When the Periphery Became More Central: from Colonial Pact to Liberal Nationalism in Brazil and Mexico, 1800-1914 Steven Topik
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Brazilian Inflation and GDP from 1850 to 2000: an Empirical Investigation
Brazilian Inflation and GDP from 1850 to 2000: An Empirical Investigation Eurilton Araujo Ibmec Business School Alexandre Cunha Ibmec Business School RESUMO A possibilidade de que políticas de combate à inflação possuam efeitos negativos sobre a atividade econômica real e o crescimento é um assunto recorrente no Brasil. Neste traba- lho foram utilizados dados anuais para se estudar o comportamento da inflação e do PIB brasileiro de 1850 até 2000. Adotaram-se técnicas econométricas e da literatura de ciclos econômicos para se estudar o comportamento dessas duas variáveis nos domínios do tempo e da freqüência. Os resultados sugerem que as duas séries não são positivamente relacio- nadas. Assim sendo, a evidência empírica aparentemente indica que a opção de abrandar a política de combate à inflação com intuito de não prejudicar a atividade econômica real e o crescimento não está disponível para os condutores da política econômica brasileira. PALAVRAS-CHAVE inflação, crescimento, ciclos econômicos ABSTRACT The question of whether a policy that leads to low inflation can hamper real economic activity and growth is a recurrent one in Brazil. In this essay we used yearly data to study the behavior of Brazilian inflation and GDP from 1850 to 2000. We used econometric and business cycles techniques to study the behavior of these variables in time and frequency domains. The results suggest the absence of positive comovement between the series. Thus, the empirical evidence apparently implies that the option of easing up on inflation to avoid a slowdown in real economic activity and growth is not available to Brazilian policy makers. KEY WORDS inflation, growth, business cycles JEL Classification C32, E31, E32 EST. -
COVID-19 and Economic Policy Toward the New Normal: a Monetary-Fiscal Nexus After the Crisis?
IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS Requested by the ECON committee Monetar y Dialogue Papers, November 2020 COVID-19 and Economic Policy Toward the New Normal: A Monetary-Fiscal Nexus after the Crisis? Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies Directorate-General for Internal Policies Author: Thomas MARMEFELT EN PE 658.193 - November 2020 COVID-19 and Economic Policy Toward the New Normal: A Monetary-Fiscal Nexus after the Crisis? Monetary Dialogue Papers, November 2020 Abstract Current developments during the COVID-19 pandemic involve strongly complementary monetary and fiscal policy, but both as responses to COVID-19 and not the outcome of an emergent monetary-fiscal nexus. Therefore, the ECB maintains its independence by using unconventional monetary policy measures to reach price stability, according to its mandate. This document was provided by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies at the request of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the Monetary Dialogue with the ECB President on 19 November 2020. This document was requested by the European Parliament's committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON). AUTHOR Thomas MARMEFELT, CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research (Warsaw, Poland) and University of Södertörn (Huddinge, Sweden) ADMINISTRATOR RESPONSIBLE Drazen RAKIC EDITORIAL ASSISTANT Janetta CUJKOVA LINGUISTIC VERSIONS Original: EN ABOUT THE EDITOR Policy departments provide in-house and external expertise to support European Parliament committees -
The Need for Monetary Reform
AMERICAN MONETARY INSTITUTE PO BOX 601, VALATIE, NY 12184 Tel. 518-392-5387, email [email protected] http://www.monetary.org Dedicated to the independent study of monetary history, theory, and reform “Over time, whoever controls the money system controls the society.” Stephen Zarlenga, Director The Need for Monetary Reform Monetary reform is the crucial missing element needed to move humanity away from a future dominated by fraud, warfare, and ugliness toward a world of justice, sustainability and beauty. The power to create money is an awesome power - at times stronger than the Executive, Legislative and Judicial powers combined. It’s the nation’s “magic checkbook,” where checks can’t bounce. When controlled privately it can be used to gain riches. More importantly, it determines the direction of society by controlling where the money goes – what gets funded and what does not. Will it be used to build and repair vital infrastructure - as Levees to protect major cities? Or will it go into real estate speculation, creating the real estate bubble? Will it fund sustainable industries with good jobs or go into Wall Street fueling stock market bubbles? Will it be channeled into warfare, leaving a trail of death, destruction and inflation? Thus the money issuing power should never be alienated from democratically elected government and placed ambiguously into private hands as it is in America in the Federal Reserve System today. In fact, the bulk of our money supply isn’t created by our government, but by private banks when they make loans. Through the Fed’s fractional reserve process what we use for money is issued as interest-bearing debt. -
The Principles of Budgetary Governance Public Governance
@OECDgov PUBLIC GOVERNANCE AND TERRITORIAL DEVELOPMENT OECD, Paris www.oecd.org/gov DRAFT RECOMMENDATION OF THE OECD COUNCIL ON THE PRINCIPLES OF OECD Paris BUDGETARY GOVERNANCE 2, rue André-Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16 Tel.: +33 (0) 1 45 24 82 00 OECD PRINCIPLES OF BUDGETARY GOVERNANCE OECD Senior Budget Officials July 2014 Introductory note The objective of these Principles is to draw together the lessons of a decade and more of work by the OECD Working Party of Senior Budget Officials (SBO) and its associated Networks, along with the contributions and insights from other areas of the OECD and of the international budgeting community more generally. The Principles provide a concise overview of good practices across the full spectrum of budget activity, taking account in particular of the lessons of the recent economic crisis, and aim to give practical guidance for designing, implementing and improving budget systems to meet the challenges of the future. The overall intention is to provide a useful reference tool for policy-makers and practitioners around the world, and help ensure that public resources are planned, managed and used effectively to make a positive impact on citizens’ lives. For further information, please visit: http://www.oecd.org/governance/budgeting/ OECD PRINCIPLES OF BUDGETARY GOVERNANCE Introduction: The fundamental national role of the budget and the budgeting process The budget is a central policy document of government, showing how it will prioritise and achieve its annual and multi-annual objectives. Apart from financing new and existing programmes, the budget is the primary instrument for implementing fiscal policy, and thereby influencing the economy as a whole. -
Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics After World War I
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO WORKING PAPER SERIES Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I Jose A. Lopez Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Kris James Mitchener Santa Clara University CAGE, CEPR, CES-ifo & NBER June 2018 Working Paper 2018-06 https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/working-papers/2018/06/ Suggested citation: Lopez, Jose A., Kris James Mitchener. 2018. “Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2018-06. https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2018-06 The views in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Uncertainty and Hyperinflation: European Inflation Dynamics after World War I Jose A. Lopez Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Kris James Mitchener Santa Clara University CAGE, CEPR, CES-ifo & NBER* May 9, 2018 ABSTRACT. Fiscal deficits, elevated debt-to-GDP ratios, and high inflation rates suggest hyperinflation could have potentially emerged in many European countries after World War I. We demonstrate that economic policy uncertainty was instrumental in pushing a subset of European countries into hyperinflation shortly after the end of the war. Germany, Austria, Poland, and Hungary (GAPH) suffered from frequent uncertainty shocks – and correspondingly high levels of uncertainty – caused by protracted political negotiations over reparations payments, the apportionment of the Austro-Hungarian debt, and border disputes. In contrast, other European countries exhibited lower levels of measured uncertainty between 1919 and 1925, allowing them more capacity with which to implement credible commitments to their fiscal and monetary policies. -
Recession of 1797?
SAE./No.48/February 2016 Studies in Applied Economics WHAT CAUSED THE RECESSION OF 1797? Nicholas A. Curott and Tyler A. Watts Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and Study of Business Enterprise What Caused the Recession of 1797? By Nicholas A. Curott and Tyler A. Watts Copyright 2015 by Nicholas A. Curott and Tyler A. Watts About the Series The Studies in Applied Economics series is under the general direction of Prof. Steve H. Hanke, co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and Study of Business Enterprise ([email protected]). About the Authors Nicholas A. Curott ([email protected]) is Assistant Professor of Economics at Ball State University in Muncie, Indiana. Tyler A. Watts is Professor of Economics at East Texas Baptist University in Marshall, Texas. Abstract This paper presents a monetary explanation for the U.S. recession of 1797. Credit expansion initiated by the Bank of the United States in the early 1790s unleashed a bout of inflation and low real interest rates, which spurred a speculative investment bubble in real estate and capital intensive manufacturing and infrastructure projects. A correction occurred as domestic inflation created a disparity in international prices that led to a reduction in net exports. Specie flowed out of the country, prices began to fall, and real interest rates spiked. In the ensuing credit crunch, businesses reliant upon rolling over short term debt were rendered unsustainable. The general economic downturn, which ensued throughout 1797 and 1798, involved declines in the price level and nominal GDP, the bursting of the real estate bubble, and a cluster of personal bankruptcies and business failures. -
FY2022 Proposed Budget Fiscal Policy and Position Control
FY2022 Annual Budget Fiscal and Budgetary Policy Adopted: September 28, 2021 I. PURPOSE The City of Georgetown is committed to financial management through integrity, prudent stewardship, planning, accountability, transparency and communication. The broad purpose of the Fiscal and Budgetary Policies is to enable the City and its related component units, including the Georgetown Transportation Enhancement Corporation (GTEC) and the Georgetown Economic Development Corporation (GEDCO), to achieve and maintain a long-term stable and positive financial condition, and provide guidelines for the day-to-day planning and operations of the City’s financial affairs. Policy scope generally spans areas of accounting, operational and capital budgeting, revenue and expenditure management, financial reporting, internal controls, investment and asset management, debt management and forecasting. This is done in order to: A. Demonstrate to the residents of Georgetown, the investment community, and the bond rating agencies that the City is committed to a strong fiscal operation; B. Provide precedents for future policy-makers and financial managers on common financial goals and strategies; C. Fairly present and fully disclose the financial position of the City in conformity to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP); and D. Demonstrate compliance with finance-related legal and contractual issues in accordance with the Texas Local Government Code and other legal mandates. These policies will be reviewed and updated annually as part of the budget preparation process. II. FUND STRUCTURE AND BASIS OF BUDGETING The budgeted funds for the City of Georgetown include: Governmental Funds: General Fund which accounts for all financial resources except those required to be accounted for in another fund, and include basic governmental services, such as Street Maintenance, Planning and Development, Police, Fire, Parks, as well as Solid Waste Management. -
The Political Economy of Trade Policy in Brazil
THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF TRADE POLICY IN BRAZIL THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF TRADE POLICY IN BRAZIL Federal Government of Brazil Ministry of Economy Minister Paulo Guedes A public foundation affiliated to the Ministry of Economy, Ipea provides technical and institutional support to government actions – enabling the formulation of numerous public policies and programs for Brazilian development – and makes research and studies conducted by its staff available to society. President Carlos von Doellinger Director of Institutional Development Manoel Rodrigues dos Santos Junior Director of Studies and Policies of the State, Institutions and Democracy Alexandre de Ávila Gomide Director of Macroeconomic Studies and Policies José Ronaldo de Castro Souza Júnior Director of Regional, Urban and Environmental Studies and Policies Aristides Monteiro Neto Director of Sectoral Studies and Policies of Innovation and Infrastructure André Tortato Rauen Director of Social Studies and Policies Lenita Maria Turchi Director of International Studies, Political and Economic Relations Ivan Tiago Machado Oliveira Head of Press and Communication Mylena Fiori Ombudsman: http://www.ipea.gov.br/Ouvidoria URL: http://www.ipea.gov.br THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF TRADE POLICY IN BRAZIL Brasilia, 2019 CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................................................................7 2 TRADE POLICY IN BRAZIL: MAIN FEATURES, RECENT EVOLUTION AND CURRENT POLICY AGENDA ............................................9 -
Brut FIX Specifications
Brut, LLC Title: Brut ECN Order API with the FIX Protocol. Synopsis: Brut ECN API for the complete handling of orders with the Brut system from an external source. Status: Release 1.29g Date: June 2005 File Name: Brut-fix-standard.doc Version: Release 1.29g Personal And Confidential - Brut's Order API Copyright 2005, The Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc. All rights resewed. Brut is a facility of The Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc. CONTENTS: I. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Order Entry 1.2. Order Cancel 1.3. Order CancelReplace 1.4. Order Brut Only 1.5. Order Through Brut 1.6. Order Cross 1.7. Order Hunter 1.8. Order Market 1.9. Order Discretion 1.10. Order Institutional Handling 1.11. Order Pegging 1.12. Order Directed Cross 1.13. Order Post-Only 1.14. Order Aggressive Cross 1.15. Order Super Aggressive Cross 2. REQUIREMENTS AND PROCEDURES 2.1. Version FIX 4.0 2.2. Header Field 2.3. Session Protocol 3. FIELD AND HEADER DEFINITION 3.1. Field Definition 3.2. FIX Required Fields 3.3. Required Empty Fields 3.4. FIX Header Definition 3.5. Time In Force Definition 3.6. Liquidity Flag Definition 4. IN BOUND MESSAGES 4.1. New Order Single 4.2. Order CancelReplace Request 4.3. Order Cancel Request 5. OUT BOUND MESSAGES 5.1. Execution Report 5.2. Order Cancel Reject 5.3. Inbound Request Resulting with Outbound Messages Personal And Confidential - Brut's Order API Copyright 2005, The Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc. All rights reserved. Brut is a facility of The Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc. -
Structural Reforms and the Exchange Rate Regime: a Panel Analysis for the World Versus OECD Countries
IZA DP No. 1798 Structural Reforms and the Exchange Rate Regime: A Panel Analysis for the World versus OECD Countries Ansgar Belke Bernhard Herz Lukas Vogel DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES DISCUSSION PAPER October 2005 Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit Institute for the Study of Labor Structural Reforms and the Exchange Rate Regime: A Panel Analysis for the World versus OECD Countries Ansgar Belke University of Hohenheim and IZA Bonn Bernhard Herz University of Bayreuth Lukas Vogel University of Bayreuth Discussion Paper No. 1798 October 2005 IZA P.O. Box 7240 53072 Bonn Germany Phone: +49-228-3894-0 Fax: +49-228-3894-180 Email: [email protected] Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of the institute. Research disseminated by IZA may include views on policy, but the institute itself takes no institutional policy positions. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit company supported by Deutsche Post World Net. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its research networks, research support, and visitors and doctoral programs. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. -
Center for Institutional Reform and the Informal Sector
CENTER FOR INSTITUTIONAL REFORM AND THE INFORMAL SECTOR University of Maryland at College Park Center Office: IRIS Center, 2105 Morrill Hall, College Park, MD 20742 Telephone (301) 405-3110 l Fax (301) 405-3020 Financial Markets and Industrial Development: A Comparative Study of Government Regulation Financial Innovation, and Industrial Structure in Brazil and Mexico, 1840-1930 November 1994 Stephen Haber Working Paper No. 143 This publication was made possible through support provided by the U.S. Agency for International Development, under Cooperative Agreement No. DHR-0015-A-00-0031-00. The views and analyses in the paper do not necessarily reflect the official position of the IRIS Center or the U.S.A.I.D. Author: Stephen Haber, Department of History, Stanford University, Standford, CA. IRIS Summary Working Paper #143 Financial Markets and Industrial Development: A Comparative Study of Government Regulation, Financial Innovation and Industrial Structure in Brazil and Mexico 1840-1930. Stephen Haber Department of History Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305 This paper examines the experiences of Mexico and Brazil in the creation of modern banks and stock exchanges during the early stages of industrialization. It addresses three interrelated questions. First, what were the differences in the development of financial intermediaries in both countries. Second< what- were the consequences for the structure and rate of growth of industry of these differences in institutional development? Third, what were the sources of these differences in institutional development? Why did Brazil develop a modern stock and bond market during the 1890s and Mexico did not? In order to answer these questions, the pc3pe.K fucuses cl11 the history of textile mill finance in both countries. -
An SVAR Analysis of Stabilization Policies in Monetary Union
EUROPEAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS EUI Working Paper ECO No. 2004 /22 Monetary and Budgetary Policy Interaction: An SVAR Analysis of Stabilization Policies in Monetary Union PETER CLAEYS BADIA FIESOLANA, SAN DOMENICO (FI) All rights reserved. No part of this paper may be reproduced in any form Without permission of the author(s). ©2004 Peter Claeys Published in Italy in June 2004 European University Institute Badia Fiesolana I-50016 San Domenico (FI) Italy Monetary and budgetary policy interaction: an SVAR analysis of stabilisation policies in monetary union Peter Claeys∗ European University Institute† Janurary 31st , 2 004 Abstract This paper examines the interaction between monetary and budgetary policy. A comparison of the dynamic responses in different exchange rate regimes offers an assessment of the monetary union case. The analysis proceeds on an SVAR-common trends model. In its current specifica- tion, we can only infer responses to the budgetary policy shock. Its identification is obtained by imposing a (long term) solvency condition on government accounts, exploiting automatic stabilisation responses of government revenues, and the imposition of the Fisher relationship. Two main conclusions emerge. Budgetary policy shocks indirectly lead to monetary tightening. Such effects are significant in countries with flexible exchange rate regimes only. Second, policy regime shifts are important. 1INTRODUCTION With the creation of EMU, a new macroeconomic regime has been installed. The prime aim of the ECB is to maintain price stability and - only in a second line - to support general economic objectives. A multitude of national budgetary authorities is bound by the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). The rules of the Pact comprise the use of automatic stabilisers around structurally sound fiscal positions, close to balance or in surplus in the medium term.