Australia’s welfare 2017 Australia’s welfare 2017
Australia’s welfare 2017 is the 13th biennial welfare report of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare. This comprehensive report provides an authoritative overview of the wellbeing of Australians, examining a wide range of relevant topics. The report covers: • Understanding welfare • Australia’s welfare spending and workforce • Child wellbeing • Young people • Working age • Growing older • Diversity and disadvantage in Australia • Indicators of Australia’s welfare. AIHW aihw.gov.au
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Australia’s welfare 2017 The Australian Institute of Health and Welfare is a major national agency whose purpose is to create authoritative and accessible information and statistics that inform decisions and improve the health and wellbeing of all Australians.
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This publication is part of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare’s Australia’s welfare series. A complete list of the Institute’s publications is available from the Institute’s website www.aihw.gov.au ISSN 1321-1455 ISBN 978-1-76054-177-4 (PDF) ISBN 978-1-76054-178-1 (Print) DOI 10.25816/5eba1cfd4fd5a Suggested citation Australian Institute of Health and Welfare 2017. Australia’s welfare 2017. Australia’s welfare series no. 13. AUS 214. Canberra: AIHW. Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
Board Chair Director Mrs Louise Markus Mr Barry Sandison Any enquiries relating to copyright or comments on this publication should be directed to: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare GPO Box 570 Canberra ACT 2601 Tel: (02) 6244 1000 Email: [email protected] Published by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare.
Report designed using art by Moira Nelson. Moira is a Canberra artist who describes herself as a social artist. She likes to produce art within a social and communal setting where she can be ‘enlivened and inspired by the diversity of personalities involved’. She creates work that talks about the story of being human, with a particular emphasis on communication. Her interest in this stemmed from a car accident at age 20 which left her with a brain injury impacting on speech and memory. In addition to her own artistry, Moira volunteers and facilitates art programs for disadvantaged and disabled people, children and the wider community.
Please note that there is the potential for minor revisions of data in this report. Please check the online version at www.aihw.gov.au
The Hon Greg Hunt MP Minister for Health, Minister for Sport Parliament House Canberra 2600
Dear Minister, On behalf of the Board of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, I am pleased to present to you Australia’s welfare 2017, as required under Subsection 31(1A) of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare Act 1987. This edition continues the AIHW tradition of delivering high quality evidence and value-added analysis on welfare issues, together with insights into how future data could better meet the needs of policy analysts, researchers and the public. I commend this report to you as a significant contribution to national information on welfare-related issues, and to the development and evaluation of welfare policies and programs in Australia.
Yours sincerely,
Mrs Louise Markus Chair AIHW Board
27 July 2017
Contents
Preface ...... vi Acknowledgments ...... viii
Chapter 1: Welfare in Australia
1.1 Who we are...... 3 1.2 Where we live...... 7 1.3 Understanding welfare...... 12 1.4 Welfare expenditure...... 25 1.5 Welfare workforce...... 36 1.6 Persistent disadvantage in Australia: extent, complexity and some key implications. . .40 1.7 Understanding health and welfare data...... 56
Chapter 2: Children, youth and families
2.1 Children in child care and preschool programs...... 67 2.2 Transition to primary school ...... 73 2.3 Adoptions ...... 76 2.4 Child protection ...... 79 2.5 A stable and secure home for children in out-of-home care...... 82 2.6 Youth justice supervision ...... 98 2.7 Family, domestic and sexual violence...... 101
Chapter 3: Education in Australia
3.1 Pathways through education and training...... 121 3.2 School retention and completion...... 128 3.3 Apprenticeships and traineeships...... 131 3.4 Tertiary education...... 134 3.5 How are we faring in education?...... 137
Chapter 4: Our working lives
4.1 The changing nature of work and worker wellbeing ...... 145 4.2 Key employment trends ...... 161 4.3 Seniors in the workforce...... 166 4.4 Working for free—volunteers in Australia...... 170
iv Australia’s welfare 2017 Chapter 5: Ageing and aged care
5.1 Ageing and aged care ...... 175 5.2 Dementia and people’s need for help from others...... 181
Chapter 6: Housing and homelessness
6.1 Social housing...... 187 6.2 Homelessness...... 192 6.3 The changing shape of housing in Australia ...... 196
Chapter 7: Indigenous Australians
7.1 Community factors and Indigenous wellbeing ...... 221 7.2 Factors affecting the social and emotional wellbeing of Indigenous Australians. . . . 241 7.3 Community safety among Indigenous Australians...... 249 7.4 Closing the gap in education ...... 256 7.5 Income and employment for Indigenous Australians...... 284 7.6 Use of disability and aged care services by Indigenous Australians...... 292
Chapter 8: Disability and carers
8.1 People with disability...... 301 8.2 Participation in society by people with disability...... 311 8.3 Informal carers...... 316
Chapter 9: Indicators of Australia’s welfare
9.1 The Australia’s welfare indicator framework...... 327 9.2 Indicators of Australia’s Welfare ...... 339
Glossary ...... 384 Acronyms and abbreviations ...... 401 Methods and conventions ...... 403 Symbols ...... 408 Index ...... 409
Australia’s welfare 2017 v Preface
In 2017, the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW) celebrates a milestone, marking 30 years since the Australian Institute of Health Act came into effect on 1 July 1987. The AIHW gained its ‘welfare’ role in 1992, and since 1993 has published a biennial flagship report on welfare, the Australia’s welfare series. Australia’s welfare 2017 is the 13th such report. This year’s edition illustrates just how far we have come in producing authoritative statistics on the welfare of Australians since the modest beginnings of the inaugural 1993 report. The 2017 edition continues the AIHW tradition of delivering quality evidence on welfare issues and, in line with the Institute’s new strategic directions, demonstrates the AIHW’s core capabilities of being leaders in health and welfare data, drivers of data improvement, expert sources of value-added analysis, champions for open and accessible data and information, and trusted strategic partners. The AIHW’s flagship reports are independent and highly regarded national compendiums on health and welfare: they are compiled from dozens of data sources and draw together a variety of perspectives at both the national and local level. They also serve as ‘report cards’ on the health and welfare of Australians—they investigate trends and consider how Australians are faring as a nation. Although Australia’s welfare 2017 shows that most of us are doing well, the report highlights the diversity of disadvantage that exists in our communities, including among Indigenous Australians, vulnerable young people, people with disability, Australia’s homeless population, and those experiencing family and domestic violence. Australia’s welfare 2017 is framed around ‘welfare’ in its broadest context. The report is underpinned by the concept that a person’s wellbeing results from the interplay of many interrelated individual, societal and environmental factors that extend well beyond the provision of financial assistance and welfare services. As in previous editions, Australia’s welfare 2017 presents reliable and detailed information on population factors that influence the demand for welfare services, welfare spending and the composition of the community services workforce. It then looks at welfare with respect to various population groups and sectors, including children and youth, education and training, employment, housing, ageing and aged care, and disability. A chapter is dedicated to the welfare of Indigenous Australians, and the report concludes with a comprehensive analysis of welfare indicators based on a framework developed by the AIHW and published for the first time in Australia’s welfare 2015. This latest edition reports on the ‘wellbeing’ domain of the framework for the first time, after consideration of Australian and international work in this area.
vi Australia’s welfare 2017 Australia’s welfare 2017 follows a similar structure to recent biennial reports, combining short statistical ‘snapshots’ with ‘feature articles’ that explore topical issues in more detail. It considers the factors that help determine welfare from an individual, a family and a community’s perspective, and looks at how Australia delivers and funds welfare services. It examines challenges ahead, such as those faced by the welfare workforce. It also looks at opportunities and challenges from a data and information perspective—and how organisations such as the AIHW can best fill gaps in welfare data. This edition of Australia’s welfare provides an overview of what we know about family, domestic and sexual violence—an area of signficant community and policy interest in Australia and across the world. The article notes the AIHW’s role in this sector, and the work it is doing to bring data sources together. The report also looks at how to better understand health and welfare data. In today’s world of ‘big data’, governments, businesses, the community and individuals all have an important role to ensure that data are used safely, efficiently and effectively to improve outcomes for all Australians. The report discusses what it means to turn ‘big data’ into ‘smart data’, and focuses on the growing need to integrate data sets to produce person-centred data, while protecting privacy. It highlights the gaps in national data, including who needs welfare support, people who face entrenched or persistent disadvantage, and the pathways that people take through the welfare and related systems. It also highlights opportunities for data linkage across national and jurisdictional data sets. I am pleased to note that Australia’s welfare 2017 includes two feature articles authored by academic experts: ‘Persistent disadvantage in Australia: extent, complexity and some key implications’ (Professor Alan Hayes and Dr Andrew Hacker) and ‘The changing nature of work and worker wellbeing’ (Professor Mark Wooden). We extend our thanks to these authors, and also to Associate Professor Judith Yates for her contribution to ‘The changing shape of housing in Australia’. Australia’s welfare 2017 is accompanied by an Australia’s welfare 2017—in brief mini report that summarises key statistics and concepts from the main report, and a variety of online resources. I would like to thank the many experts who provided the AIHW with valuable advice when drafting this report, and note that their contributions are recognised in the Acknowledgments section. The AIHW is committed to improving the usefulness and relevance of its flagship reports and welcomes feedback on Australia’s welfare 2017 via [email protected]. Barry Sandison Director
Australia’s welfare 2017 vii Acknowledgments
Steering committee Fadwa Al-Yaman, Mark Cooper-Stanbury, Matthew James, Barry Sandison, Louise York
Project management team Tim Beard, Mary Beneforti, Simone Brown, Pooja Chowdhary, Karen Hobson, Dinesh Indraharan
Author liaison group Simon Bartlett Bernice Cropper Melinda Petrie Vicki Bennett Tracy Dixon Anna Ritson David Braddock Conan Liu Adrian Webster Mark Cooper-Stanbury Felicity Murdoch
AIHW authors Shampa Barua Jenni Joenpera Arianne Schlumpp Tim Beard Deanne Johnson Nancy Stace-Winkles Mary Beneforti Ammie Li Josh Sweeney Simone Brown Adam Majchrzak-Smith Prem Thapa Jessica Cargill Jennaya Montgomery Louise Tierney Sam Chambers Felicity Murdoch Ian Titulaer Tracy Dixon Cynthia Parayiwa Merryl Uebel-Yan Amy Duong Russell Reid Marissa Veld Karen Hobson Kristy Raithel Melissa Wilson Callin Ivanovici
AIHW peer reviewers Michael Frost, Jenny Hargreaves, Andrew Kettle, Lynelle Moon, Geoff Neideck Many other staff from the AIHW and its collaborating units contributed time and expertise to the production of Australia’s welfare 2017. Their contributions are also gratefully acknowledged.
AIHW publishing, design, media and web team Tony Francis, Elizabeth Ingram, Cherie McLean, Tulip Penney, Andrew Smith, Helen Tse
External contributors Professor Alan Hayes and Dr Andrew Hacker of the University of Newcastle authored Chapter 1.6 ‘Persistent disadvantage in Australia: extent, complexity, and some key implications’. Professor Mark Wooden of the University of Melbourne authored Chapter 4.1 ‘The changing nature of work and worker wellbeing’. Associate Professor Judith Yates of the University of Sydney contributed to the article Chapter 6.3 ‘The changing shape of housing in Australia’.
viii Australia’s welfare 2017 External reviewers The following experts are thanked for reviewing articles for Australia’s welfare 2017: Ms Catherine Andersson—Productivity Commission Professor Judy Cashmore—University of Sydney Ms Marilyn Chilvers—NSW Department of Family and Community Services Dr Mayet Costello—Australia’s National Research Organisation for Women’s Safety Mr David Engelhardt—SA Department for Education and Child Development Dr Jenny Gordon—Productivity Commission Professor Kostas Mavromaras—Flinders University Debra Reid—D A Reid and Company Professor Peter Saunders—University of New South Wales Ms Peta Winzar—Community Housing Industry Association
The following Australian Government departments and agencies were also involved in external review of relevant Australia’s welfare 2017 material: • Australian Bureau of Statistics • Department of Education and Training • Department of Employment • Department of the Environment and Energy • Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet • Department of Social Services • Digital Transformation Agency • NHMRC National Institute for Dementia Research • Productivity Commission
Australia’s welfare 2017 ix Quality assurance The report content was largely prepared by AIHW staff, and was subject to a rigorous internal review and clearance process. Additional external peer reviewers were used to validate and strengthen the content of the report.
Data sources The best available information has been used to inform the report, drawn from a range of data sources that are referenced throughout the report. Most of the data sources are national collections managed by the AIHW and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). These are supplemented by other data collections, as appropriate. Each of the data sources used in the report has strengths and limitations that affect how the data can be used and what can be inferred from the results. The AIHW takes great care to ensure data are correct and conclusions are robust. Although this report is published in 2017, many of the statistics refer to 2015 or earlier. This is because some data, such as population-based surveys and the ABS Census of Population and Housing (the Census), are collected every 3–5 years or less often. Given the comprehensive nature of this report, and the time it takes to prepare a compendium report of this scale, it is also possible that some other reports may be released by the AIHW or others with more recent data. For example, due to the timeframes for preparing this report, it was not possible to integrate the 2016 Census data with data presented in Australia’s welfare 2017 (see Box A).
x Australia’s welfare 2017 Box A: 2016 Census data—first release and 2016 Census-based population estimates Data from the 2016 ABS Census of Population and Housing were released on 27 June 2017. Due to the AIHW’s drafting timeframes for Australia’s welfare 2017, it was not possible to include updated Census data within the main body of this report. There were some notable findings from the 2016 Census that relate to several topic areas covered within the report, as highlighted below. Future iterations of Australia’s welfare will be able to draw on these data in more detail. Population estimates On 27 June 2017, the ABS released preliminary Estimated Resident Population (ERP) re-based on the 2016 Census. Preliminary ERP for Australia was 24.4 million at 31 December 2016. Estimates for 2017 are not yet available but may differ from the projected number of 24.8 million at June 2017 used for this report and based on ABS population projections from the 2011 Census. New age and sex estimates for the total population, and estimates of the Indigenous population, were not available in time for the release of Australia’s welfare 2017. Family and household composition According to the 2016 Census, there were 8.29 million households in Australia on Census night of which 5.9 million were family households, 2 million were lone-person households, and just under 0.4 million were group households. Of family households, 45% were couples with children, 38% were couples without children, and 16% were single parent families. The distribution of household type did not change between 2011 and 2016. Housing tenure The 2016 Census data showed a home ownership rate of 66%—comprising 35% with a mortgage and 31% of households that owned their home outright. Home ownership rates have been falling over time. While the overall home ownership rate has declined from 69% in 1991 to 66% in 2016, rates of outright home ownership have seen a larger drop, from 41% to 31% over the 25-year period; by comparison, rates of home ownership with a mortgage have risen from 28% in 1991 to 35% in 2016. Renters make up 31% of households compared with 27% in 1991. See Chapter 6.3 ‘The changing shape of housing in Australia’ for more information. The rate of home ownership for Indigenous households increased from 36% (25% with a mortgage and 11% without) in 2011 to 38% (26% with a mortgage and 12% without), in 2016. Overcrowding In 2016, overcrowding in households, based on those households needing one or more extra bedrooms, was 3.8%, up from 3.4% in 2011. Overcrowding was much higher for Indigenous households at 10.4% (down from 11.8% in 2011).
Australia’s welfare 2017 xi Additional material online This edition of Australia’s welfare has a comprehensive online presence, including links to related web pages and supplementary tables that present the data underlying the charts in each chapter. Australia’s welfare 2017 is available online. Individual PDFs are available for individual articles, for easy downloading and printing. Visit Australia’s welfare 2017 online at www.aihw.gov.au/reports/australias-welfare/australias-welfare-2017.
Executive summary
Welfare in Australia • The Australian Government and state and territory governments spent an estimated $157 billion on welfare in 2015–16 (cash payments, welfare services, and unemployment benefits), up from $117 billion in 2006–07. This is an average growth rate (in real terms) of 3.4% per annum. • Per person expenditure on welfare rose an average of 1.7% a year over the 10-year period in real terms (from $5,663 to $6,566 per Australian resident). • Welfare spending now accounts for a larger proportion of gross domestic product than before: 9.5% in 2015–16 compared with 8.6% in 2006–07. • In 2015, the welfare workforce represented 4.1% of the total workforce in Australia, an estimated 478,000 workers. The number of workers has increased by 84% since 2005. See Chapter 1 for more information.
Vulnerable groups • About 4.4% (1 in 23) of Australians are estimated to experience deep and persistent disadvantage, as measured by social exclusion. However, this masks much higher rates among some population groups—for example, 24% of people living in public housing (more than 5 times the national average), 15% of people dependent on income support (more than 3 times), and 11% of Indigenous Australians (more than twice) live with deep and persistent disadvantage. • Children under 15 in single-parent families were more than 3 times as likely to be in relative income poverty as those in two-parent families (41% compared with 13%) in 2013–14. • About 46,500 children were in out-of-home care as at 30 June 2016. Indigenous children were 10 times as likely to be in out-of-home care (57 per 1,000 children) as non-Indigenous children (5.8 per 1,000) in 2015–16. • Young people aged 10–17 under youth justice supervision during 2014–15 were 15 times as likely as the general population to be involved with the child protection system in the same year.
continued xii Australia’s welfare 2017 Vulnerable groups (continued) • One in 6 Australian women have experienced physical or sexual violence from a current or former cohabiting partner since the age of 15. This compares with 1 in 19 men. • Indigenous people living in Very remote areas are 1.4 times as likely to be unemployed and 1.5 times as likely to receive a government pension or allowance as their main source of income as Indigenous people living in Major cities. See Chapters 1, 2 and 7 for more information.
Education and employment • In 2015, 4 in 5 children (78%) starting school were considered to be ‘on track’ developmentally, slightly higher than in 2009 (76%). • Results for national literacy and numeracy testing in Years 3, 5, 7 and 9 have largely plateaued for students since 2008, and in the Programme for International Student Assessment test, Australia’s 2015 results were significantly lower than those for 2009. • 2.2 million people aged 15–64 were enrolled in formal study towards a non-school qualification in 2016—1.3 million (59%) were attending a higher education institution such as a university. • There were 168,800 people commencing apprenticeships and traineeships in 2016—the lowest number since 1998. • The proportion of Indigenous people aged 20–24 who had attained Year 12 or an equivalent level of education rose significantly from 45% in 2008 to 62% in 2014–15. Progress is on track to halve the gap in Year 12 attainment between Indigenous and non-Indigenous young people by 2020. • Many more jobs today are part time: 31% of all jobs in 2016 involved part-time hours compared with 10% in 1966. • The proportion of workers who were underemployed is at its highest level since the late 1970s, accounting for 9.3% of all employed people in 2016. • The labour force participation rate has more than doubled among people aged 65 and over in the past 30 years, from 5.1% in 1986 to 13% in 2016. This reflects greater life expectancies and delayed retirement compared with previous generations. • The proportion of lower skilled people (highest qualification Year 10 and below, including Certificate I/II) who were employed fell from 59% in 2008 to 54% in 2016. People whose highest qualification was a Bachelor degree maintained a steady rate of employment over the same period (around 84% employed in 2008 and 2016). • One in 20 (5.1%) people aged 15–19 were not engaged in any form of education, training or employment in 2016 compared with 7.7% in 2005. By comparison, the rate for people aged 20–24 (around 12%) was similar in both 2005 and 2016. See Chapters 3, 4 and 7 for more information.
Australia’s welfare 2017 xiii Ageing, disability and informal care • Australia’s population profile is changing. In 2017, an estimated 3.8 million Australians (15% of the population) are aged 65 and over, compared with 2.2 million (13%) in 2007. • About 4.3 million Australians (18%) have a disability, and about 1.4 million people (5.8%) have a severe or profound core activity limitation. While the overall number of people with disability has increased from 4 million in 2003, the proportion of the population with disability has decreased over time (from 20% in 2003 to 18% in 2015). • Dementia is a substantial challenge to Australia. Estimates suggest that in 2017, around 365,000 Australians have dementia. This number is projected to more than double to 900,000 people by 2050. • In 2015, Australia had 2.7 million informal carers, of whom 856,100 were primary carers. One-third of primary carers spent 40 hours or more per week in their caring role, and one-third had spent 10 or more years in this role. See Chapters 5 and 8 for more information.
Housing and homelessness • Between 1994–95 and 2013–14, the proportion of Australians who owned their home outright fell from 42% to 31%, and more home owners financed their purchase with a mortgage (rising from 30% to 36%). The 2016 Census confirmed these trends (see Box A). • Over the same period, the proportion of people renting from private landlords rose from 18% to 26%. Those renters experienced a 62% ($144) rise in average weekly housing costs, after adjustment for inflation. • A smaller proportion of people aged 25–34 own a home today than 25 years ago—39% in 2013–14, compared with 60% in 1988–89. • In 2015–16, 38% (106,000) of all clients seeking assistance from specialist homelessness services had experienced family and domestic violence. Of these clients, 92% were women and children, including 31,000 children under 15. • Compared with other households, Indigenous households are less than half as likely to own their own home, more than twice as likely to rent, more than 7 times as likely to live in social housing, and more than 3 times as likely to live in overcrowded dwellings. See Chapters 6 and 7 for more information.
xiv Australia’s welfare 2017 How are we faring? Based on an assessment of trends in the Australia’s welfare indicators, we are faring well on many aspects of wellbeing: • Purchasing power has improved over the last 30 years. Australia’s net disposable income per capita, adjusted for inflation, has increased by 1.9%, on average, per year. • Weekly household income rose for all income quintile groups between 1994–95 and 2013–14. • Education levels among people aged 15–74 have been increasing over time, from 55% holding a non-school qualification in 2009 to 59% in 2016. • The level of school attendance for young people in youth justice detention rose between 2011–12 and 2015–16 (96% to 98% for students of compulsory school age and 93% to 99% for students of non-compulsory school age). • The proportion of employees working 50 hours or more per week (in paid employment) dropped between 2004 and 2017—from 26% to 20% for males and 8% to 7% for females. • We are living longer and enjoying more years without disability: years of life lived without disability rose by 3.9 years for males and 3 years for females between 2003 and 2015. • Australia enjoys high air quality compared with many other OECD countries and our greenhouse gas emissions have been gradually falling since 2000. • Crime victimisation rates fell between 2008–09 and 2015–16 for most types of serious crime, such as physical assault and malicious property damage. • Our perceptions of safety have also improved. More than half of us (52%) reported feeling very safe or safe walking alone in our local area after dark in 2014, compared with 48% in 2006. • The proportion of Indigenous households living in overcrowded conditions fell from 27% in 2004–05 to 21% in 2014–15.
However, a few aspects of our lives warrant closer attention: • In 2013–14, 1 in 2 lower income rental households were in housing stress, that is, spending more than 30% of their gross income on housing costs. This is up from 42% in 2005–06. • While the distribution of income in Australia has shown little change in recent years, income inequality has risen since the mid-1990s as measured by the Gini coefficient. • Although employment rates have fluctuated over time, there has been an upward trend for youth unemployment rates and for long-term unemployment as a proportion of all unemployment between 2008–2009 and 2017. • Volunteering rates among adults declined from 36% in 2010 to 31% in 2014. • Men are more than twice as likely as women to report feeling safe walking alone at night (72% compared with 34% in 2014).
See Chapter 9 for more information.
Australia’s welfare 2017 xv Australia’s welfare 2017 Chapter 1
Welfare in Australia
1 1.0 Introduction
Australia is a diverse nation. Its more than 24 million people have diverse cultural, social and economic backgrounds, and live in a variety of communities. Each person has different abilities, resources, experiences and welfare needs. This chapter looks at the major concepts in understanding welfare across the Australian population. So, what do we mean by a person’s welfare? In the broadest sense, welfare refers to the wellbeing of people—being secure, happy, healthy and safe. This is why the terms ‘wellbeing’ and ‘welfare’ are often used interchangeably. Australia’s welfare 2017 is underpinned by the concept that a person’s wellbeing results from the interplay of many interrelated individual, societal and environmental factors. Welfare support provided or funded by governments is complex and wide ranging. Many may see it primarily as income support and tax concessions, but policies and programs for wellbeing extend far beyond this. For example, providing universal services for education and health—and targeted support for housing, employment, disability, ageing and aged care (among others)—is critical to the wellbeing of an individual and their family. The Australian Government and state and territory governments, non-government organisations and individuals all contribute to welfare spending. In 2015–16, the Australian Government and state and territory governments spent more than $157 billion on welfare, up from nearly $117 billion in 2006–07. Welfare spending as a proportion of gross domestic product also increased over the period, from 8.6% to 9.5%. This chapter profiles the welfare workforce—an estimated 478,000 people who work in early childhood education and care, residential care and a variety of other social support services, such as adoption support and disability assistance. The welfare workforce has grown by 84% (219,000 people) over the past decade. In 2015, it represented more than 4% of the 11.8 million people employed in Australia. A special feature article commissioned for Australia’s welfare 2017 examines the extent and complexity of persistent disadvantage. It reports that several groups in the community face rates of deep and persistent disadvantage that are 2 to 5 times that of the national average. As the article makes clear, dealing with such disadvantage has potentially profound, positive social and economic effects. Lastly, this chapter looks at the changing data landscape—in particular, the public data agenda, and the challenges and opportunities presented by ‘big data’. It explores the ever growing expectation that organisations such as the AIHW can deliver high-quality information faster, while protecting individual privacy, and profiles the ‘person-centred’ data model for health and welfare services.
2 Australia’s welfare 2017 1.1 Who we are
Australia’s welfare 2017 draws on a variety of data sources, about people, their wellbeing, and the welfare services they access. Major data sources drawn on are national collections Welfare in Australia Welfare managed by the AIHW and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Chapter 1 Chapter Based on ABS projections, Australia’s Australia’s population has grown population in June 2017 was around 24.8 million people, of whom:
June 2012 9% June 2017 growth
4.7 million are aged 0–14 22.7 million 3.2 million 24.8 million are aged 15–24 3.7 million are aged 25–34 In 2017, an estimated 3.1% of 3.3 million are aged 35–44 Australians were Aboriginal and 3.2 million Torres Strait Islander—761,300 are aged 45–54 people (ABS 2014b). 2.9 million are aged 55–64 3.8 million are aged 65 or older In 2016, 29% of Australians (ABS 2013). were born overseas— 6.9 million people (ABS 2017b).
In 2015–16, 207,325 people permanently migrated to Australia—189,770 (92%) from migration programs and 17,555 (8.5%) from humanitarian programs (Phillips & Simon-Davies 2017).
2013–15 80.4 A boy born between 2013 and 2015 47.2 1890 can expect to live 80.4 years and a girl 84.5 years (ABS 2016c). This 84.5 2013–15 compares with 47.2 and 50.8 years, respectively, in 1890 (ABS 2014a). 50.8 1890
3 Australia’s population is ageing. Both the number of older Australians and the proportion of Australia’s population aged 65 and over are growing. ABS projections for 2017 show that the 3.8 million people in Australia aged 65 and over make up 15% of our total population of 24.8 million. By 2057, the number of people aged 65 and over is projected to more than double to 8.8 million, making up 22% of the total population of 40.1 million. In 2017, there are around half a million very old (aged 85 and over) Australians, making up 2.0% of the population. This proportion is projected to increase to 4.4% by 2057 (Figure 1.1.1) (ABS 2013).
Number (millions) Women aged Proportion of total population (per cent) Men aged 10 2 Women aged 6 Men aged 6 Persons aged 6 (proportion of total population)