Overcoming the Human Condition
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Apocalypse Now? Initial Lessons from the Covid-19 Pandemic for the Governance of Existential and Global Catastrophic Risks
journal of international humanitarian legal studies 11 (2020) 295-310 brill.com/ihls Apocalypse Now? Initial Lessons from the Covid-19 Pandemic for the Governance of Existential and Global Catastrophic Risks Hin-Yan Liu, Kristian Lauta and Matthijs Maas Faculty of Law, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark [email protected]; [email protected]; [email protected] Abstract This paper explores the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic through the framework of exis- tential risks – a class of extreme risks that threaten the entire future of humanity. In doing so, we tease out three lessons: (1) possible reasons underlying the limits and shortfalls of international law, international institutions and other actors which Covid-19 has revealed, and what they reveal about the resilience or fragility of institu- tional frameworks in the face of existential risks; (2) using Covid-19 to test and refine our prior ‘Boring Apocalypses’ model for understanding the interplay of hazards, vul- nerabilities and exposures in facilitating a particular disaster, or magnifying its effects; and (3) to extrapolate some possible futures for existential risk scholarship and governance. Keywords Covid-19 – pandemics – existential risks – global catastrophic risks – boring apocalypses 1 Introduction: Our First ‘Brush’ with Existential Risk? All too suddenly, yesterday’s ‘impossibilities’ have turned into today’s ‘condi- tions’. The impossible has already happened, and quickly. The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, both directly and as manifested through the far-reaching global societal responses to it, signal a jarring departure away from even the © koninklijke brill nv, leiden, 2020 | doi:10.1163/18781527-01102004Downloaded from Brill.com09/27/2021 12:13:00AM via free access <UN> 296 Liu, Lauta and Maas recent past, and suggest that our futures will be profoundly different in its af- termath. -
Phillip STILLMAN, the Narrative of Human Extinction and the Logic Of
Phillip Stillman Two Nineteenth- Century Contributions to Climate Change Discourse: The Narra- W e a tive of Hu- t h e r man Extinction S c a and the p e g o Logic of Eco- a t 8 sys- tem Management 92 The Narrative of Human Extinction ... Consider the following passage from Oscar Wilde’s “Decay of Lying” (1891): Where, if not from the Impressionists, do we get those wonderful brown fogs that come creeping down our streets, blurring the gas-lamps and changing the houses into monstrous shadows? [...] The extraordinary change that has taken place in the climate of London during the last ten years is entirely due to a particular school of Art. [...] For what is Nature? Nature is no great mother who has borne us. She is our creation. It is in our brain that she quickens to life. Things are because we see them, and what we see, and how we see it, depends on the Arts that have influenced us.1 The speaker is Vivian, a self-consciously sophistical aesthete, and his argument is that “Nature” is the causal consequence of “Art.” Not long ago, a literary critic might have quoted such a passage with unmitigated approbation: “Things are because we see them, and what we see, and how we see it, depends on the Arts that have influenced us.” The post-structural resonance of that kind of claim is strong, and the Jamesonian tradition of treating art as a means through which ideology reproduces itself depends heavily on the conviction that between the knower and the known, there must be some determining symbolic mediation.2 Now, however, it is difficult not to hesitate over the assertion that the “extraordinary change that has taken place in the climate of London during the last ten years is entirely due to a particular school of Art.” Now we tend to take referential 1 Oscar Wilde, “The Decay of Lying,” in The claims about “Nature” very seriously, especially with regard to Artist as Critic: Critical Writings of Oscar Wilde, ed. -
Global Catastrophic Risks Survey
GLOBAL CATASTROPHIC RISKS SURVEY (2008) Technical Report 2008/1 Published by Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom At the Global Catastrophic Risk Conference in Oxford (17‐20 July, 2008) an informal survey was circulated among participants, asking them to make their best guess at the chance that there will be disasters of different types before 2100. This report summarizes the main results. The median extinction risk estimates were: Risk At least 1 million At least 1 billion Human extinction dead dead Number killed by 25% 10% 5% molecular nanotech weapons. Total killed by 10% 5% 5% superintelligent AI. Total killed in all 98% 30% 4% wars (including civil wars). Number killed in 30% 10% 2% the single biggest engineered pandemic. Total killed in all 30% 10% 1% nuclear wars. Number killed in 5% 1% 0.5% the single biggest nanotech accident. Number killed in 60% 5% 0.05% the single biggest natural pandemic. Total killed in all 15% 1% 0.03% acts of nuclear terrorism. Overall risk of n/a n/a 19% extinction prior to 2100 These results should be taken with a grain of salt. Non‐responses have been omitted, although some might represent a statement of zero probability rather than no opinion. 1 There are likely to be many cognitive biases that affect the result, such as unpacking bias and the availability heuristic‒‐well as old‐fashioned optimism and pessimism. In appendix A the results are plotted with individual response distributions visible. Other Risks The list of risks was not intended to be inclusive of all the biggest risks. -
The Utilitarian Foundations of Natural Law
University of Chicago Law School Chicago Unbound Journal Articles Faculty Scholarship 1989 The Utilitarian Foundations of Natural Law Richard A. Epstein Follow this and additional works at: https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/journal_articles Part of the Law Commons Recommended Citation Richard A. Epstein, "The Utilitarian Foundations of Natural Law," 12 Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy 711 (1989). This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Faculty Scholarship at Chicago Unbound. It has been accepted for inclusion in Journal Articles by an authorized administrator of Chicago Unbound. For more information, please contact [email protected]. 10 SYMPOSIUM ON THE COMPATIBILITY OF RIGHTS AND CONSEQUENTIALIST ANALYSES HeinOnline -- 12 Harv. J. L. & Pub. Pol'y 711 1989 0Q HeinOnline -- 12 Harv. J. L. & Pub. Pol'y 712 1989 THE UTILITARIAN FOUNDATIONS OF NATURAL LAW RICHARD A. EPSTEIN* Contemporary thinking about rights draws a sharp line be- tween deontological and consequentialist ethical theories. De- ontological theories are associated with the natural law tradition as it has developed in this century, while consequen- tialist theories may be conveniently, if inexactly, grouped as utilitarian. The points of opposition between these approaches have been so often rehearsed that it is only necessary to sum- marize them briefly here. Natural rights theories regard them- selves as theories of individual entitlement, not as theories of social good. Their emphasis on the justice of the individual case, the intimate connection between the doer and the sufferer of harm, makes them overtly anti-instrumental in orientation.' They disavow the idea that the consequences of any legal rule could justify its adoption or rejection. -
Mood-Consciousness and Architecture
Mood-Consciousness and Architecture Mood-Consciousness and Architecture: A Phenomenological Investigation of Therme Vals by way of Martin Heidegger’s Interpretation of Mood A Thesis submitted to the Graduate School of the University of Cincinnati In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER of SCIENCE in ARCHITECTURE In the School of Architecture and Interior Design of the College of Design, Architecture, Art, and Planning 2011 by Afsaneh Ardehali Master of Architecture, California Polytechnic State University San Luis Obispo, CA 1987 Committee Members: John E. Hancock (Chair) Nnamdi Elleh, Ph.D. Mood-Consciousness and Architecture abstract This thesis is an effort to unfold the disclosing power of mood as the basic character of all experiencing as well as theorizing in architecture. Having been confronted with the limiting ways of the scientific approach to understanding used in the traditional theoretical investigations, (according to which architecture is understood as a mere static object of shelter or aesthetic beauty) we turn to Martin Heidegger’s existential analysis of the meaning of Being and his new interpretation of human emotions. Translations of philosophers Eugene Gendlin, Richard Polt, and Hubert Dreyfus elucidate the deep meaning of Heidegger’s investigations and his approach to understanding mood. In contrast to our customary beliefs, which are largely informed by scientific understanding of being and emotions, this new understanding of mood clarifies our experience of architecture by shedding light on the contextualizing character of mood. In this expanded horizon of experiencing architecture, the full potentiality of mood in our experience of architecture becomes apparent in resoluteness of our new Mood-Consciousness of architecture. -
Modern Technology and Human Extinction
Proceedings of Informing Science & IT Education Conference (InSITE) 2016 Cite as: Schultz, R. A. (2016). Modern technology and human extinction. Proceedings of Informing Science & IT Edu- cation Conference (InSITE) 2016, 131-145. Retrieved from http://www.informingscience.org/Publications/3433 Modern Technology and Human Extinction Robert A. Schultz Woodbury University, Burbank, CA, USA [email protected] Abstract [Note: Portions of this paper were previously published in Schultz, 2014.] The purpose of this paper is to describe and explain a central property of modern technology that makes it an important potential contributor to human extinction. This view may seem strange to those who regard technology as an instrument of human growth. After discussing modern tech- nology and two important candidates for extinction, other technological candidates for serious contribution to human extinction will be examined. The saving contribution of information tech- nology is also discussed. Keywords: technology, classical technology, modern technology, information technology, gradu- al extinction, sudden extinction. Introduction Helping to further human extinction is not a feature of all technology, but rather of technology we can call modern. In this paper, modern technology is considered to be technology since the in- dustrial revolution. Its distinctive feature is that it regards everything as resources for its own processes. Serious conflicts with the ecosystems that support all life are inevitable and not easily preventable. A Very Brief History of Technology Technology can be thought of as having four stages: >> Proto-technology, early tool development before civilization, one million, possibly 2 million years old. >> The classical technology of agriculture and cities that enabled the rise of civilization, roughly 10,000 years old. -
The Political Theory of Hannah Arendt: the Problem of Evil and the Origins of Totalitarianism
Narrative Section of a Successful Application The attached document contains the grant narrative and selected portions of a previously funded grant application. It is not intended to serve as a model, but to give you a sense of how a successful application may be crafted. Every successful application is different, and each applicant is urged to prepare a proposal that reflects its unique project and aspirations. Prospective applicants should consult the Education Programs application guidelines at http://www.neh.gov/grants/education/summer-seminars-and-institutes for instructions. Applicants are also strongly encouraged to consult with the NEH Division of Education Programs staff well before a grant deadline. Note: The attachment only contains the grant narrative and selected portions, not the entire funded application. In addition, certain portions may have been redacted to protect the privacy interests of an individual and/or to protect confidential commercial and financial information and/or to protect copyrighted materials. Project Title: The Political Theory of Hannah Arendt: The Problem of Evil and the Origins of Totalitarianism Institution: San Diego State University Project Director: Kathleen Jones Grant Program: Summer Seminars and Institutes for School Teachers 1100 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W., Rm. 302, Washington, D.C. 20506 P 202.606.8500 F 202.606.8394 E [email protected] www.neh.gov TABLE OF CONTENTS The Political Theory of Hannah Arendt: The Problem of Evil and the Origins of Totalitarianism Narrative Proposed Texts 1 Intellectual Rationale 1 Project Content and Implementation 10 Project Faculty and Staff 15 Participant Selection 17 Professional Development 17 Institutional Context 18 Budget 21 Appendices Outline of Seminar Topics 22 Selected Bibliography 24 Curriculum Vita- Kathleen B. -
Resilience to Global Catastrophe
Resilience to Global Catastrophe Seth D. Baumi* Keywords: Resilience, catastrophe, global, collapse *Corresponding author: [email protected] Introduction The field of global catastrophic risk (GCR) studies the prospect of extreme harm to global human civilization, up to and including the possibility of human extinction. GCR has attracted substantial interest because the extreme severity of global catastrophe makes it an important class of risk, even if the probabilities are low. For example, in the 1990s, the US Congress and NASA established the Spaceguard Survey for detecting large asteroids and comets that could collide with Earth, even though the probability of such a collision was around one-in-500,000 per year (Morrison, 1992). Other notable GCRs include artificial intelligence, global warming, nuclear war, pandemic disease outbreaks, and supervolcano eruptions. While GCR has been defined in a variety of ways, Baum and Handoh (2014, p.17) define it as “the risk of crossing a large and damaging human system threshold”. This definition posits global catastrophe as an event that exceeds the resilience of global human civilization, potentially sending humanity into a fundamentally different state of existence, as in the notion of civilization collapse. Resilience in this context can be defined as a system’s capacity to withstand disturbances while remaining in the same general state. Over the course of human history, there have been several regional-scale civilization collapses, including the Akkadian Empire, the Old and New Kingdoms of Egypt, and the Mayan civilization (Butzer & Endfield, 2012). The historical collapses are believed to be generally due to a mix of social and environmental causes, though the empirical evidence is often limited due to the long time that has lapsed since these events. -
THE TIME of ACTION in HANNAH ARENDT by HANNA LIPKIND A
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by University of Oregon Scholars' Bank BETWEEN PERFORMANCE AND PARTICIPATION: THE TIME OF ACTION IN HANNAH ARENDT by HANNA LIPKIND A THESIS Presented to the Department of Philosophy and the Graduate school of the University of Oregon in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts December 2013 THESIS APPROVAL PAGE Student: Hanna Lipkind Title: Between Performance and Participation: The Time of Action in Hannah Arendt This thesis has been accepted and approved in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Master of Arts degree in the Department of Philosophy by: Dr. Bonnie Mann Chair Dr. Rocío Zambrana Member and Kimberly Andrews Espy Vice President for Research & Innovation/Dean of the Graduate School Original approval signatures are on file with the University of Oregon Graduate School. Degree awarded December 2013 ii © 2013 Hanna Lipkind iii THESIS ABSTRACT Hanna Lipkind Master of Arts Department of Philosophy December 2013 Title: Between Performance and Participation: The Time of Action in Hanna Arendt This thesis takes up the debate between the agonal and deliberative interpretations of Hannah Arendt’s conception of political action. In it, I redeem the model of action as performance found in her descriptions of agonal politics and pull emphasis away from the deliberative model of communicative action on the basis of Arendt’s ontology of temporality and her account of the witnessing and judging spectatorship that preserves the meaningfulness of human events against oblivion. I find the danger of this loss of meaning accounted for by the agonal model in the syncopated relationship between spectator and actor. -
Investigating Anthropogenic Mammoth Extinction with Mathematical Models Michael Frank North Carolina State University
Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics Volume 1 | Issue 1 Article 3 2015 Investigating Anthropogenic Mammoth Extinction with Mathematical Models Michael Frank North Carolina State University Anneliese Slaton Mary Baldwin College Teresa Tinta University of Maryland Eastern Shore Alex Capaldi Valparaiso University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://ir.library.illinoisstate.edu/spora Recommended Citation Frank, Michael; Slaton, Anneliese; Tinta, Teresa; and Capaldi, Alex (2015) "Investigating Anthropogenic Mammoth Extinction with Mathematical Models," Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics: Vol. 1: Iss.1, . DOI: https://doi.org/10.30707/SPORA1.1Frank Available at: https://ir.library.illinoisstate.edu/spora/vol1/iss1/3 This Mathematics Research is brought to you for free and open access by ISU ReD: Research and eData. It has been accepted for inclusion in Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics by an authorized editor of ISU ReD: Research and eData. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Investigating Anthropogenic Mammoth Extinction with Mathematical Models Cover Page Footnote Research was conducted during the 2013 Valparaiso Experience in Research by Undergraduate Mathematicians, which was supported by the National Science Foundation (NSF DMS-1262852). We would also like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments and suggestions. This mathematics research is available in Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics: https://ir.library.illinoisstate.edu/spora/vol1/iss1/3 Investigating Anthropogenic Mammoth Extinction with Mathematical Models Michael Frank1, Anneliese Slaton2, Teresa Tinta3, Alex Capaldi4,* *Correspondence: Abstract Prof. Alex Capaldi, Dept. of One extinction hypothesis of the Columbian mammoth (Mammuthus columbi), called Mathematics and Statistics, overkill, theorizes that early humans overhunted the animal. -
Finding Hope in the End: an Ecocritical Analysis of the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement
Finding Hope in the End: An Ecocritical Analysis of The Voluntary Human Extinction Movement Angie McAdam Georgia State University ~ [email protected] Abstract Our planet is experiencing climate change, drastic losses in biodiversity, and many other environmental issues. While many individuals may be struggling to find ways in which they can do something to help address the current ecological crisis, one movement presents a radical option. The Voluntary Human Extinction Movement, which advocates for extinction of humankind by simply choosing not to reproduce, represents a resolute and surprising spirit of hopefulness in the face of environmental crisis. For this paper, I studied The Voluntary Human Extinction Movement (VHMET) website and identified the organization’s beliefs and values. I then analyzed them from an ecocritical perspective, drawing on deep ecology and ecofeminist thought. To do this, I performed a discourse analysis of the website to locate language that expressed values and beliefs. After conducting my analysis, I discovered that VHMET clearly expresses several core values, including: biocentrism, freedom, voluntariness, unity, responsibility, and hope. I conclude that VHEMT does reflect the ecological values and takes these values to a radical, but nonviolent, conclusion. The sincerity of its biocentrism perspective allows members to see positivity and hope in the vision of a human-free planet. Ultimately, I do not think VHEMT will ever reach its goal. I believe that VHEMT members know and accept this. However, I argue that this social movement organization represents a sincere and passionate response to climate change that our society desperately needs, offering a fresh, albeit challenging, perspective on what the actions of humanity should be in the face of climate change. -
Global Challenges Foundation
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