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Chaotic Advection, Diffusion, and Reactions in Open Flows Tamás Tél, György Károlyi, Áron Péntek, István Scheuring, Zoltán Toroczkai, Celso Grebogi, and James Kadtke
Chaotic advection, diffusion, and reactions in open flows Tamás Tél, György Károlyi, Áron Péntek, István Scheuring, Zoltán Toroczkai, Celso Grebogi, and James Kadtke Citation: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 10, 89 (2000); doi: 10.1063/1.166478 View online: http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.166478 View Table of Contents: http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/journal/chaos/10/1?ver=pdfcov Published by the AIP Publishing This article is copyrighted as indicated in the article. Reuse of AIP content is subject to the terms at: http://scitation.aip.org/termsconditions. Downloaded to IP: 128.173.125.76 On: Mon, 24 Mar 2014 14:44:01 CHAOS VOLUME 10, NUMBER 1 MARCH 2000 Chaotic advection, diffusion, and reactions in open flows Tama´sTe´l Institute for Theoretical Physics, Eo¨tvo¨s University, P.O. Box 32, H-1518 Budapest, Hungary Gyo¨rgy Ka´rolyi Department of Civil Engineering Mechanics, Technical University of Budapest, Mu¨egyetem rpk. 3, H-1521 Budapest, Hungary A´ ron Pe´ntek Marine Physical Laboratory, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093-0238 Istva´n Scheuring Department of Plant Taxonomy and Ecology, Research Group of Ecology and Theoretical Biology, Eo¨tvo¨s University, Ludovika te´r 2, H-1083 Budapest, Hungary Zolta´n Toroczkai Department of Physics, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742-4111 and Department of Physics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, Virginia 24061-0435 Celso Grebogi Institute for Plasma Research, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742 James Kadtke Marine Physical Laboratory, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, California 92093-0238 ͑Received 30 July 1999; accepted for publication 8 November 1999͒ We review and generalize recent results on advection of particles in open time-periodic hydrodynamical flows. -
Ergodicity, Decisions, and Partial Information
Ergodicity, Decisions, and Partial Information Ramon van Handel Abstract In the simplest sequential decision problem for an ergodic stochastic pro- cess X, at each time n a decision un is made as a function of past observations X0,...,Xn 1, and a loss l(un,Xn) is incurred. In this setting, it is known that one may choose− (under a mild integrability assumption) a decision strategy whose path- wise time-average loss is asymptotically smaller than that of any other strategy. The corresponding problem in the case of partial information proves to be much more delicate, however: if the process X is not observable, but decisions must be based on the observation of a different process Y, the existence of pathwise optimal strategies is not guaranteed. The aim of this paper is to exhibit connections between pathwise optimal strategies and notions from ergodic theory. The sequential decision problem is developed in the general setting of an ergodic dynamical system (Ω,B,P,T) with partial information Y B. The existence of pathwise optimal strategies grounded in ⊆ two basic properties: the conditional ergodic theory of the dynamical system, and the complexity of the loss function. When the loss function is not too complex, a gen- eral sufficient condition for the existence of pathwise optimal strategies is that the dynamical system is a conditional K-automorphism relative to the past observations n n 0 T Y. If the conditional ergodicity assumption is strengthened, the complexity assumption≥ can be weakened. Several examples demonstrate the interplay between complexity and ergodicity, which does not arise in the case of full information. -
On the Continuing Relevance of Mandelbrot's Non-Ergodic Fractional Renewal Models of 1963 to 1967
Nicholas W. Watkins On the continuing relevance of Mandelbrot's non-ergodic fractional renewal models of 1963 to 1967 Article (Published version) (Refereed) Original citation: Watkins, Nicholas W. (2017) On the continuing relevance of Mandelbrot's non-ergodic fractional renewal models of 1963 to 1967.European Physical Journal B, 90 (241). ISSN 1434-6028 DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2017-80357-3 Reuse of this item is permitted through licensing under the Creative Commons: © 2017 The Author CC BY 4.0 This version available at: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/84858/ Available in LSE Research Online: February 2018 LSE has developed LSE Research Online so that users may access research output of the School. Copyright © and Moral Rights for the papers on this site are retained by the individual authors and/or other copyright owners. You may freely distribute the URL (http://eprints.lse.ac.uk) of the LSE Research Online website. Eur. Phys. J. B (2017) 90: 241 DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2017-80357-3 THE EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B Regular Article On the continuing relevance of Mandelbrot's non-ergodic fractional renewal models of 1963 to 1967? Nicholas W. Watkins1,2,3 ,a 1 Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK 2 Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK 3 Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics, Open University, Milton Keynes, UK Received 20 June 2017 / Received in final form 25 September 2017 Published online 11 December 2017 c The Author(s) 2017. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com Abstract. -
Ergodicity and Metric Transitivity
Chapter 25 Ergodicity and Metric Transitivity Section 25.1 explains the ideas of ergodicity (roughly, there is only one invariant set of positive measure) and metric transivity (roughly, the system has a positive probability of going from any- where to anywhere), and why they are (almost) the same. Section 25.2 gives some examples of ergodic systems. Section 25.3 deduces some consequences of ergodicity, most im- portantly that time averages have deterministic limits ( 25.3.1), and an asymptotic approach to independence between even§ts at widely separated times ( 25.3.2), admittedly in a very weak sense. § 25.1 Metric Transitivity Definition 341 (Ergodic Systems, Processes, Measures and Transfor- mations) A dynamical system Ξ, , µ, T is ergodic, or an ergodic system or an ergodic process when µ(C) = 0 orXµ(C) = 1 for every T -invariant set C. µ is called a T -ergodic measure, and T is called a µ-ergodic transformation, or just an ergodic measure and ergodic transformation, respectively. Remark: Most authorities require a µ-ergodic transformation to also be measure-preserving for µ. But (Corollary 54) measure-preserving transforma- tions are necessarily stationary, and we want to minimize our stationarity as- sumptions. So what most books call “ergodic”, we have to qualify as “stationary and ergodic”. (Conversely, when other people talk about processes being “sta- tionary and ergodic”, they mean “stationary with only one ergodic component”; but of that, more later. Definition 342 (Metric Transitivity) A dynamical system is metrically tran- sitive, metrically indecomposable, or irreducible when, for any two sets A, B n ∈ , if µ(A), µ(B) > 0, there exists an n such that µ(T − A B) > 0. -
Bolles E.B. Einstein Defiant.. Genius Versus Genius in the Quantum
Selected other titles by Edmund Blair Bolles The Ice Finders: How a Poet, a Professor, and a Politician Discovered the Ice Age A Second Way of Knowing: The Riddle of Human Perception Remembering and Forgetting: Inquiries into the Nature of Memory So Much to Say: How to Help Your Child Learn Galileo’s Commandment: An Anthology of Great Science Writing (editor) Edmund Blair Bolles Joseph Henry Press Washington, DC Joseph Henry Press • 500 Fifth Street, NW • Washington, DC 20001 The Joseph Henry Press, an imprint of the National Academies Press, was created with the goal of making books on science, technology, and health more widely available to professionals and the public. Joseph Henry was one of the founders of the National Academy of Sciences and a leader in early American science. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this volume are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Academy of Sciences or its affiliated institutions. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Bolles, Edmund Blair, 1942- Einstein defiant : genius versus genius in the quantum revolution / by Edmund Blair Bolles. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-309-08998-0 (hbk.) 1. Quantum theory—History—20th century. 2. Physics—Europe—History— 20th century. 3. Einstein, Albert, 1879-1955. 4. Bohr, Niels Henrik David, 1885-1962. I. Title. QC173.98.B65 2004 530.12′09—dc22 2003023735 Copyright 2004 by Edmund Blair Bolles. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. To Kelso Walker and the rest of the crew, volunteers all. -
Chao-Dyn/9402001 7 Feb 94
chao-dyn/9402001 7 Feb 94 DESY ISSN Quantum Chaos January Einsteins Problem of The study of quantum chaos in complex systems constitutes a very fascinating and active branch of presentday physics chemistry and mathematics It is not wellknown however that this eld of research was initiated by a question rst p osed by Einstein during a talk delivered in Berlin on May concerning Quantum Chaos the relation b etween classical and quantum mechanics of strongly chaotic systems This seems historically almost imp ossible since quantum mechanics was not yet invented and the phenomenon of chaos was hardly acknowledged by physicists in While we are celebrating the seventyfth anniversary of our alma mater the Frank Steiner Hamburgische Universitat which was inaugurated on May it is interesting to have a lo ok up on the situation in physics in those days Most I I Institut f urTheoretische Physik UniversitatHamburg physicists will probably characterize that time as the age of the old quantum Lurup er Chaussee D Hamburg Germany theory which started with Planck in and was dominated then by Bohrs ingenious but paradoxical mo del of the atom and the BohrSommerfeld quanti zation rules for simple quantum systems Some will asso ciate those years with Einsteins greatest contribution the creation of general relativity culminating in the generally covariant form of the eld equations of gravitation which were found by Einstein in the year and indep endently by the mathematician Hilb ert at the same time In his talk in May Einstein studied the -
Table of Contents (Print, Part 2)
PERIODICALS PHYSICAL REVIEW E Postmaster send address changes to: For editorial and subscription correspondence, APS Subscription Services please see inside front cover Suite 1NO1 „ISSN: 1539-3755… 2 Huntington Quadrangle Melville, NY 11747-4502 THIRD SERIES, VOLUME 75, NUMBER 6 CONTENTS JUNE 2007 PART 2: STATISTICAL AND NONLINEAR PHYSICS, FLUID DYNAMICS, AND RELATED TOPICS RAPID COMMUNICATIONS Chaos and pattern formation Giant acceleration in slow-fast space-periodic Hamiltonian systems (4 pages) ........................... 065201͑R͒ D. V. Makarov and M. Yu. Uleysky Controlling spatiotemporal chaos using multiple delays (4 pages) ..................................... 065202͑R͒ Alexander Ahlborn and Ulrich Parlitz Signatures of fractal clustering of aerosols advected under gravity (4 pages) ............................ 065203͑R͒ Rafael D. Vilela, Tamás Tél, Alessandro P. S. de Moura, and Celso Grebogi Fluid dynamics Clustering of matter in waves and currents (4 pages) ............................................... 065301͑R͒ Marija Vucelja, Gregory Falkovich, and Itzhak Fouxon Experimental study of the bursting of inviscid bubbles (4 pages) ..................................... 065302͑R͒ Frank Müller, Ulrike Kornek, and Ralf Stannarius Surface thermal capacity and its effects on the boundary conditions at fluid-fluid interfaces (4 pages) ....... 065303͑R͒ Kausik S. Das and C. A. Ward Plasma physics Direct evidence of strongly inhomogeneous energy deposition in target heating with laser-produced ion beams (4 pages) .................................................................................. -
Data Based Identification and Prediction of Nonlinear and Complex Dynamical Systems
Data Based Identification and Prediction of Nonlinear and Complex Dynamical Systems Wen-Xu Wanga;b, Ying-Cheng Laic;d;e, and Celso Grebogie a School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China b Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China c School of Electrical, Computer and Energy Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA d Department of Physics, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona 85287, USA e Institute for Complex Systems and Mathematical Biology, King’s College, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3UE, UK Wen-Xu Wang, Ying-Cheng Lai, and Celso Grebogi 1 Abstract The problem of reconstructing nonlinear and complex dynamical systems from measured data or time series is central to many scientific disciplines including physical, biological, computer, and social sciences, as well as engineering and economics. The classic approach to phase-space re- construction through the methodology of delay-coordinate embedding has been practiced for more than three decades, but the paradigm is effective mostly for low-dimensional dynamical systems. Often, the methodology yields only a topological correspondence of the original system. There are situations in various fields of science and engineering where the systems of interest are complex and high dimensional with many interacting components. A complex system typically exhibits a rich variety of collective dynamics, and it is of great interest to be able to detect, classify, under- stand, predict, and control the dynamics using data that are becoming increasingly accessible due to the advances of modern information technology. To accomplish these tasks, especially prediction and control, an accurate reconstruction of the original system is required. -
Dynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory
MATH36206 - MATHM6206 Dynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory Teaching Block 1, 2017/18 Lecturer: Prof. Alexander Gorodnik PART III: LECTURES 16{30 course web site: people.maths.bris.ac.uk/∼mazag/ds17/ Copyright c University of Bristol 2010 & 2016. This material is copyright of the University. It is provided exclusively for educational purposes at the University and is to be downloaded or copied for your private study only. Chapter 3 Ergodic Theory In this last part of our course we will introduce the main ideas and concepts in ergodic theory. Ergodic theory is a branch of dynamical systems which has strict connections with analysis and probability theory. The discrete dynamical systems f : X X studied in topological dynamics were continuous maps f on metric spaces X (or more in general, topological→ spaces). In ergodic theory, f : X X will be a measure-preserving map on a measure space X (we will see the corresponding definitions below).→ While the focus in topological dynamics was to understand the qualitative behavior (for example, periodicity or density) of all orbits, in ergodic theory we will not study all orbits, but only typical1 orbits, but will investigate more quantitative dynamical properties, as frequencies of visits, equidistribution and mixing. An example of a basic question studied in ergodic theory is the following. Let A X be a subset of O+ ⊂ the space X. Consider the visits of an orbit f (x) to the set A. If we consider a finite orbit segment x, f(x),...,f n−1(x) , the number of visits to A up to time n is given by { } Card 0 k n 1, f k(x) A . -
Exploiting Ergodicity in Forecasts of Corporate Profitability
Exploiting ergodicity in forecasts of corporate profitability Philipp Mundt, Simone Alfarano and Mishael Milakovic Working Paper No. 147 March 2019 b B A M BAMBERG E CONOMIC RESEARCH GROUP 0 k* k BERG Working Paper Series Bamberg Economic Research Group Bamberg University Feldkirchenstraße 21 D-96052 Bamberg Telefax: (0951) 863 5547 Telephone: (0951) 863 2687 [email protected] http://www.uni-bamberg.de/vwl/forschung/berg/ ISBN 978-3-943153-68-2 Redaktion: Dr. Felix Stübben [email protected] Exploiting ergodicity in forecasts of corporate profitability∗ Philipp Mundty Simone Alfaranoz Mishael Milaković§ Abstract Theory suggests that competition tends to equalize profit rates through the pro- cess of capital reallocation, and numerous studies have confirmed that profit rates are indeed persistent and mean-reverting. Recent empirical evidence further shows that fluctuations in the profitability of surviving corporations are well approximated by a stationary Laplace distribution. Here we show that a parsimonious diffusion process of corporate profitability that accounts for all three features of the data achieves better out-of-sample forecasting performance across different time horizons than previously suggested time series and panel data models. As a consequence of replicating the empirical distribution of profit rate fluctuations, the model prescribes a particular strength or speed for the mean-reversion of all profit rates, which leads to superior forecasts of individual time series when we exploit information from the cross-sectional collection of firms. The new model should appeal to managers, an- alysts, investors and other groups of corporate stakeholders who are interested in accurate forecasts of profitability. -
STABLE ERGODICITY 1. Introduction a Dynamical System Is Ergodic If It
BULLETIN (New Series) OF THE AMERICAN MATHEMATICAL SOCIETY Volume 41, Number 1, Pages 1{41 S 0273-0979(03)00998-4 Article electronically published on November 4, 2003 STABLE ERGODICITY CHARLES PUGH, MICHAEL SHUB, AND AN APPENDIX BY ALEXANDER STARKOV 1. Introduction A dynamical system is ergodic if it preserves a measure and each measurable invariant set is a zero set or the complement of a zero set. No measurable invariant set has intermediate measure. See also Section 6. The classic real world example of ergodicity is how gas particles mix. At time zero, chambers of oxygen and nitrogen are separated by a wall. When the wall is removed, the gasses mix thoroughly as time tends to infinity. In contrast think of the rotation of a sphere. All points move along latitudes, and ergodicity fails due to existence of invariant equatorial bands. Ergodicity is stable if it persists under perturbation of the dynamical system. In this paper we ask: \How common are ergodicity and stable ergodicity?" and we propose an answer along the lines of the Boltzmann hypothesis { \very." There are two competing forces that govern ergodicity { hyperbolicity and the Kolmogorov-Arnold-Moser (KAM) phenomenon. The former promotes ergodicity and the latter impedes it. One of the striking applications of KAM theory and its more recent variants is the existence of open sets of volume preserving dynamical systems, each of which possesses a positive measure set of invariant tori and hence fails to be ergodic. Stable ergodicity fails dramatically for these systems. But does the lack of ergodicity persist if the system is weakly coupled to another? That is, what happens if you have a KAM system or one of its perturbations that refuses to be ergodic, due to these positive measure sets of invariant tori, but somewhere in the universe there is a hyperbolic or partially hyperbolic system weakly coupled to it? Does the lack of egrodicity persist? The answer is \no," at least under reasonable conditions on the hyperbolic factor. -
Strange Attractors That Are Not Chaotic
Physica 13D (1984) 261-268 North-Holland, Amsterdam STRANGE ATTRACTORS THAT ARE NOT CHAOTIC Celso GREBOGI, a Edward OTT, ~b Steven PELIKAN, c and James A. YORKE d Received 7. February 1984 It is shown that in certain types of dynamical systems it is possible to have attractors which are strange but not chaotic. Here we use the word strange to refer to the geometry or shape of the attracting set, while the word chaotic refers to the dynamics of orbits on the attractor (in particular, the exponential divergence of nearby trajectories). We first give examples for which it can be demonstrated that there is a strange nonchaotic attractor. These examples apply to a class of maps which model nonlinear oscillators (continuous time) which are externally driven at two incommensurate frequencies. It is then shown that such attractors are persistent under perturbations which preserve the original system type (i.e., there are two incommensurate external driving frequencies). This suggests that, for systems of the type which we have considered, nonchaotic strange attractors may be expected to occur for a finite interval of parameter values. On the other hand, when small perturbations which do not preserve the system type are numerically introduced the strange nonchaotic attractor is observed to be converted to a periodic or chaotic orbit. Thus we conjecture that, in general, continuous time systems (" flows") which are not externally driven at two incommensurate frequencies should not be expected to have strange nonchaotic attractors except possibly on a set of measure zero in the parameter space. 1. Introduction and definitions ties [1] such as noninteger fractal dimension, Cantor set structure, or nowhere differentiability.