Rodrigo Mariscal Paredes

PERSONAL DATA

Phone numbers: E-mails: +1(202) 262 6076 [mobile] [email protected] [personal] +1(202) 623 8780 [office] [email protected] [work]

Summary

Young economist with 7 years of experience performing macroeconomics and time series analysis. Trained to process information, build databases, write programming-code and present results. Accustomed to have several tasks and challenging responsibilities. Reliable, self-starter, and accomplished person who rarely gives up and always pursuits excellence. Very enthusiastic problem-solver who cherishes working with a team and collabo- rate with other peers. Highly motivated to keep on learning in courses and seminars, as well as from superiors, colleagues and people outside the field.

PROFESSIONAL INTERESTS AND AREAS OF EXPERIENCE

Monetary Policy. Empirical assessment of the monetary policy stance for Costa Rica and Guatemala. Software used: Excel to organize and compile raw data; Stata or EViews to analyze and produce tables, figures, replication code. Excel to produce charts, Word and PowerPoint to assemble presentations, policy briefs and staff reports.

Banking and Financial Systems. Construction, maintenance and analysis of databases covering financial sys- tems for several countries, specifically for Mexico and Latin American countries. Sources used: BIS, Bankscope, Dealogic, Bloomberg, IMF, World Bank and national authorities. Software used: Excel to organize and compile raw data; Stata or R to analyze and produce tables, figures, replication code (do-files or Rmd-files); and LATEX or PowerPoint to assemble presentations or policy briefs.

Time Series Modeling and Forecasting. Estimate and evaluate econometric models for prediction and policy ad- vice. Economic forecasting: point estimates, bootstrapped intervals or simulation of scenarios. Applied work to money demand, inflation and commodity prices. Software used: OxMetrics, EViews or R; Ox or EViews for simu- lations. Multivariate models usually estimated in JMulTi or Matlab.

Commodity Prices. Analysis of commodity prices, decomposition, filtering, search for breaks, trends and ‘booms’. Sources used: IMF (CPIs) and Grilli and Yang indexes. Software used: OxMetrics, Gauss, R and Structural VAR.

Global VAR Modelling. Econometic models for the global economy that accounts for market integration across countries and the different channels of transmission. Software used: Matlab.

EDUCATION

Master in economics (2006-2008) El Colegio de Mexico –Mexico City, Mexico

Bachelor in economics (2002-2006) Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico –Mexico City, Mexico WORK EXPERIENCE

Research Analyst (March 2014 – Now) International Monetary Fund –Washington, D.C., United States, Western Hemisphere Department, Supervisor: Lorenzo Figliuoli (Mission Chief) Supervisor: Anna Ivanova (Sr. Economist) Supervisor: Lennart Erickson (Sr. Economist)

R Regular Duties and Responsibilities • Research, collect and compile information on Central America and other Latin American countries. • Maintain and update economic, financial, or statistical databases. • Process, consolidate, and transform data sets.

B Working Papers and Technical Notes • Monetary Policy and Inflation in Costa Rica, with Anna Ivanova, and Joyce Wong, IMF Selected Issues and Analytical Notes, Country Report No. 15/30, February 2015. • “Sovereign Debt Reprofiling, Restructuring and Default”, with Andrew Powell, Guido Sandleris and Pilar Tavella , work-in-process.

Macroeconomic Consultant and Database Analyst (March 2011 – February 2014) Inter-American Development Bank –Washington, D.C., United States, Research Department, Supervisor: Andrew Powell

R Regular Duties and Responsibilities • Provide information and contribute on policy briefs, reports and working papers. • Build comprehensive databases for research papers and policy advice. • Provide information and assistance on macroeconomic sustainability reports.

B Working Papers and Technical Notes • “On the Credibility of Inflation Targeting Regimes in Latin America”, with Pilar Tavella and Andrew Powell, IDB Working Papers, No. IDB-WP-504, August 2014. • “Commodity Price Booms and Breaks: Detection, Magnitude and Implications for Developing Countries”, with Andrew Powell, IDB Working Papers, No. IDB-WP-444, January 2014. • “Forecasting Inflation Risks in Latin America”, with Andrew Powell, IDB Technical Note, No. IDB-TN-403, June 2012.

N Research Assistantship • GVAR Toolbox 2.0, 2013 Vintage. Researchers: M. Hashem Pesaran, Alessandro Rebucci and Vanessa Smith. • 2014 Latin American and Caribbean Macroeconomic Report. Andrew Powell (coord). Inter-American Devel- opment Bank, Inter-American Development Bank, 2014. • 2013 Latin American and Caribbean Macroeconomic Report. Andrew Powell (coord). Inter-American Devel- opment Bank, 2013. • 2012 Latin American and Caribbean Macroeconomic Report. Andrew Powell (coord). Inter-American Devel- opment Bank, 2012. • Database on managers in financial institutions in Latin American Countries using Bureau van Dijk Bankscope. Researcher: Luca Flabbi. Financial Researcher (March 2009 – February 2011) Bank of Mexico (Mexico’s Central Bank) –Mexico City, Mexico, Directorate of Macroeconomic Analysis, Supervisors: Alejandro Gaytán and Nicolas Amoroso

R Regular Duties and Responsibilities • Quarterly forecast of the monetary base for the Money Factory. • Compute and compile Mexico’s Locational Banking Statistics and International Financial Statistics for BIS, provide analysis of trends and changes. • Assistance on figures and tables for publications and presentations: the quarterly Inflation Report, the Mon- etary Policy Committee and other Board meetings.

B Working Papers and Technical Notes • “Estimation of the impact on domestic banks during the 2008 financial crisis in Mexico”,with André Martínez, Policy Brief, 2011. • “A note on the monetary base forecast made at the Macroeconomic Analysis Directorate” (in spanish), Policy Brief, 2010. • “Estimation of the effect of the cash deposit tax on the demand of monetary base in Mexico” (in spanish), Policy Brief, 2010. • “Estimation of the fiscal policy multipliers in Mexico” (in spanish), Policy Brief, 2010.

Research Assistant (September 2008 – March 2009) El Colegio de Mexico, A.C. –Mexico City, Mexico, Economics Department, Researcher: Carlos Chiapa

N Research Assistantship • Program evaluation: Federal government social welfare expenditure program “Ramo 33” (in spanish), Carlos Chiapa. Coneval/Colmex Project, 2009. • “Crisis and rural poverty in Latin America the case of Mexico” (in spanish), Carlos Chiapa. Programa Dinámi- cas Territoriales Rurales de Rimisp, 2009. http://www.rimisp.org/dtr/documentos

LANGUAGES AND SOFTWARE

Y Languages: Spanish (native speaker), English (advanced) and French (basic).

Í Software • Econometrics and statistical analysis (advanced level): Stata, Matlab, OxMetrics (Ox, PcGive, Stamp, G@rch), EViews, JMulTi, Structural VAR. • Econometrics and statistical analysis (intermediate level): R, Gauss, Rats, Dynare, YADA. • Math: Mathematica (advanced), Maple (basic). • Network analysis: Ucinet (basic) and Pajek (advanced). • Word processors, spreadsheets and presentations (advanced level): Word,LATEX, Excel, PowerPoint. Courses and Workshops • “Statistical Forecasting: Principles and Practice”,taught by Rob J. Hyndman, Revolution Analytics (December 2013). • “Global VAR Modeling”, taught by Vanessa Smith at EcoMod Modeling School, Brussels (July 2013). • “Credit Risk Modeling with MATLAB”, taught by The MathWorks Computational Finance Team at Washing- ton Marriott at Metro Center (June 2012). • “Macroeconomic Models for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy Analysis”,taught by Pierre-Richard Agénor at the Inter-American Development Bank (April 2012). • “Advanced Dynamic Modeling and Forecasting”, taught by Francis X. Diebold at the IMF (August 2011). • “Bloomberg Training Workshop”, at the Bloomberg offices in Washington, D. C. (July 2011). • “Econometric Modeling and Forecasting”, taught by David F.Hendry at the IMF (March 2010). • “Course in Estimating and Evaluating DSGE Models”, taught by Fabio Canova at the Bank of Mexico (August 2009).