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Q3/2008 Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll

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Q3/2008 Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Q3/2008 Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll 11 – 22 September 2008 1 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Methodology • 1002 randomly selected registered voters aged 21+ were interviewed via telephone for the survey • Respondents were selected via random stratified sampling method along the lines of state of residence, ethnicity, gender and age • Survey was carried out between 11th to 22nd September 2008 • Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.10% • Important Events: Survey was concluded during “impending” September 16th crossover 2 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Respondent Profile Ethnicity Gender Male Female 60% 55% 40% 36% 50% 50% 20% 9% 0% Malay Chinese Indian Age 21-31 32-43 44-55 56-63 Above 63 Setting Urban Rural 10% 19% 16% 48% 51% 26% 29% 3 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Respondent Profile Occupation Region 40% Northern Central Southern Eastern 19% 19% 30% 25% 22% 20% 14% 12% 12% 10% 8% 4% 2% 24% 0% Employed - Employed - Own Business Self employed Unemployed Student Homemaker Retired Private Govt 38% Total of household income Level of education No formal schooling Primary school < RM 1500 per month RM 1501 - RM 3000 per month Secondary school/ LCE/ SRP/ PMR MCE/ SPM RM 3001 - RM 5000 per month > RM 1500 per month HSC/ STPM College (diploma) Don't know 13% University (degree & above) 11% 2% 19% 35% 10% 12% 5% 18% 14% 4 35% 26% Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Top issues 5 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 What in your view, is the most important problem affecting Malaysia today? Price hike/ inflation/ rising cost of living 35% Fuel hike 8% Unemployment 1% 50% concerned over Unfavourable economic condition in general 6% economic issues Crime and public safety in general 4% Social problems among youth 3% Racial inequality 3% Lack of unity among Malaysians 1% Worse ethnic relations 2% Lack of job/ business opportunities for own race 1% Lack of education opportunities for own race/ quota system 1% Corruption in general 1% Corruption among government officials 1% Corruption among politicians 1% Quality of nalt leadership 1% Political instability in general 18% Controversy of racist statements by Ahmad Ismail 2% Aggregated 21% concern September 16 1% over political issues Others 4% None 2% 6 Don't know 3% Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 What in your view, is the most important problem affecting Malaysia today? Economic issues Crime & public safety Social problems Corruption & power abuse Racial issues Political issues 60% 55% 59% 50% 48% 50% 45% 40% 40% 36% 37% 34% 30% 27% 25% 25% 25% 23% 21% 20% 13% 10% 10% 3% 1% 0% Oct 06 Nov 06 Apr 07 Jun 07 Sept 07 Dec 07 9-19 Feb 23-27 5-7 Mar 14-21 30 Apr - 5 4-14 Jul 15 -23 11 - 22 08 Feb 08 08 Mar 08 May 08 08 Aug 08 Sept 08 7 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the federal government's performance on that issue? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know No response Price hike/ inflation/ rising 1% 1% cost of living 17% 39% 40% Political instability in general 2% 20% 40% 36% 2% Fuel hike 2% 26% 37% 32% 2% Unfavourable economic 2% 3% condition in general 17% 36% 41% Crime and public safety in 2% general 29% 43% 26% 8 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Are you aware of the 2009 Budget tabled by the Prime Minister several weeks ago? Aware Unaware/ Don't know 21% 79% 9 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 How strongly do you feel that the 2009 Budget will benefit you and your family? Strongly beneficial Somewhat beneficial Somewhat unbeneficial Not beneficial at all Don't know 3% 4% 28% 42% 23% 10 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Top issues 11 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Now, I am going to read two statements to you. After you hear each one, please tell me which one is closer to your opinion. If Pakatan Rakyat, which consists of PKR, DAP and PAS, attempt to form federal government is successful… Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly agree Somewhat agree 22% 16% 32% 17% The Malay will lose political power The Malay political power remains & only UMNO loses power 12 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Approval Rating of the PM How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's performance as Prime Minister? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know No response 1% 3% 16% 11% 32% 37% 13 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Approval Rating of the PM How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with Abdullah Ahmad Badawi's performance as Prime Minister? Peninsula M'sia Malay Chinese Indian 100% 90% 84% 80% 78% 80% 79% 76% 76% 71% 67% 70% 71% 61% 62% 59% 58% 57% 60% 57% 54% 51% 51% 58% 48% 49% 50% 47% 45% 53% 42% 52% 42% 43% 40% 47% 40% 36% 39% 38% 38% 29% 30% 30% 33% 32% 30% 27% 20% Oct 07 Dec 07 9-19 Feb 08 23-27 Feb 08 29 Feb - 4 Mar 14-21 Mar 08 * 30 Apr - 5 May 4-14 Jul 08 15 - 23 Aug 08 11 - 22 Sept 08 08 08 Note: “Very satisfied” and “Somewhat satisfied” aggregated 14 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Approval Rating of the DPM In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good prime minister? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know No response 1% 16% 13% 24% 26% 20% 15 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Approval Rating of the DPM In your view, how strongly do you agree or disagree that Najib Tun Razak would make a good prime minister? Peninsula Msia Malay Chinese Indian 80% 71% 70% 66% 65% 60% 60% 55% 52% 47% 48% 50% 45% 46% 51% 40% 40% 34% 34% 31% 30% 25% 19% 28% 29% 20% 16% 21% 14% 10% 10% 15% 0% Oct 06 Apr 07 23-27 Feb 08 14-21 Mar 08 4-14 Jul 08 11 - 22 Sept 08 Note: “Strongly agree” and “Somewhat agree” aggregated 16 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Comparison Between Najib Tun Razak and Anwar Ibrahim, who do you think makes a better prime minister? Najib Tun Razak Anwar Ibrahim None Don't know No response 1% 14% 34% 11% 40% 17 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Racial Remarks Controversy Ahmad Ismail, UMNO division chief for Bukit Bendera, Penang had a made a statement in the recent Permatang Pauh by-election that Chinese were "immigrants" and did not deserve equal treatment in this country. Do you think the comments by Ahmad Ismail were appropriate or not appropriate? Very appropriate Somewhat appropriate Somewhat inappropriate Very inappropriate Don't know1% No response 5% 12% 13% 13% 56% 18 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Racial Remarks Controversy Ahmad Ismail, UMNO division chief for Bukit Bendera, Penang had a made a statement in the recent Permatang Pauh by-election that Chinese were "immigrants" and did not deserve equal treatment in this country. Do you think the comments by Ahmad Ismail were appropriate or not appropriate? Very appropriate Somewhat appropriate Somewhat inappropriate Very inappropriate Don't know No response 100% 5% 6% 6% 80% 43% 55% 60% 79% 97% 40% 15% 13% 19% 20% 13% 17% 11% 12% 1% 0% 3% 3% Total Malay Chinese Indian 19 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Racial Remarks Controversy Now, I am going to read two statements to you. After you hear each one, please tell me which one is closer to your opinion. Do you think that statements like those made by Ahmad Ismail are… Malay exclusive question Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly agree Somewhat agree 55% 41% 19% 15% 26% 26% Borne out of concern for the Malay community Borne out of his own political interest 20 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Perceptions of Anwar Ibrahim 21 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 Perceptions towards Anwar Do you believe or do not believe in the allegations of sexual misconduct against Anwar Ibrahim? Strongly believe Somewhat believe Somewhat disbelieve Strongly disbelieve Don't know1% No response 6% 17% 9% 23% 44% 22 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 How strongly do you agree or disagree that, Anwar is an agent for Americans/ Jews? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/ Unable to access No response 100% 3% 8% 11% 23% 27% 80% 38% 60% 38% 38% 72% 40% 26% 10% 12% 20% 16% 15% 13% 10% 13% 8% 12% 0% 2% 4% Total Malay Chinese Indian 23 Release to Media Peninsula Malaysia Voter Opinion Poll Q3/2008 11 – 22 September 2008 How strongly do you agree or disagree that, Anwar is a sexual criminal? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know/ Unable to access No response 100% 1% 3% 13% 29%
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