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2016 VI FB3 Newsletter.Indd Volume 31, Issue 3 September 8-12, 2016 Marc’s NFL Opening Week Play of the Year Goes Sunday! LATE PHONES FIRE OUT WITH 3-0 SWEEP! Panthers-Broncos Rematch Kicks Off 2016 NFL! • ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article NEWTON Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends VS • • Incredible Stat of the Week MILLER • Analysis on Every Lined Game THE REMATCH • Best Bets and Key Plays • Full Schedule with Opening Lines GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein. VegasInsider.com Marc Lawrence's BETCHA GLORY DAYS DIDN'T KNOW A Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping “Just sitting back is a common personality trait or more points in this role and it trying to recapture that runs through each and every suddenly turns to ‘gory days’ for a little of the glory of, member of the team: fame and those backing defending champs well time slips away recognition. as they become a 15-42 ATS losing proposition. And bring an and leaves you with nothing Unfortunately, it comes with a opponent in that won 6 or more mister but boring stories heavy price to pay. Aside from games the previous year and they of glory days.” being the number-one game on fall to 6-21 ATS. each opponent’s schedule the f you’re headed to your favorite next season, these same teams are For what it’s worth, over the last watering hole, here’s a bar bet priced accordingly. four years these defending champs you’ll likely win every time. Of – namely Alabama and Ohio State I Bring them in off a people-pleasing course, you’ll need to take along – have managed to outscore their SUATS win in their previous game a designated driver – odds are non-conference opposition 158-10 and watch them succumb to the you won’t pass a sobriety test by in the four games they’ve qualifi ed added weight applied by the evening’s end. in under the parameters outline linesmakers as they are a 40.9% above. Yet somehow they went 0-4 The Question: Who are the two losing proposition since 1980, ATS, which is largely attributable to college football schools with going 84-121-4 ATS. the most Division I FBS national the heavy load they carry. Worse, if you were to – championships in recorded history? So when Alabama plays host to Western Kentucky this Saturday The Answer: Not Alabama (15), not PLAY AGAINST last year’s Michigan, Notre Dame or USC (11), off the Tide’s devastating rout of college football national USC last week, you’ll likely hear the and not Ohio State or Oklahoma champion off a SUATS win Boss (Bruce Springsteen) wailing (7). If you said Princeton (28) and if they are facing a non- in the background: Yale (27) then I owe you a cold conference opponent one. “ I hope when I get old I don’t Granted, they all occurred between – you would have cleaned up. Talk sit around thinking about it but 1869 and 1950 but the facts are about teams living on name and I probably will. Glory days well the facts. reputation; these teams are just they pass you by…” 24-52 ATS in this role since 1980. When it comes to laying claim to being college football’s best, there Dress them up as favorites of 6 AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK PLAY ON any NFL team in a TWO FOR TRIVIATRIVIA TEASERTEASER season-opening division game if they are playing with double revenge-exact THE MONEY from two losses suffered last year, THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY provided they won 5 or more games ATS W-L Record last season and are facing a foe that This head coach shines in conference play, especially won 10 or fewer games last season. Since 2002: when playing off a spread loss, going 10-3 SUATS in his Play ON: 12-0 career, including 10-1 SUATS the last eleven games. He is 9 11 also a sovereign 16-3-2 ATS in conference games when ATLANTA FALCONS (Sun, / ) (100%) his team wins SU. Who is this week’s conference king? For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 7 page 2 • www.VegasInsider.com FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME 2-MINUTE ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up College Football Games NFL Games All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher. TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS Saturday, September 10 Thursday, September 8 Arkansas SERIES: 3-1 L4… 5-1 non-conf RD’s 14 < pts… 4-1 vs Big 12 Carolina 8-1 w/ DBL rev… 4-1 RF’s 3 < pts… 6-2 vs AFC West TCU 4-1 Game Two home… 2-6 non-conf HF’s < 10 pts DENVER 7-1 Thursdays… 4-1 HD’s… 0-5 vs 15-win > LY foe C Florida 1-6 dogs > 20 pts… 1-5 vs opp off SU win 20 > pts Sunday, September 11 MICHIGAN 1-5 in 2nd of BB HG’s… 3-12 off SU home win 21 > pts Tampa Bay 0-5 vs 8-win > LY foe… 1-5 dogs < 4 pts vs foe w/ rev C Michigan 1-6 dogs > 21 pts… 1-3 w/ non-conf revenge ATLANTA 6-0 H w/ DBL rev… 7-1 H w/ rev bef BB away OKLA ST 7-3 2nd of BB HG’s… 7-3 non conf HF’s > 21 pts Minnesota 7-0 vs AFC… 9-2 vs < 4-win LY foe… 1-10 Away One favs Tulsa 4-1 dogs 28 > pts… 3-1 aft San Jose St… 1-5 1st RG TENNESSEE 14-6 1st BB NFC foes… 2-10 vs 11-win > LY foe OHIO ST 0-5 favs 29 > pts… 1-4 Game Two… 1-3 2nd of BB HG’s Cleveland Series: 3-1 L4… 6-0 w/ quadruple rev… 5-1 A bef Baltimore Troy 3-1 Game Two… 6-2 dogs > 28 pts… 3-7 1st of BB RG’s PHILADELPHIA 1-6 Home One… 1-6 favs < 10 pts vs AFC North CLEMSON 3-1 non-conf favs 28 > pts… 1-4 Game Two favs Cincinnati 7-1 vs non-div foe bef div RG… 1-7 A vs AFC East Kentucky 1-6 away w/ conf revenge… 1-6 conf RD’s 15 < pts NY JETS 4-0 HD’s… 7-1 H w/ rev bef BB away… 5-1 bef Buffalo FLORIDA SERIES: 8-1 L9… 4-1 2nd of 3+ HG’s… 0-3 Game Two Oakland Series: 1-7 L8 / 1-3 L4 A… 6-1 w/ Triple rev… 4-1 Away One W Kentucky 6-1 dogs 24 > pts… 5-2 vs SEC… 0-7 1st of BB RG’s NEW ORLEANS 4-1 H bef away… 4-1 vs AFC West foe w/ rev ALABAMA 0-8 non-conf favs 24 > pts… 3-7 bef Mississippi San Diego Series: 1-4 L5 / 3-1 L4 A… 4-0 w/ quadruple div rev Va Tech 0-3 bef Bost Coll… 1-5 vs SEC… 2-5 non-conf dog > 7 pts KANSAS CITY 5-0 vs foe w/ quadruple rev… 0-4 HF’s 7 > pts Tennessee 3-1 vs ACC… 1-5 non-conf HF’s > 3 pts… 3-8 Game Two Buffalo 1-6 A bef NY Jets… 1-4 A vs AFC North… 2-13 RD’s < 4 pts Byu 4-1 dogs w/ rev… 3-1 away vs Pac-12… 3-1 dogs 10 < pts BALTIMORE 5-1 Home One favs vs non-div… 13-3 HF’s < 4 pts vs non-div UTAH SERIES: 4-0 L4… 4-1 L5 as non-conf favs… 1-5 home vs rev Chicago Series: 3-0 L3… 4-0 vs AFC… 1-6 A w/ Triple rev HOUSTON 3-1 H vs NFC… 1-6 favs 1st BB home vs foe w/ rev SMART Green Bay 4-1 vs < 6-win LY foe… 2-7 vs AFC foe w/ rev BOX JACKSONVILLE 0-4 Home One… 1-12 vs NFC… 3-17 H w/ single rev Miami Series: 5-1 L6… 3-1 L4A… 8-0 Away One vs foe w/ rev BOWLER BLUES SEATTLE 12-1 Home One… 9-1 H w/ DBL rev… 9-2 HF’s vs AFC Ny Giants 4-1 Away One dogs vs div foe w/ rev… 1-4 dogs < 3 pts BOWLERS OFF SEASON-OPENING LOSSES STRUGGLE TO REGROUP IN GAME TWO DALLAS 4-1 vs div foe bef Washington… 2-10 H w/ single rev The knee-jerk reaction would be to make a case for teams in Game Two off a season-opening loss if they were a bowl team last year. But Detroit 0-4 Away One… 0-4 w/ quadruple rev… 1-4 vs AFC INDIANAPOLIS 4-1 bef Denver… 1-7 Game One… 1-4 Home One before you blow out an ACL, check this out: Bowlers (last year) off a loss in Game One of the season are just 135-147-4 ATS in Game Two lined affairs since 1990.
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