local markets ly” path of development taken by SA mountain glaciers on Kilimanjaro, scaling up of investment in tech- in a “decision” like this. To attack an stable over the past few days. over the past decade. and the quickest decline of snow in nology beyond the carbon market; institution merely because it is doing its But a sense of unease is begin - They believe it hasn’t done Gre e n l a n d . � incentives to reduce emissions job in investigating you would be the start ning to be felt as traders and enough to redress the wrongs of The reality is that SA’s unique from tropical deforestation, which of a spiral downwards in SA from which, analysts ponder a list of unknowns apartheid, and that a new approach plant kingdom is under threat; includes both deforestation and trust me, there would be no return. ahead of the election in 2009. That is needed to speed up the pace of without action to cut carbon more gradual damage (degradation) Zuma, who, in exile, had been chief of has started to filter through, putting social transformation. That may emissions the world-renowned short of total deforestation; intelligence for the ANC, has apparently pressure on the rand in a trend well be true, particularly when it Cape wine region will migrate � A decision was reached on the been convinced there is a plot against him magnified by thin trading volumes comes to health, education and towards the east in coming decades governance of the Adaptation Fund, ever since he was left off the small group ahead of year-end holidays. crime — the challenges which still as the province becomes warmer which supports adaptation in that included Joe Slovo and Mac Maharaj The volatile rand slipped through restrain the type of investment and dryer from the north. SA’s two developing countries funded by a who were, in the early 1990s, supposed to the key level of R7 to the dollar for which SA needs to really flourish. hottest and driest provinces, levy on the clean development head negotiations for the ANC with the the first time in more than three But while looking at better ways Western Cape and the mostly rural mechanism (CDM); and apartheid authorities. But Mbeki was also Northern Cape, face the harshest � It was decided to abolish registra- left off this group. weeks yesterday, sliding 0,9% initial- of addressing these issues, the new impact. Farming will become even tion fees and levies on CDM What that means is that we may have ly on what offshore traders ANC leaders should also remember harder as sparse water resources dry projects in the least developed another thin-skinned guy to lead us after described as a “r umour” that that the steps which the old guard up, with an overall drop in countries, agreed guidance aimed at Mbeki goes. From a newspaper perspec- Finance Minister Trevor Manuel took have greatly reduced the cost of production of up to 20% forecast. improving the way the CDM and its tive that is a juicy prospect. planned to step down, along with redressing the wrongs of apartheid. Health risks will also increase. board functions, and the approved But he should really also stop, now, news that national prosecutors may SA’s mid-investment grade For example, the estimates are that use of nonrenewable biomass CDM, trying to evade the Scorpions. I perfectly have enough evidence to reinstate credit ratings have cut the price of nearly 8-million more people will be meaning that projects such as small understand that he can’t talk about the corruption charges against Zuma. its foreign borrowing, and made the at risk from malaria. cooking stoves are now possible allegations of corruption against him, but The treasury quickly knocked country more attractive as an In a series of critical reports, the through the CDM. it surely has to be time — now or never — down the rumour about Manuel, investment destination. The trea- Intergovernmental Panel on The fact that developed and to face the courts. Let’s get it done with. � and only time will tell if the corrup- sury has also worked hard to reduce Climate Change has warned of the developing countries alike signed tion allegations, linked to an arms SA’s overall debt burden, which will severe consequences of “business up to the agreement reflects deal more than a decade ago, will cushion its finances against any as usual”— that is, the continued, strength of political will at this F COURSE, if Zuma is charged with prevent Zuma from becoming the negative swings in global sentiment, unchecked use of carbon dioxide- crucial stage in climate negotia- Ocorruption (as he surely must be) and countr y’s next president. either towards emerging markets in emitting oil, coal and gas — which tions. One of the biggest challenges convicted, he will receive a jail sentence What the wobble most clearly general or SA in particular. include rising seas, droughts, severe is translating international agree- easily long enough to prevent him ever demonstrated was that during times Criticism of the country’s first weather and species extinction. ments to action. This is where our becoming president of the country. I am of uncertainty, financial assets are budget surplus in history is unfair as For example, scientists say that if partnership with SA is particularly sure he knows that, just as he must know particularly vulnerable to any event it wasn’t engineered deliberately — the world were to continue with valuable, and why we have been that the state in such a case would not “business as usual”, life in much of working together closely to effect oppose a suspended sentence. or comment which shakes confi- it has evolved partly because of the Australia, already very tricky, would action on the ground. It ’s then assumed that the kindly Kgale- dence or perceptions — in this case, benign global environment and become impossible, as it would in The Bali road map crosses an im- ma Motlanthe, the former secretary- about the course which SA’s new partly because the treasury didn’t much of Africa and Asia. Popula- portant threshold, and has set the general of the ANC, and elevated in Polok- policy makers may eventually take. want to commit money to schemes tions would face food shortages as timetable for talks, but the next two wane to the position of deputy president, This is a lesson which top officials in which would become too expensive global food chains come under Nations Framework Convention on ship, were crucial in helping to years will be even more challenging. would step into the breach and become the first ANC government learnt the to sustain if conditions deteriorate. stress, with additional pressures Climate Change in Bali culminated resolve the deadlock. The African The Day After Tomorrow was a head of state. I doubt it. Motlanthe is a nice hard way. The assumption today is Nonetheless, welfare spending from migration by environmental in a last-minute compromise by the National Congress’s compliance fun, scary movie but let us continue guy in every possible way but he couldn’t that the party’s newly elected for SA’s most vulnerable people has refugees. In the longer term, sea US and agreement to negotiate a resolution at Polokwane was one of to work together to ensure that it run the country. My guess is that the job leaders have the benefit of hindsight still risen about 20% over each of the levels would rise, partly from the new treaty, to come into effect when the most detailed and significant remains firmly fixed in the realms of would fall to Tokyo Sexwale, who modestly and won’t dismiss the importance past few years. melting ice but also from the the Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012. paved by any party anywhere in the fantasy because the reality would be (but very publicly) stood back from the of global perceptions as they ponder Given the flush state of official thermal expansion of water. The This could not have been world, and provides an excellent even scarier. Polokwane fray after having made his what course to steer in the battle coffers today, there is room for more Arctic might not have any ice in achieved without active participa- context for future action. And the lights wouldn’t come support for Zuma absolutely clear. against poverty, unemployment and social spending — but if this is not summer as soon as 2012. tion by all our partners, and SA’s The Bali road map plan, which back on at the end. I’m a big fan of the two centres of power glaring income disparities. handled carefully, investors will take The UK is delighted that the contributions, under Environmen - aims to secure a binding deal for thing anyway, and I reckon Tokyo would There is also widespread confi- fright and halt the capital inflows international climate talks during tal Affairs and Tourism Minister post-Kyoto at the 2009 UN summit � Boateng is the British high make a good president, especially if Zuma dence that the new leaders will not which have put SA’s finances in the past two weeks at the United Mar thinus Schalkwyk’s steward- in Denmark, will help set the course commissioner to SA. were around to keep the party tranquil. � rush to tinker with the mainstays of good stead, enabling it to support the “pr udent” economic policies the people who need it the most. HE tragedy of all of this is that the next BUSINESS DAY, 21 DECEMBER 2007 Tpresident of the country should really be Cyril Ramaphosa. But there was no way AFTER MBEKI/Xolela Mangcu he was going to run while Mbeki was a candidate at Polokwane. Did, I wonder, Mbeki ever appreciate SECOND TAKE the extent to which he was keeping other people out of the race by pressing ahead with his own disastrous campaign? performance. The country’s rural Zuma’s choices and our own There can be no forgiving Mbeki the hear tland is suffering from the destruction he has brought on his own combined effects of HIV/AIDS and people. Look at the results of the party’s THE election of Jacob Zuma as leader of unemployment, officially put at 25%. HE most puzzling thing found a political solution to this a culture of exile, secrecy, hierarchy saved us from the brink of tyranny national executive committee (NEC) last the African National Congress (ANC) is SA’s economic growth has not been fast about Thabo Mbeki is how matter. Mbeki took us to the brink and quaint notions of old-fashioned but will he have the presence of night. Barely a member of the Mbeki a healthy sign of democratic progress in enough to meet the expectations of the someone purported to be with Zuma and was ultimately left solidarity. And yet the world we live mind to save us from himself? cabinet has survived, and some of them a country that is a model for Africa. black majority for land and jobs. That is an intellectual could be so with egg on his face. He might be in demands openness, accountabil- Surely he would also agree that a re re a l l y good at what they do. The ANC has long denied its not Mbeki’s fault, but he has seemed obliviousT to the one historical tempted to retaliate through the ity and horizontal networks. there would be too much “stuff” Sure, there is deadwood in cabinet, but internal divisions. Now it has held a deaf to the consequences. principle that has proven true over legal process but that would simply On a cautionary note, Zuma around him and that would distract Mbeki should have cried off and let some- contested election for the leadership The ball is now in Zuma’s court. He and over again. I used to go around heighten the tension. should avoid the triumphalism that him from being an effective leader one else take on Zuma. Imagine the result and Thabo Mbeki has been defeated. has shown he can engage the people. reciting it as a little boy in Ginsberg, We may look to our most recent goes with what the great American of his country. And yet, as party had Ramaphosa had a clear 18 months to That should be good for democracy in a He has demonstrated his capacity as a having read it in one of Steve Biko’s history for precedent. The state presidential scholar and adviser leader and elder statesman he could run at Zuma? Had just 250 delegates voted state where the opposition is weak, and peacemaker and as a man capable of essays: “The limits of tyrants are could do what it did with Adriaan Richard Neustadt called “newness”. still play an active and influential the other way on Tuesday Zuma would the ANC too dominant. uniting the diverse sections of South prescribed by the endurance of Vlok — who received a suspended “Everywhere there is a sense of a role in guiding the ANC. The coun- have lost. Mbeki was as arrogant about his The bad news is that the split African society. But if he behaves as a those whom they oppress.” sentence for apartheid atrocities. page turning, a new chapter in the try would be forever grateful to him, own prospects for re-election as he has heralds a period of profound uncer- pure populist, he will kill the golden Mbeki was not yet an oppressive Zuma could also be pardoned by an countr y’s history, a new chance too. and history would remember him been about crime and AIDS and Zimbab- tainty for SA, with a potential for goose that is SA’s thriving economy. tyrant, but with the passage of time incoming president — the way And with it, irresistibly, there comes well for such a statesmanlike act. we — in other words, wrong again. I keep confrontation and deadlock between Should investors worry? Zuma may he could easily have transmogrified Gerald Ford did with Richard Nixon the sense, ‘they’ couldn’t, wouldn’t, Whether Zuma chooses to go trying to tell myself we’ll miss him when he Mbeki, as state president, and Zuma. have won the ANC vote with the back- into one. The signs were there for all during Watergate. The quid pro quo didn’t but ‘we ’ will. We can because down in ignominy in a jail cell is gone, but maybe I’m also wrong. � Much will depend on the ability of ing of disaffected trade unions and the to see. But I would not be surprised would be that Zuma should exit we won.” This can be dangerous, somewhere; or to bear the burden of the two rivals to co-operate for the communist party, but he is no radical if Mbeki still insists that African gracefully into the sunset. particularly in the sensitive and the state presidency; or to be good of the country. At such a critical left-winger. Much will depend on the National Congress (ANC) members The second scenario would be closely watched areas of economic remembered as a party leader and A, WELL, I don’t know what I am doing stage in SA’s development, institutions advisers he chooses, for he has yet to suffer from false consciousness. I one in which Zuma is acquitted. and foreign policy. statesman who pulled his country Jwriting this column. I meant to stop it are more important than individuals. reveal any clear programme of his own. can see that this is all a machination There is little a man can do about The third scenario is my most from the brink of tyranny, is entirely but I miss writing it. Perhaps, as some Mbeki must recognise that the vote Before he can run for state president of racists, liberals and coconut his age. Barring an early election, preferred. This would be for Zuma his gambit. The challenge for us and readers suggested, a little discipline might is a rebuke for his style of government he has to disprove the charges of intellectuals. The man’s ability to Zuma would be 71 at the end of his to give way to someone such as Kga- future generations is different. It mean I wouldn’t have to come in to the Pageand 8 his 12/12/07 aloofness 01 from01bd1212 ordinary pcc1 party 09:06:53corruption PM 11/12/07 that he still faces. He must deny is unparalleled. He is truly first term, and 76 at the end of the lema Motlanthe or Tokyo Sexwale. I goes beyond Mbeki and Zuma to office every Sunday to write it for Monday.

members. He has failed to demonstrate demonstrate that he believes in good tiresome in that way. second term. The same goes for all would prefer Sexwale over Mot- what Neustadt said: “Choose your Monday is still my day though.

BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 8 Page 12-Dec-2007 Y, his understanding of the social crisis government, not just power. London, Enough about Mbeki. He is a the members of the so-called Class lanthe because the latter is more of presidentDA carefullyBUSINESS because at the I’ll try to make a plan and start it again behind the positive macroeconomic December 20 man of the past. Our gaze must turn of 1942. an organisational leader and the end of the day no one can save him full time from late January. In the mean- to Jacob Zuma. In my forthcoming I cannot imagine the ANC elect- former more of a public leader. from himself (or herself as the case time, here’s the question of the year: why book, To The Brink: The State of ing another 70-something to lead it Either one of them would give us a may be).” would Jake White settle for something as Democracy in South Africa, I argue in 2012 or in 2017. Granted, Nelson breather. We need it, desperately. mediocre as selling communication “solu - � 8 BUSINESS DAY, Wednesday, December 12 2007 that Zuma is likely to be a transi- Mandela was in his 70s when he was Zuma won on the strength of a Mangcu is executive chairman of tions” as a future? I don’t know his new tional figure in at least three ways. president and other countries have deep and widely-held anti-Mbeki the Platform for Public Deliberation boss, Gavin Varejes, but why couldn’t he SECOND TAKE TheOPINION first scenario would & notANALYSIS be had old and successful presidents, sentiment in the ANC, but now that and author of the forthcoming book just pay the Bishops school fees instead of so much of a scenario were it not for such as Ronald Reagan. The differ- he has won he will no longer have To the Brink: The State of Democracy demeaning Jake by conjuring up a non-job PO Box 1745, Saxonwoldits social 2132, consequences. South Africa Tel: I (011) have 280-3000ence Fax: is that(011) 280-5505 many of e-mail: our “ [email protected] Mbeki as his foil and his anti-type. in South Africa (University of for the best rugby coach in the world? � party leader has been adopted by a always argued that we should have timers”, Zuma included, come from All eyes will now be on him. He KwaZulu-Natal Press, January 2008) wing of the ANC unhappy with the BUSINESScautiousD economicAY and socialLetters policies THE choice is Jacob Zuma’s to make. pursued since the end of apartheid. to the Editor more to the cries of the masses within He can demonstrateWednesday, that he is a leader DecemberThe 12 2007 cerebral and aloof Mbeki suc- BUSINESSLekota DAY, 10is DECEMBER a leader 2007 SA and on our northern doorstep. who can drive change in a responsible ceeded the saintly Nelson Mandela,Grinch the ’s rates Letters Unlike his predecessor, Zuma appears and orderly manner that will not halt first postapartheid president, and con- SIR — I salute Mosiuoa Lekota. On to the Editor to have good advisers. I wish him well. SA’s march towards democracy and tinued the policies designed largely to Sunday I saw the reasons why he was Just like they did throughout the commitment to truth.” mous problems at home. His need to Ivor Davis SIR — What are Tito “The Grinch” economicPullout growth; or he calls can exhibit intomaintain question economic and politicalMboweni stabil- and hisone fellow scrooges of the on leaders of the United ANC succession battle, the NEC mem- Dr Lucas Ntyintyane appear as the international statesman Sandton reckless and short-sighted leadership ity. But that has not stilled thethe impa-monetary policyDemocratic committee Front and accused numbers sat and watched as Lekota took Cresta meant fixing the United Nations, but that will seek to address grave econom- tience of a growing black underclassthinking? ber one in the Delmas trial — c o u ra g e the heat. I could see Kader Asmal and when we got a seat on the security SA ’s regional commitment I know of someone who has been ic and social concerns in the disastrous which feels that apartheid mayrefused have financing onin thenew facemachinery of adversity. Derek Hanekom sitting quietly behind council, each time we voted it was Keep a close eye style of ZimbabweHAT’ sexactly Robert does Mugabe. SA want handleofficially this on ended,a consultativ bute the basis economicto expand and his businessIt because is a mark of the of a true leader to speak Lekota. Heed the people plainly the wrong way — like support- With a resoundingfrom the European victory Union overwithsocial SA. The divides onerous remain terms, firmly then, in rateplace. hike. He hasthe not truth in any (even way, to your party) without In the past the NEC could not ing the Burmese and Zimbabwean SIR — Rather than gushing about tri- PresidentW Thabo(EU), Mbeki its largest in the trading Africanseem toMbeki be a matter lost because of interpreta- he wasthough, seen changed to hisfear lifestyle. or favour. He buys Lekota is not the first correct or defend their president; this SIR — While others more experienced o p p re s s o r s. umphs for “d e m o c ra c y ”, let us partner? Despite an existing trade tion. So what is SA’s real gripe? the same expensive whiskies and Nationalagr Congresseement with (ANC) the EU poll, (the ZumaTrade, is Itsrepresent decision to the opt interestsout of the EPAof a blackc i g a r s. elite leader to be hounded by his own party week they could not stand up for in local politics are expressing their We were preoccupied with Haiti, acknowledge that the African Natio- now theDevelopment hot favourite and to become Co-operation pres-has happy not only to shatteredmaintain illusions the status quoSurely asthere are formore speaking creative ways the truth — Leon Trotsky Lekota. opinions on the Thabo Mbeki inquest, East Timor and Palestine but hardly nal Congress has not been “rebor n” ident ofAgreement, SA in 2009 or when TDCA), Mbeki SA asked finishes last aboutlong the as commitment they get a piece to regional of the pie.to take money out ofwas the systemanother. — like In their desire to humil- So tell me, where is the collective let me throw in my own tuppence- noticed the horrifying genocide in the and that “the people” have not year to be included in the economic integration, but has put the very high yielding treasury bills available to his final term. With no direct presiden- Now, the people will be lookingthe South to Africaniate public Lekota, only, forit was the ANC that was leadership? Who will stand up on hap’orth. We all know about Mbeki’s Sudan, not to mention the persecu - spoken: they had no say in what hap- partnership agreements (EPAs) that future of Sacu — the oldest customs tial election and assuming that the ANC the new ANC leader to addressi n s t a n theirc e. embarrassed. I laughed, not at Lekota, behalf of those of us who are not ANC denialism: HIV doesn’t lead to AIDS; tion of the poor and hungry masses in pened at Polokwane. the EU was negotiating with African, union in the world — at risk. The government should rethink will stillCaribbean be as dominant and Pacific countries. as it is today, Ingrievances. the process the Zuma EU has could been becomethe whole the inflationbut targeting at the concept ANC, and so did the world. members against the bullies in the we don’t suffer violent crime in SA, it’s Zimbabwe, just up the road. One faction has simply accom- then the partyAs the leaderEPAs were will intended almost to auto- be paintedmost as thepowerful big, bad ogre man trying in SA to asbecause Mbeki it is doesn’t makeThere sense. is a We huge difference between Zuma and Mbeki camps? For every a perception; Jackie Selebi is okay, just We spent millions in foreign ex- plished its long-predicted victory over maticallyagr becomeeements withthe head a developmental of state. bullyreduced developing to a lame-duck countries into president.should instead planrobust to achieve debate a trade and rudeness. The Essop Pahad there is Mo Shaik, ready trust me; those past Zimbabwean change on unnecessary corvettes and its opponents. SA remains a monoc- approach, SA stood to gain signif- deals that are bad for them. But this surplus. If SA were a company, a The icantly outcome from of its the inclusion, party election and argumentHow does Zuma not hold behaves water. The in thesurplus interim on its tradingnational account executivewould committee (NEC) to terrorise everyone into submission. elections were free and fair. sophisticated fighter aircraft when racy and the course now is to follow has left initiallysome with the EU great balked trepidation at the request andextentwill of determinethe concessions whether made byhe deservesbe similar to to a profitdisplayed — the bottom cowardice in the face of ill- By failing to support Lekota, the Mbeki sacked his excellent deputy there were more essential priorities — events on to the next stage with a close foreboding.for this The reason. unease But itgoes eventually beyondthe EUbe — entrustednot least to SA with— points the to leadershipline. A deficit of suchdiscipline as the 8,1% and just failed to provide lead- NEC let SA down. For me, Lekota is a health minister over her whistle-blow - especially in health and education. eye on whatever we consider are our accepted SA’s motivation that an the contrary. Then there is the fact recorded means we as a country are the darkaligned cloud trade hanging regime over would Zuma help afterthatAfr Botswana, ica’s economic Lesotho, Swaziland and militarymaking power- a loss. ership. They allowed a few individuals true patriot. “The distinctive marks of ing but retained her incompetent I hope that new ANC president ow n and the country’s interests. trials forfacilitate rape andregional corruption. integration, The and newand house. Mozambique Nairobi, have December opted to 20 A hike in rates attractswith ulteriorhot inflows motives to hijack the a patriot are not hatred, intolerance, boss. He preoccupied himself with Jacob Zuma, unlike his predecessor, Paul Whelan in March the European Commis- initial the interim EPAs. and appreciates theconference rand, making and sow confusion. persecution and ignorance, but foreign affairs at the expense of enor- will hector and lecture less but listen Umhlanga sion acceded to SA’s participation. What is more, far from crying imports cheaper and widening the And that’s when the trouble foul, these countries were even will- trade deficit. We must strive for a started. Every negotiating session ing to negotiate services. To assume surplus as this would imply we are seemed to become a battle. The that they would bind themselves to selling more than we are buying! parties fought about market access, trade pacts that were bad for them is Kombe Sikazwe on products considered sensitive by patronising in the extreme. And Sandringham the BLNS countries (Botswana, Les- judging from reports from the otho, Namibia, Swaziland), on rules negotiating chambers, the reality is Taking a stand of origin. By the sound of things, that SA’s neighbours, rather than they fought about every comma and welcoming its strong-arm approach SIR — The notion that SA and Namib- period in the text. And then there as being in the interests of the ia, but specially SA, are to blame for was SA’s big bugbear that almost region as a whole, had become splitting the Southern African Cus- sank the negotiations before they increasingly exasperated at SA’s toms Union and the Southern African got off their mark — an EU demand stalling tactics. They are increasing- Development Community in negotia- that trade in services be included in ly questioning whether SA is really tions on economic partnership agree- the negotiating agenda. as committed to the integration of ments with the European Union (EU) As the talks progressed, the EU the region as it claims to be. must be treated with the contempt it softened its stance and made It is deeply ironic that as SA was deserves, Ailing trade talks threaten concessions on most of the issues. arguing for regional integration in customs union (December 10). 41 Significantly, the European Com- its push to be part of the EPA, it was Trade negotiations are the ultimate Cellphone shock mission granted single tariff access at the same time embarking on an manifestation of self-interest and An end to this public slanging to the Southern African Customs ambitious plan to review the tariff realpolitik; there is no altruism. SIR — This is just a heads up to those Union (Sacu), an unprecedented book. As part of the industrial policy Despite the EU’s attempt to sugar- SIR — The vague and subjective label fence. But for the past couple of who use or intend to use their cell- move to realign tariffs so that, in framework, it has already coat these agreements, they are “anti-ANC” has become a means of years we have stayed quiet through phones for data connections while some instances, tariffs on certain announced the review of several inherently antidevelopmental and muzzling people who should right- accusations of dictatorships, plots roaming. I recently had the pleasure European goods would be higher neo-mercantilist. The EU’s cajoling of fully be asking questions. and corruption. of going to France to watch some chapters of the tariff book, with a African countries, most of them poor, Proof of this is the recent blasting At this point in particular, I find it rugby. I took my MTN phone with me than under the TDCA. The view to cutting tariffs into inputs. It to lay on the procrustean bed of of Defence Minister Mosiuoa Lekota hard to believe that what Lekota said and used it to check the odd e-mail concession was a major one in the is estimated that the complete reciprocal free trade flies in the face of for attacking African National is the greatest threat to party unity. and browse the web. push for harmonisation. The Euro- review would comprise as much as important African initiatives to pro- Congress (ANC) deputy president ANC Youth League president I was quite stingy with my data pean Commission even backed 85% of the tariff. But import tariffs mote home-grown industrialisation Jacob Zuma. Why is it acceptable for Fikile Mbalula has time after time usage, knowing that roaming charges down on trade in services, noting SA are an instrument of the customs and development platforms, to Congress of South African Trade engaged in questionable conduct by in general are expensive. The bill that and Namibia’s wish to be excluded union and SA has no business stimulate regional integration, and to Unions general secretary Zwelin- expressing his opinion in the public followed surprised me somewhat. For from services negotiations in the reviewing tariffs without proper improve intraregional trade. zima Vavi to address our president space. I ask again, why did a member data usage that would have cost me text, but, significantly, not excluding consultation with its partners in By taking a principled stance, SA with blatant disrespect, yet this of the old guard not express their about R20 in SA, I was charged about them from the overall agreement. Sacu. And there is little evidence and Namibia demonstrate the ongoing verbal abuse of Lekota is disagreement with this kind of ill- R1 000 — a factor of about 50 times To all intents and purposes SA that SA is in fact considering the political commitment not only to ove rl o o k e d ? disciplined behaviour? Or is “anti- the South African rate. had bargained itself an excellent interests of other member states as challenge the EU’s ridiculous The comments of certain leaders ANC” behaviour subjective to which What’s worse is you cannot get any deal, increasing the benefits it had it embarks on this extensive and demands but also to expose its de fac- on “anti-ANC” behaviour have, in camp you are in? information out of MTN about what enjoyed under TDCA and ostensibly significant review process. to balkanisation of the continent. my eyes, stripped them of any cred- I believe both presidential candi- the rates actually are. They cannot tell scoring a major victory in the push Moreover, the Sacu treaty com- Garth le Pere ibility. Since they choose to ignore dates deserve better than to be you up front and they don’t tell you for regional integration. And in the mits member states to pursuing Midrand the attacks on Thabo Mbeki, these We, as a disciplined organisation, disgraced publicly. while you use it (a friendly SMS last week of November the parties common industrial policies and comments seem like a poor attempt should not allow public discrediting Mayihlome Tshwete informing me of the rate when I seemed ready to sign a deal. But at strategies. SA’s decision to unilater- The right to vote to win favour. in any form on either side of the Sunninghill connected to the French network the last minute SA and Namibia ally push its own agenda flagrantly would have been very useful). You are opted out, citing onerous terms. presented with a bill and have no breeches this commitment. SIR — The column by Pierre de Vos choice but to pay. Inexplicably, SA’s official SA’s decision to balk at signing makes for very interesting reading and everyone was writing Zuma off, there cide is an illusion to him and his Jacob Zuma was accused of having I’m sure MTN will dig up some- announcement on the negotiations the interim-EPA seems to have less is a well-reasoned analysis of the crisis they were shouting their lungs out, supporters. But to some of us it’sa unprotected sex with a friend’s thing in my contract that says they did not state exactly what its objec- to do with the onerous terms it facing SA, but also of the re p e a t e d rooting for him. reality we don’t want to visit. daughter (and wasted scarce water by have the right to charge whatever they tions were. But they are widely claims the EU forced into the text mistakes of the President Thabo I wish I could say the same thing Yes, the media may have been too having a shower afterwards). like for roaming calls (and data), but reported to revolve around three than with the region’s powerhouse Mbeki camp that have brought SA to about the backbones of Tokyo Sex- harsh on Zuma, but it still does not Don’t ANC women MPs consider surely a little friendly customer issues: a Most Favoured Nations being peeved about losing control the brink of being governed by an wale and the African National Con- excuse his silence on ethnicity. sexual harassment a problem? relationship management would have (MFN) clause that would see over the negotiations as its partners individual who is not suited to such a gress (ANC) Women’s League. Another reason why the ANC must Howard Skeens informed me of the extent of their concessions made by southern in the customs union agreed to position of authority: not because he Se x w a l e ’s sudden turn in favour of a look harder for a leader who will unite, Sunward Park pillage — or is that the point? African countries to major trading negotiate issues SA did not want on may be an “uneducated” peasant but Zuma presidency is surprising. It’s instead of divide, the country. Steven Hyslop economies (larger than 1% of world the agenda. The impression is that because of his lack of moral fibre, either a sign of desperation or a cal- Lucas Ntyintyane Johannesburg trade) automatically extended to of a spoilt child that resorts to Zuma fear also a case of common culated move by a shrewd politician. Cresta Covert attack the EU; an EU request to eliminate strong-arm tactics to keep control of class snobbery (December 7). Yesterday, Sexwale was question- new export taxes; and — once again the playground. In my view, the column highlights ing Zuma’s policy position, but today SIR — An interesting comment by SIR — Kader Asmal obviously feels Posh n Pay is it? — the services issues. SA has repeatedly proclaimed its the inherent danger of an unqualified he is Zuma’s number one praise Congress of South African Trade grossly uncomfortable over Xolela But what the South African commitment to an African right to vote: the support for a Jacob singer. You start to wonder if he will Unions (Cosatu) general secretary Ma n g c u ’s scientific exposition of the SIR — Pick n Pay’s decision to start negotiators are not saying is that the renaissance and held up regional Zuma presidency is based on the use his cheque book to buy his way to Zwelinzima Vavi —“We are talking true meaning of “populism”, Stop it, competing with Woolworths in the issues of export taxes and services integration as a way to achieve it. Its perceptions of a group of people who Luthuli House via the Zuma camp? about legendary womanisers who precious (December 11). “upper-income segment” has to qua- are covered even more extensively actions, however, explain why it is do not fully comprehend the conse- And if Sexwale’s sudden change of want 50-50 (gender parity) in the hope Asmal is not so much objecting to lify as the worst business timing of the under the TDCA. And in terms of the quences of a Zuma presidency. Their tune looks suspicious, what about the that other things can happen”, Zuma Ma n g c u ’s dissection of the thwarted decade. At a time when South African more often seen as a regional bully narrow view could result in misery for women’s league? After a 10-hour extends olive branch to Mbeki camp application of “populism” e m p l oye d consumers — even “r ich” ones — a re MFN clause, the EU had agreed to than as a big brother. the people of SA, simply because they marathon meeting, they came up with (December 10). by anti-Zumaists to reduce Jacob complaining about ever-increasing have a major ity. a verdict — no woman is fit to lead the Considering Jacob Zuma’s reputa- Zuma and his supporters to a bunch food prices, Pick n Pay decides that it Unless you understand the effect ANC. What an insult to the 1956 gen- tion as a womaniser, is this also a of windbags, emotionalists and insti- is a good idea to offer even more of democracy and the consequences eration of women leaders, whose curved ball at the man Vavi suppor ts gators (which they categorically are expensive portion-packed fancy food. of populist election choices, and powerful voices sent tremors through for president? In Vavi’s tunnel vision not), but is pegging his position as a Clearly, the company does not introduce proper and unbiased voter the apartheid regime. view of the world, probably not — it’s pro-Mbeki lobbyist. have the finger on the pulse. If SECOND TAKE education, a one-man-one-vote The women’s league stand is a the usual unionist comment, “what’s He doesn’t spare the rod in his property prices were the big topic of system invariably subjects people to betrayal. The harder they try to defend good for the goose certainly doesn’t lambasting of Mangcu, yet he man- discussions around braais two and the whims of immoral politicians, their stance, the sillier it sounds. You apply to the gander!” ifests cowardice by employing gener- three years ago, food prices are today. Putin but not Medvedev, a lawyer. Putin who prey on the fears and needs of the can’t spin ideological bankruptcy. The “women” African National alised derogatory terms like “populist So which company will fill the void may have favoured Medvedev because m a s s e s. It ’s difficult for me to vote for Zu - Congress (ANC) MPs obviously don’t and dangerous animadversions in the “middle-income segment”? It he thinks he can trust a loyal protege Joffre Papenfus ma. Why should I trust a leader who have a problem with womanisers. against ‘capitalists’, capital punish- seems Spar is also taking “the Woolies IN A country of many secrets, none and fellow St Petersburg native. It may Pretoria not long ago failed to call his support- This statement is backed up by re c e n t ment abolitionists and women’s ro u t e ”. Do we have to wait for a provoked so much speculation in be that the siloviki accepted the choice ers to order for promoting tribalism? events: Foreign Minister Nkosazana r ights”, without having the courage to creative foreign entrepreneur to step Russia as the identity of President precisely because Medvedev does not SIR — You may not agree with the pol- Either he harbours the same trib- Dlamini-Zuma used all her power to state that he is actually referring to in and offer us decent food at decent Vladimir Putin’s successor. have a security background. itics of Fikile Mbalula and Zwelinzima alistic sentiments or he does not care crush accusations of sexual harass- Zuma and Co. prices? Virgin Food, anyone? The mystery was finally solved on There are hopes that Medvedev, Vavi but you have to admire their about the dangers of ethnic intoler - ment against one of her high-ranking André Potgieter Peter Karaszi Monday when Putin named Dmitry who is Gazprom board chairman, will sense of loyalty to Jacob Zuma. When ance in this country. Rwandan geno- employees; the deathly quiet when Wo o d s t o c k Sea Point Medvedev as his candidate in next be more liberal towards business and ye a r ’s presidential elections. With the more open to the west. But this may be K re m l i n ’s support, the 42-year-old wishful thinking. Medvedev will face deputy prime minister is sure to pressures to stick to the Kremlin’s YOUR LETTERS: Business Day welcomes letters from readers. Normally, all letters of more than 300 words will be edited for length. The shorter a letter, the more likely it will be published intact. Letters should be sent by become Russia’s third leader since the current line: promoting the state’s e-mail to [email protected] (no attachments please) or faxed to (011) 280-5505. E-mailed letters are preferred. Only signed correspondence will be published. Writers should include a daytime phone number. end of communism. But how much power at home, and asserting Russia’s power he will wield is another matter. influence abroad, especially over its Putin, who has linked himself with neighbours. The nationalism that Putin the United Russia party that triumphed has encouraged will not fade away. Nor brand to this icon of destruction? enforceable such silliness should be. about religion and integration in A present from the past in this month’s parliamentary elec- will the greed driving bureaucrats to THE INSIDER Cell C seems to be in a bit of a If it’s cold and one goes Brrrrr with Britain, a debate that has been echoed tions, intends to stay at the heart of seize control of companies, further financial pickle financially as it is, and an extra “r”, is that okay? One less “r”? across Europe — although usually A READER recently faxed an order for power and concentrates almost all the undermining the free market. while this latest advertising campaign No exclamation mark? without the hand-wringing. year-end corporate gifts to a branch of re g i m e ’s public legitimacy in himself. Kremlin officials will be divided in seems to have had a big effect, it is In some parts of the UK, the Makro. Actually, he faxed it three But, inside the administration, their loyalty to Medvedev, as they have debatable whether it will turn out to Silliness about Christmas response has been a tendency to play times because they mislaid the first Putin shares power with his top been with Putin. New conflicts will be a wise move in the long term. down the traditional celebrations of two, but that’s beside the point. officials, particularly with the siloviki, emerge. But one force will push them to Unfortunately, “Solar panels, Solar HINDU, Sikh and Muslim organisa- the birth of Christ for fear of offending In due course he received a call to past and present secret agents who settle their differences — the drive to panels, Cell C” just doesn’t have the tions have joined Britain’s equality minorities. Stories abound of retail say his order was ready for collection dominate the Kremlin. They include stay in power. London, December 11 same sort of ring to it. watchdog to encourage politically workers being instructed to wish — apart from the items identified on correct Britons to enjoy Christmas customers “Happy Holidays” ra t h e r the list as “ditto”, since they were Crimes of tongue vibration without worrying about offending than “Merry Christmas”, preprimary regrettably out of stock. The Insider non-Chr istians. teachers being reprimanded for can’t help thinking this was probably Catchy line, but where will COCA Cola’s latest advertising “It ’s time to stop being daft about putting on end-of-term nativity plays, just as well; getting a ditto for Christ- PRESS OMBUDSMAN: This publication has committed itself to maintain the this road lead for Cell C? campaign, the one where quaffers of Christmas. It’s fine to celebrate and and local councils erecting “winter” or mas must be déjà vu all over again. highest standards of journalism as embodied in the Press Code of Professional the product appear to go into convul- it’s fine for Christ to be star of the “celebrator y” decorations rather than Practice. If you believe we have failed to report news and comment accurately, CELL C’s new marketing campaign sions, has by all accounts been well- s h ow, ” said Trevor Phillips, who is Christmas lights. Wise words honestly and fairly, you may lodge a complaint with the Press ombudsman either by (the one with the oft-repeated payoff received worldwide. chairman of the Equality and Human Last year, a school in Rotherham, e-mail, fax or letter, or by telephoning the office for the procedure to be followed. line “Hummer, Hummer, Cell C”) may However, the marketing depart- Rights Commission. northern England, took the traditional “VICTORY goes to the player who have people muttering it across the ment’s triumph has not been “Let’s stop being silly about a turkey off the canteen menu and makes the next-to-last mistake.”— Tel: 011 788 4829/4837 land. But given that the Hummer is matched by the suits in intellectual Christian Christmas,” he says. replaced it with halaal chicken, and Chessmaster Savielly Grigorievitch Fax: 011 788 4990 widely acknowledged to be one of the property protection. Reuters reports that suicide bomb- Home Secretary John Reid’s office Tartakower (1887-1956). e-mail: [email protected] most environmentally damaging and The iconic company has applied to ings by British Islamists in July 2005, sent out “Festive Season” cards that [email protected] unnecessary vehicles on the road, is it register the word “Br r r r ! ! ” as a trade- which killed 52 people in London, made no direct mention of the � E-mail gossip to: website: www.ombudsman.org.za for the press code really a good idea for Cell C to link its mark, which raises the issue of how have prompted much soul-searching religious holidays behind the festival. i n s i d e r @ b d f m . c o. z a

K Y M C SW_NWS_e3_211207_p02

2 FRIDAY DECEMBER 21 2007 The Star 2 NEWS NEWS FRIDAY DECEMBER 21 2007 The Star

The Daily Mail is a vibrantly national image is to sack two The Daily Mail is a vibrantly national image is to sack two successful London newspaper people whose continued per- successful London newspaper people whose continued per- that makes its money from ANC must show world what democracy means manence in authority has con- that makes its money from ANC must show world what democracy means manence in authority has con- nourishing the vulgar appe- tributed significantly to create nourishing the vulgar appe- tributed significantly to create DIGITAL tites and narrow prejudices of that very image of Africa that DIGITAL tites and narrow prejudices of that very image of Africa that Middle England. offers an insight – however squeak of a suggestion that the out loud and clear, then there is Mbeki abhors. He should take Independent Online (Pty) Ltd is Middle England. offers an insight – however squeak of a suggestion that the out loud and clear, then there is Mbeki abhors. He should take IndependentThis week Online it published (Pty) Ltd is an caricaturishly extreme – into a prosecution case against Zuma a further contribution Mbeki advantage of these turbulent the digital division of The Star This week it published an caricaturishly extreme – into a prosecution case against Zuma a further contribution Mbeki advantage of these turbulent articlethe digital about division Jacob of Zuma The Star that real and very serious problem FROM be dropped, or that the whole could make that would do political times finally to fire the and Independent News & Media article about Jacob Zuma that real and very serious problem FROM be dropped, or that the whole could make that would do political times finally to fire the beganand Independent with a nudge-nudge,News & Media that South Africa is going to thing is a trumped-up conspir- much to restore his own bat- health minister and the com- South Africa. began with a nudge-nudge, that South Africa is going to thing is a trumped-up conspir- much to restore his own bat- health minister and the com- wink-winkSouth redramatisation Africa. of have to confront, and soon, in acy of the politically malicious. tered image, as well as South missioner of police. You can’t wink-wink redramatisation of have ANOTHER to confront, and soon, in acy of the politically malicious. tered image, as well as South missioner of police. You can’t Your 4-edition the before, during and after of terms of the way it is perceived ANOTHER Another chunk of meat to Africa’s. For he might fancy have people like that managing Your 4-edition the before, during and after of terms of the way it is perceived Another chunk of meat to Africa’s. For he might fancy have people like that managing print Star now the famous shower scene; went in the rest of the world in these toss the hungry global media himself the sober statesman, the two great screaming print Star now the famous shower scene; went in theCOUNTRY rest of the world in these toss the hungry global media himself the sober statesman, the two great screaming 24 hours with on to make some jokes about all outrageously globalised, inter- COUNTRY beast would be this: to make it but the truth is that – never national crises – HIV/Aids and 24 hours with on to make some jokes about all outrageously globalised, inter- beast would be this: to make it but the truth is that – never national crises – HIV/Aids and SEE BREAKING NEWS ON the wives and all the children, dependent times. equally clear that, in the event mind Zuma’s shower – he him- crime – and hope to be taken www.thestar.co.za SEE BREAKING NEWS ON the wives and all the children, dependent times. equally clear that, in the event mind Zuma’s shower – he him- crime – and hope to be taken and generally portrayed the It would be nice to imagine Zuma and his allies will need to give swift of a court case, the judgment self has done much damage to seriously in the rest of the www.thestar.co.za and generally portrayed the It would be nice to imagine of a court case, the judgment self has done much damage to seriously in the rest of the I Subscribe to the print edition new ANC president as a that a more nuanced message Zuma and his allies willwill need be respected to give byswift the very the way South Africa is viewed world. I Subscribe to the print edition new ANC president as a that a more nuanced message will be respected by the very the way South Africa is viewed world. of The Star and read online for machinegun-wielding, commu- might somehow get out, that a reassurances that the Rainbow Nation is alive same massed ranks – so fright- in the world. Mbeki always gets So get rid of those two, let of The Star and read online for machinegun-wielding, commu- might somehow get out, that a reassurances that the Rainbow Nation is alive same massed ranks – so fright- in the world. Mbeki always gets So get rid of those two, let FREE. Use your subscriber nist, Zulu warrior who would global image might be pre- ening as the sight of some of terribly upset by these racial the message ring out on Zuma FREE. Use your subscriber nist, Zulu warrior who would global image might be pre- John Carlin ening as the sight of some of terribly upset by these racial the message ring out on Zuma number to gain access from expropriate white farms and – sented of the new Zuma-led and well, writes themJohn is toCarlin polite Western soci- stereotypes of Africa that he and the rule of law and it’ll be number to gain access from expropriate white farms and – sented of the new Zuma-led and well, writes them is to polite Western soci- stereotypes of Africa that he and the rule of law and it’ll be anywhere in the world. horrors – set a-tremble the ANC that went beyond the leop- ety – and that if Zuma is found perceives in the “white” world. like winning the World Cup anywhere in the world. horrors – set a-tremble the ANC that went beyond the leop- ety – and that if Zuma is found perceives in the “white” world. like winning the World Cup www.thestar.co.za 220 000 British citizens who ard skins, the prolific fecundity million foreign African immi- some of the damage that has guilty, he will bow out of the They really get to him, again. South Africans will ben- www.thestar.co.za 220 000 British citizens who ard skins, the prolific fecundity million foreign African immi- some of the damage that has guilty, he will bow out of the They really get to him, again. South Africans will ben- have bought second homes in and his exuberant retinue of grants in the country attest, been done. national presidential race. which has to be one reason why efit, the world will be mightily have bought second homes in and his exuberant retinue of grants in the country attest, been done. national presidential race. which has to be one reason why efit, the world will be mightily South Africa. singers and dancers. Because South Africa is the great inspi- Zuma’s speech yesterday – The willingness of the rul- it is particularly galling to him impressed – convinced that the TODAY’S ONLINE South Africa. singers and dancers. Because South Africa is the great inspi- Zuma’s speech yesterday – The willingness of the rul- it is particularly galling to him impressed – convinced that the SimplisticTODAY’S – ONLINE though well the world turns on perceptions, ration and example; the reason warm, big-daddyish, mercifully ing party, if put to the extreme that someone as susceptible as change in the ANC has been Simplistic – though well the world turns on perceptions, ration and example; the reason warm, big-daddyish, mercifully ing party, if put to the extreme that someone as susceptible as change in the ANC has been POLL QUESTION: enough written – crap, the as do the financial markets to to believe that some sunny day to the point – would have come test, to abide by the rule of law Zuma to that stereotype has change for the good – and the POLL QUESTION: enough written – crap, the as do the financial markets to to believe that some sunny day to the point – would have come test, to abide by the rule of law Zuma to that stereotype has change for the good – and the story (headline: “Machinegun a large degree, and if the idea the vast goodwill and energy of as a staggering surprise to any- would send a message so replaced him as head of the small-minded clever dickery of I story (headline: “Machinegun a large degree, and if the idea the vast goodwill and energy of as a staggering surprise to any- would send a message so replaced him as head of the small-minded clever dickery of Jacob Zuma has pledged to manI takes over ANC – God begins to stick – however mis- the continent may translate one who might have read that powerful, so exemplary to the organisation to which he has the Daily Mail will be booted Jacob Zuma has pledged to man takes over ANC – God begins to stick – however mis- the continent may translate one who might have read that powerful, so exemplary to the organisation to which he has the Daily Mail will be booted work with President Thabo help the Rainbow Nation”) guided – that the new South into prosperity and democracy Daily Mail story, and taken it world, that the matter of dedicated his life. firmly out of the park. work with President Thabo help the Rainbow Nation”) guided – that the new South into prosperity and democracy Daily Mail story, and taken it world, that the matter of dedicated his life. firmly out of the park. Mbeki to heal rifts within the does Mail readers the service of Africa is about to take a sharp for all. If that flame dies, or is seriously. It made for good whether Zuma ripped off a few Were Mbeki to read this I John Carlin is a former Mbeki to heal rifts within the does Mail readers the service of Africa is about to take a sharp for all. If that flame dies, or is seriously. It made for good whether Zuma ripped off a few Were Mbeki to read this I John Carlin is a former ANC. Will they be successful? confirming their dumb convic- detour towards Mugabean self- perceived to be dying, a light imagery, reassuring sound- million rands or not would be Daily Mail article I speak of, South Africa correspondent for ANC. Will they be successful? confirming their dumb convic- detour towards Mugabean self- perceived to be dying, a light imagery, reassuring sound- million rands or not would be Daily Mail article I speak of, South Africa correspondent for Vote on: www.iol.co.za/polls tion that Africa is an irre- destruction, then the impact on goes out all over Africa. bites. What is needed next is relegated to the status of a lit- combining as it does the crude the London Independent. He Vote on: www.iol.co.za/polls tion that Africa is an irre- destruction, then the impact on goes out all over Africa. bites. What is needed next is relegated to the status of a lit- combining as it does the crude the London Independent. He deemably barbaric place and real issues for real people – So there is a lot of responsi- some beef. tle, local difficulty. The “news” portrayal of Africa he so now lives in Barcelona, where deemably barbaric place and real issues for real people – So there is a lot of responsi- some beef. tle, local difficulty. The “news” portrayal of Africa he so now lives in Barcelona, where PREVIOUS ONLINE gives them a jolly good chuckle issues like education and hous- bility on the shoulders of Zuma One rich morsel to toss to would not be Zuma; the real detests with the news of his he writes for the Spanish daily PREVIOUS ONLINE gives them a jolly good chuckle issues like education and hous- bility on the shoulders of Zuma One rich morsel to toss to would not be Zuma; the real detests with the news of his he writes for the Spanish daily POLL RESULTS: into the bargain. ing and jobs – will be all bad. and the ANC – and Thabo the sceptics or the sneerers shocker would be the maturity electoral humiliation, it would El Pais. He joined Independent POLL RESULTS: into the bargain. ing and jobs – will be all bad. and the ANC – and Thabo the sceptics or the sneerers shocker would be the maturity electoral humiliation, it would El Pais. He joined Independent Such tomfoolery could be As for the impact on the rest Mbeki, while he remains presi- would be an unequivocal mes- and democratic respectfulness be bad for his health. Newspapers South Africa in I Such tomfoolery could be As for the impact on the rest Mbeki, while he remains presi- would be an unequivocal mes- and democratic respectfulness be bad for his health. Newspapers South Africa in Should paedophiles be brushedI aside easily enough of Africa, it would be no less dent – not to screw things up, sage from the ANC’s massed of the ANC. Instead, what he should do Polokwane for the duration of Should paedophiles be brushed aside easily enough of Africa, it would be no less dent – not to screw things up, sage from the ANC’s massed of the ANC. Instead, what he should do Polokwane for the duration of monitored after they’ve were it not for the fact that it calamitous. As the seven or so and to take measures to redress ranks that they repudiate any Should that messageR beelevant put to boost the country’s inter- the ANCarticles conference. monitored after they’ve served their sentences? were it not for the fact that it calamitous. As the seven or so and to take measures to redress ranks that they repudiateTHE STAR, any 21 DECEMBERShould 2007 that message be put to boost the country’s inter- the ANC conference. served their sentences? I 642 readers voted: I 642 readers voted: 92% said Ye s 92% said Ye s 6% said Who Cares 6% said Who Cares I’d serve 2% voted No I’d serve Outrage2% voted No over talk of arrest Who’s whoWho’s in who in SOME OF THEIR COMMENTS: Outrage over talk of arrest SOME OF THEIR COMMENTS: Simon: Yes, along with rapists Simon: Yes, along with rapists under under and bribe-takers. the new NEC? and bribe-takers. the new NEC? Ian: To those of you who voted Timing is odd, Ian: To those of you who voted Timing is odd, no: Have you no shame? We are maintainsno: Have you no shame? ANCYL We are NAME VOTES NAME VOTES talking about the safety of our maintains ANCYL Zuma – NAME VOTES NAME VOTES talking about the safety of our Zuma – children. The public must be well 1. Mandela, Winnie 2845 42. Mabudafhasi, Joyce 1698 afterchildren. NPAThe public says must be it well 1. Mandela, Winnie 2845 42. Mabudafhasi, Joyce 1698 informed if a paedophile is being after NPA says it 2. Radebe, Jeff 2716 43. Zulu, Lindiwe 1682 informed if a paedophile is being 2. Radebe, Jeff 2716 43. Zulu, Lindiwe 1682 released into their community. 3. Skweyiya , Zola 2700 44. Tobias, Thandi 1675 plansreleased intoto their prosecute community. 3. Skweyiya , Zola 2700 44. Tobias, Thandi 1675 Anon1: Yes. In fact, they should plans to prosecute Manuel 4. Jordan, Pallo 2645 45. Love, Janet 1670 Anon1: Yes. In fact, they should Manuel 4. Jordan, Pallo 2645 45. Love, Janet 1670 be named and shamed. Let the 5. Cronin, Jeremy 2519 46. Shope-Mafole, Lyndall be named and shamed. Let the 5. Cronin, Jeremy 2519 46. Shope-Mafole, Lyndall public know who they are. BY DEON DE LANGE AND 6. Duarte, Jessie 2448 1642 public know who they are. BY DEON DE LANGE AND 6. Duarte, Jessie 2448 1642 DVL: They should not have to be XOLANI MBANJWA BY LIZ MCGREGOR 7. Sisulu, Lindiwe 2384 47. Dlodlo, Ayanda 1641 DVL: They should not have to be XOLANI MBANJWA BY LIZ MCGREGOR 7. Sisulu, Lindiwe 2384 47. Dlodlo, Ayanda 1641 monitored but locked up and the 8. Mthembi-Mahanyele, 48. Mthethwa, Nathi 1629 monitored but locked up and the 8. Mthembi-Mahanyele, 48. Mthethwa, Nathi 1629 key thrown away. I would want he National Prosecuting Finance Minister Trevor Sankie 2291 49. Brown, Lynne 1623 key thrown away. I would want he National Prosecuting Finance Minister Trevor Sankie 2291 49. Brown, Lynne 1623 to know if one of these monsters Authority – doomed to Manuel would be prepared to 9. Mabandla, Brigitte 2235 50. Kondlo, Ncumisa 1619 to know if one of these monsters Authority – doomed to Manuel would be prepared to 9. Mabandla, Brigitte 2235 50. Kondlo, Ncumisa 1619 moved into my neighbourhood lose its crack investiga- serve under Jacob Zuma. 10. Sexwale, Tokyo 2198 1616 T 51. Mtintso, Thenjiwe 2198 1616 moved into my neighbourhood lose its crack investiga- serve under Jacob Zuma. 10. Sexwale, Tokyo 51. Mtintso, Thenjiwe and would actively campaign to tive unit, the Scorpions, by T Interviewed at the ANC 11. Nzimande, Blade 2157 1615 52. Xasa, Fikile and would actively campaign to tive unit, the Scorpions, by Interviewed at the ANC 11. Nzimande, Blade 2157 52. Xasa, Fikile 1615 get them out. June next year – has upped the conference in Polokwane, 12. Stofile, Makhenkesi 2151 53. Motshekga, Mathole 1613 get them out. June next year – has upped the conference in Polokwane, 12. Stofile, Makhenkesi 2151 53. Motshekga, Mathole 1613 Anonymous: I voted no, because political ante by clearly saying Manuel yesterday rejected 13. Gigaba, Malusi 2144 54. Van Der Merwe, Sue 1593 Anonymous: I voted no, because political ante by clearly saying Manuel yesterday rejected 13. Gigaba, Malusi 2144 54. Van Der Merwe, Sue 1593 there is another option. Make it intended to prosecute ANC reports earlier this week attri- 14. Magashule, Ace 2121 55. Tshabalala-Msimang, there is another option. Make it intended to prosecute ANC reports earlier this week attri- 14. Magashule, Ace 2121 55. Tshabalala-Msimang, their sentence include a period of president Jacob Zuma. buted to businessman Saki 15. Mbalula, Fikile 2116 Manto 1591 their sentence include a period of president Jacob Zuma. buted to businessman Saki 15. Mbalula, Fikile 2116 Manto 1591 monitoring, but if someone has A day after Zuma’s election, Macozoma claiming Manuel 16. Moosa, Valli 2110 56. Motsoaledi, Aaron 1591 monitoring, but if someone has A day after Zuma’s election, Macozoma claiming Manuel 16. Moosa, Valli 2110 56. Motsoaledi, Aaron 1591 served their sentence, it’s idiotic to NPA acting chief Mokotedi had said he wouldn’t serve in a 17. Potgieter-Gqubule, Febe 57. Manuel, Trevor 1590 served their sentence, it’s idiotic to NPA acting chief Mokotedi had said he wouldn’t serve in a 17. Potgieter-Gqubule, Febe 57. Manuel, Trevor 1590 deny them the rights enjoyed by Mpshe said a decision to prose- Zuma government. 2091 58. Mthembu, Jackson 1590 deny them the rights enjoyed by Mpshe said a decision to prose- Zuma government. 2091 58. Mthembu, Jackson 1590 released murderers, rehabilitated cute was “imminent” and pros- Manuel said he had not dis- 18. Chabane, Collins 2043 59. Tolashe, Sisisi 1574 released murderers, rehabilitated cute was “imminent” and pros- Manuel said he had not dis- 18. Chabane, Collins 2043 59. Tolashe, Sisisi 1574 apartheid racists, etc. ecutors were confident they cussed the issue with Maco- 19. Sisulu, Max 2041 60. Mabuza, David 1572 apartheid racists, etc. ecutors were confident they cussed the issue with Maco- 19. Sisulu, Max 2041 60. Mabuza, David 1572 Anonymous: I voted no – not had “sufficient new evidence to zoma. The only reason why he 20. Ramatlhodi, Ngoako 2034 61. Shiceka, Sicelo 1532 Anonymous: I voted no – not had “sufficient new evidence to zoma. The only reason why he 20. Ramatlhodi, Ngoako 2034 61. Shiceka, Sicelo 1532 for the reason of leniency, but successfully prosecute.” might not stay in office was 21. Yengeni, Tony 2032 62. Capa Langa, Zoleka 1506 for the reason of leniency, but successfully prosecute.” might not stay in office was 21. Yengeni, Tony 2032 62. Capa Langa, Zoleka 1506 because the justice system says At his maiden media confer- unrelated to political loyalties. 22. Nyanda, Siphiwe 2005 63. Mashamba, Joyce 1497 because the justice system says At his maiden media confer- unrelated to political loyalties. 22. Nyanda, Siphiwe 2005 63. Mashamba, Joyce 1497 you have paid your debt to ence yesterday, Zuma ducked “Finance ministers do run 23. Hanekom, Derek 1996 64. Manana, Sibongile 1496 you have paid your debt to ence yesterday, Zuma ducked “Finance ministers do run 23. Hanekom, Derek 1996 64. Manana, Sibongile 1496 society once you have served questions relating to the NPA out of steam,” he said. 24. Mkhize, Zweli 1976 65. Jenkins, Hazel 1496 society once you have served questions relating to the NPA out of steam,” he said. 24. Mkhize, Zweli 1976 65. Jenkins, Hazel 1496 your sentence. If he is to be statement, repeatedly saying Manuel said he believed 25. Ebrahim, Ebrahim 1964 66. Mufamadi, Thaba 1496 your sentence. If he is to be statement, repeatedly saying Manuel said he believed 25. Ebrahim, Ebrahim 1964 66. Mufamadi, Thaba 1496 monitored after that, it would he would “cross that bridge” there was no substance in alle- 26. Cele, Bheki 1950 67. Lobe, Charlotte 1494 monitored after that, it would he would “cross that bridge” there was no substance in alle- 26. Cele, Bheki 1950 67. Lobe, Charlotte 1494 not make sense. Why release him when he got to it. gations that Zuma “would take 27. Mfeketo, Nomaindia 1943 68. Mapisa-Nqakula, not make sense. Why release him when he got to it. gations that Zuma “would take 27. Mfeketo, Nomaindia 1943 68. Mapisa-Nqakula, at all? The system is wrong! He emphasised he never crazy decisions”. 28. Masetlha, Billy 1937 Nosiviwe 1490 at all? The system is wrong! He emphasised he never crazy decisions”. 28. Masetlha, Billy 1937 Nosiviwe 1490 asked for “his day in court” as “He has had a lot of political 29. Dlamini, Bathabile 1933 69. Masualle, Phumulo 1484 asked for “his day in court” as “He has had a lot of political 29. Dlamini, Bathabile 1933 69. Masualle, Phumulo 1484 See the full results on is often reported, but simply experience, a lot of political 30. Ramaphosa, Cyril 1910 70. Moloi-Moropa, Joyce 1470 See the full results on is often reported, but simply experience, a lot of political 30. Ramaphosa, Cyril 1910 70. Moloi-Moropa, Joyce 1470 www.iol.co.za/polls said he would answer the nous. Jacob Zuma would not 31. Yengeni, Lumka 1907 71. Morule, Playfair 1468 www.iol.co.za/polls said he would answer the nous. Jacob Zuma would not 31. Yengeni, Lumka 1907 71. Morule, Playfair 1468 ”public accusations and allega- have fought the fight to set him- 32. Motshekga, Angie 1906 72. Duma, Ndleleni 1447 ”public accusations and allega- have fought the fight to set him- 32. Motshekga, Angie 1906 72. Duma, Ndleleni 1447 tions” in court. self up for failure.” 33. Madlala-Routledge, 73. Netshitenzhe, Joel 1437 THESE STORIES & MORE ON tions” in court. self up for failure.” 33. Madlala-Routledge, 73. Netshitenzhe, Joel 1437 THESEAsked STORIES if the ANC & MORE had ON con- Manuel believes Zuma car- Nozizwe 1905 74. Pandor, Naledi 1431 www.ioltechnology.co.za Asked if the ANC had con- Manuel believes Zuma car- Nozizwe 1905 74. Pandor, Naledi 1431 tingencywww.ioltechnology.co.za plans in the event that ries the hopes and aspirations 34. Godongwana, Enoch 1891 75. Ndebele, Sibusiso 1427 tingency plans in the event that ries the hopes and aspirations 34. Godongwana, Enoch 1891 75. Ndebele, Sibusiso 1427 its president became embroiled of the poorest South Africans. 35. Dlamini Zuma, 76. Magadzi, Dikeledi 1424 I 2007 year-end games review. its president became embroiled of the poorest South Africans. 35. Dlamini Zuma, 76. Magadzi, Dikeledi 1424 in Ia 2007lengthy year-end court games battle, review. Zuma “There must not be an Nkosazana 1885 77. Ntwanambi, Nosipho I Vodacom launches reverse in a lengthy court battle, Zuma “There must not be an Nkosazana 1885 77. Ntwanambi, Nosipho againI Vodacom refused launches to “cross reverse that attempt to undermine his intel- 36. Shabangu, Susan 1775 1403 charge calling. again refused to “cross that attempt to undermine his intel- 36. Shabangu, Susan 1775 1403 bridge”charge calling. – and asked how one lect. That would be quite 37. Mokonyane, Nomvula 78. Joemat-Petterson, Tina bridge” – and asked how one lect. That would be quite 37. Mokonyane, Nomvula 78. Joemat-Petterson, Tina made contingency plans for wrong. 1756 1369 made contingency plans for wrong. 1756 1369 ALSO ON iol.co.za: something that had not hap- Manuel said he had been 38. Pule, Dina 1730 79. Mayende-Sibiya, ALSO ON iol.co.za: something that had not hap- Manuel said he had been 38. Pule, Dina 1730 79. Mayende-Sibiya, pened yet. surprised by the margin by 39. Bhengu, Ruth 1729 Noluthando 1345 I pened yet. surprised by the margin by 39. Bhengu, Ruth 1729 Noluthando 1345 Get customised news from our I Mathews Phosa, the new ALL EARS: ANC delegates listen to their new president, Jacob Zuma, during the closing session which the former ANC deputy 40. Phaahla, Joe 1726 80. Nkoana-Mashabane, Get customised news from our Mathews Phosa, the new ALL EARS: ANC delegates listen to their new president, Jacob Zuma, during the closing session which the former ANC deputy 40. Phaahla, Joe 1726 80. Nkoana-Mashabane, top journalists direct to you on treasurer-general, pointed out PICTURE: JEROME DELAY / AP president beat President Thabo 41. Booi, Nyami 1709 Maite 1337 top journalists direct to you on oftreasurer-general, the party’s national pointed conference out yesterday. PICTURE: JEROME DELAY / AP president beat President Thabo 41. Booi, Nyami 1709 Maite 1337 email. Daily TV guides, general, that charges were yet to be pre- of the party’s national conference yesterday. Mbeki for the party’s top post. email. Daily TV guides, general, that charges were yet to be pre- Mbeki for the party’s top post. business or entertainment: sented to Zuma and criticised ing its abuse of power”. conference should pass a reso- make sure “this conduct of the business or entertainment: sented to Zuma and criticised ing its abuse of power”. conference should pass a reso- make sure “this conduct of the www.iolnewsletters.co.za Mpshe for “taking his case to “The timing is also odd, lution “supporting the ANC NPA does not continue”. www.iolnewsletters.co.za Mpshe for “taking his case to “The timing is also odd, lution “supporting the ANC NPA does not continue”. the media” before consulting given the fact that the ANC con- president against this abuse of Zuma is challenging in the the media” before consulting given the fact that the ANC con- president against this abuse of AndZuma is thenchallenging those in the who did not make the list ... SMS Zuma. ference is still in session, and power and kangaroo justice by Constitutional Court aspects of And then those who did not make the list ... Zuma. ference is still in session, and power and kangaroo justice by Constitutional Court aspects of Zuma supportersSMS at the con- can only be meant to stir tem- the NPA”. the searches and seizures exe- 81. Strachan, Grant 96. Ngonyama, Smuts 110. Moloto, Sello (Premier) FEEDBACK Zuma supporters at the con- can only be meant to stir tem- the NPA”. the searches and seizures exe- 81. Strachan, Grant 96. Ngonyama, Smuts 110. Moloto, Sello (Premier) ference criedFEEDBACK foul over the NPA pers and provoke delegates,” YCL national secretary Buti cuted against him during the 82. Chikane, Frank (DG) 97. Dexter, Phillip 111. Makwetla, Thabang SMS your views to ference cried foul over the NPA pers and provoke delegates,” YCL national secretary Buti cuted against him during the 82. Chikane, Frank (DG) 97. Dexter, Phillip 111. Makwetla, Thabang announcement,SMS your with views the Youngto the league said. Manamela called on President NPA probe into charges of cor- 83. Motau, Mojo 98. Lekota, Mosiuoa (Cabinet) (Premier) 32546 announcement, with the Young the league said. Manamela called on President NPA probe into charges of cor- 83. Motau, Mojo 98. Lekota, Mosiuoa (Cabinet) (Premier) Communist League32546 (YCL) YCL national chairperson Thabo Mbeki and Justice Min- ruption, fraud, tax evasion and 84. Mufamadi, Sydney 99. Mlambo-Ngcuka, 112. Myakayaka-Manzini, Each SMS costs R1 Communist League (YCL) YCL national chairperson Thabo Mbeki and Justice Min- ruption, fraud, tax evasion and 84. Mufamadi, Sydney 99. Mlambo-Ngcuka, 112. Myakayaka-Manzini, accusing the EachNPA SMS of costs “continu- R1 David Masondo suggested the ister Brigitte Mabandla to money-laundering. (Cabinet) Phumzile (Deputy president) Mavivi accusing the NPA of “continu- David Masondo suggested the ister Brigitte Mabandla to money-laundering. (Cabinet) Phumzile (Deputy president) Mavivi 85. Molekane, Ellen 100. Pahad, Essop (Cabinet) 113. September, Connie 85. Molekane, Ellen 100. Pahad, Essop (Cabinet) 113. September, Connie 86. Kasrils, Ronnie (Cabinet) 101. Hendricks, Lindiwe 114. Tshwete, Pam 86. Kasrils, Ronnie (Cabinet) 101. Hendricks, Lindiwe 114. Tshwete, Pam 87. Didiza, Thoko (Cabinet) (Cabinet) 115. Xingwana, Lulu (Cabinet) Mugabe first off mark to pay respects 87. Didiza, Thoko (Cabinet) (Cabinet) 115. Xingwana, Lulu (Cabinet) Mugabe first off mark to88. pay Erwin, Alecrespects (Cabinet) 102. Rasool, Ebrahim (Premier) 116. Molewa, Edna (Premier) 88. Erwin, Alec (Cabinet) 102. Rasool, Ebrahim (Premier) 116. Molewa, Edna (Premier) BY WENDY JASSON DA COSTA liament, JL Nkomo, and the country’s 89. Mkhatshwa, Smangaliso 103. Ginwala, Frene 117. Maape, Bushy BY WENDY JASSON DA COSTA liament, JL Nkomo, and the country’s 89. Mkhatshwa, Smangaliso 103. Ginwala, Frene 117. Maape, Bushy AND JEREMY GORDIN ambassador to South Africa, SK Moyo, to 90. Dipico, Manne 104. Molefe, Popo 118. Mpahlwa, Mandisi AND JEREMY GORDIN ambassador to South Africa, SK Moyo, to 90. Dipico, Manne 104. Molefe, Popo 118. Mpahlwa, Mandisi do the honours. 91. Fraser-Moleketi, Geraldine 105. Balindlela, Nosimo (Cabinet) do the honours. 91. Fraser-Moleketi, Geraldine 105. Balindlela, Nosimo (Cabinet) Africa’s self-styled Big Brother, Libyan Britain’s Gordon Brown also sent his (Cabinet) (Premier) 119. Matosa, Pat Africa’s self-styled Big Brother, Libyan Britain’s Gordon Brown also sent his (Cabinet) (Premier) 119. Matosa, Pat leader Muammar Gaddafi, was yesterday best wishes, as leader of the Labour 92. Pahad, Aziz (Deputy 106. Macozoma, Saki 120. Matsepe Casaburri, Ivy leader Muammar Gaddafi, was yesterday best wishes, as leader of the Labour 92. Pahad, Aziz (Deputy 106. Macozoma, Saki 120. Matsepe Casaburri, Ivy upstaged by Zimbabwean leader Robert Party. minister) 107. Sonjica, Buyelwa (Cabinet) upstaged by Zimbabwean leader Robert Party. minister) 107. Sonjica, Buyelwa (Cabinet) Mugabe, who was first to send his best The good wishes came as the National 93. Peters, Dipuo (Premier) (Cabinet) Individuals on this list who are Mugabe, who was first to send his best The good wishes came as the National 93. Peters, Dipuo (Premier) (Cabinet) Individuals on this list who are wishes to ANC president Jacob Zuma. Prosecuting Authority threatened to push 94. Moleketi, Jabu (Deputy 108. Nqakula, Charles (Cabinet) provincial chairs or secretaries wishes to ANC president Jacob Zuma. Prosecuting Authority threatened to push 94. Moleketi, Jabu (Deputy 108. Nqakula, Charles (Cabinet) provincial chairs or secretaries “Felicitations from brother leader” ahead with its attempts to obtain a war- minister) 109. George, Mluleki (Deputy will still serve on the NEC, only “Felicitations from brother leader” ahead with its attempts to obtain a war- minister) 109. George, Mluleki (Deputy will still serve on the NEC, only was the message from Harare. rant of arrest for the new leader of 95. Madisha, Willie minister) as ex-officio members. was the message from Harare. rant of arrest for the new leader of 95. Madisha, Willie minister) as ex-officio members. Mugabe dispatched his speaker of par- Africa’s oldest liberation movement. Mugabe dispatched his speaker of par- Africa’s oldest liberation movement. 42

K Y M C SW_NWS_E1_101207_p08

8 OPINION & ANALYSIS MONDAY DECEMBER 10 2007 The Star

Panic at LITTLE SPOT the men’s UFRIEDA HO MONDAY DECEMBER 10 2007 Established 1887 47 Sauer Street, Johannesburg section

en: You’ve got to Looking love them. They can pick up M Parktown Prawns with their bare hands, open stubbornly shut jars and beyond Bali newer models even know why there’s a delicate cycle on the washing machine. But the poor dears are totally stumped when it comes to xtreme weather events have been buying a shirt without a woman’s help. increasing dramatically around the So when a large clothing retailer recently world, as the scientists predicted would introduced a no-women-allowed policy in the men’s happen. And they are saying it is going changerooom, there was a palpable wave of panic that to get a lot worse. gripped the brothers. Couple after couple and moms E with their grown-up boys arrived at the men’s No wonder then that one of the main items on the agenda of the UN climate change talks in Bali is changeroom, only for the women to be barred from to find ways of coping with the drastic weather entering. conditions. It shows how reality has caught up with There were Hollywood-scripted separation scenes arguments over whether climate change is with anxious glances and half nods of reassurance. happening and whether human actions have Before long, the attendant was pulling up chairs anything to do with it. for the growing throng of women, who of course had Hurricane Katrina has shown how hard it is to hang around anyway as the various men trotted out from behind their changeroom curtains for all the even for a mighty country like the United States to women to comment on their too-pink shirts and their cope with destructive natural events. To South too-tight t-shirts. Africans, the recent floods in the southern Cape Eventually the changeroom space spilled out to the have been a similar reminder. It clearly is urgent shoe department, turning the tiny space into a mini- that a proper international system, including a catwalk with confused men looking for a woman’s viable fund, be set up to assist where disaster thumbs up about slim-fit versus a regular cut or to strikes and where climate changes require societies solve the quandary of zipping or not zipping. to adapt to new demands. It wasn’t quite fashion week, but with the boys’ But the main challenge remains that of finding a twirling and strutting you could have been fooled. way of getting all countries to reduce the greenhouse-gas production that accounts for THE STAR, 10 DECEMBER 2007 industrial society’s contribution to cyclical climate change. It isn’t easy, considering that the US, the biggest emitter of all, has been refusing to join other industrialised countries in committing to firm reductions. While the trouble seems a lack of real international leadership in tackling the problem, Authentic leadership is the key there has been a groundswell of business, political and civil sentiment around the world in favour of action. It is especially noticeable in America where the dusk of the Bush era may well spell the dawn of embers of the Young Global the SCA ruling would be a welcome develop- just the kind of political direction that has been COMMENT Leaders of the World Economic ment from the prosecution’s perspective. missing. In this sense it may be best then not to Forum are currently attending Conversely, a Constitutional Court expect too much by way of concrete agreements RAENETTE M a course at Harvard Univer- ruling that finds with the SCA minority from Bali but rather to look beyond it for a chance sity’s Kennedy School of Government, opinion would, equally, be an important of real progress towards a comprehensive and TALJAARD reflecting on leadership in the 21st Century. development in setting clear benchmarks meaningful plan of international action to confront Irrespective of the issue with which one for future NPA operations of a sensitive and climate change. engages – ranging from climate change to highly complex nature. strategic geopolitical factors, or the chal- For the country, the Constitutional Court lenges and opportunities in biotechnology case is important with reference to the and genetic research – it is clear that the ongoing saga of the ANC succession. Shining example base-line of authenticity in leadership is Through a rigorous process, the court will critical. clearly play a key role in highlighting the While leadership is critical, it appears to presence or absence of authentic leader- ake a mental note of the name Louis be a concept that is elusive when it comes to ship, but will also definitively generate Palmer. He may well go down in history comprehensive conceptual definition. We clear case law on one’s right to a fair and as the first person to drive a solar- don’t know how to define all its contours but expeditious trial in accordance with the Bill powered car around the world without we certainly know when it is present and of Rights. M We don’t know realise even faster when it is lacking. While these events are all marked by spending a cent on fuel. Palmer, a Swiss teacher, set out on his epic journey from Lucerne in July. Now But what is authentic leadership? In the high drama, they are crucial to helping our how to define all American case it increasingly seems to be in Indonesia, he has already travelled 14 000km country probe our leaders’ authenticity. narrowly defined and, in the eyes of the Jabob Zuma Thabo Mbeki This seems to be contradictory – surely through 17 nations. With international concern its contours, average jaded citizen, finds expression in leaders who are authentic do not require all mounting over weather patterns and the cost of oil, those who vocally oppose the Washington leadership as a core ingredient of what strates a party railing against the absence of these complex institutional hoops? But this Palmer’s venture holds great significance. but we certainly insiders. voters – especially the growing “militant authentic leadership in current ANC Pres- appears to be the nature of the peculiarly There is still much to be done, of course. The know when Those who have been in the political middle” (in the words of some US campaign ident Thabo Mbeki. This is certainly a complex hurdle we, as South Africans and batteries powering Palmer’s car need recharging game for too long, on both sides of the polit- strategists) populated by independent train of analysis that does not lack a basis. particularly members of the ANC, have set every 100km and the vehicle’s length – 9m – must it is present ical aisle, come in for extensive criticism as minded sentiments and swing voters – iden- But it is not the only aspect of the discourse for ourselves by failing to clear the decks on present manoeuvrability problems, especially or lacking inherently lacking authenticity – a fate that tify as authentic leadership and how they that requires closer inspection. the Strategic Defence Procurement Package when parking. And the three-wheeler appears to also have befallen South Africa’s judge their leaders accordingly. We seem to have lost sight completely of with a full and unhindered probe, despite accommodates just two passengers. President Thabo Mbeki. While this is of significant consequence the values we want in leadership and the the joint investigating team’s compromised These are early days, though, and Palmer’s This is unfair. Leaders, who lead by find- in the US system, it may even rear its head key matter of authenticity. This will remain efforts. venture must surely spur efforts to find ways of ing their true north – to paraphrase US in Polokwane – even if some commentators highly relevant due to two separate yet The deeply regrettable aspect of this, for circumventing problems associated with climate management guru Bill George – do not have believe the comparison between the two umbilically-related crucial developments a fledgling democracy, is the fact that we are change and the use of fossil fuels. to be complete outsiders to be credible and systems is an unfair one. this week. Jacob Zuma’s legal team’s Consti- burdening our fragile new institutions with authentic. Those who lead with integrity While the analogy of the “militant mid- tutional Court action, and the pending a near unbearable weight in the process of can retain authenticity, irrespective of how dle” may have unfortunate connotations in NDPP decisions on proceeding with possi- “authenticating” our leaders’ authenticity – long they serve in public office. But this is the SA context given our complex history, ble cases against Jacob Zuma and police a weight that would make centuries-old the key question that determines whether there can be little doubt that there are a few chief Jackie Selebi, are both critical institutions in established democracies feel leadership remains authentic – the actual “militant middle” undecided voters who developments for our country and its ability immensely pressurised. record of integrity in public office. This will be arriving in Polokwane looking for to produce credible leaders. Authentic leadership resonates with transcends fiscal integrity and is, again authentic leadership. These potential swing While ANCYL president Fikile Mbalula voters and party supporters – not for vacu- Telephone 011-633-9111 arguably, where some of the Mbeki presi- voters still have to decide whether to back may link the mere prospect of Jacob Zuma’s ous populist reasons but because it is a near Box 1014, Johannesburg 2000 dency’s difficulties appear to arise. Jacob Zuma or Thabo Mbeki or another being charged again with corruption to the intangible that is present only when credi-

Page 8 10/12/07 01 01bd1012 pcc1 08:37:43 PM 09/12/07 While some ANC thinkers – such as candidate who can muster 25% of the votes Nationalist government’s “swart gevaar” bility is present at the same time. It is with

Deputy Home Affairs Minister Malusi to get on the ballot. tactics, and while Cosatu has already respect to credibility that the Zuma-Mbeki

BLACK YELLOW MAGENTA AN CY 8 Page 10-Dec-2007 Y, Editor DA BUSINESS Moegsien Williams Gigaba – criticised comparisons between It is this undecided independent-minded warned that the NPA must not be used to race has failed to fully confront the crucible Deputy Editor Jovial Rantao US-style campaigning and the grassroots (yes, this is possible in the ANC) Polokwane bring down Jacob Zuma, it is important to of authentic leadership. It now appears Editorial Executives democracy dynamic of the ANC’s closed- voter who could generate a few surprises if keep an eye on ethics in search of authen- likely that the next chapter in South door process, the most highly watched CNN the intense lobbying that is to be expected tic leadership. Africa’s search for authentic leaders will Dave Hazelhurst David Legge event in history and the YouTube Republi- follows its natural course. The Zuma litigation before the Constitu- take a number of stressful twists and turns. Sol Makgabutlane Zenaide Jones can debate marked an interesting counter- The Zuma-Mbeki stalemate, which tional Court is crucial for Zuma as an indi- As the ANC prepares to fill the vacancy Brendan Seery Nelandri Narianan point to such glib dismissals. remains a stalemate despite the significant vidual, but also for the NPA and the country. that will arise in the Union Buildings in It showed clearly how leaders were margins of victory in certain provinces in In Zuma’s case, the concept of authentic 2009 and make decisions that affect us all as 8 BUSINESS DAY, Monday, December 10 2007 News Editor required to not only directly engage their the light of Mbeki’s clear insistence on leadership will remain elusive, irrespective citizens, and as the US prepares to fill a [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2410 citizens without the intermediation of high- remaining available, must confront the of his clear popularity, until the cloud of vacancy in the White House in 2008 that will Opinion/Letters Editor Sol Makgabutlane OPINIONbrow & pre-prepared ANALYSIS and packaged interviews question of the country’s, and party itself, suspicion that continues to hover is deci- be crucial to the evolution of a more multi- but also to engage with one another to needing authentic leadership. sively dealt with. lateral approach to global problems, we can [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2336 explore the strengths and limitations of one The ANC cannot simply allow this mat- For the NPA, the divided Supreme Court all hope a thought will be spared for authen- Oped Editor Brendan Seery another’s authenticity, expressed by their ter to become a popularity contest free of of Appeals’ decision on raids and the search ticity of leadership and its necessity to [email protected] Tel:PO 011-633-2290 Box 1745, Saxonwold 2132, South Africarecord Tel: in office, (011) both 280-3000 on policy issues Fax: and (011) on 280-5505value-driven e-mail: questions [email protected] – irrespective of and seizure operations of key documents credible governance and visionary change, Verve Editor Zenaide Jones substantive behaviour in leadership. how quintessentially democratic such “pop- pertinent to any possible future charges is both on the global and local stage. [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2587 It is instructive to reflect on this hard-to- ularity contests” are. Some commentators potentially problematic and a Constitu- I Raenette Taljaard is the director of the Pictures Editor Steve Lawrence definitively-define concept of authentic might argue that the Zuma victory demon- tional Court outcome that decisively backs Helen Suzman Foundation. [email protected] Tel:Letters 011-633-2231 to the Editor Graphics Editor Nina Clark Monday, December [email protected] 2007 Tel: 011-633-2569 BUSINESS DAY, 10 DECEMBER 2007 Day Editor Nelandri Narianan [email protected] Tel:Mbeki 011-633-2461 era is over Books Editor James Mitchell How to freak out the insurance telesales guy [email protected] Tel:SIR 011-633-2148 — It is clear that the majority of Mining royaltiesTonight Editor Charleswomen de Olim in the African National regular correspondent to Stoep people work there; how they got into this possible:”I don’t have any friends. Would “Now listen, when we go into the shop [email protected] Tel:C 011-633-2347ongress (ANC) no longer want Talk, Craig Mukhuba, is as line of work; if they are married; how YOU be my friend? WOULD you?” you keep your big mouth shut, hey! Motoring Editor Denis Droppa STOEP TALK HE third draft of the mining reduces the amount of ore that is Thabo Mbeki as ANC president, irritated as I am at the way many kids they have; etc. Continue asking Or you can ask them to repeat every- “Just you let me do all the talking plus royalty bill is radically payable [email protected] to mine. The new draft Tel:despite 011-633-2256 his record in upliftingJAMES women. CLARKE A strangers phone and begin not by them personal questions or questions about thing they say, several times. the wheeling and dealing stuff because if Tdifferent from the first two. takes thoseWorkplace concer Editorns into account. TheoTheir Garrun decision not to nominate introducing themselves but by asking: their company for as long as necessary.” Or say you are under house arrest and they hear your Boksburg accent they might But one could have been forgiven This is [email protected] brave step. There are few Tel:Nkosazana 011-633-2615 Zuma as deputy president “How are you?” What if you are male and a female tele- can they bring you some beer. try to rip us off. for not noticing the turnabout when internationalOmbudsman precedents for a prof- orPeter president Sullivan for the upcoming confer- As if they really care. marketer begins: “Hi, my name is Judy and “I’ll be giving them my best Pretoria CAN’T FOOL A PRETORIAN the new bill was released at teatime [email protected] mining royalty regime. But Fax:ence 011-834-6059 was to avoid two risky centres of This brazen insincerity is a relatively I’m with XYZ Company.” accent so they’ll think we’re locals.” on Thursday afternoon. most of those countries with sales- power. It is clear that women believe new phenomenon and should be nipped in Craig says you wait for a second. Then in Look, don’t blame me for the following. And They go in and Jan says: “Excuse me sir, Contributing Editors the Mbeki era has come to an end and the bud. a real husky voice ask: “What are you wear- if you live in Boksburg, I can explain the I’ll take 50 of your finest suits at R20 each, Not only was there no fanfare, based royalties have always levied Craig says one should reply: “I’m so glad ing?” story to you later. Or, rather, I can get the plus 100 shirts at R10 each, and 50 pairs of but news of the most significant royalties. SA is unusual because it if they choose Nkosazana Zuma as Prof Cathi Albertyn Profdeputy Susan Booysen to Mbeki, she will become you asked because no one these days seems Or, he says, you can cry out in mock sur- correspondent, Win, who sent me this, to your trousers at just R8 each. I will be pay- change in the new draft was tucked has comeNicole to Fritz the royalty party late. Nombonisopresident Gasa in name only as Mbeki to care and I have all these problems. My prise: “Judy? Is that you? Oh my God! Judy, explain. ing in cash and taking those items with me away on the second page of the That meansDr Wilmotthere James’s a strong case for wouldBurtonstill Joseph call the shots. So to avoid arthritis is acting up, my eyelashes are sore, how have you been?” Hopefully, this will Jan and Koos from Boksburg were in today, if you don’t mind.” my dog just died …” press release. Essentially, where the doing it differDr Peterently. Karungu But it does mean Patrickthat, they Laurence elected Jacob Zuma. give Judy a few brief moments of terror. Pretoria for a cricket match when they spot- The shop owner interrupted him: He gave me alternative tips, gleaned You can also fluster such a caller by ask- ted a sign on a shop window: “You’re from Boksburg, right?” previous two drafts levied the we may Profhave Tom to Lodgework a bit harderProf to MalegapuruIt isMakgoba encouraging to see how most royalties on turnover, this one ensure the system works smoothly. Hey, I didn’t come from the Internet, about how to deal with ing her to marry you. When she becomes all Suits R20 each “Err… ja,” says Jan. “How do you know?” Dr Sheila Meintjies Prof Njabulowomen Ndebele believe in the power of for- proposes a levy that is based on The new draft also introduces unwelcome calls. confused, tell her it would be necessary Shirts R10 each The owner says: “This is a dry-cleaner’s Theresa Oakley-Smith givenessProf Helen Rees and do notup hangwith onthis to stuff. “If they say they’re John Smith from because you can’t just give your credit-card Trousers R8 per pair shop.” profitability. The mining industry another innovation, which is to grudges like seniors in government. Prof Barry Schoub Ron Steele XYZ Company, ask them to spell their name. number to a complete stranger. Jan says: “Hey Koos, check at that! Ek sê, has been calling for profits, not allow deductions for beneficiation. The women’s leagueBut I’d’s sure actions like to I Lisa Vetten Prof David Unterhalter Then ask them to spell their company’s If an insurance company rings trying to we could buy a whole load of these clothes, Contact Stoep Talk: Fax: 011-465-4564 sales, to be the basis for the royalty That’s in line with the mineral and show women believe Zuma will uplift name. Then ask them where it is located; get you to sign up for the sake of your fam- then when we get back we could resell them Write to: Box 876 Lonehill, 2062 for the past four or five years, since energy Dr Shereen affairs Usdin department’s them when he ascends totry power. some of it how long it has been in business; how many ily and friends, say in as sinister a voice as and make us a moerse fortune! e-mail: [email protected] the process of designing it began. determination to promote local Mosidi Jackie Motlhabi Government had resisted this, beneficiation of SA’s minerals and it Tlokwe, Potchefstroom emphasising that it was committed keeps some of the distinction made to keeping sales as the basis of the in the previous draft bill between royalty regime, in line with the refined and unrefined, though again No courage approach adopted by almost every without imposing arbitrary rates for other resource-rich country. Now, each mining sector. SIR — Within the anonymity of the however, it has gone a long way to Though the changes are broadly African National Congress (ANC) accommodate the mining indus- welcome, there will be winners and branches, members have had the courage to denounce the centralised tr y’s criticisms by introducing a new losers. The treasur y’s estimates authoritarianism that has charac- royalty rate structure that is based show that based on past f i n a n c i a l s, terised Thabo Mbeki’s tenure as on a formula that takes companies’ the royalty rates for almost all min- deputy president and then president. profitability into account. The erals under the new formula would However, the representatives of previous approach had a somewhat be lower than they were in terms of those branches and ANC members arbitrary set of different rates for the previous draft bill. But what of throughout the country have dis- different sectors (5% for diamonds, the future? The new formula uses played virtually no courage in chal- for example, and 2% for coal) with earnings before interest, tax and lenging the Presidency at all. They all the second draft introducing d e p re ciation. That may disadvan- clapped and cheered when Mbeki told different rates for refined and tage mining companies undertak- that genocidal lie that a virus cannot 43 unrefined minerals. Now, instead, ing very large capital expansion lead to a syndrome. They all clapped there is a single formula in terms of programmes. Their depreciation is and cheered when Aziz Pahad piously ity was justified in an action seen to be which the royalty rate for each higher, reflecting the huge sums admonished the opposition’s protecting the public interest. But was company will fluctuate depending they are spending to sink new shafts demand that the government take an this the real motivation? on the ratio of earnings to sales. or develop new ore bodies, but they openly moral position on Zimbabwe. Pointless to nominate a woman After an inspection of the airline's The fact that the government has will not get credit for that in the roy- They allowed Travelgate to muddle on B737-200s, Nationwide was autho- been flexible and responsive is to be alty formula. And that seems short- i g n o m i n i o u s l y. SIR — It is self-serving for people to bers to vote for Mbeki. All along, it rised to continue flying. But then two welcomed. Officials clearly have sighted. Equally, the inclusion of They have done nothing about criticise the African National was accepted that the league was to weeks later the entire fleet was Congress (ANC) Women’s League for vote for Mbeki. Not a single analyst worked with industry representa- beneficiation in the royalty formula ministers who have hindered eco- grounded over administrative proce- nomic growth and competitiveness. nominating Jacob Zuma as president said: “Hang on, the women’s league dures in the maintenance process tives on the design of the new may complicate matters without They have done little about officials of the ANC. is supposed to nominate a woman Since aircraft maintenance organ- formula. That kind of partnership is necessarily ensuring beneficiation. and parastatal officials who have Had they nominated a woman candidate.” Now that a different out- isations are audited annually, this has essential in an industry that is as It ’s not clear that the tax system is raped the coffers for their personal presidential candidate, it would have come has emerged, analysts are sud- called the CAA’s own procedures into complex and crucial as mining. The the best way to achieve that. gain. They have persisted in maintain- been merely a symbolic gesture since denly attacking the women’s league. question. But there are wider issues to outcome is crucial too. The indus- The new bill is definitely better ing an electoral system that benefits no other province had done so. A More ominously, the people who be addressed. tr y’s argument was that levying a for SA’s mining industry than the the ANC numerically but does noth- candidate requires the nomination are criticising the league for exercis- Aviation observers have comment- royalty on sales, not profit, would old. The only trouble is, it’s so dif- ing for constituency accountability of at least two provinces for a pres- ing their constitutionally enshrined ed that the CAA’s actions seem heavy have put marginal mines at ferent that debate about the tech- and therefore delivery. Their courage idential contestation. right to vote are a danger to demo- handed and poorly timed, given the increased risk. It would also have nicalities could start all over again. has failed them utterly. Those who purport to criticise the cracy — people such as Deputy Pres- number of passengers using commer- been negative for the long-term With luck it won’t take another four But now that the branches have wo m e n ’s league, as political analyst ident Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka, cial airlines in the pre-Christmas prospects of the industry, because it years to resolve the i s s u e s. spoken, they are talking about a vote Aubrey Matshiqi does, are simply Land Affairs Minister Lulama Xing- period. And their actions have caused of no confidence in Mbeki before his disguising their attacks on Zuma, wana, Provincial and Local Govern- the maximum possible damage to term is up. Forget it! They don’t have The yin and yang of gender discourse ment Deputy Minister Nomatyala Na t i o n w i d e ’s reputation and its the right. Unless they are prepared, at (December 7). Hangana, Deputy Defence Minister b u s i n e s s. the same time, to take a vote of no No one has attacked the preferable to a Zuma presidency. Mluleki George, Health Minister This is not an issue to be taken SECOND TAKE confidence over the performance of provinces for nominating Thabo The ANC Women’s League is not Manto Tshabalala-Msimang and lightly, given Nationwide’s excellent each and every ANC parliamentarian. Mbeki for ANC president when he being attacked for nominating a businesswoman Wendy Luhabe. standards of safety and customer SC Weiss cannot become the country’s pres- man for the presidency, but for All have criticised the outcome service the airline has established over ate people a lot; but it worries the Parktown North ident — unless we are being told that nominating Zuma. but cannot be said to be impartial. the past 15 years. devout even more. Its claims to be a the prospect of an extended Wo m e n ’s league president Nosivi- Mduduzi Dlamini The shadowy hand of the state is HOW much does it matter that the next Christian religion are regarded by many presidential term of the country is we Mapisa-Nqakula had urged mem- Orlando East evident. This not the first time a com- US president could be a member of a Christians as anything from dubious to Protest too much mercial airline has been subjected to a church that contends that white people heretical. Evangelicals, a large group of predatory assault by parastatal forces. speaking Middle Eastern languages Republican voters to whom Huckabee SIR — The most appropriate response The first victim was Flightstar, and driving chariots inhabited north appeals, regard the followers of Joseph to Lorna Daniels is, in the words of the warrants to search and arrest SA’s The cabinet announced it will not officials. Everybody knows that would followed by Sun Air, now Nationwide. America centuries before Columbus? Smith as members of a cult. great Bard, “The lady doth protest too highest police officer, Jackie Selebi. be referring the forensic report on the be in violation of the ANC culture Commercial airlines in SA have In a fundamental sense, not at all. That is why Romney finally made a much, methinks”, Be professional However, President Thabo Mbeki Land Bank’s financial affairs to the which overrides the South African given their state-owned competitor, The Mormon beliefs of the Republican speech about his religious views on (December 7). and his cabinet of yes-women have prosecuting authorities yet. In nor mal constitution. South African Airways (SAA), a real presidential nomination contender Thursday. His campaign strategy of Iain Moodie done it again. This time it involves no circumstances one could have expect- Siegfried Hannig run for their money and have taken Mitt Romney — which he shares with at winning the Iowa caucuses and New Plumstead less than R2bn allegedly misappro- ed the “prosecuting authorities” to do Randpark, Randburg more than 50% of the domestic least 4-million other Americans — a re Hampshire primary next month, and priated from the Land Bank, Cabinet their job, regardless of a cabinet ob- m a rk e t . his own affair. It would also be a bit then using the momentum to carry him keeps Land Bank report in-house struction. But this is clearly impossi- It is way too convenient for the hard on Romney and the Mormons to to victories elsewhere, has faltered, Sign of the times (December 7). The money was meant ble when their uppermost chief has Predatory assault CAA to suddenly ground Nationwide have their religious beliefs singled out partly because of the rise of Huckabee. for black farmers but allegedly ended been sacked for doing his job without at a time of the year when SAA and for scrutiny. America is one of the most The speech was an acknowledgement SIR — You would have thought that up in golf estates and similar ventures the approval of those likely to be SIR — In view of the events of the past Mango can pick up this bonsella of religious countries in the world. Mi k e that the Mormon question is out there. outrageous obstructions of justice in of friends and associates of the shielding their corrupt cronies. few weeks, I feel obliged to object in additional business. Huckabee, an increasingly powerful Like the Catholic John Kennedy in 1960, violation of the sacred tenets of the African National Congress (ANC) It is a sign of the times: nobody in the strongest possible terms to the The sudden resignation of the challenger to Romney, campaigns on Romney had to try to assure voters that constitution could not be repeated, cronies appointed by that same this supposed democracy with its pur- actions of the Civil Aviation Authority CAA’s CE, Zakes Myeza, last week can- the basis that he speaks “the language he answers to no other master. He such as the sacking of SA’s highest- cabinet to run the Land Bank after ported “vibrant civil society” has (CAA) in the grounding of Nationwide not be unrelated to this controversy. of Zion” as his mother tongue. framed his speech as an appeal for ranking prosecutor and the associated Helena Dolny was hounded out for bothered to demand the arrest of Airlines. On the surface of the contro- Anthony Howard Yet the argument that they are all as religious liberty in a religious nation revoking of judicially approved being too honest or, perhaps, white. these incredibly corrupt Land Bank versy, it could be said that the author- Aviation Consultants SA deluded as one another is not just but said little about his own religious offensive, it misses the particular point beliefs. As a result the Mormon ques- about Mormonism. Mormonism wor- tion is still there. Maybe it ought not to ries secular, independent and moder- matter. But it does. London, December 7 YOUR LETTERS: Business Day welcomes letters from readers. Normally, all letters of more than 300 words will be edited for length. The shorter a letter, the more likely it will be published intact. Letters should be sent by e-mail to [email protected] (no attachments please) or faxed to (011) 280-5505. E-mailed letters are preferred. Only signed correspondence will be published. Writers should include a daytime phone number. SECOND TAKE

Reserve has shown that cutting base rates is no balm for worries about the credit quality of banks. Nor is it clear ON THURSDAY the Bank of England whether high interbank rates will feed Weighing the realities of Zuma made the reasonable decision to cut through to high rates for mortgages and interest rates by 25 basis points. Yet this corporate loans. Medium-term interest IF JACOB Zuma sweeps to victory at And when it comes to late Mbeki-era For this reason Trevor Manuel’s the top six offices and the national should not necessarily be seen as the rates remain fairly normal, but insuring the African National Congress’s eccentricities — such as plans to treasury has championed the key executive committee elections, the first in a long series of UK rate cuts. against a severe credit contraction via a (ANC’s) Polokwane conference, there manipulate the media and judiciary virtue of prudence in the face of frailty of Zuma’s political bandwagon At 5,75%, UK monetary policy was rate cut is sensible. is a strong chance that he will become or to create a “single public service”— intense political pressures to do will become evident long before he somewhat restrictive, and the bank of Weak data from the housing market president of the republic in 2009. Zuma seems less likely to rethink than otherwise. It is inevitably a matter for reaches the Union Buildings. En g l a n d ’s November inflation report should be of little concern to the bank. It is difficult to view the rise of to press ahead. speculation whether Zuma would Zu m a ’s many business backers implied that it would need to cut rates Housing is substantially overvalued Zuma to the highest office in the land When he differs from Mbeki, it is provide continued political protection will fall out as soon as it becomes clear in 2008 to hit its 2% inflation target. and will have to correct itself at some with total equanimity. But how much usually as a result of his more reac- for his economic portfolio ministers. that the trough is too small to accom- What it has done is bring some of that point. The bank should therefore focus would a Zuma state presidency really tionary attitudes, for example con- Institutions such as the treasury modate their many snouts. Such loosening in policy forward. Its on evidence of weakness in consumer change SA? cerning women, the death penalty, possess very little capacity to con- entrepreneurs will clash even sooner statement, which refers to inflationary and business spending for downside Zu m a ’s first and key strength is ANTHONY sexuality and traditional leadership. strain political leaders, and a new and more bitterly with fellow Zu m a - risks as well as signs that growth is risks to inflation. For upside risks it that he is not Thabo Mbeki. The BUTLER The factual basis behind Zuma’s president will arrive with a strategy to ites — but class enemies — in the slowing, is a fair summary of what the should look out for knock-on effects circulation of office-holders that he proclaimed leftist sympathies dominate. He can control key cabinet trade unions and the South African data says about the UK economy. from higher commodity prices. The will bring, however limited, will help remains obscure. committees, vet department policies, Communist Party. The Bank of England is quite rightly economic outlook for the next 12 prevent the dangerous ossification of philosophical pretensions that make He used to explain that he was and hold sway over a vast realm of Social conservatives and the poor, refusing to panic about the danger of months is even less clear than usual so patterns of patronage and influence. Mbeki a poor AIDS-policy champion. “heavily influenced” in his youth by a patronage running to thousands of who have rallied to Zuma, will rapidly Armageddon in the financial markets. the bank should be guided by the data. Politics will remain a partly pluralistic Zu m a ’s “corruption issues”—trade unionist family member. appointments. The vague constitu- rediscover that one cannot eat pretty Stresses in the interbank and commer- If we are now observing the first game, rather than becoming a insofar as we can understand them — According to the Financial Times, tional conventions governing the words and dances. cial paper markets are important — signs of financial apocalypse — a credit struggle for access to the spoils of the have the benefit of being out in the however, he curiously and cutely told operation of cabinet will not slow Within a matter of weeks, the dark they are the medium through which collapse leading to deflation and empowerment state through a single open. Nobody claims that Zuma was guests at his recent 65th birthday down a determined successor. creatures of Mbeki’s court — the central bank policy is transmitted to the recession — then a 25 basis point cut network of factional gatekeepers. at the centre of the arms procurement celebration that “I am just a little herd President Zuma would also inherit functionaries, deal makers and appa- rest of the economy — and if they stay will be too little, too late. But if we are Second, Zuma is a persuader who programme or that his most senior boy from Nkandla who happened to the Mbeki machine. Mbeki started out ratchiks scattered by their presumed at elevated levels indefinitely then the seeing the start of a manageable slow- could change the agenda of lieutenant tried to scupper Parlia- be a trade unionist”. a fairly nonfactional president who Polokwane defeat — will find their bank will have a problem. down then the Bank of England will be politicians and bureaucrats grown ment’s corruption probe. He signally fails the litmus “1976 protected the autonomy of certain key way back to the centre, where a But the experience of the US Federal well positioned. London, December 7 deaf to Mbeki’s incomprehensible Despite these reasons to view test” of exile intellectual honesty: he state institutions. Despite some initial floundering Zuma will be obliged to injunctions. His charismatic gifts also Zu m a ’s ambitions in a positive light, has long professed that the exiled inclination to disperse power between embrace them in order to make the allow him to engage the desperately many citizens find it hard to throw off ANC of which he was part was competing sites, Mbeki gradually government and the ANC function. poor and make them believe, however a sense of unease about his rise. somehow responsible for the Soweto transformed cabinet government and Even before he becomes state PRESS OMBUDSMAN: This publication has committed itself to maintain the falsely, that the new SA has not left Zuma, after all, is not really a uprisings in which it quite evidently a quasi-federal system into a president, Zuma may discover himself highest standards of journalism as embodied in the Press Code of Professional them behind forever. political outsider riding to the rescue played no role whatsoever. presidentialist and unitary state. A back exactly where Mbeki has found Practice. If you believe we have failed to report news and comment accurately, Third, Zuma presents a slate of a troubled nation. He was Mbeki’s Businesspeople inevitably wonder successor could rapidly build on this himself today: unpopular, cut off from honestly and fairly, you may lodge a complaint with the Press ombudsman either by mostly wiped clean of Mbeki-era soul mate and confidant in exile and at the implications of a Zuma pres- dubious achievement, remaking the the people, presiding over a divided e-mail, fax or letter, or by telephoning the office for the procedure to be followed. embarrassments. He is at ease with his partner in the government. As a idency for economic policy. No sane cabinet in his own image and party, and unable to deliver on the himself as an African and would bring long-term political exile he matured person — other than a visiting Tel: 011 788 4829/4837 interfering directly in what should be lavish promises he has made. less contorted sensibilities to SA’s inside the same closed and authori- Harvard economist — would claim Fax: 011 788 4990 autonomous institutions. racial politics. He would restore ethnic tarian world of Lusaka. that there is a reliable recipe for Such fears about irreversible dam- � e-mail: [email protected] Butler teaches public policy at UCT. balance. While HIV/AIDS policy is Despite Zuma’s alleged “common sustainable economic growth. But it is age to the state and to the economy [email protected] His unauthorised political biography unlikely to change much under Zuma, touch”, he has nothing obvious to true that the basic preconditions for may or may not be exaggerated. How- website: www.ombudsman.org.za for the press code of Cyril Ramaphosa will be released on he lacks the personal inhibitions and offer the poor beyond consolation. growth can be all too easily destroyed. ever, even if his supposed allies sweep December 21. www.capeargus.co.za Tel 021 488 4911 Fax 021 488 4793

R4.50 Country R4.80 Subscription Relevant articles(annual rate) R3.60 CAPE ARGUS, 8 JANUARY 2008 LATE FINAL TUESDAY January 8 2008 Zuma takes over NWC

High noon John Wayne the baboon finds himself behind bars Page 3 You say ‘I pray that our physiological systems will generate more endorphins for us all in order to stay CONVICTED FRAUDSTER: Tony Yengeni YOUTH LEAGUE LEADER: Fikile Mbalula FORMER CITY MAYOR: Nomaindia Mfeketo SACP LEADER: Blade Nzimande cheerful and positive throughout the year’ Letters, Page 10 Top lieutenants rule key body – as party backs him for Presidency

We say By DEON DE LANGE, MOSHOESHOE together with more than 30 others, Jordan, who made it known that he supporters to the NWC, which used MONARE AND SAPA SMS the Argus who are alleged to be recipients of a disproved of both Mbeki’s and to be the terrain of the Mbeki Cabi- The NWC Top 20 Political Bureau SMS your views to 32027 big car mark-downs from a German Zuma’s presidential candidacy, was net, is likely to create the feared two 1 Collins Chabane ‘South African drivers Each SMS costs R1 company linked to the deal. also elected to the NWC. centres of power. 2 Bathabile Dlamini The authority of embattled ANC Ironically, Zuma is facing crimi- The independent-minded Jordan The voting took place at the NEC 3 Jessie Duarte are rightly indignant president Jacob Zuma has been re- nal charges stemming from the once challenged the impact of meeting yesterday and the names 4 Tina Joemat-Pettersson asserted, with his key allies elected multibillion-rand arms deal that Zuma’s rape case on the reputation were released today. 5 Pallo Jordan when they are served 6 Ncumisa Kondlo to the party’s influential operational convicted fraudster Tony Yengeni, has rattled the ANC leadership. His of the party, a taboo subject within Regarding the charges brought 7 Fikile Mbalula fine after fine for structure – as the ANC gave him its ANC Youth League president Fikile court case is due to start in August. the Zuma circle. Zuma was acquit- against Zuma by the NPA, the NEC 8 Nomaindia Mfeketo full support as its candidate for Mbalula, former Defence Force gen- Other NWC members include ted of rape. reaffirmed its commitment to the 9 Angie Motshekga traffic transgressions South Africa’s presidency in 2009. eral Siphiwe Nyanda and SACP gen- current Cabinet ministers who dif- Two senior leaders of the SACP independence of the judiciary. 10 Nathi Mthethwa 11 Maite Nkoane-Mashabane that they have not And after the crucial meeting of eral secretary Blade Nzimande and fer with President Thabo Mbeki on – Nzimande and its chairman, But the NEC expressed its “con- 12 Siphiwe Nyanda the new National Executive Com- former Cape Town mayor Nomain- partisan issues, including Housing Gwede Mantashe – are now serving cern and grave misgivings about the 13 Blade Nzimande committed.’ mittee in Gauteng, ANC secretary- dia Mfeketo were among those Minister Lindiwe Sisulu and Trans- on the ANC’s powerful senior timing of these charges, and the 14 Dina Pule general Gwede Mantashe criticised elected to the National Working port Minister Jeff Radebe. bodies. general conduct of the NPA in this 15 Jeff Radebe Comment, Page 10 16 Susan Shabangu the “Hollywood-style” conduct of Committee, the “engine room” of Radebe was so desperate to join Mantashe was elected the ruling case, including inconsistency in the 17 Lindiwe Sisulu the National Prosecuting Authority the party. the Zuma camp that he made him- party’s secretary-general at its con- application of its mandate and leak- 18 Max Sisulu in its case against Zuma. Yengeni spent months in jail self available for the central com- ference last month. ing of information to the media”. 19 Makhenkesi Stofile “The president of the ANC is after being convicted of fraud over mittee of the SACP last year, but Nzimande fortified the SACP’s In line with the resolution of the 20 Tony Yengeni ● In addition, the NWC includes the top six NEC going to fight this case with every an underhand car discount associ- was rejected, along with other support for Zuma in a fierce conflict 2005 National General Council, the ✷ officials and one representative each from the ANC sinew of his body,” he said. ated with the arms deal. Mbeki ministers. with Mbeki. Women’s League and ANC Youth League. Say Former ANC chief whip and Nyanda’s name also appeared, Arts and Culture Minister Pallo Now the election of Zuma To page 3 W H A T ? Kenya rivals agree to give ground Big bread price rise on A 10-year-old Mexican boy glued his hand to his bed to avoid going back to school the cards next week after the Christmas break. Kenya’s president and his chief Kibaki and opposition leader Raila Zambia’s Kenneth Kaunda will be “I thought if I was glued to rival made key concessions today to Odinga for the past three days. joined later by the African Union the bed, they couldn’t make end the post-election violence, call- Kenya is crucial to the US “war chairman, Ghana’s President John By MAUREEN MARUD how much. ing off protests and agreeing to on terrorism”. It has turned over Kufuor. Consumer Editor An anonymous caller to the Cape me go to school,” said Diego talks as the post-election death toll dozens of people to the US and Yesterday Kibaki invited Odinga Argus yesterday reported that Palacios. “The holidays were rose to least 600 people and 250 000 Ethiopia as suspected “terrorists”, to his residence for a meeting on Bread prices are set to go up again, Albany would raise its bread prices so much fun.” others were displaced. allows US forces to operate from Friday to discuss how to end the but bakeries have remained tight- on Sunday and Sasko and Duens Remembering his mother A top US envoy to Africa said the Kenyan bases and conducts joint turmoil, the presidency announced. lipped about the planned increases. would do likewise next week. had bought “a very strong vote count at the heart of the dis- exercises with US troops. Odinga’s spokesman said the The Cape Argus has learnt that The Cape Town office of Albany glue”, he used it to stick his pute had been tampered with and Meanwhile several former opposition chief would meet the price of bread is set to rise sub- referred the Cape Argus to holding hand to the bed’s metal head- both sides could have been African presidents arrived in Kibaki as long as the talks were stantially from as early as next company Tiger Brands in Johannes- involved. “Yes, there was rigging,” Nairobi today to try to break a polit- part of the mediation process. week. burg, where several staff members board. Paramedics later freed US Assistant Secretary of State for ical stalemate over the election. Odinga said he was willing to drop INDEPENDENT PRODUCER: A staff member at Pioneer Foods claimed ignorance, although one him, and he made it to school African Affairs Jendayi Frazer said Tanzania’s Benjamin Mkapa, demands that Kibaki resign and Whistle blower Imraahn confirmed this morning the bread said he was aware prices would go a few hours late.– Sapa-AFP yesterday in Nairobi, where she has Mozambique’s Joachim Chissano, was willing to discuss sharing Mukaddam says the price of a price would “probably” rise, but she been meeting President Mwai Botswana’s Katumile Masire and power. – Sapa-AP-AFP white loaf will rise by 40c could not say when and by To page 3

Umpire removed from India-Australia Test series

By IQBAL KHAN and AGENCIES telling decisions in world cricket when he imposed the ban on the The International Cricket Council Indian spinner, who was found guilty today bowed to India’s demand to of racial abuse during the second Test remove controversial umpire Steve in Sydney, a game also marred by poor Bucknor from the ongoing Test series umpiring decisions. against Australia. “The game of cricket should be put The ICC said the Jamaican will be first and foremost in every situation,” replaced by New Zealand’s Billy Bow- Procter said from Sydney today. den for the third Test starting in Perth “There’s a need for the wounds to heal on January 16, ICC media official and I believe the two captains should Sami-ul Hasan said in Dubai. get together and move forward. When- “I can confirm that Bucknor will ever I’ve officiated I’ve always advo- not stand in Perth,” Hasan said. “Bow- cated that there should be harmony den will partner Asad Rauf of Pak- between the teams and that differ- istan in the match.” ences should be resolved amicably.” Meanwhile, Mike Procter, the 44India’s cricket team continued to South African match referee at the reject the racism charges against centre of the Harbhajan Singh- Singh as the tour hung in the balance. Andrew Symonds storm in Sydney, Officials, players and fans will be appealed for calm from both Australia hoping the impasse can be resolved in and India, following a three-Test time to save the third Test in Perth match ban on Singh. beginning January 16. Procter made one of the most See back page

K Y M C SW_NWS_E1_070108_p08

8 OPINION & ANALYSIS MONDAY JANUARY 7 2008 The Star

The gift LITTLE SPOT that keeps UFRIEDA HO MONDAY JANUARY 7 2008 Established 1887 47 Sauer Street, Johannesburg on giving

t’s easy to get Tito Lingering twitchy these days – just say “Prada” or “plasma I screen”. But there’s a new “it” gift on the market that may even questions get the good governor to ease his foot off the interest-rate pedal a little. It’s a gift my girlfriends are saying is the best “me to me” you can hen a country is in an uneasy treat yourself to and it’s a pressie that doesn’t include phase, the first casualty of the the swishing of credit cards and endless mall-crawls tension is truth. Likewise, South for retail therapy. Africa today is a country divided It’s also the reason why savvy women are minding because of the succession battle less about hitting the 30, 40, 50, or whatever upward W mark they’re heading towards. prior to the ANC’s Polokwane conference last month. The pressie in question is a fresh new lover: one The SAPS and the Scorpions are two state who’s at least 10 years younger, I’m told, is best. organs that have been at loggerheads for years. And Girlfriends say it’s very Demi and Ashton, and Desperate Housewives – when the bosberaad was getting closer, there absolutely Mrs Solis from seemed to be an all-out war between the two. and be darn sure nobody is calling these gals Where else in the world do you have a situation “mumsy”. where the national prosecutor is on the verge of The sisters say it’s about being able to date the boy in the band without worrying about how the rent’s arresting the national police commissioner for going to be paid. And it’s not dealing with older lads fraud and corruption? who are already doing botox in their 30s and juggling Some call it a constitutional crisis. custody weekends. But for those watching from the sidelines, the One sceptical sister, however, remarks: “What do SAPS vs Scorpion debacle has become a web of you talk about to a guy who doesn’t remember the accusations and counter accusations to such an THE STAR, 7 JANUARY 2008 days before CDs or when chips didn’t come in a tube?” extent that it has become difficult to know what is Of course, this is met with the uproarious eruption the truth. from those in the know: “Let’s just say there’s not a First there were warrants of arrest issued and whole lot of talking going on.” then withdrawn. That was followed by denials from all those involved in the fiasco. Then the head of the Scorpions, Vusi Pikoli, became another casualty by being suspended. We were told the reason was that the relationship between him and his boss, Justice Minister Brigitte Mabandla, had broken down. Then enter Mokotedi Mpshe as acting national director of public prosecutions, whom we later Call for cool heads in new year learned was the person ordered to nullify one of the warrants against Selebi during Pikoli’s tenure. Then we are told that top prosecutor Gerrie Nel is being investigated for fraud and corruption. hile South Africans will ations of the energy and climate change Nel is the man who brought to book all those COMMENT remember 2007 for the often conundrum – higher oil and food prices (oil allegedly involved in the shooting of mining denied and then memorably as a source of fuel chases up the price of magnate Brett Kebble. RAENETTE W erupting succession battle and basic foods). Someone owes the public an explanation. the road to Polokwane and its aftermath of Apart from the amorphous “develop- What will, for instance, happen to the Kebble TALJAARD uncertainties, it will also be remembered mental state” – which remains ill-defined murder case when its chief investigator is for ripples in the international economy post Polokwane – monetary policy received embroiled in a court case of his own? that challenged conventional wisdoms, a lot of attention in policy discourse and bringing their own set of uncertainties. newly powerful factors and power brokers It is in the possible intersections of these expect change in this area – change that can- two arenas of respective uncertainty where not be brought about without tampering Obama’s victory much of the challenge for us as an emerg- with the constitution. ing market in the global economy will lie in Hopefully the ANC will find enough wise 2008. elders to do what they did not succeed in arack Obama’s stunning victory with 37% It will be our job to minimise and man- doing prior to Polokwane – ask for cool heads of Democrats’ votes in Iowa last week – a age the uncertainties over which we exert a and tranquil hearts to prevail today and state that is 94,9% white – cements his certain level of control. beyond into the State of the Nation address B place as the first black presidential The subprime mortgage crisis and asso- and the tabling of the Budget. candidate to be taken seriously in America’s What South Africa ciated credit crunch in the US have placed In an ideal world, the drama in the party history. Hillary Clinton, his chief rival, finished a question mark over the adage “safe as will leave the state unaffected. It is this with 29%, as did populist John Edwards. does not need is a houses” and led to new and complex ques- nexus though where the bulk of 2008’s Obama has seen his lead grow in the Register’s paralysing tions over the reach and appropriateness of challenges will lie given the extent to which poll despite fierce challenges from the Clinton the regulatory machinery with oversight barriers between party and state have campaign, including such negative tactics as “two centres of over the international financial system – eroded during the 14-year transition. reminding voters of his use of cocaine as a young especially the role of central banks in an NEW BROOM: Jacob Zuma’s election as ANC president last month had no major While countries are not governed by power” saga and increasingly complex market where certain ratings agencies, their views matter and man. But voters have flocked to hear Obama’s effect on the country’s financial markets. PICTURE: BONGIWE MCHUNU address with its message that “Americans all across financial instruments do no fall under their could be decisive as we saw this week. After the country are hungry for – desperate for – a new dramatic policy control. the headline-grabbing troubles in Kenya type of politics. A politics focused not on what changes At the World Economic Forum’s annual reminder of the scale of challenges con- remain alive and well to ratings agencies flowing from electoral concerns last week, divides us but on our common values and our gathering in Davos last year, a panel of fronting our country, including growing and investors alike as our country it took ratings agencies less than 72 hours to common ideals”. analysts forecast a “continuation of the inequality, HIV/Aids, crime and a host of approaches 2008 and a new budgeting cycle. respond with a ratings downgrade to the Obama now has a renewed momentum going goldilocks economy” with much of 2007 others. Furthermore, some credit rating agen- chaos that had emerged in one of our into tomorrow’s New Hampshire primary. shaping up in that direction with emerging These factors are, however, albeit daunt- cies, key among them Moody’s, have already continent’s well-respected democracies. But, whoever takes over from George Bush will markets continuing to assist in maintaining ing well-known and well-worn terrain to indicated where they would expect to see We must not delude ourselves that these have a big task to restore America’s dented image. the growth effort and talk of whether the investors. What neither investors nor the changes from the “new” ANC and its “force multipliers” of global capital will growth dependency of emerging markets ANC nor the country need in 2008, though, leaders and NEC that would include a bet- treat us any less favourably if paralysing on the US economy had finally “decoupled” is a paralysing “two centres of power” saga ter application of the country’s social trench-warfare or guerrilla tactics erupt with these economies starting to contribute of epic proportions, infighting, dramatic agenda. between party and state tomorrow and to the fuelling of growth in their own right. policy turns or uncertainty over respect for This must include better action in areas beyond. But with the price of crude oil reaching the rule of law and the independent nature of human capital formation as critical as The uncertainty for all of us has only $100 (about R680) a barrel in early new of institutions. HIV/Aids and education, especially after begun as we approach 2008’s new reality of year’s trading and commentators worried This is where the “new” post-Polokwane the woeful matric results that are a two centres of power and a lack of clarity of Telephone 011-633-9111 about a possible recession in the US, and and largely still untested ANC and ANC reminder of the uncompetitive skills base the nature of the policy changes the “new” Box 1014, Johannesburg 2000 some even using the word “recession” bla- leadership will have to focus their attention our economy will have in the future when ANC will seek with a mix of curiosity and tantly, emerging markets will catch a cold if today and tomorrow if the germination of it becomes the key determining factor concern. this big sneeze does happen. No doubt this concerns is to be allayed. But whatever configurations the battles Editor between winning nations and the also-rans Moegsien Williams year’s Davos discussion will be different in Ratings agencies ranging from Standard in the modern economy. or victories may take, let us always remind Deputy Editor Jovial Rantao tenor to last years’ pre-subprime one. & Poor’s to Moody’s and Fitch emphasised The financial markets appeared to shrug ourselves to minimise uncertainty that Editorial Executives It is against this backdrop of growing prior to Polokwane that among the most off and price in a Zuma win and responded causes emerging market nations to stumble global stormclouds that we certainly do not important aspects were the need to have a relatively benignly to the new NEC lists and and fall on their growth paths. Dave Hazelhurst David Legge have to make matters worse as an emerging unifier elected given the bruising nature of even the new charges against Zuma. There Already Newsweek has stated: “Like a Sol Makgabutlane Zenaide Jones market by adding uncertainty to the mix of the battle inside the ANC; that no radical has not been too much volatility even in number of hot emerging markets, South Brendan Seery Nelandri Narianan factors investors have to weigh when look- policy shifts would be desirable irrespective thin festive season trading. Africa’s made great progress in recent years ing at us as a possible destination choice of who emerged victoriously and that some However, what will not be so easily – but its leadership is faltering danger- News Editor again. scope for spending existed given the small shrugged off is a long and protracted and ously.” [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2410 Much of the economic policy hubbub budget surplus recorded. highly acrimonious and personalised fight Uncertainty is not a currency the Opinion/Letters Editor Sol Makgabutlane prior to the ANC’s June policy conference Influential international titles such as between Mbeki and Zuma from their international community likes and it is not and Polokwane has added question marks the Financial Times and others focused on perches in government and the ANC respec- an added complexity South Africans need [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2336 about our trajectory to an already heady possible leadership paralysis as a near and tively. given the magnitude of challenges we need Oped Editor Brendan Seery mix of factors. present danger. What will also not be easily shrugged off to focus on as a nation. [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2290 In case we have forgotten, Joel Ne- Despite the election of new office bearers is an assault on monetary policy or the Our country’s leaders cannot afford to Verve Editor Zenaide Jones tshitenzhe’s report to the ANC National and a new NEC – much of which appeared framework of inflation targeting in a global fight and cause us all to falter. [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2587 Executive Committee shortly before the vindictively inspired to outsiders given the context where all countries are confronting I Raenette Taljaard is the director of the Pictures Editor Steve Lawrence Polokwane conference formed a poignant near purge that occurred – these factors inflationary fears due to various manifest- Helen Suzman Foundation. [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2231 Graphics Editor Nina Clark [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2569 Day Editor Nelandri Narianan [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2461 Books Editor James Mitchell A glimpse into Selwyn’s daily activities [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2148 Tonight Editor Charles de Olim anuary 1. Dear Diary, this is me again, wanted to go to Mussina for Christmas eye. She asked him: “Didn’t you click?” (She He is still angry about what Jackson did [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2347 Selwyn! caught a taxi going to Umtata by mistake is very witty sometimes.) Peter said he and to the rubber plant at the office party last Motoring Editor Denis Droppa STOEP TALK J This year I have resolved to write some- but says he still had a good time. Peter Lloyd Beryl got on fine thank you very much but month. I can’t tell you, dear diary, because [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2256 JAMES CLARKE thing EVERY NIGHT ALL YEAR because I in Customer Care met a girl at Balito Bay. he said it in a meaningful sort of way. The it was DISGUSTING. The plant died. Mr Workplace Editor Theo Garrun know that “every day is a precious gift” as He said she’s cool and Gladys asked HOW tea lady didn’t turn up. Beasley said that the rubber plant had been [email protected] Tel: 011-633-2615 Shakespeare said, or was it Bles Bridges? cool? And Peter said “Never you mind” in a Gladys said “TGIF!” which she said the only intelligent thing in the office. Ombudsman Peter Sullivan Today, for instance, I got up (11am) after meaningful sort of way. means “Thank God it’s Friday”. Isn’t that Mabel, his secretary, gave him a meaningful [email protected] Fax: 011-834-6059 a heavy night welcoming in the New Year Ate Nando’s, watched telly and went to clever? Had the rest of the lasagna for look so he said he was only joking and that and blowing a whistle (quite loudly). Mabel bed. dinner tonight and two beers. This is not quite a few of us were more intelligent than Contributing Editors Larkin smiled at me last night in a sort of January 3. Got up and couldn’t find meaningful drinking so I haven’t really the rubber plant. I asked “WHO?” but he meaningful way. Went home and went to toothbrush. Office still very quiet. Peter has broken my New Year’s resolution. wouldn’t tell. Prof Cathi Albertyn Prof Susan Booysen bed in my new Christmas Pyjamas with a date tonight with Beryl, that’s her name. January 5. Nothing meaningful hap- “How about me?” asked Wayne, who has Nicole Fritz Nomboniso Gasa little red devils on them. The computers went down so we just sat pened. huge muscles and even Mr Beasley would- Dr Wilmot James Burton Joseph This morning phoned mother to wish around talking about cricket and Zuma January 6. Made scrambled egg for n’t dare call him stupid. Dr Peter Karungu Patrick Laurence her happy New Year and she asked “Who’s except Peter who was talking on the phone breakfast. Mr Beasley said, “Wayne you are as this?” I said it’s your son, Selwyn, and she in a very low voice to Beryl, who is quite January 7. Got up. Went to work. Said strong as an ox and twice as smart!” Prof Tom Lodge Prof Malegapuru Makgoba said “What do you want THIS time?” high up in toiletries at the local Clicks. “TGIM” to everybody but nobody knew Wayne was all smiles after this. Dr Sheila Meintjies Prof Njabulo Ndebele Had some cold chicken for lunch and Went home, ate take-away lasagna (very what I was talking about. I have no more space to write more about Theresa Oakley-Smith Prof Helen Rees Council hires thin watched telly. After last night, have resolved good); watched soccer on the box. Went to Mr Beasley came back from leave and toda* Prof Barry Schoub Ron Steele to give up drinking forever. bed. said he had been fined R1 000 near Beaufort cops so they can I Lisa Vetten Prof David Unterhalter January 2. Dear diary, Got up and went January 4. Peter was wearing dark West for doing 141km/h! He said Beaufort Contact Stoep Talk: Fax: 011-465-4564 hide behind poles to work. Nothing much happened except glasses today. He said it’s because of the West employs thin cops in the Karoo so they Write to: Box 876 Lonehill, 2062 Dr Shereen Usdin Sam, our BEE man in Accounts who glare but Gladys said he was hiding a black can hide behind telephone poles. e-mail: [email protected]

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In memoriam 7 CAPE TIMES TUESDAY, JANUARY 8, 2008 Cape times, 8 january 2008 ARTS SIKO’S REFRESHING APPROACH What’s ON Full line-up at Generous, colourful artist Oude Libertas ARTS WRITER Another highlight on the Oude Libertas programme of ONE OF the Cape’s colourful THE OUDE Libertas summer classical music is Ein artists died over Christmas. programme will include tenor Deutsches Requiem by Brahms The community where he lived Kobie van Rensburg on its bill. on February 23 by the Cape and contributed for many Van Rensburg is a perma- Town Philharmonic Orches- years, Mbekweni, outside nent member of the Staatsthe- tra and soloists Pretty Yende Paarl, will miss him. Solomon ater am Gärtnerplatz Ensem- and Musa Ngqungwana. SOLO PIANO: Abdullah Siko died of TB-related illness ble in Munich and regarded as Popular tenor Jannie Mool- Ibrahim comes to Cape Town. at the youthful age of 42. one of the foremost inter- man will set the mood for Not a man for the flashy preters of Händel, Bach and Valentine’s Day with his pro- Abdullah Ibrahim spotlight or artistic highlife, Monteverdi. gramme of love songs, Abdullah Ibrahim will per- Siko provided a particular, in- He will perform Nuove Mu- L’hymne l’amour, on February form a solo piano gig at the dividual and typically Cape siche on Friday and Saturday 8 and 9, while the flamenco M7 Jazz Centre in Darling point of view in his bright, in the company of early music dancers of the La Rosa Span- Street from Friday until Jan- crisp paintings and engaging specialists from Europe and a ish Dance Theatre will per- uary 27. The concerts will be- drawings. His work was in- number of local musicians. form on February 14. gin at 8.30pm. For informa- evitably chosen to be part of ex- Jannie “Hanepoot” van It has been almost 30 years tion, call 021 465 6261. Book at hibitions or presentations Tonder and his 18-piece band since David Kramer per- Computicket on 083 915 8000. which showcased Cape social will entertain patrons on Sun- formed at Oude Libertas for culture. day, January 20, with South the first time. On February 27 Holocaust in Berlin Born in Sakkieskamp, African jazz, swing, marabi and 29 and March 1 and 2, The Cape Town Holocaust Wellington, Solomon somehow and goema standards. Kramer and his band will Centre will showcase the ex- always related to the commu- Oude Libertas will also return with Hemel en Aarde, a hibition Absence and Loss by nity and culture of the region. stage a collaboration of three show based on his latest Marion Davies until Monday. When he settled on an art of the country’s most promis- album. It focuses on the large num- career, he made his home in ing jazz artists, namely bassist Laurika Rauch will also re- ber of Holocaust memorials Mbekweni. Concord Nkabinde, saxophon- turn on February 21, 22 and 24 in Berlin and on the sculp- Humour and satire fre- ist Shannon Mowday and key- after an absence of five years. tures, art installations, un- quently invaded his pictures boardist Mark Fransman. The amphitheatre is also usual plaques and signs that which he executed with a dedi- The trio are all recipients of involved in the annual Woord- can be found in public places cated sense of style and theatri- the Standard Bank Young fees which will take place from in the city. Call 021 462 5553. cal skill. He simply loved to Artist of the Year Award for March 3 to 9. Woordfees will portray the scenes that sur- jazz. They will perform on Feb- host ’n Ander Tongval, an Milnerton auditions rounded him, lifting charac- ruary 3. adaptation by Saartjie Botha of The Milnerton Players will ters and personalities and On February 28, Cape Clas- Antjie Krog’s novel A Change hold auditions for Three recording the township land- sic will present the Bramberg of Tongue, during that time. the Hard Way by American scapes. This made his art the Quartet with baritone Konrad The drama is directed by playwright Linda Eisenstein. valuable documents of that VIBRANT: Solomon Siko loved to portray the scenes that surrounded him, an example being this oil on board titled Dube I. Jarnot, soprano Lisa the Standard Bank Young The production will society that they are. Wedekind, pianist Pauliina Artist of the Year (drama) for run from May 23 to May 31 Gail Dorje, director of the street life. Siko loves to sketch in Woodstock in the late 1980s, Siko’s work got a stimulus which includes taking part in Tukiainen and Szabolcs Zem- 2008 Jaco Bouwer and will fea- and auditions will be held on Cape Gallery, which “housed” the world around him. Humour showing his first work at an ex- when the South African Associ- overseas group shows and hav- pléni on horn. ture, among others, Antoinette Saturday at 2pm at the Mil- his art and offered it to Capeto- is a positive force in our multi- hibition held at St George’s ation of Art gave him a stipend ing his work acquired for im- Cape Classic functions as a Kellermann, Nina Swart, nerton Playhouse. Call nians and visitors, wrote: cultural society and with his Cathedral and later a solo show to work at the then Dal Josafat portant collections – was to cultural exchange programme Mpho Masilela and Given 021 557 3206, or e-mail “Siko's vibrant paintings on real gift for caricature, the ap- at the Oude Pastorie-museum art foundation near his Paarl give back to his community in between Europe and South Nkosi. [email protected] heavily textured and engraved plication is (made) gently.” in Paarl. home in 1992. He never looked the form of art classes. Africa, and was established for G To book for the concerts, board are the theatre for a Siko studied art at the then Identifying with the credo of back. He leaves his wife, Phumla, the purpose of promoting contact Computicket on Kathryn Smith solo richly imaginative portrayal of Community Arts Project (CAP) local so-called struggle art, Central to his career – and three children. chamber music. 083 915 8000. Kathryn Smith’s solo exhibition In Camera will show at Goodman Gallery Cape Town from Saturday until February Remembering 2. In camera refers to legal Big names to rock Visit the Cape Times online at www.capetimes.co.za testimony heard in private the Holocaust chambers instead of in open court, usually when reliving epic My Coke Fest the experience of a traumatic HARRY POTTER’S trademark event. Smith is also an author, ARTS WRITER setting 52 weeks on the Bill- round spectacles are to form editor, curator and senior lec- board charts, made it the part of a new artwork designed turer in the Department of AFTER the success of last longest-running hit in the to commemorate the victims of Art at Stellenbosch Univer- year’s rocking My Coke Fest, chart’s history. the Holocaust. sity. Call 021 462 7573. the festival will return to the The band features Holly- Actor Daniel Radcliffe, who Kenilworth Racecourse on wood star Jared Leto on guitars played Harry Potter, has do- Lottering opens 2008 March 24. and vocals, Shannon Leto on nated his first pair of glasses to Marc Lottering will share his This year’s 12-hour event drums, Tomo Milicevic on gui- an exhibition leading up to Na- thoughts on turning 40 re- will feature a bumper line-up tars, and Tim Kelleher on bass. tional Holocaust Memorial Day cently and his mid-life crisis consisting of local act Prime The four were awarded Ker- on January 27. with his first show of 2008 at Circle, US rock band Good rang! Magazine’s “2007 Single Radcliffe, whose mother is Die Boer theatre restaurant Charlotte, Britain’s Kaiser of the Year” and have won two Jewish, gave the spectacles to on Wednesday and Thursday, Chiefs, Soundgarden and Au- Australian MTV Awards, an the Respectacles Project in January 16 and 17. To book, dioslave front-man Chris Cor- MTV Europe Music Award, Britain. call 021 979 1911. nell, Muse, the Grammy-win- and an MTV2 Award, aside The project is inspired by a ning Korn and 30 Seconds To from nominations for two addi- World War 2 picture of a moun- VEO show Mars. tional MTV and two Belgian tain of mangled spectacles VEO Gallery in Cape Town The platinum-selling 30 Sec- TMF Awards. –illustrating the scale of the will host Wolves & Divas, onds To Mars’s conceptual mu- Gates will open at the Kenil- death and human suffering. Candice Dawn B’s second solo sic videos and second album, A worth Racecourse at 10am. Other celebrities donating exhibition with VEO, from Beautiful Lie, has seen them G Golden Circle tickets are their glasses include Yoko Ono, January 29 to February 8. reeling in fans. R550, or general admission actor Stephen Fry, and enter- Call 021 423 7069. The band’s previous single R375. To book, call Com- tainers Jerry and Ronnie Cor- The Kill, which had a record- puticket on 083 915 8000. bett. –Sapa-dpa