THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

April 29, 2010

GOP CANDIDATES HOLD LEADS IN NH CONGRESSIONAL, SENATE RACES

By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. UNH Survey Center www.unh.edu/survey-center 603/862-2226

DURHAM, NH – Democratic candidates for US Senate and Congress face uphill battles in the 2010 mid-term elections. Former Attorney General Republican Kelly Ayotte has widened her lead over Second District Congressman Paul Hodes in the race for the US Senate from New Hampshire while other Republican challengers are essentially tied with Hodes. However, most voters are far from finally deciding who they will support. Congressperson Carol Shea-Porter trails all of her Republican challengers in New Hampshire’s First District while former Republican Congressman Charlie Bass and 2008 GOP candidate Jennifer Horn lead the top two Democrats in the Second Congressional District.

These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll ,∗ conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred (512) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by telephone between April 18 and April 28, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4 percent. Included was a subsample of 462 likely 2010 general election voters (margin of sampling error +/-4.6%), a subsample of 258 adults in the NH First Congressional District (margin of sampling error +/-6.1%), and a subsample of 254 Second Congressional District adults (margin of sampling error +/-6.1%).

2010 U.S. Senate Race

The New Hampshire Senate seat continues to be one of the most closely watched in the country. Both Republicans and Democrats see this seat as critical to control of the Senate. Second District Congressman Paul Hodes is giving up his seat in Congress to run for the Senate against four Republicans -- former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Manchester attorney and former gubernatorial candidate Ovide Lamontagne, and businessmen Bill Binnie and Jim Bender – and faces stiff challenges from each of these candidates.

However, the election is 6 months away and most voters have not yet decided on who they will support. Only 14% say they have definitely decided who they plan to vote for, 14% say they are leaning toward a candidate, and 72% say they have considered some candidates, but are still trying to decide who to support.

Favorability Ratings of Potential Senate Candidates

Republicans fortunes are improving in this race not because they have done much to raise their visibility to voters, but largely because New Hampshire residents are souring on Paul Hodes. Currently, only 30% of Granite Staters have a favorable opinion of Hodes, 31% have an unfavorable opinion, 10% are neutral, and 29% don’t know enough about him to say. Hodes’ net favorability rating, the percentage having a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an unfavorable opinion, is -1%, down from +5% in February and has been below +10% since June 2009.

“Hodes’ decline in favorability is reflected in how he does in trial heats versus his Republican challengers,” said Andrew Smith, Director of the UNH Survey Center. “He, like other New Hampshire Democrats, is declining in popularity and this is hurting him when he is matched with unknown Republicans, let alone well funded and popular candidates.”

∗ We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll , sponsored by WMUR-TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Favorability Ratings – Paul Hodes Statewide 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

5 7 0 04 0 6 07 0 9 1 ' '05 '05 '06 0 ' ' '08 0 ly . '04 . r. ' b r. '06 y . '07 . '08 r. '08 . r. '09 n. '09 . '10 r. ' p p ul p b ep u b p Apr. '04 Ju Se Jan A July '05Oct. Fe Ap July '06Sep. ' Feb. '07Apr. J Se Fe Ap July '08S Feb. ' Ap J Oct. '09Fe A

Favorable Unfavorable

Former New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte is better known than Hodes and better liked. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 38% of New Hampshire adults have a favorable opinion of Ayotte, 13% have an unfavorable opinion of her, 7% are neutral, and 41% don’t know enough about her to say. Ayotte’s net favorability is a solid +25%, but has declined from +37% as the race has progressed.

Favorability Ratings – Kelly Ayotte Statewide 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% June '09 Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Manchester attorney Ovide Lamontagne remains largely unknown across the state -- only 10% of New Hampshire adults have a favorable opinion of him, 12% have an unfavorable opinion, 8% are neutral, and 70% don’t know enough about him to say. Lamontagne’s net favorability rating is -2%, down from +3% in February.

Favorability Ratings – Ovide Lamontagne Statewide 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Jun. '09 Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Businessmen Bill Binnie was the first Republican candidate to air television ads to raise his visibility in the state and this strategy is paying dividends. Currently, 22% have a favorable opinion of Binnie, 11% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 8% are neutral, and 60% don’t know enough about him to say. Binnie’s net favorability is +11%, up from +6% in February.

Favorability Ratings – Bill Binnie 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Jim Bender, a Hollis businessman, is less well known than other Republicans. Only 5% saying they have a favorable opinion of Bender, 5% have an unfavorable opinion, 10% are neutral, and 80% don’t know enough about him to say. Bender’s net favorability rating is 0%, down from +5% in February.

Favorability Ratings – Jim Bender 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Senate Trial Heats

Ayotte continues to be the strongest Republican against Hodes and has widened her lead in the latest Granite State Poll. In a hypothetical matchup between Hodes and Ayotte, 47% of New Hampshire likely voters say they would vote for Ayotte, 32% would back Hodes, and 21% are undecided. Ayotte continues to do better than Hodes among her party, getting 79% of the Republican vote compared to Hodes getting 65% of the Democratic vote. Ayotte has also improved as she now holds a lead among political independents by 44% to 23%. In February, Hodes held a slight lead among independents31% to 29%.

NH Senate Race – Ayotte (R) vs. Hodes (D) 60% 47% 50% 41% 39% 40% 40%

30% 35% 33% 33% 32% 20%

10%

0% June '09 Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Ayotte Hodes

Manchester attorney Ovide Lamontagne has gained ground against Hodes in recent months and is now in a virtual tie – 37% of likely voters say they would vote for Lamontagne, 36% would vote for Hodes, and 26% are undecided.

NH Senate Race – Lamontagne (R) vs. Hodes (D) 60%

50%

37% 38% 40% 36%

37% 30% 28% 29% 20%

10%

0% Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Lamontagne Hodes

Businessman Bill Binnie has also improved his standing versus Hodes. Currently, 38% of likely voters say they will vote for Binnie, 36% prefer Hodes, and 26% are undecided. In February, Hodes held a 4 percentage point lead over Binnie.

NH Senate Race – Binnie (R) vs. Hodes (D) 60%

50%

36% 40% 34% 38% 30% 30% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Binnie Hodes

The only Republican that Hodes currently leads is Jim Bender, the least known among the GOP candidates. In a Hodes, Bender matchup, 37% of likely voters say they will vote for Hodes, 34% prefer Bender, and 29% are undecided. In February, Hodes held a 9 percentage point lead over Bender.

NH Senate Race – Bender (R) vs. Hodes (D) 60%

50%

37% 40% 36%

30% 34% 27% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Bender Hodes

1st Congressional District

In New Hampshire’s First Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter faces a difficult re-election as her favorability ratings in the District continue to decline. Currently, 37% of adults in New Hampshire’s 1st CD have a favorable opinion of her, 44% have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 19% are neutral or don’t know enough about her to say. Shea- Porter’s net favorability rating stands at -7% and stand at the lowest level since she was elected in 2006.

Favorability Ratings – Carol Shea-Porter NH 1 st District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% July Sep. Feb. Apr. July Sep. Feb. Apr. July Sep. Feb. Apr. June Oct. Feb. Apr. '06 '06 '07 '07 '07 '07 '08 '08 '08 '08 '09 '09 '09 '09 '10 '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Among Shea-Porter’s Republican challengers, former Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta is the best known. Currently, 22% of 1st CD adults have a favorable opinion of Guinta, 18% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 59% are either neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Guinta’s net favorability rating is +4% and has continued to decline from +22% a year ago.

Favorability Ratings – Frank Guinta NH 1 st District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Apr. '09 June '09 Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Other Republicans believe that Shea-Porter is vulnerable and are campaigning to take the seat. Rich Ashooh, an executive for BAE Systems in Nashua entered the race in February and had a successful fundraising quarter, but remains largely unknown to voters. In the most recent Granite State Poll, only 4% of 1 st CD adults say they have a favorable opinion of Ashooh, 2% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 94% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Ashooh’s net favorability rating is +2%.

Favorability Ratings – Rich Ashooh NH 1 st District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Newmarket businessman Bob Bestani is also largely unknown in the First District. Currently, only 2% of 1 st CD adults say they have a favorable opinion of Bestani, 3% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 94% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Bestani’s net favorability rating is -1%.

Favorability Ratings – Bob Bestani NH 1 st District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Portsmouth businessman Sean Mahoney recently entered the race and is also mostly unknown in the District – 6% have a favorable opinion of Mahoney, 7% have an unfavorable opinion, and 86% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Mahoney’s net favorability rating in the 1 st CD is -1%.

Favorability Ratings –Sean Mahoney NH 1 st District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Carol Shea-Porter faces an extremely difficult task in winning a third term in Congress. In hypothetical matchups between Shea-Porter and her Republican challengers, all four Republicans currently hold narrow leads over the incumbent, an ominous sign for her reelection chances. “Congressional races in which an incumbent seeks reelection are typically referenda on the incumbent,” said Smith. “Shea-Porter does not break 40% against any of her challengers, a signal that she faces an extremely difficult challenge to keep her seat.”

In a race between Shea-Porter and her best known challenger, Frank Guinta, 42% of likely 1 st CD voters say they would vote for Guinta, 38% would vote for Shea-Porter, 1% prefer some other candidate, and 19% are undecided. This race has narrowed since February as Guinta’s favorability ratings have dropped.

NH 1 st CD Race – Guinta (R) vs. Shea-Porter (D) 60%

50% 43% 42% 40% 38% 30% 33%

20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Guinta Shea-Porter

In a matchup with Rich Ashooh, 39% of likely 1 st CD voters say they would vote for Ashooh, 36% would vote for Shea- Porter, and 25% are undecided. The margin in this race is unchanged since February.

NH 1 st CD Race – Ashooh (R) vs. Shea-Porter (D) 60%

50% 39% 40% 36%

30% 36% 33%

20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Ashooh Shea-Porter

In a matchup with Bob Bestani, 38% of likely 1 st CD voters say they would vote for Bestani, 37% would vote for Shea-Porter, 1% prefer some other candidate, and 25% are undecided.

NH 1 st CD Race – Bestani (R) vs. Shea-Porter (D) 60%

50% 38% 40% 36%

37% 30% 32% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Bestani Shea-Porter

And in a matchup with Sean Mahoney, 40% of likely 1st CD voters say they would vote for Mahoney, 37% would vote for Shea-Porter, and 23% are undecided.

NH 1 st CD Race – Mahoney (R) vs. Shea-Porter (D) 60%

50% 39% 40% 40%

37% 30% 32% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Mahoney Shea-Porter

Congressional Favorability Ratings –NH 2 nd District

In New Hampshire’s Second Congressional District, Congressman Paul Hodes’ favorability ratings have declined since February. Currently, 35% of 2 nd CD adults have a favorable opinion of Hodes, 31% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 34% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Hodes’ net favorability stands at +4% in the Second District, down from +16% in February.

Favorability Ratings – Paul Hodes NH 2 nd District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 6 7 4 7 7 8 8 8 9 09 0 '04 '0 '05 '06 '0 '07 '0 '0 '0 '0 '09 '0 ' '09 '1 '10 r. . t. b . r. . t. . r. p ep c eb p ep eb. ep. eb. c eb p A July '04S Jan. '05Apr. '05July '05O Fe Apr. '06 July '0Sep. '06F A July '0S F Apr. July '08S F Apr. June O F A

Favorable Unfavorable

Former Congressman Charlie Bass, who held the 2 nd CD seat from 1994 until 2006 when he lost to Hodes, is running to regain the seat. Bass remains well known in the District, but his favorability ratings have declined since his entry into the race. Currently, 32% of 2 nd CD adults have a favorable opinion of Bass, 25% have an unfavorable of him, and 42% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Bass’ net favorability rating is +7% down significantly from +25% in February.

Favorability Ratings – Charlie Bass NH 2nd District

100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 8 2 02 05 6 0 9 0 02 ' 03 '03 '03 0 '07 '09 0 . ' . ' . ' t. y '04 y ' . ' y '07 y ' . '09 eb ne eb c ul ul ep. '06 ul pr. '08ul ne Oct. F'01 Apr Ju F Apr. JulyO '03 Feb. Apr.'04 '04J J Oct. '05Feb Apr'06 JulyS '06 Feb. Apr.'07 '07J Sep. Feb. A'08 J Sep. Feb.'08 Apr'09 Ju Oct. Feb.' Apr.'10 '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Journalist Jennifer Horn, who lost to Hodes in 2008, is running again in 2010. Horn remains largely unknown among adults in the 2nd CD -- 20% of 2nd CD adults have a favorable opinion of her, 15% have an unfavorable opinion, and 65% are neutral or don’t know enough to say. Horn’s net favorability is +5%, largely unchanged since February.

Favorability Ratings – Jennifer Horn NH 2nd District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Apr. '08 July '08 Sep. '08 Feb. '09 Apr. '09 June '09 Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Another Republican running is former State Representative Bob Guida. Guida remains unknown in the 2 nd CD with only 6% of 2 nd CD adults saying they have a favorable opinion of him, 7% have an unfavorable opinion, and 88% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say.

Favorability Ratings – Bob Guida NH 2nd District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

On the Democratic side, Katrina Swett, who challenged Bass in 2002, is viewed favorably by 13% of 2nd CD adults, 14% have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 73% are neutral or don’t know enough about her to say. Swett’s net favorability rating is -1%, down from +3%in February.

Favorability Ratings – Katrina Swett NH 2nd District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Oct, '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Concord attorney Ann McLane Kuster has been very successful fundraising for the 2 nd CD seat, but remains largely unknown to residents of the District. Currently, 8% of 2nd CD adults have a favorable opinion of Kuster, 4% have an unfavorable opinion of her, and 88% are either neutral or don’t know enough about her to say. Kuster’s net favorability rating is +4%.

Favorability Ratings – Ann McLane Kuster NH 2nd District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Oct. '09 Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Former State Representative John DeJoie is also running for the Democratic nomination in the 2 nd CD, and he is largely unknown to District residents as well. Currently, 4% of 2 nd CD adults have a favorable opinion of DeJoie, 3% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 93% are either neutral or don’t know enough about him to say.

Favorability Ratings – John DeJoie NH 2nd District 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Favorable Unfavorable

The top two Republicans and top two Democrats in name recognition and finances were matched in trial heats in the most recent Granite State poll. In a hypothetical race between Charlie Bass and Katrina Swett, a rematch of their 2002 race, Bass currently is favored by 44% of 2 nd CD likely voters, 27% prefer Swett, 1% prefer some other candidate, and 29% are undecided. Bass has widened his lead over Swett since February.

NH 2nd CD Race – Bass (R) vs. Swett (D) 60%

50% 44% 37% 40%

30% 30% 27% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Bass Swett

And in a hypothetical matchup between Bass and Ann McLane Kuster, Bass is favored by 42% of 2 nd CD likely voters, 30% prefer Kuster, 1% prefer some other candidate, and 27% are undecided.

NH 2nd CD Race – Bass (R) vs. Kuster (D) 60%

50% 42% 39% 40%

30% 30% 28% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Bass Kuster

When Jennifer Horn is matched against Kuster, Horn holds a very slim lead, 33% to 32%, and 35% are undecided.

NH 2nd CD Race – Horn (R) vs. Kuster (D) 60%

50%

40% 33% 28% 30% 32% 20% 25%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Horn Kuster

And in a matchup between Horn and Swett, Horn has reversed an earlier Swett lead. Horn now leads Swett by 35% to 31% with 34% undecided.

NH 2nd CD Race – Horn (R) vs. Swett (D) 60%

50%

40% 35%

30% 26% 30% 31% 20%

10%

0% Feb. '10 Apr. '10

Horn Swett

Favorability Ratings – Jeanne Shaheen

Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s popularity has not been impacted by events in Washington in recent months. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 47% of New Hampshire adults view her favorably, 39% view her unfavorably, and 14% are neutral or don’t know enough about her to say. Shaheen’s net favorability rating is +8% unchanged since February.

Shaheen is viewed very favorably by Democrats (net +70%), favorably by Independents (net +11%), but very unfavorably by Republicans (net –56%). These ratings are also unchanged since February.

Favorability Ratings – Jeanne Shaheen 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2 3 5 6 7 8 4 4 5 '0 7 '0 7 9 9 9 '01 '02 '0 '03 '0 '0 '0 '04 '0 '06 '06 '0 '06 '0 '0 '0 '08 '0 '0 '0 t. ly t. '03 . r. . t. '05 ly . . ly . . r. t. c eb. c p eb. c eb. p c O F Apr. J'02uneFeb. Apr.'03 Ju O Feb A JulySep '04 F Apr. '05JulyO Feb Apr. Ju Sep F Apr. '07JulySep Feb. Apr.'08 '08Ju Sep Feb A June O'09 Feb. Apr.'10 '10

Favorable Unfavorable

Favorability Ratings – Senator Judd Gregg

In his final year in office, Republican Senator Judd Gregg is still popular in the Granite State. Currently, 51% of New Hampshire residents have a favorable opinion of Gregg, 25% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 24% are neutral or don’t know enough about him to say. Gregg’s net favorability rating is +26%. Greg is viewed very favorably by Republicans (net +67%), favorably by Independents (net +34%), and somewhat unfavorably by Democrats (net -17%).

Favorability Ratings – Senator Judd Gregg 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

3 8 02 0 04 06 0 08 09 10 10 . ' ' ' . ' y ' ' . ' b. '02 b. eb b. '09 b. e une ' July '03 e July '04 July '05 F July '06 July '07 Jul e une ' e Oct. F'01 Apr. J'02 Feb. Apr'03 Oct. F'03 Apr. '04 Oct. Feb.'04 Apr.'05 '05 Oct. '05 Apr. '06 Sep. Feb.'06 Apr.'07 '07 Sep. Feb.'07 Apr'08 Sept. F'08 Apr. J'09 Oct. F'09 Apr

Favorable Unfavorable

These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred (512) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by telephone between April 18 and April 28, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4 percent. Included was a subsample of 462 likely 2010 general election voters (margin of sampling error +/-4.6%), a subsample of 258 adults in the NH First Congressional District (margin of sampling error +/-6.1%), and a subsample of 254 Second Congressional District adults (margin of sampling error +/-6.1%). The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response.

Favorability Rating – U.S. Representative Paul Hodes – Statewide “Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Congressman Paul Hodes?”

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 30% 10% 31% 29% (508) Feb. ‘10 32% 8% 27% 32% (497) Oct. ‘09 30% 7% 26% 37% (501) Jun. ‘09 32% 8% 23% 37% (557) Apr. ‘09 34% 8% 22% 35% (502) Feb. ‘09 36% 15% 13% 36% (619) Sep. ‘08 23% 10% 21% 47% (548) July ‘08 32% 12% 17% 40% (517) Apr. ‘08 30% 17% 19% 34% (498) Feb. ‘08 30% 18% 17% 34% (554) Sept. ‘07 27% 17% 16% 40% (506) July ‘07 26% 12% 17% 45% (507) Apr. ‘07 27% 17% 16% 41% (515) Feb. ‘07 24% 19% 14% 42% (535) Sept. ‘06 8% 17% 6% 70% (513) July ‘06 8% 8% 4% 81% (501) Apr. ‘06 8% 6% 3% 83% (505) Feb. ‘06 6% 10% 2% 82% (502) Oct. ‘05 6% 9% 5% 81% (510)

Favorability Rating –Kelly Ayotte “Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte?”

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 38% 7% 13% 41% (508) Feb. ‘10 38% 6% 12% 44% (497) Oct. ‘09 37% 6% 8% 49% (501) Jun. ‘09 45% 7% 8% 40% (556)

Favorability Rating –Ovide Lamontagne “Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Attorney Ovide Lamontagne?”

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 10% 8% 12% 70% (506) Feb. ‘10 12% 6% 9% 73% (482) Oct. ‘09 11% 7% 7% 75% (501) Jun. ‘09 10% 7% 6% 77% (557)

Favorability Rating – Jim Bender “Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Businessman Jim Bender?”

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 5% 10% 5% 80% (508) Feb. ‘10 6% 6% 2% 87% (497)

Favorability Rating – Bill Binnie “Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Businessman Bill Binnie?”

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 22% 8% 11% 60% (507) Feb. ‘10 10% 6% 4% 80% (498)

Firmness of NH Senate Vote “I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire Senate election in 2010 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”

Oct. ’09 Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Definitely Decided 6% 10% 14% Leaning Toward Someone 8% 11% 14% Still Trying to Decide 86% 78% 72% N= (458) (440) (456)

US Senate – Ayotte vs. Hodes "If the 2010 Senate election was being held today and the candidates were Kelly Ayotte the Republican and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, who would you vote for?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

Jun. ‘09 Oct. ’09 Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Ayotte 39% 40% 41% 47% Hodes 35% 33% 33% 32% Other 2% 2% 1% * Don’t know / undecided 24% 25% 25% 21% (N=) (497) (408) (440) (460)

US Senate – Lamontagne vs. Hodes “If the 2010 Senate Election was being held today and the candidates were Ovide Lamontagne, the Republican, and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Oct. ’09 Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Lamontagne 28% 29% 37% Hodes 37% 38% 36% Other 2% 2% * Don’t know / undecided 33% 30% 26% (N=) (408) (433) (462)

US Senate – Bender vs. Hodes “If the 2010 Senate Election was being held today and the candidates were Jim Bender, the Republican, and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Bender 27% 34% Hodes 36% 37% Other 2% * Don’t know / undecided 35% 29% (N=) (431) (462)

US Senate – Binnie vs. Hodes “If the 2010 Senate Election was being held today and the candidates were Bill Binnie, the Republican, and Paul Hodes, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Binnie 30% 38% Hodes 34% 36% Other 2% * Don’t know / undecided 33% 26% (N=) (434) (461)

Favorability Rating – U.S. Representative Carol Shea-Porter - NH 1 st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 37% 7% 44% 12% (257) Feb. ‘10 35% 7% 40% 19% (251) Oct. ‘09 42% 7% 31% 20% (248) Jun. ‘09 41% 8% 30% 21% (287) Apr. ‘09 38% 4% 35% 23% (260) Feb. ‘09 38% 10% 26% 27% (311) Sep. ‘08 44% 5% 31% 20% (251) July ‘08 35% 9% 32% 24% (235) Apr. ‘08 39% 12% 28% 21% (251) Feb. ‘08 43% 13% 17% 26% (267) Sept. ‘07 33% 17% 21% 29% (228) July ‘07 39% 15% 18% 28% (252) Apr. ‘07 42% 15% 20% 24% (251) Feb. ‘07 40% 17% 15% 28% (248) Sept. ‘06 16% 14% 5% 65% (266) July ‘06 7% 7% 0% 86% (256)

Favorability Rating – Rich Ashooh - NH 1 st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Businessman Rich Ashooh?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 4% 8% 2% 86% (256) Feb. ‘10 4% 6% 0% 90% (233)

Favorability Rating – Bob Bestani - NH 1 st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Businessman Bob Bestani?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 2% 6% 3% 88% (255) Feb. ‘10 1% 6% 2% 92% (251)

Favorability Rating – Frank Guinta - NH 1 st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 22% 7% 18% 52% (257) Feb. ‘10 23% 7% 14% 55% (251) Oct. ‘09 28% 9% 11% 52% (251) April ‘09 30% 12% 8% 51% (260)

Favorability Rating – Sean Mahoney - NH 1 st District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Businessman Sean Mahoney?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 6% 7% 7% 79% (256) Feb. ‘10 5% 7% 3% 85% (251) Oct. ‘09 6% 7% 2% 85% (251)

US House First Congressional District – Ashooh vs. Shea-Porter “And if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Rich Ashooh, the Republican, and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Ashooh 36% 39% Shea-Porter 33% 36% Other 3% * Don’t know / undecided 28% 25% (N=) (168) (227)

US House First Congressional District – Bestani vs. Shea-Porter “And if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Bob Bestani, the Republican, and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Bestani 36% 38% Shea-Porter 32% 37% Other 2% 1% Don’t know / undecided 30% 25% (N=) (167) (229)

US House First Congressional District – Guinta vs. Shea-Porter “Now, if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Frank Guinta, the Republican, and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Guinta 43% 42% Shea-Porter 33% 38% Other 2% 1% Don’t know / undecided 22% 19% (N=) (168) (225)

US House First Congressional District – Mahoney vs. Shea-Porter “And if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Sean Mahoney, the Republican, and Carol Shea-Porter, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Mahoney 39% 40% Shea-Porter 32% 37% Other 1% * Don’t know / undecided 28% 23% (N=) (166) (227)

Favorability Rating – U.S. Representative Paul Hodes - NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Congressman Paul Hodes.” (Respondents were asked about Concord Attorney Paul Hodes from April 2004 to September 2006.)

2nd C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 35% 7% 31% 27% (253) Feb. ‘10 40% 9% 24% 27% (246) Oct. ‘09 38% 6% 27% 29% (250) Jun. ‘09 42% 7% 23% 28% (265) Apr. ‘09 41% 9% 20% 30% (238) Feb. ‘09 46% 14% 13% 27% (308) Sep. ‘08 28% 10% 22% 40% (271) July ‘08 42% 11% 16% 31% (238) Apr. ‘08 38% 16% 18% 27% (247) Feb. ‘08 37% 18% 18% 27% (287) Sept. ‘07 35% 15% 16% 34% (278) July ‘07 34% 8% 21% 36% (254) Apr. ‘07 34% 13% 18% 36% (264) Feb. ‘07 28% 18% 14% 39% (286) Sept. ‘06 11% 17% 6% 66% (248) July ‘06 11% 9% 4% 77% (246) Apr. ‘06 10% 6% 4% 81% (235) Feb. ‘06 10% 11% 1% 78% (232) Oct. ‘05 7% 7% 4% 83% (230) July ‘04 8% 8% 2% 81% (238) Apr. ‘04 6% 7% 2% 86% (271)

Favorability Rating –Charlie Bass – NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former Congressman Charlie Bass?" (U.S. Representative prior to 2009.)

2nd C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 32% 9% 25% 33% (251) Feb. ‘10 44% 6% 19% 31% (241) Oct. ‘09 39% 10% 22% 28% (250)

Sept. ‘06 48% 12% 27% 13% (248) July ‘06 58% 10% 18% 13% (246) Apr. ‘06 49% 12% 20% 19% (233) Feb. ‘06 51% 18% 19% 13% (232) Oct. ‘05 49% 12% 25% 14% (226) July ‘05 50% 13% 20% 17% (232) July ‘04 55% 12% 14% 19% (238) Apr. ‘04 54% 12% 16% 17% (274) Feb. ‘04 45% 12% 23% 20% (265) Oct. ‘03 59% 10% 17% 14% (259) June ‘03 54% 14% 15% 17% (241) Apr. ‘03 49% 11% 13% 27% (238) Feb. ‘03 59% 7% 19% 16% (318) June ‘02 53% 15% 18% 15% (306) Apr. ‘02 52% 11% 18% 29% (333) Feb. ‘02 59% 9% 16% 27% (265) Oct. ‘01 56% 13% 15% 27% (353)

Favorability Rating – Bob Guida - NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former State Representative Bob Guida?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 6% 7% 7% 81% (250) Feb. ‘10 3% 3% 3% 90% (241)

Favorability Rating – Jennifer Horn - NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Journalist Jennifer Horn?”

2nd C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 20% 6% 15% 59% (252) Feb. ‘10 15% 7% 9% 68% (241) Oct. ‘09 15% 7% 10% 70% (250)

Sep. ‘08 16% 7% 12% 65% (271) July ‘08 9% 11% 4% 77% (238) Apr. ‘08 7% 14% 2% 77% (248)

Favorability Rating – John DeJoie - NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Former State Representative John DeJoie?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 4% 7% 3% 86% (250) Feb. ‘10 4% 2% 4% 91% (241)

Favorability Rating – Katrina Swett – NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Businesswoman Katrina Swett?" (U.S. Representative prior to 2009.)

2nd C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 13% 7% 14% 66% (252) Feb. ‘10 16% 5% 13% 67% (241) Oct. ‘09 12% 10% 17% 61% (251)

June ‘02 20% 7% 16% 56% (250)

Favorability Rating – Ann McLane Kuster - NH 2 nd District "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Attorney Ann McLane Kuster?”

1st C.D. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 8% 7% 4% 81% (250) Feb. ‘10 8% 2% 3% 87% (240) Oct. ‘09 6% 5% 2% 87% (252)

US House Second Congressional District – Bass vs. Kuster “Now, if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Charlie Bass, the Republican, and Ann McLane Kuster, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Bass 39% 42% Kuster 28% 30% Other 1% 1% Don’t know / undecided 32% 27% (N=) (174) (231)

US House Second Congressional District – Bass vs. Swett “And if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Charlie Bass, the Republican, and Katrina Swett, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Bass 37% 44% Swett 30% 27% Other 1% 1% Don’t know / undecided 33% 29% (N=) (172) (228)

US House Second Congressional District – Horn vs. Kuster “And if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Horn, the Republican, and Ann McLane Kuster, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Horn 28% 33% Kuster 25% 32% Other 3% * Don’t know / undecided 44% 35% (N=) (172) (230)

US House Second Congressional District – Horn vs. Swett “And if the 2010 Election for Congress was being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Horn, the Republican, and Katrina Swett, the Democrat, who would you vote for?” ROTATE CANDIDATES

Feb. ’10 Apr. ‘10 Horn 26% 35% Swett 30% 31% Other 0% 0% Don’t know / undecided 43% 34% (N=) (168) (224)

Favorability Rating – Senator Jeanne Shaheen

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Senator (Former Governor/Governor) Jeanne Shaheen?"

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 47% 6% 39% 8% (511) Feb. ‘10 48% 5% 39% 8% (496) Oct. ‘09 51% 5% 36% 7% (502) Jun. ‘09 50% 6% 36% 8% (557) Apr. ‘09 47% 7% 37% 9% (503) Feb. ‘09 56% 7% 32% 5% (617) Sep. ‘08 47% 5% 40% 8% (522) July ‘08 53% 9% 31% 6% (472) Apr. ‘08 56% 10% 29% 5% (500) Feb. ‘08 57% 13% 23% 7% (555) Sept. ‘07 56% 11% 25% 8% (506) July ‘07 60% 9% 24% 8% (520)

Favorability Rating – U.S. Senator Judd Gregg "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Senator Judd Gregg?"

Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don’t Know (N) Apr. ‘10 51% 8% 25% 16% (507) Feb. ‘10 54% 7% 23% 16% (497) Oct. ‘09 56% 7% 23% 13% (502) Jun. ‘09 53% 9% 24% 14% (557) Apr. ‘09 47% 7% 37% 9% (503) Feb. ‘09 64% 9% 15% 12% (617) Sept. ‘08 47% 9% 23% 22% (547) July ‘08 53% 10% 23% 13% (474) Apr. ‘08 52% 11% 27% 10% (497) Feb. ‘08 50% 13% 25% 12% (555) Sept. ‘07 49% 12% 26% 13% (508) July ‘07 48% 11% 27% 14% (516) Apr. ‘07 53% 13% 23% 11% (515) Feb. ‘07 48% 15% 25% 12% (533) Sept. ‘06 53% 15% 19% 13% (513) July ‘06 58% 11% 17% 14% (503) Apr. ‘06 61% 12% 15% 13% (505) Feb. ‘06 59% 14% 15% 12% (501) Oct. ‘05 58% 10% 20% 12% (510) July ‘05 61% 8% 18% 13% (501) July ‘04 66% 8% 13% 12% (508) Apr. ‘04 59% 11% 15% 15% (541) Feb. ‘04 63% 12% 10% 15% (509) Oct. ‘03 63% 8% 14% 16% (496) June ‘03 58% 10% 16% 16% (514) Apr. ‘03 61% 8% 13% 18% (507) Feb. ‘03 58% 8% 18% 16% (652) June ‘02 58% 10% 17% 15% (638) Apr. ‘02 60% 6% 16% 18% (691) Feb. ‘02 62% 9% 15% 14% (724) Oct. ‘01 62% 9% 13% 16% (679)

Net Favorability Ratings, NH Incumbents

Shea-Porter Hodes Hodes Gregg Shaheen (1 st CD) (2 nd CD) (State) (State) (State) Apr. ‘10 -7% +4% -1% +26% +8% Feb. ‘10 -5% +16% +5% +31% +9% Oct. ‘09 +11% +11% +4% +33% +15% Jun. ‘09 +11% +19% +9% +29% +14% Apr. ‘09 +3% +21% +12% +32% +10% Feb. ‘09 +12% +33% +23% +49% +24% Sept. ‘08 +13% +6% +2% +24% +7% July ‘08 +3% +26% +15% +30% +22% Apr. ‘08 +11% +20% +11% +25% +27% Feb. ‘08 +26% +19% +13% +25% +34% Sept. ‘07 +12% +19% +11% +23% +31% July ‘07 +21% +13% +9% +21% +36% Apr. ‘07 +22% +16% +11% +30% -- Feb. ‘07 +25% +14% +10% +23% -- Sept. ‘06 +11% +5% +2% +34% -- July ‘06 +7% +7% +4% +41% -- Apr. ‘06 -- +6% +5% +46% -- Feb. ‘06 -- +9% +4% +44% -- Oct. ‘05 -- +3% +1% +38% -- July ‘05 ------+43% -- July ‘04 ------+53% -- Apr. ‘04 ------+44% -- Feb. ‘04 ------+53% -- Oct. ‘03 ------+49% -- June ‘03 ------+42% -- Apr. ‘03 ------+48% -- Feb. ‘03 ------+40% -- June ‘02 ------+40% -- Apr. ‘02 ------+44% +29% Feb. ‘02 ------+47% +28% Oct. ‘01 ------+49% +29%

Firmness of choice for New Hampshire Senate

Definitely Leaning Toward Still Trying Decided Someone To Decide (N=) STATEWIDE 14% 14% 72% 456

Registered Democrat 26% 9% 65% 116 Registered Undeclared 7% 14% 79% 191 Registered Republican 16% 20% 64% 126

Democrat 20% 12% 68% 187 Independent 6% 7% 86% 72 Republican 12% 18% 70% 192

Liberal 26% 6% 67% 93 Moderate 10% 14% 76% 186 Conservative 12% 18% 70% 160

Union household 5% 10% 85% 64 Non-union 16% 14% 70% 387

10 yrs or less in NH 17% 8% 75% 93 11 to 20 years 8% 11% 81% 61 More than 20 years 16% 16% 68% 288

18 to 34 0% 6% 94% 34 35 to 49 16% 9% 75% 114 50 to 64 13% 17% 71% 170 65 and over 18% 17% 65% 134

Male 18% 17% 65% 222 Female 11% 11% 78% 235

High school or less 14% 19% 68% 78 Some college 8% 16% 76% 91 College graduate 20% 9% 72% 170 Post-graduate 13% 16% 71% 112

Less than $30K 13% 12% 75% 22 $30K to $60K 11% 13% 76% 65 $60K to $75K 18% 10% 72% 55 $75K to $100K 14% 10% 76% 62 $100K or more 12% 22% 66% 115

Married 15% 15% 70% 339 Divorced/separated 10% 7% 83% 83 Never married 16% 14% 69% 29

Protestant 12% 17% 71% 171 Catholic 10% 14% 76% 154 Other 24% 9% 67% 116

Attend services 1 or more/week 8% 14% 78% 106 1-2 times a month 30% 6% 64% 50 Less often 11% 15% 74% 132 Never 18% 14% 68% 158

North Country 27% 17% 56% 30 Central / Lakes 13% 9% 78% 80 Connecticut Valley 8% 15% 77% 77 Mass Border 15% 18% 67% 128 Seacoast 16% 11% 73% 60 Manchester Area 15% 13% 72% 81

First Cong. Dist 14% 14% 72% 227 Second Cong. Dist 15% 14% 72% 228 US Senate – Kelly Ayotte vs. Paul Hodes – Likely Voters

Ayotte Hodes Other DK (N) STATEWIDE 47% 32% 0% 21% 460

Registered Democrat 16% 63% 0% 20% 116 Registered Undeclared 45% 32% 0% 23% 193 Registered Republican 80% 4% 0% 16% 128

Democrat 14% 65% 0% 21% 188 Independent 44% 23% 1% 32% 72 Republican 79% 5% 0% 16% 194

Liberal 12% 67% 1% 20% 95 Moderate 38% 36% 0% 25% 183 Conservative 77% 7% 0% 16% 165

Definitely decided vote 46% 48% 0% 6% 65 Leaning toward someone 67% 32% 0% 1% 62 Still trying to decide 43% 29% 0% 27% 324

Union household 42% 40% 0% 18% 63 Non-union 47% 31% 0% 21% 392

10 yrs or less in NH 37% 37% 1% 25% 94 11 to 20 years 50% 19% 0% 31% 62 More than 20 years 49% 34% 0% 17% 290

18 to 34 31% 27% 0% 42% 34 35 to 49 41% 34% 0% 25% 116 50 to 64 48% 35% 0% 17% 173 65 and over 55% 29% 1% 16% 132

Male 56% 29% 0% 15% 221 Female 38% 35% 0% 26% 239

High school or less 60% 17% 1% 22% 78 Some college 46% 26% 0% 28% 91 College graduate 42% 40% 0% 18% 173 Post-graduate 44% 38% 1% 17% 112

Less than $30K 45% 33% 0% 22% 24 $30K to $60K 42% 37% 1% 20% 66 $60K to $75K 31% 32% 0% 37% 53 $75K to $100K 50% 32% 0% 18% 62 $100K or more 48% 35% 0% 17% 119

Married 50% 32% 0% 18% 342 Divorced/separated 36% 35% 2% 27% 84 Never married 30% 32% 0% 38% 29

Protestant 52% 25% 0% 23% 171 Catholic 51% 30% 0% 19% 155 Other 34% 48% 1% 18% 118

Attend services 1 or more/week 51% 29% 0% 20% 110 1-2 times a month 48% 29% 0% 22% 49 Less often 45% 34% 0% 21% 131 Never 45% 35% 1% 20% 159

North Country 52% 37% 0% 11% 28 Central / Lakes 44% 35% 0% 21% 80 Connecticut Valley 35% 43% 1% 21% 77 Mass Border 48% 30% 0% 21% 131 Seacoast 55% 18% 0% 27% 62 Manchester Area 51% 31% 0% 18% 81

First Cong. Dist 51% 27% 0% 22% 228 Second Cong. Dist 43% 38% 0% 19% 231 US Senate – Ovide Lamontagne vs. Paul Hodes – Likely Voters

Lamontagne Hodes Other DK (N) STATEWIDE 37% 36% 0% 26% 462

Registered Democrat 7% 68% 0% 25% 118 Registered Undeclared 35% 37% 0% 28% 193 Registered Republican 72% 4% 1% 23% 128

Democrat 6% 72% 0% 22% 189 Independent 28% 24% 0% 47% 70 Republican 71% 5% 1% 23% 197

Liberal 7% 74% 1% 18% 95 Moderate 28% 39% 1% 32% 187 Conservative 67% 9% 0% 25% 163

Definitely decided vote 46% 50% 0% 4% 65 Leaning toward someone 60% 29% 0% 10% 64 Still trying to decide 31% 35% 1% 33% 323

Union household 37% 44% 0% 19% 63 Non-union 37% 35% 0% 28% 394

10 yrs or less in NH 34% 35% 1% 30% 95 11 to 20 years 33% 26% 0% 41% 62 More than 20 years 38% 39% 0% 23% 292

18 to 34 20% 31% 0% 49% 34 35 to 49 29% 37% 0% 34% 117 50 to 64 39% 37% 0% 23% 174 65 and over 48% 34% 1% 17% 132

Male 48% 33% 0% 19% 222 Female 28% 39% 1% 33% 240

High school or less 46% 24% 2% 28% 76 Some college 39% 30% 0% 31% 93 College graduate 33% 43% 0% 24% 176 Post-graduate 36% 39% 0% 25% 111

Less than $30K 37% 34% 0% 29% 24 $30K to $60K 36% 35% 2% 26% 63 $60K to $75K 27% 41% 0% 32% 53 $75K to $100K 44% 30% 0% 25% 63 $100K or more 33% 41% 0% 26% 121

Married 41% 36% 0% 23% 346 Divorced/separated 32% 36% 1% 32% 83 Never married 11% 38% 0% 51% 29

Protestant 41% 30% 1% 29% 172 Catholic 37% 35% 0% 27% 155 Other 33% 47% 0% 20% 119

Attend services 1 or more/week 44% 29% 0% 27% 109 1-2 times a month 32% 38% 0% 30% 50 Less often 36% 38% 1% 25% 132 Never 36% 38% 0% 25% 160

North Country 37% 34% 0% 29% 29 Central / Lakes 34% 40% 1% 25% 82 Connecticut Valley 31% 43% 0% 26% 78 Mass Border 39% 36% 0% 25% 130 Seacoast 37% 26% 0% 37% 62 Manchester Area 46% 33% 0% 22% 83

First Cong. Dist 39% 32% 1% 29% 230 Second Cong. Dist 35% 40% 0% 24% 231 US Senate – Bill Binnie vs. Paul Hodes – Likely Voters

Binnie Hodes Other DK (N) STATEWIDE 38% 36% 0% 26% 461

Registered Democrat 3% 71% 0% 26% 116 Registered Undeclared 39% 34% 0% 26% 194 Registered Republican 69% 8% 0% 22% 127

Democrat 4% 72% 0% 24% 188 Independent 31% 24% 1% 43% 72 Republican 72% 7% 0% 22% 195

Liberal 5% 74% 1% 20% 95 Moderate 31% 38% 0% 31% 183 Conservative 64% 12% 0% 24% 165

Definitely decided vote 38% 57% 0% 5% 64 Leaning toward someone 56% 35% 0% 10% 64 Still trying to decide 34% 33% 0% 33% 322

Union household 38% 45% 0% 17% 63 Non-union 37% 35% 0% 27% 393

10 yrs or less in NH 33% 36% 1% 31% 94 11 to 20 years 38% 22% 0% 40% 61 More than 20 years 38% 40% 0% 21% 292

18 to 34 25% 30% 0% 45% 34 35 to 49 28% 39% 0% 32% 115 50 to 64 38% 37% 0% 24% 175 65 and over 48% 35% 1% 16% 132

Male 48% 34% 0% 18% 222 Female 28% 39% 0% 33% 239

High school or less 47% 30% 1% 22% 77 Some college 43% 25% 0% 32% 93 College graduate 35% 42% 0% 23% 175 Post-graduate 30% 42% 1% 27% 111

Less than $30K 37% 31% 0% 32% 24 $30K to $60K 33% 38% 1% 28% 66 $60K to $75K 29% 40% 0% 31% 53 $75K to $100K 44% 31% 0% 25% 62 $100K or more 32% 43% 0% 25% 118

Married 41% 37% 0% 22% 343 Divorced/separated 31% 35% 2% 32% 84 Never married 15% 36% 0% 49% 29

Protestant 40% 34% 0% 26% 174 Catholic 39% 32% 0% 29% 153 Other 33% 48% 1% 19% 117

Attend services 1 or more/week 41% 29% 0% 30% 110 1-2 times a month 31% 37% 0% 31% 50 Less often 35% 41% 0% 24% 129 Never 40% 37% 1% 22% 160

North Country 26% 45% 0% 29% 29 Central / Lakes 41% 37% 0% 22% 80 Connecticut Valley 29% 42% 1% 28% 77 Mass Border 39% 36% 0% 25% 131 Seacoast 44% 24% 0% 32% 62 Manchester Area 39% 39% 0% 23% 81

First Cong. Dist 40% 32% 0% 27% 229 Second Cong. Dist 35% 41% 0% 24% 231 US Senate – Jim Bender vs. Paul Hodes – Likely Voters

Bender Hodes Other DK (N) STATEWIDE 34% 37% 0% 29% 462

Registered Democrat 4% 69% 0% 27% 118 Registered Undeclared 34% 37% 0% 29% 191 Registered Republican 63% 9% 0% 28% 130

Democrat 3% 72% 0% 24% 189 Independent 26% 26% 0% 48% 71 Republican 67% 7% 0% 26% 196

Liberal 5% 72% 1% 22% 95 Moderate 25% 40% 0% 35% 186 Conservative 62% 12% 0% 26% 164

Definitely decided vote 36% 58% 0% 7% 65 Leaning toward someone 55% 34% 0% 11% 64 Still trying to decide 30% 34% 0% 36% 322

Union household 29% 49% 0% 22% 61 Non-union 34% 35% 0% 30% 395

10 yrs or less in NH 33% 37% 1% 30% 93 11 to 20 years 36% 23% 0% 41% 62 More than 20 years 34% 41% 0% 26% 292

18 to 34 21% 33% 0% 47% 33 35 to 49 25% 43% 0% 33% 117 50 to 64 35% 36% 0% 29% 174 65 and over 45% 35% 0% 21% 133

Male 43% 36% 0% 21% 224 Female 25% 38% 0% 37% 237

High school or less 40% 32% 1% 28% 78 Some college 41% 26% 0% 34% 93 College graduate 31% 43% 0% 27% 175 Post-graduate 28% 42% 0% 29% 111

Less than $30K 32% 27% 0% 41% 24 $30K to $60K 29% 38% 0% 33% 66 $60K to $75K 26% 43% 0% 31% 53 $75K to $100K 42% 32% 0% 26% 63 $100K or more 27% 43% 0% 30% 118

Married 37% 37% 0% 25% 347 Divorced/separated 25% 34% 1% 40% 82 Never married 12% 46% 0% 42% 28

Protestant 40% 31% 0% 30% 174 Catholic 31% 37% 0% 31% 152 Other 30% 47% 0% 22% 120

Attend services 1 or more/week 36% 31% 0% 33% 110 1-2 times a month 30% 35% 0% 35% 50 Less often 31% 41% 0% 27% 129 Never 36% 38% 0% 26% 161

North Country 31% 42% 0% 27% 29 Central / Lakes 34% 37% 0% 28% 82 Connecticut Valley 28% 37% 0% 35% 79 Mass Border 34% 36% 0% 29% 131 Seacoast 37% 29% 0% 34% 62 Manchester Area 39% 42% 0% 19% 80

First Cong. Dist 36% 34% 0% 29% 227 Second Cong. Dist 32% 40% 0% 28% 233 Favorability Rating – Rep. Paul Hodes

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 30% 10% 31% 29% 508

Likely Voter 32% 10% 32% 27% 467 Non-Likely Voter 16% 12% 22% 50% 41

Registered Democrat 56% 11% 8% 25% 124 Registered Undeclared 29% 10% 32% 30% 210 Registered Republican 14% 9% 53% 23% 132

Democrat 50% 12% 8% 29% 209 Independent 20% 15% 29% 35% 87 Republican 15% 5% 56% 24% 204

Liberal 54% 5% 8% 34% 105 Moderate 34% 12% 24% 30% 199 Conservative 13% 8% 56% 23% 179

Union household 30% 14% 28% 28% 67 Non-union 31% 9% 32% 28% 436

10 yrs or less in NH 28% 9% 24% 39% 107 11 to 20 years 22% 16% 37% 24% 68 More than 20 years 33% 9% 31% 26% 319

18 to 34 22% 17% 11% 50% 45 35 to 49 35% 6% 25% 34% 126 50 to 64 30% 13% 35% 23% 188 65 and over 30% 7% 38% 25% 144

Male 24% 12% 42% 21% 248 Female 37% 7% 20% 36% 261

High school or less 23% 6% 40% 31% 94 Some college 25% 9% 28% 38% 111 College graduate 35% 11% 26% 28% 182 Post-graduate 37% 11% 34% 18% 116

Less than $30K 32% 6% 18% 43% 31 $30K to $60K 30% 12% 33% 24% 73 $60K to $75K 30% 3% 27% 41% 57 $75K to $100K 33% 7% 32% 28% 68 $100K or more 33% 14% 25% 28% 123

Married 30% 8% 34% 28% 371 Divorced/separated 39% 10% 22% 29% 90 Never married 22% 24% 20% 34% 42

Protestant 31% 9% 31% 30% 189 Catholic 26% 11% 32% 32% 171 Other 36% 9% 31% 24% 129

Attend services 1 or more/week 36% 9% 26% 29% 115 1-2 times a month 30% 12% 36% 22% 55 Less often 28% 11% 31% 30% 145 Never 29% 9% 32% 30% 181

North Country 31% 13% 27% 30% 31 Central / Lakes 38% 10% 31% 21% 90 Connecticut Valley 31% 7% 28% 34% 85 Mass Border 30% 7% 33% 30% 142 Seacoast 8% 12% 37% 43% 74 Manchester Area 41% 14% 26% 18% 87

First Cong. Dist 26% 13% 31% 30% 255 Second Cong. Dist 35% 7% 31% 27% 253

Favorability Rating – Former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 38% 7% 13% 41% 508

Likely Voter 39% 7% 14% 40% 467 Non-Likely Voter 31% 11% 6% 52% 40

Registered Democrat 27% 6% 26% 42% 124 Registered Undeclared 39% 5% 12% 43% 210 Registered Republican 53% 9% 7% 32% 133

Democrat 26% 8% 24% 42% 209 Independent 38% 7% 8% 47% 87 Republican 52% 6% 4% 39% 204

Liberal 26% 5% 23% 46% 106 Moderate 35% 8% 16% 41% 201 Conservative 52% 5% 5% 38% 176

Union household 36% 5% 12% 47% 67 Non-union 39% 8% 14% 40% 435

10 yrs or less in NH 21% 7% 6% 66% 106 11 to 20 years 36% 7% 14% 44% 68 More than 20 years 45% 7% 15% 33% 321

18 to 34 18% 7% 6% 69% 45 35 to 49 38% 3% 13% 45% 126 50 to 64 39% 9% 13% 39% 189 65 and over 44% 8% 16% 33% 142

Male 42% 9% 11% 38% 245 Female 35% 5% 15% 44% 263

High school or less 55% 8% 5% 31% 93 Some college 30% 6% 11% 53% 111 College graduate 31% 9% 15% 44% 182 Post-graduate 44% 5% 19% 32% 116

Less than $30K 34% 14% 10% 42% 31 $30K to $60K 37% 7% 11% 45% 74 $60K to $75K 33% 5% 21% 42% 57 $75K to $100K 34% 5% 13% 48% 68 $100K or more 42% 3% 13% 42% 125

Married 41% 6% 13% 40% 371 Divorced/separated 29% 9% 18% 44% 89 Never married 31% 14% 8% 46% 42

Protestant 40% 5% 10% 45% 191 Catholic 42% 9% 12% 37% 172 Other 31% 9% 17% 42% 126

Attend services 1 or more/week 46% 2% 8% 43% 115 1-2 times a month 39% 17% 10% 33% 56 Less often 38% 6% 13% 44% 146 Never 32% 8% 19% 40% 177

North Country 59% 5% 6% 31% 31 Central / Lakes 36% 10% 20% 34% 90 Connecticut Valley 28% 8% 19% 45% 85 Mass Border 39% 6% 12% 43% 140 Seacoast 33% 3% 5% 59% 73 Manchester Area 47% 10% 11% 31% 88

First Cong. Dist 40% 8% 10% 42% 255 Second Cong. Dist 36% 6% 17% 41% 251 Favorability Rating – Businessman Jim Bender

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 5% 10% 5% 80% 508

Likely Voter 5% 10% 5% 81% 468 Non-Likely Voter 7% 11% 3% 79% 40

Registered Democrat 1% 8% 9% 82% 124 Registered Undeclared 5% 8% 4% 83% 210 Registered Republican 8% 14% 2% 76% 132

Democrat 3% 11% 8% 79% 209 Independent 5% 8% 3% 84% 87 Republican 7% 10% 2% 81% 204

Liberal 3% 7% 8% 82% 105 Moderate 6% 10% 3% 81% 201 Conservative 4% 12% 2% 82% 178

Union household 11% 8% 3% 78% 67 Non-union 4% 11% 5% 81% 436

10 yrs or less in NH 3% 8% 3% 86% 107 11 to 20 years 8% 9% 2% 81% 67 More than 20 years 5% 11% 6% 79% 320

18 to 34 0% 7% 1% 92% 45 35 to 49 3% 10% 3% 84% 125 50 to 64 6% 10% 5% 80% 189 65 and over 7% 12% 7% 74% 144

Male 6% 12% 5% 78% 248 Female 4% 8% 4% 83% 261

High school or less 8% 13% 4% 76% 94 Some college 4% 6% 5% 85% 111 College graduate 6% 13% 4% 77% 182 Post-graduate 2% 9% 5% 84% 116

Less than $30K 11% 11% 7% 71% 31 $30K to $60K 3% 15% 5% 77% 73 $60K to $75K 0% 8% 6% 85% 57 $75K to $100K 9% 7% 5% 79% 68 $100K or more 3% 5% 5% 87% 124

Married 4% 9% 4% 83% 371 Divorced/separated 8% 14% 7% 72% 89 Never married 3% 14% 3% 79% 42

Protestant 4% 12% 3% 81% 191 Catholic 7% 10% 2% 81% 171 Other 4% 8% 9% 79% 129

Attend services 1 or more/week 3% 18% 3% 76% 114 1-2 times a month 4% 11% 11% 74% 55 Less often 6% 8% 1% 85% 146 Never 5% 7% 6% 82% 180

North Country 7% 14% 6% 73% 31 Central / Lakes 5% 15% 8% 72% 90 Connecticut Valley 4% 12% 0% 84% 85 Mass Border 4% 9% 4% 83% 141 Seacoast 2% 4% 7% 86% 74 Manchester Area 9% 8% 5% 78% 88

First Cong. Dist 5% 9% 7% 79% 255 Second Cong. Dist 5% 11% 2% 82% 252 Favorability Rating – Businessman Bill Binnie

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 22% 8% 11% 60% 507

Likely Voter 22% 7% 11% 60% 466 Non-Likely Voter 11% 11% 11% 66% 41

Registered Democrat 5% 8% 19% 69% 124 Registered Undeclared 27% 5% 9% 59% 210 Registered Republican 31% 11% 9% 50% 132

Democrat 6% 8% 17% 68% 209 Independent 26% 7% 8% 59% 86 Republican 36% 7% 5% 52% 205

Liberal 7% 6% 20% 67% 105 Moderate 22% 9% 7% 61% 198 Conservative 30% 7% 7% 57% 179

Union household 25% 8% 13% 54% 67 Non-union 21% 8% 10% 61% 435

10 yrs or less in NH 18% 5% 7% 70% 105 11 to 20 years 17% 12% 2% 68% 68 More than 20 years 23% 8% 14% 55% 319

18 to 34 19% 5% 7% 69% 45 35 to 49 17% 6% 6% 71% 126 50 to 64 20% 11% 13% 55% 188 65 and over 29% 6% 13% 53% 142

Male 26% 8% 12% 53% 247 Female 17% 7% 9% 66% 260

High school or less 26% 8% 16% 50% 95 Some college 20% 5% 6% 69% 111 College graduate 19% 10% 10% 61% 182 Post-graduate 22% 7% 12% 59% 114

Less than $30K 9% 3% 15% 73% 31 $30K to $60K 20% 13% 10% 57% 74 $60K to $75K 20% 0% 13% 67% 56 $75K to $100K 31% 5% 10% 53% 68 $100K or more 21% 7% 10% 62% 122

Married 24% 7% 11% 58% 370 Divorced/separated 17% 11% 9% 63% 90 Never married 10% 7% 12% 71% 42

Protestant 24% 9% 9% 58% 189 Catholic 22% 8% 7% 63% 171 Other 18% 6% 17% 60% 129

Attend services 1 or more/week 21% 7% 8% 64% 113 1-2 times a month 17% 11% 14% 58% 56 Less often 21% 10% 8% 62% 144 Never 22% 6% 14% 57% 180

North Country 38% 13% 7% 42% 31 Central / Lakes 18% 7% 13% 61% 89 Connecticut Valley 16% 9% 10% 65% 84 Mass Border 19% 8% 13% 60% 141 Seacoast 22% 8% 9% 61% 75 Manchester Area 28% 5% 9% 59% 87

First Cong. Dist 23% 9% 11% 57% 255 Second Cong. Dist 20% 7% 11% 62% 251

Favorability Rating – Attorney Ovide Lamontagne

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 10% 8% 12% 70% 506

Likely Voter 11% 7% 12% 70% 465 Non-Likely Voter 7% 11% 8% 75% 40

Registered Democrat 3% 10% 23% 64% 124 Registered Undeclared 11% 7% 10% 72% 210 Registered Republican 19% 7% 5% 70% 131

Democrat 3% 10% 19% 68% 209 Independent 11% 10% 9% 69% 87 Republican 17% 5% 6% 72% 203

Liberal 3% 6% 16% 76% 104 Moderate 9% 9% 14% 68% 199 Conservative 18% 7% 6% 70% 178

Union household 9% 9% 14% 68% 67 Non-union 11% 8% 12% 70% 433

10 yrs or less in NH 4% 4% 6% 86% 106 11 to 20 years 9% 12% 9% 69% 67 More than 20 years 12% 8% 14% 65% 319

18 to 34 6% 9% 4% 81% 45 35 to 49 7% 7% 3% 83% 125 50 to 64 11% 8% 18% 63% 188 65 and over 15% 8% 14% 64% 142

Male 14% 6% 13% 67% 248 Female 7% 9% 11% 73% 258

High school or less 15% 4% 5% 76% 94 Some college 9% 10% 10% 71% 111 College graduate 8% 9% 10% 73% 181 Post-graduate 11% 7% 22% 60% 115

Less than $30K 5% 14% 7% 74% 31 $30K to $60K 12% 13% 11% 65% 73 $60K to $75K 12% 0% 18% 70% 57 $75K to $100K 10% 1% 6% 82% 68 $100K or more 12% 7% 16% 65% 121

Married 12% 7% 12% 70% 369 Divorced/separated 10% 10% 14% 65% 89 Never married 0% 13% 8% 79% 42

Protestant 10% 7% 9% 73% 189 Catholic 13% 11% 8% 68% 170 Other 7% 5% 21% 67% 129

Attend services 1 or more/week 16% 11% 9% 64% 112 1-2 times a month 9% 14% 18% 59% 55 Less often 9% 7% 9% 76% 145 Never 8% 5% 15% 72% 180

North Country 19% 2% 16% 63% 31 Central / Lakes 6% 13% 17% 64% 90 Connecticut Valley 6% 5% 6% 82% 84 Mass Border 13% 6% 11% 70% 141 Seacoast 5% 5% 8% 81% 74 Manchester Area 16% 11% 15% 58% 87

First Cong. Dist 10% 11% 14% 66% 254 Second Cong. Dist 11% 4% 10% 75% 251

US First CD – Rich Ashooh vs. Carol Shea-Porter – Likely Voters

Ashooh Shea-Porter Other DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 39% 36% 0% 25% 227

Registered Democrat 4% 85% 1% 10% 55 Registered Undeclared 41% 32% 0% 27% 97 Registered Republican 65% 6% 0% 29% 69

Democrat 5% 81% 1% 13% 82 Independent 29% 20% 0% 52% 39 Republican 70% 6% 0% 23% 104

Liberal 5% 74% 1% 20% 40 Moderate 26% 43% 0% 31% 95 Conservative 71% 9% 0% 20% 85

Definitely decided vote 39% 55% 0% 6% 30 Leaning toward someone 57% 17% 0% 26% 32 Still trying to decide 36% 38% 0% 26% 160

Union household 53% 40% 0% 7% 33 Non-union 36% 36% 0% 28% 189

10 yrs or less in NH 33% 38% 1% 27% 43 11 to 20 years 48% 30% 0% 22% 31 More than 20 years 39% 36% 0% 25% 148

18 to 34 27% 49% 0% 24% 15 35 to 49 35% 34% 0% 31% 54 50 to 64 41% 39% 1% 19% 91 65 and over 44% 30% 0% 26% 63

Male 47% 31% 0% 22% 104 Female 32% 41% 0% 27% 123

High school or less 45% 34% 1% 20% 37 Some college 41% 19% 0% 40% 44 College graduate 44% 38% 0% 18% 91 Post-graduate 22% 51% 0% 27% 50

Less than $30K 36% 34% 0% 30% 11 $30K to $60K 31% 36% 0% 33% 29 $60K to $75K 25% 28% 0% 47% 28 $75K to $100K 49% 26% 0% 25% 30 $100K or more 34% 47% 0% 19% 59

Married 43% 33% 0% 24% 164 Divorced/separated 29% 47% 1% 23% 48 Never married 21% 45% 0% 34% 12

Protestant 41% 31% 0% 27% 78 Catholic 45% 32% 1% 23% 85 Other 28% 51% 0% 21% 55

Attend services 1 or more/week 43% 27% 0% 30% 54 1-2 times a month 25% 51% 0% 24% 26 Less often 41% 41% 0% 18% 67 Never 39% 34% 1% 26% 72

North Country 55% 24% 0% 21% 10 Central / Lakes 32% 43% 0% 26% 44 Mass Border 47% 25% 1% 27% 43 Seacoast 35% 32% 0% 33% 61 Manchester Area 40% 45% 0% 15% 68 US First CD – Bob Bestani vs. Carol Shea-Porter – Likely Voters

Bestani Shea-Porter Other DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 38% 37% 1% 25% 229

Registered Democrat 4% 87% 0% 9% 55 Registered Undeclared 39% 29% 0% 31% 97 Registered Republican 62% 9% 2% 28% 71

Democrat 6% 78% 0% 16% 84 Independent 21% 22% 3% 54% 39 Republican 70% 8% 0% 22% 104

Liberal 3% 78% 0% 20% 40 Moderate 29% 41% 0% 30% 95 Conservative 66% 11% 1% 22% 86

Definitely decided vote 39% 53% 0% 9% 30 Leaning toward someone 66% 22% 0% 11% 32 Still trying to decide 33% 38% 1% 28% 161

Union household 53% 35% 0% 12% 33 Non-union 34% 37% 1% 28% 192

10 yrs or less in NH 36% 33% 0% 31% 43 11 to 20 years 47% 25% 4% 24% 31 More than 20 years 36% 39% 0% 24% 151

18 to 34 23% 55% 0% 22% 15 35 to 49 29% 38% 0% 32% 54 50 to 64 39% 39% 1% 20% 93 65 and over 48% 25% 0% 27% 64

Male 47% 31% 1% 21% 106 Female 30% 41% 0% 29% 124

High school or less 33% 41% 0% 26% 39 Some college 44% 19% 0% 37% 44 College graduate 42% 35% 1% 21% 91 Post-graduate 25% 53% 0% 22% 50

Less than $30K 33% 28% 0% 39% 13 $30K to $60K 29% 42% 0% 29% 29 $60K to $75K 31% 37% 0% 32% 28 $75K to $100K 47% 22% 4% 28% 30 $100K or more 32% 43% 0% 25% 59

Married 42% 34% 1% 23% 164 Divorced/separated 28% 42% 0% 30% 48 Never married 13% 51% 0% 36% 14

Protestant 45% 30% 0% 25% 79 Catholic 37% 36% 1% 25% 87 Other 28% 48% 0% 24% 55

Attend services 1 or more/week 46% 27% 0% 27% 54 1-2 times a month 22% 38% 0% 40% 28 Less often 36% 44% 2% 19% 67 Never 40% 37% 0% 24% 73

North Country 55% 38% 0% 7% 10 Central / Lakes 30% 38% 0% 32% 46 Mass Border 48% 23% 3% 27% 43 Seacoast 35% 33% 0% 32% 61 Manchester Area 35% 48% 0% 17% 68 US First CD – Frank Guinta vs. Carol Shea-Porter – Likely Voters

Guinta Shea-Porter Other DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 42% 38% 1% 19% 225

Registered Democrat 6% 82% 1% 11% 55 Registered Undeclared 44% 37% 0% 20% 97 Registered Republican 70% 6% 2% 22% 69

Democrat 7% 81% 1% 11% 82 Independent 28% 33% 3% 36% 39 Republican 75% 7% 0% 19% 102

Liberal 5% 71% 1% 22% 40 Moderate 29% 48% 0% 23% 94 Conservative 74% 11% 1% 14% 85

Definitely decided vote 39% 55% 0% 6% 30 Leaning toward someone 63% 30% 0% 8% 31 Still trying to decide 38% 38% 1% 23% 160

Union household 53% 38% 0% 9% 33 Non-union 39% 39% 1% 21% 188

10 yrs or less in NH 37% 37% 1% 25% 43 11 to 20 years 48% 30% 4% 19% 31 More than 20 years 42% 40% 0% 17% 147

18 to 34 33% 49% 0% 18% 15 35 to 49 35% 39% 0% 26% 54 50 to 64 42% 40% 2% 16% 91 65 and over 51% 31% 0% 18% 62

Male 50% 33% 1% 16% 102 Female 34% 42% 0% 23% 123

High school or less 45% 34% 1% 20% 37 Some college 46% 19% 0% 35% 42 College graduate 46% 39% 1% 14% 91 Post-graduate 26% 61% 0% 13% 50

Less than $30K 47% 34% 0% 19% 11 $30K to $60K 35% 46% 0% 19% 29 $60K to $75K 27% 32% 0% 41% 28 $75K to $100K 49% 20% 4% 27% 30 $100K or more 36% 52% 0% 12% 59

Married 46% 35% 1% 18% 163 Divorced/separated 30% 44% 1% 25% 48 Never married 21% 60% 0% 20% 12

Protestant 47% 31% 0% 22% 77 Catholic 45% 37% 2% 16% 85 Other 32% 53% 0% 15% 55

Attend services 1 or more/week 46% 30% 0% 24% 54 1-2 times a month 30% 56% 0% 14% 25 Less often 43% 42% 2% 13% 67 Never 42% 36% 1% 21% 72

North Country 55% 24% 0% 21% 10 Central / Lakes 32% 48% 0% 20% 44 Mass Border 47% 30% 4% 20% 43 Seacoast 43% 32% 0% 26% 61 Manchester Area 42% 46% 0% 12% 67

US First CD – Sean Mahoney vs. Carol Shea-Porter – Likely Voters

Mahoney Shea-Porter Other DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 40% 37% 0% 23% 227

Registered Democrat 4% 88% 1% 7% 55 Registered Undeclared 41% 30% 0% 30% 97 Registered Republican 70% 9% 0% 21% 69

Democrat 6% 79% 1% 15% 82 Independent 27% 25% 0% 49% 39 Republican 73% 8% 0% 19% 104

Liberal 3% 71% 1% 25% 40 Moderate 30% 44% 0% 26% 95 Conservative 71% 11% 0% 18% 86

Definitely decided vote 39% 55% 0% 6% 30 Leaning toward someone 66% 23% 0% 11% 32 Still trying to decide 36% 37% 0% 27% 161

Union household 53% 35% 0% 12% 33 Non-union 37% 38% 0% 25% 190

10 yrs or less in NH 36% 36% 1% 27% 43 11 to 20 years 53% 25% 0% 22% 31 More than 20 years 39% 39% 0% 22% 149

18 to 34 27% 43% 0% 31% 15 35 to 49 31% 35% 0% 33% 54 50 to 64 43% 43% 1% 14% 91 65 and over 50% 28% 0% 23% 64

Male 51% 30% 0% 19% 104 Female 31% 43% 0% 26% 124

High school or less 35% 39% 1% 25% 37 Some college 47% 19% 0% 35% 44 College graduate 47% 37% 0% 16% 91 Post-graduate 25% 53% 0% 21% 50

Less than $30K 49% 33% 0% 18% 11 $30K to $60K 29% 36% 0% 35% 29 $60K to $75K 31% 33% 0% 35% 28 $75K to $100K 53% 22% 0% 25% 30 $100K or more 36% 46% 0% 18% 59

Married 45% 34% 0% 21% 164 Divorced/separated 28% 46% 1% 25% 48 Never married 21% 45% 0% 34% 12

Protestant 48% 30% 0% 22% 79 Catholic 40% 36% 1% 23% 85 Other 30% 49% 0% 21% 55

Attend services 1 or more/week 46% 27% 0% 27% 54 1-2 times a month 30% 41% 0% 29% 26 Less often 41% 47% 0% 12% 67 Never 40% 35% 1% 25% 73

North Country 55% 38% 0% 7% 10 Central / Lakes 32% 39% 0% 29% 44 Mass Border 51% 30% 1% 19% 43 Seacoast 39% 28% 0% 32% 61 Manchester Area 38% 48% 0% 15% 68 Favorability Rating – Rep. Carol Shea-Porter - US First CD

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 37% 7% 44% 12% 257

Likely Voter 40% 7% 45% 8% 232 Non-Likely Voter 15% 10% 28% 47% 24

Registered Democrat 78% 1% 14% 7% 57 Registered Undeclared 37% 7% 44% 13% 111 Registered Republican 11% 12% 71% 6% 73

Democrat 68% 8% 10% 14% 94 Independent 35% 12% 39% 15% 52 Republican 12% 4% 76% 7% 109

Liberal 70% 7% 12% 11% 45 Moderate 42% 8% 35% 15% 104 Conservative 15% 6% 71% 9% 96

Union household 36% 3% 46% 15% 35 Non-union 38% 8% 43% 11% 218

10 yrs or less in NH 35% 6% 39% 20% 52 11 to 20 years 24% 9% 51% 16% 35 More than 20 years 40% 7% 44% 9% 165

18 to 34 49% 0% 17% 34% 26 35 to 49 37% 13% 39% 11% 58 50 to 64 39% 6% 47% 8% 101 65 and over 30% 7% 53% 10% 69

Male 28% 10% 55% 7% 120 Female 45% 5% 34% 16% 137

High school or less 31% 14% 42% 14% 47 Some college 24% 7% 47% 23% 55 College graduate 42% 5% 43% 9% 98 Post-graduate 50% 7% 39% 4% 53

Less than $30K 25% 21% 32% 22% 15 $30K to $60K 41% 14% 32% 13% 34 $60K to $75K 55% 8% 30% 7% 29 $75K to $100K 29% 0% 64% 8% 32 $100K or more 41% 6% 43% 10% 63

Married 36% 6% 51% 8% 180 Divorced/separated 45% 8% 32% 15% 50 Never married 31% 15% 17% 37% 24

Protestant 36% 7% 46% 11% 88 Catholic 29% 9% 47% 15% 100 Other 53% 6% 32% 9% 61

Attend services 1 or more/week 27% 7% 50% 17% 58 1-2 times a month 51% 6% 41% 2% 31 Less often 40% 6% 43% 11% 75 Never 38% 10% 40% 13% 85

North Country 45% 0% 55% 0% 10 Central / Lakes 48% 11% 38% 3% 47 Mass Border 26% 9% 46% 19% 49 Seacoast 28% 11% 50% 12% 75 Manchester Area 47% 2% 38% 13% 76

Favorability Rating – Businessman Rich Ashooh - US First CD

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 4% 8% 2% 86% 256

Likely Voter 4% 8% 2% 86% 232 Non-Likely Voter 4% 7% 0% 88% 23

Registered Democrat 2% 5% 5% 89% 57 Registered Undeclared 5% 6% 1% 88% 110 Registered Republican 5% 10% 3% 82% 73

Democrat 3% 12% 3% 82% 94 Independent 4% 6% 1% 88% 51 Republican 5% 6% 2% 88% 109

Liberal 1% 7% 4% 88% 44 Moderate 4% 11% 1% 83% 104 Conservative 6% 4% 2% 88% 96

Union household 7% 13% 9% 71% 35 Non-union 4% 7% 1% 88% 217

10 yrs or less in NH 6% 6% 0% 88% 52 11 to 20 years 0% 18% 0% 82% 35 More than 20 years 5% 7% 3% 86% 165

18 to 34 7% 7% 0% 86% 26 35 to 49 7% 7% 1% 86% 58 50 to 64 4% 9% 3% 84% 101 65 and over 2% 8% 3% 87% 69

Male 3% 9% 3% 85% 120 Female 5% 7% 1% 87% 136

High school or less 7% 7% 1% 85% 46 Some college 4% 6% 6% 84% 55 College graduate 4% 10% 0% 86% 97 Post-graduate 3% 8% 2% 87% 53

Less than $30K 0% 14% 0% 86% 15 $30K to $60K 5% 9% 6% 80% 34 $60K to $75K 0% 0% 0% 100% 29 $75K to $100K 10% 2% 6% 82% 32 $100K or more 5% 6% 1% 89% 63

Married 5% 8% 1% 86% 180 Divorced/separated 2% 6% 5% 88% 49 Never married 5% 11% 2% 81% 24

Protestant 3% 9% 0% 87% 88 Catholic 6% 8% 3% 83% 100 Other 3% 7% 3% 88% 60

Attend services 1 or more/week 3% 6% 0% 91% 58 1-2 times a month 7% 18% 6% 70% 31 Less often 5% 6% 4% 85% 75 Never 2% 8% 1% 89% 84

North Country 0% 0% 0% 100% 10 Central / Lakes 0% 9% 0% 91% 47 Mass Border 5% 15% 2% 78% 49 Seacoast 2% 3% 1% 94% 75 Manchester Area 9% 9% 5% 78% 76

Favorability Rating – Businessman Bob Bestani - US First CD

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 2% 6% 3% 88% 255

Likely Voter 2% 6% 3% 89% 231 Non-Likely Voter 7% 9% 2% 82% 24

Registered Democrat 3% 2% 1% 95% 57 Registered Undeclared 1% 6% 2% 90% 110 Registered Republican 2% 9% 7% 83% 72

Democrat 2% 6% 5% 87% 94 Independent 0% 8% 3% 89% 51 Republican 2% 6% 2% 90% 107

Liberal 3% 11% 0% 86% 44 Moderate 2% 5% 2% 91% 102 Conservative 1% 7% 3% 89% 96

Union household 0% 7% 6% 87% 35 Non-union 2% 6% 3% 88% 216

10 yrs or less in NH 5% 4% 1% 90% 52 11 to 20 years 3% 15% 3% 79% 35 More than 20 years 1% 5% 4% 90% 164

18 to 34 4% 9% 2% 85% 26 35 to 49 1% 4% 1% 94% 58 50 to 64 2% 5% 5% 87% 99 65 and over 2% 9% 3% 86% 69

Male 1% 7% 6% 85% 120 Female 3% 6% 0% 91% 136

High school or less 0% 7% 6% 88% 46 Some college 4% 4% 5% 87% 55 College graduate 2% 7% 3% 88% 96 Post-graduate 2% 8% 0% 90% 53

Less than $30K 7% 0% 17% 76% 15 $30K to $60K 1% 9% 2% 87% 34 $60K to $75K 7% 0% 0% 93% 29 $75K to $100K 3% 2% 10% 85% 32 $100K or more 0% 3% 0% 97% 61

Married 2% 6% 3% 89% 179 Divorced/separated 3% 7% 1% 89% 50 Never married 0% 6% 13% 82% 24

Protestant 2% 6% 1% 92% 87 Catholic 2% 6% 5% 87% 100 Other 3% 5% 3% 89% 60

Attend services 1 or more/week 4% 5% 0% 91% 58 1-2 times a month 2% 4% 8% 87% 31 Less often 0% 5% 5% 90% 73 Never 2% 7% 2% 88% 85

North Country 0% 0% 0% 100% 10 Central / Lakes 0% 4% 4% 92% 47 Mass Border 5% 15% 2% 77% 49 Seacoast 1% 3% 1% 94% 75 Manchester Area 3% 6% 5% 86% 74 Favorability Rating – Former Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta - US First CD

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 22% 7% 18% 52% 257

Likely Voter 24% 7% 20% 50% 232 Non-Likely Voter 12% 13% 4% 71% 24

Registered Democrat 20% 4% 20% 57% 57 Registered Undeclared 23% 5% 17% 55% 110 Registered Republican 25% 13% 17% 45% 73

Democrat 16% 6% 23% 54% 94 Independent 21% 10% 20% 49% 51 Republican 29% 6% 13% 52% 109

Liberal 19% 3% 17% 60% 44 Moderate 16% 10% 21% 53% 104 Conservative 33% 3% 17% 47% 96

Union household 30% 6% 25% 39% 35 Non-union 22% 8% 18% 53% 217

10 yrs or less in NH 25% 7% 7% 60% 52 11 to 20 years 21% 10% 18% 50% 35 More than 20 years 22% 6% 22% 50% 165

18 to 34 28% 7% 6% 59% 26 35 to 49 28% 4% 26% 42% 58 50 to 64 19% 8% 24% 49% 101 65 and over 22% 9% 7% 63% 69

Male 24% 10% 19% 47% 120 Female 21% 5% 18% 56% 137

High school or less 26% 10% 20% 45% 46 Some college 17% 8% 12% 63% 55 College graduate 23% 7% 19% 51% 98 Post-graduate 23% 5% 25% 47% 53

Less than $30K 18% 14% 4% 64% 15 $30K to $60K 26% 11% 9% 55% 34 $60K to $75K 23% 0% 19% 58% 29 $75K to $100K 15% 4% 15% 67% 32 $100K or more 29% 5% 27% 39% 63

Married 24% 7% 23% 47% 180 Divorced/separated 24% 6% 8% 62% 50 Never married 11% 14% 12% 63% 24

Protestant 18% 5% 15% 63% 88 Catholic 27% 10% 21% 42% 100 Other 22% 6% 19% 53% 60

Attend services 1 or more/week 26% 4% 21% 48% 58 1-2 times a month 19% 12% 26% 44% 31 Less often 25% 7% 18% 50% 75 Never 18% 8% 15% 59% 85

North Country 23% 0% 8% 69% 10 Central / Lakes 13% 6% 17% 65% 47 Mass Border 17% 15% 20% 47% 49 Seacoast 11% 3% 8% 78% 75 Manchester Area 43% 8% 31% 19% 76 Favorability Rating – Businessman Sean Mahoney - US First CD

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 6% 7% 7% 79% 256

Likely Voter 6% 6% 8% 80% 232 Non-Likely Voter 7% 14% 5% 74% 23

Registered Democrat 3% 4% 9% 84% 57 Registered Undeclared 7% 4% 7% 82% 110 Registered Republican 9% 10% 7% 73% 73

Democrat 5% 9% 8% 78% 94 Independent 6% 6% 7% 81% 51 Republican 7% 4% 7% 81% 109

Liberal 0% 6% 9% 85% 44 Moderate 8% 6% 7% 79% 104 Conservative 8% 6% 6% 80% 96

Union household 4% 3% 21% 72% 35 Non-union 7% 8% 5% 80% 217

10 yrs or less in NH 4% 8% 5% 83% 52 11 to 20 years 9% 13% 7% 71% 35 More than 20 years 6% 5% 9% 80% 165

18 to 34 0% 15% 1% 84% 26 35 to 49 8% 4% 5% 83% 58 50 to 64 6% 8% 12% 75% 101 65 and over 8% 5% 7% 81% 69

Male 8% 9% 8% 76% 120 Female 5% 5% 7% 83% 136

High school or less 2% 12% 6% 79% 46 Some college 7% 6% 9% 78% 55 College graduate 10% 7% 7% 76% 97 Post-graduate 2% 3% 9% 85% 53

Less than $30K 19% 14% 0% 68% 15 $30K to $60K 0% 13% 16% 72% 34 $60K to $75K 4% 0% 5% 91% 29 $75K to $100K 8% 5% 9% 78% 32 $100K or more 7% 2% 15% 77% 63

Married 6% 7% 7% 80% 180 Divorced/separated 11% 4% 11% 74% 49 Never married 0% 14% 4% 83% 24

Protestant 7% 3% 4% 86% 88 Catholic 7% 9% 8% 75% 100 Other 5% 7% 12% 76% 60

Attend services 1 or more/week 12% 4% 1% 84% 58 1-2 times a month 7% 10% 17% 65% 31 Less often 6% 5% 10% 80% 75 Never 3% 8% 7% 82% 84

North Country 0% 0% 0% 100% 10 Central / Lakes 7% 8% 7% 77% 47 Mass Border 8% 15% 8% 68% 49 Seacoast 5% 3% 6% 86% 75 Manchester Area 6% 5% 9% 80% 76

US House – Charlie Bass vs. Ann McLane Kuster – Likely Voters

Bass Kuster Other DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 42% 30% 1% 27% 231

Registered Democrat 16% 49% 0% 34% 61 Registered Undeclared 42% 32% 1% 26% 94 Registered Republican 71% 6% 0% 23% 59

Democrat 12% 55% 0% 32% 104 Independent 43% 25% 3% 29% 31 Republican 76% 4% 1% 20% 90

Liberal 13% 61% 0% 26% 54 Moderate 36% 32% 1% 31% 91 Conservative 69% 8% 0% 23% 76

Definitely decided vote 48% 48% 0% 4% 31 Leaning toward someone 56% 44% 0% 0% 32 Still trying to decide 38% 24% 1% 37% 162

Union household 42% 33% 0% 25% 29 Non-union 42% 30% 1% 27% 200

10 yrs or less in NH 30% 29% 0% 41% 51 11 to 20 years 43% 16% 2% 39% 31 More than 20 years 45% 35% 1% 20% 139

18 to 34 28% 13% 0% 59% 17 35 to 49 38% 33% 0% 30% 62 50 to 64 41% 30% 1% 29% 83 65 and over 50% 34% 1% 15% 66

Male 51% 30% 1% 18% 117 Female 33% 31% 0% 37% 113

High school or less 54% 21% 0% 26% 41 Some college 51% 20% 0% 29% 48 College graduate 27% 44% 0% 29% 80 Post-graduate 45% 27% 2% 25% 60

Less than $30K 52% 29% 0% 19% 12 $30K to $60K 40% 31% 2% 27% 35 $60K to $75K 23% 37% 0% 41% 25 $75K to $100K 52% 26% 0% 21% 33 $100K or more 42% 34% 0% 24% 59

Married 43% 32% 0% 25% 177 Divorced/separated 42% 22% 2% 33% 35 Never married 21% 39% 0% 41% 16

Protestant 37% 32% 1% 30% 91 Catholic 52% 20% 0% 28% 66 Other 41% 37% 1% 20% 65

Attend services 1 or more/week 55% 20% 0% 26% 55 1-2 times a month 37% 36% 0% 27% 23 Less often 33% 32% 1% 34% 61 Never 42% 33% 1% 24% 88

North Country 54% 22% 0% 23% 18 Central / Lakes 44% 43% 0% 13% 37 Connecticut Valley 36% 29% 1% 33% 77 Mass Border 41% 30% 1% 29% 86 Manchester Area 64% 12% 0% 24% 13

US House – Charlie Bass vs. Katrina Swett – Likely Voters

Bass Swett Other DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 44% 27% 1% 29% 228

Registered Democrat 16% 51% 0% 33% 62 Registered Undeclared 42% 25% 1% 31% 93 Registered Republican 76% 3% 0% 20% 57

Democrat 14% 50% 0% 36% 102 Independent 40% 18% 3% 40% 31 Republican 79% 3% 1% 18% 90

Liberal 10% 61% 0% 29% 55 Moderate 42% 25% 2% 32% 88 Conservative 70% 7% 0% 23% 74

Definitely decided vote 44% 44% 0% 13% 32 Leaning toward someone 62% 33% 0% 5% 29 Still trying to decide 40% 22% 1% 37% 162

Union household 42% 33% 0% 25% 29 Non-union 44% 26% 1% 30% 198

10 yrs or less in NH 28% 30% 0% 41% 51 11 to 20 years 53% 8% 2% 37% 31 More than 20 years 46% 30% 1% 23% 137

18 to 34 28% 13% 0% 59% 17 35 to 49 36% 33% 0% 31% 62 50 to 64 47% 24% 1% 28% 80 65 and over 50% 27% 1% 22% 67

Male 55% 23% 1% 21% 114 Female 33% 30% 0% 38% 115

High school or less 56% 10% 0% 34% 38 Some college 53% 19% 0% 29% 48 College graduate 26% 42% 0% 31% 82 Post-graduate 51% 23% 2% 24% 60

Less than $30K 43% 19% 0% 38% 12 $30K to $60K 43% 30% 2% 25% 36 $60K to $75K 25% 37% 0% 39% 25 $75K to $100K 53% 20% 0% 26% 33 $100K or more 42% 29% 0% 29% 56

Married 45% 27% 0% 27% 175 Divorced/separated 45% 22% 2% 31% 35 Never married 12% 32% 0% 56% 15

Protestant 37% 27% 1% 35% 93 Catholic 57% 16% 0% 27% 63 Other 39% 36% 1% 24% 64

Attend services 1 or more/week 53% 18% 0% 29% 55 1-2 times a month 49% 18% 0% 33% 23 Less often 33% 33% 1% 33% 62 Never 44% 28% 1% 27% 84

North Country 64% 22% 0% 14% 18 Central / Lakes 46% 33% 0% 21% 35 Connecticut Valley 40% 27% 1% 32% 76 Mass Border 38% 29% 1% 33% 86 Manchester Area 68% 0% 0% 32% 13 US House – Jennifer Horn vs. Ann McLane Kuster – Likely Voters

Horn Kuster Other DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 33% 32% 0% 35% 230

Registered Democrat 5% 57% 0% 39% 62 Registered Undeclared 30% 30% 1% 39% 94 Registered Republican 64% 10% 0% 26% 56

Democrat 7% 57% 0% 36% 106 Independent 23% 21% 3% 54% 31 Republican 66% 7% 0% 27% 88

Liberal 8% 57% 0% 35% 55 Moderate 24% 37% 1% 37% 90 Conservative 59% 9% 0% 31% 75

Definitely decided vote 35% 57% 0% 9% 33 Leaning toward someone 49% 43% 0% 8% 31 Still trying to decide 29% 25% 1% 45% 160

Union household 28% 34% 0% 37% 28 Non-union 33% 32% 0% 35% 200

10 yrs or less in NH 28% 31% 0% 42% 51 11 to 20 years 41% 13% 0% 46% 31 More than 20 years 31% 38% 1% 31% 138

18 to 34 28% 13% 0% 59% 17 35 to 49 26% 35% 0% 39% 62 50 to 64 34% 28% 0% 38% 83 65 and over 36% 41% 1% 22% 66

Male 43% 30% 1% 26% 116 Female 22% 34% 0% 44% 114

High school or less 47% 18% 0% 34% 41 Some college 41% 22% 0% 37% 47 College graduate 18% 48% 0% 34% 81 Post-graduate 35% 28% 1% 35% 60

Less than $30K 29% 30% 0% 41% 12 $30K to $60K 25% 35% 2% 38% 35 $60K to $75K 23% 32% 0% 45% 25 $75K to $100K 28% 45% 0% 27% 33 $100K or more 31% 32% 0% 37% 59

Married 34% 33% 0% 33% 178 Divorced/separated 32% 27% 2% 38% 34 Never married 9% 37% 0% 54% 15

Protestant 32% 34% 0% 34% 92 Catholic 37% 21% 0% 42% 65 Other 30% 41% 1% 28% 65

Attend services 1 or more/week 38% 22% 0% 40% 53 1-2 times a month 33% 40% 0% 27% 23 Less often 27% 34% 0% 38% 62 Never 33% 34% 1% 33% 88

North Country 27% 36% 0% 37% 18 Central / Lakes 30% 43% 0% 27% 36 Connecticut Valley 28% 29% 1% 41% 77 Mass Border 35% 32% 0% 34% 86 Manchester Area 59% 17% 0% 24% 13 US House – Jennifer Horn vs. Katrina Swett – Likely Voters

Horn Shea-Porter DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 35% 31% 34% 224

Registered Democrat 4% 55% 41% 61 Registered Undeclared 34% 31% 36% 91 Registered Republican 68% 6% 26% 56

Democrat 6% 54% 41% 99 Independent 30% 24% 46% 31 Republican 68% 8% 24% 90

Liberal 7% 59% 34% 54 Moderate 28% 32% 40% 87 Conservative 62% 12% 26% 74

Definitely decided vote 34% 50% 16% 29 Leaning toward someone 54% 37% 9% 28 Still trying to decide 31% 27% 42% 161

Union household 29% 39% 32% 28 Non-union 36% 29% 35% 195

10 yrs or less in NH 26% 30% 44% 51 11 to 20 years 41% 13% 46% 31 More than 20 years 35% 36% 29% 133

18 to 34 28% 13% 59% 17 35 to 49 26% 36% 38% 62 50 to 64 36% 29% 35% 78 65 and over 43% 33% 24% 65

Male 46% 30% 23% 111 Female 24% 31% 45% 113

High school or less 54% 10% 36% 38 Some college 40% 23% 37% 47 College graduate 22% 45% 33% 80 Post-graduate 35% 30% 34% 58

Less than $30K 32% 24% 44% 12 $30K to $60K 29% 34% 37% 36 $60K to $75K 23% 39% 39% 25 $75K to $100K 31% 38% 31% 31 $100K or more 35% 31% 34% 54

Married 37% 32% 32% 172 Divorced/separated 36% 23% 40% 35 Never married 4% 37% 59% 15

Protestant 34% 31% 35% 91 Catholic 42% 16% 42% 63 Other 30% 44% 26% 62

Attend services 1 or more/week 39% 22% 39% 54 1-2 times a month 34% 32% 34% 22 Less often 28% 33% 39% 62 Never 36% 34% 30% 82

North Country 30% 32% 38% 17 Central / Lakes 37% 34% 29% 33 Connecticut Valley 31% 28% 41% 76 Mass Border 34% 33% 32% 85 Manchester Area 63% 17% 21% 13 Favorability Rating – Former Congressman Charlie Bass

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 32% 9% 25% 33% 251

Likely Voter 33% 9% 26% 32% 235 Non-Likely Voter 23% 19% 13% 44% 16

Registered Democrat 28% 10% 40% 22% 67 Registered Undeclared 34% 9% 24% 32% 100 Registered Republican 37% 10% 17% 36% 59

Democrat 22% 12% 36% 31% 115 Independent 40% 4% 20% 36% 35 Republican 43% 9% 17% 32% 96

Liberal 24% 12% 34% 29% 60 Moderate 34% 8% 26% 32% 97 Conservative 39% 10% 19% 32% 82

Union household 31% 4% 31% 34% 32 Non-union 33% 10% 25% 32% 218

10 yrs or less in NH 11% 2% 13% 73% 54 11 to 20 years 37% 12% 25% 26% 33 More than 20 years 39% 12% 29% 21% 155

18 to 34 10% 6% 10% 74% 20 35 to 49 34% 10% 22% 33% 68 50 to 64 29% 9% 28% 34% 89 65 and over 39% 10% 29% 21% 73

Male 43% 10% 19% 28% 126 Female 21% 9% 32% 38% 125

High school or less 46% 4% 17% 34% 48 Some college 36% 4% 21% 39% 56 College graduate 23% 15% 25% 37% 84 Post-graduate 32% 11% 37% 20% 62

Less than $30K 32% 0% 18% 50% 17 $30K to $60K 39% 11% 22% 29% 40 $60K to $75K 22% 2% 38% 37% 27 $75K to $100K 41% 5% 19% 35% 36 $100K or more 36% 7% 34% 24% 60

Married 34% 8% 25% 34% 190 Divorced/separated 36% 14% 27% 23% 41 Never married 4% 15% 35% 47% 18

Protestant 24% 12% 28% 36% 102 Catholic 58% 4% 10% 28% 71 Other 20% 9% 36% 34% 69

Attend services 1 or more/week 37% 4% 21% 38% 56 1-2 times a month 59% 5% 12% 24% 25 Less often 31% 15% 18% 35% 70 Never 22% 10% 37% 31% 95

North Country 36% 20% 8% 35% 20 Central / Lakes 27% 16% 32% 25% 42 Connecticut Valley 33% 4% 21% 42% 83 Mass Border 33% 7% 28% 31% 93 Manchester Area 35% 22% 37% 6% 13

Favorability Rating – Former NH Representative Bob Guida

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 6% 7% 7% 81% 250

Likely Voter 5% 7% 6% 81% 234 Non-Likely Voter 12% 11% 8% 69% 16

Registered Democrat 2% 9% 8% 81% 67 Registered Undeclared 9% 4% 9% 78% 100 Registered Republican 8% 11% 2% 79% 59

Democrat 1% 8% 7% 83% 115 Independent 0% 0% 15% 85% 35 Republican 14% 9% 3% 75% 96

Liberal 0% 10% 3% 87% 60 Moderate 8% 5% 10% 77% 97 Conservative 8% 7% 6% 79% 82

Union household 9% 6% 2% 84% 32 Non-union 5% 7% 7% 80% 217

10 yrs or less in NH 0% 5% 3% 93% 54 11 to 20 years 0% 5% 3% 92% 33 More than 20 years 8% 9% 9% 74% 154

18 to 34 7% 6% 0% 88% 20 35 to 49 10% 5% 7% 78% 68 50 to 64 4% 8% 10% 78% 89 65 and over 3% 9% 4% 85% 72

Male 6% 7% 8% 79% 126 Female 5% 7% 6% 82% 124

High school or less 14% 9% 3% 74% 48 Some college 8% 2% 7% 83% 56 College graduate 0% 9% 9% 82% 84 Post-graduate 5% 7% 6% 82% 62

Less than $30K 5% 0% 0% 95% 17 $30K to $60K 14% 14% 3% 69% 39 $60K to $75K 0% 16% 2% 82% 27 $75K to $100K 4% 6% 9% 81% 36 $100K or more 6% 0% 11% 83% 60

Married 4% 7% 7% 81% 190 Divorced/separated 15% 8% 0% 77% 40 Never married 0% 0% 17% 83% 18

Protestant 2% 9% 7% 83% 102 Catholic 12% 6% 6% 76% 70 Other 4% 7% 8% 82% 69

Attend services 1 or more/week 9% 9% 2% 80% 55 1-2 times a month 0% 10% 14% 77% 25 Less often 4% 7% 2% 87% 70 Never 7% 6% 10% 77% 95

North Country 20% 4% 3% 74% 20 Central / Lakes 11% 12% 18% 60% 42 Connecticut Valley 3% 6% 2% 89% 82 Mass Border 3% 7% 7% 83% 93 Manchester Area 7% 5% 0% 88% 13 Favorability Rating – Journalist Jennifer Horn

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 20% 6% 15% 59% 252

Likely Voter 19% 6% 16% 59% 236 Non-Likely Voter 22% 12% 7% 59% 16

Registered Democrat 4% 8% 23% 65% 67 Registered Undeclared 20% 6% 17% 58% 100 Registered Republican 34% 7% 10% 48% 59

Democrat 8% 4% 25% 63% 115 Independent 21% 9% 11% 59% 35 Republican 34% 9% 7% 51% 96

Liberal 9% 4% 29% 58% 61 Moderate 14% 7% 13% 65% 97 Conservative 36% 6% 11% 47% 82

Union household 18% 12% 11% 59% 32 Non-union 20% 6% 16% 58% 219

10 yrs or less in NH 14% 4% 9% 73% 55 11 to 20 years 29% 4% 10% 58% 33 More than 20 years 18% 8% 20% 54% 155

18 to 34 23% 0% 6% 72% 20 35 to 49 19% 8% 16% 57% 68 50 to 64 24% 9% 12% 56% 89 65 and over 13% 3% 22% 62% 74

Male 27% 6% 17% 50% 126 Female 12% 7% 14% 67% 126

High school or less 28% 4% 16% 52% 48 Some college 15% 2% 12% 70% 56 College graduate 16% 8% 18% 57% 84 Post-graduate 21% 10% 15% 54% 63

Less than $30K 9% 11% 8% 72% 17 $30K to $60K 15% 8% 19% 59% 40 $60K to $75K 22% 0% 22% 56% 27 $75K to $100K 8% 18% 13% 61% 36 $100K or more 14% 4% 14% 68% 61

Married 22% 5% 18% 55% 191 Divorced/separated 12% 11% 6% 71% 41 Never married 0% 7% 17% 75% 18

Protestant 22% 5% 17% 55% 102 Catholic 21% 7% 11% 60% 72 Other 16% 8% 19% 56% 69

Attend services 1 or more/week 23% 9% 11% 58% 57 1-2 times a month 29% 13% 21% 37% 25 Less often 18% 4% 13% 65% 70 Never 17% 5% 18% 60% 95

North Country 17% 11% 3% 70% 20 Central / Lakes 17% 9% 20% 54% 42 Connecticut Valley 16% 8% 10% 66% 84 Mass Border 23% 4% 20% 53% 93 Manchester Area 27% 0% 24% 49% 13 Favorability Rating – Former State Representative John DeJoie

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 4% 7% 3% 86% 250

Likely Voter 4% 7% 3% 87% 234 Non-Likely Voter 0% 11% 8% 81% 16

Registered Democrat 4% 9% 7% 79% 67 Registered Undeclared 4% 8% 2% 86% 100 Registered Republican 4% 4% 1% 92% 59

Democrat 5% 5% 4% 86% 115 Independent 0% 9% 4% 87% 35 Republican 3% 9% 2% 85% 96

Liberal 0% 7% 2% 92% 60 Moderate 6% 9% 4% 81% 97 Conservative 2% 6% 4% 89% 82

Union household 5% 16% 0% 79% 32 Non-union 3% 6% 4% 87% 217

10 yrs or less in NH 3% 2% 0% 95% 54 11 to 20 years 3% 8% 0% 89% 33 More than 20 years 4% 9% 5% 82% 154

18 to 34 0% 6% 0% 94% 20 35 to 49 4% 5% 5% 87% 68 50 to 64 4% 8% 4% 84% 89 65 and over 3% 9% 1% 87% 72

Male 3% 7% 3% 86% 126 Female 4% 7% 3% 86% 124

High school or less 2% 5% 4% 89% 48 Some college 7% 1% 2% 90% 56 College graduate 5% 9% 3% 83% 84 Post-graduate 0% 12% 3% 85% 62

Less than $30K 5% 0% 0% 95% 17 $30K to $60K 7% 10% 8% 75% 39 $60K to $75K 6% 8% 0% 86% 27 $75K to $100K 4% 14% 5% 76% 36 $100K or more 2% 5% 2% 91% 60

Married 4% 7% 2% 87% 190 Divorced/separated 5% 11% 6% 79% 40 Never married 0% 0% 11% 89% 18

Protestant 3% 8% 2% 87% 102 Catholic 2% 6% 5% 87% 70 Other 6% 8% 3% 83% 69

Attend services 1 or more/week 2% 12% 2% 83% 55 1-2 times a month 0% 10% 0% 90% 25 Less often 3% 6% 1% 89% 70 Never 6% 4% 5% 86% 95

North Country 14% 11% 0% 76% 20 Central / Lakes 9% 6% 12% 73% 42 Connecticut Valley 2% 10% 1% 86% 82 Mass Border 0% 4% 2% 94% 93 Manchester Area 7% 5% 0% 88% 13 Favorability Rating – Attorney Ann McLane Kuster

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 8% 7% 4% 81% 250

Likely Voter 8% 6% 4% 81% 234 Non-Likely Voter 9% 7% 8% 76% 16

Registered Democrat 15% 13% 3% 69% 67 Registered Undeclared 8% 6% 4% 82% 100 Registered Republican 0% 3% 8% 89% 59

Democrat 15% 8% 1% 76% 115 Independent 4% 0% 9% 87% 35 Republican 2% 7% 7% 84% 96

Liberal 10% 9% 0% 80% 60 Moderate 12% 8% 3% 77% 97 Conservative 1% 4% 10% 85% 82

Union household 5% 8% 2% 85% 32 Non-union 9% 6% 5% 80% 217

10 yrs or less in NH 4% 5% 0% 91% 54 11 to 20 years 8% 8% 0% 84% 33 More than 20 years 10% 7% 6% 77% 154

18 to 34 0% 6% 0% 94% 20 35 to 49 5% 5% 2% 89% 68 50 to 64 10% 5% 4% 81% 89 65 and over 11% 11% 8% 69% 72

Male 6% 5% 5% 83% 126 Female 10% 8% 3% 79% 124

High school or less 2% 5% 4% 89% 48 Some college 2% 3% 0% 95% 56 College graduate 12% 5% 5% 78% 84 Post-graduate 14% 13% 7% 66% 62

Less than $30K 12% 0% 3% 85% 17 $30K to $60K 3% 13% 4% 79% 39 $60K to $75K 12% 8% 0% 80% 27 $75K to $100K 13% 8% 2% 77% 36 $100K or more 12% 2% 6% 80% 60

Married 8% 6% 5% 81% 190 Divorced/separated 7% 12% 2% 79% 40 Never married 8% 0% 7% 85% 18

Protestant 7% 9% 5% 79% 102 Catholic 4% 6% 7% 83% 70 Other 15% 4% 2% 79% 69

Attend services 1 or more/week 6% 10% 9% 75% 55 1-2 times a month 10% 16% 0% 74% 25 Less often 6% 8% 3% 83% 70 Never 9% 1% 4% 86% 95

North Country 13% 11% 0% 77% 20 Central / Lakes 19% 8% 5% 68% 42 Connecticut Valley 7% 7% 2% 84% 82 Mass Border 3% 5% 5% 87% 93 Manchester Area 12% 5% 15% 69% 13 Favorability Rating – Businesswoman Katrina Swett

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DIST. 13% 7% 14% 66% 252

Likely Voter 13% 7% 15% 65% 236 Non-Likely Voter 17% 11% 0% 72% 16

Registered Democrat 24% 14% 6% 56% 67 Registered Undeclared 14% 4% 14% 68% 100 Registered Republican 4% 5% 29% 62% 59

Democrat 16% 11% 7% 65% 115 Independent 6% 0% 11% 83% 35 Republican 13% 6% 24% 58% 96

Liberal 20% 9% 6% 66% 61 Moderate 12% 8% 12% 68% 97 Conservative 11% 4% 24% 61% 82

Union household 21% 5% 9% 66% 32 Non-union 12% 8% 15% 65% 219

10 yrs or less in NH 2% 3% 5% 90% 55 11 to 20 years 4% 8% 11% 77% 33 More than 20 years 18% 9% 18% 55% 155

18 to 34 0% 6% 0% 94% 20 35 to 49 11% 8% 9% 72% 68 50 to 64 15% 4% 23% 59% 89 65 and over 16% 9% 13% 61% 74

Male 16% 5% 20% 59% 126 Female 10% 9% 9% 72% 126

High school or less 9% 4% 17% 70% 48 Some college 12% 4% 7% 78% 56 College graduate 18% 8% 16% 58% 84 Post-graduate 11% 11% 16% 62% 63

Less than $30K 13% 7% 7% 73% 17 $30K to $60K 13% 16% 8% 63% 40 $60K to $75K 28% 0% 10% 62% 27 $75K to $100K 8% 6% 19% 67% 36 $100K or more 14% 4% 15% 67% 61

Married 13% 4% 16% 67% 191 Divorced/separated 13% 21% 10% 56% 41 Never married 13% 0% 10% 77% 18

Protestant 11% 7% 12% 70% 102 Catholic 9% 7% 13% 71% 72 Other 19% 10% 20% 52% 69

Attend services 1 or more/week 13% 6% 12% 69% 57 1-2 times a month 11% 15% 22% 52% 25 Less often 11% 11% 3% 76% 70 Never 16% 4% 20% 60% 95

North Country 13% 11% 3% 74% 20 Central / Lakes 27% 16% 16% 41% 42 Connecticut Valley 8% 8% 15% 69% 84 Mass Border 13% 2% 10% 75% 93 Manchester Area 0% 5% 47% 48% 13

Favorability Rating – Senator Judd Gregg

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 51% 8% 25% 16% 507

Likely Voter 52% 7% 26% 14% 466 Non-Likely Voter 36% 10% 14% 40% 41

Registered Democrat 30% 10% 49% 11% 124 Registered Undeclared 52% 5% 25% 17% 209 Registered Republican 73% 9% 8% 10% 133

Democrat 29% 8% 46% 17% 209 Independent 52% 8% 18% 22% 85 Republican 74% 7% 7% 12% 205

Liberal 21% 7% 50% 22% 106 Moderate 47% 9% 28% 16% 200 Conservative 77% 5% 7% 11% 176

Union household 47% 11% 21% 21% 67 Non-union 52% 7% 26% 15% 435

10 yrs or less in NH 35% 7% 21% 37% 107 11 to 20 years 60% 4% 23% 13% 68 More than 20 years 55% 8% 27% 10% 319

18 to 34 31% 3% 23% 42% 45 35 to 49 47% 9% 27% 17% 126 50 to 64 56% 7% 24% 13% 188 65 and over 54% 8% 26% 12% 142

Male 57% 6% 25% 13% 244 Female 46% 9% 26% 19% 263

High school or less 62% 7% 16% 15% 93 Some college 48% 5% 22% 25% 111 College graduate 47% 8% 30% 15% 181 Post-graduate 51% 8% 31% 10% 116

Less than $30K 48% 9% 26% 17% 31 $30K to $60K 53% 12% 22% 13% 74 $60K to $75K 40% 3% 36% 22% 57 $75K to $100K 48% 10% 20% 22% 68 $100K or more 55% 4% 28% 13% 123

Married 55% 7% 23% 15% 369 Divorced/separated 43% 11% 30% 16% 91 Never married 34% 6% 38% 23% 42

Protestant 52% 7% 25% 17% 191 Catholic 60% 7% 17% 16% 172 Other 37% 8% 38% 16% 126

Attend services 1 or more/week 55% 9% 19% 17% 115 1-2 times a month 51% 3% 38% 8% 56 Less often 49% 10% 23% 18% 146 Never 50% 5% 29% 17% 177

North Country 60% 10% 19% 11% 31 Central / Lakes 49% 7% 30% 14% 90 Connecticut Valley 37% 12% 22% 29% 85 Mass Border 48% 6% 27% 18% 138 Seacoast 59% 8% 20% 13% 75 Manchester Area 61% 5% 27% 7% 88

First Cong. Dist 59% 7% 23% 11% 256 Second Cong. Dist 42% 9% 28% 21% 250 Favorability Rating – Senator Jeanne Shaheen

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N) STATEWIDE 47% 6% 39% 8% 511

Likely Voter 47% 6% 39% 7% 470 Non-Likely Voter 46% 10% 28% 17% 41

Registered Democrat 82% 4% 9% 4% 124 Registered Undeclared 48% 8% 36% 9% 211 Registered Republican 20% 5% 72% 3% 133

Democrat 79% 5% 9% 7% 209 Independent 45% 8% 34% 14% 87 Republican 16% 6% 72% 5% 206

Liberal 80% 4% 6% 9% 106 Moderate 53% 9% 30% 8% 201 Conservative 21% 5% 67% 7% 179

Union household 46% 7% 39% 8% 67 Non-union 47% 6% 38% 8% 438

10 yrs or less in NH 45% 4% 36% 15% 107 11 to 20 years 38% 12% 41% 9% 68 More than 20 years 50% 6% 38% 6% 321

18 to 34 42% 4% 39% 14% 45 35 to 49 49% 7% 34% 10% 126 50 to 64 47% 7% 39% 7% 190 65 and over 48% 6% 41% 5% 144

Male 39% 5% 51% 5% 248 Female 55% 8% 27% 11% 263

High school or less 43% 1% 47% 10% 95 Some college 37% 6% 43% 13% 111 College graduate 50% 8% 34% 7% 183 Post-graduate 56% 7% 33% 4% 116

Less than $30K 41% 6% 42% 10% 31 $30K to $60K 52% 7% 34% 7% 74 $60K to $75K 65% 1% 19% 15% 57 $75K to $100K 33% 7% 46% 15% 68 $100K or more 54% 7% 33% 6% 125

Married 45% 6% 41% 8% 372 Divorced/separated 52% 7% 31% 9% 91 Never married 55% 2% 31% 12% 42

Protestant 44% 6% 39% 11% 191 Catholic 44% 7% 42% 7% 172 Other 55% 4% 35% 6% 129

Attend services 1 or more/week 35% 6% 49% 10% 115 1-2 times a month 49% 12% 38% 1% 56 Less often 56% 5% 30% 10% 146 Never 47% 6% 39% 8% 181

North Country 37% 17% 38% 7% 31 Central / Lakes 53% 2% 38% 6% 90 Connecticut Valley 55% 4% 26% 15% 85 Mass Border 44% 11% 40% 6% 142 Seacoast 41% 2% 50% 6% 75 Manchester Area 47% 4% 39% 10% 88

First Cong. Dist 44% 6% 44% 6% 257 Second Cong. Dist 50% 7% 33% 10% 253