Nuno P. Monteiro Curriculum Vitæ Updated: September 3, 2017 [email protected] Horchow Hall #207 www.nunomonteiro.org 55 Hillhouse Ave. +1 (203) 432-5283 (office) New Haven, CT 06511

ACADEMIC APPOINTMENTS • Yale University Department of Political Science: ê Associate Professor with Tenure, 2017-present. International Security Studies: ê Director, 2017-present.

PAST ACADEMIC APPOINTMENTS • Yale University Department of Political Science: ê Associate Professor on Term, 2015-17. ê Assistant Professor, 2009-15.

EDUCATION • University of Chicago, Ph.D. in Political Science, 2009; • University of Chicago, A.M. in Political Science, 2004; • Catholic University of Portugal, M.A. in Political Theory and Science, summa cum laude, 2003; • University of Minho (Portugal), B.A. in International Relations, 1997.

FIELDS OF INTEREST • International Relations theory: balance-of-power theory, realism, meta-theory and philosophy of science; • Security studies: U.S. grand strategy, causes of war, great-power politics, nuclear proliferation, political violence.

PUBLICATIONS • Books 2. Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Causes of Proliferation, with Alexandre Debs, Cambridge Studies in International Relations series, Vol. 142 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2017); ê Reviews: Andrew Bast, “Unpredictable,” Los Angeles Review of Books, January 1, 2017; featured in Jill Lepore, “The Atomic Origins of Climate Science,” The New Yorker, January 30, 2017.

1. Theory of Unipolar Politics, Cambridge Studies in International Relations series, Vol. 132 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014); ê Reviews: Robert O. Keohane, Perspectives on Politics, Vol. 13, No. 1 (2015): 256- 257; Michael Beckley, Christopher Layne, Jeffrey Taliaferro, and William Wohlforth, H-Diplo book roundtable, October 12, 2015; Brian D. Blankenship, Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 130, No. 1 (2015): 157-158; D. N. Nelson, Choice Reviews Online, Vol. 52, No. 6 (2015); Oliver Stuenkel, New Global Studies, Vol. 9, No. 2 (2015): 205-208; Austin J. Knuppe, International Politics Reviews, Vol. 2, No. 2 (2014): 61-71; Olivier Schmitt, War Studies Publications blog, September 29, 2014. • Peer-Reviewed 6. “Conflict and Cooperation on Nuclear Proliferation,” with Alexandre Debs, Annual Articles Review of Political Science, Vol. 20 (May 2017): 331-349; 5. “Lines of Demarcation: Causation, Design-based Inference, and Historical Research,” with Matthew A. Kocher, Perspectives on Politics, Vol. 14, No. 4 (December 2016): 952- 975 (lead article); ê Winner of the American Political Science Association’s Heinz I. Eulau Award, 2017. 4. “The Strategic Logic of Nuclear Proliferation,” with Alexandre Debs, International Security, Vol. 39, No. 2 (Fall 2014): 7-51 (lead article); 3. “Known Unknowns: Power Shifts, Uncertainty, and War,” with Alexandre Debs, International Organization, Vol. 68, No. 1 (2014): 1-31 (lead article); ê Debate with David Lake, Duck of Minerva blog, July 30-August 6, 2013. 2. “Unrest Assured: Why Unipolarity Is Not Peaceful,” International Security, Vol. 36, No. 3 (2011/2012): 9-40 (lead article); ê Reviews: William Wohlforth, H-Diplo, ISSF Article Review No. 8, 31 October 2012; Maximilian Terhalle, “Is Unipolarity Peaceful?” International Studies, Vol. 48, Nos. 3/4, 2011; featured in Thanassis Cambanis, “The Lonely Superpower,” Boston Globe ideas section, January 22, 2012, pp. K1-2. 1. “IR and the False Promise of Philosophical Foundations,” with Keven G. Ruby, International Theory, Vol. 1, No. 1 (2009): 15-48 (lead article); ê Followed by symposium with contributions by James Bohman, Fred Chernoff, Patrick T. Jackson, Milja Kurki, and Raymond Mercado, plus our response, “The Promise of Foundational Prudence: A Reply to Our Critics,” International Theory, Vol. 1, No. 3 (2009): 499-512. • Other 2. “Political Economy and the Causes of War,” with Alexandre Debs, The Political Articles Economist, newsletter of the section on political economy of the American Political Science Association, Vol. 12, No. 1 (2016): 3-5; 1. “We Can Never Study Merely One Thing: Reflections on Systems Theory and IR,” Critical Review, Vol. 24, No. 3 (2012): 343-366. • Chapters in 1. “NATO and Nuclear Proliferation, 1949-1968,” with Alexandre Debs, in Charter of the Edited Volumes North Atlantic Treaty Organization; Together with Scholarly Commentaries and Essential

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Historical Documents, Ian Shapiro and Adam Tooze, editors (New Haven, CT: , forthcoming). • Book Reviews 1. Review of G. John Ikenberry, ed., Power, Order, and Change in World Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014), H-Net Reviews, September 27, 2015.

WORK IN PROGRESS • Articles under Review ê “An Economic Theory of War,” with Alexandre Debs; ê “The Political Effects of Nuclear Proliferation,” with Nicholas D. Anderson and Alexandre Debs; ê “If You Can’t Beat Them, Join Them: Nationalism and Collaboration with Foreign Occupation,” with Adria K. Lawrence and Matthew A. Kocher. • Articles in Progress ê “Unipolarity, Nuclear Weapons, and World Governance,” with Simone Paci; ê “Coercion and the Credibility of Assurances,” with Matthew Cebul and Allan Dafoe; ê “Multiple Threats, Alliances, and Nuclear Proliferation,” with Alexandre Debs and Stephen Herzog.

AWARDS, FELLOWSHIPS, AND GRANTS • Heinz I. Eulau Award, American Political Science Association, for “Lines of Demarcation: Causation, Design- based Inference, and Historical Research,” with Matthew A. Kocher, 2017. • Harry Frank Guggenheim Foundation, research grant for “Political Violence during the German Occupation of France 1940-44: A Micro-Level Analysis,” with Matthew A. Kocher, 2014; • Yale University, Macmillan Center, Edward J. and Dorothy Clarke Kempf Memorial Fund grant for “Conflict and Cooperation in the Nuclear Age,” with Alexandre Debs, 2016-17; • Yale University, Macmillan Center, Director’s Award, 2014-16; • Yale University, Macmillan Center, faculty research grant for “The Sources of Credibility in Coercive Assurances: Power, Reputation, and Context Proximity,” with Allan Dafoe, 2014-15; • Yale University, Macmillan Center, faculty research grant for “The German Occupation of France, 1940-44: A Micro-Level Analysis,” with Matthew A. Kocher, 2013-14; • Yale University, Macmillan Center, Edward J. and Dorothy Clarke Kempf Memorial Fund grant for “A Strategic Theory of Nuclear Proliferation,” with Alexandre Debs, 2013-14; • The University of Chicago, Department of Political Science, Grodzins Prize lectureship, 2006-07 and 2008- 09; • The University of Chicago, John M. Olin Center for Inquiry into the Theory and Practice of Democracy, junior fellowship, 2004-05; • The University of Chicago, Dept. of Political Science, Joseph Cropsey Prize for outstanding M.A. thesis in political philosophy, 2004; • Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation, doctoral fellowship, 2002-06;

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• Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation, masters fellowship, 2000-02.

VISITING POSITIONS • Visiting researcher, CPDOC, Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo, Brazil, 2012-13; • Visiting researcher, Department of Political Science and International Relations Institute, University of São Paulo, Brazil, 2012-13; • Visiting scholar, Center for Advanced Study in the Social Sciences, Juan March Institute, Madrid, Spain, summer 2011.

CONFERENCES AND PRESENTATIONS • Conference ê Yale University, Brady-Johnson Program in Grand Strategy, conference on “U.S. Grand Organizer Strategy in the American Century,” March 2017; ê Yale University, workshop on “Conflict and Cooperation in the Nuclear Age,” co- organized with Alexandre Debs, September 2016; ê Yale University, book manuscript workshop for Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Causes of Proliferation, co-organized with Alexandre Debs, May 2014; ê Yale University, book manuscript workshop for Theory of Unipolar Politics, February 2012. • Conference ê Keynote address, IX Congress of the Portuguese Political Science Association (APCP), Participant Universidade do Minho, Braga, Portugal, 2018 (scheduled); ê United States Military Academy at West Point, Modern War Institute, War Studies Conference on “Reassessing Deterrence in the 21st Century,” 2016; ê National Defence Academy of Latvia, Center for Security and Strategic Studies, annual conference, “Strategic Implications of Multipolarity on European Security,” 2016; ê Keynote address, New University of Lisbon, Portuguese Institute of International Relations (IPRI-Nova), summer seminar, “Unipolarity, Democracy, and Capitalism,” 2016; ê Cardiff University, workshop on “History and Theory in International Relations,” 2016; ê Tufts University, book manuscript workshop for Michael Beckley, Built to Last: Why American Power Persists, Boston, 2015; ê Georgetown University, book manuscript workshop for David Edelstein, The Ominous Shadow: Time and Great Power Politics, Washington DC, 2015; ê Harvard University, Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies, workshop on the “40th Anniversary of the Portuguese Revolution,” 2014; ê Nuclear Studies Research Initiative workshop, Austin, Tx, 2013. • Invited Talks ê University of Chicago, Program on International Security Policy, 2018 (scheduled); ê Notre Dame University, International Security Center seminar, 2018 (scheduled); ê McGill University, Centre for International Peace and Security Studies speaker series, 2017; ê University of Virginia, Lansing B. Lee Jr. Seminar in Global Politics, 2016; ê Indiana University Bloomington, Center on American and Global Security, Security

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Speaker Series, 2016; ê University of California, Berkeley, Monday International Relations Theory speaker series, 2015; ê Harvard University, Belfer Center International Security Program brownbag lunch, 2015; ê Yale University, International Security Studies colloquium, 2014; ê MIT, Nuclear Studies Group, 2014; ê Georgetown University, International Theory and Research Seminar, 2014; ê Columbia University, International Politics Seminar, 2014; ê Princeton University, IR Faculty Colloquium, 2013; ê Dartmouth College, International Security Seminar, Dickey Center, 2013; ê Oxford University, Nuffield College Politics Group Workshop, 2013; ê University of São Paulo, IR Institute, Academic Year Opening Lecture, 2013; ê University of São Paulo, Department of Political Science, 2012; ê Fundação Getúlio Vargas, IR Center, São Paulo, 2012; ê Yale University, India-Yale Parliamentary Leadership Program, 2012; ê Stanford University, CISAC Social Science Seminar, 2012; ê George Washington University, Security Policy Workshop Series, 2012; ê Harvard University, Program on Global Society and Security, 2012; ê Cato Institute, Panel on “U.S. Options in Iran,” 2012; ê Stanford University, International Relations Workshop, 2011; ê MIT, Security Studies Program Seminar Series, 2010; ê University of Wisconsin-Madison, Political Economy Colloquium, 2010; ê Cornell University, PSAC Workshop, 2010; ê Yale University, International Relations Workshop, 2010, 2011. ê University of Chicago, Program on International Security Policy, 2007, 2008, 2011; ê University of Chicago, Program on International Political Economy and Security, 2007, 2009, 2010. • Annual ê American Political Science Association annual meeting: 2007, 2009, 2010, 2012 Meetings (canceled), 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017; ê International Studies Association annual convention: 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2017; ê American Historical Association annual meeting: 2015; ê ISS/ISAC joint annual conference: 2010; ê Peace Science Society North American annual meeting: 2010.

TEACHING EXPERIENCE • Yale University ê International Relations I, Ph.D. field seminar, 2010, 2017; Approaches to International Security, undergraduate lecture, 2017;

ê Introduction to International Relations, undergraduate lecture, 2015, 2017; ê The Balance of Power: Theory and History, undergraduate seminar, 2015; ê International Relations: Concepts and Theories, M.A. seminar, 2011, 2014-15;

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ê Military Power, undergraduate/graduate seminar, 2011-12, 2014; ê U.S. Strategy after the Cold War, undergraduate seminar, 2010, 2011, 2013-14; ê The Balance of Power: Theory and History, lecture, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2014; ê The Philosophy, History, and Sociology of IR, undergraduate/graduate seminar, 2010; ê IR Theory, undergraduate/graduate seminar, 2009. • University ê The Politics of Unipolarity, undergraduate seminar, 2009; of Chicago ê Power in International Politics, undergraduate seminar, 2006; ê Perspectives on IR: Research Design and Methodologies, M.A.-level seminar, 2005-08; ê M.A. Thesis Workshop, M.A-level seminar, 2005-08. • Guest Faculty ê Olympia Summer Academy, Olympia, Greece, July 2014.

ADVISING EXPERIENCE • Dissertation ê Nicholas D. Anderson, The Complexity of Expansion in World Politics, Yale University, Committees chair, in progress; ê Stephen Herzog, After the Negotiations: Explaining Multilateral Nuclear Arms Control, Yale University, chair, in progress; ê Matthew Cebul, Foreign Intervention and Political Uprisings, Yale University, in progress; ê Joshua Goodman, Negotiating Counterinsurgency, Yale University, in progress; ê Torey McMurdo, Great-Power Intervention in Foreign Elections, Yale University, in progress; ê Stephen Moncrief, On Multidimensional Peacekeeping, Yale University, co-chair, in progress; ê Lionel Beehner, Rising Powers, Norms of Nonintervention, and Contested Sovereignty, Yale University, 2016 (USMA West Point); ê Yang Bonny Lin, Arms, Alliances, and the Bomb: Using Conventional Arms Transfers to Prevent Nuclear Proliferation, Yale University, 2012 (RAND).

PROFESSIONAL SERVICE • Reviewer ê American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, Brazilian Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, Carnegie Corporation of New York, Conflict Management and Peace Science, Cooperation and Conflict, Cornell University Press, Ethics and International Affairs, European Journal of International Security, International Organization, International Relations, International Security, International Studies Quarterly, International Studies Review, International Theory, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of Politics, The Leverhulme Trust, Millennium, Oxford University press, Political Science Quarterly, Politics, R:I Relações Internacionais, Security Studies, World Politics. • Yale University Faculty of Arts and Sciences: ê Ad Hoc Committee for FAS Senate Implementation, 2014 (member);

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Department of Political Science: ê IR Field Faculty Coordinator, 2016-17; ê Graduate Admissions Committee, 2010-11, 2014-15 (member), 2016-17 (chair); ê IR Faculty Hiring Committee, 2011-12 (member); ê IR Graduate General Exam Committee, 2009-11, 2013-15 (member), 2016 (chair). Jackson Institute for Global Affairs: ê Director of Undergraduate Studies, 2016-17. ê Director of Graduate Studies, M.A. program in Global Affairs, 2013-15; ê M.A. Admissions Committee, 2011-12, 2014-15 (member); ê M.A. Program Review Committee, 2011-12 (member); ê Chartered Faculty, 2014-present. Macmillan Center for International and Area Studies: ê IR Relations Seminar Series Coordinator, 2013-15, 2016-present; ê Fox Fellowship Selection Committee, 2013-14 (member); ê Research Fellow in International and Area Studies, 2009-present. International Security Studies: ê Acting Interim Director, Spring 2017. Brady-Johnson Program in Grand Strategy: ê Director of Research, 2016-17. International Security Studies: ê Co-convener, ISS Colloquium, 2016-present. : ê Freshman Adviser, 2013-17; ê Fellow, 2009-present. • Professional ê Member, APSA, American Political Science Association; Associations ê Program division co-chair for APSA 2017 annual meeting, Division 18, International Security; ê Member, ISA, International Studies Association.

PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT • Academic Exchange mission to Israel and Palestine, 2012; • International Policy Summer Institute of the Bridging the Gap Project, Elliot School of International Affairs, George Washington University, Washington DC, 2011; • Institute for Qualitative Research Methods (IQRM), Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, 2006; • Summer Workshop for the Analysis of Military Operations and Strategy (SWAMOS), Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, 2005.

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ACADEMIC & PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMENTARY • Print & Online ê Response to Nicholas Miller's review of Gene Gerzhoy’s article, “Alliance Coercion and Nuclear Restraint,” with Alexandre Debs, H-Diplo, April 21, 2016; ê “The Flawed Logic of Attacking Iran,” with Alexandre Debs, Foreign Affairs online edition, January 17, 2012; ê “Why We Keep Fighting,” guest post on Stephen Walt’s Foreign Policy blog, December 29, 2011; ê “Restoring European Growth,” with James Leitner and Ian Shapiro, Project Syndicate, December 27, 2011, reprinted in China Daily, Economy Watch, Financial Times Deutschland, Les Echoes, and Singapore Business Times; ê “Europe’s Contagion Effect: Prepare for a Global Economic Collapse,” with Thomas Wright, The National Interest online edition, July 21, 2011; ê “Bridging the Gap between Academia and Policy,” guest post in Dan Drezner’s Foreign Policy blog, July 19, 2011; ê “Europe’s Denial of Debt Default will Only Make Matters Worse,” with Eduardo T. Sousa, The Guardian online edition, May 19, 2011; ê “The Likes of Portugal Should Default,” with Eduardo T. Sousa, The Guardian online edition, April 16, 2011; ê “In Foreign Policy Circles, Doom-n-Gloom for Sale,” with Lionel Beehner, USA Today, November 30, 2010; ê “Guessing North Korea’s Dangerous Game,” with Lionel Beehner, The Guardian online edition, November 24, 2010; ê “Why U.S. Power Does Not Deter Challenges,” Yale Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 5, No. 2 (Spring/Summer 2010): 159-160.

PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMENTARY IN PORTUGAL • Print & Online ê “A Doutrina Trump e a Ordem Internacional,” Público, 11.14.2016; ê “Waltz e a Unipolaridade Americana,” R:I Relações Internacionais, No. 39, 09.2013; ê “Chegou o Momento, Senhor Presidente!” i, 04.15.2013; ê “A Dimensão Estratégica da Austeridade,” i, 01.15.2013; ê “Portugal e o Default Ano e Meio depois do Resgate,” with Eduardo T. Sousa, Expresso, 10.27.2012; ê Fortnightly columnist on politics and international affairs for i daily newspaper, 01.21.2011 to 01.20.2012; ê “Como Reestruturar a Dívida,” with Eduardo T. Sousa, Expresso, 05.21.2011; ê “O Default é a Melhor Solução para Portugal,” with Eduardo T. Sousa, Expresso, 04.30.2011;

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ê “A Unipolaridade Americana,” R:I Relações Internacionais, No. 19, 09.2008; ê “A Silly Season Vai à Guerra,” Público, 08.14.2008; ê “Porquê e Para Quê a Europa?” Público, 07.26.2008; ê “Quem Tem Medo da Balança de Poder?” Nova Cidadania, No. 30, 10.2006; ê “A Tremendíssima Ideia,” Público, 08.08.2006; ê “O que Fazer com Gulliver?” Nova Cidadania, No. 29, 07.2006; ê “O Bailado do Salame,” Público, 04.22.2006.

LANGUAGES • English (fluent), French (intermediate), Italian (reading), Portuguese (native), and Spanish (intermediate).

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